600 British military personnel will deploy to Afghanistan on a short term basis to assist British nationals to leave.
The UK Government say that UK troops will provide force protection and logistical support for the relocation of British nationals where required and assist with the acceleration of the Afghan Relocation and Assistance Policy (ARAP).
“This will help to make sure interpreters and other Afghan staff who risked their lives working alongside UK forces in Afghanistan can relocate to the UK as soon as possible.”
Defence Secretary Ben Wallace MP said:
“I have authorised the deployment of additional military personnel to support the diplomatic presence in Kabul, assist British nationals to leave the country and support the relocation of former Afghan staff who risked their lives serving alongside us.”
The additional military support announced today will arrive in Kabul over the coming days.
A statement reads:
“The UK remains committed to Afghanistan and will continue working as part of the international coalition to support the country’s government through our diplomacy, development and counter terrorism work. This year the UK will provide Afghanistan with more than £100 million of support to improve critical health and education services.”
Having never served or experienced war I know this is very easy to say, but pulling out and leaving a seemingly ill prepared Afghan army to fend for itself could end up being a colossal mistake. Ben Wallace has been very critical of the decision but with the US going what choice did everyone else have, indeed they can all blame the US decision and end their involvement without much criticism.
I feel very sorry for ordinary Afghans and fear for their future, as well as for what will be allowed to grow from this.
I have to say though that if my son or daughter were serving I would be more than happy. No easy answers here. It is just a sorry mess.
The Afghanistan military has been trained for 15 years, and has been given more then enough equipment to deal with the Taliban. If a 18 year old joined the British army 15 years ago by now they would at least be a sgt with multiple tours under their belt. The ANA had everything in their favour to win they are simply dont have the will power to stand and fight. Personally the only Afghans I have any sympathy with are the children and the few who are actually putting up a fight.
https://twitter.com/TomTugendhat/status/1425919659895934977?s=20
From the chair of the foreign affairs committee, a former Int Corps officer with multiple tours under his belt.
Training a career soldier, and creating an army from scratch are not the same thing, and do not have the same timelines.
The main issue is that they seem incapable of understanding the all arms battle. They can move from A to B, in formation, but once a contact is intiatied they all seem to bomburst and do their own thing. C&C is the biggest task for them, along with any sort of coordination from any OS or supporting elements. Many of them can fight, but getting them to employ even the basic principles of soldeiring can be a frustraining hair puling teeth gnashing issue. Its a mind set thing not a training thing…….cheers mate.
Well said mate.
No. But it wasn’t forming an army from scratch, it was built from the nucleus of the Northern Alliance. Plus it took less then 1/3 of the time to rebuild the Iraqi army before they began smashing up ISIS. Sorry but the ANA have no excuse.
The Iraqi Army also a) Fell to pieces when it first encountered ISIS. b) still hasn’t had US support pulled. c) Never stopped benefitting from US logistics, support and training.
So a good example perhaps of how the US pulling the rug out from under the Afghans doesn’t work, and they should have stayed on.
Sorry, but the ANA has every excuse.
That may well be true, but when they seem incapable of of performing the most basic of infantry skills and often either end up running away or locking themselves in their vehicles. It doesn’t matter what support they receive their doomed anyway. 20 years we’ve thought for their country and they lose it all in a few months.
Let’s just say that’s not the picture that is painted by those in the know. Again I refer you to the comments I linked above.
Stayed on for how much longer? 50, 100 more years? The US should have never gone in there in the first place. No one learned the tough lessons the Soviets learned. It is impossible to force Western norms on them. Sad but true. Just like in other places like Somalia, parts of Africa, ect. It just doesn’t work and no amount of troops or money will change that.
Really? Because lets just say the US did a lot better than the Soviets did, remember the Soviet Death toll? But yeah “no lessons learned.” If anything the Biden has failed to learn the lessons of Iraq in the last 10 years.
And lets not rope Africa into this, that’s a different kettle of fish.
Spot on Harry.
It is a war that cannot be won by western armies/politics. The local Afghans trust the barbaric Taliban more than the good intentions of foreign ‘invaders’, plus factoring in the duplicity of Pakistan, which has sheltered armed and trained them., and continues to do so.
Hard realities here!
So you would prefer bombs on our streets again?
What difference did it make? most of the Jihadists who set off bombs and did stabbings here were born in the UK. The last major terror attack was carried out by people of Morrocan heritage. The Taliban have never bombed the UK or Europe, so we are simply fighting the wrong people.
That wasn’t the Afghans. It was foreigners that hid in Afghanistan.
The West would have to keep a big military presence there forever in order to keep the Taliban from taking over again. Some things military might just can’t solve and this is unfortunately one of them….
Afghanistan does tribal warfare. It’s in their DNA. They will be fighting outsiders like Russia and the west and then each other when there are no outsiders to fight.
I supported the entry into Afghanistan post 9/11 to go after AQ and terrorist apparatus using proxy forces, SF, airpower, and the intelligence community, but not the attempts to occupy it long term after. I still remember the DS John Reid’s comments waving it off as routine and short term.
It would never work and an insurgency is unavoidable. No different for them as to us if suddenly the Home Counties were occupied by a foreign power, we would resist.
Well I hope we would!
And saying that does not belittle or reduce my respect for our personnel who served there and did their bit, and their best.
As for this deployment, I hope the interpreters are brought to the UK, from what I am reading it has been a dreadful betrayal leaving them to their fate after the help they provided.
Also, will a total Taliban takeover, if it happens, alter our planned ongoing SF deployment as discussed with the US in the lost “bus stop” documents?
Totally agree with everything you said. It should have been a short, hard and focused intervention and nothing more.
What I find unforgivable is the lack of understanding of the different cultural and religious beliefs, which were well known before we invaded. The U.K has no excuse whatsoever given our historical knowledge of the country.
What do they get taught at Sandhurst and Westpoint.
To those who say we should have stayed I give you this comparison. The allies occupied Germany for over 40 years, a country of which we know so much, having similar cultural, religious, and educational beliefs and standards. How long do you think we should have stayed in Afghanistan, 50, 60, 100 years?
I feel for my friends who served, who lost comrades or saw them horrendously injured and of course those innocent Afghans. What a mess.
Im afraid I must disagree. Although the Taliban had always mounted an insurgency, it was a spratic and disorganised one reliant mostly on forign volunteers. Not only had we truly defeated the Taliban militarily, but we had layed the ground work for the creation of a relatively stable government. Although the coalition had certainly made mistakes it was the unwillingness of the majority of the Afghan population to work for themselves that has caused this situation. Had the ANA stood its grounds it could have wiped out the Taliban once and for all. As for the interpreters and other local staff, at the end of the day we where there to help there country. We owe them nothing. The only people who they should be blaming are their own soldiers and politicians.
Morning Harry.
That is welcome. But which bit do you differ with? As apart from your comments on the Interpreters your points don’t really address mine?
I mentioned nothing on the capability or will to fight of the ANA or the training, money, and kit provided. I wonder how many have gone over to the other side? Another common outcome in afghan tribal politics.
The insurgency against the Soviet Union also had Mujahideen foreign fighters, Osama the biggest amongst them. And the Russians could not quell it either with 300,000 men I believe?
Yes, the local afghans who helped us can always blame their own, but it is we who have the power to remove them from that fate by giving sanctuary and help, however motivated, was appreciated then and should be recognised now.
Otherwise, why should anyone help us in future overseas operations?
Which I will continue to support, as the UK should be a world player who gets involved. But there’s a big difference between expeditionary ops taking a fight to an enemy using our capabilities to occupying a country with limited resources, western appetite, and too few infantry.
Just the genral principle of the conflict being un winnable.
Harry, we have no more defeated the Taliban than the US had defeated the Viet Cong. They melted away and just waited for the invading forces resolve to weaken or for them to withdraw. Sadly despite all the money spent and lives lost you said it, it is the unwillingness of the Afghan population to work or fight for themselves that has has in part caused this debacle, hastened by our withdrawal.
An entirely predictable and avoidable disaster.
Interesting point, the US military will in Vietnam was broken when they realised it would take upwards of one million troops to contain the Vietcong and NVA. Note, I said contain, not defeat….
10,000 British troops could, in reality accomplish little in Afghanistan, a pointless 20 years of loss of life and permanent injury to live with, will lessons be learnt? I wonder…….
They fought so hard, but their political masters in the shape of Blair and his cohorts, let them down, so very badly, deploying troops with no clear aim or any thought for an exit strategy …. Shame on him…..
Well said Daniele, I couldn’t have put it any better. You simply can’t defeat an ingrained insurgency, it can’t be and has never been successfully accomplished.
Those that think it’s achievable, are away with the fairies in my opinion…
Withdrawal had to happen at some point, I pity the poor people who are heading back into the hard-line Islamic depths of hell.
Expect China to occupy that narrow corridor that connects Afghanistan to China, they will take prompt action once the country officially fails I am sure…..
One can only hope it is part of cunning plan to bring them all out into the open and then slot every last single one of them.
As Dan says, we were never going to win this.
The only way would have been to seal every last inch of border from places especially like Pakistan.
Link ANY NATO country aid to the PAKs with them also effectively sealing their own border, build a wall aka mahoosive minefield between Iran and Afghan and systematically and publicly execute anyone found to have gun powder residue upon their clothing or bodies.
They’re barbaric and only understand brutality. Rant over.
I’m pretty sure being brutal to the local population in the manner you described would make us as bad as the insurgents and be a war crime (I do hope your your tongue was in your cheek). Also implying an entire nation/group as barbaric is just ‘out group’ bias at its worse and leads to a very dark place very quickly. The war is being lost sadly but it doesn’t mean all the people are going to embrace the oppressors. It’s like saying all French people in 1940-44 were pro German because their army surrendered and Vichy was established.
Hi, I agree with Dan, we should have limited our involvement to SF and airpower and left that bedevilled country alone.
The west needs to realise when going into situations like this sometimes there is no quick fix and best you can hope for is management
Unfortunately unlike a disarmed country like ours it’s quite normal for peaceful citizens there to use firearms to protect families and livestock so couldn’t really disarm them or test for GSR.
15 years… big boy’s games, big boy’s rules.
We should never have gone in; SF pin point, RAF light up, and let the rest play with their goats. It is a God forsaken land.
Like Saigon all those years ago. The “west” has let another country down, that after thousands of troops gave their lives and for what?
I fear for a major confrontation with Biden “leading”, to think that an obviously dementing man could get elected just astounds me, like Johnson, Macron and all the others voted in, where are the true leaders?
Still, the CIA will at least get some money from poppies again.
More proof, if it were needed, that governments do not run things.
Unless you want to invade pakistan to get at the Taliban it was always going to end this way. NATO has done supremely better than when Russia tried it which by the way started all this mess. 2500 US , 450 brits loses , Russia over 50,000 killed . Comparing vietnam to this conflict doesn’t quite match up as the taliban are not native to Afghanistan they where installed by Pakistan when Russia retreated.
Or seal the Iran border, another route supplies were smuggled in.
Yes, the ISI are a law to themselves. Why no sanctions on them?
The analogy with Saigon does match. Loss of interest on behalf of corrupt politicians sentences millions to terror. And this goes back further than Russia. Read some Kipling. As for Pakistan playing regional broker? They cannot even settle their own problems in their borderlands. Pashtuns will never be ruled by any “state”, history proves that. When you dig deep enough, the real culprits are easy to spot.
You cant deflect away the fact that Afghanistan was in a very good state before Russia invaded and after that, quick chaos.
Yes but the common cause the Vietnamese, Iraqis, and Afghans had is that there were foreign invaders on their soil imposing an unwanted culture and politics on them and they wanted them out. The west takes a view that it is fighting off communism, tribalism, and religious extremists for a good cause and order to establish democracy in those countries. The lesson should be obvious from those conflicts our ideas, values, and politics are totally unwelcome there and that is why we can never win, it’s very different from fighting dictators in Europe.
Agreed, the “logic” behind The Gan mess was 9-11 and the bullshit “war on terror”. I am with Ron Paul on all these foreign adventures. Keep out. My issue is if you commit, you stay. Weasel western governments are just that. We basically have no right to intervene unless we are attacked. The “who did 9-11 and why question” is still wide open.
The “who did 9-11 and why question” is still wide open”
I think you should stick to youtube conspiracy videos.
We (the west) should just stick to containing what is harmful to us and not go on expeditions to countries where the culture is so different that we are not welcome at all. By containing I mean degrading the military threats such as destroying hostile ships/aircraft / AFVs/ personal that threaten our immediate peace rather than attempting to occupy another country.
“The who did 9-11 and why question”
Is truly closed and established, A. Jones!
🤔 It was trump who started the formal process of withdrawing troops from Afghanistan. Biden is simply continuing to deliver on it.
Trump made a treaty with the Taliban, promising to leave, in an incredibly short timeframe, and to cut all support to the Afghan forces.
Trump did that “great deal” without consulting with either the Democrats, nor the Afghan government, nor his NATO allies.
Trump created this mess. Biden was stuck with it.
Should have never gone there in the first place. But US wanted a whipping boy after 9/11. But once there should have pulled out after Bin Laden was killed.
Afghanistan was a disaster long before 9/11 and unfortunately is returning to that chaos of tribal conflict, except now it seems the Taliban are unopposed since Northern Alliance has disentegrated over the years.
Unfortunate for the people who will have to live under Taliban oppression, i guess we are going back to the days of using football stadiums for executions as entertainment. Sad, but none of their “muslim brothers” from other countries came to help and build, because “crusaders” were never going to be in any position to foster a united people to build a country.
At the end of the day there is no difference whether we had never gone there, left after killing OBL, leaving now or in 10 years, the result is always the same, a “shithole” as Trump poetically puts it.
Bin Laden was not killed until 2011, that is 10 years after 9/11!
Because he was allowed to flee?
Embrace decarbonisation, electrify our railways, 31.12.2029 ban all diesel and petrol vehicles and turn off the money tap to the Saudis et al.
Use COP in Glasgow to urge all others to do the same.
Am I becoming a Conservative?
The UK gets most of its oil from Norway and West Africa these days, so all that would have no effect on Gulf countries.
The International community has no desire to send large numbers of troops to police the whole of Afghanistan for a long time to come. However, if it was me, I would be asking the US, Russia & India to join the UK in creating an international safe haven, roughly a circle 25-35 km from the centre of Kabul. Get the bulldozers in to dig a trench to build a dyke alongside. A boundary to say to the taliban, this far & no further. Have enough international airpower at the airport to stop any taliban advance.
They have already infiltrated Kabul and are busy doing assassinations of military personnel and politicians.
Yes, because no one is stopping them at the moment.
And who should stop them? , clearly, the ANA / Afghan police are not doing a good enough job, but I also suspect the Taliban are always one step ahead of them. So no, we should not go back in to clean this mess up, they need to learn how to counter Taliban tactics/propaganda and fend for themselves.
If there is no safe space in Afghanistan, then there will be a huge outpouring of refugees, heading to the US, Europe & the UK. How can we deport an Afghan criminal if the taliban are in charge? Human rights lawyers would stop any deportation. Russia & India do not want islamofascists in charge, near their borders. Trying to police the whole of Afghanistan is beyond international will at the moment, but a multinational force protecting a small safe haven around Kabul, would be in the interests of the international community.
Strange how those ‘refugees’ will choose Europe rather than going to neighboring countries, they should be refused refugee status because they leave the first ‘safe’ country and cross several more to get to Europe, which makes them economic migrants, not refugees.
Bingo.
I’m sure the government and police will be itching to clamp down more on opinions.
What is happening to Afghanistan is absolutely tragic. There has to be a public enquiry. The politicians undoubtedly have made many, many mistakes but I feel the military leadership of our brave and brilliantly professional service men & women has also been poor too; dispersion of effort, platoon blockhouses, unclear strategic objectives, mission creep, etc, etc…
Over the course of the conflict many, mainly in the US, have been at pains to point out that this wasn’t another Vietnam but from what I can see it is exactly like Vietnam even in it’s impending denouement where we are likely to see the final helicopters evacuating the embassies like in 1975. Other similarities are plain to see:
A campaign fought miles away from home in difficult terrain.
Failure to mobilise western forces completely so that decisive numbers could be committed leading to the overstretch of the forces deployed.
The proximity of safe haven states who actively support the insurgency.
Insurgents who merge into the general populous.
The attempt to build military capacity in the ANA, similar to the policy of Vietnamization, which ultimately fails due to both forces complete reliance upon western logistics.
The attempt to drag a third world nation into the modern world where development and war fighting are incompatible with each other.
The enemies dual track endgame of false negotiation and military conquest knowing that the western troops will not be there forever.
And finally, the inevitable western exit leaving the Afghan moral shattered.
I intend to in no way question the sacrifice or bravery of our soldiers, in fact the opposite. They have been brilliant and deserve a proper lessons learnt exercise so that we never again put our Armed Forces in such a situation.
Let’s hope this final deployment is swift and our forces can withdraw without further casualties.
Why an inquiry? , what could we have possibly done differently that would have changed the outcome?
Yes, our forces fought honorably and valiantly, but the situation over there is impossible.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/some-afghans-blame-neighboring-pakistan-for-taliban-gains-pakistan-afghans-islamabad-quetta-peshawar-b1901191.html
Why an enquiry?
Because 400+ British soldiers have died. Because 1000s have been injured. Because £billions have been spent and, I know it is painful, but we have lost the war. We can never get into a situation like this again and we can’t do that unless we learn the lessons.
Yes but we know all the reasons why the Taliban were not defeated, the military has learned, but our politicians have not.
I think your optimistic about the military learning. Who trained the ANA officer corps ?
The real problem is that Afghanistan is not, never was and is unlikely to ever be a modern liberal democracy. What it is is a fragmented, backward, religiously conservative, patriachal trbalised rapacious, envious, corrupt society where groups are always trying to align with more powerful groups for mutual advantage ( and if it can do in traditional rivals all the better). The West has had to deal thro venal Afghan groups whose real interest was to get as mich Western money as possible and ( again) damage rivals at local and tribal levels etc.
The reason the game is falling apart so rapidly is that with the West going the money tap is gone and people are looking over their shoulder to find sa powerful group to align to.
In other words its as much cultural-political as military.
Sadly anyone with understanding of A-stan history society could see this 20 years ago. This is another example of idiotic liberal democratic govts ( not armies mind you) mission creep.
We should have stuck with the 21st centuries version of ‘ butcher and bolt’ but that would offend the lawyers but would hsve been well understood and accepted by the Taliban.
I’m wondering if countries that are highly tribal should have ever been constituted into large nations …. would breaking them up into smaller countries (by tribal area) stop the fighting? …probably not ..they are stuck in their feudalist ways, most countries in the west and the northern hemisphere left that behind centuries ago as they formed nations. The only thing to do is leave them to find their own way. They don’t want to be like us and we don’t want to be like them.
But will they leave us alone and safe on our streets? I doubt it!
The Taliban have never attacked the UK. Most of the UK Jihadist terrorist attack has come from within (i.e UK born citizens) and that is the fault of our own governments for being too accommodating.
The Taliban hosted Al Qaeda and allowed it to base terrorist training camps in Afghanistan pre 2001. They dispersed after 9/11 to stage terrorist attacks in Europe.
You seem to have forgotten the London bombings in 2005.
Having had the west impose on the country for the past two decades the population now is even more split than it ever has been in the past.
A large number of younger people have been brought up in a more western way which is exactly what the Taliban want to eradicate completely.
This is only going to end in a horrendous humanitarian disaster. The country has nearly double the population of Syria and Libya combined.
Which countries are these poor people going to flee to? China wont let them in, Iran I doubt will let them in. Pakistan may allow some and the Stans along the north will no doubt seal the borders.
I’m sure our government will let them in.
When the Taliban end up controlling the country who are they going to be cosying upto regionally, Pakistan and Iran.
One can only fear the dealings and movements going on between those three countries.
I think once the Taliban have control then Pakistan will reap the full fury of the monster it has created, and it will serve them right. As for Iran, they are Shia and don’t want the Taliban around. Also right now Iran is annoyed at the Afghans for damming up rivers that feed southwest Iran and creating a water shortage., that may lead to conflict too.
Thanks you’ve actually cheered me up a bit. A war between Pakistan and Iran would be the cherry on the cake though.
Who has the most nuclear weapons!?
That’s way over my pay grade but Pakistan for now ! But i’d settle for a conventional one.
Yeah I saw riots in Iran over the lack of water, maybes they will trigger an action to go into Afghanistan to sort it out, who knows.
Very reactive, no planning for this? This is not good.
Truth is we took on the Pakistani ISI and they’ve won. Just like we took on the IRGC in Basra and they won. So will we learn ? Of course. I can see the MoD press release right now ‘Problems have been identified and lessons learned’ So don’t worry everyone.
In both cases, it would have meant engaging Pakistan and Iran in an open conflict which the UK does not have the means to do on its own. Also, the ISI/Taliban and IGRC/Mahdi army have no fear of inflicting civilian casualties, while our armed forces are heavily scrutinized by both enemy propaganda machines and our own masochistic media.
Wow sorry but 3 posts from Friday have suddenly been approved. Your probably right on all counts so HMG needs to draw the right conclusions unless we’re going to end up in the same result in the future.
Whether you agreed or not with the original war, it’s a shame that within a few weeks the country will be back to where it was before it. With the exception that there will be a lot more western miltiary gear there and a whole lot more anti western mentality. We have effectively help recruit a whole generation of potential future terrorists. Such a shame.
It wouldn’t surprise me if Kabul falls by the end of the month, let alone 90 days as predicted in the news media. The Taliban now have a free run, they know that they are on a winning streak, and what with all the US equipment and vehicles falling into their hands, they will be in a stronger position than they ever were. Once they have the country, there will be no going back for the ‘West’ – that will be that. Then watch the heads roll, literally, as the Taliban take their revenge. However the big wigs of Afghanistan will flee and live off their Swiss bank accounts, the contents syphoned off from all the Aid the ‘West’ has thrown at them.
So now we send 600 ‘personnel’, to help British Diplomats and nationals to leave Afghanistan, oh and “support the relocation of Afghan staff, who risked their lives serving alongside us”.
Almost as if the ‘Afghan staff’ were a second thought.
Other than the ‘diplomatic element’, a large number of these other British nationals were over there raking money in left right and centre.
They know the risks when they went out there in search of the ‘dollars’, so let them sort their own exit out!
The ‘diplomatic element’ were never going to be left behind, plans would have been in place for months to extract them.
Its the Afghans who worked for the allies … being treated as a last minute thought! They are the ones who need emergency evacuation, not ‘fortune hunters’.
Ok so the country is falling like a pack of cards, and like each and every democratic President since the peanut farmer , Biden has messed up big style. Now before anybody berates me, he not only pulled troops out within days, hes now having to send troops back to help evacuate US citzens.
But it gets worse, the likes of Osma Bin Laden (and his ilk) used the hasty evacuation of US troops out of:
Vietnam
Beruit
Somalia
As his excuse for carrying out 9/11 on the understanding, if you hurt the US enough they will leave. All his sudden departure from Afghanistan has done is embolden others than the US if hit hard enough will pack their bags and leave, and we are seeing something similar in the ME where American troops are the target of choice for Iranian backed PMU militias.
Ive also been watching the British defence minister :The other week he came out with this:
British Defence Minister says UK will work with Taliban should they come to power July 13 (Reuters) – Britain will work with the Taliban should they enter the government in Afghanistan, British Defence Minister Ben Wallace told the Daily Telegraph in an interview published on Tuesday.
“Whatever the government of the day is, provided it adheres to certain international norms, the UK government will engage with it,” he was quoted as saying in the newspaper. However, Wallace warned that Britain will review any relationship “if they behave in a way that is seriously against human rights”.
Really?, He banked on religious bigots who have no problem shooting dead people (including women) just for the sake of it (There’s plenty of such videos going around).he’s a former officer, now the defence minister and he honestly believed the Taliban would respect the rule of law. Yesterday he claimed that Afghanistan is heading towards civil war, no it isnt, its been invaded by primarily Pakistani tribes men from the NWF with the full blessing of Islamabad . today he’s blamed Trump, no doubt tomorrow he will blame somebody else.
But what rankles me the most is all the liberal dogooders who protested on mass for the US to leave Afghanistan are now shedding faux tears over the plight of the people in the country who don’t want to live under theological rule. Just f-ing glad I now wear mufti 24/7
BS.
It was TRUMP who signed the “great deal” with the Taliban, insisting on a ridiculous timetable of retreat to please HIS isolationist base. Just like he dumped the Syrian Kurds a bit earlier.
Biden was stuck with the problem Trump and his Republican friends in the senate caused.
Speaking of the Republicans in the senate: It was THEM who (after the Black Hawk down thingy) forced the US retreat from Somalia, claiming again and again that creating order aka nationbuilding in Somalia “was not in the American national interest”. Since they controlled the purse strings, and things looked bad in the media, Clinton had to cave in.
I remember that perfectly well because my company back then was preparing to deploy to Somalia and go support the US troops there.
So, thanks to Republicans in congress, Somalia got another 25 years of civil war, the world got its biggest piracy problem, and the US got a few airplanes flying into scyscrapers. Because it was the US withdrawal from Somalia that convinced ObL that the US could be gotten out of the Middle East by escalating terror tactics against them. Oh, and I spend months robbing through the mud preparing for deployment – for nothing. Well done, folks.
Clarification: it was republicans in both houses of congress who spouted that line, but what mattered was the opposition in the senate …
20 years of blood given by Western armies for no reason.We must never engage again in legacy wars.This latest scramble looks like Saigon all over again.
OK UKDJ i think now that all comments have been taken away at this moment in time proves my point that Russian trolls are abusing your flag system, time to bring back the like ,dislike system, or is this a technical glitch?
Why does it need to be “Russian” trolls? Easier to blame? Why not UK trolls? Personally this Russian wants to see all the comments, even your Dave
Quite a few removed, Ulya, including some very good, thought provoking ones by various posters, and a few of mine.
Some of us were just debating the futility of it all in occupying Afghan, as your nation once did.
Over on the River paint job thread a lot has gone too, including a jovial exchange that I started between Lusty and I in which some magnificently detailed and long historical posts by Lusty have vanished.
It is what it is. Someone somewhere was offended. If it’s Trolls UKDJ will know.
Good morning Daniele
Understand it is annoying the post are gone, hopefully they will come back and George can fix the problem, most are interesting for me. Afghanistan was lost the moment you started. I have meet a few Afghan men on the border region when I was working in Iran, not a fan of them or their view on religion, but of course I cannot let the view of a few make me judge all
I agree. My view is after 9/11 I agreed with intervention, but only to kill terrorists and remove the structure, not to occupy.
That just creates an insurgency.
Afghanistan is based on tribal warfare and they will fight each other if the west or Russia were not there. We try to impose our ways on them which is impossible.
Invaders in Afghan always lose in the end unless they go the whole way with millions of soldiers, which no one has.
Even the Soviet Union failed.
Yes, I recall you mentioned your work in Iran.
There have not been many successful interventions against insurgencies. Britain achieved one in Malaya for couple of key reasons. Operationally, government forces vastly outnumbered the communist guerillas. Politically, the majority Malay population rejected the largely Chinese terrorists, not least because independence had been promised.
I’m not sure what the maximum overall Western force level in Afghanistan was; the US got up to around 100000 for a short period. The rest added perhaps 30/40000. In Malaya, Britain deployed 100000 just to deal with a rebellion that never involved more than 7000 insurgents.
To impose peace and maintain it over a much larger area would as you note need millions of soldiers.
SF. Raids. Airpower. Intelligence. Use them. If the terrorist training camp returns use them again. And again. And again.
We have the flexibility.
But never occupy your enemies land unless you intend to remain forever in a state on state scenario where the population are culturally aligned with you and in your favour.
Maybe this experience has influenced the dispersed fewer forces but forward located strategy where we can strike faster if needed without a long mobilisation period.
I agree with Old School.
True Ulya my comment was a sweeping statement ,but knowing the efforts the kremlin goes to influence the internet ,it just would not surprise me.
The Russians also pay UK and western ‘influencers’ so some/many trolls aren’t even Russian.
You have a good point Ulya, it’s more the work of certain childish individuals, who aren’t actually capable of proper discourse….
Well my posts are flagged every time Russia is mentioned , and Airborne had post flagged explaining the effectiveness of wagner mercs ,so as I said it would not surprise me if Russian trolls are involved.
And now I notice Ulyas reply to me yesterday has vanished. 😆
One of those Russian trolls must of made complain 😂
I can’t see any of the 23 comments so apologies if I repeat what others have posted. The failure of the US + NATO operation was always likely: our own history of attempting to control Afghanistan should have served as a warning. So should the comments from I think around 2006 from a former Russian general that the West would fail just as the Soviet Union had.
There is an interesting article on RUSI which tries to analyse specific reasons for the failure. But even this doesn’t really acknowledge the near impossibility of bringing peace and stability to a country that has never really had them.
In one sense, Afghanistan is not really a country or state at all. Effective central government has never been achieved. The developed world needs to find a way of dealing with such failed states that doesn’t involve long drawn out but ultimately futile ground operations. If terrorist attacks are organised from within the state, the whole state should expect to suffer the consequences.If a state actor had carried out the 9/11 attacks, all out war would have been declared by the USA. In future, this may be the only option.
Peter,
can you see mine?
Peter-agree with much of what you say. Another route is to split the country into different states. Allow the Taliban to creat their own feudal state along the lines of fundamentalism and let more dare I say progressive/modern Afghans defend a state based on a modern Islam and democracy.
btw I am sure most of you might remember that Churchill was mentioned in dispatches after an engagement with the enemy on the Khyber! His time here in South Africa also is a Boys Own tale. There is still a plaque at the old Durban City Hall marking the spot where he made a speech after completing his escape via Mozambique and arriving in Durban
Yes. Churchill’s ‘The story of the Malakand Field Force’ should have been mandatory reading for the military planners and even more so for the liberal-minded nincompoops ( sorry I mean politicians) who decided ( once again) to try regime change.
Butcher and bolt should have been the method used ( fly in fly out version minimal footprint on ground – rinse and repeat). And then after whacking the Talibs and terrorist friends explain you will return if required.
The Talibs understand that language ( it bought around 40 years of peace 1880-1919). The British used it in the 19th cent and the Talibs have changed little since then. Recall the story where some Afghans think the British returned to A-stan in the 21st century to avenge their loss at Maiwand (1880)!
Yep different world out there in Afghanistan not just country.
My recent comments have been ‘removed’. So yes someone is trolling the site. Iwould hope those comments ( including mine) can be put back up and the system changed to stop this happening.
Definitely, most the comments on most the threads these days just vanish.
Sadly someone has worked out the ‘key’ words to remove the posts by replying to them.
It only requires one person using two different IP addresses objecting!
Not much effort involved then, sad live some people lead!
Its getting to be a waste of time, some brilliant discussions just vanish. Needs sorting.
There were some good posts too. This is happening more often. I dont think it is trolling but more hacking.
And the liberal world wonders why?
https://twitter.com/BabakTaghvaee/status/1426305558504685575?s=20
Again, really!!!!
I can only assume it’s the Woke set reporting everything that upsets their delicate sensibilities!
I simply agreed with Daniele’s excellent (and totally relevant post).
I wonder how long this post will be here before it magically disappears?
Taliban reportedly 7 miles outside Kabul now.
So much for the US intelligence suggesting it would take another 30 days for them to reach the main city.
Unless foreign troops that are being sent to help evacuate start defending the city this is looking like it will be over very quickly.
It’s being rolled over faster than South Vietnam. The difference being that the Afghan army is well supported, just incapable of fighting in an organised manner. The ARVN was cut off from its supplies.
The Paras are likely to be fighting in and out of Kabul at this rate, I hope they stay safe. … Expect total collapse of the Afghan government by next weekend, god help all of those poor people.
Awful situation for the mass majority of civilians, especially the younger generations who have grown up with 20 years of more freedom.
Will the Taliban let those who wish to leave? Or will it be an iron fist rule of fit in or die.
Humanitarian disaster unfolding in front of the world.
Aye absolutely agree it’s the people who will suffer . The west couldn’t give a %€£@ the Muslim nations are just as uninterested. It’s a total disgrace . The west is run by absolute donkeys weak men and women with no principles. History is just repeating itself as it always does.
only a matter of days or weeks till we’ll see Blackhawks leaving the rooftop of the US embassy ala Saigon 1975 and the population are hung out to dry.
🏴🇬🇧
Very sad times for the population, at least Canada has taken a token lead in regards to the humanitarian nightmare that is coming, I hope others will follow.
The surrounding nations dont want to fight as much as the Afghan army thats the simple reality of the region, no one wants to get involved and im sure politics amongst other factors will be playing out hugely behind the scenes.
If the world cared the UN would have stepped in to do something, clearly it doesnt.
I suspect the local neighbours knew the government would fall and didn’t want to get involved. It’s not like the government is a bastion of freedom, it was insanely corrupt and not a whole lot better than the Taliban in respect of western freedom. Ultimately the country is ruled by a series of warlords and the government was never really in control.
Lets hope the paras won’t be fighting their way out, as I doubt we will be sending the heavy gear and helicopters needed to keep them safe. 600 sounds like a lot of troops but if they are stretched across multiple extraction zones, that number will suddenly seem tiny.
Absolutely, I hope the Taliban have the good sense not to fire on the US/UK force. With any luck they will let these final Western acts play out without intervention.
By my guessing, our next Afghan intervention will be sometime in the early 22nd century ( long enough for us to forget), I doubt Afghanistan will have changed a jot too……
I suspect they will be exactly waiting to do it. From what I have read they are insanely well prepared and experts seem to think there is a guiding mind behind their approach. I suspect one last kicking to the west is probably planned, and my guess they might be concerned that taking on the US could result in the US coming back in forcd, so I would guess going after the Brits would be their best bet. I really hope not and if they do I hope the troops have been sent their properly armed to fight and defend themselves and I hope under appropriate rules of engagement.
Both the US and Brit forces were pulled out quietly under cover of night with the pull out kept quiet from the government. I can only assume because they were worried about attacks. This is the complete reverse, small ish force being highly advertised in advance. Let’s hope plenty of typhoons have been moved into place for close air support
Do you think an element of the 600 will be SF with the required equipment to cause a bad day for anyone coming at them?
I really hope so, none of us want to read about more deaths. But I wouldn’t be surprised if they were going in light, so not to upset / set unrealistic expectations from the government forces. The gov is trying to make it sound like this is all planned, but it doesn’t feel like it
Doubt it. From what I read it’s a Para battalion from 16AA, the rebranded “Global Response Force”
They can look after themselves.
Any SF are probably already there just like in Syria, Africa, Yemen, and elsewhere.
Not sure where these Typhoons will be flying from?
Its over 1000 NM from Dubai to Kabul, or some 470 NM from the nearest water that our CSG could launch from – which effectively rules that option out!!
Unless Pakistan were to allow some forward basing/overflights or indeed some of the ‘Stans’ to the North, there will be no CAS on offer period. That, unfortunately is the grim situation we now face ,to evacuate all those people/troops.
At this point, only the US is able to offer any support via LR bombing – B52/B1 or indeed B2s.
Fair point. Hard to find details of when they will be deployed. It seems the US has already done so and is actively air lifting people out.
Lets hope its sooner rather than later, dont think it would take the Taliban too much effort to shut the airport down,several SUVs with MANPADS would probably do the trick.
Lets hope this so called ‘deal’ is enough for us to get everyone out!
I assume the US are using the same airport and so will properly secure it for now. They are sending a pretty significant force, so I assume that will include full base secruity setup.
It is certainly to be hoped that that’s the case, one more joint action before things go down the pan so tonspeak.
“At this point, only the US is able to offer any support via LR bombing – B52/B1 or indeed B2s.”
No it isn’t, and won’t. And B-52s? A cold war 1950s relic.
It would appear that some form of deal is in place, a ‘peaceful transfer of power’ whatever thst is? Kabul airport is shut to non military flights, requiring military interbention to evacuate nationals!
If this went South, unless there is signicant tanker support nothing that the west has has the legs to reach Kabul for support. So yes it is all that would be available for the next 24-48 hrs.
B52s are still flying and are part of the USAF inventory for a reason (payload and range spring to mind) You dont have to like it or agree, its still a fact though.
Expact, when the Taliban get their hands on $9.5Bn of reserves, to see terrorism play out on our streets again much sooner!
I also expect to see my comment made to disappear by Peaceniks!
I doubt very much a Taliban victory will be in any way benign for the rest of the world & especially for the west. We’ve dropped the ball big time here like idiots.
I’m not so sure … There has been a lot of backroom meetings with the Taliban, I suspect an agreement has been reached with Western powers and China.
A deal with the devil if you will, we look the other way while they re-create hell on earth for their terrified population and they guarantee that Afghanistan won’t be used as a terrorist launch pad, perhaps also offering a cut in Heroin production and perhaps minimal rights further ahead…..
It’s certainly not in Iran or China’s interest for Afghanistan to become a totally failed state, out of their control.
Ironically, it might well come to bite Pakistan right on the arse, as they get their own out exported terrorism, right back at them!
It does seem deals have been done, but the Taliban will know that once they get back control of the country, there will be nothing the US can do to enforce any deal and so it will be rapidly broken. The only deal that could stick would be to officially recongise the Taliban government and open up trade with them, but that would be policitcally unviable for the US or the western allies
Really?
See this awaiting approval nonsense can someone explain how this occurs? Flagging ? I put a post up on another thread quoted Putin and put up info re US ongoing exercise Re. AI and it never made it . So I’m confused as to how it’s flagging that it causing the removal.?
seems like good old censorship to me but happy to be corrected
🏴🇬🇧
I replied last night Artist, but it’s gone now too, beginning to wonder what the point is really if censorship just keeps blotting us out mate….
Aye this joint needs to take the view of the Rumble ceo his view is he’s not qualified to decide what info gets censored or not so unless it’s threatening abusive or inciting violence then it should be left up.
maybe that biblically under qualified Susan Wojcicki is advising the team here on how to make it more like YouTube? 😂
🏴🇬🇧
An absolute disgrace to pull out leaving Afghans to face “Year Zero”. What on Earth did Biden think would happen? The West is earning a reputation as fair weather friends with no staying power. China, Russia etc will be delighted as they far prefer oppressive regimes that don’t rock the boat looking at their own abuses. Sends the wrong mesage that human rights only matter to the West at home.
I dread what the death toll will be as the Taliban take revenge If you were an Afghan, would you hang around from Taliban rule or try to flee? Pakistan has a lot to answer for too.
We’ve certainly looking at the end game now. You can guarantee that the upper echelons of the Afghan government and their families have already packed and ready to head off for pastures new, probably with full Swiss bank accounts of Afghanistan government money too!!
The latest news suggests the ANA is deserting posts and dumping uniforms in some areas in increasing numbers, a propped up puppet government that simply implodes when the puppet master goes home….
We’ve reached the open city stage now, so power is simply handed over as the Taliban sweep through.
Afghanistan has days to run before it’s fully back under hard line Taliban control.
It seems many Warlords won’t put up a fight either, not much point now I guess. They will end up swearing loyalty to the Taliban to try and keep their regional power bases.
I think it’s going to require some serious Air firepower to hold them on the outskirts of Kabul as we evacuate.
Agree. As I’ve posted above ( tho unsure if it can be seen as it is awaiting approval?). This was mostly about money. A-stan society is grasping and self centred. Now that the West is going and the money is turned off they are all looking around looking who to ally to. This is how the Afghans work, friends one minute backstab the next as they realign to a new protector. It happens at all levels regional pan-tribal, tribal subtribal etc its all there in the history books and should have been well understood by our political masters a long time ago.
Absolutely Old school, we are leaving ‘again’ … Everyone who can is heading for the exit door, they might as well either prop it open, or install a revolving door, because a strange sort of collective amnesia seems to effect the international community regarding Afghanistan, give it 20 years and someone else will be foolish enough to march through those doors…..
I still remember an old (I think it was BBC) ex Soviet era General interviewed, as the US and UK went from targeted intervention in 2001, to a broad open-ended sweeping regime change mission in Afghanistan
the following year, “Misguided Fools” he said…..
He was of course, absolutely bloody right!
I see my remarks about creating an international safe haven around Kabul have gone. Even I have to admit the situation has got worse in the last two days. I picked up a RAF in the 1950s book in a charity shop. We fought a long counter insurgency campaign in Malaya, that worked because we did “hearts & minds” as well as military action.
Reports today (Sunday) that the Taliban are already in Kabul. Hope we aren’t sending the Paras into a hot landing zone.
Yup from most directions they have entered the city with virtually no resistance.
If our lads are landing and face resistance its us against them literally.
Basically, western nations invade other nations and destroy whenever they want. Now look after their citizens leaving Afghan people in dismay. We have to live in this planet accepting this norm