According to a Defence Intelligence update from the UK Ministry of Defence, Russian casualties in Ukraine have significantly increased during May and June 2024.
The average daily casualties (killed and wounded) among Russian forces reached conflict highs of 1262 and 1163, respectively.
The update notes that, in total, Russia has likely lost over 70,000 personnel in the past two months.
The uptick in losses is attributed to Russia’s strategic move to open a new front in the Kharkiv region while maintaining the same level of offensive operations across the rest of the frontline. The Defence Intelligence update states, “The uptick in losses reflects Russia’s opening of the new front in the Kharkiv region, while maintaining the same rate of offensive operations along the remainder of the front.”
Despite this aggressive approach, the report highlights that an effective Ukrainian defence and inadequate Russian training have hindered Russia’s ability to capitalise on any tactical successes. The update elaborates, “Although this new approach has increased the pressure on the frontline, an effective Ukrainian defence and a lack of Russian training reduces Russia’s ability to exploit any tactical successes, despite attempting to stretch the frontline further.”
The release also suggests that the casualty rate for Russian forces is expected to remain high, averaging over 1,000 casualties per day in the coming months. It states, “Russia’s casualty rate will likely continue to average above 1,000 a day over the next two months as Russia continues to try to overmatch Ukrainian positions with mass.”
Defence Intelligence Update in full
“The average daily Russian casualties (killed and wounded) in Ukraine throughout May and June 2024, increased to conflict highs of 1262 and 1163 respectively. In total, Russia likely lost (killed and wounded) in excess of 70,000 personnel over the past two months.
The uptick in losses reflects Russia’s opening of the new front in the Kharkiv region, while maintaining the same rate of offensive operations along the remainder of the front. Although this new approach has increased the pressure on the frontline, an effective Ukrainian defence and a lack of Russian training reduces Russia’s ability to exploit any tactical successes, despite attempting to stretch the frontline further.
Russia’s casualty rate will likely continue to average above 1,000 a day over the next two months as Russia continues to try to overmatch Ukrainian positions with mass.”
Good Evening!
What a terrible waste of life! As usual those at the top are not affected! Congratulations Putin on your bloody testimony !
Yes, it’s really shocking. You got to feel for the average Russian families and their private grief they must go through and can’t do anything about. Meanwhile the buggers at the top are all smiles and enjoying the life and relative security.
Apart from those that are being knocked off Hitler style.
It does stagger me how the Russian army is able to maintain those casualty rates…they must be simply throwing untrained civilians into combat.
the russian puts no value on life. never have, never Will Russia is a nation of psychological neanderthals
Autocracies: nobody can hold them to account and public opinion does not matter.
The military advantage is that these regimes are nearly always prepared for wars of attrition by having mass and industrial power to back it up.
It is speculated that Russia can absorb this rate of loss for another 2 years.
What will be interesting is the longer term impact..as absorb in the short term is one thing…long term harm to the nation is another..Russia has one of the worst demographics in Europe..with a dropping population…if it goes on for another two years and they are hitting over a million casualties..it would mean they manage to kill off hundreds of thousands of young men of working age as well as leave a million with wounds and long term conditions..it will screw them for a about 2 generations ( 40 years).
In the BA, we used to deem a unit not Combat Effective if they had 35% or more casualties (dead, wounded and missing), withdraw it from ‘the line’ and disband it or amalgamate it. Seems the Russians don’t follow that yardstick.
it’s time that Putin was one of those
Surely the Russian Generals must relies what Putin is doing is nothing short of murder 😟
They also realise that Putin is not above murdering generals who disagree with him.
No doubt 😟
History repeats itself over and over again.
Why would they care? They’re part of the inner clique of rich men running the country
Given the nicknames of Russian generals I see popping up in the media from time to time (mostly “Butcher of [fill in some unfortunate place in Syria]”), I don’t think it’s likely they care.
Sadly, the more personnel that are lost the fewer options Putin will have. If you corner a raging tiger there is a greater risk matters will get worse for all of us?
Better to let the “tiger” rampage without restraint I suppose?
Countries who continue to do business with Mr Putin are basically condoning all this. I hope the Western world, which is not perfect, never loses its humanity, democratic values and freedoms and never let’s monsters like Putin ever get to the top. We’ll have to see if a Mr Trump really can put a stop to all this or, whoever emerges as a leader of a stronger united Europe/NATO. The Russia-China-Iran Africa proxies axis is potentially going to get more challenging to North-South/East-West trade routes, trying to split world into two-three parts. I hope the UK and our allies can… Read more »
I’m surprised their medical services can keep going with those numbers, their field hospitals must be completely overrun. Or perhaps the badly injured are just being left to die? Ots a shame some of this trauma can’t be inflicted on the political elite then we might see some sort of rebellion.
quite a few videos on telegram that russians have made who are injured and pleading with leadership- because when they get injured the commanders order them to storm a position. i guess thats cheaper than treating them! and often they are just left to rot on the battlefield- theres tens of thousands of posts on vkontakte and telegram looking for missing love ones. no sympathy from me! those idiots signed a contract to go to participate in a genocide.
This is part of the reason that Ukraine decided against an all-out counter-offensive. They tried it last summer and realised it would be too costly, so they opted for a strategy of attrition while maintaining their assault brigades in mobile reserve. The breaking point for the Russians will come eventually.
During WW2 Russia sent men into combat with only the first few lines armed. The rest had to pick uo their weapons as they were killed or injured and carry on with the attack. They probably have the arms now but the Russian elites mentality hasn’t changed. It is tragic. They still treat the people like peasants.
Have you been watching Enemy at the Gates again?! 😋
On occasion it was worse than that, mate. Some attacks in late 41 early 42 involved the whole force drunk, linking arms, and running/staggering towards the German positions line abreast.
The Waffen SS were astonished.
I cannot keep any 🕵secrets from you my friend. I haven’t seen it recently but I remember that particular scene vividly. Russian dictators indifference to the fate of their “peasant” population. Eighty years on and nothing has changed it seems.😡
Hello my friend.
It’s their culture, they just meekly3acceot their lot.
No wonder so many of the young fled.
👍
Statistically speaking, exactly how are these ‘estimates’ being tabulated? I suggest they are only estimates, because reality tells us, that you can not count the enemy’s dead without physically taking ground and counting enemy bodies. This is impossible if you are losing ground, retreating, and failing to take back lost positions on poorly coordinated counter attacks. Relying on Ukrainian estimates is even less reliable and is akin to smoking hopium and writing feel good numbers to justify losses on the UAF side as being ‘comparative’, when clearly they are not. A professional journal should try to focus on the reality… Read more »