British military forces are set to be deployed to strengthen Eastern Europe’s borders in the face of rising Russian aggression.

The British Government say in a statement that UK officials will be deployed to Brussels to finalise the details of the offer with NATO next week, and ministers will discuss the military options on Monday.

Efforts being considered include:

Meanwhile, HMS Prince of Wales is in the High North leading the NATO’s Maritime High Readiness Force. It is on standby to move within hours should tensions rise further.

British aircraft carrier ‘on standby’ if tensions with Russia rise

Prime Minister Boris Johnson said:

“This package would send a clear message to the Kremlin – we will not tolerate their destabilising activity, and we will always stand with our NATO allies in the face Russian hostility. If President Putin chooses a path of bloodshed and destruction, it will be a tragedy for Europe. Ukraine must be free to choose its own future. I have ordered our Armed Forces to prepare to deploy across Europe next week, ensuring we are able to support our NATO allies on land, at sea and in the air.”

According to a statement from the Ministry of Defence:

“The Prime Minister is expected to speak to President Putin and travel to the region early this week to relay that message in person. A second trip to meet NATO member counterparts is being planned for early next month. Following the Prime Minister’s statement to the House of Commons last week, making clear the better relations with Russia was possible, the Prime Minister directed the Foreign and Defence Secretaries to prepare to go to Moscow for talks with their counterparts in the coming days. They will be asked to improve relationships with President Putin’s Government and encourage de-escalation.

The Prime Minister remains seized of the importance of pursuing diplomatic efforts in tandem, and last week joined a call with President Biden, European leaders and NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg. In that call leaders agreed on the importance of international unity in the face of growing Russian hostility and stressed that diplomatic discussions with Russia remain the first priority. The Defence Secretary is also expected to travel to meet with Allies this week in Hungary, Slovenia, and Croatia on behalf of the Prime Minister.”

Recently, British transport aircraft airlifted “thousands” of anti-armour weapons to Ukraine to help the nation defend itself.

Third day of British weapon flights to Ukraine

More on this as it develops.

George Allison
George has a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and has a keen interest in naval and cyber security matters and has appeared on national radio and television to discuss current events. George is on Twitter at @geoallison

243 COMMENTS

  1. It might be more effective to threaten to confiscate every Belgravia/Mayfair/Ascot mansion that Putin’s oligarchs own. Plus go after their wealth in the City of London/Channel Islands/Bermuda/Turks &Caicos/Cayman.

        • The assets that are sanctioned tend to be liquid.

          Even if it is property, you can borrow against it and take the money away – so only a fraction of the value is left in London.

          On football clubs, they have a fit and proper person test – a number of people have been barred, and afaik they were all Brits.

          • Oligarch toys like superyachts are mobile too. However, not much fun if they get impounded the second they turn up in a glitzy EU resort in Greece, Italy, Spain or the South of France.

    • You are right on the nail, also by tracing the money back we can see who in the Commons is sitting with their fingers in Mr Putin’s pie and it might help explain why our armed forces have been gutted over the last 20 odd years.

    • Germany like they always do regarding defense will do the absolute minimum and depend on others for the heavy lifting. Plus Germany is in Putin’s back pocket with that giant gas pipeline and contract.

    • Well they are reportedly putting a bill together to use to threaten just that. Mind you as they have turned endless blind eyes to it for so long to supposedly boost the economy I’m not convinced much would actually happen should it be put to the test. We certainly didn’t seem keen when the EU was keen to get involved.

    • Is the point that if A happens then B is triggered with leads to C?

      A = British military being engaged

      B = kleptocratic proceeds frozen

      C = the kleptocracy pressures Vlad to get off their toes.

      Or rather A happens C engages so B is never needed?

      It is all in the spirit of the ex despot conundrum. Let me explain. You have a horrendous despot you need to get rid of quickly and quietly for the benefit of his people.

      Do you:-

      a) go after him and try and get him and all his assets; or

      b) let him retire somewhere sunny?

      You can also use the same argument as to why suspect police are able to keep their pension when they go quietly.

    • Maybe the Ukrainian situation will bring home the need for anti missile defense systems to be fitted to our capital ships. The Albion s and carriers are utterly VÍTAL TO THE u.k AND NATO forces themselves. To lose. Either one would be a catastrophic. Blow. Both types of shul have more than enough space fo offensive and defensive systems. And the cost of. A vessel compared to the cost of a ship makes the argument moot.

  2. A dreadful move. With the current lethality holiday this is a very risky move particularly for the RN and army with limited ASUW and GBAD capabilities.

    • Do you really believe that the Russians will take potshots at an RN Vessel, even a lightly armed River class just because it can?
      If it did, regardless of a manufactured pretext, it would be open season on any Russian vessel or aircraft as the UK takes appropriate actions in self defence and Nato would go Article 5.
      Its all chess moves and brinkmanship from all sides.

      • If you’re asking do they have the appetite and do they have the means? The answer is a yes. RU have consistently warned the west. Don’t forget they’ve shot down an airliner, poisoned people on our streets and invaded Crimea.
        Re: lethality, the RN has neutered itself such that it lacks credible offensive capability, and so likely to give RU even greater confidence.

      • Rivers would never be put in harms way, who said that? They are not warships, who that?

        Amythyst was not in harm’s way until she got shot to pieces.

        Should I be one of the crew I’d be making sure my affairs were in order and without a suitable, high quality, trained ASW ship along for the party, not sure I’d like to be on the T45 either.

        Putin is a chess player and he can gamble and lose pieces, we lose far more with far higher value and that might include the Baltics, Moldova, a mahoosive chunk of the Ukraine as well as access to the Black and Baltic seas; this is grandmaster chess and Bluffer Johnson is our champion…

        • Agree with this: the Rivers are supposed to free up other assets to do the high end stuff. The problem is even with this there is not enough high end assets (reducing frigate force + ongoing issues with T45 PIP)

          • Agree a better move would be to deploy QE to Eastern med with full battle group. Therefore able to overfly black sea and provide an air umbrella if needed. A type 45 and River class could be shot up in fairly quick order.
            Beware poking the bear. He’s got claws.

        • Out of interst, what would you consider a suitable ASW (anti-surface warfare?) vessel- in any NATO inventory?
          Burkes don’t carry Harpoon anymore, and scrapped one of their Phalanx for a while- not sure if they all have one. Their Standard missile system is such that they effectively have the same number of shots as a T45 too. Is it the presence of TLAM? Because the Russians are unlikely to be too fussed about such a slow and unstealthy weapon.
          FREMM or one of the Euro frigate/mini-destroyers perhaps? They at least still carry heavyweight AShMs, although not sure they’ve been tested in a while and they are again subsonic and unstealthy. I believe their air defence magazine is also about the same size as a T45, although their radars aren’t supposed to be as good.
          I’m not sure of any other options to be honest, but happy to be educated. As far as I’m aware, you’re as safe as, if not safer, on a T45 than you are on any other NATO surface combattant.

          • Hi Joe thanks for the question my green skin understood
            ASW Anti submarine warfare and
            ASuW Anti Surface Warfare.

            WRT ASW a T26… yes, I know, but, any T23 TAPS asset or equivalent NATO asset.

          • Sorry, I clearly read your post too fast and conflated your reference to T45 with a surface warfare vessel. You make perfect sense.
            I take your point on an ASW platform too. Agreed a T26 would be great, and T23 is plenty competitive at the moment, I’ve heard good things about the French ASW frigates too- Alsace or Lorraine or something?

          • All of NATO have been complacent with regards to the development of AShM whilst the Russians have continued to invest (BrahMos etc.). The RN has gone with submarines for high end targets / helicopters for corvettes and below with Exocet and then harpoon as back up anti shipping weapons. however lack of subs and proliferation of SAMs should prompt a (very rapid) rethink. NSM / JSM would be a perfect interim weapon; cannister launched on ships and carried by our F35s.

          • The Italians are spending 400 million + on a stealthy long range version of Teseo that can do land attack as well as anti ship.

          • Any ship in the Black Sea right now is not there to shoot. But it needs to have the best chance of protecting it’s crew if Russia wants to start a war.

            A T45 with a River to pick up survivors is a good start, but I’d rather see all those CAMMs fitted first and a 57mm on top of the hangar. Also another 57mm and a Phalanx on the River instead of the 30mm and the crane.

            If it’s offensive action we want to do, then I think Ukraine is a RAF job from Romania/Bulgaria with Typhoon and Meteor.

      • Goes right along with the famous ‘peace in our time’ speech by Chamberlain…

        Talk about caught with our trousers down again, force levels lower than ever and no reserves of anything, what could possibly go wrong…..

        Best start practicing my somewhat limited Russian ….

        • SDSR light armoured fighting, all our eggs in one basket, The Royal Marines re roled and now a new Ranger regiment. Littoral thinking. The doctrine is special equipped light and fast forces that can deploy quickly globally and do what it has to do and then get out of dodge for tea and biscuits. Drones air and sea and land. How much of this is in frontline service? We no longer have a standing army military planners say we don’t need one. So how do we play our part in defending the Baltic States and Ukraine?

          • Mark. There are 2 armoured BCTs in the new structure and a deep strike/recce BCT. Not everything is light.
            Why do you say we don’t have a standing army – what do you think those 82,000 soldiers in the Regular army are?

          • 76000 actually, 32000 are frontline fighting soldiers. In the 1980s the standing army alone in the BAOR was 50000. You don’t commit your entire brigades and infantry units to combat, you would have nothing in reserve inorder to rest and recuperate if a land offensive was prolonged.

          • Hi Mark, as I spent 34 years as a regular army officer and a seasoned ‘BAOR warrior’, I am very well aware that you don’t and can’t commit every soldier to combat. My comment was about your claim that we don’t have a standing army. Perhaps we need to define the term – this Wikipedia defitinion is as good as any: A standing army is a permanent, often professional, army. It is composed of full-time soldiers who may be either career soldiers or conscripts. It differs from army reserves,…

          • Hi Graham, thank you for the summary on a Standing army, Im also a 25 year veteran I was Air Force Aircrew, My point is that the British army although highly trained and highly regarded, no longer does the army have the heavy armour or tracked artillery in the numbers we once had trundling across the great German plains. Under investment in upgrades and poor procurement management has seen to that. Iraq and Afghanistan saw OERs for specialist vehicles and equipment so that the army could do its job safely and effectively.
            SDSR set out the future fighting capability of our armed forces and what was expected in the future. A possible land conflict in the Ukraine was never considered in future planning. I’m sure we agree that are armed forces especially the army are in a state of flux.

          • Hi Mark, It is no surprise that we don’t have 50,000 soldiers in Germany in a force dominated by heavy armour as the Cold War ended in 1991. We will have 2 armoured BCTs under the Future Soldier project but Ajax and artillery in the Recce/Dep Strike brigade. Only 112 CR3 tanks in two deployable tank regiments – and Warrior withers on the vine to be replaced by Boxer. I agree that this is a great deal less capability.
            Options for Change did not predict a long counter-insurgency war in Afghanistan, Gulf War 1, Gulf War 2 or the multiple deployments to the Balkans. Defence Reviews rarely forecast future operations well.
            I certainly agree that the emphasis for the army from 2003 (Gulf War 2) up to late 2014 (end of Op Herrick) was on UORs and core equipment upgrades took a back seat.
            The army is in a mess – and should not be deployed against a peer or near-peer foe in an actual shooting war for many years.

          • I watched a youtube video on Russian Army myths (yes I know). While they have one year conscripts of limited use, with mummies who would be very upset if they got hurt, the fact is the contract full time soldiers have the non contact principle. i.e. The Russians will use their vast artillery, rockets & tactical ballistic missile to pulverise enemy positions, leaving no one to harm their 18-19 year olds when they later occupy those positions. It is scary how much firepower the Russian Army unit has in comparison to a British Army unit.

      • I believe Putin has now blown the opportunity, he’s been painted into a corner and, ironically, he’s the guy holding the paintbrush he thought NATO would cave in to his demands. They haven’t and he is now left with a problem;

        1. Choose between a Biden and German sanctioned small scale incursion (anything more could trigger WW3)

        2. Lose face with his Mafia buddies and the Russian public (accelearating his overthrow)

        • Jason, you think Putin wanted NATO to give in to all his demands and would then withdraw his invasion troops. I think Putin is playing a much cleverer game – and is winning.

    • 16X is the rapid response formation – will take weeks to mobilise the heavy stuff – that’s why BCT thing needed.

      • BCT is a fancy new Americanised term for brigade – it doesn’t suddenly make everything light and quick to deploy. Many different types of BCT – as I recall 2 are armoured, 1 is recce/deepstrike, 1 is lt mech and1 is mech. Plus 16AA Bde and the Avn Bde.
        It has always taken some time to move armour to Theatre – thats been the case since we first moved tanks to France in 1916, you’ve just got to get political authority in time – and all will be well.

        • That’s right Graham. I hate it, we keep copying the US, even renaming our SIG as the SFAB like the US examples.

          Your BCT list is mostly correct, but actually even worse once the spin is removed!

          The Deep Recc Strike “BCT” is hardly a BCT, as it has no infantry, nor even ( as far as I’m aware as the details in the FS doc were minimal ) a dedicated logistics regiment to move the rounds! Which in BAOR was a given.
          Never mind the other attendant CS&CSS enablers a BCT should have.

          It is in effect a DAG. It is called BCT as it makes their number look bigger and finds a use for 1 Artillery “Bde” and 2 orphaned CVRT, Ajax Regiments, if they ever appear!

          The Lt Mech BCT is the Desert Rats, 7 Inf Bde.
          There is no Mech BCT. There will be a 4 BCT which is a collection of infantry battalions devoid of a single regular CS/CSS formation. Their CS/CSS comes from the Army Reserve.
          So in effect not a deployable BCT either and undeployable apart from in individual battalions farmed out to other formations.

          Spin again from the army and HMG.

          So 12 and 20 Armd BCT.
          7 Lt Mech BCT.
          16 AA BCT
          1 Avn BCT ( again, calling it a BCT is pushing it, its tiny )

          Plus the spin of “4 BCT and “DRSBCT”

          • The army is in an appalling state right now with the new future soldier structure.
            Sometimes I wish we could go back to the original army 2020 structure. At least then we had 3 armoured infantry brigades and 16 AA brigade in the reaction force and two to three deployable infantry brigades in the adaption force. That’s almost double the size of deployable brigades than now.

          • Yes spot on. 6 Brigades plus 3 Cdo.

            They COULD have made Strike brigades out of those 2 Infantry Brigades in the Adaptable Force.
            Interim Bdes with Foxhounds, then Boxer.

            But they had to make cuts so our Armoured Bdes got hit again and the CS/CSS in those adaptable force bdes got removed.

            Got to keep those infantry cap badges!!

          • The obsession over cap badges is ruining the army. At least five infantry battalions should immediately be converted to logistics or artillery and REME and RLC should be merged.

          • Bravo! I’ve been calling for this for years!

            Convert them to RA regiments.

            1 x Reg with Brimstone / Spike NLOS type on armoured vehicle to finally give a Striker/Swingfire capability lost. This could be a RAC or a RA Reg. I recall the role was RA earlier before they became integral to RAC Regs.
            1x Reg of more GMLRS or lighter equivalent.
            1x Reg of AA for SHORAD vs UAV
            1x Reg of additional ER CAMM for AD.
            1x Reg of ISTAR ala 5 RA, whose assets are limited and in much demand.

            The difficulties of that regards retraining and so forth I don’t know. I guess redoing all of phase 2, transferring out those to prefer to remain infantry and recruiting more to fill the required headcount?

            We also need additional CSS to support other “BCT” that have next to none or none, but the RA and the AAC should be priority and firepower the order of the day.

          • That would be amazing the only other thing is I would maybe suggest making brimstone boxers integral to infantry battalions in the anti tank platoon or maybe a whole new platoon. This would free up another regiment for close support given we have just lost 3 RHA to fire support. As to the SHORAD issue I think a vehicle with 35mm cannon and maybe four starstreak/LMM could fulfil this new regiment and 12 regiment could both be armed with this. The only issue with this is to find an airmobile vehicle that can carry a 35mm turret for the airborne, perhaps towed?

          • Yeah good points. Brimstone into the RAC Recc Regs would work, they lost their integral AT Platoons ages ago.

            Current army doctrine seems to be that enemy armour is engaged by Javelin teams on foot, with the teams dropped off by Spartan, or in the LI Btns I read the kit is carried on quad bike with the poor sods in the AT Platoon running alongside!!!!

            Most other nations seem happy to arm their vehicles with ATGM. Why does the British Army do it differently? Sane doctrine or are they actually demented?

          • I think a good place to start off is all boxers in sabre companies to be armed with a javelin launcher. Furthermore each regiment/ battalion should have a platoon of 8 boxers armed with brimstone/spike. In light brigades they should definitely add javelin to foxhound

          • Dare I mention again that we have still not got a replacement for STRIKER? As you recall it had 10 Swingfire – 5 on the roof and 5 reloads inside that could spoil the day of an enemy tank 4,000m away.
            A replacement STRIKER vehicle could actually do Strike!

          • What advantage is there in merging REME and RLC – they do totally different things – however this was looked at over 20 years ago and it was concluded that it created an unwieldy large Corps of 25% of the army’s strength and to no significant advantage.

          • You may be right just most if not all other armies do this and what is the point in having two CSS battalions per brigade. We are short enough on CSS as it is if we merged the two then at least 4 LBCT could have regular CSS and maybe 1 DRSBCT could also get one.

          • You may as well merge a tank regiment with an infantry battalion – they are also dissimilar.
            Merging a REME (or ES) bn with a Log Bn just means you have got one huge CSS battalion – you would save a few Bn HQ posts – but create an unwieldy double-size unit. You don’t create headroom to generate CSS capability that can be deployed to 4 LBCT or 1 DRSBCT.

          • Spot on as ever Daniele….

            I only hope this situation is a wake up call and the government finally wakes up and smells the bloody coffee!!

          • I mean the whole point of a US BCT is too make them more deployable with integral CS/CSS and British BCTs are way too large. US ones have 3 or four battalions, yet ours have 7 or 8. Ultimately we should definitely make reserve brigades similar to the US national guard. Given we have 3 reserve close support artillery and 2 reserve close support engineer regiments along with 1 of tanks, 3 of recce and multiple REME, RLC and signals we could easily create 2 to 3 reserve BCTs and keep the regular ones more streamlined. Ultimately whilst the deep recce strike BCT isn’t a BCT I don’t oppose the idea, but the AS90 regiments should definitely be removed and placed in their respective BCTs

          • Nor do I, and if it is resourced properly it could work. They spin it as new, but it existed in Ok Granby in 91 and is just 1 Art Bde spun as a deployable BCT.

            Totally agree about the AS90s.

            Irony is pre 2010 all our armoured and mechanized brigades all had their attendant RLC Reg, RA Reg, RE Reg, REME Btn, and RS Bde Sig Sqn.

            It was 2010 that split them up into pointless admin groups.

            All BCT should be fully resourced with CS CSS.

          • I know yet pre 2010 we had what I think 5 armoured/mech brigades plus 19 light brigade and 16 AA brigade. All of them had RA and there were two SHORAD regiments. It’s a shame really because there was no need to reduce our armed forces in the 21st century by so much. The US didn’t even reduce theirs at all. To be honest the only issue I would’ve had with the army pre 2010 structure, other than too little light forces, is there only being one rapier regiment and one regular MLRS regiment.

          • Correct. 4th, 7th, 20th Armoured Bdes in BAOR, and 1st, 12th, 19th Mech Bdes in 3 Div in UK.

            They started fiddling with things early to mid 2000s first by making 19th Mech a light Bde, equals cuts to armour, artillery.

            Then moved to BAOR and made 4th armoured into 4th Mechanized, before bringing it back to the UK. That meant more cuts to armour, as the 3 mech bdes all had tank sqns reduced and replaced by Scimitars.

            Finally, 19th Light Bde was disbanded.

            People forget the cuts made pre 2010, then the Tories stabbed the dagger in, which added 7th Armoured and 4th Mrchanized Bde to the pyre, leaving the 2010 set up of 3 Armoured Infantry Bdes that we’ve covered already.

            The 2nd Rapier reg was 22RA and got cut because it had tracked rapier that was not replaced by FSC.

          • 7 or 8 battalions in a British BCT – really? Totally crazy. An old style division had about that number.

          • Exactly I think 3 division will have 5 active recce regiments, 5 active infantry battalions, 2 active tank regiments, 5 reserve infantry battalions, a reserve tank regiment and a reserve light recce regiment.

          • I’m pretty sure as there there is an Ajax regiment in each ABCT and the DRSBCT has two Ajax regiments, one jackal regiment and one reserve jackal regiment.

          • An entire recce regiment in a brigade (BCT) is very generous when the army is so small. However clearly they will use these Ajax vehicles in a strike role as well as a recce role.
            Someone (Daniele maybe) told me a while back that Ajax will be task org’d with infantry battalions, 2 or 3 vehs to an Inf Platoon. That can only mean that we will be buying Infantry Boxers without a cannon.
            These Future Soldier structures are totally ridiculous and must have been designed by very inexperienced young staff officers without sign-off from a senior officer.

          • Thanks Danielle. You have invested more time than I on the details and you are so well informed. I wish we had a MoD definition of ‘Strike’ – this is a term that historically was applied ony to tanks but it has a different and broader meaning now, but what is it? It is clearly a term that describes offensive rather than defensive action – I had to invent my own definition because I could not find a MoD one.

            I think it a pity that we have downgraded the term ‘Special Forces’ merely to keep in line with the Americans – they apply a tier terminology to SOF (as they call what we have always called SF) – but we have not (yet) adopted the tier terminology. Our earlier use of SF was very clear – units under the command of DSF, originally SAS and SBS and supporting arms, and later SRR etc.

            Seeems crazy for Deep Recce/Strike BCT to have no infantry – infantry are required to protect/support the other arms especially armour that is vulnerable to anti-tank fire, especially from the flanks – and to seize ground (if that is part of ‘strike’).

            I really don’t recall that an entire RLC Log Regt was assigned to support a bde in BAOR days – such a unit was Div Tps. I think they chopped a CS Sqn to a bde. REME chopped a FRG to provide recovery and forward second line support to the key AFVs in an armd/AI bde – and the remainder of a CS wksp coy from a REME battalion to support the rest of the bde.

            So this deep recce/strike BCT is really a DAG – that has quite a different meaning to a BAOR veteran – and invokes a mass of very large calibre indirect fire artillery and MLRS. A bit messy to add in a load of Ajax, as they only do short range direct fire with a light calibre (40mm). They will therefore be doing a very hybrid job of a close-in battle and simultaneously a depth battle.

            I had not realised that CS/CSS for 4 and 7 BCT is to come from the Reserve Army. Why? Has SDSR2021 cut huge numbers of regular CS/CSS? Didn’t you also once say that there is no CS/CSS at all for some other BCTs?

            A BCT has no utility in always farming out its manouevre units to do somethng on their own, thus each being tactically unsupported by the other components of the brigade.

          • Morning Graham. Cheers.

            A few points, corrections to add.

            I had to invent my own definition because I could not find a MoD one.”

            Nor could many of us!! I think it was just a fancy name cooked up that would grab headlines for the idiot David Cameron.
            How do you “Strike” in virtually un armed Boxers who’s firepower is divorced from them on Ajax, with light Guns as your RA firepower?
            The army has run experimentation exercises at SPTA on how this was to work but of course I’m not privy to any details.

            “I think it a pity that we have downgraded the term ‘Special Forces’ merely to keep in line with the Americans”

            Politics! Grabs headlines! I have seen the Tier system in increasing use in the literature. Agreed. Units of the UKSFG or DSF are the only ones that should be anywhere near the term SF. They are special for a reason, which is why I oppose their unit sizes being expanded to far, though I do think creating the SRR, 18 SR and JSFAW were excellent ideas and have greatly improved the capabilities of the group.

            “I really don’t recall that an entire RLC Log Regt was assigned to support a bde in BAOR days”

            Correct, they were at Divisional level, with Brigade CS Sqns. I was referring to RLC CS Regiments in our brigades post Cold War up to 2010. The RLC Regiment that was with the DAG in BAOR times was I think from Corps Troops but I don’t remember for sure without checking my old books now.

            So this deep recce/strike BCT is really a DAG”

            Absolutely! It is 1st Artillery Bde, an administrative not operational formation, given BCT status to increase their number to the typical uninformed civvy who might be bothered to look! A DAG was also used in the Gulf as well as in BAOR so it is not ground breaking, in the Gulf one of the RAC CVRT regs supported it, forget which one.

            “I had not realised that CS/CSS for 4 and 7 BCT is to come from the Reserve Army.”

            7 LM BCT does have a full set of regular CS/CSS, it is the 4 BCT that does not and is reservist.

            “Why? Has SDSR2021 cut huge numbers of regular CS/CSS?

            No, but all the other reviews have! That is why I keep banging on about it! Although in this review if anyone can find the fate of 3 CSR RLC I’d like to know, they vanish from the armies stated future soldier orbat.

            “Didn’t you also once say that there is no CS/CSS at all for some other BCTs?”

            Yes, the planned 4 BCT. Reservists only.
            And in the previous ( post 2010 ) 1 (UK) Div structure of 7 Infantry Brigades, only 2 had CS and CSS, the 2 brigades of the 7 which in theory were deployable.

            Lack of CS/CSS is made worse by having so many infantry battalions that the army are desperate to save resulting in infantry “brigades” that are golf bags, they cannot deploy as self contained formations as the supports don’t exist for them, or if they do they are elsewhere in the army, like with the ARRC.

            At present only 12, 20, 16 and 7 BCT are truly BCT.

            1 Aviation BCT, 4 BCT, DRSBCT are given the BCT tag but lag the enablers to be fully considered such. The other deployable brigade we had was 3 Cdo but as covered many times that has been dismembered and has even fewer enablers than the likes of 16AA. It will now operate in dispersed groups.

          • Hi Daniele, A great set of points which have helped my knowledge – I am very rusty having left the army in 2009 and only having glanced at the Defence press since. There is so much wrong with the Future Soldier structure (if that is the correct term), that it is probably unworkable. The continual rehashing of the field force stucture in recent years has been baffling.
            The army will really come unstuck if it came up against a peer or near-peer foe in any appreciable strength or had to respond simultaneously to multiple threats from multiple directions. It woud be interesting to see certain scenarios wargamed by OA professionals.

          • Pleasure.

            Yes, one of the biggest issues is that the army has effectively been in an ongoing reorganisation since FAS around 2005 timeframe.
            And one reviews list of cuts and changes are not even fully implemented before another arrives!

    • Paras and Marines are on high readiness – they are quick and cheap to deploy in and then deploy out when this thing is all over.

  3. sorry but I think we should sit this one out and let the so called elite EU deal with it, how many more times do we have to keep bailing out the EU in some way at the expense of taxpayers money and the possibility of soldiers lives, and for what, since leaving the EU they pretty much hate us so let them crack on and deal with it for once..

      • Your right there but we no longer have a military anymore and Putin knows it, like the chemical attacks he knew we could do sod all except cry and moan, because our useless governments have been to busy creating a snowflake culture decimating our armed forces at the same time.

        • Andy, it is too strong to say we don’t have a military anymore. The RN is the 2nd best in NATO, and much re-equipping has been done with much more imminent, and with some increase in frigate numbers in the near-term. The RN is a Level 2 bluewater navy, unlike Russia’s.

          • You can’t win conflicts with just a navy our army is the worst it’s been in history out of date gear only do fitness when they feel like it discipline is crap and numbers are way to low

          • I am glad you accept we have a good navy.

            Are you serving or retired Reg army or a Reserve?

            Totally agree that most kit is out of date.

            I had not heard that army fitness training is now voluntary – I am surprised and disappointed. Do you have a reference or link?

            Numbers are certainly too low – reg numbers reduced to 120,000 at end of Cold War – only reason they have been cut multiple times further since 1991 is to save money – no military justification. We should have 120,000 regulars and well over 30,000 Reserve army.

          • The Royal navy is the best in the world no one comes close.. But unfortunately not the bigest like the rest of our arm forces top quality but so little of them SAD

          • In 10 years time RN has the potential to be a true L2 Bluewater navy with teeth. Today it is not. Too many capability gaps and too many single point of failure exposures.

            CSG with no ‘strike’ capability other than Tomahawk on Astutes. Need bk4 software to facilitate the Strike on F35 and no surface launched strike capability against peers.

            RN / CSG reliant on a single dry replenishment ship

            Strong anti submarine capability is a positive but would be stronger with UK torpedoes on P8, dipping sonar and data links on Wildcat and decent bow sonar on Type32

            No anti ballistic missile defence capability.

            No effective AEW for peer operations

            A doctrine of arming ships that appears to rely on johnny foreigner to do the descent thing and only send threats against ships that those ships have a particular ability to deal with.

            Astures are outstanding but too few.

            Sea Ceptor is great but could do with some ER versions in load-out

            In the next 24-36 months there are interim solutions that could be implemented pending the 10 year plan that would be multipliers.

          • indeed Graham. Hopefully, if nothing else, the Govt will follow through on its promises to invest in the armed forces and can get its procurement sorted out. I think Type 31 is a great proof of concept project for identify its purpose, generically and functionally spec it, invite offers (with optional kit etc), contract your choice and let it deliver without constant re-thinks and amendments to scope). Get the Type 31 Procurement model rolled out to Army for armour and Artillery etc and the wastage should start to diminish.

          • Thanks Pete. I don’t see much wrong with procurement on naval equipment. Capability gaps exist but the money and the procurement process seems to work for the RN.
            Problem is with getting modern Land equipment for the army. I hear that £5bn of FRES money (probably all of it) went to CV(F) but there is much else to uncover about why land vehicles procurement has gone wrong.
            We could not deploy credible and survivable brigade(s) against a peer or near-peer opponent at present.

      • EU can’t do anything. on their own especially since the UK left. They will once again be begging for American and British troops to save the day.

        • Germany and France have openned talks with Russia to try and resolve the issue. If they are successful, it will be far more effective than our token force we are talking about sending, which my guess won’t amount to much more than a thousand troops or so. If we had a PM that wasn’t distracted trying to save themselves, we might also have been joining them talks.

          • Neither us or the US were invited. The talks in Paris are a continuation of the original talk structure of the Minsk Protocol, and is called the Normandy Four, who are France, Gernany, Russia and Ukraine. The talks are concentrating on how to make the unwilling Ukraine (due to serious and militant right wing pressure based around Azov) implement the said Protocal. The biggest pressure coming from Makron, who faces an election in April and would really like to go into it as Mr Peace.

          • What has France and Germany got to do with this dispute? They are set back a way from the area of tension. Who nominated them to speak for the whole of western Europe? The EU? Or themselves? By setting themselves up as talkers, means they don’t have to be identified as military doers – so far they have sent no kit to aid Ukraine.
            Macron is untrustworthy and the German Chanceller is new and inexperienced.
            Not going to end well.

          • Yes. Does not change my view as to the wisdom or rightness of France and Germany speaking for the whole of Western Europe.

          • They were involved back in 2014 as major countries that, along with Russia, could get Ukraine to negotiations and an agreement. No indication then they saw themselves as speaking for Europe and I’m sure that that is how they view themselves now.

          • Agreed, just not sure which is the right solution. We know NATO isn’t going to do anything serious to protect Ukraine and the UK has ruled out sending troops. Is talking and trying to find a solution more effective than sending a token force and a few anti tank missiles. I suspect talks have a better chance of success, but we will never really know as details of any deals the EU/US do with Russia will be kept secret and so never know if the talks achieved anything or not.

          • The serious talks started in Paris last week with another meeting next week. Neither we or the US are directly involved.

    • This isn’t an EU issue. It’s a European one and the U.K. is part of Europe. The EU nations by no definition hate the U.K, to suggest that is silly.

      I’ll put it in terms that will most likely resonate with you. If Russia invades Ukraine, there will be millions of people displaced and many likely will travel to the U.K.

      However, if millions of people were displaced it would be our moral obligation to help them.

      There are many more reasons why the U.K. should be involved.

      • It might be, but as we know its politicians, bless them, who actually have to sort things out. It looks now as if its all coming down to Ukraine to implement the Minsk deal from 2015, with pressure now coming on them from all sides.

  4. These are small token forces, being deployed to peripheral areas not under threat from Putin. A second batallion to Estonia, a RM Cdo batallion to the Baltic or Norway, has no relevance to the threat to Ukraine.

    It is a token political gesture only, spun to look like the smack of firm leadership.

    8 Typhoons to Cyprus is interesting but of no real consequence, given that NATO is not planning to involve itself militarily in Ukraine.

    It will be portrayed as NATO reinforcing its Eastern front, but the limited nature of the reinforcements only underlines how weak NATO Europe has become after years of defence cuts, in which the UK has been the leader.

  5. Seems a battle group (aka the northern littoral response group) is going to Norway and the Estonian British BG is to be reinforced. It’s very much not an escalation but more a doubling down on allied commitments. To be honest, with the size of army we have now, there’s not much more we can do. The key thing NATO should do is is to get many more fast jets (yes US jets) into the NATO ETO. I hope HMS POW gets a USMC F35 Sqn or it is going to be simply symbolic.

    • Ok it’s good that the marines are going to Norway if true and not to the Baltics. If things really did kick off they’re arguably the only suitable troops for helping Norway and it would be a mess if they were stuck down in Poland.

      • Evening Graham, in short it doesn’t, it’s a load of spin for the public.
        PoW can’t get close enough to offer help. She won’t go into the Baltic if the shooting starts, too constrained a body of water.
        She definitely won’t get into the Black Sea, which at best would leave her in the North Aegean!! The rough distance from Istanbul to Yalta (Crimea) is about 800 miles, so a 1600 mile round trip. F35s won’t be much use so there is very little point. It’s all style and no trousers from those in No.10. As others have posted Boza grandstanding!

        • Limited stealth CAP and battlespace awareness for Turkish, Greek or Polish strike aircraft would be the only offering but refuelling would he required.

          • Indeed. Was wondering if the USN refuelling drones intended for carrier ops could actually be pushed fwd to work from land based airfields. Smaller fuel volumes but slightly stealthy and lower risk if picked up by johnny foreigner. Can’t imagine NATO aircraft over Ukraine but can readily see F35’s working well fwd in Romanian airspace keeping an eye on things.

          • I would agree if only we had enough of them, something for the future at best at the moment, unfortunately.

          • There or off Norway I would guess. Although not entirely sure what that actually has to offer NATO! Both locations are too far removed to impact anything, and we simply don’t have the air assets to mount a meaningful response so soon after completing CSG21.
            The situation will improve over time, but that’s years not months.
            Just shows how limited our military options actually are….

          • Just looked at a map and you are right – eastern Med is too far away. So options for carriers are limited. But not so for army and RAF.

      • I think to keep shipping moving in the Black Sea, if Russia tries a blockade in the Black Sea. Ukraine is a major exporter of grain. We could see bread disappear.

        • It looks like Ukraine is passing Russia as the largest exporter of grain. It is a major source of foreign currency for them.

    • We should be able to deploy a brigade or two, if we wanted to. But don’t expect them to have modernised AFVs or artillery.

  6. this is a joke both tory and labour have betrayed our armed forces ever since the end of the second world war cut after cut i really hope our boys and girls realise their political masters dont give a fuck about them and they roll up to the gates of westminster and arrest every mp for corruption russia is not the enemy china is china would probably arm argentina with weapons tanks planes ships and everything just to spite us

    • What’s needed here is an Amoured Regiment deployed to Poland with all the Necessary support, Apache, Artillery and a Typhoon squadron.

      I would ask the US, French and Germans to deploy the same size force each, into Poland and ready to defend NATOs borders if required.

      Rolled together it would provide a NATO armoured Division, extremely capable and ready to counter attack if needed.

      Stand shoulder to shoulder with Poland who might soon find themselves on the front line of yet another European War….

      It’s time to stand nose to nose with Putin and make the ridiculous little man back down.

    • I can hear a few chickens coming home to roost and some in past positions of power glad the SHTF after they were safely out of the way. Every Naval option of FFBNW should be corrected double double quick.

      • In a global market. Everything is affected. If we let Putin even put a small step into Ukraine without consequences, then we might as well give China a green light to take Taiwan.

      • Hi Graham, I refer you to the Chinese premier’s clear statement that he wants to retake Taiwan & the massive build up of forces to do so.

          • I see no difference between our involvement in defending S Korea back in 1950 & defending Taiwan against the PRC trying to invade. We shouldn’t let the PRC dictate terms any more than Putin in Ukraine. Taiwan is a prosperous, productive, democratic nation. PRC has form swallowing up nations & for a state that decries our long past imperialism, should not be allowed to engage in neo-imperialism of its own or to subject the world to its dystopian autocratic one party order.

          • Frank, I see quite a few differences betwen the situation in 1950 and 2022. In 1950 we still had an Empire (albeit diminishing) in SE Asia and had to defend our colonies who were not far from ‘the Red menace’, the US was on anti-Communist crusade and implored the British Commonwealth to join in, and we had huge armed forces to deploy.

            It would be a bad day if China invaded and annexed Taiwan, but is not something that affects Europe. Let the RN continue to sail CSGs in and around the South China Sea (FON exercises) – that’s about all we can do to deter – unless AUKUS has any other ideas.

      • It’s not really different from how it has been for centuries. We are dependent on trade, our trade routes need to be defended, and we need to make a contribution.

        • I can see the importance of FON deployments, such as CSG21. I don’t see more than that happening for British Forces in that part of the world.

      • China is important as last week their Foreign Minister restated that they and Russia were ‘closer than allies’ and stated that they supported everything Russia was doing with the US/NATO.

        China is important to us economically, ask Rolls Royce and others, we upset them at our peril. What happens with Taiwan is not really our business and, even if we shipped everthing we could, its unlikely it would have any effect.

        • I certainly agree that China is an important nation, regionally and globally – she is likely to equal or exceed the US GDP within a few short years. We are very reliant on Chinese imports of manufactured goods.
          However, other than Freedom Of Navigation (FON) patrols with AUKUS or other allies, in the SCS, I don’t foresee our armed forces deploying operationally in that part of the world.

          • I hope so. I am sure I remember an American Admiral in the Pacific last summer commenting that he didn’t need the QE task force there, it got in his way and that it should really stay in the Atlantic where it had a real role to play. We will see.

          • I am staggered and can’t believe this could be true – do you have a reference? US was very supportive of CSG21 and committed a destroyer (USS The Sullivans) to it.

            AUKUS is all about those countries committing forces to the Indo-Pacific region to curb China amongst other things. Strong UK comittment should be welcomed by every thinking American and Australian officer.

            How could CSG21 get in his way? Was he in USPACFLT? Surely naval CSGs and US fleets can do seaspace control? The Pacific and SCS are big places – room enough for all allies.

            What role would CSG21 have in the Atlantic? Where is the threat there?

          • I was rather surprised at the time but I’m pretty sure I didn’t copy it at the time, I will look. I’m pretty sure that it was a comment by the Admiral in command of USN in the Pacific in the context of there being a carrier group sailing in his area of responsibility, on his side but not under his direct control, that might do something that he didn’t want or the reverse. I think he saw it as a NATO asset in the Atlantic, looking after the Russians.

          • He sounds very arrogant. It is not the sole preserve of the USN to ‘police’ the Pacific. AUKUS is all about UK and Australia sharing the burden with the US – perhaps this Admiral needs to learn about politics, AUKUS and working with Allies. It sounds like he is grossly over-promoted.

          • I assume its down to the USN regarding the Pacific as their ‘lake’ so to speak and that any major military assets in it should defer to them and a concern that the RN may be a bit too independent.

          • Sounds like USN Admiral King talking in WW2. He tried to freeze out the British Pacific Fleet but some subordinates came close to undermining him.

      • China shutting down its heavy industry for 6 weeks so Olympics have clean skies, is likely to make supply chain shortages worse.

    • I’ve been saying for years that the UK cupboard is so bare since Cameron, that the Top brass must be saying their prayers each night in the hope nothing serious happens in Europe.
      Putin is an adventurer as we have seen in Syria. I believe he wants to conquer Ukraine for his legacy. I hope it costs him that and a lot more.

  7. Love how the PM grandstands on the world stage!

    Which is correct, the UK can and should get involved in world affairs. Our P5 and G7 status demands it.

    But as usual, the cuts to force numbers continue! The sheer hypocricy.

    Looking at the deployment, RM and Paras makes sense as 16AA and 45 Cdo are high or higher readiness formations. And is the army even able to commit a brigade if it needed to?

    26RA, 47 RA dets I assume go to Estonia with Apache to strengthen Cabrit?

    • Hi Daniele,

      I think this is a Czechoslovakia moment ala 1938. If Putin invades and ignores the diplomacy efforts we are going to have to understand that only hard power matters and re-arm, like from 2.2% of GDP to 4+%. When Putin sends thousands of troops a British Btn or a half Sqn here and there really makes no difference. Short term, only the US has the ability to make meaningful deployments. Long term, if we get to long term, we need to basically double our defence output.

      • Indeed, 4% or more makes sense as the prime role of government is to ensure defence of the realm, and uk needs to rapidly rearm and re equip citizens with a belief in the UK.

        Alas with so many woke calls on government finances, that will be supported by social media / media lovies who actively dislike uk, and a population that contains a lot of self centred people of whom many have no ties to the uk beyond what can they financially get out of uk, we are doomed.

        That said, eu also needs to step up and realise that it should not rely on uk and us to bail them out / help them avoid defence spending

      • Evening Rob

        I agree. And where are Cameron, Osborne, Blair, Brown, and Major now?

        It’s window dressing. But at the same time I would not rush in full pelt either, it just gives Putin the excuses he looks for re NATO aggression.

        Behind the scenes contingency plans will be getting dusted off if greater deployments are needed.

        1938 Czech moment? Yes, but the political class are only interested in a bloke having or not having or knowing of a party in his garden. Real Alice in Wonderland stuff.

      • Correct and shirking Germany should be somehow brought into line. Quite disgraceful that they have enjoyed 75 years of peace and reconstruction at other peoples expense and go Awol when required. Never in human history has there been such an utterly nauseating nation.

        • Hardly 75 years of peace and reconstruction at other peoples expense. Germany spent between 4.9% to 3% of it GDP on defence between 1960 and 1983 which was about 1-2% less than the UK over that time

      • Although a huge uplift in defence spending is needed, 4% is too much at the moment. We are not yet in an existential war and we have no need to match Russian defence spending alone. It would be difficult match spending at that level with a UK defence manufacturing infrastructure that will need time to regenerate. We’d end up spending the money in the US, which will have negative political ramifications, or worse, on stupid, ill thought out vanity projects.

        A commitment to a floor of 3% for at least ten years would be enough to send shock waves to Mr Putin and throughout our NATO allies, without mass disruption to our economy. Committing to a long timescale would give our manufacturing industry the ability to invest with a sense of comfort. And if ten years from now we feel it’s still an issue, as I suspect it will be, we can increase spending further.

      • Absolutely agree, both in terms of spending and also the Czech comparison. This could be a very serious moment for Europe, and despite some modest improvements in UK defence recently we are in a ver poor state for anything other flag waving exercises.

      • The problem there is the timing.

        NATO started overall boosting defence budgets from 2014 (up by 30-40% since then but from a very low base).

        We never dropped as far as some, but Mr Blair worked the guts out of our forces, then Mr Cameron continued reductions, and that has gone on until recently when it has bottomed out somewhat.

        By comparison Finland started boosting its budget from 2005. If we had all done that then it would be OK.

        The timing is that it takes what 5-15 years to see a difference on the frontline.

        Consider that now there are a few dozen F35s in Europe, but that existing orders mean it will be 3-400 in a few years.

        It’s like that across the board, and that is Putin’s window.

    • The UK has always had a global perspective. I have always maintained that the government (Tory or Labour) has cut manpower and platform numbers once or twice a decade since the end of the Korean War, certainly for the army – no-one has challenged my claim yet!

      I agree that it makes sense to deploy the highest readiness units from the highest readiness formations (army or RM).
      I don’t see that they army is so over-committed elsewhere that they would find it hard to commit a brigade to eastern Europe, or (less likely) held back in the west of Germany (Paderborn/Sennelager hub area) – don’t expect the kit to be new or modernised though!

  8. So we’re going to base another battalion in Estonia to defend them from Russia. Meanwhile we’re basing a brigade in Germany to defend Nordstream 2 from …. The award for schmuck of the century goes to ?

  9. Tend to agree. I think Boris is being a bit of a tit here – it’s not really a major deployment. Were it sold simply as a reasonable strengthening of NATO allies in places that are potentially under threat, then fine.

    With the big drum roll and chest-beating – not really.

    Shades of Tony Blairs Tanks at Heathrow.

    Restart the naval mines production line, Sevastopol and the Kerch Strait potentially for the benefit of !

        • Ok, just read, thank you E.

          Well well, what ever changes? Britain to the fore while some in Europe sit on their hands.

          Unlike France and Germany, we are 5 eyes and probably have a far greater appreciation of what Russia is up to. We are part of the greatest SIGINT alliance the world has seen. They are not. Germany is a lower partner only.

          • I think the Chinese have the biggest Int operation at the moment and they’re not in an alliance… just saying like.

          • Yes, no doubt huge. Depends on how you measure. And I think you include IP stealing. I was thinking purely of exchanges of data, joint procedures, and scale and number of collection sites, be they FORNSAT, SIGINT, ELINT, radio, cables, internet, metadata and so on.

            Ours started with the UKUSA agreement in 1946 and has spanned continents ever since. They are playing catch up, and where are their world wide spread of collection sites? I don’t think China has a comparable network yet, if ever.

  10. Wouldn’t it make a lot of sense to be deploying a couple of CAMM batteries to the Baltics? Especially Poland is going to have a risk of spill over from a Ukrainian conflict where the Russian’s will be lobbing short-range ballistic missiles and long-range SAM’s. It can’t help export chances either with a bit of press.

    • Do they even exist yet?

      16 RA held its official Sky Sabre “inauguration” at Baker Barracks only a few days ago. And how many and how many batteries is still murky, the usual deliberate MoD smokescreen. I’ve read of 18, I think Airborne mentioned that number too?

      Apparently 16 RA remains at 4 fire batteries batteries, one of which is in the Falklands, and how many have been re equipped yet, who knows?

      Deploying even 2 batteries removes 50% of the regiments strength, which is meant for the field armies Armoured Brigades.

      Of course, there was once 22RA alongside 16RA. And 12 and 47 RA too. But cuts removed 22 ( Labour I recall ) and 47 now flies Watchkeepers. ( A 2010 onwards cut I think )

      The TAs 3 AD Regs were cut to 1 long ago.

      SHORAD cut to ribbons and MRAD for the most part non existent. They did not need them fighting in the Middle East.

      Well done HMG.

        • Hi DF.

          Sorry, was I going off on one. Admittedly keeping up with the cuts is hard and if you we’re not aware then yes, impossible to see what I was rambling on about.

          Present:

          7 Air Defence Group:

          Consisting of –

          16 Reg RA ( Rapier FSC Sky Sabre )
          4 Batteries plus HQ Battery.

          Supports the 3 Armoured Brigades ( soon 2 ) in the field and 1 battery in Falklands on roulement. It is not meant for AD of the UK and if deployed alone to the Baltics as you suggested leaves the field army bare of all but SHORAD cover.

          12 Reg RA ( Starstreak HVM )
          4 Batteries plus HQ Battery.

          Supports 16AA Brigade ( Light role ), plus 3 batteries for our 3 Armoured brigades mounted on Stormer vehicles.

          49 Battery RA ( LEAPP battery )
          This provides situational awareness, LEAPP means Land Environment Air Picture Provision. Unit has radar systems.

          The Army reserve provide reinforcements to the above through 106 (Y) Reg. (R)
          This reg has Starstreak and Rapier but I don’t believe it is self deployable.

          Previously, there were 2 regular Rapier Regiments,
          2 regular Starstreak Regiments, and a further 3 TA Starstreak regiments.
          7 regiments in total. Cut to 3.

          Hope this helps make it clearer.

          • Thanks that’s actually hugely appreciated. Again, apologies if this is a stupid question but if we’re getting 18 batteries of Sky Sabre, where do the others go to considering 16 Reg RA has only 5 batteries? Or it’s 18 sets to fill those batteries? If so how many launch vehicles and ready missiles would a battery usually have? E.g is it just one radar vehicle, one control vehicle and one launcher vehicle or there would be multiple launchers to a single battery?

          • I have heard from other posters it “may” be only 18 launchers. Not 18 Batteries!

            On “Systems” that is launcher, radar, I’m unsure. It might be as few as 4 if the 18 is correct as then you’d have 16 in use and 2 spares for training at Larkhill with 14RA.

            Hopefully it is more.

    • The equation is NATO wide – the US has Patriot batteries in the Baltics, and there are already British and French tanks in the MNB in Estonia, as well as a Canadian-led MNB in Lithuania with armour. 16X can rapidly redeploy to Poland or elswhere as needed. It will take a while to get Sky Sabre or Challenger rgts. to threatre entry standard anyway.16X is the normal vanguard deployment – right now time is of the essence, I’m sure other capabilities can rotate in due course. There is not time to wait for weeks for a deployment – signalling is needed now to deter Putin and support and encourage other NATO allies.

      • Neither of which are going to be operational during the period of this crisis, unless I’ve read things incorrectly. I think my point still stands that the greatest security risk to NATO countries is an errant missile from a war over Ukraine ignoring a border. That could mean a ballistic missile hitting a Polish city or more plausibly a civilian airliner getting shot down like the last time Russia invaded Ukraine.

  11. There’s no reason to panic. The disciples asked Jesus an interesting question: “Tell us, when shall these things be? and what shall be the sign when all these things shall begin to be fulfilled?” (Mark 13:4, Douay-Rheims 1899 American Edition) He answered: “You will hear of wars and rumors of wars. Don’t be alarmed. These things must happen, but it is not yet the fulfillment [of the sign].” (Matthew 24:6) The global nuclear war, (this will be the fulfillment of the sign of Jesus), will start with an ethnic conflict: “For nation will rise against nation”, like as in 2008 in Georgia. (Matthew 24:7) In the Book of Daniel we read: “At the appointed time [the king of the north] will return back [it also means the break-up of the EU and NATO. Many countries of the former Eastern block will return to a military alliance with Russia], and will enter into the south [this will be the beginning of the WW3], but it will not be as the former [Georgia – 2008] or as the latter [Ukraine], for the dwellers of coastlands of Kittim [the distant West] will come against him, and (he) will broke down [mentally], and will go back.” (11:29, 30a) This will be a mutual slaughter. A mighty sword will also be used. (Revelation 6:4) Jesus characterized him in this way: “A frightening things both and extraordinary (related to unusual phenomena) from sky powerful will be.” For that reason there will be significant tremors along the length and breadth of the regions [of strategic importance] and famines, and pestilences. Some ancient manuscripts contain the words “and frosts”. The Aramaic Peshitta: “and will be great frosts”. We call this today “nuclear winter”. (Luke 21:11) In Mark 13:8 there are also words of Jesus: “and disorders” (in the sense of confusion and chaos). The Aramaic Peshitta: “and confusion” (on the state of public order). This detailed sign fits only to one war. Jesus stated: “All these are but the beginning of the birth pains.” (Matthew 24:8) But is there any point in speeding it all up?

  12. This is all smoke-and-mirrors shenanigans to take the spotlight off Boris’s shabby and careless style of habitation at No 10. The whole idea, even suggestion, of POW deployment to somehow bolster Eastern European borders is plain grandstanding.
    A pantomime of a navalized version of the Earl of Cardigan at Balaclava.

    • Yes, I read he was leaving STRAP material lying around the flat where his missus journo friends might see it!
      🙄

    • M wrote:

      This is all smoke-and-mirrors shenanigans to take the spotlight off Boris’s shabby and careless style of habitation at No 10

      It could be, or it could be the Uk taking up the mantle of leadership in a somewhat rudderless Europe where when clear and concise leadership is needed the EU, France and Germany have just stood about twiddling their thumbs whilst waiting to see which way the wind blows. The interesting thing to take away from this is after years of demonising the Uk to the little people, the likes of the EU, France and Germany have been not only been proven wrong, but lacking. (Unless of course you’re an Algerian bloke who likes to dress up as a Policeman and whose French lover married a grannie in which to hide his penchant for truncheon meat) 

      • As to your 1st point, Bluffer is deflecting and needs to be hoisted on a petard, which ship has the highest in the fleet?

        QEC you say? Based at Portsmouth, you say? Hang the bluffing git from that for the dishonour he did to HMQEll, you say?

        I agree, string him up and let the birds peck and eat him to their fill; that charlatan is a disgrace and defiles the names of… ahem… some…. some!! good Conservative MPs.

        The rest of your post is EU bashing and apologising for Bluffer.

        Q. Will the Queen see the FULL report?

  13. If you look at the body langue of the PM’s Briefing from the Joint heads of the military (now showing in the news and in the paper) they is not happy chappy’s as they have just told him “what can we do after all these years of cut backs” but like all British service personnel they will do the best with what what they have.

    Due to our forces having been gutted over the last 20 odd years we are going to have to look to our Nato partners to take up a lot more of the slack if things do go pea-tong.
    Germany for one is going to be on a steep learning curve and will find itself front and centre whether it likes it or not, which I believe Mr Putin has been planning for some time seeing the folly’s of our defensive miscalculations some of which he has had a hand in.

    I can however see a bit of sense in just sending in 45Cdo and the Paras as we are supposedly just reinforcing our Northern and Eastern flanks and it will take some time to mobilise an armoured response group then deploy them to mainland Europe. I was under the impression though that 45Cdo was already in Norway for winter training. But it might also be prudent to get some extra AA put in place to give the guys on the ground a bit of a heads up when/if it kicks off.

  14. Hi all, first time contributing. I was wondering if it is to late to reverse in part, some of the cuts that have been recently announced. Maybe instead of reducing the army manpower from 82k to 73k, stop the reduction at 75k (I’m not sure how far the reductions have progressed)? Or return the E7 to an order of 5 instead of the current 3, return the Challenger 3 order to 228, and so on. You would do all these actions at once, you would announce them one at a time, over a period of weeks or months. It just seems an affordable way or another option to show intent and apply pressure to Russia.

    • Hi GMD

      On the 82K to 73K, people often forget we are already well below the 82K, not far off 75,000 I recall? The cut in actual people is slim, it is the establishment posts figure dropping, which will impact units and their component companies/squadrons/batteries.

      On the Tanks, they would have to change the stated plans for the KRH, as they are due to become Ajax regiment as armoured regiments reduce from 3 to 2. 228 Tanks is too many for just 2 Regiments unless they equip the RWY, Royal Wessex Yeomanry, who are the reserve regiment, fully. That in turn, would effect the “Future Soldier” cobblers which shows just 2 armoured brigade combat teams.

      I personally am fine with the number, as long as the Royal Artillery get a much needed boost.

      Wider kit wise, I’d have all sorts back. Sentinel for starters! And most of all, stop the utter lunacy of getting rid of the Hercules.

      • The bloke who tweets is an Iranian (not loved by the Mullahs) he’s an aircraft expert and writes for the papers and defence mags, so I suppose his grasp of English (whilst better than my Farsi) does need a little work when it comes to being eloquent. But did you watch the vid.?

  15. It’s interesting how successive British Governments have made the same mistakes with defence as they did in the 30’s. History books tell a story that can’t be ignored, and I feel that our politicians have once again walked into another dangerous situation with the utmost naivety.
    Who remembers those Phillip Hammond comments about our armed forces when he was that inspirational (or not) Defence Secretary.

    • Funny how Johnson likens himself to Chruchill- well apart from actually doing anything worthwhile of course- between him and Cameron they’ve done a great job,over the last 15 years absolute pair of jokers.

  16. I’m amazed nobody else has commented on the B2 River being sent to a hot zone.

    T45 I can understand.

    T23 I could well understand as they are a complimentary pairing.

    B2 with a 30mm cannon: why?

    • Agree. B2 on current configuration is a joke for this scenario. No ability to defend itself from anything incoming. ….even if stray. 57mm and 40mm minimum fit out even for simply an observation role.

    • And answer is political crap over number of warships sent. If anything happens to those crews then those that made the decision to send them (political or military) would be guilty of Gross Negligence. Proceeding with an unnecessary decision without regard to the known and probable risks faced.

    • It might be a good thing to accelerate the 24 x CAMM upgrade onto 1-2 or all the T45s even prior to the full Camm/Aster NG upgrade?
      Hope HMS Diamond has its Harpoons on board just in case might be needed. If things get worse the RN might need to purchase some latest batch Harpoons from the US (?) that can hopefully slot in easily to offer AShM and LA ability. And any time for a quick 40mm up-gunning of a couple of R2s too?
      Lets hope conflict doesn’t come for all sides sake but if it does that we’re as ready as we can be to stand up to bullies and provocateurs threatening regional and world peace.

    • Looks to me as though they are putting out a bit of battleship grey cheese hoping that the Russian rat take’s a chunk so that we can cry foul. I just feel sorry for the guys on the piece of cheese, and let up hope the T45 dose not have a power loss or the Russian Rat will have two piece’s of battleship grey cheese .

  17. I don’t see this as terrible. They troops mentioned are very adaptable and I imagine will get to grips with the areas they are in, Integrate with local forces and use there skill sets to put best defences in place.
    This is not about going to war in Ukraine. It’s to show that Russia can go no further. NATO country is the redline.
    Do we not already have heavy armor in a Baltic country or was that just temporary?
    I’m not sure the ships to the Black Sea is a great idea or what they bring to the party. A bit risky if a shooting war does start with Ukraine and we are sitting that out. Send type 45 to the med and make sure more ships are ready to deploy quickly. The river can go to the Black Sea. Hopefully with containers full of intelligence grabbing equipment. Submersible spies, drones, 100s of spy cameras to drop all over the place, James Bond kind of stuff.

  18. Cue all the usual rants that the U.K. isn’t equipped to fight Russia on its own…

    a) we aren’t going to fight Russia, unless Russian forces spill over the border into a NATO member (Ukraine is NOT a member)

    b) in the event of (a) we won’t be on our own, we’d be with the largest and most powerful military alliance in history

    🤷🏻‍♂️

  19. In these situations lies and misinformation are order of the day and some of the things said and written are really Alice in Wonderland stuff! So I would ask Putin one question and bully him into giving an answer that makes any sense-why is he massing huge numbers of troops and hardware along the entire length of their common border with Ukraine?
    My second question for Boris-no matter how you rate the quality and training, how can you possibly justify the tiny number-70 odd thousand as the size of our standing army given we are very much a top ten country with top ten responsibilities? I remember as a school boy in Rhodesia as things were getting edgy between the UK and her wayward Colony-during a discussion in our class around the possibility of the Brits sending troops to Rhodesia and the odds of who would win(!) the son of a serving officer in the Rhodesian Army stood up and said that the British Army was being reduced in size to just 185 000!! That was in 1963. It is now way smaller than half that size

    • May I answer on behalf of Mr Putin? The 100,000 troops currently within 100-150 miles of the eastern Ukrainian border are pretty much what is there all the time. There are exercises running much of the time which means that they move around. The Ukrainian military have confirmed this last week, saying that the don#t like it but there is nothing they can do about Russians moving units here and there.

      It is different on the norther border as that is a border with Belarus. Here there is a major exercise underway with the movement of around 10,000 troops with their equipment from the Pacific. This exercise is done every few years but is larger than normal this year.

      On behalf of Boris ‘It is all that that Parliament will vote money for given other more pressing demands on the public purse’.

  20. The news is reporting that we are looking to double our forces in eastern Europe, which would mean a deployment of around 900 troops. That low a number is purely a PR stunt by our government aimed at UK newspapers and nothing to do with providing any form of reassurances to our allies.

    If we were serious about providing reassurances, we would be at least sending a few thousand.

  21. Major deployment? “ a tale. Told by an idiot, full of sound and fury,Signifying nothing.”I just finished watching the chilling Chernobyl dvds. Ukraine will not easily return to being governed from Moscow.
    Apparently Gorbachev said after leaving office that Chernobyl was perhaps the real reason for the collapse of the Soviet Union.

  22. It could also be interpreted as this : Embattled British prime minister deploying armed forces to crisis point in order to look tough on world stage and deflect from current difficulties.

    However, much like a near bankrupt in a high stakes poker game, the pot is virtually empty and lacks quantity. This is not to denigrate the professionalism or competence of the personnel being sent, but it is precious few. It reminds me of the quantity of infantry that were sent to Helmand. – about 500 or so, they were expected to carry out security operations in an area the size of Wales. The armed forces are smaller now than they were then…. This time they are being deployed against a technically competent , skilled and numerous protagonist.

    At the same time, Hercules being phased out, ditto T1 Typhoons , not enough helicopters. Ajax, Warrior, Boxer vehicles in a mess, obsolete or not yet available , artillery outdated. Not enough mass. Once again, lions being led by donkeys.

    So yeah, politicians 🙄….

    • We didn’t have enough helicopters for Afghanistan we got merlins destined for Denmark, which required quite a lot of work to bring them to UK spec and things haven’t got any better since, hopefully the medium helicopter replacement will deliver a decent number of cabs.

  23. The suggested UK deployment to ‘Europe’, is merely a ‘tool’, the purpose of which is to cajole other European NATO members, into stepping up their ‘defensive posturing’, to support the Ukraine.

    I do not believe the Russians will be bothered by any suggested British presence, however it should kick NATO members in the ‘slats’ and help present a UNITED NATO front to a possible antagonist.

    • UK has already deployed troops to eastern Europe – just looking at deploying a few more. It won’t change anything, as you say.
      Putin is achieving all he set out to achieve. Then one day he will recall his troops and be hailed as a peace-maker.

  24. Why is it always us ready to defend europe, they have 27 odd coubtries most with the abilty to help, and nearer than we are, .
    will these euro mates/friends/ sent help to defend us in the near future if we are attacted, just asking..

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