General Sir Jim Hockenhull, as part of a speech at the UKStratCom Conference, has outlined three lessons learned in Ukraine.

The speech was delivered on the 23rd of March, 2023.

  • The first is that learning and adaptation are crucial for success, and Ukrainians have excelled in this area with support from Western military and commercial companies, while Russian forces have failed to learn and adapt.
  • The second theme is the importance of digitisation and advanced technology in military operations, which can provide an advantage and compensate for limited capabilities.
  • The third theme is the significance of partnerships, particularly with Ukraine, and the focus on people as the key to success in achieving the desired future force.

You can read the relevant excerpt from General Sir Jim Hockenhull’s keynote speech delivered as part of the Strategic Command conference below.

The first picks up on the point I’ve just made which is learning and adaption wins. When we look at the forces in Ukraine at the moment and the way in which the Ukrainians are able to learn and adapt, often with support not just from Western military, but from Western commercial companies, it is incredible. Particularly when contrasted to the failure to learn and adapt on the part of the Russian forces. Learning and adaption gives you a key advantage and it may be that learning and adaption helps you deal with your problem of not having enough mass, because actually by learning and adapting, you’re able to gain advantage and that may help you.

The second part is digitisation transforms. There’ll be software defined future, there’ll be digitisation, there will be lots of ways of describing this. The idea of the application of advanced modern technology to military operations is to put it at the heart of how we do our business, how we think, how we act, how we decide, and also how we’re able to develop some of our relatively limited capabilities to make them smart capabilities. Again, this gives us an advantage and I think digitisation, or software, can be defined as a way of generating mass which makes up for some of the challenges we may have over the size and structure of our own military. If we can harness those things, I think there’s a real opportunity for us as we go forward.

The third is that partnerships really matter. I spoke about the partnership with Ukraine. I’ve spoken about the partnerships with lots of people outside Defence as well. Partnerships sit at the heart of what we do, and at the heart of what we do in Strategic Command are our people. We’ve decided that we start all of our meetings talking about people. And rather than talking about operations, or the amount of time that we previously used to talk about money, we’ve moved that into the amount of time we now use to talk about people. By switching those two things around we’ve actually really started to focus on our people.

We’ve got a whole lot of work to do to be the force that we want to be in the future. We’ve got to make sure that the lived experience of our people is right. We’ve got to make sure that once we’ve done that, we’ve got the opportunity to truly exploit all their talents. If we can unleash the talents of all our 25,000 people, there’s no end to what we can achieve.”

You can read the full speech here.

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George has a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and has a keen interest in naval and cyber security matters and has appeared on national radio and television to discuss current events. George is on Twitter at @geoallison
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Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

Lesion number one..when in combat operations do not drive all your tanks up a duel carriage way in a four abreast formation, someone will blow them all up.

John Clark
John Clark
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

I think that’s part of the highway code update Jonathan, inbetween pedestrians have right of way crossing junctions and more rights for cyclists.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Even Corporal Pike with some WWII AT munitions was going to have a field day! The arrogance & stupidity of that move was unbelievable. The one take hoe is that is shows how detached from reality the Kremlin actually is. They thought they were going to be greeted as saviours with the bunting out? The sad thing was that with a real mass of better weapons Ukraine could have erased that whole column and either recovered it or used it for scrap. Can you image what would have happened with appropriately armed NATO aircraft periodically visiting fish-in-a-barrel? Loitering munitions that… Read more »

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

indeed some form of air interdiction policy would have completely scuppered Russia plans….as alway the problem is contagion and the mad bastards nuclear weapons. Let’s be honest with ourselves if Russia was not a nuclear state with 1000 ish operational warheads and Putin not such an unstable narcissist NATO would have put up an air interdiction ages ago and taken the risk of maybe moving above the sub threshold conflict. interestingly I believe Russian conflict doctorine has 14 levels of conflict, a very large number of those sit below general warfare…it’s one of the reasons Russia has actually been invaded… Read more »

Jonno
Jonno
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

I think as an underwriting nation of Ukraines independence we should have set a no fly zone over Ukraine in the weeks before Russia invaded. Why not?

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago

A single A10 or Apache would be enough to have returned a lot of coffins back to mother Russia.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Lesson number two, buy some of these!

“Turkey’s Baykar has showcased its Bayraktar TB3 unmanned combat aerial vehicle (UCAV) ahead of its upcoming first flight.

Images posted online by the manufacturer on 27 March showed for the first time the larger and more capable successor to the TB2.”

LINK

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

😂😂👍

George Parker
George Parker
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

It is such a basic mistake that I honestly don’t think our military need to learn that lesson. There are far more important lesson coming out of this latest war. None of them mentioned by Hockenhull.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

It was a bit tongue in cheek, but it does actually provide probably the most important lesion out there and one that has been the catalyst for defeats throughout history….the price of hubris and not taking your enemy seriously.

George Parker
George Parker
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Apparently, the Russians expected the first shock attack to take Kiev and eliminate all Ukrainian organised government. The advancing columns were told not to look so aggressive and try to be liberators. I think “not taking your enemy seriously” was an understatement. No plan B. Of course what happened after that is inexcusable for a professional army.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

But the Russkies were never professional! You have the twice yearly conscripts, then the “staying on” contract soldiers (similar limited traing and course/technical progression as the conscripts) and you have the “full time”instructors who real off the same basic shit to the conscripts. The Russians were, and still are so far off being a professional military its laughable if it wasn’t so sad for all involved.

Paul42
Paul42
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Firstly, you have to ensure you have Tanks, and a lot of them before you embark on anything…..

Defence thoughts
Defence thoughts
1 year ago

Lesson 2: AMMUNITION AMMUNITION AMMUNITION

Patrick
Patrick
1 year ago

Lesson 3: Spend appropriately on your Armed Forces now.
Not learned, HMG still trying to fund on the cheap, leaving all the services poorly prepared until the 2030s.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago

Isn’t that Target your ammunition rather than just fire it off in the vague direction of the where you imagine the other side might be?

Someone once said to me ‘make every shot count’…..why would you say that?

Defence thoughts
Defence thoughts
1 year ago

I’d feel safer knowing we could blaze away if we had to. You can’t just rely on knowing exactly where the target is the whole time.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago

But if Russia attacks a NATO member then UK won’t be fighting alone.

A fraction of the inventories have been gifted to Ukraine and look what that has done.

There has been no involvement of modern sophisticated fighter jets equipped with high end EW etc

Defence thoughts
Defence thoughts
1 year ago

More than slightly disturbed how this has somehow turned into an “either/or” argument.

There shouldn’t be anything wrong with efforts to slightly increase ammunition production. The U.S is doing just that, so you may have to explain to them why they shouldn’t. They aren’t just doing it for Ukraine’s sake.

The more ammo you have, the more precision strikes you can do.

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago

Or Stealth or stand off munitions in their thousands. Putin knows if he provoked NATO his forces would be handed an absolute spanking.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

One of the really important things has been the use of simple commercial drone and the Russian armies inability to manage that threat. The fact a light, cheap commercial drone can becomes an intelligence gathering tool, forward control for artillery and even attack with IEDs, grenades etc is very significant..what is even more so is the fact the operator can remain hidden away and in reality needs bugger all training…link that with the ability to manufacture parts for ordnance from 3D printing and you have a step change in asymmetric warfare as well as the ability of a western nation… Read more »

Jon
Jon
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

TikTok and mobile phones were huge intelligence gatherers prior to the invasion (and since). Marry that with commercial drones and commercial satellites and it’s clear: OSINT has come of age.

Expat
Expat
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Didn’t Dom Cummins predict just that 😀

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Expat

I think he predicted many things….the more you churn out the more chance you have of being right at least once..like infinite monkeys on typewriters.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

With time keeping from a stopped clock?

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

Yep…..I predict that there will be a famine in Africa some time or other….

David
David
1 year ago
Reply to  Expat

He did but he wanted to gut the conventional forces to pay for improvements in digital/cyber warfare. Ukraine has shown we need both – and the willingness to pay for it – a fact which regrettably our policitians understand but choose to ignore.

Expat
Expat
1 year ago
Reply to  David

I’m no supporter of cummins hence smiley face on the comment.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Yup but now that is on the scope using civvy level drones is not so likely workable?

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

Indeed but like anything that level of EW cover is going to be massively resource intensive and what it’s shown is if your forces are not carrying their own EW blanket they become vulnerable. But also if you’re having to hash the EM spectrum to protect yourself against drones..comms becomes a more difficult problem and as for your own drone activities…..it’s a very interesting set of balancing for the modern battle field. Permissive EM for your own drones and Hashing the EM spectrum to deny the enemy.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Crikey: EW has been steerable and location specific and able to object track for donkeys.

If you just blast out RF, Soviet style, you blind yourself. They used to blast out saw tooth / square wave at their targets to blind them. That is about as sophisticated as their artillery doctrine.

You are talking spectrum denial tactics?

The art is to use as little RF power as possible to achieve the desired effect!

There is nothing going on in Ukraine I would describe as modern EW.

Last edited 1 year ago by Supportive Bloke
Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

Yes but the problem will be with very small commercial drone etc your threat is omni directional and potentially going to be at saturation points….when you have bob with his drone to the left of you and Sheila with hers to the right…then the unit you are fighting to the front….and Smith to rear providing intelligence and spotting…the advent of so many drones saturating the battle space creates a completely new complexity…..then you add in the higher end of drone warfare like micro drones such as black hornet (and its future armed decedents) and swarm intelligence drones…steerable EW becomes redundant… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by Jonathan
Tom
Tom
1 year ago

During the Gulf war, the allied forces picked off large groups of vehicles, in much the same way.

Regarding the ability to adapt, we were always taught there was no such thing as ‘cant do’, instead it was improvise, adapt and overcome.

Jason Barnes
Jason Barnes
1 year ago

Nothing learned about the need for more hardware, then?

If Ukraine has (re-)taught us anything, it’s that war consumes people and materiel at frightening rates.

It’s all very well to talk about digitisation but let’s talk about only 148 CR3s and only 62 sets of active protection equipment.

Or the lack of an MICV.

Or the lack of an adequate AS90 replacement.

Or GBAD.

Or myriad other tangible assets.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
1 year ago
Reply to  Jason Barnes

Agreed. Learning is all very well, how about actioning. All words for me until proven otherwise.
A few years ago these same generals were talking of strike and excusing away yet another brigade set of CS and CSS and yet more Tanks and SPGs.

Bringer of facts
Bringer of facts
1 year ago
Reply to  Jason Barnes

On the AS90 replacement point, The MOD just procured some Archer Arty systems from Sweden.

Marked
Marked
1 year ago

Only to replace the handful gifted to ukraine.

For me we should just say it’s proven, very good, available off the shelf, just replace the lot with it.

Instead in 15 years time we will still be stuck with a handful of ageing as90s whilst the platinum plated replacement project languishes in all sorts of problems years and billions late. It’s all so predictable…

Farouk
Farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  Marked

Marked wrote: “”Only to replace the handful gifted to Ukraine”” From the GOV UK press release dated 16th March 2023: British Army announces new artillery deal with Sweden“”The first 14 Archer artillery systems will have ownership transferred to the British Army this month and be fully operational by next April, forming an interim replacement for the 32 AS90 artillery systems the UK gifted to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.”” From that wording it appears that the 14 platforms the Uk is receiving is just the first batch (which makes me think that futher platforms will comprise of the MAN based… Read more »

AlexS
AlexS
1 year ago
Reply to  Jason Barnes

Precisely Jason.

I reading this “learning and adaption” fills me with sarcastic laugh when the politicians, journalists, generals and the public at large don’t cease to appeal to increase regulation and more regulation and more regulation.
The success that S.Korea have got in Europe is also due to the giant entropy that European political world impounds in European productive world.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Jason Barnes

Totally.
Plus more basic stuff.
Have an adequate airforce and army.
Have enough tanks, artillery, inventory.
Have good supply chains, manufacturers, resources, logistics.
Have good anti-sub/ship abilities.
Make sure your home base is adequately protected!
And stop publicising what you’re doing and sending to your adversaries beforehand!
Rant over.

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Love it. Agree. You should go into politics. You’d get my vote.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

Thanks Mr Bell. You’re pretty darn good yourself. Love your comments too. Me thinks we’re a bit smiliar. Lots of good men and women in the 🇬🇧 still.Good folk here on this site too, lots of solid common sense and good experiences and quite a few laughs too. See you on another thread… the one where we’re telling everybody that our tanks have arrived and they’re parked… just over there by those trees… Lol 😁

Farouk
Farouk
1 year ago

All except the PM and his bestie Hunt.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago

Ukraine LIVE: Russia’s Black Sea Fleet hit by barrage of new USV attacks, says MoD
LINK

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Nigel, I think this one is old news. Nothing hit or sunk unfortunately. Have to try again.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Bugger, that’s what you get for being lazy, I should have checked!

Last edited 1 year ago by Nigel Collins
jason
jason
1 year ago

Will these lessons be translated into military procurement and spending?

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  jason

Doubt it. They’ve got big problems. HS2 overspent, overtime and going to be massively over budget. Ditto new nuclear. Massive powerplants costing £35-50 billion each Vs Roll Royce SMR for £250 million each. I know SMR would be a much better distributed lower cost solution. Inflation at 10+% Cost of living crises Energy crises…why is the UK totally dependent on imports of gas and electricity from LPG countries , Norway and Europe? Answer a lack of investment. We have invested too little, too late in the UK. HMG should be recapitalising the armed forces. It’s not happening. Instead we get… Read more »

Cymbeline
Cymbeline
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

I’d love to know the full story behind HS2. I cant help but feel theres been lobbying and brown envelopes in the process and all for what? cutting a few minutes from Brum to London. They should have spent the money on upgrading the Pennines link.

David Steeper
1 year ago
Reply to  Cymbeline

It was just done the good old fashioned way. Every single calculation of cost was done using the most optimistic possible scenario in order to get the go ahead. Once that was achieved slowly drip drip what the actual costs would be. The only positive is that everyone knows what happenned and those who gave the go ahead are extremely pissed off about it. Whether that means things wil be different in the future ? Who knows.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  David Steeper

Also costs were driven up by

a) the ludicrous speeds; and
b) bizarre route with loads of tunnels; and
c) massive environmental campaigns leading to enhancements ; and
d) frequent political meddling in designs leading to abortive construction (bloody expensive – stopping or pausing construction contracts typically costs 30% of the contract value) and design costs (pure waste); and
e) the unbelievably inefficient UK construction industry; and
f) a shortage of skilled workers; and
g) the final icing on the cake UK Elf’n’safety!

David Steeper
1 year ago

😂😂👍

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

As our North Sea supplies ran down we moved quickly to tap into Norway’s output and were among the first to get into the LNG market with supplies from Qatar to our terminal at Milford Haven. It was a case of the investment chasing available supplies and the best returns rather than lack of it, no-one forecasting that the EU would cut off its main source of cheap pipeline gas.

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

It was a price worth paying. I’d sooner sit at home with frostbite then pay for Russian blood stained gas. Not going to happen by the way, as I put solar panels up years ago and have 2 wood burners and a very plentiful supply of British grown hard wood maturing nicely in my 8 ton firewood stack- so I’m fine matey. Much better than the average Russian peasant living in a wooden shack with single glazing, a rag covering the window pane, frost on the walls and no running water. Pity- Russia could be a really great country, probably… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

We seem to have only rarely used Russian pipeline gas over the past few years, mainly buying their LNG.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

We do not buy Russian Liquified Natural Gas.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

There is no necessity Mr Bell. My relatives in Germany fared well this winter. Germany and Holland both introduced plant to take LNG in record time. Russia’s glee at the prospect of a Europe freezing and starving end with choking. Outside a couple of cities the Russians suffer more and more. I pity them.

dave12
dave12
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Actually I have a mate in the gas industry there is still a fair amount of gas in the north sea and that is our gas reserve and there are more untapped gas fields in UK waters sorry to give a reality check Johnski I didn’t freeze in the winter lol.

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  dave12

Where did I imply that any of us would freeze? I should hope that we still have untapped reserves, usually the only reason they are untapped is financial, the tax. Like Mr Bell I have solar panels (at the highest 60.23 rate) plus a pair of wood burners.

dave12
dave12
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Your Orc buddies certainly have implied the UK and EU would freeze, never happened johnski.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  dave12

Our dear friend Airborne, when not advising on suitable flowers for ladies Summer hats in Spare Rib, has handed Johnski his backside so often it’s become a sort of guilty pleasure to read these. Our Kremlin mouthpiece did exactly predict doom for western Europe this winter and now, good con artist as he, or maybe they, is, denies it.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Wood burners? You got a supply of BMPs, T series tanks and other assorted Russian armour? They burn very well, last a long time and much cheaper than a £7 Tesco bag of cheap logs!

dave12
dave12
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

😅

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

Cruel, but just.

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

You’ve been implying that we’ll all freeze since last autumn. Or that all industry will grind to a halt because of energy costs and supply. Guess what? Didn’t happen. Yet again, your propaganda is cauterised by reality.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

You bloody well did! Even I remember that one.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  dave12

See my earlier replies. You and your mate are correct. As with his ;special operation’ Putin has shot himself in the foot. If you think the war is going badly for Russia wait until the economic consequences for all Russians really bite this year and in years to come.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

North Sea oil and gas ran out in 1983. That was what was predicted at the start of exploration. I was asked what Britain would do when the oil ran out when visiting in Switzerland in 1972. As recent events in the west country have shown, the British Isles rest on significant oil and natural gas reserves; what is lacking is the political will to exploit these and market forces. Milford Haven is our only LNG terminal because we don’t need another one. The prediction of Moscow and the Putin clique was Europe would freeze last winter and or starve.… Read more »

Expat
Expat
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

Lack of investment incentive more like. People forget gas was a very low cost commodity, North Sea was already taxed heavily, even pre the more recent tax raids it was not worth investing in, coupled with oil and gas companies being shamed when participating in bidding for licenses, companies have steered clear of the North Sea so our proven reserves have shrunk. You add the push to greener energy we have created a perfect storm so to speak. Had we not created such a negative environment we would have been selling surplus energy at a premium to Europe over the… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by Expat
Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Expat

Or that strategically Russia sold its gas on cheap contracts to Germany to help it shut down its nuclear fleet and to lull the whole of Europe into a false sense of security.

Then it had leverage over Muti and and bought her off time and time again with cheap energy deals. Half the reason German manufacturing boomed was cheap energy whilst UK killed its industry with insane gas and electricity prices.

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago

Yep and Angela Merkel walked right into that trap. I still cant believe Germany shut down virtually all its nuclear power capacity making themselves a vassal state to Mad Vlad.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

Indeed, unfortunately our government has not played with a full geopolitical tool box for a while.

Expat
Expat
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

No they have instead pandered to non factual media headlines. For instance just how exactly did Shell make 40b in profit from a UK domestic energy market with a revenue of no more than 50b? The answer is they didn’t.

As for Labour’s call for Shell and BP to return profits, I’m 100% behind it, they should return it to every country where they made it, only once that happens and Shell and BP fail as global companies wiping billion off the value of the UK will the public realise how stupid the these policies are.

Expat
Expat
1 year ago

Not necessarily US gas has also been sold very cheap to its own captive market, we’ve just stifled our own investment through taxation and nonsense tariffs. If you look at gas prices for the past 25 years the past year is an unwanted blip which due to non factual media reporting the government has over reacted to. We do seem very good at own goals.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Expat

We preach market forces but constrain the market capacity left right and centre.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

Unfortunately if you are the only nation really playing the free market game on a global stage where everyone else is play a protectionist game or even a full blown mercantile strategy you’re going to take a hit. The free market only works on an even playing field…..

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago

👍

Jon
Jon
1 year ago

There’s at least one lesson from the Falklands we haven’t learned yet: if you keep signalling that it’s all right for you to be kicked in the nuts, don’t be surprised if you get kicked in the nuts. We should have screamed and shouted back at the Litvinenko murder in 2006, or even earlier, but we hushed it up instead. We countered the invasion of Georgia with the 2010 review and continual defence cuts for the following ten years. The Skripal affair was met with harsh words and a mutual expulsion of a few diplomats. It wasn’t until the end… Read more »

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

I couldn’t agree more.

Retire T1 Typhoon without replacement is the same as selling carriers to AUS.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago

Now there’s an idea… about the carrrier!
Lol 😁 🇦🇺 🇬🇧 We could even share it with our NZ cuzzies next door as it’s not nuclear powered.

Steve M
Steve M
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

As part of the tilt East we could do swap/share, we base a QE perm in AUS with F-35’s AUS base a canberra in UK give us better amphib (shame cant operate few F-35s off them). Of course fanatsy Navy would have AUS buying 2 of QE’s and UK having a couple of Canberra type but that won’t happpen.

Last edited 1 year ago by Steve M
DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  Steve M

F35B will work fine off Canberra class. Just needs deck treatment similar to QE class (which all ships operating F35 B on a regular basis have required). Rest of it is overhyped nonsense. Canberra class is basically the same below deck as JC1 (which was designed with the idea of operating F35B). Extra bulkhead in magazine & slightly less aviation fuel). Every thing else is still there as it would have cost extra to remove. Would it be free – no – but you can’t even integrate a different helicopter for free.

DFJ123
DFJ123
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

Excellent point.

Frank62
Frank62
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

Indeed, HMG has form for soundbite, “Lessons will be learened” while doing diddly squat or racing in the opposite direction. No money for the things the country needs but loads being syphoned off by Tory backers.

HMG is finally beginning to wake up to the nightmare they’ve caused. The peace dividend/Russian/Chinese mask has slipped. Public awareness of our weak defence & the threats we face is growing.

David Steeper
1 year ago
Reply to  Frank62

‘No money for the things the country needs but loads being siphoned off to Tory backers’ You could be right. We’ll know if you’re right when we see the Labour manifesto and what they intend to do with all the money the Tories have siphoned off to their backers.

David Steeper
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

I think things did change after Salisbury we just weren’t told about it. We maybe only got the first glimpse in the run up to and since the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

Indeed you are correct, Russia deployed nuclear and Biological weapons on British soil causing the death and significant harm to British citizens. In reality that was an artic 5 trigger event. The UK government should have forced a far firmer response with an NATO countries place “isolation level” sanctions on Russia or we are going start the process for triggering article five…western weakness is a problem..it’s not just Russian and china become emboldened but the western world looks weak to the wider unaligned world and countries fall into the sphere of china and Russia.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

I wonder which large NATO countries would have put the brakes on that Germany (gas) and France (Mistral, avionics, gun sights….) maybe…..

Bringer of facts
Bringer of facts
1 year ago

Attrition is the missed lesson here, when fighting a peer matched/ near opponent, you need the numbers.

DFJ123
DFJ123
1 year ago

Technology is an advantage, it’s important to learn lessons and adapt, working with others makes you stronger. Thank f*ck for this bloke, who else could have figured out that these things are important? If it hadn’t kicked off in Ukraine, how could we ever possibly have known these futuristic concepts? Honestly, why don’t we give him a crack at curing cancer or figuring out faster than light travel next. We are so f*cked if this is the intellectual level of British Army leadership. You take three lessons from the Ukrainian conflict and one of them is not related to nuclear… Read more »

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
1 year ago
Reply to  DFJ123

I think,to be fair, he is Com Strat Com, which is not the British Army but a tri service command of hi-tech enablers, SF, Intell, Comms, and other stuff.

That excuse aside, I broadly agree.

David
David
1 year ago

No particular order.Kill the enemies drones would be priority number 1. Lasers will soon make drones vulnerable. Kill the enemies ability to use satellites and stand off aircraft to observe you force movements and target them number 2. This means missile and space based Interceptors. XL range SAM such as SM-6. GBAD in large quantity with capacity to take some attrition number inclding ABM ar 3 Long raise cruise and hypersonic systems to target the enemy supply. Manufacture, shipping and command and control number 4. Huge stock numbers of FCASW and precision strike missile and buy into US/Aus hypersonic solutions.… Read more »

Marked
Marked
1 year ago

Missed 3 obvious ones

Miniscule numbers of troops can’t hold a front line of any relevance
Miniscule numbers of tanks without reserves will be gone in no time
Air power without defence suppression armament is no use anywhere near the front line.

Never mind though, lots of management speak will compensate for that…

PaulW
PaulW
1 year ago

Another reasonable lesson is that economics and security are related. Unless you like being ignored in G7 meetings. 😂

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  PaulW

Money and industrial capacity always matter in war….in WW2 Germany had quit frankly a far better army/airforce and technology, full of utter fanatics… it’s problem was it ended up making war on three powers that utterly out produced it in regards to military and non military industrial capabilities…the Germans may have perfected armoured and combined arms warfare…but their industrial capabilities were utterly outmatched and they ended up buried under an avalanche of stuff.

DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Their stupidity was taking on Russia & opening a 2nd front, without first defeating the 1st front. Yes France had fallen. But Britain & its Commonwealth allies could fight a long range war in a way few others could.

David Steeper
1 year ago
Reply to  DJ

Youtube channel
TiK History
The MAIN reason Germany lost WW2 – OIL

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Incredible fact. By the end of 1941 British war industrial production was already out matching Germany’s. They never caught us up. We continued to out produce Germany all the way until the end of the war.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago

Everyone has learnt lessons from Ukraine, the biggest lesson is for nonce Putin however, that being don’t over estimate your ability and underestimate your enemy!

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago

Lesson number 42, Russian Armour Doctrine: All T series tank turrets to be fitted with a parachute!

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

😂😂😂😂😂

fearlesstunafish
fearlesstunafish
1 year ago

main lesson: defense needs funding!!!

George Parker
George Parker
1 year ago

The very first lesson he should have announced was cutting back the British Armed Forces after the end of the Cold War, was a huge mistake! It has left us in a precarious position should war breakout. With insufficient manpower to effectively train conscripts while fielding a viable fighting force. Worse still, for many years the size of our army has been insufficient to maintain a viable military industrial base. What little remains has almost no surge capacity to rapidly re-arm in times of crisis. It’s going to take decades to recover from this foolishness. That’s assuming recovery is possible… Read more »

RobW
RobW
1 year ago

Lessons to learn? There is nothing new aside from the use of drones and the need to counter them.

Otherwise, its long range fires, ammunition, control the skies, combined arms……

Nothing new, just lessons forgotten.

DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  RobW

Too many rely too much on the digital revolution & forget that when it fails, you revert back to what came before & what came before that. Bayonets were actually used during the Falklands war. Ukraine conflict has reverted to WW1 trench warfare. Modern high end weapons in the main, cost a fortune & take the WW1 equivalent of a battleship (time wise & money wise) to build. High intensity modern warfare cannot wait 3-4 years to build a fighter or a warship or a tank. They can still knock out 105, 155 & 127 artillery shells or 12.7, 7.62,… Read more »

Expat
Expat
1 year ago

So I’ll go against the grain here. These Typhoons don’t have a high resale value but as we know aircraft have support costs. These wouldn’t be gifts there would be cost to support provided by Bae and RR. They have good life left on them and therefore good support revenue is possible for the next 15 years. Revenue = tax = defence funds. There’s 20 T1 in storage and 10 flying. Upgrade cost of these are high as they’re are different structurally to the T2 and T3. Link We know we need to upgrade T3 and T2 with new radar,… Read more »

Louis
Louis
1 year ago
Reply to  Expat

Given we make a large percentage of all Typhoons there will be elements of building Typhoons in the UK even if final assembly will dry up once the Qatari Typhoons have been delivered. T2 Typhoon should receive the same upgrade as T3 and I would focus on that first before thinking about extra orders. Once that happens an extra 20 or so aircraft to keep 7 frontline squadrons would be good. I would prefer extra F35B however and whilst some may want British made aircraft we’ve had quite a good run with Typhoon as of the four countries we make… Read more »

Expat
Expat
1 year ago
Reply to  Louis

Maybe but by next year we won’t be producing a fast jet. Imagine saying we won’t be building an UK warship just making parts! Pretty sad for a country that pioneered the fast jets and built iconic aircraft like the Vulcan and Concord. We do have strong aerospace manufacturing industry but its future is largely in the hands of others.

Louis
Louis
1 year ago
Reply to  Expat

Doesn’t really mean anything in reality though does it.
No expertise will be lost as BAE is upgrading Typhoon for the RAF and making parts for other nations, making parts for F35.
Tempest will come and I assume there’ll be 3 production lines, one in Japan, UK and Italy. Hopefully exports will come.
Tempest isn’t really in the hands of others, nor is Aeralis. Helicopter production is in the hands of others but UK assembly is likely.

Expat
Expat
1 year ago
Reply to  Louis

We do aircraft upgrade hear in the UK all the time, Marshalls is a great example but ask Marshalls to assemble a new airframe they would need assistance. Upgrades and maintenance are quite different to new build and production line setup. Qatar Typhoon run will finish next year and Tempest won’t go full production to some time 2030s. Even upgrades for Typhoon won’t start untill near end of the decade and tge first upgrade will be the simpler T3, so not an intrusive upgrade and hardly comparable to new build. Aeralis prototype will fly 2025, so that’s not going to… Read more »

Louis
Louis
1 year ago
Reply to  Expat

BAE have more than enough to keep them occupied.
-Upgrading Typhoons
-Building around 40% of all Typhoons.
-30% of each Gripen is built here
-15% of each F35 is built here

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago

Really??? Learning lessons. I’m not so sure. Lesson 1) numbers count, attrition in war is inevitable. Therefore the UK military needs enough personnel to cope with attrition. Losing warships, submarines, jets, helicopters, tanks, IFVs, APCs, SPGs, MLRS units is not a odd phenomenon that only happens to the enemy. 2) Cheap UAVs and suicide drones matter. If quiet and stealthy they are hard to detect and to counter. 3) outraging the enemy with long range accurate fire counts. Ergo MLRS, HIMARS units that can shoot and scoot are crucial for the army. 3) The era of the MBT is not… Read more »

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago

Reuters has just broadcast a story of the Ukrainian defence minister standing in a field in front of a C2 stating the tanks had arrived in Ukraine. Won’t be long now until they have their combat debut. May God bless them and all who ride in them. Slava Ukraine

Farouk
Farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

Just come across this picture, dont know if it is real:
https://i.postimg.cc/HsrKQ2F5/Fs-UGa-Zc-Ww-AY-Jae.jpg

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  Farouk

I think it is. Looks similar to the tank displayed behind the Ukrainian defence minister. ERA fitted. Additional front armour. No remote weapons turret on roof. Disappointing. Hopefully plenty infantry will fight alongside to target any suicide drones. A good old machine gun is usually adequate defence Vs drones.

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

The picture on sky news does include a C2 with remote weapons stations for machine guns- no ERA on this one- but I know they can be fitted from a supplied kit.

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-live-updates-putins-plan-for-nuclear-super-torpedoes-in-pacific-ocean-12541713
Its on this thread here- clear as day- a C2 with remote weapons station- all present and correct

simon alexander
simon alexander
1 year ago

for those who decried the afghan pull out, look at the Ukrainians willing to fight for their country, we cannot impose nation building lets support emerging democracies where viable.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago

👍

IKnowNothing
IKnowNothing
1 year ago

Drone defence seems to be an area where there is little or nothing out there at the moment. Sure in the longer term, this might be where lasers come into play. But in the interim, it looks like units across the battle space are going to need a system for spotting and downing a range of low and slow flying drones. System like the 40mm CTAS have round intended for air defence that might be well suited to the role. They will need combining with effective search systems and deploying with most if not all units as their ranges are… Read more »

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  IKnowNothing

Drone defence- vs suicide or small commercially available drones is usually easily achieved with a simple GPMG. A remote weapons station with ideally some form of radar or tracking system would be fine to remove the threat.

IKnowNothing
IKnowNothing
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

that may be true with the present generation of non-manouvering drones, but when they learn to jink and dodge, human aiming may become less effective?

Alexander King
Alexander King
1 year ago

….I hope this means bringing back munitions manufacturingto the uk.
i remember when it was first moved to India and the quality wasn’t what it should’ve been risking our troops lives…. time for politicians to stop being stupid just to save a few pounds !!!

Paul.P
Paul.P
1 year ago

Lesson number 1; make sure your Archbishop isn’t a member of the KGB 🙂
https://pjmedia.com/columns/robert-spencer/2023/03/24/why-zelensky-is-cracking-down-on-the-church-n1681182

Tom
Tom
1 year ago

Most people have probably ‘jogged on’ from this topic. I would however, like to table a proposal, that the UK leaves NATO, and declares itself as a neutral country. Why? We do not have a credible Army any more. The Airforce needs double the amount of aircraft it currently has, so sell on what we have to whoever wants it. The Navy wants/needs/requires all manner of ships to look after the UK, let alone anyone else. No political party is interested in the UK armed forces. Some (like the greens) would love to see everything disbanded, and for us all… Read more »

Val
Val
1 year ago

Lessons over everything. So many that have to be learnt. Every situation where the last lessons were not learnt or a next situation is so different, no lesson means anything from before.