The UK has signed a treaty with Japan and Italy for a future combat air programme that aims to develop an innovative stealth fighter with supersonic capability and equipped with cutting-edge technology.

The treaty marks a key stage of the landmark Global Combat Air Programme (GCAP), and the headquarters of the programme will be based in Britain.

This combat air aircraft, due to take to the skies by 2035, aims to harness next-generation technologies and become one of the world’s most advanced, interoperable, adaptable and connected fighter jets in service globally.

“The programme is expected to create highly-skilled jobs in the UK and in partner countries over the next decade and beyond. The supersonic stealth jet will boast a powerful radar that can provide 10,000 times more data than current systems, giving a battle-winning advantage.

Within the UK, the effort is being led by BAE Systems, in close partnership with Rolls-Royce, Leonardo UK and MBDA UK – as well as hundreds of companies in the supply chain from across the country. Together, they are working closely with lead companies from Japan and Italy to progress the design and development of this aircraft.”

Defence Secretary, Grant Shapps said:

“Our world-leading combat aircraft programme aims to be crucial to global security and we continue to make hugely positive progress toward delivery of the new jets to our respective air forces in 2035. 

The UK-based headquarters will also see us make important decisions collaboratively and at pace, working with our close partners Italy and Japan, and our impressive defence industries, to deliver an outstanding aircraft.”

Defence Secretary Grant Shapps met with his Japanese and Italian counterparts, Minister Minoru Kihara and Minister Guido Crosetto, in Tokyo. The signing of the Treaty comes a year after the formal launch of GCAP and highlights the positive progress in the development of this next-generation fighter jet. The joint development phase of the programme is due to launch in 2025.

“The treaty confirmed the UK will host the joint GCAP government headquarters, supporting hundreds of UK jobs and working with Japanese and Italian colleagues. The first CEO will come from Japan. The HQ will be responsible for delivering vital military capability, strengthening each country’s combat air industrial capability, and achieving value for money. Supporting the Prime Minister’s priority to grow the economy, there are already around 3,000 people in major combat air hubs across the UK, including the south-west and north-west of England and Edinburgh, with almost 600 organisations on contract across the country, including SMEs and academic institutions.

In combat air, the MOD has spent £2 billion in the UK over the last 5 years on technology, creating skills and capabilities – with a further £600 million from industry – to ensure the UK is ready to drive this programme forward. A crucial programme for the future of stability in the Euro Atlantic, Indo-Pacific and wider global security, GCAP is a strong example of the UK’s global leadership in developing next generation military capability to deter and defeat threats to the UK and our allies.”

Separately, a new joint business construct will be headquartered in the UK, with significant global presence. This industry counterpart of the Government organisation will oversee support and timely delivery of the programme, including the 2035 in-service date of the combat aircraft – known as Tempest in the UK.

The first leader of the joint business construct will be from Italy.

George Allison
George has a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and has a keen interest in naval and cyber security matters and has appeared on national radio and television to discuss current events. George is on Twitter at @geoallison

268 COMMENTS

  1. Going to be a big fight this year to host that HQ with thousands of jobs attached.

    Already 9,000 people around the world working on it before it kicks into high gear in 2025 and Japan has said they will have to amend their law on government agents working abroad as they will be sending thousands of officials to work in the UK at the HQ when previously their largest government delegation to any foreign agency has been in the dozens.

      • Why do anything? Perhaps because we can?? Jobs/sales/security. Hopefully it won’t be a TSR2 repeat but with global partners I don’t think that’s likely to happen. With our partners we can build a platform that is affordable and World beating.

        • Perhaps because we can???
          What we CAN do and what actually happens are vastly different. We certainly CAN achieve this goal but for many years the technology of the hypersonic (not supersonic) engines would have allowed us to transform Typhoon and F35B into aircraft capable of Mach 5 or greater but it did not happen.

          • Where would these a hypersonic Tiffy operate? It is rare for any combat aircraft to fly even supersonic for a number of issues. Fuel Usage, Noise Pollution, Supersonic Manoeuvrability or rather lack of.

          • It would melt and then go boom..scattering itself across a wide area…manned hypersonic fight is still the edge of science.

          • Indeed the damage to the stealth coatings at supersonic speeds is well known, fine degrading it somewhat over the flight of a missile but a serious issue when you have to re use an aircraft.

          • Typhoon regularly flies supersonic. From the outset it was designed for supersonic manoeuvrability. This was was one of the reasons it has a close coupled canard and delta wing combination. As it allows the aircraft to sustain a turn supersonically, without bleeding off too much energy. Which was decided upon by air engagements facing off at each other, using active radar beyond visual range air to air missiles (BVRAAM). The idea was to fire off an AMRAAM whilst supersonic, then turn away as quickly as possible whilst maintaining maximum energy. Thereby giving yourself the greatest chance of evading your opponent’s missile. With the adoption of Meteor, this has changed the rules greatly.

            However, flying supersonically has to be done over the seas. The caveat is when the aircraft are on Q. Then they are allowed to fly supersonic over the UK if its needed. e.g. civvi aircraft not responding to ground control. On a lot of occasions Typhoon will take off at max dry, then head out towards the sea. Where it can then go max chat to meet the exercise requirements or if on Q, intercept the nonresponding object.

          • Dozens of bad km’s. You gain missile range firing it at fast speed but you need then to turn away and the faster you go the larger your radius, you can turn speed into reserve energy going up but there is a limit.

          • Structurally neither jet could take it and the F35 is already limited due to heat and the stealth costing don’t mix!!

          • That’s because they stole it from an alien disc which flies inside an anti-gravity bubble meaning no contact with the ship’s skin and the environment. 😎

          • Modern airframes are not designed to fly at hypersonic speeds…propelling a modern fighter into hypersonic speeds would lead to a big mess and a dead pilot…you would need a completely new concept in airframe…the SR71 is the fastest military airframe we have at Mach 3 ( and that was highly specialised) and that used an 80% titanium structure with a corrugated skin..it’s had loss fitting panels and actually was designed to constantly leak fuel as there was a need for so much expansion of the fuel system due to heat…but to be clear the only manned hypersonic flights ( above Mach 5) have been by the x15 rocket plane and the space shuttle on its glide path..basically at present the technology is not there to create a credible hypersonic jet fighter, only hurl a hyper expensive scientific manned experiment in an Essentially a straight line and hope it does not explode…(the shuttle has proven that you can hope all you want, but at transonic speeds the slightest issue kills you).

          • Reminds me of a rock song by Status Quo and the lyrics went: Would you like to fly my paper plane!

          • I think both Labour and Tories support a 6th gen fighter. The difference is Tories have a desire to work globally on defence programs where as Labour want to work closely with Europe. One way or another we’ll get a 6th gen fighter time will tell on just how that will be delivered.

          • During this period of rapidly developing state tension, logic – as in potential quantity of platforms, overall costs, aviation knowledge across various european / EU counties, dispersed manufacturing &/or ‘ghost’ sites (still within close logistical proximity with short sea lines of communication), weapons development, etc. – would dictate increased cooperation from partnerships along the lines of those already established.
            Now, I’m aware that Typhoon development did not go as smoothly as it could, but it’s ended up an extremely versatile platform nontheless; and the same arguments as above ought to smooth future aviation passageways.
            But then we run up against political unreality, which trumps all else it seems. The most immediate example again references Typhoon, where we end up with German – sensitivities – blocking sale to the middle east of an essentially British design. Regardless of whether these objections carry real merit, we then have France, their fellow principal EU member – now and with regard to future projects – jumping in immediately in hope of fulfilling self same order.

          • Regarding the Saudi order it could be the next UK government that blocks it. KSA probably second only to Isreal with some factions of the Labour Party.

            Those ghost manufacturing sites were a major part of UKs pre WW2 strategy.

          • Or get sunk like the Hood, the evidence from either has little actual influence upon the likely future of this project. Indeed, unless there are massive fall outs I really doubt that the project will be cancelled, the repercussions would be a catastrophe for Britain well beyond the lack of a new front line fighter to defend ourselves with.

          • Last week GA posted a series of well informed observations, pointing out that the MoD is shy roughly £15bn on their equipment programmes. Despite Wallace getting them an additional £24bn over the four years that he was SoS defence.

            There is no way the country can afford Tempest. We have a national debt approaching £2.4 TRILLION, with interest rates at 5.25% it is costing us ~£100bn a year to service. Unless the MoD is seriously reformed, Tempest and several other projects will have to be cancelled. I’d put my money on Schrapps scrapping the CH3 upgrade

          • The country can afford to do somethings and not others,its a matter of choices. So we can afford Tempest if we don’t do something else.i don’t think the Tories will cut anything before the election they have no reasons to as they will loose eitherway and be next government’s scape goat for 3-4 years, which is fairly standard position irrespective of the political party. Looking at the direction Labour are taking I’d say the RAF and RN are going to be cut to fund a larger army. Labour will also be favouring EU defence projects so we’ll see what survives.

          • It has to work. Otherwise we get stuck working with the US again and being screwed over to the back of the queue for everything we need.

          • basically at present the technology is not there to create a credible hypersonic jet fighter, only hurl a hyper expensive scientific manned experiment in an Essentially a straight line and hope it does not explode”

            A follow on black aircraft to the SR-71 exist….shhhhh!!! 🤐🤐🤐

          • I disagree.
            First off the work being done by reactions engines.
            And secondly ( mildly straying into conspiracy theory)it is claimed that the Yanks have already cracked the technology and their current efforts are a show to “ launder” the technology from black projects into the daylight. It is “ claimed” that Lockheed has already built a hypersonic spy plane son of Blackbird.
            Now you can take the above with a spade of salt but given the skunks works track record, I am inclined to think it is not that far fetched.

          • A spy plane is one thing but an air superiority fighter is quite the other. Hypersonic planes are flying blind. Not what you want in an A2A platform.

          • Clearly you have insight into top secret programmes that the rest of us don’t if you think these basic problems are rubbish. It’s a well known fact of targeting in hypersonic missiles in their terminal stage due to the immense pressure waves produced. It’s one reason why evidence from the evidenced Zircon flight tests that suggest it isn’t fundamentally a hypersonic missile might be explained in part to it slowing down so as to be able to target properly.

          • It’s the absolute crap that “Jim” posts that is bunkum and rubbish. Unlike “Jim” I do not claim any special insight into any top secret programs; unlike many who post here I’ve signed the OSA so I wouldn’t comment even if I had

          • Agree. I understand it, and other undisclosed types, have been flying for years. Son of Blackbird may even have been cancelled after a few examples, but I think it existed.
            Chris Gibson’s 1990 sighting over the North Sea as an example at how far back sightings of such aircraft go.

            Big difference between a jet fighter and a larger pure speed spy plane using PDWE or other such tech.

          • Problem is the power plant of the Black Bird can’t go hypersonic though or anything like though there have been talk of using it as part of a hybrid design true. There are as I relate about recent successful tests of a hybrid engine byt very early days and there is little to suggest factually such an engine has been operating reliably in recent years but hey maybe nothing has crept out so one can’t be definitive. But yes either way a spy or test plane and fighter jet are completely different beasts anyway. Certainly son of Blackbird talk has been more active last few years with some basic evidence it might be in the works perhaps but trying to filter reality from myth is very, very difficult. If there is a Son of BB flying or will anytime in the immediate future I would be shocked if it were Hypersonic mind.

          • It is said the tech that is publicly displayed but the US military is often times a decade or two behind what exist in the black world. Hypersonic aircraft research I would dare say is older than most of us posting on this site and there is no reason to believe that the US just stopped working on it when they made a lot of notable advancements in the 70s and 80s in particular. As I’ve said multiple times here, one should always be very skeptical when the US military just cancels a promising research program when they seem so close to maturing it.

          • The excuse for cancelling the blackbird that satellite can do it better never held up to scrutiny.
            Satellites are very predictable you have a fixed sensor package and can be spoofed.
            An aircraft appearing unannounced and out of the blue will always be a better source of intel.

            For that reason alone, I believe the USA has a son of Blackbird,

          • I tend to agree with you, there has long been talk of the Aurora though only plastic models really inspired any actual form of an aircraft and kept the idea going. But was reading only a few weeks ago of sightings near Hawaii of an aircraft which it was claimed had high speed characteristics and indeed active stealth but these ‘sightings’ were by fishermen so how credible is another matter. But there have been projects that came and went over the past decade in particular and at least one of these has evidence of an actual aircraft though it was rumoured it was shelved around 2016. But there have been hints that in fact it may still be active and indeed flying beyond the sighting I mentioned. But otherwise it’s all rather mythical and if it does exist what its capabilities are is difficult to fathom. Judging by Americas mixed success with hypersonic vehicles in recent times I would be surprised if they have a hypersonic aircraft flying around, but they are certainly experimenting with the concept with Hermeus succeeding for the first time in cycling between turbojet and ramjet operation and back apparently. Then there is Project Mayhem looking at a Hypersonic Bomber but all sounds like a long way off to me,

            I remember the X51 waverider tests a decade ago. Hadn’t realised how old the waverider concept is actually, the first practical proposal was for the Blue Streak re entry vehicle and potential manned capsule and next the Valkerie Bomber, indeed I presume the TSR2 wing tips were using a basic form of the concept.

          • Essentially, the ‘Reaction Engine’ will enable a supersonic aircraft to fly at speed, using only the amount of fuel as a subsonic aircraft would use and increase the range of fighter-aircraft!
            Fuel burn-rate will be low, enabling the aircraft to fly much further.
            Thereby saving a lot of money in operating supersonic fighter-aircraft.

          • It will make a jet engine more efficient and be able to fly faster . Their precooler has many possibilities .

          • Absolutely even now Space X can’t keep the heat tiles affixed to Starship and we have 50 years of experience of that procedure. Doesn’t bear thinking about what sort of measures you could use on an operable fighter aircraft at hypersonic speed in the atmosphere esp doing anything but fly in a starlight line. There’s a reason that aircraft have tended to have tended to have lower top speeds over the last 30 years certainly not higher. The Russians went all out (was it the SU27) hitting around Mach 2.75 to try to stop the Blackbird and failed miserably. It couldn’t catch it in the brief time it could hit that speed and had to have its engines and probably parts of the airframe re-built after each attempt. Fact is expendable missiles have taken over the job that ultimate aircraft speed was required for and logically so.

          • indeed physics is physics..you can’t change the reality around hypersonic speed….the simple issue is that even if you can manage:

            1) the engine issues…at present we need a rocket booster to get up to speed for the scramjet to work..Which is fine of missiles and experimental aircraft not for operational Aircraft..so at present the engine tec cannot support an operational aircraft.
            2) the heat issue…if your heat shield fails your plane dies…maintains a reliable heat shield is not yet possible on an operational aircraft.
            3) manoeuvre..there is no ability to manoeuvre hypersonic aircraft other than a predictable glide path with the heat shielding in optimal position….you manoeuvre your structure fails or the heat shield fails..and we don’t build airframes that can be super heated and stressed into the hundreds of gravities

            If you fix all that you still have the pilot..a human being in a hypersonic plane that tried to manoeuvre at hypersonic speed would simply just die there and then at that moment. 50-70 G old acceleration is essentially pretty immediately fatal ( it’s like driving you car into a brick wall at 70mph)…most people can manage a short 4-6 g or 9g with all the latest g management equipment and training….eve then if it’s sustained for more that a handful of seconds your out and minutes will kill you.

            we will have hypersonic fighters when we have have anti gravity tec you can put in a fighter…and we don’t have anti gravity tec at all.

          • With todays ceramic based composites. You can produce an aircraft skin that can cope with cruising at Mach 5, without the need for additional active cooling, any faster then yes things start to get interesting. If you google Alex Bond of Reaction Engines Limited fame. He did a lecture that describes the use of these composites in a hypersonic aircraft.

            Basically your aircraft skin is in two parts. With an outer and inner shell, that is separated by an air gap. The outer shell is the ceramic based composite. The air gap acts as an insulator, with the inner shell based on a lightweight alloy that forms the monocoque structure. You could still use this or speeds faster than Mach 5. But you will have to either increase the outer skin’s thickness and/or look at active cooling. Where cooling pipes are located behind the leading edges and skin surfaces. Where the cooling medium is then dumped through the liquid fuel etc.

            The Space Shuttle used a variety of protective measures to combat heat as it re-entered the atmosphere at Mach 25. These hypersonic speeds caused compressive shock with the very thin air. Which was still enough to heat generate temperatures over 1500C. The thermal protection system was constantly upgraded. It just couldn’t cope with being a light weight heat insulator, yet being able to resist impacts. It is believed that the foam insulation for the booster tank, caused a crack in the wing’s leading edge carbon-carbon protection, when it fell off during ascent. The crack opened up to the superheated plasma during re-entry, destroying the wing and subsequently the Shuttle. We can do better today!

          • The key question Davey is can you build and operational fighter jet…clever stuff but still not for an operational fighter.

          • Yes. You could build a hypersonic aircraft fairly easily, that topped out at Mach 6. Any faster, things like manufacturing and the construction materials begin to get extremely expensive. The pilot also would have to wear a space (pressure) suit, as the aircraft would be operating well above 60,000ft, By rights between 100 and 150,000ft, perhaps even higher. As at these heights the air is thin enough to mitigate frictional interference, but still provide enough oxygen for the engine like a ramjet/scramjet to work.

            Much like the SR-71 Blackbird, at these speeds, turns will be long graceful arcs due to the load factor interacting with the g factor. Otherwise the pilot will be blacking out by constantly fighting g-lock and the airframe’s life will be significantly reduced. Or you do without the pilot and make the aircraft semi-autonomous. Even then there won’t be any harsh or erratic maneuvering.

            One question that would need investigating is where to carry the weapons and perhaps more importantly how to release them? Placing missiles on pylons and launchers under the wing. Is probably not a great idea. The shockwaves coming off the wing’s leading edge are going to be extreme. Plus there’s the minor issue of the missile’s nose heating up. Which itself will need shaping for hypersonic speeds.

            The likeliest option would be from a weapons bay. Though ejector launching will need careful consideration. Due to the likely shockwave coming off the forward lip of the weapon’s bay, when it’s opened. How will the launch mechanism interact with the shockwave? Will it cause the missile to tumble when released? If using an infrared guided missile, how will the optical window cope with the extreme heat? Plus the normally required hemispherical shape of the IR seeker’s window, is really, really bad for hypersonic aerodynamics. As it will generate significant drag, thereby heating up the air around it, especially as it will have issues with compressibility.

            The transonic region for aerodynamics is pretty extreme. As air reacts differently to the subsonic region. However compared to hypersonic aerodynamics, supersonics is easier to understand, manage and build for. Hypersonics turns the dial up to 11. It is extremely violent and any minor errors in construction are immediately punished.

            If you want an aircraft that can fly at Mach 6 or faster. You better have very deep pockets!

          • Sir, you are the only one talking sense here.
            Why are people bringing hypersonic maneuvering into the discussion? You get yourself into position to release/fire your weapons,. turn round and get the hell out at Mach 5.

          • Admittedly Flash Gordon might be flying such things but you might have to go to planet Zog to get that technology.

          • How to get the radar working and communications on an aircraft that’s traveling at hypersonic speed? Even if you can overcome the heat the plasma envelopes the aircraft. Fine for a missile but not a strike platform.

          • Sorry you can convert mach 2 fighter to Mach 5. The materials used and the aerodynamics of these airframes are not suitable. Mach 5 is outside the design envelope.

          • Simply not true those aircraft could not possibly have been made hypersonic, nor would the value in doing so ever outweighed the cost had it been possible. What are the choices for hypersonic engines? You either have an engine as on the Blackbird that’s horrendously complex, costly and maintenance intensive and that only a few are capable of handling in both flight and on the ground and thus it’s a specialist small number platform or you have some form of combined cycle engine exploiting turbojet and ram/scramjet technology, the maturing of which is only taking place now with many stumbles along the way. Fact is turbojets struggle approaching Mach 3 while scramjets work best around Mach 5 I have listened to those working on such engines detailing how difficult it is to narrow that gap efficiently even on missile/glide body like platforms. Rocket motors are the other option but totally unsuitable for these type of platforms, certainly unless exploited in something like the Sabre concept which is years away and unproven and I can’t imagine being manageable for a fighter aircraft even if it does arrive, it would be a more specialist answer for many years even if useful technologies from it are already being used.

            Far better I think to concentrate on high supersonic for aircraft and hypersonics as an option for its weaponry I think for the foreseeable future especially if it’s to be affordable.

          • An F-35 equipped with the Reaction Engine, would have the range to reach Moscow, with the same fuel load, but still keeping to flight specific limits!

          • An engine like that would not ‘transform’ either Typhoon or F-35B. It would entail a radical redesign, aka a new aircraft.
            In any case, Tempest is showing signs of being a winner.

          • Reaction Engines specifically mentioned the opportunity to improve the performance of existing aircraft/engine combinations.

        • Are you sure? I’m less convinced, history is littered with governments backing out of large international programs and history has a tenancy to repeat itself.

          • In my wiew I dont think we can. I see your point and its always possible it’ll merge into another joint project, only time will tell.

      • IMHO we should always be researching future prototypes or upgrades to existing systems, When we don’t we end up losing our ability to design and manufacture defence systems.

      • Admittedly, for the UK to announce what could be considered grand plans for future cutting-edge technology may sound hubristic & uneconomical.
        However, from my perspective i.e. during rapidly increasing peer state conflict (effectively already Russia/inevitably soon China), the prime consideration is that we must reinvigorate our technological expertise, in conjunction with just these like-minded partners (Sweden would have been, and potentially still could be, mighty useful) – since we’ll have no other option.
        The USA, once it gets passed it’s traditional ‘what’s Europe to us?’ phrase – coupled with ‘you can integrate any weapon you want, providing it’s ours’ will ultimately do it’s best*, but that’ll be too late.
        She’ll struggle to take on China – let alone that state’s numerous ‘proxies’; valuable for both their distraction potential & resources.
        Governments can ‘afford’ all they want, under emergency procedures, which tend to cut in when defeat by authoritarianism is the cost of ‘not affording’.
        We – UK – are still good at co-opting syndicates, and plenty of other countries’ know, even with *above acknowledged, the real plight facing ‘the West’: that waiting in line for equipment, coupled with delivery along extended and vulnerable supply routes (of blessed memory) will prove far more impractical than was the case even during the 20th century. Need hardly mention that that required strenuous effort from all (pretty powerful) allies with access to large mineral resources themselves, at a time when adversaries were ‘merely’ a couple of european states & an island similar in size to our own.

      • Totally agree with you there! Our carriers should be filled to capacity by uk f35, and nice as it is not relying on US Marine squadrons filling the capacity out! Total disgraceful by our government and a total disdain attitude! The whole procurement process needs an earthquake put under it to shake it up as well as the financing of defence!!

        • In my view unless Britain has a ambition to be global we don’t need carriers, the capability they offer is best used to deploy 1000s of miles away not hundreds or to areas that can be served by land bases on our the European continent. There more cost effective ways to provide the range we need to land based fighters within Europe. So we may get an earthquake in defence but it may not result in an improvement in carrier based aviation.

        • What is the point in buying a few dozen extra f35s now that will be very limited with their 1990s weapon loads? None. Their stealth is negated by having to get within detection range to use ancient weapons.

          Better to wait until we can buy aircraft that are genuinely useful.

          • The lack of modern weaponry is a serious issue ATM. Hopefully by CSG25 Meteor is fully integrated to make sure the Chinese don’t come anywhere close.
            Soon after that we ought to have SPEAR 3 for F35 which will really complicate operations in the vicinity. The one thing they still lack is heavyweight ASM, as FC/ASW is not for F35. Relying on Paveway will only work if we have a previous mission kill with SPEAR and they finish the thing off with Paveway.

      • Well they have…. 48 so far…. Plus they were waiting for the next level of upgrades to be released before ordering more…

        • We managed to win the Falklands with just 20 sea harriers with virtually no radar onboard.

          Can’t imagine a scenario where the UK is fighting solo and 48 F35B is not enough.

          • I can’t imagine we be fighting over the Falklands anytime soon. Whilst the new president of Argentina has stated the Falklands should be recovered he has gone out of his way to state war is not an option. So that means he wants to win over the islanders peacefully which will mean Argentina will need to convince the Islanders to join Argentina. That’s going to take at least 2 decades and mean the sabre rattling Peronist need to consigned to history.

          • The Harriers were just one part of the equation, please consider the whole picture and personal sacrifice before typing such sweeping statements.

        • Big question will be next year when Such aircraft (at least fitted for) are available. No real excuse then for not at least trying to up the tick if supply, how available they will be is another matter.

      • 48 F35B is more than enough for the carriers. If Tempest provides all land based roles then job done.

        LM has consistently under delivered on F35 and has thus far failed to integrate our weapons so we owe them nothing moving forward and we already have most of the economic benefits from F35 program.

        • That is true and other government budgets should be funding big industrial projects like tempest aswell as the MOD.
          The MOD need a product for the services. Their worry will be getting the best items for the money available. It doesn’t matter to them if 80% of that money stays in the U.K. economy or goes abroad. That does matter to other departments and the innovations and businesses that develop other projects from tempest then contributes to the U.K. economy

      • Well the F35 scenario has been discussed here time and again and the question is whether it’s worth taking on more planes now that will be expensive to upgrade to Block 4 (and thus uk weapons) or wait as in indeed are the US presently until B4 ready aircraft are coming off the lines, not sure if that’s happening as yet was supposed to be late Summer but further delays were reported.

        But there are many other reasons, do we need an aircraft industry? One of the few high tech industries in which we excel and probably stops Bae headquartering in the US. That tech input inspires our Universities and research institutions again extremely important on the World stage, attracts foreign talent inspires state of the art invention and allows World leaders like DeepMind to be developed here, keeping us relevant beyond Service Industries and the City. And I would say that developing such ties with Japan could have fundamental and wider implications that due to Brexit is vital that we chase and equally so to our future success.

        I would not rule out that it has had an influence on the recent missile deal with RoSK but that’s speculation. Equally as that hints at, it gives us new markets in the far east to exploit which we have struggled to tap it will demonstrate the depth of our high tech talent immeasurably where there has been a lot of ignorance and misunderstanding as crassly demonstrated by the Chinese Ambassador recently who clearly has no true understanding of the reality of the UKs presence in Ai, or certainly does not want to acknowledge it but demonstrates the prejudices we fight against.

        Anyway the implications of this programme go potentially far deeper still, but above all will give us a state of the art all round fighter and attack platform that’s very exportable, in an increasingly dangerous world where the US is not in my view to be taken for granted as a reliable and predictable ally endlessly into the future.

      • F-35 is a giant project failure and a commercial success.

        I am afraid GCAP will arrive at a much changed world.
        A world that missiles and drones will make airbases impracticable.

  2. Great news for the UK. I think the French, Germans and Spanish will struggle with their program so if GCAP is done right there should be lots of export potential.
    Maybe in the future we replace F35 with a navalised version of GCAP? Would like to see a UK lifetime order of at least 200+ units.

    • I read an article on the national interest I think that said the French/Dassault have already started to develop at 6th gen fighter and loyal wingman separate from the German/Spanish program. Looks like they are already preparing for that program to fail.

      • Yes I saw that but I question whether even the French have the resources to make a credible 6th gen fighter all by themselves. But if they do go it alone the Germans and Spanish will be in a difficult situation. Will be interesting to see what the Swedes try and do as well.

        • I can see the French stubbornly pushing on by themselves if they don’t get project lead like they want, however I can’t see it being an export success like the rafale as it will be ridiculously expensive compared to the US and other colab projects.

          As for Sweden yes it should be interesting to see what they do.

        • The French are going to be in deep poo because they will be looking to replace their Nuke Carrier, SSBN’s and Fighters all at once. Not good planning, Good luck to them.

      • Both GCAP and FCAS are sharing some data as they want the drone/loyal wing man and the fighter to be able to work together. That means an FCAS loyal wing man can fly with a Tempest which is completely logical as we need to work with allies. But what it also means as countries could mix and match the unmanned elements. This will also be true for US NGAD, Tempest could team with US unmanned systems.

    • I wouldn’t get to excited about airframe numbers. This will be a system of systems. It will be a very different way of operating compared to today. I’d expect numbers to be considerably less then the number of Typhoons in service.

    • France will be playing catch up. As they have not built or operated a 5th Gen jet. So don’t really know of the nuances of maintaining a stealth jet. Germany will be learning this as soon as they get their F35s. Whereas Japan, Italy and the UK already do. Plus both Italy and the UK have already built parts for the F35. So they have an understanding of what manufacturing processes are required.

      The MoD have already said that they’re not looking at a navalised version of GCAP. Which may be a mistake. But then if the design favors high speed over maneuverability. Then there may be an issue adapting it for slow speed landing approaches. Being mindful of the models and images released to the public, may be nothing like the finished design.

        • Because it’s not. Don’t get me wrong I think Rafale is an excellent aircraft. It is simply a generation behind the F35 and always will be. The aircraft cannot be modified to match the radar cross section of a purposely designed and manufactured stealth aircraft. No matter how good the additional Radar absorbent material applied to it or how good it’s jammer is.

          The inherent incredibly low radar signature of the F35 will always beat the performance of a jammer for two reasons. 1st, for the jammer to be effective it must transmit. Therefore with the right equipment you can triangulate on to the jammer or with the right missile home in onto the jammer. 2nd, for the jammer to be effective, you want to produce a “noise” bubble that extends as far as possible. Therefore you are constrained on the electrical generation of the aircraft. But also the power output of the jammer.

          With an aircraft with a very low radar signature. You aren’t transmitting a signal to deceive a radar. Nor are you constrained by electrical generation. So stealth in this case is an order of magnitude more effective than an RF jammer. Which means it can get a lot closer to a radar, before the radar starts detecting it.

          Aircraft like the Rafale and Typhoon etc, that fit their weapons to underwing pylons. Will always have a disadvantage to an aircraft with internal weapons bays. The pylon, launcher and weapon, unless they have been treated in radar absorbent material (RAM) will generate a high radar return. Even semi-conformal weapons although better, will still generate a high return. Due to the fins etc sticking out.

          You can quite easily coat the aircraft with a RAM paint. But it won’t have the RF attenuation depth that a stealth aircraft has. Which incorporates RF traps and pockets into leading and trailing edges, besides its RAM skin.

          The other item to take into account is money. The US can simply out finance any other country in developing an aircraft and its avionics. Thereby making sure that avionics in particular not only stay up to date. But are the benchmark other systems are measured by.

          • Another point is the sensors on the F35 are built into different parts of the airframe so it has supperior situational awareness. To a achieve this with a 4th gen airframe requires redesigned internals of the airframe so for instance, wing structure charges to add sensors to leading edge would be extremely difficult and costly, or even impossible.

            There’s also the factor that 4th generation fighter tend to quote RCS figures for the front of the aircraft. The F35 has supperior RCS from every aspect. So even if jamming was effective most of the power is going to be projected forward meaning from other aspects the aircraft will be visible to radar. The Typhoons new radar will fair slightly better as its steerable so will be be able to provide jamming over a wider arc.

        • Interesting point. However, both 5th gen stealth/intel platforms operating alongside upgraded 4th appears to be the route the USAF is actually heading down, since both are required to effectively prosecute high intensity engagements at ‘reasonable’ operating costs.
          To date I’d followed the received wisdom that F15EX was a bomb truck with new AESA radar, but was genuinely surprised by Alex Hollings’ assertion that cutting-edge fly-by-wire technology had in fact transformed it into a highly agile fighter platform evidently beyond F15C.
          Clearly, that has significance for the Typhoon, if we were sufficiently inclined to invest beyond ECRS2.

          • It may have transformed the aircraft, but not to the extent that they are claiming. The F15 was designed as a stable aerodynamic platform, unlike the electric jets starting with the F16, that have relaxed stability. Bordering to next to no stability for Rafale and Typhoon etc.

            You can make an aircraft more responsive by increasing the surface area of its flying controls. But Boeing have not done so. You can also shift the weight around by moving the aircraft’s centre of gravity closer to the centre of pressure. Which can be done with how you manage the fuel location. I suspect, this is what Boeing have done. Which has the advantage that if something goes wrong with the aircraft, it can revert back to a stable platform. Unlike the newer jets, which are unrecoverable, if something goes drastically wrong with the flight computer.

            However, the caveat here is that the aircraft was not designed for relaxed stability. Therefore, it may have a faster pitch and roll response rate. But it simply can’t match an aircraft that was designed from the outset with relaxed stability. As all wing area and flying control areas were calculated to generate the fastest response times, letting the flight control computer handle the artificial stability.

          • Certainly not in a position to argue on aerodynamics, DB – I feel more political, strategic & logistic nowadays – with a residue smattering of maritime. With regard to the aircraft pros & cons, I conisidered Alex is usually valued both for not trying to over egg, and subject access following from his erstwhile fighter skills.
            Hopefully, my overall intent here was to highlight the value of continued development in a successful platform still in production – necessary for platform fatigue amelioration of course – and the extent to which advanced computing can transform that for use alongside genuine 5th/6th capability, i.e. when even the US says the latter costs will prove difficult to sustain as the principal fighting unit going forward. If so for the States, then more so for ourselves, etc. To date, we’ve tended to ditch the older to develop a few of the much more complicated and expensive newer – often with an ill judged capability gap.
            Rgs

          • That’s interesting Gavin I hadn’t picked up on the F-15’s new fighter capabilities.

            The USAF is lucky to have the financial resources to upgrade aircraft like this. The cash-strspped RAF is limited to upgrading only 40 of the 107 Typhoons to the ECRS standard. Admittedly it is horribly expensive, I saw a figure of £40m per aircraft which, if remotely accurate in nearly half the original cost of the FGR4.

            I would doubt that we will see any investment in Typhoon beyond ECRS , the RAF combat aircraft programme just doesn’t have the budget. And what it does have is going to be severely stretched to do ECRS, Block 1V and then the likely vast cost of Tempest.

            With kit like ECRS, Tempest, Trophy and the rest we are basically trying to equip the forces to a 3% of GDP standard , but on 2% of a stagnant economy.

          • I’d say that Interesting is indeed appropriate, Cripes, both for the start of your post & the final paragraph, of course.
            Seems time for convincing defenders of democracy to take the stage, rather than those essentially still feeding their egos, subsequent to decades of dividends; the peace type – or otherwise. The former will be there somewhere, just beneath the usual crop of pretenders. Haven’t seen any that convince yet though….Interesting.

    • I hope they leave it open to navalisation. Typhoon design pretty much ruled out a carrier version on day 1.

      Japan and Italy all operate F35B and I would not be surprised if Japan in particular has its eyes on a future full scale carrier.

      It’s highly likely this will be the last manned platform we ever build so it’s important to keep our production line hot for as long as possible and using a Sea Tempest to replace F35 in the last 2040’s is probably the way to go.

          • Nah it’s pathetic really. If you don’t agree with someone that’s fine. But putting some school yard comment after every post is really pathetic.
            He must be sitting refreshing the page for hours waiting on him putting a comment on just so he can be the first to comment under it.

      • A small matter of launch and recovery pretty much rules out your wish unless you can provide insight ? Did Rachel Reeves tell you anything at the do ?😎

      • When Typhoon was in the “Day 1” stage, we only had Invincible class and no plans for QE class. A Navalised Typhoon option was never seriously considered. Neither will a Tempest version due to the very basic facts that the QE class have not got and never will get C’s & T’s. When you state that “It is highly likely that this will be the last manned platform we ever build”… seriously fella, just what is going through your brain ?

      • ’It’s highly likely this will be the last manned platform we ever build’ I remember them saying that about the Lightning mind, I was barely out of nappies.

        • It was said in the 1957 defence paper and cancelled lots manned aircraft projects.
          We are closer so I will wait and see

      • I’ve thought the lift fan would have seen more use or progression/improvement. Perhaps electrical powered for unmanned aircraft and so on.

      • I can’t see any of the participants being interested in a navalised Tempest to be honest. All 3 would need an STOL version with a weighty, performance-limiting lift fan to cart about, can’t see the remotest possibility of additional money for a naval variant being available.

        Should it be? I would argue not, because Tempest’s role already looks to be expanding beyond what is required.

        Japan and Italy already have a 5th generation interdiction/strike capability with their F-35As. What they (and the Saudis) need from Tempest is a long-range air defence capability, which was the RAF’s starting point too. With a secondary tac air ground attack capability like Typhoon.

        Because the UK doesn’t have an interdiction capability, not having a successor to Tornado, the temptation here will be to turn Tempest into a jack of all trades. (All 3 nations’ navies have some F-35Bs, but nobody is trying to use them as an interdiction force).

        I can see the role of loyal wingmen in the attack, which looks like the centrepiece of BAE’s hypothetical visuals. The loyal wingmen would fly ahead and force the air defences to respond, Tempest would then have a shooting gallery in its sights.

        The role of loyal wingman in air-to-air bvr combat is not so clear. Are they there to confuse the opponent’s radar and get themselves shot down? Will a 6th generation air superiority aircraft actually need that assist?

        My fear is that the UK pushes the design towards a multirole aircraft, which tries to do everything, when the design considerations for air superiority and interdiction strike are so different.

        We are currently seeing the problems of trying to do two or three roles in one with the F-35. The USA will have a high-end successor to the F22 in the air superiority role and a long range strike capability with its Raider, quite apart from naval and tac air aircraft fleets.

        We have to hope that Tempest doesn’t become a sort of Typhoon/Rafale/Grifin Jack of all trades and master of none.

        • Are the roles that different though? An air superiority/SEAD role, like F35, is not too much to ask for and would allow Tempest to take control of airspace effectively wherever it liked. F22 is what you get when you try for specialised and end up with an overspecced aircraft that has to be multirole anyway. We just don’t have the budget for specialisation at the moment, hence T26, land attack for T83 etc.

    • I agree we definitely need a navalised version now the RAF and FAA are working closer together. In fact All our fighter aircraft should be dual purpose so to speak. The South Atlantic could well be a battle space within the next 25 years with the growing competition in Africa and South America with the USA looking to the Pacific, who will fill that space? The UK is uniquely well placed to assist in keeping it friendly if shipping has to go round the southern Capes.

      • Interestingly after the CVA01 debacle we had F4 Phantoms and Buccaneers which meant the RAF only had EE/BAC Lightnings home grown, had it not been for the foresight of the FAA until the Tornadoes and Jaguars came in.

  3. Joint business construct leader from Italy.
    Joint GCAP government HQ CEO from Japan.
    I thought whoever pays the piper calls the tune. So what are the funding arrangements? So far it seems the costs have been incurred entirely by the UK.
    We can’t afford the delays caused to the Typhoon programme by German changes of commitments on numbers and funding.

    • The biggest problem is getting headship to get its head round:-

      – our ridiculous H&S regime; and
      – workforce that doesn’t do a full days work and can’t be told to;
      – the woke rubbish; and
      – the inability to stick to a simple plan.

      I can see all of those things becoming issues.

      • I think thousands of people in our defence industry do a full day’s work. Japan and Italy also have very high standards of HSE. We wouldn’t be able to build Typhoons or aircraft carriers or nuclear submarines if all you stated was true.

        • I think you underestimate how much ‘work’ has changed since lockdown.

          High standards of H&S are perfectly possible without the nightmare of the HSE’s obsessional, self-referential thinking. No other county does H&S the way we do in the UK for a very good reason.

          • I didn’t find it.
            However as an experienced project/ engineering manager the H&S regime in this country has evolved from several hard fought and costly lesson (deaths). Yes it has been used as a reason for not doing a job. That is not the intent of H&S nor should it. If it is considered from day 1 of a project and is an integral part of the project development process it will not get in the way.

            The UK H&S regime has been copied by several countries and has been virtual lifted in its entirety by the EU.
            It has even made our colonial cousins to redesign military equipment because it highlighted problems before it became a serious issue.

          • All of the EU follow the sane regime . And it is only a problem when it is ignored and has to be back fitted.
            Managed properly it is not a problem.
            H&S is frequently used as a cover for plain bad management,

          • I totally disagree.

            The UK implementation is, as usual, the most aggressive.

            The main issue in the UK is that H&S is used to cover for lack of skilled forkforce – the mix is incredibly toxic.

        • Well I had assumed it had been EU consistent standards, I find it difficult to believe we will have got even more restrictive (overall) since we left with this Govt. More concerned about the next perhaps.

      • I’m not so sure. With Nissan and latterly Honda having factories in the UK. The Japanese work ethos was instilled and made to work. Optimistically, I am hoping for the same in the aerospace sector.

        • Indeed the Japanese seem to have had few issues with the regime, indeed they have culturally preferred to work with the UK and what is generally a less restrictive and manageable regime overall in most areas at least than the Continent. The biggest contribution the Japanese can contribute is probably improving further upon safe but efficient procedures all round.

        • Well Italy is the longest partner with UK in combat aircraft since Tornado, they have had essentially the same aircraft since 1980’s : Tornado, Eurofighter, F-35 even Harriers.
          Leonardo(Agusta) partnered with Westland for Merlin.
          RAF pilots are now training in Sardegna due to Hawk issues.

          So i would say they are known.

    • Japan has budgeted $30bn to 2035 for development and procurement, Italy has budgeted $8.1bn to 2037 for R&D and prototyping and UK has budgeted £2bn to 2025

      • Believe that w/ formalization into a treaty structure, collective governments are signalling at least a semi-serious intent to proceed, regardless of budget constraint/ limitation. 🤔

      • There’s no way they are bringing this in under £50 billion, probably closer to £60, so everyone has about a year to work out numbers needed, workshare, then find and ring fence the necessary funding through to fruition.

        Lessons will have been learnt from Eurofighter, the key one being that all it takes is one heel dragging partner to slow development, fielding and upgrade path to radically increase costs for all and miss out on hundreds of potential exports.

        It will likely be a Labour Government that signs off on this in 2025.

      • Large commitments if sustained but little spent to date. And if Japans total includes procurement, which won’t be possible before 2035, it seems little more than a costed ambition. Eurofighter tried to match funding and work share with planned orders but ran into problems when Germany delayed spending and reduced planned orders( but kept the 40% work share). Partnering with two of the most heavily indebted countries in G7/20 must bring similar risks over such a long term programme.
        If it works, it could seriously dent the US dominance of the combat aircraft market.

        • I do think you are right talking about your commitment to 2035 or beyond is hardly a firm commitment just an estimate. We haven’t seem to have made any such estimate (rightly in my opinion) and have purely costed the initial investment in the preparatory work. Of course sooner or later that will have to change.

        • Wrong. BAE Systems have the largest Eurofighter production share at 37.5%. Airbus Germany has 30%, Leonardo Italy has 19.5% and Airbus Spain have 13%.

    • I would expect the Japanese have plowed a fair amount in their own design before this agreement, considering they had already shown outline imagery and given contracts to RR for engine development and Bae/RR to design the engine related aerodynamic elements and structures. Though obviously rather less Italy had already set up joint sensor cooperation structures with the Japanese. I guess as the headquarters is here it’s only fair to give something to your partners to ‘sell’ back home for political reasons. It’s only first dabs as it will rotate after all.

  4. All good news for Global Britain, Microsoft are also investing £2.5 billion in Wales and the pound is at $1.27…… no doubt someone will be along in a bit to offer some negativity.

      • Tbh most MPs will probably have an allocated time for social media engagement. If nothing by the end of the day then yes it’s playing politics.

        However the LGBT issues he is talking about a very important even if some commenters on this site couldn’t care less. Serving members of the military fired, striped of rank, refused medels and importantly refused a pension no matter how long they served all because they were gay, bi ect. The law only changed in 2000 and its only now those service men and women are actually getting some sort of closure and pensions. This is no way to treat people who served and put there lives on the line for this country and there beliefs.

        I’m a bit annoyed that there hasn’t been an article on this website about it but I can already see the people screaming of lefty wokeness if there wqs one.

        • Fair comment. Yeah, agree it is important that this is highlighted and any issues rectified. I hope to see some positive comments from him.

          • Didn’t mean to go on a rant, been one of those days at work. Even though we are on different sides of the political spectrum, we both agree on human decency and the need for a strong defence. Unfortunately both sides are lacking atm.

          • Absolutely mate, no issues from me re that. One can disagree politically and maintain respect. 👍

        • Just to clarify, I m usually the first to scream Woke, but this has nothing to do with Woke

          Obviously, Gay previously serving members of the armed forces were treay very badly indeed and this needs to be redressed in full.

        • I wasn’t aware of those details- if that is the case I revoke my rather pithy comment ( Although in my defence it was based on how Labour in general)

          • I also believe they also received criminal records as well which meant a lot of them couldn’t go to other professions like teaching, I think they got rectified a couple of years ago though.

      • It’s a moot point mate and quite frankly absolutely vital to hear something positive from Labour over this.

        A Shadow Defence (or even better leader) approval is needed to be heard in the House, to cement this, after all, the signature of a Government in its death throws actually means little with a programme like this ..

        MP’s need to ask Labour that direct question in the new year.

      • Awesome Mate -hopefully they’ll livery up a couple in rainbow branding. A nice inclusive way to fight a war. (insert LGBTG emoji here )😋

    • MP for Preston is Mark Hendrick (Labour). MP for Preston North and Wyre Ben Wallace. Let’s hear it for BAE Warton, Samlesbury 🙂

  5. “The supersonic stealth jet will boast a powerful radar that can provide 10,000 times more data than current systems, giving a battle-winning advantage.”
    This is pretty specific. Does that mean radar is already developed, along with software for it?
    If so, pretty big step forwards for program, even more so than a contract

    • Its called Jaguar, it exists in the lab based primarily on the ECRS Mk.2 and its massive data bandwidth which is being rolled out to Eurofighter but has to be turned into a deployable system with the massive computational requirement that processes that much raw data shrunk down and fitted into an aircraft, they are likely to incorporate some tech Japan has developed on compact radar transmitter elements as well.

      • 10000 times more data, which is not the same thing. But probably compared with Leonardo or whoever’s previous effort rather than with F35 radar which is, by all accounts, a bit of a beast

        • It’s the wording in the article… “10000 times more data than current systems” it doesn’t specify which current systems though, so therefore I would include F35.

          • Always a bit nebulous these sort of comments aren’t they. I guess it’s easy to compare a lab prototype to existing u it’s and make such numbers seem amazing. Of course by the time they enter production other systems will have come on line too so far less a differential. ‘More data’ could perhaps include the F-35 radar as it stands because data upgrades do come in massive steps Arm based chips can be 2 to 4 times faster than a year ago processor so imagine a decade ago one, so a next gen radar might be able to sport such numbers in terms of data. The F-35 radar is of course to be upgraded and whatever radar is in the US 6th Gen fighter will no doubt have similar improved numbers so it’s all relative I think and obviously not the only factor to be considered. With the input of Ai in design I suspect this sort of exponential improvements will only get greater.

    • This figure was announced a couple of years ago by Leonardo UK, claiming it had a breakthrough. I can’t recall the details, something about moving transponders closer to the antenna if memory serves. It is supposed to incorporate tech beyond the ECRS Mk 2.

      • Wiring all the individual radar elements directly into the signal processor rather than having them go via a receiver that blends the signals, essentially an incredibly wide databus.

        • The newer AESA radars are using more and more parallel processing. Where previously radar signal processing was done linearly. I am sure in the very near future, each transmitter-receiver module (TRM) will have its own dedicated signal processing function. Its not worth putting on the same board. As that makes upgrading difficult and expensive. But having a TRM connected to its own blade server, means upgrading will be easier.

          One of the bigger issues with modern AESA is there operating bandwidth. Traditionally even AESA radars that operate in the X-band (8 to 12GHz). Would operate around a base frequency of say 10GHz +/- 1GHz, giving a bandwidth of 2GHz. However today’s TRM can operate at wider frequencies. Where it has been claimed, that the F35’s APG-81 operates also in C and Ku bands, besides the X-band. So below 8GHz and above 12GHZ. By how much is a closely guarded secret. But that means it has a bandwidth of greater than 4GHz. I suspect Typhoon’s Radar 2+ is similar. Which for a radar that can operate anywhere within that wider bandwidth nearly instantaneous, whilst transmitting/receiving multiple beams at different frequencies is stupendous. This is one of the reasons why these radars generate so much data.

    • Sampson on ships is a genius bit of kit and has a massive capacity to generate targets. Thats the easy bit. The processing of the data is the hard part and getting useable data from the mountain of tracks you generate. Thats down to software, track extractors and computational power. Powerful computers in an aircraft mean power density and cooling will be an issue.

      • Specifically why I presume RR has highlighted its new engine technologies to support and deal with these sort of resulting expectations/problems.

          • Their main input was I believe the Saab based computer modelling for creating a computerised digital twin. The US uses it and I thus expect that will still be used in the Tempest project too that’s the important thing. I can understand why Sweden would not want to commit as theirs requirements have traditionally been rather different to the complex larger requirement of Tempest. I guess it’s better they bide their time and offer relevant tech as a supplier rather than over stretching a sparsely populated Country who would have on that basis only a minor share in the project. Keeping options open makes sense based on my outsider thoughts.

  6. Great news. Also, more good news hopefully. It has been reported that Cammell Laird will now entirely build the new Mersey Ferry. Let’s hope that is kept.
    (Link)

  7. Good news , hopefully unlike the TSR2 it will have full government backing and not have the Navy doing their best to kill it.

    I wish the Franco/ German effort “ Bon Chance” with the Germans antics during eurofighter development, they are going to need it.

    I still think not making it carrier capable is a mistake that will haunt us in the future. Especially with the growing threat in the Pacific.

    • Germany has allocated 50 billions to the drafting of the draft that outlines the agreement needed for the contract and project chart to be implemented. So yeah bonne chance

      • Seems a wee bit make that astronomically high for the what in project management speak we call Project Definition and the User Spec.

          • If the Germans have swallowed a large dose of reality about defence then nobody will be more pleased than myself. They have been a bit of a freeloader in NATO for many years but are now struggling to get match fit ( yes I know I just painted a target on my back)
            Their shinanigans during eurofighter cost billions and years on the program. Their continual threats to pull out and or drive to dumb down the aircraft.

            So I am very glad they are not involved. Heaven forbid that both project amalganate as it will be a match made in hell. Having been involved in the ITER project, working with the French is a nightmare and mainly why that project is so far behind schedule.?

          • Sadly the German intransigence looks like scuppering the Saudi Typhoon deal. As Saudi are now also looking at Rafales just in case.

    • Well at least we won’t have meddling Royals stirring up problems for it, unless they let Andrew back into the equation anyway. Mountbatten pretty much destroyed any chance of an Australian order.

  8. Really welcome news. I am hoping that BAe were savy with the contract arrangements. In that if a future Government decides if it to pull out. Then the contract had included a massive penalty clause, which will make the Government have second thoughts. This project is too important Nationally for a future Government to squander!

  9. GCAP is certainly pulling ahead of the French-German-Spanish FCAS project, as they keep arguing over what the agreed French leadership of the programme means in practice. The big question is whether the GCAP development budget is affordable without the deep pockets of the Saudi’s, the UK and Italy seem to think not but Japan would prefer to keep them out. With a Japanese CEO initially heading the programme, they might win the argument.

    • Bringing in the Saudis at this point would probably be more trouble than it’s worth not to mention technological risk with their thawing foreign relations with suspect nations. Let’s see what happens much further into the programme mind when such risks ‘might’ be less risky and the developing atmosphere more definable.

  10. So we don’t have enough Typhoon jets… we don’t have enough F35 jets, and Bae and whoever else, thinks its a rollicking good idea, if the MOD goes off and wastes billions of £’s, to revive on an old 1960 jet fighter/bomber.

    And people are actually going to lap this up, as a jolly good thing to do??

    So clearly the Army are set to suffer for years yet, as well as the navy, who need how many new ships?

    Wow… mind boggled bigtime.

          • “Oh dear another day tripper” Your point being?

            Actually I have an original 1965 copy of ‘Day Tripper’ by the Beatles. A little scratched, but still good to go..

            If I shot a drone with my 1982 .357 Colt Python, it would be as fubar as shooting the same type of drone with a 2023 .357 Colt Python.

            Why are people so hung up on reinventing the wheel?

    • What 1960 jet bomber? I’m utterly confused as to what on earth you are referring to. Tempest is a new aircraft with a new airframe.

          • One thing that is a fact, (just like the 60’s) the UK will never be able to afford to buy them in the quantities we need, or require.

            So yes it is a fair comparison! Then to cap it all, bae go off into the sunset with the plans and the means to flog them to whoever wants them.

          • Well if we don’t have the numbers with Tempest we won’t with any other solution without the added benefits. Bae will not without Govt support, indeed Govts support be able to seek anything to anyone, they already work with others on present contracts as do RR mind, the Turks for one, but again they will do that anyway and to be honest such companies need to to earn a living. This agreement actually frees them from working with less savoury regimes if anything so I don’t really see the objection. Without aircraft neither the Army or Navy will survive a conflict so you can’t simply ignore the airforce.

          • The government IS already supporting/funding Bae and whoever else. They have given “£2 billion in the UK over the last 5 years on technology, creating skills and capabilities – with a further £600 million from industry”

            Wow cool trade off…. the UK Gov spend £2billion, and Industry (bae and whoever) only have to part with £600 million.

            I have often found that prior to a ‘rant’ read the full report first. 🤓

  11. Fantastic! Italy and Japan look like natural bedfellows when it comes to this level of complex aerospace technology and investment.

    Critically though what is being baked into GCAP to make sure no current or future partners can block exports to third party customers?

    Will construction being done via workshare of components like Typhoon or will the 3 original partners manufacture 100% of their own airframes?

    Presumably any additional exports will need to involve workshare agreements between the partners?

    • ARTICLE 50
      (1) Each Party shall support, to the maximum extent possible, in accordance with legal obligations and regulations, and with due consideration of the direct interests of national security, the intention of one of the Parties to export or transfer items and information generated within or through the GCAP to non-Parties.
      (2) Should one of the Parties have concerns about the possibility of exporting to a non-Party, the Parties shall initiate high-level consultations without undue delay in order to exchange their assessments and find appropriate solutions.

      https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/657b1171095987001295e109/GIGO_treaty.pdf

    • I would imagine a workshare arrangement, rather that spending out on creating three separate assembly lines. BAe/UK for the basic airframe, Mitsubishi/Japan for the engines, and Leonardo/Italy for the radar/EW suite

  12. Let’s hope Tempest doesn’t have to fly in a holding pattern while all the top spec shiney software is buffering!🙂

    Great to have others sharing the project & bringing their expertise.

  13. Idiotic, but predictable, that carrier CTOL requirements were not included into Tempest.

    Not sure whether to blame the MoD, RN or RAF the most, the order as written is most likely accurate.

    • As I mentioned earlier, a lot will depend on the aircraft’s designed role. If it is a direct replacement for Typhoon. But basically better at everything then sure, you can design a stealthy airframe, with a decent short take-off and landing (STOL) capability. That incorporates high lift through active vortex generation and direct laminar flow control. But its speed will be limited to below Mach 2.5-2.7ish, due to the need to keep super-manoeuvrability.

      The issue comes when you want an aircraft that favours high altitude, speed and endurance over attributers. It will have to be big to hold the necessary fuel and high speed favours smaller area wings. The aircraft will require a pair of huge engines, not only for the speed, but also to allow it to reach and operate at higher altitudes.

      A fairly good example is the the SR-72 Darkstar used in the Top Gun 2 movie. Yes it’s a prop, but aerodynamically the shape is more or less correct for speeds between Mach 3 and 6. Lockheed’s Skunk Works after all designed it. They could of easily gone for something that “looked right”. However, they choose to showcase what they could do! Anyway, if you look at the wing placement and the wing’s area. You will notice how far back they are, but also how small they are. As the aircraft also uses the main body for generating lift. Plus there are no canards, that could also be used for generating lift. It would be very difficult to give this design STOL capabilities, if at all. You would at a minimum have to use engine bleed air to control the laminar flow over the wings to reduce the stall speed (as per the Buccaneer). Even then I don’t believe there would be enough wing area for the required slow carrier approach. The Darkstar, used a pair of combined cycle jet and scramjet engines. These aren’t new and LM have shown earlier renditions of Darkstar as a proposal to the USAF. But the two engine nacelles in the renditions are quite a bit bigger. If they can include the rotating pulse detonation scramjet that GE have shown. Perhaps there may be an excess in power, that can be used for bleed air, that helps reduce the aircraft’s stall speed.

      It will be interesting to see what is actually produced for the forthcoming USN F/A-XX. As that had similar requirements to the old Tomcat. As an area fleet defender that could operate some 500miles away from the carrier. It would not be a super-manoeuvrable aircraft like the FA-18. But instead favour speed and endurance, plus a large internal weapons bay. So it won’t be small. Could we see the re-adoption of the swing-wing? As that would solve a number of issues. Though making it stealthy will be a problem.

  14. France makes the best planes in Europe and it a 100% makes better planes than Japan but somehow people think GCAP will be better than FCAS… You guys are seriously deluded.

    • I think you are seriously deluded based on that. Rafale certainly is not better than Typhoon the Indians now recognise the Mirage 2000 is as good as obsolete against its likely opposition, so not clear what evidence you have to support your argument, even if opinions can be rather subjective. Japan has qualities obviously, particularly in electronics, mechanical engineering and industrial processes and production that the French and indeed us are not in the same league with, so that’s what they bring to the table as they equally learn about engine and airframe technologies from us. Considering the Japanese once built some of the best military aircraft in the World and that ability was only politically reduced, have all the engineering potential to do so again and are proven fast learners and now the threat to take it seriously, I suspect you will be eating those words Tout De Suite my friend.

  15. I do not profess to know the answers to many of the questions posted here but, the two wars that are currently waging, and specially in Ukraine seems to have boiled down to
    1/ Infantry warfare
    2/ Artillery warfare
    3/ Drone warfare

    This fly’s (no pun intended) in the face of “give us the dollars so we can research fighters that can… do what…?

    At this moment in time, I see nothing but waste, by shovelling millions and billions of £’s at a new generation aeroplane, especially when a swarm of 100 drones at £300 a pop can neutralise one of these £1million jets.

    Surely the ultimate 6th, 7th or 27th generation of combat aircraft, really needs to be crewless, to allow it to do all that its owners want from it?

    Nuclear – The Ultimate deterrent.
    A few Aircraft Carries – Move and use Drones anywhere.
    Foot soldiers (with fast get there – getaway vehicles)
    Drones
    Drones
    And more Drones.

    Right… that’s the the MOD budget taken care of for the next 10 years. Time for Tea.

    • You’ll never take out a fighter with drones. The ones at the moment would struggle to catch up with a Spitfire.
      The point of jets is like Dreadnoughts in WW1 era: in order to destroy one, you need a dreadnought yourself unless your opponent is very stupid (Dardanelles). Therefore, the use of manned fighters is important to maintain military brunt at world stage.
      It needs to be manned in order to have the spacial awareness for air combat. Drones just don’t have the reaction time and maneuverability to fight a jet.

      • Also your numbers are all over the place. Much, much more than £1m for a jet
        Ukraine is not a good example of modern warfare, both sides use old tech in large numbers so survivability is less of an issue

        • HI SB
          Thank you for your financial assessment of my “all over the place figures”. Indeed, I stand corrected.

          My figure however, was based on nothing at all, as I have no idea how much these ‘boffins toys’ actually cost.

          More than £1m per jet… £5m, £10m, £50m? Maybe even double that amount… in UK MOD terms, unaffordable.

          • Your average fighter jet costs, at the moment, between £50m and £100m. Tempest, due to new tech, might get up to £150m. Still good value if you consider a T31 frigate that costs £250m and would be a walk in the park for a flight of F35s to evade and mission kill.

          • It is this ‘horrific’ cost, that will prevent most countries from owning these aircraft in serious numbers.

      • SB… your assumption that dozens of Drones, could never take out a fighter jet, is based on… wishful thinking.

        I’ve always been a bit of a history buff. I remember one of several fantastic, amazing but true stories of WWII. In 1943, 2 X-Class Royal Navy midget submarines, managed to drop their side explosive charges, under the German Battleship Tirpitz.

        The Tirpitz was the second Bismarck class of battleships, built for the German Navy. It had a ships company of 2,000 men. It was put out of action until May of 1944.

        Size means nothing in the grand scheme of things.

        Only unmanned aircraft will be capable one day of flying at ridiculously high speeds.

        A ‘pilot’ would be flying these aircraft… from a hangar miles and miles away.

        • Disclaimer:I too am a history buff; it and my interest in technology are what got me onto this site.
          Your Tirpitz analogy is misleading. The X-craft were built with the express purpose of dropping mines beneath structures in harbour. The equivalent would be Ukrainian drones hitting Russian airbases, which has no bearing on our conversation.
          Your description of very fast UAVs attacking a jet sounds very much like an AA missile. If you’re not aware, these already exist. Jets are capable of operating despite them. There is a speed point (@DaveyB will know more) where effective communication with a hypersonic vehicle becomes impossible. Therefore control of such a UAV will be very difficult and rely largely on autopilot (sounding more like a missile?).
          Accordingly, as capability increases so does cost. To intercept a jet, a large amount will be spent on engines and airframe. This isn’t a budgeting issue, just a result of physics. So using many drones each with a small payload is uneconomical.

          • You seem like a decent, clever, intelligent individual to me however, why do you have to keep trying to counter an argument, seemingly for argument sake?

            The Tirpitz story was not an analogy, but a factual event, highlighting the reality then as now, that big, is not always better.

            Ok ok to keep things peaceful… one day, a Drone swarm WILL take out a fighter jet. That day will be upon us, maybe sooner than you think.

          • Firstly, I continued with this debate because I am enjoying a lengthy conversation on a topic I am interested in. I am not attacking you, we are both learning new things.
            My point is that the disablement of the Tirpitz was, albeit a very interesting story with several stages of which X-craft were 1, not applicable to a general rule that bigger is not better. When it comes to high speed flight, you cannot possibly both keep up with a fighter jet and remain a cheap and disposable UAV without morphing into a missile. Physics gets in your way pretty quickly, which is why loyal wingman CGI shows them as nearly fighter-sized (much larger than, say, a Spitfire). If they were smaller there’d be a death spiral of engine power, fuel and payload until the thing looked like a Shahed and could only make 200mph.

      • Of course a drone can take out a fighter.
        Fighter need to land and need airbases which are relatively rare and known. Drones and missiles are increasing in range and much more ubiquitous. It is not unconceivable that in future 6-Day War will be done by thousands of missiles and drone attacks against air bases that will be neutralised or destroyed.
        And i suspect it will not be done by West but against the West because
        West have an unhealthy fascination with the “Archer” = ships, aircraft, tanks. It can be its downfall.

        • I agree that the risk to air and naval bases posed by drones is significant and likely to increase.
          That is not what Tom was arguing for. He meant that, in open airspace, a swarm of cheap drones could outmanoeuvre and take down a 6th gen fighter. I was arguing that this is impossible due to the economic and physical constraints of high speed flight.

          • To be fair SB, I didn’t actually mean that a drone would go 1 on 1 with a fighter jet, and take it out.

            If that is the impression I gave, then apologies to whoever interpreted it as such.

          • I overstated your argument above. In hindsight, you never did state that the drone swarm would be attacking in the air, which would indeed be near-impossible with any number of drones due to limitations outlined above. However, on the ground drone swarms, like in Ukraine, pose a real threat to airbases not using Hardened Air Shelters like the Typhoons do.
            This is something the whole military (same applies to naval and army bases) should be worried about and why I think we should buy a whole heap of the Terrahawk systems we bought for Ukraine. It’s essentially a self-contained CIWS using the same 30mm as the navy and with it’s own radar, targeting etc that can be carried by a standard lorry and deposited as needed.

  16. I must protest man. Thus is a farce I say sir why spend all that money on crap we don’t need missle easy do the job fraction cost

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