Western officials said there is no evidence of any significant Russian force build-up in Belarus.

Officials were asked by journalists about suggestions of a build-up of up to two corps in Belarus alongside diversionary operations elsewhere.

“We have no indicators and warnings of any significant number. When I say significant, I’m not underplaying and saying there’s a battalion. I’m saying we’re not seeing any numbers of Russian forces in Belarus seeking to either augment the conflict in Ukraine or move west.”

The Western official reinforced the point and expressed some frustration at how often it recurs. “This is persistent. It keeps coming back up the official said, adding that there is “no evidence from overhead imagery or from intelligence that tells us that there is a significant build up in Belarus, but it is a surprisingly persistent piece of reporting.”

Asked to state Russia’s war aim in the terms a NATO exercise would use, officials described an objective that has not changed.

It concerns “subjugation of Ukraine, not allowing Ukraine to drift into the West’s sphere of influence, and not allowing it to join NATO”, a Western official said, describing it as having become almost a no-fail objective for Putin even though no tangible route to victory is visible.

George Allison
George Allison is the founder and editor of the UK Defence Journal. He holds a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and specialises in naval and cyber security topics. George has appeared on national radio and television to provide commentary on defence and security issues. Twitter: @geoallison

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here