In a recent meeting held in Paris, German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius and French Defence Minister Sébastien Lecornu underscored the need for Europe to take a more proactive stance in securing its own defence capabilities.

The two ministers expressed a shared vision for bolstering European security and announced plans to engage with the UK, as well as Poland and Italy, in discussions next week to further these objectives.

Germany at NATO shared Pistorius’s remarks on the meeting, speaking of the importance of Franco-German cooperation:

“We have achieved a lot in Europe, but need to do more for the coming years. Franco-German unity is a major part of this. Europe’s freedom and security depend on whether we are able and willing to defend them credibly.”

The discussions mark an initiative to enhance collective European defence efforts, particularly as the region faces heightened security challenges. By seeking the involvement of the UK and other key European nations, Germany and France aim to forge a unified response to reinforce Europe’s strategic autonomy and bolster its readiness against potential threats.

Following the recent meeting in Paris, France and Germany stressed the importance of maintaining military spending and fostering unity on European security, particularly involving the UK. The call for reinforced European defence cooperation comes in response to Donald Trump’s re-election as U.S. president, which has revived concerns over Europe’s reliance on American defence support.

French Armed Forces Minister Sébastien Lecornu and German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius highlighted that NATO members must ensure their defence spending results in visible, substantial contributions, such as troops, ships, and aircraft, to reinforce NATO’s role as a military alliance.

Reflecting on Trump’s earlier criticisms of European nations’ defence budgets, Lecornu and Pistorius emphasised that European nations need to demonstrate a credible commitment to their own security.


At the UK Defence Journal, we aim to deliver accurate and timely news on defence matters. We rely on the support of readers like you to maintain our independence and high-quality journalism. Please consider making a one-off donation to help us continue our work. Click here to donate. Thank you for your support!


At the UK Defence Journal, we aim to deliver accurate and timely news on defence matters. We rely on the support of readers like you to maintain our independence and high-quality journalism. Please consider making a one-off donation to help us continue our work. Click here to donate. Thank you for your support!

George Allison
George has a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and has a keen interest in naval and cyber security matters and has appeared on national radio and television to discuss current events. George is on Twitter at @geoallison

239 COMMENTS

    • Yes not sure how many more times we need to be shown rabid disarmament only emboldens the tyrants. Making Europe no military threat to Russia has clearly not had the desired effect just focuses them upon breaking the tie between Europe and their military guarantor to make them a nice simple target. Well so they thought when they initiated their disastrous Ukraine campaign anyway. Thankfully it has given us time to correct our naive error, let’s hope we do so, just worried about Germany with elections next year, weak economy and a sizable minority not wanting to ‘upset’ Russia how will that run if they commit to big defence spending.

      • We all know where we are heading, don’t we… So no time to waste. I hope UK will be interested in what is unfolding. Difficult times need difficult measures. Nobody is certain of where Germany is heading, since energy issues will not disappear just because we say so. But anyway, they cannot imagine solving it with Russian gas and at the same time keep open US market. Hence it is ultimately a no brainer, but a costly one. I am confident UK will look closely to what happens with an area that represent 50% of it’s exports and to the possibility to be a key player in the concert of nations of Europe. In Europe, UK is decisive in oversee, alone, it is a bit difficult, lacking land mass and population to be the heavy hitter with USA, China, India or Brazil. No nation of Europe can really go alone for a prosperous future. Though, together…
        Are we going to have thèse discussions again and again, every 4 years?

      • That’s because it’s not needed. The uk doesn’t either. If there was a serious threat to Europe then that would change as it did during the cold war but that threat hasn’t existed in decades not really.

        • Are you blind? If you think the ruZZian war machine is not a clear and present danger to Europe you must have been dropped on your head as a baby.

          • I do not no. Russian army is in tatters, if and when the Ukraine war ends things will be even worse. Their economy is also failing due to the massive loss of Russians in the war and the sanctions. Russia won’t be conventional war a threat to anyone in decades, if ever again.

            Look at things today, the average recruit into their army is now in their 50s as they have run out of people younger to join. Their massive cold war stores of equipment are going to be empty in around a year and they arent making much new stuff. They have a serious problem that won’t be economical to solve.

            With trump they might eventually win the war but it will be at massive cost.

          • I’m going to disagree. The average Russian peasant is hurting with sanctions, loss of monetary value and relatively high inflation but the Russian economy is proving resilient as Russia has just switched it’s hydrocarbon exports to China, North Korea and India. Who are all delighted to have cheap oil and gas imports in exchange for military hardware and to a lesser extent consumer goods.
            Russia has switched to a war economy. So they are producing 40+ T90M tanks a month, hardly impressive considering the huge losses but enough over a year once the war in Ukraine ends to pad out their army.They are Aldo mass producing artillery rounds and reportedly able to produce 1.5-2 million 152mm (their standard SPG and field artillery round) a year as well as dumb rockets, mortars and small arms. None of these are smart munitions really
            On the smart munitions front Russia is known to be producing around 50-100 cruise missiles of Kalibre or Kinzhal varieties a month. Not that these munitions are particularly smart as their accuracy is somewhere between 20 metres and 2 miles.
            Glide bombs have proven useful to Russia and they are converting hundreds of dumb iron bombs a month to the glide variety enabling their frankly useless Sukhoi Su34s to stand off by around 40 miles and reduce risks to the airframes. At last estimate 37 of the 135 SU34s available have been shot down over Ukraine, putting a significant dent on Russia’s air forces ability to prosecute strike missions in a contested environment.
            It is the complex platforms like attack helicopters, fighter and strike aircraft Russia is struggling to produce with many analyst stating China will step in and sell these platforms to Russia at the earliest possible opportunity. Once the war in Ukraine is finished President Xi will simply state there is no longer a need for sanctions and ignore the West, especially if China’s export based economy is hit by huge tariffs by the incoming Trump presidency.

          • Aren’t most of them t90s being built actually rebuilds from tanks that have been damaged?

            Their economy isn’t doing so well currently. Inflation is sky rocketing and so are interest rates. For sure the economic sanctions haven’t hit their economy as much as the west would like to believe but they are biting.

            Agreed it’s only the poor that are dying on the front but equally they are the ones that are needed for a future war and there is only so many of them and the more that are sent home in body bags or physically a mess the less new recurits want to join up. Plus them poor people are also the ones that ultimately keep the economy going through manual labour jobs.

            Russia just can’t sustain these losses and expect to come out the other side as a serious threat to anyone.

          • Not quite. Russia has been taking old and damaged T72s and T80s back through a modernization and reconditioning program. Bearing mind that Russia had nearly 10,000 sitting around waiting for WW3. Though judging by the Oryx site’s numbers, Russia have burned through a lot of these spares already.

            The T72/80 program is about the same rate as the new build and reconditioning/modified T90s.

            One question that needs to be answered is, where are Russia getting the electronics for the T90s. This was previously provided by France. Who late last year finally turned off the support. I suspect this is now being provided by China.

          • I’m wondering how accurate those t90 data is as everything coming out of Russia needs to be taken with a massive pinch of salt.

            The reason i question it is Russia isn’t using t90s on the front line in any number. If they were building them at that rate you would expect to see them more often.

            I read annual production of 40 (although there is some questions on how many of them 40 are new and how many are upgrades/repairs to existing ones) and 100 lost so far, so they are being destroyed almost as fast as they are being built.

          • Believe you have read the tea leaves re the future relationship between the ChiComs and Orcs very well. 👍👍

          • They have probably used c. 40-50% of their 15,000 reserve tanks, which they are refurbishing at approximately 200-250 hulls a month (all types from T-54 to T-80), as well as building c. 30 new (T-90s) a month.

            Without the attrition of the invasion of Ukraine, they would be producing 3000-3500 working tanks each year, Of which c. 200 would be T-90s & a further 2-300 would be latest model T-72s. That assumes that they don’t expand production of new models even further (which they doubtless will). Likewise they will step up production of APCs & IFVs

            If they beat Ukraine, then you can add Ukrainian industrial capacity to their armour building capability & conscript/ slave troops to their infantry numbers

            They also will consolidate their hold on Moldova & Georgia, at the very least.

          • Not sure on those t90 build rates, I read the US thinks they are maybe making early 20s a year not month. Some sources indicate upto 80 a year.

            Also don’t forget that most of the remaining tanks in storage are in such bad state that they are only useful for spares.

            Russia can’t build tanks to keep up with the rate it’s losing them. Currently losing around 100 tanks a month according to Oryx

          • Hardly. Russia can’t take on Ukraine it would get it’s arse handed to it if it tried against nato with or without the US and would need to get through 5 or 6 countries before it threatened the uk. It’s not a realistic threat to nato.

            I accept that Ukraine at this point is better armed than any single European country or probably multiple European countries but taking on nato Russia risks war with many European countries and also with the risk of the US getting involved.

          • Since you guys got this, it’s cool if the US totally pulls out now then right? Would save a ton of money.

          • Save who loads of money?

            The US is in Europe for trade reasons, it has vested interest in Europe relying on it as it helps when agreeing trade deals. If the US pulled out Europe would be in a far strong negotiation position.

      • A bit sweeping Alex! Poland certainly does. Germany is investing more in Defence
        When totalled up, European NATO has more than a million personnel under arms.
        NATOs enhanced Forward Presence (eFP) has significant numbers of troops forward deployed in 8 ‘front line countries’. Two more countries joined NATO in the last year.

  1. Europeans love to criticize American education, healthcare, and public transport. They’re about to learn why. Incredbily difficult to fund the welfare state and anything remotely resembling credible defense at the same time.

    • Whatever the problems Europe will have in squaring that circle I don’t think it’s particularly comparable to the reasons why the US has failed to inspire something comparable to what they did in the 30s to transform the infrastructure of their Country and have patently failed to repeat since despite being a far richer Country. It’s more political and economic dogma and distrust of the ‘Big State’ than economic potential to do so.

      • I find your knowledge of the issue to be lacking. The US had sprawling rail and regional transport infrastructure in the 40’s and 50’s. It’s cost to maintain during the Cold War were too high.

        One benefit Europe has is being much smaller with higher population densities.

          • The North Sea is tiny compared to anything North America has and at sea extraction is always going to be expensive.

          • There’s 3.2 Terawatts of wind just in the UK’s North sea waters. That’s twice what all of Europe consumes. And it never EVER stops blowing.

          • It pretty much has at the moment & has been that way for the last week. Its forecast to stay that way for another week.

            At the moment of writing, wind is providing 5%, solar 0.6%, hydro 0.9%, biomass 7.1% & nuclear 14.4% for a total of 28% from “renewables”

            Gas is 53.1% & imports at 17.9% – so 81%

            The other 1% comes form “other” sources

            It’s already been noted that, by driving farmers off their farms using IHT, more agricultural land will become available to build solar farms & that people will have to become “more flexible” in their electricity usage(I.e. use it when it’s available)

            Power cuts are such fun!

      • The US did pass an approximately $1T infrastructure improvement bill during the tenure of the current administration. Funds are flowing. This measure alone will not resolve US infrastructure issues, but most acknowledge that it is a substantial down payment.

        • The problem is a) a lot of the infrastructure improvement bill will be sucked up by American car-based infrastructure maintenance, which is a huge drain on the public purse, and non-car based infrastructure projects (even new car based ones to be fair) is really expensive in America, because, much like in the UK, it’s not built very often, so the costs sky rocket.

          • Yes, infrastructure investments are expensive and there will be varying degrees of economic efficiency associated w/ said investments. The intended point of post was a contention that US has begun the process of rectifying previous underinvestment in infrastructure.

      • Btw cancer mortality rate in US is 82,3 but in UK 98,3 despite NHS

        Source: JAMA Global Disparities of Cancer and Its Projected Burden in 2050

        • i wonder if that is mortality rate of those that can afford health care? Many don’t have access to healthcare or wont take it because they can’t afford it

          • Many poor americans don’t even appear in the statistics – they have no hope of affording medical treatment & never even seek medical help, as the costs would destroy their families.

            Even amongst those that have insurance, once the lifetime limit is exceeded, they are on their own.

            It’s estimated that approximately 60% of personal bankruptcies (around 550,000 households per annum) in the USA are because of medical costs

          • I think you guys are totally clueless about American healthcare. People in the US who can’t afford it show up and get it anyways. It’s illegal to be turned away from a hospital in the USA. The bills pile up, the person says they can’t pay and the hospital eats the loss.

            People don’t sit and wait to die at home. You guys are clueless.

        • Everyone has to die from something. The US spends over twice as much as the UK on health (per capita), yet Americans will die nearly 5 years younger than Brits on average.

          Granted the US had great success at lowering cancer mortailty figures also age-standardised cancer mortality per incident ratios. America is superb at detecting cancers early; they screen agressively. Now that seems like a good thing, and it is, but it also skews the standard measures.

          Let me give you an unrealistically extreme example to highlight how that happens. If you have a slow-growing cancer fatal if left untreated that takes 10 years to kill you. Let’s say you catch it within the first 5 years and don’t treat it, the recorded 5-year survival rate will be 100%. If you catch it in the second five years, the 5-year survival rate will be 0%. In both cases, absent treatment, the prognosis is identical, death after 10 years of the cancer starting, but early detection still gives a 100% clear-up rate in the figures. Obviously these extreme numbers have no basis in reality, but they illustrate one of the mechanisms by which the results the US shows doesn’t help them live longer by as much as you’d think.

          Scanning the healthy is profitable, as are barely useful aggressive treatments of end-stage cancers. Quality of life considerations less profitable.

          • The American health system is grossly inefficient. It’s noted to deliver very little “bang for bucks” with the insurance based schemes being milked as cash cows by the hospitals and primary care systems for as much as they can get.
            So if you are an inpatient in an American hospital you will be referred to every possible specialist for an opinion and receive huge numbers of complex scans, blood tests and anything else they can think of the charge to the patient’s insurance scheme.
            That isn’t an efficient system as it does not lead to improved care. Overly complicated care yes but not improved.
            The NHS does deliver bang for bucks but needs reform. The numbers of managers, operational or flow team members and tier after tier of senior management is frankly ridiculous. Then there are the “none jobs” eg people being paid large salaries for delivering absolutely nothing but leftist woke policies. A colleague of mine has just secured a very well paid job being a care coordinator for non binary and gender reassignment people. This sets those groups apart from all other NHS patients as they have now tier after tier of people lobbying for their “rights/access and more worrying conditions for care to be delivered.”
            Eg they are going to get preferential treatment.

          • There was a famous Time Magazine expose on US health care some years ago. We could finance the entire NHS budget out of the fraud in the US medical industry.

            The US spends more on providing publicly funded health care (through medicare, medicaid & the veterans program) to a smaller number of people than the NHS

            If you took out the insurance based admin costs, excessive drugs profits (through not allowing price negotiatiation at States & HMO level), the US would save huge amounts on medical costs (but, of course, medical insurance & drug manufacturing profits would fall massively, along with their contributions to senator’s and congressmen’s re-election budgets)

            As an American friend once commented to me “there is only one subject on which EVERY senator & congressman is an expert – campaign finance”

    • America spends about 1% of GDP more on defence than the European average. America spends 7% more of its GDP on health care than the European average.

      You have been hood winked into thinking that Americas problems are anything to do with spending in defence or Europes better public service are anything to do with high European taxes and lots of welfare spending.

      • Average Physician wages;
        UK 85,000.
        US 251,000.

        The EU will have to spend far more than 1% to catch up. More like 10%. It has almost non of the organic capabilities the US has from nearly 100 years of increased defense spending.

        • That’s all true. The American insurance based healthcare system is just used as a cash cows to line pockets of private sector providers. It’s boosted salaries very nicely.
          I’m an experienced NHS clinician working 60+ hours on average every week. My salary of £65k is earned after 30 years full time work and includes overtime payments.
          If I worked in America I would earn $150K a year for the same work. I’d be significantly better off but that’s offset by living in America. Needing health insurance, indemnity insurance and only getting a maximum of 2 weeks holiday a year Vs 6 weeks in the NHS.
          I’m staying in the UK.
          Re defence. I agree Europe has precious few of the enablers the USA has. Eg airlift, AWACS, electronic warfare aircraft. Heavy bombers and strike aircraft. Carrier battle groups and large stockpiles of cruise missiles.
          Can add to that nuclear attack submarines. Europe through the UK (7) and France (5) have just 12 nuclear powered attack subs.
          So any concept of Europe going it alone is nonsense unless Germany massively increases it’s defence forces on a scale similar to Poland’s recent increases and Italy, France and the UK add maybe 30-40% additional forces. It’s not going to happen.
          If you look at the rest of the EU the situation is worrying. Spain couldn’t even mount a rescue effort in its own country when an area was devastated by flooding leading to 215 confirmed dead and still another circa 2000 missing/ presumed dead. Where were Spain’s helicopters. Heavy engineering and military?

          • bad healthcare outcomes, while people in the UK wait half a year to see a specialist. You guys are drunk on the koolaide

        • The EU has the 3rd highest defence expenditure on the planet, after the US and China. Pure spending isn’t the issue, it’s the fact that that spending is siloed into various small defence organisations, rather than one single one.
          27 procurment offices pursing 27 different procurment strategies instead of 1.
          27 defence ministers instead of 1. etc etc etc.

      • what it spends has no direct correlation to the levels of care if the doctors earn 5 times as much and the care and drugs costs 5 times as much too.

      • Most defense observers would be relatively satisfied if the principal ENATO powers would adopt late CW I levels of defence expenditure. Over an extended period, this measure would enable at least the beginning phases of credible rearmament, w/o the necessity to dismantle the social-welfare state.

        • You are right. We are in CW v2.0 now.

          Some consider that Russia is little of a threat, yet we have had a chemical weapons attack in Salisbury and numerous cyber attacks. Russian strategic bombers deliberately test our air defences. They have shown over the years that they are not averse to invading their neighbouring and nearby countries and regions.

          As a NATO member, we are committed to contributing to the defence of the whole of the Euro-Atlantic region, not just the UK homeland, which some people fail to realise.

    • You do realise the U.S. pisses away an insane amount of money on healthcare compared to Europe..it spends 4.5 trillion dollars a year in healthcare…that around £15,000 per person compared to the UKs £3000 per person. You can spend on healthcare and defence.

      • I don’t know if them figures are accurate or not but it’s true the US spends way more on it and doesn’t get way better outcomes. Whether something is public or private owned the tax payer pays for it, either at entry or through tax. The issue in the US is it’s a licence to print money and highly profitable with that money going to the ultra rich.

        • Yes figures are rounded but that’s what they pay… interestingly they actually fund around 50% of that from general taxation.. the other 50% is from the private citizens. The US really get shafted.

          • To be fair so do we now. The NHS is now massively more expensive than European equivalent because almost all of its services have been privatised, effectively turning it into the US system on stealth. It also is not longer internationally considered the gold standard of health care it was a decade or so ago.

          • The UK GP surgery is effectively a franchise, it has been for a long time. That is “out-sourcing” or privatisation.
            Apparently we do not pay for health care at the point of delivery – try the dentist!

          • Not a franchise, but a contractor. Most people don’t realise the nhs is not a monolith state provider it’s a system made up of around 50,000 different organisations, with a contract to provide care, the huge majority of these are private owned business’s and have always been private business. It was only the hospitals that were nationalised. GP practices, dental practices, pharmacy, optometrist have always been private business..

          • What changed is the last goverment put a requirement in for hospitals and the whole NHS to prioritise private services over in house where there was an option. Now almost all hospital services are run by private companies.

          • No there was never a requirement to prioritise private services over in house services.

            different foundation trusts structure their support services as they so wish. Many moved to private contractors for support services such as catering as a way to cut cost..if your in house catering cost xxx pounds and you contract out for xx you have an instant saving. The issue is quality tended to suffer so many brought the services back in when it was realised poor catering leads to increased length of stays for patients and unhappy staff. But hospitals choose how their own support services are run. The three most common models are:

            1) the NHS trust runs the service and directly employs the staff
            2) the NHS trust creates and owns a limited company and then employs staff via that limited company to run its support services.
            3) the nhs trust contracts out its support services via open procurement.

            at present 2 is the growing model as it allows the trust to keep tight control as the company share holder, but does not have to employ staff on NHS terms and conditions..it can employ its catering and support staff on minimum wage or the market rate for unskilled/semi skilled individuals in that area. It also allow them to go off and win other service contracts and make profits doing random things as well as raise investment finances..in ways they are not allowed to do as an NHS trust ( a limited company can take more risk a hospital trust which cannot ever be allowed to go bankrupt is not allowed to play the risk game).

            I ( as an expert who has worked in, monitored and developed many health services and systems) have no issue with private sector involvement in healthcare as long as it’s part of a well controlled appropriately funded system. The problem with the US system is that it’s not controlled and is market lead..which you cannot allow in a health system, the problem with the UK system is that it’s been chronically underfunded for 75 years and the British public have been only paying 75% of the required bill..so we have a system trying to run that is missing a goos few hundred billion pounds in payments for services already rendered.

          • GP Surgeries have been private partnerships since the start of the NHS. Bevan wanted to nationalise the lot, but the medical profession refused to go along with it.

            Likewise, the resistance to dentists being part of the NHS comes from the Dentists, not the Government

          • Hi Steve, no the UK system is underfunded compared to European comparable systems. Per person costs ( rounded )

            UK £3000
            Germany £5000
            France £4000

            Systems like Spain and the Eastern European systems cannot be compared as they have massive holes in things they don’t do ( in Spain there is no one to provide care in a hospital, so you must at all times have a relative with you to wash, feed, turn and provide care.. the hospital just provides medical interventions)

            The NHS has always been a mainly private system. It’s never been some state owned monolith. It was only ever the hospitals that were moved to state ownership. GP practices, pharmacists, out of hours services, optometrists, dental practices these have always been private providers with an NHS contract.

          • Yeah, cause waiting half a year to see a specialist isn’t getting shafted.

            The average US health insurance cost is less than $200 a month, and you can walk into a specialists office without a referral. This website is an echo chamber of poorly informed people finding statistics to back up their straw man arguments.

          • Chris the average for a family of 4 is 20-25 dollars a year and it goes up as you get older… you can pretend all you want but it’s an indispensable fact that the US spends around 4.5 trillion dollars a year on healthcare or Germany with its 560 billion euros to the UKs 160-170 billion pounds… money talks you pay for shite you get shite….if you think you can get good healthcare for 200 dollars a month for your lifetime you truly have no idea what it costs .

          • Just as an example a quote for a 60 year old single man in the us for cover is 800-1200 dollars a month and it goes up the older you get..and they font cover any existing conditions..you also have to cover co-payments..which equate to thousands of dollars if you become ill and will ramp up your payments for every long term conditions you get….

            I do know what I’m talking about I’ve worked in healthcare development and oversight all my working life, I’ve even worked with US providers..who very often would come to the UK to get ideas on cost saving.

          • Good question, and the answer is both.
            Per capita, the US government pays more for healthcare than most European nations (I think Norway and Switzerland pay more, and possibly a couple more); on top of that, the US public also pays into their private health insurance in obscene amounts.
            When it comes to healthcare, the US really does pay an incredible amount, for outcomes that aren’t significantly better than the UK or other European nations- unless you’re really very rich.

    • The US government pays more per head for healthcare than most European nations do, and then the US taxpayer pays into health insurance on top of that; the idea that the US government scrimps on healthcare in order to have the strongest military in the world ignores this particular awkward secret of theirs. That said, education and infrastructure does seem to get the short end of the stick over there.

    • America has a lot of problems, but lets be realistic here, the fact that the US spends 3..4% of GDP on Defence, instead of 1.8 or 2% is not the reason, and anyone who thinks so is being silly.

      The US didn’t cut regional rail transport due to cost, it cut it due to lobbying from the Auto-industry and the belief that highways, and the car was the future.

      • I guess you guys have it all figured out. Don’t need the US’s help with anything, including Ukraine. I’m sure the Russians will take the EU really seriously this time.

    • The wished unity.

      But yes, it’s still a dream, neither France nor Germany are ready for real in-depth cooperation.

      They should…

      • There as a perverse benefit ot the Cold War. Two sides,squaring up with neither having the ability to win. Then we co operated.

      • It all depends of the attitude of USA. Germany wants to keep US market open and keep US troups. Shall they loose any of them, the picture starts to be different. France is open, has the same issue than US, but provide less and buy less. That’s it. So we have the same expectations: reducing trade deficit and receiving PO, with an additional issue. An invasion of Germany would have far greater consequences for France than US.

        • That’s the most worrying aspect. Germany’s government has collapsed so another election is likely in March with many believing the leftist pacifist doves such as the Green party are going to grab even more of a vote share. Don’t expect Germany to even be able to defend itself. Putin will be licking his lips.
          Trump presidency will mean a victory for him in Ukraine. Albeit at massive cost. Then once he’s rearmed the Baltics, rest of Ukraine, Moldova are all within his sights for the next round of empire building.

          • Do you think Trump will force Zelensky into signing a terrible peace treaty with Russia, just by withholding military aid?

          • A dangerous Russia; a protectionist U.S.and a mostly disorganised Europe. Isn’t the world just great.

    • Germany is the reason the French have nuclear weapons.
      The first military treaty after WW2 was the France-UK treaty that came about after the USA decided to rearm West Germany.

      • No.

        The reason was the US, not Germany.
        Because the US abandoned the UK and France during the Suez crisis, de Gaulle stated that the US would never protect France and that it was not an ally.

        The result of this crisis was that the UK aligned itself completely with the US, almost becoming an US state, and that France developed an aversion to the US, rushed the nuclear programme.

        • Deeply, both statements may be true. The Albion missile range was Germany. Not Russia. Only when we got the submarines range increased to Russia. The range of our fighter bombers does not enable easily to reach Russia from France. Everybody knows that. And policy are tailored to self reliance. We don’t want to ask anybody to do so.
          If Germany wants a French nuclear umbrella, then, we must prepare common plans (airbase usage, air refueling over a foreign state, hence endorsing the decision). Same question to Poland, and… to UK, with difficult questions to ask : Would you accept and endorse a French last warning, implying actions like nuclear strikes and reprisals? Would you still depend on technologies members of such an alliance don’t master?

          • The S2’s range (over 3,000 km) meant it could strike Moscow.

            The primary use of these missiles was to prevent any invasion from the USSR, not to strike the whole of the USSR, and yes, one of the plans was to nuke the border between East Germany and Poland.

            It was much more expensive at the time to have a missile with a range of 10,000 km and useless.

        • Just a reminder that we became so much of a US state that the UK Government gave jet engine technology to the Russians, almost destroyed our aircraft industry, threatened to close all US bases in the UK & came within a few days of the first military coup in the UK since 1688

      • France commenced their nuclear programme in Dec 1954, yet Germany was admitted to NATO only a few months later. So did they really embark on a nuclear programme out of fear of Germany?
        I am sure it was competition with the UK who started their programme in earnest 14 years earlier.

      • You and Hermes are both right. Anglo French renewal of the old entente cordial, Suez and the U.S, getting their knickers in a twist again

    • I seem to remember that people have tried to unify France and Germany a few times in the past, it never seems to go well

  2. The American attitude towards European defence could change under a Trump presidency and as illogical as his thinking may appear, he’s likely to send worrying messages in the coming months. I don’t believe for a moment that he intends to leave NATO however, this second term may end up being a stormy one for Europe. The most likely outcome could be a reduction in US land forces resulting in mainland Europe having to rapidly fund the gap left behind and that will lead to a huge increase in defence budgets. For me, this new joint initiative makes eminent sense.

    • America has two bridges in Europe, European NATO has 1.8 million service personnel. What gaps do you believe the US is filling in Europes defence with two bridges?

      Personally I rather see the US leave NATO so I don’t have to constantly listen to the same stupid argument that the USA is defending Europe when the US is one of the very few countries in NATO that actually boarders Russia.

      • The US prepositioned weapons stocks in Europe are substantial and can be resourced by thousands of troops and armour, so your downgrading is, to say the least disingenuous. As for the US leaving NATO, it would result in significant budget increases across the whole of Europe…. maybe it would put a stop to the current rot?

        • I’m not sure if everyone is aware of this but Biden passed a law through Congress that no president can leave NATO and it’s contractual charter for mutual defence without 2/3rds of the senate voting for this. Even with control of the senate and house of representatives Trump won’t get 2/3rds vote. Unless he just abolishes the law….which he could try to do.

          • Yes, though, if NATO starts to look like an alliance on paper, without the full political involvement it implies… Things will start quickly to fall apart, where nations most threatened by Russia starting to evaluate options. It is already at play. Look at how Hungary or Poland think mid voice to take some regions of Ukraine if things go sour.
            We have work to do together to prevent this.

      • It is not so much as what the US has in Europe today, but what they could bring in the event of wider European war.

        • US tactical nukes are very important for Europe, Russia will soon resort to using its tactical nukes in a full conflict, they have 2000. Without the US we have a very limited French supply.

          • The reason Europe doesn’t have nuclear weapons is primarily that the US has prevented their acquisition through the NPT.

            They have done this in part through duel code weapons.

            Europe could very easily acquire tactical nuclear weapons if it chose.

          • And if it made that choice how long will it take? Years then more years to get them qualified on airframes and that’s the easy route! And if we wanted them on the only stealthy airframe in play, we’d need the US to certify these new weapon for the F35.

            The only easy way is to buy them from the US if they would sell them so logically is just better to have US tactical weapons on Europe’s soil and use certified airframes like the F35 to deploy them. Hence the current arrngement.

          • Believe there are a “substantial” number of dual control, B61-12s deployed across multiple NATO airbases, but you are correct, the Russian inventory of tactical nukes vastly exceeds the NATO inventory. However, that may not remain the case indefinitely. RN SSN-As, as well as USN Virginia class boats, may deploy w/ SLCM-N (Sea-Launched Cruise Missile-Nuclear), from the mid-2030s (on the Virginia class) and early-2040s on SSN-A class.

          • Yes we flippantly dismiss the importance of tactical nukes as keeping the balance. Most are taking Ukraine as the benchmark for how a European war would pan out, its not.

        • So America is defending poor Europe of a future threat of intervention but the 1.8 million service personnel in Europe are doing what?

          On that logic could I say the threat than Europe might get involved in a pacific war is defending Hawaii against China?

          Should the Americans thank the Germans for their potential future contributions to a war?

          • A Chinese invasion of Hawaii wouldn’t trigger Article V, it’s very specific in it’s language as to what kind of attack would require NATO to be mobilised.

      • USAF at Lakenheath has about the same punch as the RAF has in the UK! Personally would like to see the USAF relocate from there a few hundred KMs east. Belarus is 1600km away compared to 900km for the old East Germany

        • How about 4000km west? I have been assured over and over America is a shit country and useless to Europe now. They have their collective defense all figured out.

      • So your quite happy for the Europe to have very limit pool of tactical nukes and very limited space based intelligence both of which will take a decade to acquire because you just don’t like the US. hmmm.

        The reality about Russia, conventional warfare they’re no match for Europe even without the US but with strategic nukes, which Russia will use should they go to war with Europe. They have the upper hand being able to field something like 2000 tactical weapons with Europes tactical nuclear weapons limited what the French can supply which is around 54 I believe. Europe’s only response is to escalate to to strategic conflict which is end of the world stuff or negotiate from a position of weakness without a supply of US tactical weapons.

        • I love the US, I just don’t see it as defending Europe. It’s an amazingly effective miliatry force capable of projecting power around the world.

          It’s a very limited continental power, since WW2 it’s always relied on European militaries to provide the bulk of the man power in any warfare scenario.

          It struggled to provide occupation forces in Iraq and Afghanistan.

          The US military is not designed for long term ground deployments on other continents.

          • Are you serious? In 1990 the US Army defeated the 5th largest standing army in the world (Iraqi Army). European involvement was token in size.

        • Exact numbers of French nuclear arsenal are undisclosed. 54 seems legit for tactical nukes, though they carry a different message. It is a last warning shot before full nuclear war. They are not aimed at a tactical strike like Russia implies the effects looked for it’s tactical bombs.
          290 warheads are their to deter as reported till recently. EDF is producing fissile material now. (Law was passed 2 years ago). 60% of acquisitions of the LPM is tailored to nuclear deterrence. LPM: 400 Bn from 2024 to 2030. 35% on acquisition programs, so roughly 84 Bn € for nuclear deterrence over 6 years. Enough to do the due.
          The French nuclear strike was aimed to destroy 60% of USSR industrial potential. Russia knows, we know do also very well know the consequence.

          • So effectively Europe doesn’t have a like for like response more of a escalation not far off a strategic strikes, I would assume to wipe out 60 of Russia’s industrial capacity that would mean carrier strike as Russia a big place. The question is would Europe want to go that route effective MAD or go to the negotiating table knowing if they don’t agree they walk way its MAD. Russia doctrine is escalate to deescalate and it actually strengthens their hand knowing that the only military response is for enemy to go up to the final level and destroy themselves with it.

          • I don’t get you point. The ability to escalate is ours. Russia can do whatever they want with their nukes. So do we. They threaten, we don’t bulge. They fire, only us are able to say how we respond to it, not Russia. So I really don’t get your point. Nuke is not a toy. It is mad.
            Second point: if we fire from a Rafale, why the need of the Fanu. We will have to convey the Raid of last warning. And after, it either go full blown or not, depending of enemy reaction. They don’t have the option of firing tactical nukes here and there. This does not exist if we don’t want it to exist.
            By the way, exact numbers of operational warheads in Russia is said to be far lower than 2000. Operational warhead don’t remain operational forever. You need to do some maintenance.

          • Remember that all the sane conservatives who where in his government have turned their back on him and he’s now got the Christian Nationalist Demagogue nutters behind him instead. I don’t think Trumps first term is any reliable indicator of his second one.

          • Absolutely certain The Donald will indeed harangue ENATO re rates of defence expenditure. Less certain re future private geopolitical accords w/ Mad Vlad. US support for Ukraine will be withdrawn, resulting ultimately in unequal/compromised negotiations w/ RU. Anticipate a ceasefire that creates a new defacto border along the then current line of contact. RU will remain on a wartime footing indefinitely. RU military will require a period of time for recovery/refit. After that period, Vlad will embark on a campaign for further acquisitions, including: Georgia, Moldova, possibly Azerbaijan and some/all of the ‘stans. Ultimately, Vlad will cast an acquisitive eye upon the Baltics, whereupon life w/in Europe will become quite interesting. Meanwhile, the ChiComs will be embarking on a course of mischief both w/in and beyond the SCS. At some point during this timeline, the Iranians will decide to create real havoc in the ME, and the DPRK will attempt to annex SK. There will essentially be more snapping alligators in the swamp than the US can possibly deal w/, using conventional arms. Fortunately, the Donald (or successors) will have ramped up production of both nukes and delivery systems. After a brief, but spectacular, aerial light show, a quiet period will reign in the NH and a significant portion of the SH, for an extended timeframe. Decade(s), perhaps longer. 🤔😳

      • I agree, he’ll make lots of noise say he’s done a great new deal which benefits the US but is actually just business as usual. Pretty much what he did last time around. Example was the F35, he said he’d got a great price from Lockheed but pretty much it was just normal negotiations for the next batch. He said Boeing were going to create suppaduppa airplane like nothing ever seen, turned out it was the F15 upgrade to the F15EX which Boeing were working on prior to his presidency.

    • Not sure they want that, more likely they want the UK to commit to more European deployments to safeguard them. I think no. The UK should concentrate on combat air, force enablers. Special forces and rapid deployment forces and the Royal navy.
      We should NOT commit to rebuilding the army into a continental war fighting heavy armoured force. That is NOT where we should commit our forces.

      • Totally agree, furthermore if they want an expansion to the UKs nuclear forces they can contribute to the cost ( but not have any say in them).

      • I doubt that is want is wanted either. Things are different to the Cold War and there are countries that will fill the gap in the land theatre. Where UK can defend Europe is vey much sea and air based, which is beneficial for us too. Uk Land forces should be mainly a highly mobile set of forces with strong special forces focus. But we need to bolster our air defence (inc surveillance and c&c capabilities) considerably and our naval forces.

        • All NATO countries need to contribute to European land defence.
          Even before NATO, the UK aided continental allies threatened by powerful and aggresive neighbours.

        • You too know that in the Cold War the British Army was only a tiny subset of NATO forces arrayed against the Warsaw pact right?

          Between CENTAG and NORTHAG the British Army had 3 divisions commited to fight the Warsaw pact (to be reinforced by a 4th). Germany had 16, with 2 more in AFNORTH.

      • We commit most, if not all of our Field Army, to NATO for defence of Europe.

        Surely you understand that NATO is the cornerstone of our defence and so the army is committed to the defence of continental Europe.
        Why do you think our warfighting division is an armoured one? It exists to fight armoured forces.

  3. This has little to do with defence, much more with pretending to have a foreign policy independent of Washington. Please excuse me from pointing out the U.S. control of N.A.T.O. continues to guarantee Europe’s security, a successful military organisation that over matches all others. France in charge of anything ensures toys will fly out of the pram sooner than later.

      • Us needs nato or Europe to make sure they are safe without Europe us is an individual target for russia china north Korea iran

      • There was long confrontation called the Cold War Jim. Now we have an aggressive Putin, leading some to call this time ‘Cold War II’ . The force numbers are not so important now since in technology and reach the U.S. would make swift work of any attempted push west by Russia from present borders. Hence Russia’s current trend for asymmetric warfare. 100,000 troops is rather bigger than our army.

        • Yiu may have noticed we have a small army because we on an island very far away from Russia.

          What’s more important is how big are the armies of Finland or Poland or turkey.

  4. But wasn’t Trump pulling out of NATO just one of the reasons why PESCO was set up in the first place, in which the UK is a partner?

  5. This is the point that the UK should capitalise. Europe wants a security deal the UK wants a refugee return policy and better economic ties.

    Should be an easy trade but unfortunately the EU commission is as flexible as the 16th century Catholic Church.

    They see Europe in flames before they compromise on doctrine and French and German politicians like to hide behind their excuses.

    • That’s what should’ve happened in the original brexit negotiations but they didn’t want to know then. They was happy cutting off there own nose to try and make an example of us to stop anyone else from leaving. Funny how they want a security deal now!

      • What a load of nonsense, the EU never made an example of us, we just had terrible negotiators In depth trade deals take decades to manage, but boris wanted it done fast and so we caved in on everything they asked for. We are lucky we got the deal we did, which whilst isn’t amazing is better than nothing. At no point did the EU act in bad faith or at least I have not seen any evidence of it, happy to be proven wrong if so.

        Every nation in a trade deal aims to get the best for their own side. Look at how Australia was laughing at us for how badly we handled that trade deal.

        • Don’t be naive. It’s the same products going to the same places for the same people. It’s the same infrastructure. Nothing has changed except we left the EU. A trade deal should’ve been the easy bit. Large quantities of the population in countries like France and Italy don’t want to be in the EU. The EU could hardly do a deal and watch our economy thrive. It would’ve ended the EU. A trade deal was never on the table. We knew that from the start but we still voted out. The UK being the smaller partner, they thought our economy wouldn’t be as robust as it turned out to be. I don’t recall once during the whole process did any top EU official say that they wanted a trade deal with the UK.

          • It’s noting about being nieve it’s about international trade and tariffs. The last government wanted to hide the impact of brexit and so didn’t apply controls on imports and so lost huge amount of tax revenue and equally gave the EU no incentive to want a better deal as they have checks on our goods but we don’t in reverse. If we apply controls then the impact will be felt both ways and deals can be done.

            Also the EU and a number of members have already indicated they want a better deal on various things that would benefit them, which means we have a chance to get improvements in reverse.

            It’s international trade deals 101. There is a reason deals take decades to do.

          • Political will. That’s all any trade deal, or any deal for that matter, is down to. 8 years ago there was no political will on the part of the EU for any sort of deal. Thanks to Putin and now Trump, the political will is changing. Having a nuclear armed tyrant illegally invading another country and an unpredictable US president refocuses the mind somewhat. Look at the German economy. Bang in trouble. The EU believed we needed them more than they needed us. After the US we are the next biggest player on the pitch, along with France. And now they need us more than we need them.

          • Trade deals take time. The EU economy and buying power dwarfs the uk giving us a difficult trading hand. But we had a goverment that wanted it done quickly. These two things could never be aligned.

            We still have things the EU want but it will take time to trade them for stuff we want.

        • Worse than that, we couldn’t even decide what our priorities where.
          We wanted everything, fast, and our way, and got ourselves shafted.

  6. I think the UK government will take a watch and wait policy.to defence and continue to relatively ignore the worsening geo political security and threats. They will try to string it out until the SDSR2025 report comes out.
    Unless Trump follows through with some of his threats like withdrawing all support from Ukraine, effectively ending the war and ceeding control of Donbas, Crimea and Kherson regions to Maf Vlad. Further emboldening him.
    A US reduction Of military power in Europe might stimulate a change and some adding on of military power.
    I’d be happy with just a few good incremental gains eg army back up by 5000, C2s all upgraded to C3 standard, Apache’s add another 15, then more boxers or Ajax but as IFVs.
    RN add 5 more type 31s, a few more drone mother ships for anti mine clearance and ideally 2-3 more type 26s, MRSS ordered X6 and Aukus pushed through to build phase and then 12-15 ordered.
    RAF. Another batch of typhoons 36-48 get the additional 27 F35Bs ordered, put Wedgetails order back to 5 but ideally 7. Add another 6 Poseidon MPAs and ideally a few more A400s.
    Get this done with adequate reserve munitions and spare parts and we might be going somewhere to have a viable defence force.

    • We ought forget all of that and pay proper wages to serving personnel first, then make their conditions better (accomodation).
      All the shiny kit will not improve our defence capability.
      Squaddies are truly in the dumps.

      • The wages point is interesting. The AFPRB recommends the Pay Award in detail every year, and HMG complies. Are we saying that AFPRB’s comparability work is wrong?

        • That depends I suppose.
          Do squaddies get paid enough? No.

          What job in civvy street is in any way comparable? None.

          Pay for the forces is dire. The pension has been nobbled.

          Pay more money, they might get better recruits.
          I joined in 1976 because I had no other option. I was good for nothing else.

          Now, with funded university education, the forces need to up their game.

          Remember those old stories about traffic wardens getting paid more than cannon fodder, I wonder if they were true.

    • I agree that HMG will do little in Defence until SDR 2025 is published. There is some doubt even as to wheter Reeves’ £2.9Bn boost to Defence is really earmarked for Ukraine aid.

      Sadly I think that your package of enhancements will be deemed unaffordable by a large margin.

  7. They could start with readmitting UK to participation in Galileo at all levels, and allowing us to access and input to the Schengen Info Sys with no strings attached. Things that could be done almost with a stroke of s pen with no cost, only benefit for all.

      • Depends on your definition of brexit, if it means having zero connections or deals with the EU then sure, but to me there are plenty of things we could renegotiate without rejoining.

    • I mean we refused to negotiate on these issues as we wanted to do everything our own way. If we wanted membership of these I’m sure we could have got them. Just like we are now getting back into the science agreements (horizon) long after the damage to our industry has happened.

      • The Boris Johnson gov refused to negotiate on these things….

        It is to neither the UK nor the EUs benefit to have us out of either of those two systems, it merely weakens us both. The Eu could just shrug and offer it now at no cost to itself rather than holding it back to extract some advantage in the sale of sausages or whatever at some future date. And the Gesnd and French if serious about the UK playing a full role in leading the defence of Europe need to dtive that forward. We and they need to reassess what is truly important for joint security and what is just petty squabbling.

  8. I hate to use defence as a lever during times like this but frankly we need one, and should be using this as a way to get a proper trade deal with the EU and not the nonsense boris got us that didn’t include export of services which is our main trade.

    • There has never been an effective EU free market in services, which is why UK benefitted far less from EU membership than many other countries.( University of Louvain study 2010)

      • That’s not true, there is a very much free trade in services across Europe, it’s why things like free roaming here taken away when we left. Our trade has been hit hard by losing that, anymore between 5 and 8% of our gdp has been lost.

        I agree we will never get full free access as a third country but we might be able to get some limited deals on services which would help massively.

        • Well not fully true, countries like France have illegal state protectionism that go against EU law but overall our country didn’t very well out of the membership.

          We have left and realistically not going to rejoin in my life time but doesn’t mean we can’t get a better trading relationship with our biggest trading partner. Especially right now where they need our military, diminished or not it’s still one of the strongest in Europe.

          The US hold over Europe has always been defence. That hasn’t been given for free, it was always used in the US trade interests.

        • Oh, please, not that old canard.

          The worst case prediction was that the UK would lose 4% of the INCREASE in GDP forecast for the next 10 years, so 4% of the 8-10% anticipated increase, predicated on trade with Europe collapsing & the UK taking no mitigating actions.

          Guess what? Trade with Europe has increase & the UK has taken mitigating action, as have service-based companies, with token staff in EU countries, fulfilling the requirements for cross-border trade in services, while the bulk of the actual service provision has remained in the UK.

          I voted remain, but lies like this have turned me completely off the Remain cause.

    • Agree, we need a much much better trade deal, terms and conditions. Borris deal was frankly useless and terrible. Something akin to Norway but minus the EUs oversight into the running of our country.
      A trade deal that increases GDP significantly is needed both for the EU and the UK, enabling an increase in defence expenditure. The EU are worried so now is the time to push a deal forward

        • Not sure where this discussion is heading. If it goes to trade, then we shall just look at US blackmail and see what we can get out of it. If it is having the feeling that we share a common destiny and the interest of one part is also the best interest of the counterpart, then things start to look very different.
          I don’t think a security alliance has anything to do with a transactional approach.
          Trade deals are the reflect of benefits for all, they come after military alliance. Today, we lost US as a military partner. Not officially, but in intend, which is a first step. This is the issue.

      • Our principal bargaining chip was removed from within.
        Nothing Boris could do about that.
        No, even if no deal was available, I do not believe he would have done any better.

    • It was seen as morally wrong (whatever that means) to use defence as part of the trade deal at that time. You’re right, now is the time for the EU to cut us some slack for the best interests of both parties. And we should press home that point.

      • It wasn’t morales at the time. The EU wanted to keep trade and defence separate and boris was so keen to get a deal that he didn’t push back on the point as it would have slowed things down. Just like all the other terrible trade deals we got post brexit or that we didn’t negotiate the divorce bill alongside trade. All was just stupid.

        However as bad as it is, if Russia and trump are bringing the EU back to the table to talk let’s capitalise on it.

        We won’t get a massively better deal but could get a bit. We also have other things they want that we can easily give like better fishing access which makes up almost 0% of our gdp and it’s an industry totally messed over by brexit anyway as almost all the fish caught in British waters get sold to Europe and most of the fish on our plates is from Norway.

        • Although to be fair to boris, the media was pushing hard for a deal as their owners wanted the deregulate tax haven created, and the Conservatives had no idea what they wanted from a deal (and why we have farage now pretending it wasnt the brexit he was promised, even though all the experts predicted it) hence the party breaking into factions and May getting booted.

          Boris just lied to everyone to break the deadlock. It’s debatable if that was the right move or if we should have held fast and got a proper deal.

          • Whatever your views on the rights and wrongs behind BREXIT the Tories and the political establishment well and truly wrecked any chance of a sensible deal. Instead of accepting the vote we were faced with a pathetic array of stalling tactics in Parliament in which our current PM willingly participated. May’s initial agreement was not thought through and to an extent tied the hands of Johnson’s Government.
            We shouldn’t forget we ended up with the hard BREXIT deal because May couldn’t get a softer version through Parliament largely because of Remainers. How many votes was it?
            Our political class acted disgracefully during this period and for someone who had become a reluctant leaver I won’t forget the actions of the so called elite.

          • Have you actually read May’s deal? If is an almost carbon copy of boris deal. It was all smoke and mirrors on boris getting this massive improvement.

          • You haven’t read what I said properly because we are saying the same thing but let’s not forget a softer Brexit could have been achieved but was scuppered by the Labour Party putting politics before country and not backing May in a series of votes.
            That the EU took a tough line was no surprise in light of the obvious weakness of our Government and the divisions within the political class that they quite rightly exploited. It would have been a different situation if the UK presented a more united position, which ironically would have been better for both parties economically.
            Personally, I would have used our strength in defence and security to negotiate a better deal being prepared to play hardball behind close doors instead of the pathetic media charade that we witnessed.

          • How did Labour have anything to do with it. The Conservatives has a 90 odd seat majority in the commons and a majority in the Lords, it was fully in their hands.

            Agreed we had a weak goverment but that was fully the Conservatives fault. They could have played a hard hand and haggled better but they were too focused on getting out at any cost, no matter how badly it left the country.

          • Go back and read what happened during the May premiership when she lost 3 votes (she did not have a majority) because Labour, the SNP and LD’s failed to support her softer Brexit proposals. The remainers helped the hard brexiteers bring down her government.
            Of course the Tories were at fault but let’s not forget they were given a hand to create the mess.

          • Torries had a house of commons majority at the time and relying on the opposition and blaming them is nonsense. It’s not their job to support the goverment it’s there’s to challenge it.

            She then throw away her majority leading to boris.

          • May did not have a majority at the time she lost 3 votes on the Withdrawal Agreement. Before the last vote there were cross party talks to try and get support to get a deal through. It is on the public record.
            There have been numerous times during crisis when parties vote in the national interest and not along narrow party lines.
            In reality Labour were also divided on Brexit although certainly not as bad as the Tories.
            BTW I am not a Tory or Labour voter so I couldn’t care less but that’s what happened.

          • Fair, but if all Conservative PM voted for it, it would have passed. It was and is a terrible deal though, and our country has been hit hard ever since.

          • Whether we could have had a better deal we will never know but you can’t negotiate anything successfully if the other party can see your incompetent and disunited.

          • Not true, no country is ever 100% unified polictically and yet trade deals get signed every year. Trade deals are all about what each side has to offer the other and how valuable that it to them. Assuming you don’t have an Australia scenario where they saw us coming and knew we we were in a hurry for daily mail/express news stories and gave them everything they wanted and some.

          • If you negotiate with France and US you can bet your house that whatever the political colour they will push hard for similar outcomes because external facing their political class will work hard in their own national interest.
            Ultimately with Brexit the EU, indeed everyone was aware at least half our MPs were against it along with most of the senior civil servants.
            The withdrawal negotiations were rushed and poorly thought through.
            It will be interesting to see the U.K.’s approach to the TCA review in 2026. Hopefully we will see a general cross party consensus on what we would like to do but personally I would just like us to show we are honest and competent again with some low key agreements that build confidence.
            Beyond that who knows but personally I don’t like the EU and what it stands for because it is locked into an original agreement that reflected a post war world that no longer exists.
            It is presiding over its share of GDP significantly diminishing in the world and in virtual all measures of performance is outstripped by the more dynamic US economy.
            Yes we want to trade with the EU and if these arrangements can be improved great but we don’t need to be tied to an institution that is itself protectionist. There is a far bigger world out there and to be fair to Starmer he has mentioned for example and contrary to many the importance of the Indo Pacific to the U.K.
            This all takes time but narrow arguments about our relationship with the EU misses the point and we need to have a greater vision than shall we join a customs union or single market, which will reopen still sore wounds.
            Anyway just my opinion.

          • Cross party agreement isn’t needed, as labour has a majority and the Conservatives passed a law that stated trade deals didn’t need to to parliament anyway. There will never be cross party agreement on this as a lot of conservative pm are reform / brexit party members in hiding wanting a hard brexit still.

            Of course the EU and it’s member states will want their own self interest but equally so do we that is always the case with trade deals. Boris wanted to raced through at what ever cost to the nation and he lied behind the scenes telling his PMs what they wanted to hear including that we wouldn’t follow the deal anyway.

            This time we have grown ups in charge, so just a question of working out what the EU wants, as we have already given them pretty much everything they wanted and clearly they are not going to agree to a worse deal for them as they already have the current one.

            Sunak manged to negotiate with the Windsor framework so there is still hope of room for improvements.

          • As for having the grown ups in charge this time, well time will tell and comparing to the Johnson Government is a very low bar. We already have seen enough sleeve under this Government to suggest things could get interesting in the coming years. I hope they prove to be a huge success.
            There certainly isn’t a need for cross party agreement for minor changes to our relationship with the EU but to do anything more fundamental does unless you want to repeat the mistakes of the past.
            Our whole relationship from joining the EC through to our leaving was built on lies from both sides of the argument. This could have been overcome and I personally think we would have have stayed in if the significant changes such as Maastricht and Lisbon had been subject to referendums in the U.K. Instead we saw the incumbent Government of the day fundamentally change our relationship with the Europe because they had a majority at the time.
            Both parties did it and it was a huge mistake that led to the rise of UKIP whatever you or I think.
            Always good to debate these things

          • Frankly Brexit whether we like it or not has harmed our security as well as our economy, both are linked of course but it could have been less damaging for security if more effort had been put in.

            Much of the blame lies with The clueless Boris Johnson government but clearly the EU were responsible for some of it and that needs pointing out to them now….

        • Most of the “terrible trade deals” were just a read-across from existing EU trade deals. Interesting that you think they were so terrible. All the others are limited duration, to allow for re-negotiation of terms at set intervals

      • For me it’s the GDP growth a better trade deal would enable that is key. The whole of Europe and the UK need growth if we are going to find stronger armed forces. The sooner everyone just gets around the table and thrashes out a pragmatic deal that gives the UK access to the free market in exchange for our ongoing commitments to NATO (Not the EUs defence forces…NATO) The better.
        A better trade deal could add 5-10% to GDP over 3 years for the UK and 6-7% for the entirety of the Euro zone. That’s how everyone can then afford better military expenditure. Wish the self-centred idiotic politicians primarily within the Euro zone could see that. Starmer is already aware and has consistently stated the UK-EU trade deal needs to be improved for the benefit of both sides.

  9. The combined population of the 5 countries mentioned is double that of Russia. The combined GDP is @7× as large. Europe should therefore be fully able to defend itself without US support. But governments have to persuade their electorates that defence budgets need to match US levels, perhaps double what they are now. Fat chance.

    • We won’t have a new referendum anytime soon, but the 90 day rule applies both ways. Freedom of movement aka anti immigration was the main driver for brexit, so we got what the nation voted for. You can’t have a situation where brits are free to stay in the EU but eu citizens are not free to come here. That was the main issue with brexit people voted for removing other people’s rights and not realising they were also removing their own.

  10. Donald Trump has tasked Elon Musk to head a commission to reduce US Federal Spending by $2 Trillion per year. The last US budget under Biden is $6.75 Trillion. The defense portion of that budget is $849.8 billion. Defense cuts are coming. Since China is now the US’s main defense concern, cuts will have to come in European/NATO defense. Trump’s argument will be that Europe should pay for its own defense. Most of Europe still refuses to do so. A confrontation is coming.

    • Its not just about money, its capabilities Europe will take a decade to built the intelligence assets the US has access to. Asnd a war in Europe will quickly descend in tactical nukes especially if Europe has nothing to counter other than strategic nukes. Again Europe relies heavily on the US in this area.

  11. A common fund from all NATO European nations could greatly increase numbers of A330 tanker, P8 and AEW
    Transport auxiliary corps and ammunition stockpiles.
    There are enough fighters, frigates, destroyers and arguable SSK, SSN and with Poland uplifting , enough armour and artillery mass as it stands, getting that up to near war readiness seems to be the problem. A common fund to increase readiness, flight hours, large scales exercises. Spanish, and med NATO forces should be compelled to deploy and rotate to the baltics and Scandinavia to improve mass on the flanks. They need to plan to fight in snow and ice , not sit in the sun.

    • Whilst I agree..you have to look at the shocking response in Spain to the flooding and deaths of probably 2250 (250 confirmed, +2000 still unaccounted for) of their own citizens.
      Where were the Spanish military? No helicopters, no heavy engineering vehicles, bog all troops deployed. It was only when their king got pelted by mud that the government reluctantly sent more forces personnel. These are worrying signs and show we can’t rely on the likes of Spain to help safeguard European NATO.

  12. Fine, but stop treating the UK as a irrelevant partner – you are either willing to do a fair deal or you aren’t – it’s not difficult

    • Who said they are not? In a negotiation both sides keep what they are really willing to compromise on secret and it’s a long game of haggling, with each side trying to get the best deal for themselves.

      Boris was constantly talking about breaking international law and not implementing his own deal, so we are not a good faith actor in any future negotiations, and it will take time to reverse that. Until then it will he hard getting any deal improvements as the EU will be worried what will happen if the Conservatives get back in

  13. EU want the UK to help defend them and give them money – whilst at same time allowing asylum seekers to wander across the EU ( with criminal facilitation) to get to UK…..AND trying to kill our sandeels!

    SAVE OUR SANDEELS! 😂

  14. It’s not so long ago that Europe decided to punish the UK for Brexit.
    That was their choice. To act like spiteful children.
    Now when Europe again feels threatened by another dictator.
    They expect us to forget that it was Europe’s massive inefficiencies, systemic tax evasion by the Greeks, Italians and others. Perhaps the end of the rebate and certainly unregulated immigration completely changing the culture of our towns and cities that collectively caused Britons to say enough is enough.
    What short, very selective memories the French and Germans have. As well as all the others, who jumped on that bandwagon.
    Starmer and every one of his supporters who chose never to serve and who know little of or about HM Forces, yet who gladly accepted the protection provided by others, must accept that the first duty of government is defence. And that that duty must only be exercised by providing the best training, equipment and terms and conditions that money can buy. If you wish to send young men and women in harms way, in your place.
    The British make do defence policies of every conflict since the Great War must stop.
    Every government minister and appointee from the Whips and PPS’s must serve in a combat arm for at least two weeks a year. As a base grade enlisted soldier, sailor or airman.
    As to committing forces to Nato or any other collective means of deterrence. We ought to reintroduce an element of real politik in such discussions.
    We cannot commit more than minimal forces, without a better economic position.
    We will not redevelop a sufficiently improved economic position without the trade deals we need from the US and EU and especially in the case of the EU; all talk and deeds of retribution must stop, from the English Channel to Gibraltar.
    We cannot continue to be so weak as to allow others to cherry pick where and when to collaborate.
    Sadly, I believe that without a conviction politician like Margaret Thatcher, we are destined to continue to decline. Margaret got much wrong. But she did take back the country from union control. And I believe that she did also achieve much in Europe.
    Our country needs widespread reform. From the monarchy to motorways.
    Or as our American friends of convenience would say, ‘from soup to nuts’.

    • I find it interesting that you bring up Starmer as the current state of our armed forces lies entirely at the feet of the Tory part and their 14 years of allowing it to become hollowed out and unfocused.

      But then neither May, Johnson, Sunak nor Truss ever served either, so maybe that’s is an issue….. personally I doubt it, I think it’s simply that they thought satisfying their own base was a more pressing issue than ensuring the defence of this country, a role which some would argue is a government’s most important role.

      However this is spilt milk and crying over it helps no one. It’s time for us to point to things like criminal data sharing and Galileo and tell the EU if we want to make Europe stronger we need to sort it now. The economic pill will be harder for them to swallow but there are plenty of practical things that will be beneficial that could be done easily with no harm to either party.

      • I mentioned Starmer because he is the current Prime Minister. It is he who must make macro choices on defence. I did not attribute the hollowing out of our defence capabilities to any one political party. I doubt that anyone has ‘clean hands’ including the General Staff.
        If you were suggesting that it was I who was crying over spilt milk, then I would suggest that you read what I wrote as many times as necessary for you to understand that I was only looking forward.
        How we got to where we are is a completely different conversation and not one mentioned in the article above.

  15. With the change of president in the USA, With one man calling the shots, think back to his past history, his close ties to Putin , makes him a threat to Europe, because his word sets the stage for his yes men to do his bidding, or Putins bidding. EUROPE can use the threat of atomic weapons too, one hit on Moscow, will capitulate the Russian sting, and the dictator would need to explain to his citizens why they are in the position they are, even now in this day and age the Russian citizens could be informed of the truth, the lies of there dictator would be unravelled, remember the world war two leaflet drops?? The population would at last receive the truth. EUROPE, you are not entirely alone, others outside of Europe will follow your lead. Two angry old men cannot hold the word to ransom!!

  16. Uk produced more arms by tge end of ww2 than all tge nations on earth. Uk ca. Do it again. I think British and Germans are best fighters as well as Japan. I think a united Europe military would be very very formidable indeed

  17. Its predicted Europe and in particular Germany is going into recession with Trumps tariffs. Not going argue about the tariffs right or wrong. But most economists predict Europe’s going to take a hit with shrinking GDP and further pressure as China will increase export drive to Europe due high US tariffs further competing with domestics product. Reduced GDP will hit defence budgets on the continent.

    Of course UK is in a position where it could avoid these tariffs if it plays a good hand, One view is there will countries like Australia, UK, Korea, Japan who many not get hit with the blanket tariffs being suggested. But Europe and China are very much in the crosshairs.

    • On the one hand Trump will push NATO members to pay their fair share and from the other hand he will hit the EU with tariffs. The countries who are in both and haven’t been pulling there weight financially on defence are in the shit. Glad that doesn’t include us.

  18. Relying on the yanks has caused us trouble in the past, assuming they will support us has nearly lost us everything more than once. There are millions in half a dozen countries living in shit and fear after trusting the yanks, Afghanistan being just one. That NATO is dependent on the yanks makes it pointless, even more than the UN. In Europe we all need to defend ourselves and this means not giving billions away for climate change or aid in other countries, not spending billions in diversity woke bullshit and not importing everything. We need urgently to lower energy prices build more nuclear and coal power stations, invest in British industry and build our armed forces equipping them with British uniforms, weapons, food etc. We are probably too late already but we need to start and to do so means ejecting both labour and conservatives from the houses of parliament, taking back control from judges and quangos and stripping the overweight Russia living UK hating civil service out of ths country into exile

    • “ejecting both labour and conservatives from the houses of parliament, taking back control…”

      Presumably meaning the country voting in the Reform Party at the next election to get Farage as PM.

      • I dont really care, I would elect the monster raving loony party ahead of the current two.
        Why the hell we dont elect more ‘independents’ I dont know, people who dont ‘obey’ in order to climb the back pocket filling greasy pole

        • I was only half joking and not having a pop at you Dave.
          As we’ve spent hundreds of millions, according to press reports,
          In Rwanda already. It seems a shame to let all of this vast expense
          go to waste. Oh, hold up. Apologies. I forgot which country I’m living
          in for a second.

          • I know precisely what you mean, heard they spent 800million getting planning permissions for another thames crossing, 800 million and not one spade full of earth moved, we are run by people whose whole purpose in life is to enrich themselves, sadly it doesnt matter whether it is a blue or red rosette.

  19. I tried to buy a st George’s cross for remembrance Sunday but couldn’t find one anywhere, so I bought a French one and painted a red cross on it.
    I heard the Germans where selling some second hand Italian rifles, never been fired and only dropped once.
    The Spanish navy are commissioning glass bottomed boats so they can see the rest of their navy while they sail around.
    I have no doubt when the war comes, true to form we will lose every battle until the last one. 😉❤️✌️

  20. This meeting between German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius and French Defence Minister Sébastien Lecornu highlights a significant shift in Europe’s approach to its own security and defence capabilities. Both ministers emphasized the importance of Europe assuming a stronger role in managing its defence, rather than relying primarily on external allies. This proactive stance marks an important step toward a more self-reliant European defence structure.

    Their commitment to engage with other key European nations—including the UK, Poland, and Italy—indicates a desire to build broader regional consensus and cooperation. By seeking input from a range of countries, Germany and France are showing an intention to create a united and collaborative defence front within Europe.

    Germany’s endorsement of Pistorius’s comments underscores the critical nature of Franco-German cooperation in this vision. His statement reinforces the idea that European freedom and security are tied to the continent’s own capacity and determination to defend them, suggesting that the upcoming discussions will focus on solidifying Europe’s defence alliances and capabilities in a rapidly evolving global landscape.

  21. I was under the impression we are all NATO members….

    France and Germany wish to create an alternative to NATO run by the EU who want their own military. I have nothing against European military cooperation… but undermining NATO is not the way to go.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here