The interim anti-ship missile will fill the gap between Harpoon retiring and the ‘Future Cruise/Anti–Ship Weapon’ entering service.
Progress on the interim missile appears to be slow however, with the 2023 in service date fast aproaching.
Jeremy Quin, Minister of State for the Ministry of Defence, said last year:
“The Royal Navy has set the requirements for a Surface-to-Surface Guided Weapon (SSGW) to ensure they maintain the ability to deter and defeat enemy warships. A competition is now taking place and on current plans, subject to funding, we expect bids to provide a solution to SSGW, by mid-2021.“
That has not happened. However, in March this year he said:
“The interim surface-to-surface guided weapon will replace the Royal Navy’s existing Harpoon missile capability. There was a healthy response from Industry to the Pre-Qualification Questionnaire and we are planning to proceed to issue an Invitation to negotiate to the down selected bidders later this year.”
Today, Quin said:
“A timescale for an initial operating capability would be determined during a future Surface to Surface Guided Weapon (SSGW) system procurement process. An Invitation to Negotiate has not been released and it would be inappropriate to comment further on future programme timelines.”
Does this mean that the Ministry of Defence is letting this lip in favour of extening Harpoon support? In January fo this year, Babcock International announced a further contract extension has been agreed to continue in-service support to the Harpoon Missile System for the Royal Navy.
Background to the ‘Interim’ anti-ship missile
In 2019, the Ministry of Defence notified bidders of its intention to purchase an interim anti-ship missile as current Harpoon stocks reach end of life and a replacement not being due until 2030.
The Ministry of Defence issued a Prior Information Notice (PIN) for a “Next Generation Surface Ship Guided Weapon (SSGW)” to equip Royal Navy vessels. The notice is as follows:
“Short description of nature and scope of works or nature and quantity or value of supplies or services:
The Authority has a possible future requirement to procure a next generation ship launched anti-ship weapon system for use within training and operational roles with the Royal Navy. First delivery of the ship installed equipment would be required by December 2022 and first delivery of missiles would be required by December 2023. The potential contract will be for 4 years, with the potential of option years to follow (up to 9 more years), the potential contract would cover the following activities:
Manufacture and delivery of the weapon system to be delivered in Financial Year 2023/2024.
Installation of the weapon system onto Royal Navy ships. Provision and support of interface requirements to assist ships installation. Provision of train the trainer courses. Maintenance and technical support for the operational upkeep of the weapon system. Should this requirement proceed, a Contract Notice will be published in due course with more precise requirements and interested parties will be invited to complete an online pre-qualification questionnaire, which will be measured against selected criteria in terms of commercial and technical requirements.
The technical requirement will be base lined against the user requirements and include questions regarding:
— battlefield effect,
— terminal effect,
— interoperability: climatic and environment,
— munition sensitivity,
— system and design safety,
— human factors,
— deployability,
— training,
— sustainability and supply chain,
— Capability resilience and reliability.
Evidence will be required at the PQQ stage to demonstrate the weapon system can meet the Authority’s requirement set. Estimated value excluding VAT: Range: between 100 000 000 and 200 000 000 GBP”
When Harpoon exits service in 2023 there will be a serious capability gap until the potential entry into service of FC/ASW programme in 2030 if the ‘interim’ missile project does not happen, warned a report published by the Defence Committee.
What is the Future Cruise /Anti–Ship Weapon?
The FC/ASW aims to replace Storm Shadow/SCALP air launched cruise missile in operational service in the UK and France as well as Exocet anti-ship missile in France and Harpoon anti-ship missile in the UK.
Last year we reported that two years into the FC/ASW (Future Cruise/Anti-Ship Weapon) Concept Phase, MBDA announced the successful achievement of its ‘Key Review’, jointly conducted with Defence Equipment and Support (DE&S) and the Direction Générale de l’Armement (DGA), the British and French armament procurement agencies.
“The conclusion of this Key Review makes it possible to select the most promising missile concepts in order to meet the requirements expressed by both nations’ armed forces. The conclusions of this study will also make it possible to establish the road maps for maturing the technologies required, and to launch any follow on assessment phase. This new phase will demonstrate the necessary maturity of the weapon system and its key components, to be followed by the development and production phase in the 2024 timeframe, so that current weapons systems can be replaced in accordance with required timescales.”
It was also stated recently by Quin that the total spend to date on Future Cruise/Anti-Ship Weapon and associated activities by the Ministry of Defence is £95 million.
What are the options?
NavyLookout has the answer to that question here, we recommend you read their article on this.
Contenders for the Royal Navy’s interim anti-ship missile requirement
Hmm, more delays. Stupid, stupid, stupid…
This time is seems that there is some faffing going on within the MoD / RN. It is an interim missile for gods sake. Just buy a reasonable weapon that at least matches the current Harpoon capabilities and focus on the FC/ASW for all the gucci extras…
The RN needs to get a grip and get the damn requirement written and published. I bet some idiot is pushing for an all singing and dancing mega weapon… The key word is INTERIM…
Damn, me blood pressure is rising again.
CR
I can see a lot of boys on here getting ‘triggered’ by that article CR, you’ll not be the only one. 😂
PMSL… 😂
CR, Need to remember all the prats in Westminster are always only INTERIM they will never be around when anything is finally delivered…….most of the time not even from when they say we want this to the decision point.
Hi Steve,
I know, that is why I have argued that there should be procurement specialists in uniform. People who have worked in industry and understand the challenges faced by engineers when the classics scholars in Civil Service and military start waving their magic wands around expecting instant results…
These specialists would need the authority to nail down requirements, ensure suitable flexibility is designed in and then get the damn things delivered. They could serve in frontline units as part of their ‘basic’ training and participate in ‘refresher’ exercises to maintain some level on authority within the units, but would be answerable to the DE&S or similar Joint unit.
We should be able to buy a new ship or tank in under 10years and an off the shelf missile in 3 to 5 years tops.
The MoD / military procurement decisons makers are rubbish. They have wasted £billions across all 3 services, but they have effectively disarmed the army all together! Not a single armoured vehicle has been successfully delivered to the Army frontline since 1997!!!
Buying kit is easy. Decide want you want, buy what you want. Simples! The trick is don’t change your mind half way through..! Grr.
CR
“why I have argued that there should NOT procurement specialists in uniform.”
😀
OK Daniele, this requires a seriously considered response so I’ll have get to you on this – stuff to do in the real world 🙂
Cheers CR
Oh. I maybe misunderstood your post? I thought you were making the point of being against military in procurement roles, which I was agreeing with, and had written “in uniform” in reference to them.
I agree, I think I read your meaning wrong.
Hi Daniele,
In effect, yes that was what I am argueing. However, the military would not accept that for very good reasons, and frankly my experience in procurement highlighted a need for military input and participation in certain critical phases of the process. Civilians with the best will in the world cannot possibly understand the needs of the armed forces on the battlefield. Working with the military is a huge positive.
However, I would not let them anywhere near the management or technical leadership of a procurement project and certainly keep them well away from contract negotiations! They are not trained and or experienced in those fields and why should they be!
Where they are very good is highlighting their need and wants, explaining how they do stuff but most crucuially explaining how they might use something new and gucci, especially if they see it as having a serious military application.
They are also very good at fixing stuff and letting you know if the support package isn’t right. They have their ways of doing stuff learnt on the battlefield. The great thing is they are usually only too pleased when ‘boffins’ ask for their input. Better still when you give them early heads up of what is really coming their way – provided its real and clearly useful – they are seriouly grateful and appreciative. We gave the services an early heads up on what became the F35 and they were very surprised, pleased and slightly disbelieving of what was being developed. However, it gave them a head start for developing conops, rather than wait for the first examples to enter service and then spend the next 10 years learning to get the best out of it!
Likewise, civilian techies are better placed at understanding the march of technology because it is what they do! Mind you there are some techies I wouldn’t let anywhere near management or even technical leadship of a procurement programme. Some are very much better suited to lab and or design work. It is often what they enjoy the most, which is a crucial point to note.
Leadership and management roles need people with social skills to ‘lead’. They need the ability to quickly grasp the operational and techical issues with sufficient clarity to keep things on track and spot fails long before they become an issue.
These are specialists in their own right but are overlooked. It is not merely about project management, you need a generalist kind of mind one that can bone up on the various specialities involved in a given project and visualise how it all fits together. This in turn means they can ask the telling questions in a timely manner which allows them to hold it all together. On really complex projects e.g. SSN’s, this may need a small close knit team especially given the complicated supply chain that needs to be monitored and Quality Assessed.
The problem is there is no adequate ‘label’ for this skill set – a generalist who specialises. It is not a daft as it sounds. The generalism comes from the ability to relate to a wide range of people and skill sets and to pull it all together an dmake sense of it all – no easy task and it would need to be at an appropriate aggregated level. The specialism comes on the output side which essentially is project management decision making based on operational and technical inputs. A Generalist making Specialist decisions.
The point is that these project management engineers (I’ll call them to highlight that they have the ability to understand and control complex engineering situations) are more than just managers and they are key to success. They are not specifying, designing or building stuff, but they control the whole system.
The key difference is that I believe that this type of person is required on the MoD side of the contract as well as on the contractor side (where in fact most of successful projects have their techically capable project managers). On the MoD side they would have the authority to nail things down and then ensure stuff was delivered on time and to cost. In effect their role would be to agree risk sharing with the contractor at the start and then hold the MoD its delivery schedule and thump the contractor hard if they failed to deliver against the agreed contract.
I think the main difference between your position and mine is that I would put them in uniform to reasure the military. However, they would not have to join on the bottom of the ladder as they would need to be experienced industry people. They would have to do basic training of some sort (they’ll need to knwo how and who to salute at least), but in effect they would be noncoms or civilians in uniform. This would be quite a step for the military to get its head around I should think, but it is one that is reportedly being discussed in senior military circles.
Whilst I would select and appoint these Project Management Engineers to areas of speciality e.g. armoured vehicles, I would definately NOT cap badge them as RTR for example. Instead, I would set up a Joint Procurement Command that answered directly to the Joint Chiefs / Ministers. These people would have real power and top cover possibly with a second sea lord level flag officer at the top table, but with it serious responsibility.
Critically, they would be identifiable, responsible with authority and they would need to be very capable. They would be high powered and well rewarded roles and performance would be expected.
Of course, politicians and or the Treasury could still torpedo the process, but then I would make sure parliament could stick its’ nose in and the project management engineers would have sufficient backing and legal cover that they could spill the beans when needed – but that is a whole different debate.
I think the civilians in uniform is where we differ, but with this I am reflected where we are – I wouldn’t start that’s for sure.
Of course, this is fantasy procurement stuff and could ever really happen. 🙂
Cheers CR
Morning CR.
Some right up.
“I think the main difference between your position and mine is that I would put them in uniform to reassure the military.”
You’re mistaken. I don’t have a position, and as I said above I misread your meaning in your original post thinking you’d written it wrong…when you hadn’t….never mind!
Ah, thanks Mate,
And sorry 🙂
Cheers CR
Agreed the only parts of the process the armed forces should be involved in are the initial specification and user acceptance testing.
speciallist? we’re talking about the u.k armed forces its never had specialists and if they’re real they should be scrapped.
The thing about procurement is that it’s a specialist function all its own.
As for having subject experts running a procurement all I will say is F%&k no. As a specialist on my own field I’ve been involved in lots of procurements and I will observe the following:
1) Two specialists in a field will never agree and end up arguing the weeds until split up by the procurement expert in the room.
2) If the procurement gets messed up in even the tiniest way, low will the loser take you to court and make you run the whole bloody thing again. Hence the need for the boring swat procurement expert.
Your specialists with knowledge of the need should set the spec and then be part of the procurement board, but you always follow the advice and guidance of the grownup in the room or it’s court case city blues.
Hi Jonathan,
I think I have misled you. I was using the word specialist to describe the procurement expert to use your phrase. Same meaning different word. Otherwise I suspect we would agree as I well recognise the ‘debates’ you describe. Experts or specialists always think their area is the answer to the world’s problems. As a generalist I fundementally disagree – the answer is more often than not a compromise. Seems to really irritate some people 🙂
Hope that clears it up.
Cheers CR
Yes compromises are the way to go, trouble is most people see black and white, shades of grey are so very boring. I’ve got great respect for those that have to find the compromise. I’m very lucky in that my present specific line of work is to highlight the black and white within complexity And then offer the balances so others can make moral and ethical judgements, I’m what’s called a professional Cassandra.
Hi Jonathan,
Sounds like you need to be diplomat as much as anything. Lots of luck and respect…
Another issue is that in the West we like to resolve contradictions, failing to recognise that contradictions are part of life and in some cases represent sensible checks and balances in a system… Try arguing that through with a bunch of entrenched fundementalists (not necessary of the religious type more of the black or white world view type, if you catch my meaning?).
Cheers CR
Observing MOD procurement from the benches:
1) We need a Committee to oversee this project so let’s table a meeting to decide the criteria for being on the committee.
2) Right we have the criteria so now let’s plan a meeting to decide the members of the Committee
3) Right we have the Committee to oversee the project, now let’s decide their terms of reference.
4) Right we have the terms of reference now let’s plan the agenda for the first meeting of the oversight Committee. By the way, what are we overseeing?
(Normal person – That Norwegian Missile looks like a good solution. Tried, tested, it works and an easy fit on our ships. Let’s buy a few as an interim until our new missile comes along – Job done).
MOD – Idiot, there’s a proper process for such things! Another Gin Nigel?
We have just been through a global pandemic, that is still ongoing. During which the government has had to throw huge amounts of cash at workers. The national copper’s were already empty before, due to the huge national debt, and now even more so. Realistically there probably isn’t the cash to spend right now on equipment, so anything that can be pushed back will be.
The replacement should have been ordered years ago however, so no excuses on that front, but as always no one will be held responsible.
National debt is now 106% of GDP and rising by the day. Now Professor Pantsdown and the Sage committee (perhaps an oxymoron the use of “Sage” in this context) have now suggested we may have a further lockdown in the Winter. I mean to save a tiny percentage of the elderly and those that are fat and unhealthy of their own volition or willfully won’t get a vaccine (plus an unsubstantially small number of young and healthy people). In war we often do calculations on the cost/benefit analysis of losing troops or lose a battle to save the way has anyone done any cost/benefit analysis of saving such people and the cost to the wider UK? Maybe I’m selfish but personally even if I was in the figures of deaths then I would be content to know I hadn’t bankrupted the country just to save me – the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few or the one. Have you heard of anything more stupid and inane in your life in wasting this much money to save so few people? I seriously do question whether IQ’s, in in general, within the UK have dropped substantially since the 1950s. If the Sage committee have their way they will only be happy when the bankrupt the entire UK. In addition I read the news that the NHS will absorb the entire NI increase and they still say they are £3.5Billion worse off after the increase. I think Enoch said it well when he said “Whom the gods would destroy they first make mad”. I’m literally pulling my hair out at the level of shear incompetence within the UK. Maybe it’s just me but this feels wrong on so many multiple levels. Please tell me I’m not going crazy!
I think you dropped your tin foil hat
Jeeze-oh, lets hope you don’t get elderly or develop a future health issue that puts you at risk, eh!
A tiny percentage of people dying is great, until it’s one of your family or yourself making up part of that “tiny percentage”.
I see Douglas, you want to stop transportation because people die in accidents.
False equivalence – that’s just silly my man!
Agreed Douglas. As of today we have over 1000 admissions to hospitals per day for Covid – up over 300 per day in the last 7 days. The point of any future measures (were a resistant variant to strike) is to stop the overwhelming of the health service which will result in much greater suffering and death in non-Covid cases through catastrophic failure to treat illness and accident properly. See India where they ran out of Oxygen supplies entirely. No surgical operations of any kind possible as a result. Try Hanging on mate until we can buy some and fly it in!
How many people have you personally seen die of really nasty infectious disease or some other nasty. Have you ever looked into the eyes of a person dying in pain and fear, knowing all you can do is hold their hand then comfort their broken relatives. seeing one is hard, twos Nasty, 1000+ gives you a profound understanding of the meaning a lost life and a really nasty anger issue with people who take Anyone’s life lightly.
it’s not a small number of people dying of this disease, even now, today still in the summer ( the most difficult time of year for a Respiratory virus to spread) with our populations immunity at the best it’s likely ever to be, we have almost 8000 people in hospital with covid, 190 people died and around 7-14 % of all cases will get some form of long covid, our health system is on its knees and as close to catastrophic failure as I’ve ever seen ( and it’s summer…which is…just scary).
Even if we just see a steady state of 100-150 deaths per day, that’s that’s 36000 to 54000 dead people a year, when you think a really nasty flu year only kills 20,000 souls. The average nhs bed usage for people with a respiratory disease is 1000 in any one day in summer and 4000 in winter….we have hit 8000 in summer.
The question you need to ask yourself, how are you with you or a loved one dying of covid, because it’s waiting for you, this year or 10 years or 20 years time, one day you will be weaker and older or you immune system will be a bit battered, are you willing to be a sacrifice?
Well said
Really? We are now at herd immunity. What more do people want? I really do worry about people like you and what our grandparents would think about this post war set of generations. Indeed what would the post WW1 generation think that suffered 50 million dead in total from the flu pandemic? They would wonder why you are all hiding under your bed sheets. No wonder China will rule the world with people like you are the helm…
you really don’t get I do you, the 1918 flu killed around 228,000 in the U.K. in 1918/19 but like all pandemic flu it burned for a couple of years and was gone. Covid 19 has killed around 150,000 up to now. But covid 19 is not the flu, Covid is never ever going away, immunity to corona viruses does not last and this virus is very good at knocking out nasty mutations. Covid 19 is never ever going away and we will never have long lasting immunity, that means hundreds of thousands of hospital bed days every year, ongoing rolling vaccine development and programmes for ever as well as an ongoing death rate that not likely to be less than 50,000 every year for your whole life, with 7-14% of people with symptomatic Covid getting some form of long covid.
Im pleased you can just get on with it, But I’m the lazy NHs worker working 70 hour Weeks in a health system that’s literally falling to pieces under the strain, with the knowledge and training to know just how fucked we all actually are.
Have a nice day and can you guess how much you private ITU bed will cost you when you get Covid when your old… lets just say you would be selling your house.
To be honest in the 1918 flu (another Chinese pandemic from just after WW1) 50 milllion people died and do you think our great grandparents stopped their lives – hell know they didn’t as they had greater guts and determination than the baby boom generation that quite frankly is starting to look selfish in the extreme. I think you, and others like you, are the reason this country is declining and in debt – for the last thirty years. If it happens to me I will accept my fate knowning I wasn’t a burden to society as I stated clearly in my post. More people died through catching covid-19 in hospitals and others unwlling to accept the flu jab. Now we are mostly jabbed it is time to get on with our lives and stop hidding under our bed sheets like timid mice. I want my life back and so do the majority of British people and we are unwilling to wait for people like you. I’ve been double jabbed so I’m happy to expose myself to a disease which won’t kill you in the majority of cases. Those that lived an unhealthy lifestyle or are elderly need to take the jab and then everyone else get on with their lives.
Sorry that’s balls, the 1918 pandemic was an avian flu that most likely the made leap to humans in Europe and was then spread by returning soldiers to the US and across Europe. It was not a Chinese flu. Read some actual research papers before speaking rubbish on a subject you clearly have no knowledge of.
Please read the following for the origin of the 1918 pandemic:
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/adventure/article/140123-spanish-flu-1918-china-origins-pandemic-science-health
Andrew that is not a scientific article from a peer reviewed publication, is a speculation piece by a historian. Interesting in is discussion and possibilities but it does not changes the decades of scientific research on this subject that has provided evidence ( of the scientific type) that the 1918 pandemic started in Europe.
Time we also stopped hero worshipping the NHS. It’s a poor service delivered in an exceptionally poor way. Try a different system as I have in Japan and then you understand we pay over the odds for the NHS which has essentially will cause more deaths through delayed operations because GPs are still not back at work even though they were the first to be double jabbed…I would imagine you are one of those that clapped the NHS…
Bloody hell Andrew, that’s a bit strong!
Many NHS staff put their collective arses on the line when the pandemic started and still work hard keeping Covid under control.
The vaccination programme itself is an amazing national undertaking, something we should all be very proud of.
Most would agree that the NHS requires substantial root and branch reform, to ensure money is spent in the most effective way. The problem is, any talk of serious reform is always shouted down by the Unions and the Labour party, who howl privatisation from the roof tops. The reality is, if I need an an operation ( just had one as it happens at a lovely private hospital, courtesy of the NHS) who cares if it’s NHS, or private, as long as it’s done and free at the point of need?
Jonathan has touched on the duplicated and massively overblown management and commissioning structure before and it’s a good place to start.
It’s the same with the Police, huge duplication of command structure, it’s high time we axed regional forces and just had a National Police force with regional HQ’s …. You can well imagine the uproar with Police force unions then, as massively duplicated and cushy jobs for the boys disappeared!
The equivalent is each County has its own army, with a Commander in Chief and full command and logistics structure, that would be insane wouldn’t it ….
My cousin works for the NHS and got her jab well before others in more need. She is fat, smokes and drinks so had to self isolate as she was at major risk. I was totally ashamed of her for taking the jab when she didn’t go to work. I now use a private GP as my NHS GP doesn’t do face-to-face meetings. I find a private GP more motivated, listens to you properly and if you need a scan it goes done the next day. My brother works in the NHS as well and even he agreed many NHS workers (especially management) are lazy and overplayed. It needs massive reform and not a George medal. That may sound strong but sometimes the truth does hurt. Japan is the model the UK needs to adopt.
I wouldn’t argue re GP’s, I’ve a particularly good local surgery, but many do seem to be very happy to continue keep the public at arms length!
GP practices are literally dying, we forgot to train the appropriate number of GPS over the last 20 years and now we have run out… so practices are literally dying and primary care as you and I have known it is almost gone. I spend most of my time trying to keep collapsing practices running for as long as possible. most GPS are now old and want to retire, they are independent business and not owned by the NHS so when they pack their bags and say “piss off this is not worth it” I’m not running a business with hundreds of thousands of pounds of liability and the chance of lossing everything just to earn 50k a year and be abused. We loss the service and there are no young GPS willing to pay the price of a house to buy into get only average money and a lifetime of abuse and worry.
I can only go by my local practice Jonathan, like I said, very good and all young GP’s!
It’s gradually taken over most of the old GP surgeries where I live and it’s a breath of fresh air, marked improvement over the old surgery!
I’m surprised at the £50k a year, I thought Cameron gave them a massive pay rise, closer to £100k, as part of a change of contract??
Hi john, what most people don’t realise is that GPS are not employed by the NHS. Almost all GP practices are Independent businesses that use a partnership model ( unlimited liability) The partners are mainly General practitioners with some having nurse or practice managers, who own the business.
These businesses then employ all the other staff they need ( salaried GPS, nurses, managers, reception staff, clearness etc).They also have to pay for locum cover for sickness, holidays etc, pay the utilise and rent etc.
The business has a core contract with the local NHS commissioner to provide GP services ( paid an agreed amount each year per head), with the local system contracting for extras it wants the practice to do ( so warfarin monitoring again paid by each person monitored).
The GPS who own the business can then take drawings, profitability depends on: how sick your population is and how many locum,agency staff you had to pay for ( locum agency’s stiff the practices as there are less Dr and Nurses by a long way than clinical sessions).
At the low end of the scale I know partner GP partners with decades of experience who earn no more that £47,000 ( while working 10 hour days) at the top end I see GPS who earn up to £125, but they are lucky in their population and keep their locum costs low ( but that’s rare) most are in the £50,000 to £75,000 range.
Most young GPs refuse to become a partner, due to the financial buy in ( you have to Pay to become a partner) and the unlimited liability, what we are finding now is you end up with a Practices that should have 4-5 GP partners run by a single GP partner who’s last man standing left running a business dependent on locums, making piss all money but who cannot retire or get out because he/she will be responsible for the redundancy payments for a staff of 30-50 people ( and will end up bankrupt in retirement).
But we can’t get away from the model because the Partnership model keeps all the financial liability away from the nhs and is cheaper by far than any primary care services offered by Virgin etc ( who demand far more than standard contract to take on the primay care of a population) and the clincial commissioning groups are only given the funding to pay for the partnership model.
add in the fact we have somthing like 10,000 to few GPS even for the very lean U.K. model of healthcare it’s a bit of a bugger.
The politicians have know it was all falling apart for for a few decades, but did not have the moral fibre to tell the British public they had spent the last 50 years underpaying for their healthcare to the tune of a few hundred billion and a bill was due. Covid has basically hammered the nail in the coffin of the decline ( buildings rot, new machines are needed, the population has grown, we are all living decades longer, new treatment costs more, saved lives cost more than dead people and staff trained 40 years ago are all retiring).
The UK health system has always been resourced on the just enough to get us through this year without the public blaming the government mentality. But now we have let it break ( and it had broken down) and it’s going to take at least a decade of work to put it back together again.
As ever, thanks for the illuminating reply Jonathan. Certainly, like social care, it’s a can that just keeps getting kicked down the road.
A new cross party agreement needs to be reached, we need to decide what we expect the NHS to do and where to draw the line, to let the private sector work.
It simply can’t do everything, you could double the budget and it still wouldn’t be enough….
I do find it depressing that the Government comes up with a workable plan for social care and the NHS via NI increases and Labour immediately criticise it!
First sensible attempt to do something about this for decades and Labour cry foul…..
Yes John I agree, it’s actually the very first time any government has actually turned around and said “look guys it’s not nice and we don’t want to do it but….” so I’m a bit upset that labour could not have been a bit more constructive ( modern politics is alway more about points scoring not outcomes) .
My only concern really is on the balance of settlement between adult social care and the NHS. Even though I work for the nhs and would love more budget for Primary Care I recognise the greatest increase in demand For Primary care ( and other nhs services) is because of a lack of social care and the bulk of the new funds needs to go there as early as possible. It’s far more sensible to pay a Plummer to fix the leak than spend the money on a bigger bucket. But it’s a very complex question of balance with no completely correct answer, so we pays our money and work through who needs what when, and keep our fingers crossed we got it somewhat right.
Spot on Jonathan…..
I will tell that to all my colleagues most of whom work way more hours than they are payed for. If I add up the Unpaid hours I’ve give to care for patients or finish a staff appraisal, listen to one of my team in tears.
The nhs is not the best service in the world by a long way, but every internationals study recognises it’s just about the most efficient and and equitable, I happen to know because This overpaid nhs worker not only works about 15 hours a week extra with no pay but also studies in his spare time to keep current.
Your view your right and maybe one day we will have the private healthcare system you clearly crave and I will be laughing my arse off on twice the pay I am now with an insane overtime rate ( because unlike you I know what my skills are worth on the international market and it’s around $130,000 dollars a year, which is well over twice what our most efficient NHS pays me, so bring on the private healthcare….I will take your money and bill you for every intervention, until you run out of money then you can well… die in pain wishing for a cradle to the grave free at the point of delivery service.
I’m actually getting paid $200,000 when I move to the US next month and I get free healthcare on top from an excellent private provider. If you were really worth $130k you would do what I’m doing. Instead you moan about your poor pay and long hours. Personally I think what you say is non-sense. I have many family members in the NHS and I and many others know it’s the worst service on all measures and needs to be more like Japan – a mixture of private and public funds. GPs are also earning £250k in some cases like my NHS GP practice in London. They have no issues recruiting GPs. You speak utter tosh in my opinion which I’m entitled to have.
Well off you pop then, I think your talking so much ball about a subject you know nothing about, have fun with the US health system, as anyone who actually knows anything about health will tell you it’s an international joke.
What happens when you lose your job in the states, no more healthcare, income. Don’t come crawling back here wanting nhs help as you have clearly said it’s pointless. I really hope you never fall on hard times and have to eat you own words
I’m not moaning about my poor pay. I’m highlighting that you calling NHS stafff lazy and overpaid, is not only an insult but is plain wrong and actually contemptible ( come back to me on lazy and over paid when after working 8 hours sold in a busy ED spend another 6 hours battling to save a child’s life, when you were due home four hour previously).
I do my job because I want to make a difference and the pay is fine. I work the hours because I want to keep Primary care working for the population and when doing clinical active so that person in front of me does not suffer due to the lack of staff, just so I can get home to my children, wife and have dinner with them.
lets be honest we can both have our views but actually your insulting a million hard working NHS staff is being a total shit.
Look Jonathan there are some wonderful health care professionals on the ground. However, it’s very patchy and we both know it is true (both from my family who work in the NHS and from experience of being a patient). I think the implementation of the market into the NHS has been a complete disaster. I would be much more happy with a Japanese system where people pay through taxes as well as private as well. They seemed to have got things perfectly implemented and it is a very smooth system (having experienced it myself). The Doctors are motivated, dedicated and hardworking as are the Nurses. The management pay is relatively small and the differential pay between managers. doctors and nurses is not massive. In the UK (across the board) managers are cr*p and this is pretty universal in both the private and public sectors. We pay managers way too much in the UK and we don’t have enough foot soldiers doing the work. We seem to think paying managers massive salaries yields performance benefits when it really doesn’t. If I had one tip for the NHS it would be centralise all purchasing, reduce managers and admin cr*p and focus improved salaries on consultants and nurses. Cut management salaries from £250K per annum to around £100K maximum (a cap in public sector). I could apply the same logic to many private companies in the UK – in short the UK is incredible poor at management!
Hi Andrew, I think we can agree on the internal market, it was a stupid idea to set up a sudo competition process in a system that only really works well if it collaborates.
I don’t disagree with some individuals not being great at their jobs, the nhs like everything promotes you to the level of your incompetence and is stuck with a very stupid promotion process that all depend on a 30min interview not your track record of success.
to be honest execute pay in the NHS is not as high as you think, a chief executive of a CCG with the responsible for care of a million people and a billion pound budget will be on around 150,000. The problem is senior leaders fixation with management consultants and day rate professionals. They come in spend a few months swanning around telling the middle managers and clinical managers what they already know, make a few wrong conclusions write a report for directors ad take away a check for millions, when actually the staff doing the doing know the problems.
But and this is really important to remember, almost all nhs staff are there because they want to make a difference, healthcare systems are the most complex systems ever created by man and literally no one is able to full grasp the vast complexity of how all the bits interact. And no nation on earth has a perfect health system, just the system that suits them.
The U.K. has just about the cheapest system in the western world than focuses on equity and utilitarian Paradigms. our weakness is we don’t resource for personalised Care, our social care system has collapsed and is taking the health system with it, we don’t invest in training appropriate amounts of our own Health care professionals and have depended on steal other countries.
The US probably has the biggest mess to sort our for all health systems. A lack of management control of costs and services by state and federal authorities has created a monster system that takes more funding from the tax base per head than the NHS does, then charges the same again to the individual ( via direct billing or insurance) and still only provides about 70% of the population with anything like a western level of healthcare. But if you have the insurance, understand it’s costing twice as much as British healthcare the acute care is very good, management of chronic care is a disaster as when the insurance and money runs out you sell you house and when that runs out you die.
basically if you want to really get a good understanding of the strengths and weakness of each nations health system you need to get under its skin and look at why the nation has gone that way and what are the limitations it’s put on its health system ( the us spends 14.5 % GDP on health and it’s killing that nations finances). The US commonwealth mirror mirror studies are well worth a look, every few years they do a comparison of 6 wealth nations health systems, it’s a real eye opener.
I think we are on the same page in many ways – perhaps it doesn’t come across like that as I don’t sugar coat my opinions (maybe a defect in my personality). The system needs root an branch reform and there are some good models out there. Getting everyone to pay some means tested up-front fees as well as through general taxation is a good model that the Japanese use extensively. This promotes a healthy respect for when people need and don’t need the service (as you think carefully when you have to pay a small fee). Miss GP appointments for instance, people getting drunk and people that eat unhealthily, smoke or do drugs should all treated as a health issue first and then for persistent bad behaviour with financial penalities (the stick and carrot model). We need much less replication of managerial layers, closing of hospitals that underperform or have low patient numbers and a proper centralised procurement programme nationally that finds the best value for money in terms of both quality and cost. Efficiency has never been really attempted in the NHS and the internal market has become a monster now and needs eliminating completely. You don’t need an internal market to drive down costs you just need healthcare professionals to care as much about the reduction costs and efficiencies as they do about patient welfare.
Don’t disagree on most of that.
now this is a rant, not at you but it’s my brain dump of the key areas needing change:
British culture around healthcare:
One of the big problems the NHS faces especially in ED and primary care, out of hours and ambulance services is abuse of the service, people in the U.K. have a real problem with self care. We as a society need to change our attitude to health, the NHS Needs to be seen not a magic pill but a rare wounderful thing you only call on if you must, health Care system are not a right they are about duty and we all have a duty to preserve them for need only.
after a while staff start to really get irritated and burned out with how so meany people use valuable resources. I’ve had People using ambulances cus their ankle was sore after playing football or they cut a finger, etc then get funny with staff when They are told is just a sore muscle or minor graze and then given a paracetamol and told to go home and rest a bit. one guy I saw even started shouting because I would not order him an emergency ambulance to get him back home to the next town. he had a sore foot after playing football..at the end of the match got changed then called an ambulance to come to ED as he could not walk home, he got both barrels from a very pissed off emergency nurse Practitioner who told him bluntly he had taken the only ambulance in the town ( true) away for 30 mins for a sore foot he had played football on for an hour and if someone had suffers an MI he had probably killed them and no he was not getting an ambulance home.
Ive had someone with a splinter in a finger actually come up and start shouting abuse at me because they had waited an hour ( for a splinter) at the time I was standing outside resus in full PPE with a kids blood literally spattered all down me and just about to go back in after the X-ray…I just stared at her, gestured to all the blood, pointed to the sign on the resus door and walk back in. When you are charged up on adrenaline, walking on the thin line of someone’s life, it’s hard not to really let go( I have uncounted faces burnt into my mind, one lot are the dead and the next are the idiots I would have loved to have punched).
so much of our emergency resources are wasted on broken nails, small cuts, colds etc. In truth a lot of the British public need to learn a bit of shall we say perspective.
At the other end of the scale we are also the worst for reporting long term symptoms of cancer Or symptoms of life threatening illness and almost alway leave it to late ( people who don’t hesitate to seek help for a small cut, will leave signs of prostate cancer until it kills them). I have treated so many people who have shattered their lives ( and cost the nhs a fortune) by waiting to long.
for me cash needs to be spent in educating people how to look after themselves ( schools need to teach basic first aid, what is a serous symptom etc), we also need to put money into making sure frail old people are well feed and looked after, a few quid spent on keeping an older person healthy at home will have massive savings.
last but not least we need to break people’s believe that medicine and healthcare is some sort of miracle, if your old and your body is at the end of its time, we should not be dragging you into an acute hospital bed, pumping you full of drugs or cutting you open. We need to accept dying when it’s your time is ok and instead of spending all the money on medical interventions in your last days of life, literally most of the healthcare spend on a person is in the last few days of life, to extend the suffering a bit more. What the money should be spent on is keeping you healthy for as long as possible and then at the end giving good end of life care to all ( some of the worst moments as a ward nurse is when you have an end of life patient who’s on their own and you know is going to die shortly and you can’t hold their hand because you have a drug round to do).
in regards to structural reform of the NHS, there is one very big problem…. political control. Hospital management, local nhs planning and commissioning ( CCG who plan the care for a county) is all actual pretty efficient in a good portion of the NHS ( some are crap but you always get that). I’ve been a clinician, team leader, governance manager, service design manager and safety lead in every imaginable healthcare setting and even worked in hospital kitchens, as I set out to actually try and fully understand it all, (and not just march strait up the career ladder ) and I can hand on heart I tell you the big problem is centralised control, the department of health and NHSE linked in with a reform cycle based around the ideas of every new minister of state for health who has no clue, the leaders at local level and guys on the ground get bombarded with central instructions ( I did a review of all the guidance from the DOH in covid wave one, it took me a week to read it and tons of it was mutually excused the only senior politician who has had any real understanding of the nhs was hunt, I did call him the devil himself to his face once, but he actually knew his stuff, unlike langsley who debilitated the NHS for a decade ( it was less austerity and almost all the langsley reforms that have been at the heart of the NHS difficulties). The best reform the nhs could have is total local control at a population level ( your average county works), let the people that know an area talk to its population and then have a local plan for how health and social care money is spent ( I would even think about having a directly elected chair of a health area so the public could kick him out if services are crap).
you mentioned staff need to think around finance as well as healthcare, that’s actual the improvement skills we now teach in the NHS. improvement needs to be led by the people that do and can be, better outcomes, better patient satisfaction, happier staff, and cost savings, we try to focus on improvements that provide all four. Trouble is we keep getting told what to do centrally Even if it is not the right thing for sussex, Essex, Somerset, Lancashire but is a lovely fit for London ( yes Londoners have more hospital beds per head and more resources spent on them than anyone else, NHS London is like its own Healy we resources county).
Jonathan that is the best comment I have ever read about the NHS and actually I agree with 110%. Everything you said makes immitable sense to me and on local control and reduce central control I would heartily agree with you. If would vote you as secretary of Health tomorrow.
My GP has been at work throughout the pandemic. She’s phones me every 4 weeks so I’ve had a chat about how this is has effected there workload etc.
U appear to be very heartless. Our society is built around helping the needy and that is meant to keep everyone safe. Maybe America or one of the other countries with a very poor safety net system is where u would prefer to be.
I get the frustration and most of what you write is understandable to start with. Your personal insults and assumptions of people is to far tho
“Our society is built around helping the needy and that is meant to keep everyone safe. “
So you want a concentration camp.
If you don’t create, if you dont produce you are nothing.
It is ironic that with Brexit, UK is getting with less freedom and even more socialist. Looking at British media and Academia do not surprise me, 1984 is for them a manual not a warning.
And historically not really surprising, it is all explained with 2WW Fabian “consensus” that saw UK by 1970’s with only 2/3 of income of the country they help destroy 30 years before: Germany.
I think by and large surprisingly we are on the same page. I hate the management costs and inefficiencies of the NHS and its patchy delivery. A vast majority of healthcare foot soldiers (Doctors and workers) do a great job but to say all do wouldn’t be something I subscribe to as well.
Hi Steve,
Yup, I guess the pandemic makes for a good excuse, but this has all the hallmark of another faff…
It is a interim missile which is due to be replaced in less than 10 or 12 years, so there is no need to really worry about future proofing the capability. It is also an urgent issue for the RN to solve so minds should be focused.
The fact that it is a short term interim capability should make the requirement document relatively easy to produce, but reading between the lines there is no agreed requirements document i.e. there is a bun fight going on. Someone somewhere needs to get a grip – again.
As for the money, the MoD already has its up lift. Although I except there is likely for be some claw back going on. So if we can’t afford an interim missile, scrap it, stop faffing about and focus on the FC/ASW and do not tinker with the requirements – push for on time and to cost delivery. Simples! Or it should be.
Cheers CR
Hi Steve, if this was a post COVID issue I would agree. Unfortunately the symptoms have been around for decades. Programs such as T31 (rigid competitive bidding) Brimstone and CAAM (selective targeted negotiations) have delivered positive process outcomes in recent years but some of the projects (mostly Army) have for decades suffered, I suspect, from scope creep, funding u turns, political interference and indecision.
As Danielle says above. Part time procurement bods in uniform won’t help ……unless they have very specific technical and operational suitability roles and responsibilities in the process.
In a very high risk heavy marine engineering focused industry I had the pleasure of working for one company for a couple of decades I remember there came a point in time when they realised that the biggest cause of budget and schedule blowout on their projects was the herds of wandering project engineers they employed. There is nothing an engineer enjoys more than engineering…..and re engineering and tinkering and improving. One organisational restructure later (along with some flexible equipment contracting) and typical project cycle times fell from 18 to 6 months….and 6 months was aligned to regulatory approvals.
Huge lesson.
The only surprise in this announcement is that anyone is surprised! My money is on the interim weapon going into service around the time the FC/ASW should have been available. Since that is bound to be several years late and over budget every one involved will be able to pay themselves on their backs and declare success. Plus ca change.
If they can’t/won’t make a decision on the interim then bring forward the FC/ASW and get a b****y move on! How difficult is it to make a decision, aren’t they supposed experts at this? Where are the expert advisors? Surely do you need more than 1-3 months? If they want to go cheapest/easiest/ short-medium term for integration go for the latest Harpoon+++. Or, if medium-longer term and they like the NSM then go for it. And fit out the more of or the whole fleet not just 5 sets! Maybe logistically we need to consider what do our neighbours have? The lack of action either way is bordering imbecilic! Another item for the Defence Minster needs to get on top of.
Like everyone here this issue makes me grrrrr. Britain deserves way better procurement practices and standards than this.
It’s actually a pity that Dominic Cummings turned out to be (again unsurprisingly) a complete ****, because some of his ideas were actually decent.
e.g. Civil servant managers who oversee projects that are late and/or substantially over budget should find it harder to get promotions and new postings. In other words if one messes up then the consequences should follow them to their next job. Of course one learns by experience so maybe somekind of points/garding system where repeated failures count heavily against your career prospects but a recovery is possible with a succesful project.
All projects should have pre-agreed failure criteria as well so that there’s no wiggle room i.e. if it goes x% over budget or is y years late then its a fail.
I actually remember working in the MoD on summer casual work many years ago (in defence procurement) and even then, at 18, it was obvious to me just how much money and time is wasted.
It’s a sad state of affairs. I’m sure a lot goes right but big and necessary items like this it is basically keeping the armed forces “naked”. I whince everytime I see photo of an underarmed T45/T23 and a seeming lack of spread of defensive armament of the two carriers. Let’s hope they come to their senses and get this issue sorted pronto. With the T26s coming into service mid decade I hope they’ve stated ordering for their ASMs now and in sufficient quantity. 24 x 8 = a lot of silos to fill. It will interesting to see if they go for a mix or single missile for these silos.
Hi Nick,
Just to clarify, I’m not surprised in the slightest. Just frustrated that the services and MoD cannot buy anything without a major song and dance..! All too often it descends into a complete farce, with potential consequences for the very services who are trying to buy the kit!
Industry, politicians and the treasury all have contributed to the shambles, but the armed forces really do need to learn how to write and stick to a good set of requirements. Officers in procurement posts should be rewarded for keeping a project on time and to cost – not for pushing the latest fad, gucci widget into an already over complex, over budget and late project – which is what usually happens.
If they could sort the requirements issue out, then they get far more kit on time than they currently do and they could get their money back from idiot contractors when industry drops the ball. They could also drop the responsibility into the laps of the treasury or politicians when appropriate after all there are plenty of retired officers with the right connections to cause embarrassment when needed. If you are struggling to follow this reasoning, imagine how blinking difficult it is to deliver kit with all these cooks..!
But start by getting the requirements right and STABLE.
Cheers CR
Here’s an idea, why not send the MOD procurement teams to learn from the Israelis? They seem to get the kit they need when they want it, and they have got a lot more experience in using it in action than we do. That would get the Mandarins old back leg going.
The Israelis have a different mindset on this.
In the UK we will start out by having to develop our own very cutting edge/best sensor and platform for ourselves. Then we, probably, set about creating a unique software platform to support that.
The Israelis will generally have a look at what is out there and choose some mid/high level sensors that are off-the-shelf and maybe tweak them a bit. They will then create some, quite clever, software that fuses a range of mid level sensors to give something quite formidable.
Hence you take a lot of risk out of the R&D as you are not on the bleeding edge of everything.
Knitting stuff together is where it is at IMHO.
Look at IRON DOME – various US contractors were very surprised how quickly and cheaply IRON DOME was put together and how effective it was/is.
Of course this is also greatly helped by the fact that a) Israel is a regional power mostly interested in self defence; b) most of her enemies are of a lower level of technology.
Difference is stuff gets built fast and is pretty good. So good, that a lot of the mods are sold back to the UK, US etc.
My summary point really is: slow R&D is the enemy of good kit as it is inevitably out of date by the time it is in the field. And you then get locked into a vicious and expensive cycle of iterative R&D where the original thread and raison d’etre is lost and the design gets swamped out.
Anyway those are my thoughts for what they are worth.
Israelis now appear to contribute significant hardware to Europe defence.
Of note is the cooperation they have with Germans.
The F125 destroyer radar upgrade for BMD seem will have Elta-Hensoldt radars.
Israel benefits from free access to the wallet of the US taxpayer, so as good as the kit is, a like for like comparison on procurement foul ups is difficult and I doubt the joint elements of systems like Arrow etc are transparent.
We could shop off the shelf there. Stunner missiles integrated into Sky Sabre. ( which has israeli C+c elements anyway)
LORA 300km ballistic missiles mounted on trucks could be planted within R.A batteries,
Gabriel 5 has been offered by them for RN use.
If we had the money, Israelis products could significantly boost our forces.( via the USA)
I’m totally with you on this CR. Maybe we can start a petition… Lol 😁
For fear of raising your blood pressure even further but you are wrong here ChariotRider. The last thing the RN should be doing is buying something that “at least matches” the capabilities of Harpoon! If that was the exercise the MOD would have already made an FMS purchase of Harpoon Block II+ and be done with it.
What you call “gucci extras” are essential for the RNs needs especially with modern ROE considerations. When it was the Cold War and the main RN tasking was ASW in the North Atlantic with the risk that they might get dragged into a fight with other NATO assets against the Kirov or her sisters a heavy weight fire and forget anti ship missile was acceptable for our needs and the risk of accidently sinking a civilian vessel acceptably low. Now in the places the RN is most likely to be engaged in a surface action there is a high risk of accidently sinking civilian traffic making the ROE for these elderly AShM so restrictive that they are all but paperweights that no RN vessel would risk shooting off! A missile capable of operating in congested littoral waters is essential now if we are ever in a position where we need to use them!
Also the RN and UK armed forces wants weapon systems that are not one trick ponies! A precision land attack capability would be a significant capability improvement for RN surface vessels.
A moderate about of programme slippage is worth it if we end up with an interim weapon system (lets be honest it will probably be around longer than we expect as FC/ASW carriers a fair amount of risk for slippage) that we can actually use!
I agree with your points about the specification Fedaykin.
However, the point I was trying to make was that it should be easy enough to agree a basic or minimum acceptable capability for an interim missile when the other option was no missile. The full spec dual role SSM is under development and (hopefully) due sometime early in the next decade. Get the damn interim missile in service ASAP and accept that it isn’t going to do everything you want – it is temporary. Then focus on keeping the full capability SSM on schedule and to cost – no damn messing.
There really isn’t any excuse for delaying the publication of a requirement for an interim capability. None.
You’re right me blood pressure did go up a bit 🙂 but not because of what you wrote.
Cheers CR
Considering the RN has not fired an anti ship missile in anger since the first Gulf War and even then that was the helicopter launched Sea Skua I am comfortable with some mild slippage to get this right especially as I think FC/ASW has the strong risk of slipping in its own right.
Personally I think Gabriel V fits in the sweet spot for this, designed to fit into the footprint of Harpoon, apparently aggressively priced in comparison to other systems on offer and designed to operate within littoral conditions. That Finland have gone for it especially as they were already an RBS15 operator speaks volumes, they are a very astute buyer.
I wouldn’t be surprised if the delay was so that we could properly evaluate the target discrimination technology used in Gabriel V.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-55214359
the M.O.D is buying from the catalogue again without looking past th builders claims. we blame the M.O.D and the treasury, but the admiralty,air force,army never gets called to account
Is a anyone really surprised about this announcement? I actually 100% convinced that the UK people in general are really bad at management. It’s really not rocket science to do these things pardon the pun. Our great grandfathers must be laughing (or crying) in their graves.
The thing is if they make the requirement a UOR buy it would wizz through the paperwork and signing off process and we could get it in probably 6 month start to finish.
With the timeline the interm solution is working to its almost a UOR anyway!
My guess is that the chosen missile doesn’t fit in the tiny budget that the MoD & Treasury has allocated.
You might be right Ron! Make a budget to fit the requirement. GBP400m should do it! Signed by us, done!… Lol 😁
Bargain!!!
No doubt boris has earmarked the budget for his personal/Royal yacht.
It’s neither. But don’t let facts spoil your agenda. 😂
Ah, that proves it then.
A poor effort.
Apart from personal snipes, maybe have a read of the articles here on UKDJ, while taking your red tinted glasses off which actually describe what the National Flagship is for.
If that info turns out to be false then I will be joining you in opposing its function if it is indeed a “Royal Yacht, BJ’s own plaything.
Grow up Andy, keep the sad, no mates one liners for your lefty get togethers.
Keep up Daniele we are all now living in a post facts world…….it’s sort of like being permanently down the pub and talking bollox with your mates after 4 pints.
😆 just noticed his snipe at me and my repose was removed. Pity! Was hoping for more.
Though the bollox bit sounds fun! I’d be at that stage after 1 pint these days though…😏
The sad truth is I’m the same, once I’d have a good time and be hours in before stage bollox talking kicked in, now it’s half a shandy and I’m off.
RBS 15 Mk4 … it has a long reach and decent-sized warhead.
Yes, agree, could be a goer and with Sweden and German navies and I think Poland too.
Good to build on our Anglo-Swede relations with Tempest and our 40mm/57mm purchases.
I will be honest I’m hoping that the missile they choose is not the best nor very good because that will prevent the chances of them deciding to abandon FCASW.
FCASW will be far more advanced than RBS 15 Mk4, but we need something NOW. Every modern navy and many potential adversaries have something with a longer range that is more advanced than harpoon.
We cannot afford to remain this badly outgunned.
And yet not one has been fired in over 40 years.
We have to be prepared, there will always be countries that hate us and go against our interests whatever we say or do, take Iran as an example, they have developed an anti-ship missile called Khalij Fars (Persian Gulf) it Flies at Mach 3 has 650Kg warhead and range of 300km …what do we have to match that ? nothing…. and knowing that emboldens them.
The RN have been dealing with the Iranian threats very nicely for decades now in and aroundthe Gulf. Does this missiles actually work? Because all i have seen the Iranians do is sink there own vessels in incidents. They don’t exactly have a proven record of having anything that comes close to western capabilities.
Well, the marines from HMS Cornwall got captured by the IRGC in 2008 and we did nothing militarily in response. We know their missile tech works, they used the Fatah version of this missile against the Al -Asad airbase in Iraq, In fact, the worst thing we can do is dismiss a potent and belligerent foe as inferior and incompetent, we have made that mistake before.
I think the RN knows what it’s doing don’t you? Would you be brave with a 50 cal pointing at your face?. We didn’t need to escalate that confrontation otherwise those Marines would probably have been killed, and a major international crisis would have been started. Calm heads are sometimes required. There missile tech sunk one of there own vessels back in May 2020 with 19 killed and another 15 injured. Another reason why AshM are not the first weapon of choice. A very good chance you will hit the wrong target.
33 years actually since a harpoon was fired in anger during operation ‘praying mantis’ other anti-ship missiles have been fired in anger since. In 2006 INS Hanit was hit by a C-802 fired by Hezbollah. The Russians fired P120-Malakhit missiles during the Georgian war in 2008.
So basically, nothing has changed yet, and it’s a story to trigger the usual suspects that cry over nothing 😄
Taking you’re “nothing has changed yet” as a serious point worthy of further thought, I think it depends on our time-frame as to whether anything has changed?
In July Quin stated “The Planning Assumption for Service Entry for Future Cruise /Anti-Ship Weapon on the T26 Frigate and Typhoon aircraft is 2028 and 2030 respectively.” The 2028 date was a surprise given that most if not all statements/assumptions had been for early 2030’s service entry for FC/ASW. Perhaps a question given the date’s pull-in, is whether there is an expectation that it may actually be earlier and that 2028 includes some sandbagging?
According to the Navy Lookout article linked above, “the RN recently invited Babcock to submit a tender to continue supporting the [Harpoon] system until 31 March 2024 with 3 additional one-year options, potentially sustaining it until 2027.” While Harpoon undoubtedly has limitations, it seems that in extremis it is still viable through 2027. Just one year adrift of the announced service entry for T26.
In addition, for the more likely low end threats we will have Martlet, Harpoon and Sea Ceptor for AShM use. Along with whatever our allies bring.
When considering all the above in combination, I think MoD/RN is looking at all the time, cost and effort to integrate and test a new-to-the-RN interim missile versus the availability for FC/ASW and currently evaluating if the interim solution makes sense in that context.
Hi Robert, with respect, when our potential adversaries are armed to the teeth and increasing in quality and quantity and spreading their influence, if there was ever a trigger event I think we might come up very short. We can fall back on the US and allies but why can’t we, UK, be more prepared? Even having some additional ASMs would help complement our gunnery and I don’t think would cost the earth if managed well.
Are we embarrassed to be well armed? I’m not a military person so there’s a lot I don’t know and I am going a lot by appearances. I value everyones opinion here and different angles and viewpoints.
Totally agree , deterrence is part of the overall strategy, if an adversary knows you are weak or lagging behind technically , then they become emboldened.
Hi mate. The RN’s experience is that we use helicopters with Sea Venom and Martlet to sink small to medium vessels. And use Astute class with the superb Spearfish for larger warships. And surface AshM is largely for back up. These missiles allowed very nice and impressive, but in the real world, with complex rules of engagement, and even more complex kill chain command structures to actually find, track, and engage a modern warship at range that will be using every trick In the book, every EW capability it can deploy, and get through any close I’m defence weapon system. Warships are very hard to find at sea, when they don’t want to be found. Anti ship warfare is very very complex and difficult to pull off. Of all the RN’s capabilities, Large AshM is the capability they are least concerned about. Because we could have them if we really wanted them. And the next generation of weapons will be very capable, including land attack.
Hi Robert, fundamentally I agree with what your saying above and I probably overplay the ASM card at times but despite all the rules of engagement, EW out there, which our potential opponents might also have, there is a ever growing heavily armed naval presence just up North in our part of the world and I don’t expect them to always play by the rules. They even want to set their own rules for everyone else transiting through the SCS. If I was on any warship I would want it to be fully armed for its core AAW/ASW roles, with helos and to always have some medium to long range ASMs with LA ability to complement the gunnery. With the T26s having 3 MK41 silos x 8 that is quite a bit of potential FC/ASW, Tomahawk capability which looks very promising. I get it too, we don’t do things in isolation but in coalition.
As far as I can see harpoon has effectively left service! Every time I see a ship sail its deck is devoid of harpoon launchers. Presumably this means we are getting true value for money in the greatest of mod tradition paying for something which exists on paper only.
Think HMS Kent has them on CSG21.
Montrose in the Gulf has them
Well she did yesterday when I was stood on the jetty next to her. I will check again today as I will be going onboard… Better safe than sorry
Just because a vessel has Harpoon Tubes fitted, it doesn’t actually mean it is carrying the missile…….the absence of Harpoon on RN ships these days appears to indicate that for all intents and purposes the missile has all but been withdrawn?
I reckon GB will know if the missiles are there and not just empty tubes, his post was a little to tongue in cheek sarcasm….of which I approve !
Basically Royal Navy can only sink enemy ships with torpedoes and small missiles from helicopters. Or with 4.5″…
.
Spearfish works quite well too. 😉
I did not know that RN ships now have a ram… 🙂
The RN doesn’t need to sink anything… It needs mission kills.
A Warship sinks that’s it…. Glug glug glug.
Mission kills need assistance, tugs, towing, top cover, salvage experts, spares, care for the crew etc… It ties up other resources and makes the enemy less combat capable.
Same as the army on a battlefield.
If your dead that’s it….Endex.
If you are wounded you immediately tie up your squad looking after you, evac assets are needed , field hospitals, medical evac flights…
Wow Sir Humphrey, i expect you have then advised for the Spearfish charge to be reduced to 100lb…
Nope… Make it blast frag to cause more damage to avoid a sinking so tying up more resources.
War and conflict isn’t pretty the idea is to win and make the other guy die for his country.
As I am still alive it’s worked for me over the decades with regards to previous conflicts, scurmishes and scuffles I was involved with.
Instead of die for his country don’t you mean get almost dead, bleed a lot and loiter around for months or years taking up resources for his county ?
Sarcastic comments to the SME just makes you look silly.
The same as the simplified strategy used by German snipers in WWII in France in 1944. They shot men just behind the first wave of an attack and aimed for the areas in the body so the man was badly wounded and screaming rather then dead so he had to be taken care of and all the other troops were distracted and unnerved by what they saw and heared. far more effective than one dead man
The downside is you have to get within striking range with those types of weapons, if the enemy has a 300km range Anti-ship missile, they are already beyond your reach.
And F35B with a laser guided bomb tossed from 30000 feet 5-6 miles away possibly further. Or Aster 30 has a dual anti air anti surface capability.
Damn the best before and use by dates the MOD have seen this coming and yet again they have forgotten that age old Jack term 6P Prior Preparation prevents piss poor performance
I get the feeling ajax is gunna make the government crack some heads on military procurement, 3 billion wasted so far for gold plated f35 media hub tank that’s taken so long it’s not gunna be needed with other capabilities around soon.
But most of that 3 billion went on H&S assessments ie ample legroom ,childseating adaptable ,disability friendly , At the rate Ajax is progressing the only takers for it will be People who use Humvees to do their shopping and block two parking spaces and then leave their trolley blocking parking .At least with Ajax you store the trolley so that’s 1,positive attribute
Didn’t one of the old,22s, it might of been HMS Boxer during her Sinkex get slammed by two Harpoon Anti ship missiles and still manage 1,of the 3 required actions of a warship fight, FLOAT ,move either Boxer was well built or duff Harpoon?
Sinkexs are not that realistic.
The ship isn’t moving or doing self defence measures.
Prior to sinkex all tanks are emptied and cleaned.
All iffy contaminates are removed.No oil in transformers, pipes are flushed,
No working systems onboard so no rupturing of fuel lines, no magazines being hit, no doors being buckles or blown open, little to no fires, no crew trying to still get the ship to move and fight.
Valves are locked and blanked closed to keep the sea out. Vent ducts are closed and locked. Doors and hatches are welded shut. All the empty tanks add to bouyancy.
Thats why target ships take so much punishment. It’s usually a torpedo from a sub that delivers the coup de grace… Breaking the vessels back and opening it up to the sea. That said a good load of surface Gunnery from Medium and Close range weapons post torpedo is also required to open up sealed compartments to the sea.. 30mm HEIT at the Water line is good for that.
I suppose no electrical energy working either.
Thanks Gunbuster for the in depth account for prepping a ship for sinkex ,all I was trying to state was that the old girl was still floating she wasn’t in Zulu Alpha when hit
It’s not like there are that many realistic choices and this is after all an interim system that will sit on ships for 9 years and in all probability never be fired in anger The RN has never used a heavyweight anti ship missile in anger and therefore it’s a very low level of likelihood that it will need to again.
This really is more about credibly and insurance than anything else, so just get an inexpensive but credible option though a quick compliant tender process and stop pissing about.
Something like RGM-184A would be fine, it’s light but had good range, a warhead that perfect for knocking out a warship, It’s clever and stealthy, it’s designed to kill ships in the cluttered littoral, is cheap and would be easy to move to the Type 31s later.
it’s not ummm rocket science, get good enough for the now instead of dreaming of a golden future.
Hi Jonathan, a potential conflict may now be a low possibility but why do the likes of China and Russia have such a high level of ASMs on their vessels and subs as well and China’s heavy fleet is huge and growing. What is all that for and for aiming at whom? Some of their ships have up to 16 ASMs and are even supersonic. We need more than an 4.5” main gun, fresh air and FFBNW on our main warships. We don’t have to go overboard but be sensible and agree that it’s all movable to the T31s later on. I’d also like to see CAMM on more RN, vessels too including the RFAs, Bays, Albion/Bulwark and carriers.
“why do the likes of China and Russia have such a high level of ASMs on their vessels and subs”
Because they have the USN and NATO as their potential enemy, with a clear supremacy in naval capabilities.
It is the same with the Russian AD system. They needed it. They had SAC coming at them from all angles.
Our ships do not go out intending fleet on fleet engagements. Our SSN and in time aviation will do that. To me it is the basis of sea denial to an adversary. You can have as many frigates armed to the teeth as you like but without a carrier, its embarked aviation, SSN, and the RFA your navy is not doing much.
Hi Daniele, yes, I agree that we are both confronting each other, and it’s easy to be more biased to our side and critical of the other. I am getting more alarmed as many are through the constant media attention to the growing naval strength of China, particularly in our Asia Pacific region, that even on our side of things here in Australia they’re looking at producing missiles domestically, particularly shipping attacking missiles, air/sea launched and this suggests to me a current and projected imbalance being addressed. I hope that the RAN here would get a medium carrier too as part of their fleet mix, plus additional subs to have a stronger presence. I think there could well be fleet on fleet engagements in the SCS and involving subs.
Sorry if my reply is a bit rambling.
Just a question, out of the final RN fleet of 7 Astutes how many would able to be at sea at one time? Up to 4? If the RN had one or two more maybe then up to 5? That would be very helpful to having two CSG groups at the one time if ever needed plus and or other long range patrols. Or to have an additional diesel sub fleet and UUVs for regional closer to home patrols and using the nuclear fleet for more global deployment.
Hi Quentin, I do think we need something that is an adequate Anti surface warfare threat organic to our escorts, but that’s not so much in regards to China and Russia because if we are in a peer conflict all the escorts are going to be in there primary escort function of protecting a taskforce from a specific threat, with the anti surface warfare being undertaken by the taskforces submarines and air components.
what we need the anti ship missile for on the escort fleet is that time when the escort is on a single deployment in places like the Middle East, med, south Atlantic etc and then it’s more about showing you have the capability. So I’m all for modest, usable in a crowded littoral.
I think Australia has a different need and it’s all about sea denial, you don’t want China playing nasty in your pond so I would want plenty of well armed escorts as well as a good number of electric boats, with lots of eyes all over your bit of the Pacific.
I think if I was Australia I’d be thinking along the same lines as Japan, making myself a very spiky proposition.
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Have collapsed and died on your keyboard ? Just checking.
I hear, that a mate of Boris’s dog sitter has offered a fantastic deal where he offers a box of 1Standard fireworks big bang rockets for £12 million a box, Mind you the bottle is an extra £10 billion, but they have offered to throw in a box of Swan vesta for free.
And to cap it all sparklers are an added bonus just looking now for trustworthy Adults who won’t drop the Swan vestas in the box
What a surprise…….. NOT
Is there a single project the MOD runs that comes in on time and on budget. They truelly must be the worst procurement team in the world.
RN still having to use hopelessly obsolete tech. The Harpoon system OK in the ’70’s doesn’t cut it today. Maybe time to get the Brahmos [ spelling ] ? hypersonic system from India, off the shelf & ready to go ?
Why not just arm the F-35 with an anti-ship missile? They can respond to threats far quicker than a surface vessel, or even carry out anti-ship missions from the land.
Historically, it was the carrier’s air wing (or submarines) that took on enemy ships. It seems like the RN is limiting its flexibility by giving the anti-ship mission to surface ships instead of planes.
theres more known about this issue than there is about projects like dragon fire and weaponising the taranis drones. are the abandoned projects?
There has been a lot of discussion around Sea Serpent in the past few weeks. Even IAI pitched it at the DSEI exhibition at the Excel centre in London, as being the future I-SSGW for the Royal Navy. Either the decision has already been made but is being kept ‘hush hush’ or something else is going on. Either way you don’t promote it as the future choice for the RN if there was never any smoke without fire.