The Chancellor has set a target date of 2030 for defence spending to reach three per cent of gross domestic product, and will set out at next year’s spending review how Britain meets its NATO commitment of three and a half per cent by 2035, according to the Budget statement.

John Healey, who held the defence portfolio before moving to the Treasury, told the Commons: “At the spending review next year, I confirm that I will set out the details of how we will meet our NATO commitment to spend 3.5% of GDP on defence by 2035, with a target date for 3% in 2030.”

On how it will be paid for, he said: “Today, I am getting work underway to get there in a fiscally sustainable way, that will include looking hard at public spending, as I have done today, to fund the defence investment plan. But I am also determined to use more innovative financing alongside the private sector and our international allies.”

A new innovative defence finance task force will lead the work ahead of the spending review, the first of four measures announced. Treaty negotiations will begin on a multilateral defence mechanism, which Healey also called a bank, with Finland, Poland and the Netherlands, intended to boost defence investment and joint procurement across NATO allies. The government will seek the maximum private investment into the defence industrial base, including through public-private partnerships. And the National Wealth Fund and the British Business Bank will launch a new focus on defence, dual-use technology and sovereign capability, deploying up to £5 billion of investment and lending over the next four years.

Healey said: “I will ensure this record defence investment works twice: once for our national security, and once for British jobs and British business. Places across all four nations: Barrow, Rosyth, Aldershot, Plymouth, Glascoed, and Belfast, reindustrialised and transformed.”

On Ukraine, the Chancellor said he and the Prime Minister had called President Zelensky that morning to tell him what the Budget contained, and that the response was “you’ve made my day”. The package is £10 billion of additional economic and military support based on loans and export finance guarantees, together with urgent military funding for this winter.

Healey said: “The whole house, the whole country, is united for Ukraine, and today we send a clear message to Moscow: Britain will stand with Ukraine for as long as it takes.”

The Chancellor made the case personally, drawing on his own family: “I say this as Chancellor. I say this as former Defence Secretary. And I say this as a dad whose son is an army reservist, a reservist that came back four years ago from early training to say they had no kit and they had no bullets to fire. That’s the truth.”

He said that for fourteen years Conservative governments had hollowed out and underfunded the armed forces, and that the defence budget this year is £14 billion higher than in the final year of the last government, which he described as the biggest increase in defence spending since the end of the Cold War.

Britain signed up at the NATO summit in The Hague to three and a half per cent of gross domestic product on core defence by 2035, with a further one and a half per cent on defence-related resilience and infrastructure making up the alliance’s headline five per cent. Ministers had previously described three per cent as an ambition for the next Parliament, and attaching a target date of 2030 to it is firmer than the language used before.

Industry witnesses told the Defence Committee this month that the Defence Investment Plan is not investable as it stands, that most defence technology firms report a declining market, and that the department’s small business office has four staff. The finance task force and the £5 billion through the National Wealth Fund and British Business Bank are the Treasury’s answer to that.

George Allison
George Allison is the founder and editor of the UK Defence Journal. He holds a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and specialises in naval and cyber security topics. George has appeared on national radio and television to provide commentary on defence and security issues. Twitter: @geoallison

24 COMMENTS

      • Unfortunately we need at least 5% plan (or router as he calls it).

        If he provided that then the MOD could begin the build of long term items in confidence now.

        There is no sense of urgency. We need to bear a larger burden of the defence cost in Europe and set an example for other Countries.

        Currently the US is spending what 3.1%.

        Needed 3.5% jumping to 5% by 2030.

        And we need to make some tough decisions of how to pay for it.

        • No Treasury budget in history has ever set out detailed defence spending plans, that’s not the chancellors job and it’s not for the budget. It’s for the department spending plans 🤦‍♂️

        • This is the budget.. the chancellor just sets out the amount of money.. not how it’s going to be spent.. no budget in history has ever set out what defence spends its budget on.

      • Jim reaching 3% in 2030 when earlier this week Wes Streeting said “Russia and other hostile states could pose a greater threat by 2030, stressing that the UK must be prepared to defend itself if necessary” is rather too late I think we can agree. Forget any political allegiance and you can see the same old hypocrisy and lies, which ultimately endangers our service personnel and the entire country.
        They have every intention of putting it in their next manifesto but not delivering it in this parliament because they can’t make the cuts elsewhere without a huge rebellion that they don’t want to face.

        • Yes but 3% by 3% is what everyone in the mainstream called for.. it’s what he resigned for when he was defence secretary.

    • That’s not a cop out, he specifically said 3% by 2030 and 3.5% by 2035.. exactly what he resigned over.

      Some people are in danger of saying this shit stinks even when presented with good earth.

  1. Nice to see a politicans not only resign over funding but then come back and do exactly what he said. 3% of GDP by 2030 is exactly what’s required. Rishi Sunak was pledging to get to 2.5% of GDP by 2030. This is nearly £15 billion per annum more than what the last government was pledging to do.

    We are now the exact course to reach 3.5% of GDP by 2035 which hopefully won’t be needed if Russia fails.

    Great to see more going to Ukraine as well.

    🇬🇧🫡

    I salute you Mr Healey

    • we will see devil is in detail ‘BY’ 2030 does not mean any more cash or kit this year/next year or the one after! he onlt has to do something IF Labour stay in power and win next election.
      so as said cop out does give the forces anything tangible.

      • Unfortunately military kits can’t be bought a Tesco, no matter how much money John Healey announces today your not seeing any new equipment for years and most of this funding is to retain existing equipment.

    • Except they will backload it till the last moment and then fail to comply blaming something that they had no control over

    • He’s not done what he said he would do, as Kemi quite explicitly detailed.

      They haven’t detailed how they are going to get there, i.e. what’s going to be cut, just said we’ll do it, which is exactly where we were last year.

      No one really believes them, given that the parliamentary labour party voted down the most tame benefit cuts last year. This needs £11bn, several times more than they rebelled against and which almost toppled Starmer at the time.

  2. Meaning we’ll see how much extra stuff they can move across into the MoD budget to tick the box whilst doing nothing

  3. For someone who resign on principle knowing there is insufficient money being spent on defence he should be ashamed. No principles at all and my trust in Healy has evaporated. In my entire 44 year career at sea in the RFA and RN all I ever saw was cuts and lack of investment from Labour, Conservative and The Liberals whilst in government I hope they are first to volunteer should this county have to defend itself! More likely they will be the first to put up the white flags!!

  4. Healey’s budget speech on defence was as expected. He will fund the DIP ( £4.8b gap I think) and formally stated in parliament the govt commitment to 3.5% by 2035 with a waypoint of 3% by 2030 with stages to be laid out in 2027 spending review. Be interested to know what equipment the UK, Finland and Poland are considering buying in common.

  5. It’s funny, people asked for 3% by 2030 and he said that’s what will happen…

    All of a sudden that’s somehow bad news… honestly I think some people only want to see the shite on the path and not the whole path itself.

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