In a recent report by the Defence Committee, it has been alleged that the UK government is only committing to the “bare minimum” of the necessary defence spending.

The information came to light after correspondence between the Committee and the Secretary of State for Defence was published alongside the Government’s response to the report, “Special Relationships? US, UK, and NATO?”

The Defence Committee has asserted that the UK government is merely adhering to the “bare minimum” in terms of defence expenditure in the current geopolitical and macroeconomic scenario. This information was disclosed by Tobias Ellwood, the Chair of the Defence Committee, in his letter to the Secretary of State for Defence, Ben Wallace. This follows the Government’s response to the Committee’s report, published earlier this year in March.

In its response, the UK government reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining defence spending at a minimum of 2% of GDP. However, Ellwood raised concern that UK spending as a proportion of GDP may soon be surpassed by Germany and France.

“This investment is the ‘bare minimum’ required in the current geopolitical and macroeconomic context,” Ellwood wrote, posing the question of whether the Government is troubled by the looming possibility of being overtaken in defence spending by other major European powers.

In addition to the spending issue, the Defence Committee has requested more information about the UK’s role within NATO, particularly post-Ukraine conflict. The UK government claimed that it has been leading initiatives within the NATO alliance on industrial capacity and stockpile replenishment, following the Ukrainian conflict.

“The Committee calls for the Secretary of State to provide more information on what this leadership has involved, and what the Government has achieved in this area so far,” the report notes.

Tom has spent the last 13 years working in the defence industry, specifically military and commercial shipbuilding. His work has taken him around Europe and the Far East, he is currently based in Scotland.
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Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach
8 months ago

We are being left behind by almost every major power, if not now than in the near future. I’m only glad that most of them are on our side. China, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Poland are all moving forward. We have two conventional advantages over some, namely seven attack boats and two carriers and I won’t comment on the latter. Apart from that we are stagnating and if any of the leaked performance criteria are right it’s about to get worse.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
8 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

Indeed, further cuts to the Army are starting to appear.

We can achieve more with less seems to be the current plan of action, a total disgrace and a very poor reflection on the members of our armed services who rate amoung the very best in the world if not the very best.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Which further cuts?

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
8 months ago

A reduction in army numbers to 73,000, but let’s wait and see.

It appears we might be taking the Dad’s Army approach. Let’s hope they are only kidding Mr Putin!

LINK

Last edited 8 months ago by Nigel Collins
Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

That’s what I mean, they’ve long been announced, so they’re not “further cuts starting to appear.”

I thought you’d read of something new that I had missed.

If, in the DCP, there are no further headcount losses but reform of the army ORBAT, meaning its deployable brigades, CS CSS and RA up lifts then that’s all a positive.

An army of 73 or 75 or 76 thousand is little different without the kit, logistics, and organisation to effectively deploy at the scale of 1 Division, as mandated years ago by HMG.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Just looked at that link.

73 ok is long announced, old news.

Establishment of the GRF….That was a few years ago!

Ex regulars in a reserve force? Yes, the Regular Reserve, been around since time began.

That’s a list of re announcements, of which HMG are notorious, and old news mate.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
8 months ago

Yes well aware of the reserve force, I served in them for 4yrs.

Thank you for the update.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Ah, so you’re ex military too Nigel. Don’t recall you ever mentioning.

What Corps?

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
8 months ago

I was stationed at the Duke of Yorks in Chelsea spending many hours running around the track and map reading!

https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/images/ic/640×360/p091vqw7.jpg

Last edited 8 months ago by Nigel Collins
Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Interesting….I’m aware who used to be located at DoY Bks.

Last edited 8 months ago by Daniele Mandelli
Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
8 months ago

Two buildings inside the gate (with security) on the left-hand side.

Deep32
Deep32
8 months ago

Hi mate, this will make you cry, just seen on ‘Breaking Defense’ the UK is apparently going to cut the number of NMH cabs from a maximum of 44 to somewhere between 25-35 cabs (25 then!!). Apparently due to funding issues no less!! Still no announcement on when/which cab or when we might expect it in service. So yet again, less to do more. There comes a point when enough is enough. Either fund it properly, or get out of the helicopter lift business altogether – last person to leave please switch off the lights!! This came out at RIAT… Read more »

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Deep32

No real surprise is it. Just buy a cheaper OTS to get the number needed, don’t fiddle. Then we get the Comments UK industry need and so on.

So I ask again, is the Defence budget for the UK MILITARY OR UK INDUSTRY?

Sooner or later we must decide, or the military shrinks to zero.

Having said that, I’d settle for 30 and leave the Dauphins out if it. I don’t get why they’re in there.

Jonathan
Jonathan
8 months ago

For some things that are luxury nice to haves you decide what you are going to spend and get however much you can for the money you allocated….for things that are necessary you have to decide how much/many you need, find the best over all deal ( in the long term not short term) then you need to stump up the cash..not decide how much cash you want to spend then buy the number you can get…HMG seems to have forgotten that simple truth. There are essentially two different paradigms for spending money on nice to haves vs needs to… Read more »

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Hopefully, all is not lost, if we can get to 30.
As I said in another post, 44 was way over what the force was using by my estimate? We only have 24 Puma.

3 Bell for SAR in Cyprus, 6 Dauphin for UK SF, 3? for the JWS in Brunei.
They’re not the vital BF role you rightly mention.

The only possible positives I can see?

Jonathan
Jonathan
8 months ago

Good Point, the really important role is the puma replacement for that the RAF need a 20,000ib max take off proper medium lift rotor to replace the 24 puma on a one to one..I really don’t understand why you would bother replacing the 6 +2 Dauphin to be honest as they are only 10 ish years old..but if you are why the hell replace them with a 20,000Ib take or weight full fat military medium lift ? As for the bells, just replace them with a civilian rotor. So your right 30 would fine…just replace the dauphins and bells with… Read more »

Hermes
Hermes
8 months ago

It should be for both.
To have a strong army, you need a strong industry.

Sky Blue One
Sky Blue One
8 months ago

The issue with the Dauphins is that they were never future proofed, they are what they were. We purchased them as a replacement for the A109’s with not much in the way of any upgrade in capability (slightly more power and ever so slightly more cabin space) and designed to carry the 4 man Light Assault Team’s (LAT’s) of the day plus a 3 man crew. In the time that we’ve been operating them the LAT’s compositions have changed significantly in regards to numbers and equipment and the N3s just aren’t cutting it anymore. It’s not uncommon for them to… Read more »

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Sky Blue One

Ah, so that’s why a bigger type is needed for 658. Thank you.

657…another capability never replaced. What happened to the 4 SF Wildcats? For a time that rumour seemed a firmer one?

Sky Blue One
Sky Blue One
8 months ago

What I can tell you is that many of the former AAC Sqn numbers that were disbanded in recent years have been reintroduced as HQ Sqn’s. For example 654 Sqn that had previously been disbanded has returned as 654 (HQ) Sqn, 4 AAC. The 657 Sqn number has not been used for this as it was to be held back for re-introduction in the future. There was an option tabled for 657 Sqn to convert to WC on the retirement of Lynx 9a, however DSF’s opinion was that this would be pointless as it couldn’t fit the requirement and that… Read more »

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Sky Blue One

Yes, that type has supporters here, including me. And you going by past comments.
Thanks for the detailed comments mate.

Sky Blue One
Sky Blue One
8 months ago

👍

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Is that you on the left Nigel?

Dern
Dern
8 months ago

https://www.forces.net/services/army/former-soldiers-could-be-called-join-reserves-regular-army-size-shrinks-says-report

Regular Reserve has been around but it’s been allowed to completely atrophy. Hasn’t been exercised since the 1990’s so nice to see it coming back.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

Is that so, I did not know.
I agree, and it forms a part of your own ORBAT set up mate. 😀

In the 2010 cuts, the AR, not RR, was to be expanded to cover that reduction too. They always use the same old ideas.

Them mentioning the GRF as being a “new” force is excruciating, unless it is being vastly expanded. 1 Div maybe rather than 16AA?

Dern
Dern
8 months ago

Didn’t want to be smug. As for the GRF, hard to say, too much rumours and press leaks happening, I do t think 1 XX in full will be a GRF though, 7X in light mech will be a bit difficult to punch out the door on 5 days NTM, even if we had the lift. Maybe 4X and 16X combined to provide 2 battlegroups “at readyness” with 7X as a follow up battlegroup? Seems like Field Army is going to get quite a reorg. Throwing a guess out there but: Maybe a light, heavy, reserve 3 division structure and… Read more »

Last edited 8 months ago by Dern
Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

We shall see. It is going to be chaos reorganizing the ORBAT files again if we get that sort of wholesale reorg. On 7x, could it be a 3rd manoeuvre Bde in 3xx? I know it does not have the armour beyond Foxhound. I guess I’m visualizing a modern day 24 AM Bde, without the air mobility, In depth behind 12 and 20X with beefed up ATGW, precision fires. Probably unfeasible murmurings on my part. Or, and we’ve touched on this before, dedicate it to Norway and introduce the arctic role more widely to the army? The new NATO force… Read more »

Dern
Dern
8 months ago

So you’re visualising a mechanised force on wheeled protected mobility vehicles that can act as a sort of fast moving, self deploying brigade in support of the armoured brigades? Possibly on Boxer? Okay Nick Carter 😂

I could see it though, with 4, 11 and 16 remaining in 1XX as the GRF.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

Yes, suppose I am. At least that is an uplift and not cutting the heavies for it. And I’m keeping Tanks!

What always annoys is, beyond the need to cut, I don’t see why they did not just use one of the two deployable Bdes that had CS CSS at that time ( out of the 7 in 1 UK Div back in A2020 days ) for the Strike role and keep the 3 AI Bdes as is.

Carter….

Dern
Dern
8 months ago

Didn’t some of the CS and CSS from 1 XX come over to 3 XX to make 2 Strike Brigades possible?

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

It gets harder to track with each year with the changes, but yes, 1 Bde worth of CS and CSS was found from 1XX, and 1 from 3XX, 1AI X. So 3 AI Bdes reduced to 2, 1 becoming a Strike Bde, and the other Bde which would have come from 1 UK never fully formed as it was that Strike Experimental Group. The key point for me is, until A2020R, we had 6 deployable Bdes that had their CS CSS. 3UK. 1, 12, 20 AI Bdes. 16 AA Bde. In 1 UK, 7 inf Bde, and one or other… Read more »

Dern
Dern
8 months ago

Army 2020 (2015)
https://i.imgur.com/QOo4hxU.png

Army 2020 Refine (2018)
https://i.imgur.com/YpW01gn.png

Nothing was organic to the brigades in 1 XX, all was held under their own capbadged brigades elswhere in the force structure in both set ups. 2 Med in Rutland was the one that disbanded, and even then it wasn’t a true disband, as the squadrons simply where moved to other Regiments. (I think they used 2 Med to beef up 5 and 3 to be Strike CSS).

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

Yes, that’s right. Was the same set up with 3 Div. I never got why they grouped the likes of the RE and RA regs in their own groups and the CS Sig Regs in another rather than just binning those formations and grouping them directly. I don’t recall such pre 2010? 1 UKs Bdes always stood out as pretty bare on the RS side apart from the divisional Reg at York. Assume that reflected the less complex Bde assets? I still struggle with the RAMC internal Sqn movements and the 2 FH are becoming MMR next month I think… Read more »

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

Another reorg? That’s unbelievable. Still if we get a better Orbat from the one in FS, why not?
Perhaps its also time to lok at the organic transport for light role battalions. Daniele and I were exchanging posts about this – not sure if they have just got quad bikes and a handful (Bn pool) of TCVs.

Dern
Dern
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

I don’t think we’ll see huge changes below brigade level personally, mostly just resubordination of 1* assets. (My thought), so eh. I recon Daniele is right, and we’ll get 7 X in 3 XX, 16 X in 1 XX, 77, 11 and maybe 19 X in Force Troops, and maybe LWC in Home Command. I don’t think you’ll see any investment in organic life for Light Role battalions beyond what already is planned. For starters there aren’t many left (only 19X and 4X are light role atm, the chances of 19X getting any sort of deployable uplift are 0, and… Read more »

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

Ben Wallace spoke for little more than 14 mins by way of briefing Parliament on DCP 2023 today – and incredibly failed to mention manpower numbers, deployed operations, structure and details about specific equipment procurements.
That quite took my breath away.

Think I’ll read the document now to see if the above is covered.

14x – thought they folded on 31 Oct 44.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

Mate, I have read the nitty gritty that we are after, that is unit and structural changes, so primarily the army, will be in their internal “Project Wavell”
Not yet released.
HMG make this hard so it is difficult to keep track of, little cuts here and there missed by most, subtle changes that impact capability.
Defence policy, finance, structure should be agreed in croos party Parliament for 10 years to give some certainty. Till then, it is at the whim of Politicians ideologies and priorities.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago

Thanks. Not sure when ‘Project Wavell’ will report.
John Healey criticised Wallace for the lack of cross-party consultation.
I have not read the DCP but will look at it in the next day or two.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

You’ll need a few spare, bored hours! It’s a long splurge of buzzwords, refs to how much extra is in the budget, and long existing capabilities rehashed as new and ground breaking. It’s a good generalisation for the average civilian with next to no military knowledge.

Wallace states on the 1st page that there is no detail on platforms or new purchases because “We stand by what we said in 2021”

I did pick out various sentences of interest, including the same old contradictions.

Dern
Dern
8 months ago

I think Wavell is due out in the next month or two.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

Ah, thanks mate, then we can judge properly.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago

Thanks mate. The whole point (only point) of course of the 2023 ‘Refresh’ was to fully take on board the lessons from the war in Ukraine. Wallace specifically had said that he would look again at tank numbers yet I bet we still lose the 3rd armd regt and upgrade only 148 tanks.
Similarly I understand the army still comes down to 73k regs. He made a weid remark apparently that if we went back to 82k, then those ‘extra’ troops would only be armed with ‘pitchforks’! What do they have today? Certainly not pitchforks.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

What he meant by that remark was that he’d need, by his estimation, 5 billion to equip them properly, be that IWs, vehicles, ATGW, and all the rest. Then pay and personnel allowances, and all the rest. And that would come from the wider defence equipment budget, which would wreck other areas. And in that I can see his point, and have said it here before. An army of 73K CAN form a fully equipped Armoured Division, with extras like 16AA and the tail, as mandated by HMG in 2010. It needs to be equipped properly, organised properly, given the… Read more »

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago

Thanks Daniele. Current defence budget (this years) is set up to pay 82k soldiers (I knowwe have fewer in practice but budget is set to Unit Establishment figures), supply them with accomodation, personal kit, weapons, vehicles. Clearly a decision has been made to buy something else (who knows what – it could be army, navy or air force kit or to spend money on married quartes imrpovements – really, anything) within the defence budget and to balance the books therefore by cutting manpower numbers. If navy or RAF numbers were cut by several thousand then we would not be able… Read more »

Dern
Dern
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

14X I meant 4X of course.

As Daniele said, we weren’t going to get the nitty gritty, as much as I was hoping for some crumbs (or being able to talk about things I already know), but no such luck.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

Dern, I left the army in 2009, aged 53. I got a letter saying I was now in the Regular Army Reserve of Officers (RARO), but I was not given any kit to retain and the annual reporting/briefing requirement had long since disappeared – I heard on the grapevine that previously you reported somewhere annually, your retained kit was checked (exchanges done if required), you got a briefing on ‘todays army’ and a days pay! I did not get that or a letter later (at age 60 or 65?) to say that my reserve service period had ended. Really slack… Read more »

Last edited 8 months ago by Graham M
Dern
Dern
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

It wasn’t required. During the cold war the Regular Reserve existed essentially as the core of the next “Kitcheners Army,” growing the next wave of soldiers while the Regulars and TA fought it out with the Russians in Germany. Once we moved to stabilising and peacekeeping operations in Kosovo, Bosnia, Iraq, and Afghan the need to surge a strategic reserve really did go away (we never even surged a TA battalion!). In terms of things to cut for saving money, it’s hard to disagree with letting the RR slide in favour of keeping actual regular formations, since it’s also relatively… Read more »

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

Thanks mate. I wouldn’t have thought it cost much to run the RR scheme per year, so perhaps it was because there was no perceived need, post Cold War, as you say. Your Orbat, kit and vehicles point is key – some think that there is not enough kit for the AR, let alone the RR.

Last edited 8 months ago by Graham M
Reyhan FADIL
Reyhan FADIL
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Recruitment freeze, I believe I’s now in place. Very convient, numbers down, so less redundancy payments abd reinforces the narrative, that the army can’t increase numbers.
Another joker in the pack, ULEZ, it means any unit within the zone, will struggle to recruit Reservists, as they have to pay the cost to enter the zone to train out of there own pocket.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
8 months ago
Reply to  Reyhan FADIL

And so it goes on.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

That was announced in March 2021.

Frank62
Frank62
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Funny how doing more with less never applies to board pay, shareholder dividends, executive bonuses, MP’s pay or perks.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
8 months ago
Reply to  Frank62

Of course not!

Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

There’s an old saying Nigel isn’t there which is “it’s always the poor bloody foot soldiers” or something to that effect. Either way it’s always those at the front who suffer because of decisions made by those in comfy seats in London.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
8 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

Exactly, their belts unable to cope with the excess weight due to the amount of food and drink they have consumed!

Last edited 8 months ago by Nigel Collins
geoff.Roach
geoff.Roach
8 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

🍷🧀😀

Ross
Ross
8 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

Completely agree, our spending, and also just as importantly our ‘bang for our buck’ are woefully beneath our actual national security needs. Years of governments of every colour salami slicing our defence base sadly!

Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach
8 months ago
Reply to  Ross

As you say, Ross, money is not everything. Our decision making, time wasting and procurement are woeful.

maurice10
maurice10
8 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

Apart from Japan, all the other nations you mentioned are not islands and that is key here. Successive UK Governments have always hidden behind the fact we are an island thus giving us additional protection. This mindset is also evident in how much we are prepared to spend on defence. Sadly, the Defence Secretary position is not perceived as a key one around the Cabinet table and it’s unlikely to change in the near future. When military crises occur then and only then does defence get the priority it needs, but once it subsides the Government quickly returns to type.

Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach
8 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

I do think “the moat” has been used as an excuse but now all the emphasis is on global Britain and we can’t do that without a powerful FULLY EQUIPPED navy. The RAF is being trimmed by a lack of fulfilling proper procurement and as for the army…
All three services can be improved without huge injections of cash. I just wonder whether anyone has the imagination to take the decisions.

maurice10
maurice10
8 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

The Moat has been just that in the British psyche throughout history and it still persists if only in our subconscious.
In regards to ‘Global Britain’ the RN will receive the giant’s share going forward if the Chinese Navy aspirations continues to expand.

geoff.Roach
geoff.Roach
8 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Has to be really. The one force that makes the UK part of the worlds elite.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

I always recall it being said that ‘Defence’ was one of the 4 major offices of State.

Paul C
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

Nope, the 4 great offices of state are PM, chancellor, home secretary and foreign secretary.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Paul C

Ah, OK. Then maybe Defence was fifth?

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

G Brown had DS G Ainsworth hold two positions I recall!

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago

Yes, that was insane – and very insulting to our armed forces to have a part-time DS.

Paul C
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

If it isn’t then it should be. Equal to home secretary and foreign secretary in my books.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Paul C

Given that the first duty of Government is to protect the Nation and the People…I fully agree with you.

maurice10
maurice10
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

Sadly Graham M, defence does not generate votes unless there is a national military emergency. Due to that fact, it gets hit on a more regular basis than other more voter-sensitive departments by the Chancellor.

Tim
Tim
8 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

The uk is still one of the most powerful military’s on earth still more powerful than Germany and France Italy and Poland lol come on Poland yes they have announced a big buy in some land vehicles but look at there airforce and navy the uk definitely needs to spend more on assets but we are still a powerful military

Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach
8 months ago
Reply to  Tim

No argument that we are a power but we’re standing still at best and with the army we’re going backwards. We are trying to be all things to all men and it’s not working.

David
David
8 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

All the services have been going backwards since the 1950s. Cut after cut after cut, with seemingly no end. That’s the truth. But there are always people prepared to say how it’s not that bad. Time to wake up! There is a full on war in Europe. At least Chamberlain started rearming. This lot just keep cutting.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  David

Regualr army numbers have been cut once or twice a decade since the end of the Korean War (1953). Can you imagine governments doing that with the NHS, fire service etc?

David
David
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

Quite. And I suspect bureaucrat numbers have consistently gone the other way…….

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  David

MoD Civil Servants (CS) numbers have gone down and down – some say that is one reason for the many procurement cock-ups.
CS numbers elsewhere have risen, of course.

geoff.Roach
geoff.Roach
8 months ago
Reply to  David

Very true. The ” everything is ok ” argument when it’s blatantly obvious that things not okay drives me crazy. A good point made by Challenger below is that it’s not just the money, it’s what we do with it.

The Artist Formerly Known As Los Pollos Chicken
The Artist Formerly Known As Los Pollos Chicken
8 months ago

This is all deliberate it’s no accident our armed forces are being and have been systematically run into the ground for decades. There is clearly some hidden hand that does not want the U.K. or any western nation other than the US able to operate unilaterally. Back when things were fresh in 1988 as a lad I picked up a leaflet at Leuchars air show in it HM had 160,000 in the regular army, 90,000 in the RAF and a navy of 59,000 (excluding RM) It is simply statistically impossible for every government for the last 40 years to keep… Read more »

Challenger
Challenger
8 months ago

Oh for god’s sake. All anyone ever focuses on is spending, spending, spending!!! We don’t have a small/underfunded defence budget by any means! Granted lumping stuff like pensions in does distort matters a bit but it’s hovering around 2.2% (£45+ billion) and even with inflation the recent commitment to an injection of further cash will push it closer to 2.5%. It’s how we spend the money that gets nowhere near enough focus. Dither/delay, changing requirements every 5 minutes, demanding UK specific modifications to off the shelf kit and gold plating niche UK equipment that has no eye on the export… Read more »

Jonno
Jonno
8 months ago
Reply to  Challenger

I think someone needs to square with the British public about how there is a full scale war going on in Europe and that it has thrown up the fact we need to spend a lot of funds on catch up because Defence has been starved of money for too long. This had to be done during the Korean War, when it all fell on the Army and Navy because the RAF had virtually no planes that weren’t hopelessly outclassed. The Navy scraped through heroically with the bare minimum and the Army likewise. The RAF were caught out by a… Read more »

David
David
8 months ago
Reply to  Challenger

Chronic short termism. And ask anyone who has ever been involved in procuring complex projects how to make it go wrong. Keep introducing changes will be the answer.

geoff.Roach
geoff.Roach
8 months ago
Reply to  Challenger

Bang on, my friend. Confusion seems to be the biggest single problem with U.K. defence and focus is the other magic word. We could greatly improve our capabilities now given some thought.

Andrew D
Andrew D
8 months ago

According to the Daily telegraph HMG want x Soilders to be part of the Reserve force ,and yet talk going on about cutting 10.000 troops honestly what the hell is going on .AFV 40-50 some 60yrs old .Losing Ben Wallace who been a fine defence minister get a grip HMG .🙄 🇬🇧

Dern
Dern
8 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

It’s nothing new, and any soldier who bothers to look at their contract will find that they are retained as a reserve for a few years after signing off. It’s called the Regular Reserve and until the 90’s it used to get activated on a regular basis to check that they could be called up.

Andrew D
Andrew D
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

I know this but still .🙄

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

77k to 73k is not 10,000 troops. We are way below the 82K figure and that is not currently attainable.

As Dern says, the RR existed before and differs from the old TA, now the AR.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

Its cheaper to have 10,000 Reservists than 10,000 Regulars. Simple as that.

Micki
Micki
8 months ago

With massive cuts after the cold war Britain is no longer a military super power except maybe for the navy, countries as Italy have a more powerful army than Britain now, even Spain has more MBT and artillery than the British army, very sad.
And the problem is that things Will no change in the near future

Rob Young
Rob Young
8 months ago
Reply to  Micki

I don’t mind the fact that countries like Italy having a more powerful army or Spain having more tanks. They’re on our side so the more they have the better. What I object to is the fact we don’t have enough across the board to meet OUR needs!

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Micki

No one here ever says the UK IS a superpower. There are only one, maybe two of those.
We are a major power, or a premier medium power, and remain so.
Spain and Italy’s armies have more Tanks and artillery…that does not make them greater powers than the UK.
Where are their naval, air, nuclear, and intelligence capabilities, and when did they last project military power at any scale over distance?

Ross
Ross
8 months ago

Well put Daniele, Britain does have a few very significant aces one might say, and we still retain world class special forces and bases in several important areas.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Ross

For the moment. Those areas and HM opposition I’m, frankly, terrified.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago

We are a medium size global power. Some do not understand that and think that we can’t be a global power because we have smaller armed forces that the USA, a superpower. They of course are wrong. 5 years ago the Henry Jackson Society & ‘European Geostrategy’ ranked us 2nd to the US and stated that we were the only other global power in the world. Its probably not changed despite some further armed forces cutbacks since then as global power is so much more than the size of the manpower in the forces. https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/new-study-ranks-britain-second-powerful-country-world/ Many countries with larger forces… Read more »

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

I’m of the same view mate.

Richard Beedall
Richard Beedall
8 months ago

It seems certain that next weeks defence command paper will rubber stamp further cuts in regular personnel (particularly to the Army) from current level, whilst headlining the MODs investments in advanced weapons (lasers, robotics, AI, UCAV’s, cyberwarfare, space ..). If and when these super weapons finally arrive (in the 2030’s presumably) in trivial numbers, it may be too late. The UK armed forces need deployable mass now as Russia edges towards chaos, and China wonders if a window of opportunity to invade Taiwan has opened. The current policy of a de facto ’10 year’ rule is madness. The world political… Read more »

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago

Hitler put a lot of faith in super weapons – and lost the war!

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago

DCP may be released today.

Frank62
Frank62
8 months ago

When numbers are already below what we need to fulfil our security & commitments, plus capabilities gapped, I’d say it’s worse than that.

Mr Greenhorn
Mr Greenhorn
8 months ago
Reply to  Frank62
Frank62
Frank62
8 months ago
Reply to  Mr Greenhorn

Yes, that was 2013. I doubt many would’ve forseen the dire numbers we’re reduced to today, let alone anyone trying to reduce them further.

Last edited 8 months ago by Frank62
Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Frank62

I was serving and was shocked but not surprised when the regular army reduced from 160,000 to 120,000. No-one was used to seeing redundancy notices flying around. But that was following the end of the Cold War – the Options for Change defence review carefully analysed the size of the army for the post Cold War world and set it to a mere 120k – the threat had reduced – Russia was finished, and wouldn’t be threatening to invade another European country ever again!
All the cuts since then have not been about the threat reducing.

Ernest
Ernest
8 months ago

So how would UK fair is in danger of attack? The answer IMO what would happen is conscription. The only problem with that is, cant conscript equipment. We are not a world power. not even a global power anymore. So what to do with our limited firepower. Make the UK into a fortress and keep our nukes – If not our forces will be spread thinly across the globe. I think a cheap way of defending the UK would be The Astute Class backed by cheap quiet Diesel-electric submarine UK DEFENSE measure. In short we need to think of our… Read more »

Last edited 8 months ago by Ernest
Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
8 months ago
Reply to  Ernest

Who are we defending the U.K. from? Sharks? Pirates?. It’s not 1066. No invasion is coming to the U.K. So that leaves forces that can be deployed world wide to help allies and put off people from acting silly invading their neighbours. Keeping sea lanes open and supporting trade and goods movements. Using intel services and assets to have a good understanding of what’s happening around the world. OMG I think I just wrote out the purpose of the forces moving forward. What do the forces need to accomplish this and what do they already have. Fund it and purchase… Read more »

Last edited 8 months ago by Monkey spanker
Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Yes, pretty much my view too. An expeditionary posture.

Now go and read the Shadow DS comments on defence regards anything beyond Europe, and you’ll see why myself and others are worried.

The two visions do not tally.

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
8 months ago

Having forces that can be deployed worldwide covers Europe, the DS should know that. What needs to be remembered is the Ukraine conflict is most likely the only big conflict we will see in Europe for a while and we aren’t part of it. Really more information is needed from government/shadow government as to what they want to accomplish going forward and how that will be done and funded. Until then it’s just hot air, apart from Ben Wallace I don’t have much faith that many government/shadow ministers had a clue about defence or what is required. One final thought… Read more »

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Not that I’m aware of, sadly.

Ernest
Ernest
8 months ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

You never know who we might be defending from 10-20 years from now. History says our main worry has been Europe. Russia have never invaded us but we invaded them. No matter we need to protect our sea lanes and cables underwater – Diesel-electric submarines cheaper than Astute could do that, leaving Astute for your global duties and to escort the half a dozen jets on the carrier. When we are off helping out allies in the Indo Pacific and that probably will come. its a no brainer that we still need to protect the UK – Lots of ways… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
8 months ago
Reply to  Ernest

Cuts are a constant problem. While diesel boats have there uses the purchase cost and set up a new class of boats for training etc will be rather large. It’s probably not far off the cost of increasing the nuclear boats numbers. 4 diesel boats or 3 nuclear boats roughly and about the same time line. While the costs would improve as more were made, suppliers developed etc the U.K. won’t buy like that. For submarines the U.K. is stuck with 7 astutes until SSNR design is ready and there’s space in the yard. If there was a threat to… Read more »

Ernest
Ernest
8 months ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

To be honest seeing our money crisis, I think and have though for a while – Being hulls are the most of the cost – Keeping 10 Duke Class would be a decent option, no new steel. Yes maybe upgrades needed,

That of course of course along with The new ships on order.

Crew problem? recruit from the Ghurkas that the army have rejected,
Unmanned submarines, not a big fan.

Army is a problem and hardly any battle tanks – UK needs to restart it’s industrial base – Money has to be spent.

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
8 months ago
Reply to  Ernest

I think unmanned vessels have there uses just like reaper etc. Autonomous is a different matter.
If the unmanned sub can patrol the cables with sensors to see changes blast a sonar/make a noise to put off anyone that shouldn’t be there it could be useful. Cost and abilities are the main factors to the usefulness.
The U.K. forces are on the slim down but when I look at most other countries they aren’t in a better position.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Ernest

The UK is a global power, just not one with massive armed forces.

Ernest
Ernest
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

The RN is not large enough to be a credible Global Power, hardly and jets to put on carriers.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Ernest

I reiterate that being a Global Power does not mean you have huge armed forces although it does mean that you have globally deployable forces, nuclear weapons, are a UN P5 country, trade globally, have culture exported globally, have oodles of soft power, and a G7 economy – just to mention a few factors.

The Henry Jackson Society said that Britain was a global power some 5 years ago, second only to the US and they considered many, many different factors.
https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/new-study-ranks-britain-second-powerful-country-world/

You are only looking at the size of military forces.

Ernest
Ernest
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

We may in name be a global power, that is just words. There are grumblings in the US over UK’s constant cutting. before it is said ‘nothing to do with US’ – I would counter than with why should US taxpayers defend EUROPE, and Biden if it came to it, may not. Look at some of the cuts – HMS Ocean – Hercules – Tanks – F-35 cut back on original order. A Duke Class frigate vanished we had 13 Duke Class – 6 destroyers making 19 that’s bad enough now there are just 12 frigates. We are supposed to… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
8 months ago
Reply to  Ernest

The frigate situation is worse. It’s only 11 frigates now, Perhaps going down to 10 depending if HMS Westminster gets refit. Supposedly she is paused before starting as she is in a bad way that will take a lot to fix.
There are some success stories in defence though. 1000 jamming buster boxes been bought. NSM, mk41 launchers on new ships, radar and ECM upgrade. Reversing camera for warrior😂

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Ernest

Another problem is that you could not conscript fast enough in time of emergency. Capita takes up to a year to get people from civvy street to the training depot, then an Infantryman needs a 6 month course. Other trades require longer training. Even if you shave off a few corners, the war might be over by the time you have got people in and trained!

Ernest
Ernest
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

I agree – That’s why we need a larger land army and large reserves.

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

That recruitment problem needs sorted out. It should be weeks not a year.
If some kid phones up and says I’ve been made homeless and I want to join the forces they should be able to stay somewhere while being assessed. Got to get as many as possible. The forces isn’t just a job it’s a whole life change. They become ur family

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

The army does not exist to be a refuge for the homeless – but is a career choice for all including the homeless.

Capita (or Crapita) had their contract renewed not so long ago – goodness knows why. Recruiting as it was previously done was fine – go to a High Street ACIO and speak to a serving and experienced soldier (SNCO) – initial form filling was done there and then and (surprisingly) some fitness tests but that may be an urban myth (doing pull ups in the back room, allegedly!).

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

No not to be a refuge, time wasters would be found out at the first tests but there was an exSAS solider that said he was thinking about the army, then got kicked/left home, phoned the recruiter he had seen previously at school or somewhere and was allowed to go to instantly to begin assessments/medical etc. If that happened today he would be waiting a year and maybe would go else where. The army loses an SAS solider.

Last edited 8 months ago by Monkey spanker
Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Good point. You would hope there is a fast track system for the ex-soldier.

Tom
Tom
8 months ago

Former soldiers could be called on to join a reserve force in future crises as part of a planned overhaul of the military which would cut the number of UK troops, according to a report”.

Well I cannot see ‘former soldiers’ signing up in droves… more likely **** *** or no thank you kindly!

Dern
Dern
8 months ago
Reply to  Tom

It’s not optional, and it’s already in their contracts. It’s called the regular reserve and every ex-soldier is liable to be called up for service. It used to be exercised regularly too, just to make sure we retained the ability to muster the men and issue them kit (they rarely actualy deployed beyond the muster point though).

So no, they don’t need to sign up.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

I don’t recall for sure where the main muster points were. Was one at Chilwell?

Dern
Dern
8 months ago

No idea mate, that’s a level of granular info on the RR that I don’t have nor will ever gain 😛

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Dern

I named Chetwynd Bks at Chilwell as the Reserve Mounting Centre is/was there, so assumed.

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago

RR annual reporting was abandoned decades ago, but I thought it was at your local military barracks/base (ie TA Centre) rather than a single centralised one.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

Morning mate.
Yes, that seems logical.

I was more thinking of the point of drawing kit, weapons, and onwards deployment to an Army Training Centre, ranges, wherever, before onwards movement to unit.
So the force has reported already at the ARCs, and I’m assuming there is a midway house before onwards to unit?

I don’t think all the ARC’s have that comprehensive an armoury and stores to draw at point of initial reporting in?

Sky Blue One
Sky Blue One
8 months ago

My understanding is local ARC for initial processing then on to Chilwell for training packages, medicals, kit issue and all that guff.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Sky Blue One

Ah, as I thought. Thanks.

Sky Blue One
Sky Blue One
8 months ago

Still is mate.

Andrew D
Andrew D
8 months ago

What day is the new defence paper anouncment ?

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

By the end of this month.

Andrew D
Andrew D
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

👍

Paul T
Paul T
8 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

It should be revealed tomorrow (tuesday)..

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

Update – it might be today!

Colin
Colin
8 months ago

They will have to sort it out soon Russia is considering attacking The Suwalki Corridor from Belarus this would draw Poland into the war

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Colin

What is your source for that news?

That would mean Russia attacking NATO.

Not likely, considering their performance in Ukraine so far, against a Ukraine with a limited air force and NATO the most powerful military alliance at this time?

Graham M
Graham M
8 months ago

Looks like Sky News:
https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/most-dangerous-place-on-earth-vladimir-putin-threatens-to-use-wagner-forces-to-invade-suwalki-corridor-a-source-claims/news-story/c9b4311e8c210d76b3c8b0aa03342ca6

…but I thought Wagner was a busted flush and that most of their kit has been handed over to reg Russian army – they are leaderless too.

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

Putin waving the Willy again or some journalist been reading too much Twitter.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
8 months ago
Reply to  Graham M

Yes seen it. Why flag up what you plan to do? I don’t buy that at all. As MS says, typical willy waving.

Stc
Stc
8 months ago

And nowt as changed. Whenever I see these comments I remember that cartoon of the Queen and the first sea Lord standing on the deck of the Britannia looking down at 5 Admirals sitting in pedalos ” of course ma’am they are not all our we hired some from Butlins” !

Ex_Service
Ex_Service
8 months ago

The UK has inadequate force levels, and no strategic reserve. From a naval perspective, The UK needs to quickly revisit the previous (pre WWII) practise of annual contracts of new builds, what is not utilised by its armed forces, and then on-sold to allies, should be laid-up in reserve (for the rainy day coming). The T31,32 and AUKUS barely scratch the surface of what’s needed. This will stimulate growth in the industry, leading to competition for contracts and greater economies of scale. If HMG was smart enough, there should be contracts for the re-birth of HM Dockyards construction capabilities. The… Read more »

Last edited 8 months ago by Ex_Service