BAE Systems and Rolls-Royce will undertake concept and design work for new Royal Navy nuclear submarines.
Two contracts worth Ā£85 million each have been awarded to BAE Systems and Rolls-Royce to deliver design and concept work for a future Class of Royal Navy submarine.
Over the next three years and supporting 350 jobs in the process, the contracts will deliver design work to inform a future decision which will help define the replacement approach for the Astute Class submarines ā the nuclear powered fleet of submarines (SSNs) currently in service with the Royal Navy.
Ben Wallace, the Secretary of State for Defence, said:
“Marking the start of a new journey in submarine development, British designers and engineers will lead the way in building submarines for our Royal Navy. This multi-million pound investment ensures that this vital capability will be ready to replace our Astute class submarines as they come out of service, whilst supporting high-skilled jobs across the Midlands and North West of England.”
Ian Booth, Submarine Delivery Agency CEO, said:
“Although it is too early to determine what the capability solution will be, designing and building submarines is one of the most complex and challenging feats of engineering that the maritime industry undertakes. Such work relies on some of the nationās most experienced defence nuclear experts from the very beginning of the design phase.”
Steve Timms, Managing Director of BAE Systemsā Submarines business, said:
“Weāre very proud of our role in the delivery of the nation’s submarine fleet and this contract further builds on our rich heritage. In what is the 150th anniversary year of our Barrow shipyard, we now have the opportunity to further strengthen our partnership with the Royal Navy long in to the future. Weāre looking forward to working with our partners and helping to deliver another strategically important and critical national defence programme.”
The contract was awarded following approval of a three-year Programme, Definition and Design phase for a capability solution for the MOD’s ‘Maritime Underwater Future Capability’ programme.
BAE Systems will work alongside the Submarine Delivery Agency, Rolls-Royce, Babcock and partners on a new class of nuclear powered attack submarines for the UK Royal Navy to replace the Astute class – currently referred to as SSN-Replacement (SSNR).
BAE Systems is also a member of the Dreadnought Alliance and, working alongside the Submarine Delivery Agency and Rolls-Royce, is leading the design and build of a replacement for the Vanguard class. Build of the first two of the four new Dreadnought class submarines is well underway in Barrow.
The Defence Command Paper, titled ‘Defence in a Competitive Age’, briefly described the now started Astute replacement programme back in March:
“We commit to funding for the next generation of nuclear submarines (SSNs) to guarantee our security well into the second half of the century.”
The Astute-class submarines are the largest, most advanced and most powerful attack submarines ever operated by the Royal Navy, combining world-leading sensors, design and weaponry in a versatile vessel. The Royal Navy also say that the class sets a new standard for the Royal Navy in terms of weapons load, communication facilities and stealth.
The Astute class was the replacement for the Trafalgar-class fleet submarines in Royal Navy service. We know very little about their replacements however.
There is a bit of information floating around, though. Pun intended. Respected naval commentator H. I. Sutton wrote in an article for Forbes that on November the 23rd 2019, BAE Systems advertised a job in Barrow-in-Furness.
“The advert is now closed, but the information contained is of great interest because of just one word: SSNR. The role description included ‘to work different stakeholders across the Astute, Dreadnought and SSNR programmes’. Defence watchers will recognize the first two projects. The Astute Class is the Royal Navyās current attack submarine, and the Dreadnought is the new Trident missile boat.”
You can read more about SSN(R) here.
A prime candidate for the RAN then also, following this weekās announcement.
For RAN I think you start with an existing design (astute/Virginia class) then this is a follow on in a Few years time as a class evolution
Indeed the RAN boats are supposed to be entering service within the decade (thatās earlier than their Attack Class would have) this new design wonāt be meeting that timescale as wonāt the new US design so whatever the RAN get will be based on a current design with at most some intermediate or u inquest updates.
The Astute class submarine is very likely to be the one the Australian’s select as there is simply no way the American’s will allow the Virginia class submarine to be used. Addition the Astute is roughly half the cost of the Virginia class submarine so another good reason to select the Astute class submarine.The replacement for Astute is too far away for the Australian’s to use. If they play their cards right and make maximum use of the US and UK they could be up and running by 2030 at the earliest for RAN nuclear submarine. Much better than the Barracuda the French were pitching. Glad the Aussies dump the French as they were getting stuffed on the contract – the French had wiped their eye. I think someone in the Aussie Navy saw their eyes were getting wiped with an inferior product, small work share given an SSK and they were paying way over the odds for an SSK.
What are the US getting that makes a Virginia class twice as much as an Astute?! Especially with their economies of scale. I know the block Vs will be much bigger, but blocks I-IV? Also they have inferior Mk48s compared to Spearfish.
Not an Submarine expert (and frankly I think anyone who claims to be is a bit suspect these days), but giving it a quick read:
All Virginia’s have either 12 VLS tubes or from Block III onwards the VPM, plus their torpedo launchers, while the Astute’s only have their torpedo launchers (not that it makes a huge difference I suspect since Tomahawk and Harpoon both can be launched from Astute’s torpedo launchers), so that probably drives the cost up.
But I suspect there’s some cherry picking of numbers going on too, and forgetting conversion rates. The numbers I’ve seen for Virginias range from 1.8billion USD (USS Massachusetts and her 9 sister ships apparently cost just shy of 18billion), to about 3.4 billion USD. My suspicion is that most Virginias come close to the lower number, while the VPM Block III and Block V’s are closer to the higher one.
Just checked this out as itās new to me. The VPM seems to add up to $500m to the sub, even the Americans are struggling with that extra cost it seems especially as it seems indeed as a result too they will in reality be limited to Tomahawks which defeats their original object of increased flexibility. Ironically the VPM is built by Bae.
I wonder if that 500m usd figure is for the two VPM tubes fitted to the block III’s or the extra hull section with multiple VPM’s fitted to the block V’s. But yes, unless the Americans actually put a ballistic missile in them, I don’t see how it makes sense just for a different way to launch Tomahawk.
Sub Harpoon was binned on UK boats a long while back Dern.
True, but the point I was making was that the US VLS farm didn’t actually give them access to any weapons the RN can’t fire from it’s torpedo tubes. ie there’s nothing that a Virginia can’t intrinsically fire that an Astute couldn’t if that makes sense?
Gotcha now, I think the big advantage of the VLS is the ease of loading compared to bringing them all in through the Weapons Embarkation Hatch and all the rigging of rails etc.
Would be good if we could get some kind of ‘son of Sub harpoon’, when operating with MPA’s you could lob them quite far in theory. Was onboard for a hulkex when we ploughed one into the hanger of HMS Brave and it was quite spectacular.
In a sense the torpedo tubes can be loaded with whatever is in the racks behind as many times as they need to be until the munitions are expended.
I don’t know if Astute has some kind of cassette autoloader? It would seem big enough.
VLS is one shot and that is that. It cannot be reloaded at sea.
So VLS is not a panacea. The main advantage of VLS is that you can shoot off a lot of munitions very quickly, dive, sprint and then run quiet to get out of harms way.
It depends what you are using the sub for.
The adding of TLAM or son of TLAM to RN surface fleet possibly indicates that Astute will focus on its primary anti surface/anti sub role. With the VLS on T26 and cannisters on T31 taking up the slack.
No cassette autoloader on the A boats mate.
I agree that VLS is no panacea, it does mean you can have ‘stuff’ in tubes that you can sort of forget about and either use the bomb shop for a full weapons load of torpedoes (and anti ship missiles if we ever get them again or mines) or more likely, leave space for extra racks (beds) for trainees/requals/sea riders.
While VLS is a ‘one shot’ as opposed to the tubes, getting the weapons down into the boat is quite a process and while I’ve never done (or seen) it done on VLS it gotta be a simpler process than bringing them in through the WEH. That’s a part of why I’ve been keen to get TLAM on the skimmers, a lot quicker to reload for starters.
The VLS has the advantage of not taking up room internally that is used for other weapons. In UK subs Tomahawks take up room that could be used for extra Spearfish. I am not a fan of anti-surface missiles fired from subs it just shows their location.
If you’re parked 5 miles away and fire an anti ship missile, sure but if you’re the best part of a hundred miles away and are getting guidance from an MPA then you’re not that likely to be seen. Its another string to the submarines bow.
In the coming decades space and areal monitoring will become well established – a VLS shot would not go undetected. It is best to put surface to surface weapons on planes, land or ships.
It will depend on who you’re up against Rob, also how far you are away from a viable (at least known) threat. I don’t disagree that submarines aren’t the best platform to launch either anti ship or cruise missiles but its still an option and sometimes that covert ability or even threat of it can be useful.
Shame the missiles arent ejected and then loiter in the water for a certain period of time allowing the sub to head off in whatever direction it wants.
Obviously if the target was time sensitive thats impossible but could have been handy in certain scenarios.
Yes I had a similar thought but the technical difficulties would be considerable. You would have to build an ejectable pod that would sit upright underwater able to launch a weapon after a delay. The weapon would need to update its targeting after launch perhaps by space or areal assets.This would not be a easy option.
Actually the Virginia blk 5 are being modified with space to carry at least 65 tlam size weapons and also to carry a sub launched version of the USN hypersonic weapon that’s currently in development. It’s also more than likely some USN subs (seawolf class?) are armed with a still classified anti ship missile that budget documents and congressional testimony has long hinted at.
Yes, that’s the VPM.
I was responding to the point you made earlier that there is nothing that the virginia’s can shoot that the astute’s can’t. That is very likely not the case now and will be even more so in the coming years.
Australia in the lst instant should be urgently looking at leasing either Mothballed USN and or RN boats ,before doing same embedd crews in either USN or RN boats ,the boat chosen could be made up of composite crews, for decades Australia USA and UK have had exchange defence personnel and posting and policies ,Australia is the Canary in the coalmine regarding the coercive intimidatory belligerence tactics of the CCP, time wasting is a luxury we don’t have
Mainly because of the two way data link issue to comply with rules of engagement. That was the only way that positive target ID could be done at that point in time.
It hardly needs to be said that a two way link would give away the subs position even more than firing the Harpoon in the first place…..
Again mate, depending on who it is you’re up against. Not every country has the satellites to cover everywhere and there are ways to be covert about it in certain circumstances (sorry for being mysterious but I’m not going to say the ones I know have been used).
You can also fire subsurface launched missiles and ‘blow and go’ and while there could be a known position for a submarine at ‘minute zero’, by minute 10 or minute 60 its an ever increasing search area and if all that’s tracking you is a paraffin parrot then its very much on the submarine’s side. If its the US Seventh Fleet then yeah you’re probably screwed but its not as clear cut as transmit and the bad guys will be on you like a shot.
However you **might** handoff the weapon, once launched, to an MPA or other asset to guide in wether by LINK or SATLINK.
Yes $70b for 12 non nuclear compared to $10b for 6 nuclear versions for France and the French have the cheek to through their toys out. Especially so when you consider their own Behaviour particularly to Britain on various projects to. Indeed stealing away two of our partner nations to do a fighter and leaving us and the Italians out in the cold is hardly being loyal to allies is it esp considering that they jumped ship on those same partners all those years back. Then there is the drone project where after a couple years supposedly sharing with us walked away to work with the Germans. Taking IP with them who knows. But then the French do have serious IP when it comes to hypocrisy. It was even suggested on NewsNight that the reason they did not withdraw diplomats from Britain was meant as a deliberate insult signalling we were just a junior partner in the agreement.
Totally agree the French are hypocrites. The Aussies realised this was a crappy deal and quite rightly dumped it. What I really hate is lots of middle class Brits sticking up for France on TV – just whose side are these Brits on? Maybe those Brits that feel France is hard done by should up sticks and move to France. Donāt forget that France is shipping the migrant crisis to our shores in a totally illegal way. This is caused by the Shengen zone and the EUs porous borders. So do I feel bad they lost the submarine deal – not in the slightest this is realpoltick in place. We were called perfidious Albion because we changed our minds for our own benefit – Iām happy with that badge of honour. As you point out the french have done far worse including bribing the Indian government for the Rafale contract. This bribery issue is currently going through the french courts..
Well said Andrew, , the BBC seems too be encouraging sympathy towards the French and as you put it Middle class Brits sticking up for the French Shane they didn’t give their Addresses I’d help them pack and for a cheap journey across the Channel they can reuse those Dinghies that are probably issued by the Gerndammes
Orwell said there were particular types of upper middle class and middle clas Bris that hate their country and side with both France and Russia. I wish they would all pack their bags and go personally if they hate the UK so much. We all know that the French submarines were massively overpriced, poor quality technically and the workshare for the Aussies was minimal – in addition the French missed mjor design deadlines. Fortunately the Aussies killed the crap projecr. The French are not our allies at all.
And the good old Aussies always return to the Scene of the Crime bless them they’ve stood by us they even went into Vietnam for the yanks They are Anglo not Gealic
The BBC is left wing and very pro EU it upholds metropolitan Champagne socialism. So it is not a shock they take the French side.
The truth is that the French sub was unsuited for Australia. It was old technology even by todays standards – no AIP, old battery tech etc. By the rime it actually got into service it would have been a relic of old technology. It would be facing Chinese SSNs….
France is just mad because someone spotted the Emperor is not clothed! In other works they throw our a crap French offering.
Also the French/EU plan of being best buddies with China now looks unworkable if they want to be a real international player and not just a Chinese play thing.
I just hope the Chinese supply enough Cotton for their white flags
Interesting that this is published 2 days after USUKA (AUKUS) announced & your article of that day virtually claiming the Australian Contract.
A contract that hasn’t even gone to Tender.
Did Boris get Scatmo on it at the G7, he has a reputation here in Oz!
You really have to appreciate that the Australian navy can not wait for a new design, nor a hybrid, nor an Australianised version of an Astuteā¦
The lead Collins boat, was launched in 1993 and by all measures should have been looking at decommissioning in a few years timeā¦now itās looking like an extra 15 years sheāll have to serve till replace under current timelines..
Australia has been under a sustained economic and cyber attack from China, for a couple of years now. China has also been caught trying to financially compromise Australian members of Parliament. Living in Australia, I can tell you people here are very aware that China is becoming increasing hostile.
and also here in NZ Andrew! Well at least some of us. I respect the position Morrison has taken on China , takes character and courage to do the right thing!
I do hope the USUKAU alliance is the start of a bigger agreement akin to Nato. I’d like to see Japan, Korea and India sign up. That will give the Chinese something to think about!
Hi Klonkie, from across the ditch in Sydney, is NZ looking at getting any diesel subs or even an extra frigate? And any drones to work with the P8s? Iāve always wondered if your Anzac frigates are FFBNW ASMs with the recent updates or just not fitted out with ASMs at all?
New Zealand does need to step up. It currently relies on Australia for its defence after it effectively disarmed over the last 40 years.
It’s looked at Chinese increasingly aggressive posture over the last 20 years …… And done sod all.
The NZ prime minister stating that Australian SSN’s ‘not being welcome’, would raise a very serious eyebrow if I was Australian!!!!
I would love to see NZ taking its regional responsibilities alongside it’s Australian closest partner seriously again and set about rebuilding its armed forces to ‘at least’ a minimally capable footing, to back up Australia.
Enough OPVās to patrol their own EEZ would be a start. They are also responsible for for Niue, Tokelau and the Cook Islands. The NZ navy places heavy emphasis on HADR and fisheries protection, so just having a presence and ability to reach other islands in the South Pacific would be an improvement. A realistic scenario could be a Cyclone or Tsunami impacting multiple islands in the South Pacific and the would be one of the first nations to respond based purely off geography.
Well said! However, as long as that odious Ardern is PM the almost zero value of NZ military capability will continue.
Welcome to my world!
It’s ashame that the NZ prineminster doesn’t go for a Sunday morning swim History repeating itself Mr Holt 1967 OK he was Australian but he had supposed links to China
John -As a Kiwi, I totally agree with your commentary. No one sits on the fence as well as our current government does – shameful
Morning Quentin- no such joy on subs. I think UAVs are a real possibility, as four p8 are not going to cut it. I can’t see the government funding a type 26 frigate project to replace the anzacs. My money would be on an Arrowhead 140/ Type 31 frigate- a total of two ships.
NZ need’s to invest more on defence. When Clark scrapped the Air Combat wing in 1999, thy should have directed the funds into other air/naval assets.
Agree bar India. Not to be trusted yet
Agree current political establishment in India has a very murky agenda.
you may well be correct. Geo politically though it would put the wind right up the Chinese ! It may prove useful if India cam on bard with projects like Tempests too, be useful in sharing the dev costs.
I believe Japan has already expressed an interest. I do think this will grow talk of a Pacific NATO has been around for a while though I suspect the aim will be to avoid such comparisons as much as possible. I think initially strengthening Australian capabilities is vital to the US which is effectively split as in WW2 on two major fronts Atlantic/Pacific which with Chinese expansion will mean that they will be out numbered in that theatre while Russia is upgrading in the Atlantic. That is a potential nightmare scenario and a strong southern flank in Australia would help to out manoeuvre the Chinese in any potential conflict meaning their forces can longer be sure of the direction or location of threat to their forces. With other major players like Japan, South Korea and increasingly India to consider too that will hopefully keep them on the back foot and less likely to over play their hand. Without this strength many smaller nations will tend to kowtow to Chinese expansionism and even fall under their control. This is a time for bolstering the alliance of minds and stick together.
Well said, the Chinese have already made serious inroads into destabilising the whole region.
They already have Pakistan, Burma, Cambodia and Laos in their pockets. Thailand and Philippines are under significant Chinese influence, leaving Indonesia somewhat on the fence.
Indonesia powerful country and it’s being courted by both sides.
Taiwan is a special case and obviously the first flashpoint in any regional conflict.
A mutual defence pact between India, Australia, NZ, Malaysia, Brunei and Vietnam, underwritten and guaranteed by the US and the UK, ( I would hope by France too, once they have stopped sulking) is what’s needed.
The problem is, they are a diverse group of Nations, getting them all agree and present a united front would be difficult, but would present a powerful counter to potential Chinese aggression.
Plus now Afghanistan, not that its exactly an international military force to deal with at this stage but will certainly be supply China with resources it needs and no doubt at rock bottom brown envelope prices.
A good add James, of course there are also many African states in China’s pocket.
Could China be the power that tames wild Afghanistan …. Good luck with that!
I doubt they would even attempt to tame Afghanistan, not much point if they get the minerals they want at cheap prices they wouldnt need to bother. However they are probably one of the few countries with the physical manpower to do it but goodness knows the mess they would cause in the process.
Indeed Africa, Syria, South American plus various island nations and have all signed up to deals with China on its Debt trap diplomacy sadly.
NZ are not looking good, or at least your government aren’t.
Some good domestic policies for sure, but your closeness to China and almost complete lack of military investment are very concerning.
You can’t even be convinced to buy a few light frigates, while the ships you do have are having more issues than a type 45!
NZ, for now, cannot be counted on.
Tell me about it! Border line bad joke if it wasn’t; so serious.
I could be mistaken, but when has NZ asked the Chinese to help them build a nuclear power plant?
Iād like to see the RAN look at getting a medium sized carrier, some F35Bs, an extra Hobart and Tankerā¦.if we can afford it.
There is a video on YouTube that I think does a great job going over the pros as well as some of the cons with operating F35Bās from the Canberra class. Channel name is hypohistoricalhistory
https://youtu.be/0QIA4bn4Pvc
I think Australia should go for a medium carrier, like the ones proposed by Korea, as thd Canberra’s are two small, too slow, and will need a lot of rework to handle jet aircraft operations and maybe don’t even have enough space for a decent load. But I do think the Canberra’s can be adapted for drone operations as Turkey is doing with their LPHDs similar to the Canberra’s.
A carrier like the proposed South Korean light carrier circa 40000 tons would be a great step forward + Arleigh Burkes or 3 more Hobart class. Totally agree. Between USA Australia, New Zealand (if they wake up to Chinese threat) Japan and South Korea we should be able to contain and ultimately defeat Chinese aggression. Add in Indonesia (recent type 31 purchase) and Singapore and it looks like a viable alliance.
The worry is how much is China willing to put into it, even with all the other countries upping fleets and air forces China certainly has the man power and now thanks to the world using it as a workshop the manufacturing capability to out build everyone else.
Even if a number of countries went onto a war footing production wise I dont think they could combined out produce China in most areas.
People generally need to wake up to what China are doing itās good Australians are seeing it wish our population did. The Collins are going to get a big refit it seems to carry them through.
out of interest I hadnāt realised that two US class of ships were of Austal design the Independence and Spearhead so one presumes there is some admiration for Australian expertise in navy ship design.
I think Australia 100% did the right thing in abolishing a shody submarine deal with France. France were definitely creaming it in.
I am worried however that the UK will gift 2 of our Astute builds to Australia eg boats 6 and 7 as a sweetener on the deal leaving the uk perilously and dangerously under equipped with nuclear attack submarines.
Our current plan for 7 Astute class is already far too few as the minimum number required for operational cover, refit, training is 12.
Get ready for an announcement on the sale of a few Astute class to Australia very very soon.
On a footnote when QE strike group was in SCS it seems the Chinese tried to approach the group with half a dozen of their best most stealthy subs. They were tracked by type 23s with ease apparently. Whilst our Astute class probably had target locks on the lot of them.
Andrew our Aussie friends did the right thing in dumping the French submarines. They were overpriced, underspec and with a poor workshare as well. The French have missed major design deadlines which they were warned about by the Australian defence secretary so the French can hardly claim they weren’t warned. It’s better for Australia to team with the rest of the Anglosphere. I would hope that our Kiwi friends do the same and also Canada. Blood is thicker than water and the French would have screwed Australian if they need arises. I would be keen for the UK to help joinly finance a new QE class aicraft carrrier for Australia and help them with F35B as well. BAE systems has a huge presence in Australia and I have no doubt you could build a carrier as well with technology transfer from the UK.
Australia like Afghanistan is a country rich in mineral wealth China has just offered money too the Taliban and Covid vaccinations I wonder why ?
It’s odd that the proposed French designed sub was itself a diesel electric version of the French Navy SSN. If the Australians needed an SSN, why didn’t they buy the French SSN to start with?
The Australian Def Sec was asked a similar question in Washington and his reply was that the French SSN ‘was not superior’ Read into that what you will !
The reason that the French SSN design was not approved is that the French need to refuel the reactor every ten years. The RN and USN have reactors for the life time of the sub. Australia does not have the infrastructure to refuel a reactor.
But since they’ve decided to go for homebuilt SSN’s they’ll need that ability anyway.
David, if I was a betting man, Iād say the Astute design should win, purely and simply on its much reduced crew complement compared to a Virginiaā¦. Australia couldnāt even man up itās Collins submarines for a whileā¦
i Reckon that Barrow will end up producing the reactor/power sections of the subs and theyāll be taken to Australia for future mating with the rest of the sub being built thereā¦. So with the rolls Royce reactors, they are fuelled for the life of the boatā¦
They very likely are only going to use them until the reactor is spent, as is the plan with the Astutes.
Hell, it seems that they are going to be getting Astutes and all the better for it!
Though itās been said that RR has offered to build such a facility for them. No idea if itās accurate.
While I am sure the new generation of French SSN’s are capable, they aren’t in the same league as UK / US boats.
They are substantially larger and able to carry a significant warload.
If Australia went for an Astute derivative, or perhaps a cutdown Virginia Class, they would be hugely capable. Take a single Astute, heading off to deal with a Chinese Navy incursion, with 38 Spearfish on board, it would be capable of inflicting enormous damage, all by itself.
If Australia bought 12 and had 8 operational at any one time, plus I would imagine a few co-based US Navy SSN’s, then they would be capable of effectively kneecapping the huge Chinese Navy, who rely on numbers and not technology.
They considered it in 2016 but decided against it but rightfully seen that events have changed the environment a lot since then like it or not they have been brought into Chinaās hostile spree of interest like it or not. However good the French boats are they cannot possibly be to the standard of the combined efforts of US/UK long running collaboration in this technology. However had these subs not got ridiculously expensive and running increasingly over schedule they may well have done. But things were looking bleak I think the French over promised and the US/UK became the safer option especially when you consider the safety in numbers of the greater pact being signed for all concerned which the French couldnāt offer. If this had been available to them I suspect this is always the deal Australia would have wanted.
Totally agree with you. The US and UK have much better nuclear technology and the sonar for the UK boats are second to none. The french broke their contract deal into of having the final design ready this year and also for the amount of work share. I would be very surprised if contractually the french have a leg to stand on.
Its a shame we are not able to get a refund from GD and walk away from the Ajax shambles.
Probably because of cost. Australia had ear marked Ā£70 billion to purchase subs. For that sum of money youd hope to get more than 12 Barracuda class subs. I think France were taking Australia to the cleaners.
Contract abolished now its got to be an astute class build. Hopefully hulls built in Australia but sonar, weapons, power plant built in uk and shipped over to Aus for integration.
The biggest threat to the UK is if the RN is asked to donate any of our Astute class to Australia. That would be absolute madness when we are facing a resurgent Russia and need 12 not 7 SSNs.
I totally agree with your assessment France were taking Australia to the cleaners on the contract. They apparently missed major design deadlines and were warned by the Australian defence secretary early this year about the project delays. I stronly suspect that the Australians have excellent grounds to cancel the project on those delays as well. I shed no tears for the French as they have screwed Britain over since Brexit. I concur with your assessment on the Astute class submarine.
Totally agree the French must have been hoping for the most profitable/p*ss take defence contract they have ever had it was a complete joke.
I very much doubt despite the tech transfer to build the boats all of the existing secret stuff will just be handed over on a plate to Australia with regards to systems etc inside.
Quality verses quantity The French plan was Quantity not quality that’s why they lost out plus the fact all their manuals were in French Aussies speak dingo slang ,more colourful than English but English all the same
I dont think so, RAN requirement is needed soon, no time to start from scratch
As others have pointed out the timescales don’t work.
If AUS wants production timescales and cost certainties they need to use an OTS design.
The thing that I find slight odd about Macron and his ministers throwing their toys out of the pram and describing UK as the 5th wheel is the UK & USA actively collaborate on sub development.
So some of the R&D that is used in US subs will be UK IP.
As nobody every envisaged US or UK sub technology being shared with a 3rd party the UK’s active sign off is required to share the IP.
The price of the French subs is quite crazy for conventionally powered item.
As everyone else has said Astute is the most likely template to be shared. That is unless Virginia and Successor as so far ahead that sharing the slightly older patterns is not that much of an issue?
And I suspect, all of us who have ever been involved in a ‘European’ project can hear the conversations about “workshare”, “R&D”, “IP sharing” & generally being patronised by the French who, as ever, are only looking to protect their own very narrow national interest which has a very different slant to anyone else in EU or NATO.* To a certain extent we would never have got away with this when we were in the EU as the repercussions would have been to great, given the venal nature of EU politics, in any other negotiations that were going on.
*I love France, culture, wine, food – great place for a holiday and have fantastic French friends and collleagues.
Given the hopefully long service life for the Astutes- it would be nice if this was a fleet expansion of complementary assets rather than a one-for-one replacement program.
Perhaps Astutes and these new ones working in tandem? With the big advances in automation you could perhaps cut crew sizes in future subs and increase hull numbers ?
Australia wants 8, so maybe with the costs that will be driven down by working together (because of the timing Iām assuming so) we might get 12-14.
There is no chance we will get more than 8, unless Russia doubles the number of subs they can deploy, although hopefully 8 is achievable.
7 Astute where down to delays and the treasury being complete idiots with long lead times where we got 7 for the price of 7.99 over the same time period it would have taken to build 8 at a sensible pace.
I donāt see why not. The reason we got so few in destroyers and subs this time was because we were building the carriers. Next time we wonāt have to be building those so we will be able to afford more other things.
Sorry, it doesn’t work like that. The reason Astute and T45 took so long, is because we left it to long to build replacements for the T42, and empty submarine yards after the completion of the Vanguard class boats. Skills and experience were lost, so it was like starting from scratch again. Plus the requirements for T45 and Astute were very very high. It had nothing to do with building the carrier’s.
Thats simply not true. We ended up with 6 type 45s because of procurement mismanagement and ditto just 7 astute class
Carriers were assembled in Rosyth all RN Subs are built in Barrow. The delays were political decisions not Naval.
I didnāt say they took up the space, I said they were expensive and took up a large chunk of the overall budget.
Maybe more but 12 would be optimistic.
I would say with a Pacific shift, the UK needs 12 boats ( 8 guaranteed operational at any one time) for its NATO tasking and having two in the Indian / Pacific Ocean.
Perhaps with a co- basing arrangement in Australia along with the a US SSN deployment.
It’s what’s now needed…..
Agree the defence select committee already has stipulated that the “required” numbers of nuclear attack submarines is 12. Why the hell we have been allowed to go down to just 7 is just crazy and dangerously incompetent.
The question seems to be could they built and do we have the cash. On cash if Type31 is an export success it’s reasonable to assume Type32 will be cheaper than 31. Economies of scale. So big question seems to be could Barrow build more.
12-14 of what? The RN won’t be buying these subs. The RN will buy an Astute replacement, which will be a totally new design. Australia has never built a nuclear sub, and it’s a huge undertaking. Using UK and US tech transfer and knowledge will help them along. But it’s a big gamble.
You won’t see any Astute replacements for at least 15-20 years. Such is the complexity of designing and building nuclear submarines. They are by some margin the most complex machines built by mankind.
Unless that is there is an Astute Block III?
Times are changing rapidly and there is a lot of coffee inhalation going on.
The realisation may come about that containing China is not something that can be pushed off for 15-20 years.
Making #8 when you have made #1 -> #7 is a totally different proposition to making #1. Expanding an existing workforce that is already familiar with the process and has experience and success is much more possible.
Astute and the Boomers are made in different halls at Barrow so there is physical space there.
And the workforce is hardly flat out. If you doubt me look at the car park on a Friday afternoon – you will see plenty of bare tarmac.
Timing interesting. Could this be the start of a new UK / Australia next generation SSN?
Differing timescales, Royal Navy want to spend three years defining concept and capability requirements before it even enters design stage. Australia are planning an 18 month review to define their capability requirement with an eye to as much off the shelf Anglo/US components that can be license built in Australia the better. The Australian timescale requirement is so compressed that after the 18 month review they might put in motion hull construction (which will require levelling up Australian industrial and Shipyard capabilities) before even choosing the rest of the fit out.
I have wondered about whether an interim joint procurement boat might be on the cards, Australia chooses a modernised Astute design (also acting as a testbed for components for the follow on class) and one or two are built in British yards for the Royal Navy to allow accelerated development and sea trials before serial production moves to Australian shipyards. That would be the fastest way to get Australia into SSN production. The US shipyards are full and already suffering delayed deliveries, theyve just ordered a new batch of the Virginia class with an expanded VLS compartment to keep the US shipyards occupied while development of their next SSN has been put back a decade due to budget squeeze.
The more I read about the Aussie boat program, the more it sounds like it will be an absolute sh*tshow.
They want a unique boat with the latest tech, built in a country with zero nuke boat infrastructure or experience. Their dockyards couldn’t even build the Canberra class LHD hulls.
I wouldn’t put it past the MOD to lease the RAN the final 2 Astute subs for crew training and running joint patrols in the pacific. They then sign a joint contract to develop 16 future attack subs to be delivered in the 2030’s with a lot of US input from combat management system, common missile silo for TLAM, future heavy weight torpedo’s etc.
If we can’t get by on 7 (widely accepted that it’s not enough), how do you envisage the RN getting by on 5 SSNs?
Sure the French can patrol the North Atlantic for us š i do actually agree with you. I’m pretty sure we have 1 sub patrol the South Atlantic 1 in the med, 1 for the carrier, 1 to protect the ssbn, that doesn’t leave anything for the North Atlantic if 2 subs are in maintenance. 8 really was the min for the UK.
Im afraid it doesn’t quite work like that. We currently only have 6 SSNs, 2 are the last T boats and some 30 yo having had a expensive refit to get another 3-4 years out of them to allow for the late delivery of the last 3 Astute hulls.
Our SSNs don’t routinely patrol anywhere, and don’t protect the on patrol SSBN either!
Our SSNs are tasked on missions, conduct exercises and support trials (is Spearfish firings).
Of the 6 we have, on a v good day we will have 3 available, currently one is supporting the CSG out East, one will we our QRA boat which leaves one for tasking. The other 3 will be either in or going into a maintenance period, or having come out, working up.
We will not be leading or basing any SSN out in Aus, we simply don’t have enough for all the tasking they already get. We may well deploy one out East occasionally, but that will be on a and hoc basis or, if we need to support our interests/obligations out East.
Wondered the same myself. Could work well for both even if it hits UK sub availability for a bit.
Im very worried about this. I can see the MOD and BoJos shitshow government doing just that. Deeply worried we are about to go down to just 5 nuclear attack submarines or stay at 7 by keeping on the ginal 2 or 3 Trafalgar class.
If Barrow could be expanded so sequentisl build of dreadnoughts and batch 2 astute class that would help. But such a scheme takes determination and political will. Never of which are hallmarks of BoJos government.
More accurate description is walking nlindly into a dusaster and then piss poor decision making on how to resolve a problem of their own making.
Which is why they have come to the UK and USA for assistance.
Not true, their dockyards couldn’t compete financially with the Spanish quote to build. They went for the cheapest option that had an existing track record. Try and get it right.
I agreee with youā¦. A joint interim procurement project for a new batch of Astutes to me makes senseā¦. Australia is desperate to get these in service ASAPā¦. A former prime minister here is already calling for the Royal Australian Navy to abandon any Australianisation of the subs and just literally go with the specs of whatās currently in productionā¦
i imagine the Collins class must be close to reaching their end. Another 5- 10 years maybe? I’m liking the idea of the Astute option, No don’t their will be a requirement to build in Aus ship yards?
I wonder if they would accept a few built here with their input gaining expertise for their personnel and time to build up facilities there in exchange for later boats built there and design input on the next new SSNs as joint projects.. Would make a lot of sense if there is capacity.
Considering Aussie shipyards can’t build these yet and will take some time to get up to scratch, that may well be what happens.
It’s a compromise, but I think it would give benefits for both sides.
Why do they need to Australianize an Astute. It works. Very well by all accounts. And is already the most deadly and effective SSN in the world. Yes superior to Virginia class. Dont believe me. Read articles in Warships IFR. Back in 2018 Astute participated in exercises off Atlantic US coastline. Tracked and engaged 2 Virginia class guarding a nimitz battle group. Could have easily sunk both. Then had targetting solutions from +20 miles on a cruiser, tanker and 2 Arleigh burkes. In essence Astute could have peeled back the Carriers defence screen and then proceeded to sink the carrier. The US navy were reportedly deeply impressed by capabilities demonstrated.
Once Astute hull 6 & 7 are completed, we won’t be building any more SSN until at least 2036/7 at the earliest. We don’t have that many yards that build them, just one at Barrow. So, like the US, we are at capacity for the next 20-30 years.
Any SSNs for Aus will be built there, the reactor and it’s fuelling are a different issue which also needs solving.
The existing facilities could build three Astutes at a time and a new assembly hall has been built for Dreadnought.
Yes you can put 3 Astutes in DDH, but it’s a bit cramped. It’s not exactly a new assembly hall, but a extension to DDH to allow more space to build the SMs. The Dreadnoughts aren’t actually that much bigger then the V boats they are replacing.
To build more boats more quickly, you need more skilled workers, which you don’t just get from school/college or the job centre.
The final two Astutes are under construction, Bae have made a start on Dreadnought hull 1. They take time to build, we are at capacity. If you want to build more Astutes you have to stop any work on Dreadnought hull 2 and then hull 3. That is not going to happen, we have to much tied up in our SSBN programme.
Especially with the current state of the V boats. We really do need to get their replacements out ASAP.
Absolutely, this is what people arent aware of, they have been run hard and are getting on towards 30 yo (Vanguard anyway) its a long time in our world, Dreadnought wont be ready intil late 20’s at earliest, hence Vanguard refuelling….
My understanding talking to people in Adelaide this morning is that the Australian Submarine Company ASCO who are managing all the construction and maintenance infrastructure etc are immediately looking to ramp up further to re focus on SSN infrastructure. They will be built in Adelaide
I believe they will be built in Aus too, although the building of the Reactor compartment and it’s subsequent fuelling are clearly an issue to be sorted.
It’s a massive undertaking, so good luck to you all, I hope that you succeed it will be good for a 4th Western nation to field SSNs, should make the PRC pause two marching paces before it throws its weight around even more.
Agree but this Australian SSN programme needs to move at pace and deliver. I would love to see UK submarine production ramped up. If we could get a 2nd batch of 5 more astute class to face down a resurgent Russia and PRC that would be great. Im very worried our current 7 nuclear attack submarines are already far too few.
We would all like more Astutes, but, unfortunately we missed that boat 20 years ago. Then HMG allowed SSN production to slow/stop during the construction of the V boats. We lost a lot of highly skilled expertise during this period. This caused Astutes long slow build, which required a significant amount of help from the US to correct. It was also a factor in the delay to Astute hull 4, as this was the first opportunity to incorporate much needed changes internally.. If we had continued to build SSNs at a steady pace instead of slowing things down, timewise we could probably have had 8/9 instead of the 7 we are getting before Dreadnought build takes over.
It was a significant strategic and expensive error on the part of HMG, we will be unable to alter our SSN numbers until the late 30’s because of it.
Great point that certainly would make sense considering Astute work will be winding down otherwise. Not sure how this fits into building Dreadnoughts mind in terms of space does anyone know what capacity might be available?
I suspect all three will collaborate as both UK and US are presently in initial design process for new SSNs even if they are a long way off. Ideal indeed for Australia to slip their needs into the process too but that would be for the one after whatever comes out of their present needs.
Nobody dies of hard work at Bae Barrow. The lads down DDH love it.
Why when we are likely to build no more than 7 is a brand new design needed? Why not build more Astutes which are widely described as superior to the US Virginia class. The only way to bring down unit costs is either to buy a lot quickly or a few over a long production run.
What Britain could do with is an increase in overall numbers.
Agree completely… Astute Block 3 – Apparently the hull design etc is cutting edge as we speak so why not build on that?
Trial new and break through technology on Boat 8 (First of the new batch) and then roll in to the next 2/3 boats – Decade or so later trial new & breakthrough technology on Boat 11/12 and then roll into remaining hulls 12 & 13… maybe even additional hulls at 14 & 15 etc…
Could easily get to a point based on that model were we have 9 active boats as Block 3 come online prior to original 3 Boats needing retiring.
Our next priority is replacement of the Vanguard class, which construction of has started. There is no capacity to build more SSNs until the Dreadnoughts are completed, so no new SSNs for at least 15 years after Astute hull 7!
Deep32. Im sure capacity can be increased if there is a will and national drive to do so. Yes Barrow is currently at capacity. So. How do we increase capacity and get back to 12 Astute class subs whilat still building Dreadnought class?
Unfortunately we don’t, because we can’t do both.
Barrow is full, so, no room there. We would probably have to open a second yard elsewhere in the country to accommodate what you are asking. That would involve reproducing the nuclear infrastructure that exists at Barrow. Then you would need an entire new highly skilled workforce to man it – where would they come from, they don’t currently exist? This is one of the problems Aus will face if they proceed with home build.Never mind the cost.
Nuclear SMs are probably one of the most difficult building projects to get right, it’s not like starting a second shift at a component manufacturer.
The US is in a similar position, they are replacing their LA class with the Virginia’s, then going to build new SSBNs, their yards (Newport ) are at capacity until mid 2040 just with the Virginia’s.
I expect we will see a lot of Aussie engineers etc coming over here/US to be embedded into our build programmes to start gaining experience.
Whatever route is chosen, its going to be a long and very expensive path.
Well Barrow can assemble three boats at a time, but can build sections at the same time.
So, subject to funding, a successor SSN could begin construction when the first Dreadnought is rolled out and move to final assembly when the second Dreadnought class is rolled out the doors.
I would certainly hope Barrow can avoid the mess the Astute programme fell into, they have a good workforce in place now and their design team should be well up to the job, with the combined previous experience to get it right, on time and budget…
Technically they can mate, they have got 3 in there now, A hull 6&7 and the start of D hull1.
Dreadnought bare an entirely new class, so hull 1 will be a slower build to ensure things go correctly, hull 2 onwards should see build time come down as they become more proficient with the class.
SSN(R) won’t start to be built for at least another 10 years, I would hazard a guess and say 2035ish to be in the water just before 2040, my guess only. Again a new class so build will initially be slow.
If you want to ramp up production, you need more workers with a certain skillset, not sure where they are coming from! You also need more space to keep the construction material, Barrow can’t be expanded to hold that much more, building SMs isn’t like a car production line, when things go wrong, progress stops until it’s sorted, that might be a day or two, or, several months!
I’m also not sure what their nuclear license allows them to hold on site WRT numbers/parts of reactor compartments? It’s kit you can’t just keep in a lock up until needed, what increased resources would need to be in place for any potential incidents regarding those materials?
Because technology marches on. How many might have said why bother with Astute and build a batch 3 Trafalgar class? Astute is world class, but work on replacements needs to start now so we don’t have huge gaps in submarine building after Astute 6 & 7 and the Dreadnought class. We had huge delays and cost overruns with Astute because we left it to long after the completion of the Vanguard class. Lessons have been learned, the hard way. Experience lost, not enough apprentices taken on ect. Contracts like this show the Lessons are being learnt.
I think they would want to move to a larger displacement hull (using PWR 3 developed for Dreadnought) to accomodate expanded unmanned, special forces and strike capability. Something along the displacement of the Virginia Block 4 (circa 2000 tonnes more displacement).
A modernised astute serving as a testbed for the latest components for the next SSN class/Dreadnought and a prototype/construction training for Australia would make sense however. Could also permanently base it out of Australia for training Australian sailors and for supply chain commonality.
Yes, PWR3 meets the new safety standards. I do not want future SSNs to get even bigger, but they may have to, if PWR3 cannot be scaled down to an Astute size hull.
I understand but still think we are spending scarce resources poorly. PWR 2 already has a whole life core. Using it led to an increase in Astutes size. We have no plans to incorporate a cruise missile silo so increased size to accommodate the even larger PWR3 has little value.
Getting costs down so we can increase hull numbers seems far more sensible to me.
You may want to read the 2009 Defence Nuclear Safety Regulator’s report on the PWR2, where they question it’s safety and maintenance costs. Looking at the HMS Vangard refit, the latter point has proved correct. PWR3 is meant to be safer, last longer with an ease and cost of maintenance improvement. We nor Australia should be considering any more PWR2s
I think if they want something of the displacement of the Virginia Class (esp if launch tubes are desirable) they will go for the. VIrginia class. They may want a more all-round sub while the Astutes are more specialist hunter killers (and may indeed eat a Virginia for lunch if reported experiences from circa 2013 is still the norm) but changing them to be more Virginia like would surely wipe out its cost advantage.
With each block of the US boats, they are improving them, with Block III and onwards, they have a ne redesigned sonar. Might eat the earlier block subs, but maybe not so much in the newer of the class.
nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/why-us-navys-virginia-class-submarines-keep-getting-better-160031
The US is playing catch up designing flank sonar arrays, they have been a feature of all British diesel and nuclear subs since the late 50’s. They were even a one off feature on a class Britain built during WW1. I believe the Russians first started using them on the Yasen class.
The US chose to focus on towed arrays and bow rather than flank arrays and bow, Britain initially focused on flank rather than towed but eventually switched to having all three sonar types fitted.
Lets hope it has at least some vertical launch tubes & a diving bell type escape system.
I take it that France declined the offer
They didn’t get the opportunity.
ļ»æ :wpds_cry: ļ»æ
Exactly,
”Aukus: France recalls envoys amid security pact row” news story on the BBC, French really are throwing the dummy out of the cot on this one!
Wouldnt you if your defence industry lost a contract worth more than the GDP of three quarters of the worlds countries. The media really havent helped either by failing to mention the performance issues with the existing contract.
Yes I’d be upset, but recalling envoys? that just smacks of childish
I feel that, that reaction is more for pubic consumption, I don’t think they will mention any of this:
https://www.politico.eu/article/why-australia-wanted-out-of-its-french-sub-deal/
Those are, how to put it: lies.
The Australians wanted a conventional submarine derived from nuclear submarine.
They wanted much more industrial incorporation than they were able to fill. Then there are also the case of who they put at the head…
I don’t even put here the French side…just this:
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/lost-the-plot-how-an-obsession-with-local-jobs-blew-out-australia-s-90-billion-submarine-program-20210913-p58r34.html
This will be even more serious with new subs if Australians are bend on their delusional production requests.
When we were children, we did childish things, we will see how childish the French can be its only 22 miles wide !!!
ā¦ and serious hypocrisy the French are experts in this sort of āback stabbingā indeed to the point they think that others have breached their copyright. And now threatening the proposed EU/OZ trade agreement just shows how France thinks (perhaps with good reason) that the EU is simply itās Napoleonic plaything to do as French policy demands of it.
France really thought they ruled the EEC until the reunification of Germany that put a Dampener on that idea Next trick the creation of the EU, I even had too be under their command in 93 in the Adriatic off Croatia did nothing useful until UN took charge although we’ve left that whine party now. They still have that Napoleon complex little minds big boots
Very true. Their massive scam hasn’t paid off. And as scam artists are want to do, they’re having a tantrum.
Ever called out a ‘Nigerian Prince’ on their scams? They can get downright nasty. This is little different.
Thanks Tam you might be on to something there, Now the French defence minister is refusing too meet Britain’s defense minister France is really showing the world her true colours 20/9/20 oh by the way would you like the winning Nigerian lottery ticket got one spare lol
Tam the Observer 24th Sept this must be another French scam in the Pipeline they now are demanding Compensation for their failure too Sell those vintage D,electric Irwin Allen inspired Subs to our Commonwealth Cousins ,
Yeah…it’s fun to watch believe me š.
PISTOLS at dawn no Lead shoot ,banned under EU legislation lol š
And the best thing ,Boris says is that our relationship with France remains strong With a straight face
Macron is because he likes to portray France as a superpower and the EU led by France as militarily competent. Reality is different.
The EU are not robust enough with Russia or China. We have to stand upto both. French nuclear attack subs like Rubis class are very inferior to Trafalgar class and hopelessly outmatched vs Astute and Virginia class. The USN has a large attack submarine fleet. Australia could buy off the shelf from USA but they would get less boats, requiring more crew than an Astute class purchase.
20/09/20 Jason the French loving BBC have just stated that France thinks its a Super power when all along its a Mini power first time the BBCs told the truth
How about the Uk, US and Aus all go in together for a new common design and share the costs bringing unit prices down significantly. Each puts there own together in sovereign yards, but each brings its own specialisations to the party. We provide sonar tech and the reactor, US provides combat management systems and vertical missile compartments, Aus supported to build up its tech to take over its own areas of specialisations over time.
Could we not have one yard that purely focuses on building hull sections for all?
With all the suppliers getting orders for much higher numbers between us, unit prices could be slashed significantly allowing each nation to build more.
I think the next gen design may have several variants – a shorter out and out hunter killer, a stretched option with the vertical missile compartment, and maybe a mothership option that can launch its own medium or multiple small drone uuv’s. I would like to see us get 8 hunters, 2 with missile compartments for a heavy land attack capability, and 2 mothership types for task/carrier group protection.
Vertical launch that sniffs of SSBNs not Hunterkillers
It’s nice in theory but everyone is likely on different time tracks for a new sub.
Really Aus needs an OTS solution tho I’m not sure that is what they will go for. That said I think they will go for a US solution as they are more tied in with USN systems these days. Initially might be to lease a Los Angeles or older Virginia to learn the ropes and then slot in a Virgina or two built in US before getting remaining subs built in Aus ( or assembled there at least). They will embed crew early onto US ( and possibly UK subs) and run their prospective captains thru the UK Perisher course (but on nuke boats this time).
Just a hunch but I would imagine that there will be more Aussies on either US or UK boats soon. Certainly at the wardroom level the 2 navies run things differently so it will be interesting if the Aussies stick with tradition and go for the RN model or go down the USN model. They do get a lot more kit from the yanks but that doesn’t necessarily mean they have to throw in with the Yanks. Time will tell I guess.
Yes. It’s a funny old world. I was reading (via Google books) a bit about the Collins class subs gestation. It seems that during the 1960s the RN Oberon’s had lots of Aussies and Canadians onboard (in some boats up to 50% of the crew including a few Commanders). This was due to the RN converting over to nuclear boats with many Brits on training courses and then subsequently crewing the nukes.
As to which boat the Aussies pick I think its almost certain if OTS to be US. I have a feeling that the US may base some of their nukes here and the Aussies will spin of that for maintance etc. The Astute’s are great boats but they have taken about 10 years each to build and there’s no easy way to get them built quickly. As for how the RAN operate crew-wise it will be like a US sub with British practices.
We even sold one O boats to Isreal late 60s It was found this Century at the bottom of the Med about 4 days out from its destinatuin Hiafa
Virginia Class is newer than the LA class
Correct. I just threw it out there as a plan B if there were unable to provide a Virginia on lease. Admittedly I’m not sure that leasing will happen – its a very complicated option with many many factors to consider. The same can be said about the whole idea of Aus getting nukes. The next 18 months planning phase will be critical.
I wonder if from the UK side that events might lead to some joint training with the RAN and RN on the Astutes? A bit like the RAAF and RAF with the Wedgetails AEWs? If there’s an additional production of Astutes I’d like to see the RN also get at least 1 more, even 2 or 3, so more availability and to be able to offer simultaneous protection to two CSGs with leftovers for other Ops if required.
Hope that the powers that be take up any opportunities to increase the RN sub fleet.
Iām assuming extending Astute production isnāt feasible unless Dreadnought is pushed off and that will seriously threaten our unbroken CASD. Or if HMG makes it clear that they plan to build a larger number of SSNR and BAE finds it economically suitable to create more space, which will likely involve construction. In any case, weāve begun the design process for SSNR and considering how capable Astute is it should turn out really well. In any case, I hope that rather than extending Astute production, SSNR production might be brought forward. Ideally, we would have 12-14 SSNR; letās assume the bestā¦ 14.
It could be built in two batches of seven. The first batch would be centred on autonomous systems (and maybe land attack) and brought into service alongside the Astutes. The second batch would be the actual Astute replacement and would be a dedicated hunter-killer. 14 subs will me much easier to achieve with a 110bn budget in 2030 than finding money for extra astutes today.
Quentin , the Navy has been doing swaps with the Aussies for years now, the done thing only that it was for Officers not All ranks and rates the old adage of we don’t want riff raff messing up the party , will have too be dispelled
Interesting, I read in a Taiwan News article that Morrison informed Macron of their changed thinking and likely cancelling of the sub deal at a dinner in June, discussing concerns about the capability of conventional subs to deal with the new strategic environment?
Yes. Apparently there was an āsecretā meeting between Johnson Biden and Morrison during G7 to discuss this. I also read that Morrison reached out to the U.K. and USA about collaborating on nuclear submarines as early as this March.
I believe that is correct. The gamechanger was the US giving the go ahead ( with UK support) access to US(UK) nuclear tech.
This is the meeting that the EU are miffed they weren’t invited too! Cos they reckon they’re a player. Laughable.
I wonder if there is any research ongoing to evaluate supercritical CO2 turbines within the Navy? They would theoretically offer a reduction in size compared to traditional steam turbines.
Coming very late to this discussion but would it not make sense to just keep the Astute assembly line running on to produce this class for Australia? No route to acquire modern and tested Nuclear subs could be quicker and in addition-how different could the RAN’s requirements be? Cost,capability, time to commission-proverbial no-brainer?
Latest hot air from France, even going as far to call the UK ‘ a third wheel ‘ in the new security framework. France has really descended into some seriously childish rhetoric.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-58610234
Absolutely Jason. The degree of petulance from the top is really scary-difficult to take them seriously on any level.
Maybe China will offer to buy the cancelled submarines, promise to buy 12, receive one, cancel the contract and use all the new tech!
As I’ve said before – this is from a country that has never even paid its debts to the UK or USA from World War 1 (in todays terms using gold price as a costing factor I estimated a couple of years back we’d be talking $240b and $320b respectively – yes that is in billions). And from a country that said we owed the EU……
And Degualle Didn’t pay us anything whilst he enjoyed his 4 year vacation in the UK
I’d argue all modern politics has become childish…I’d be willing to bet a significant sum that if the UK was in France’s position our politicians (and many of the commenters here) would be equally outraged.
It’s all just playing to the electorate. It makes sense for internal PR for French Government to behave like this (especially with a presidential election next year). Compare it with Boris Johnson’s spiel about world beating vaccine rate back in March/April/May, comparisons with the EU didn’t help us on an international stage, but it worked for the government to maintain internal support.
The vaccine rate wasnt incorrect in the western world though was it?
Of course we would , but we wouldn’t do things like the old Rainbow Warrior
It went down very well in the USA, I should know, I live here, US public was very supportive of Brexit
I wonder if this will have a VLS? Feels like interesting times in defence news, first with the depressing problems associated with Ajax, but now the positive news about AUKUS. I have to say it is strange reading this latest news covered by the BBC so negatively with them spouting off like a mouthpiece for the Chinese Communist Party as if the BBC stands for Beijing Broadcast Company. Also kudos to the UK government for being professional enough not to lower themselves to silly name calling back to the French.
If only the UK Govt would learn from the Aussies here. Just bin Ajax and get something decent!
Citrean c 5
The Aussies will go for an in production design so the can embed their people in to the yards building them immediately so their people can be upskilled whilst facilities to build are in construction, I’d imagine this would give them 2 yrs of training whilst the infrastructure is put in place and I expect the 1st metal to be cut for an Aussie produced sub to be in the 22-23 timeframe, I very much doubt they will mess with the specs of the chosen design at all with them having 0 experience in this field, their current Collins class with the upcoming refit still have 9-10yrs service life left, gives them plenty of time to iron out the wrinkles in production, this deal smells a lot better than anything made of garlic
It is not presently possible for Australia to build a copy of an Astute sub in their own yard. No nuclear infarstructure there to fual up a nuke sub, and press a reactor vessel.
We got Sheffield FM to do this sort of steel work here.
Very complicated struff!
At least half of a Aus. nuke sub would need to be built in either a UK or US yard.
Nobody should feel the slightest sorry for the French. Iāve been in the defence industry for 40 years and all they have ever done is take any āpartnerā to the cleaners. They look down their long French Nez at the rest of us. Yes I agree with the comments below that the RAN solution is likely to be BAE systems as the US subs while amazing are totally unaffordable for anybody but the US. The only way we win export deals these days is through government to government efforts or where we have an outright winner of a product as our French style āincentiveā deal days are over having had our guns spiked on that front by the US.We also do well where drop our pants on giving capability (in country build and technology transfer). At least we sold Hawk to Indians in the end. Interesting that when we reached 75 years since the first powered flight that we had spent 40 of them trying to sell Hawk to India !!!
Just read an article, about how Aukus venture could undermine Western security, France never had an interest in it During the cold War ,now with all the halabulo that France is causing, I hope Germany takes advantage and gives France the undiplomatic answer as too why their Subs weren’t purchased . Place what you’d say here _________
France now demands Compensation for their failure to clinch Diesel Electric Sub deal BBC to raise licence fee as a good wil gesture l
World demands compensation for having to listen to France’s drivel for 200 years
Very interesting the day after this was agreed China has applied to join CPTPP.
Wonder if thats what all this is about bringing China to the table on trade in a way that is more regulated and fairer on other countries.
France’s defence minister has cancelled talks with her UK counterpart amid the row prompted by a new security deal between Britain, the US and Australia.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-58620220
I also read about the Type 32 frigate to replace frigates that are not even in service yet.
As an ex-army man I am impressed at the ability of the Navy to plan this far ahead.
The army can’t even get a few upgrades done on ageing Warriors.
Interesting that this is published 2 days after USUKA (AUKUS) announced & your article of that day virtually claiming the Australian Contract.
A contract that hasn’t even gone to Tender.
Did Boris get Scatmo on it at the G7, he has a reputation here in Oz!