Defence Secretary Ben Wallace delivered a keynote address at the 20th IISS Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, focusing on ‘Building a stable and balanced Asia-Pacific.’

He emphasised the importance of upholding international rules, promoting free trade, and fostering partnerships in the Indo-Pacific region. Wallace highlighted the United Kingdom’s commitment to the area and addressed the challenges posed by China’s rise.

Wallace began by expressing gratitude to the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) for hosting the dialogue and noted the shared history and values between the UK and Singapore. He acknowledged the changes that have taken place since the last UK Defence Secretary spoke at the event, including the COVID-19 pandemic and the United Kingdom’s increased focus on the Indo-Pacific.

โ€œWe believe this region offers enormous economic opportunity for all,” said Wallace. โ€œIt’s why European companies and countries are looking east, and why the United Kingdom Government considers our interests to lie as much here as they do in Europe,” he added. โ€œIn 2022 our total exports to the Indo-Pacific amounted to ยฃ127 billion โ€“ a remarkable increase of 22 per cent on the previous year,” Wallace highlighted.

While recognising the opportunities presented by China’s rise, Wallace also addressed the challenges associated with it. โ€œWe are all now navigating the consequences of Chinaโ€™s rise โ€“ both those opportunities and those challenges,” he said. โ€œBe they climate change, energy and food security, economic stagnation, tech regulation, nuclear proliferation,” Wallace noted. However, he also acknowledged challenges arising from China’s actions, including โ€œillegal fishing, tensions in territorial waters, sovereignty disputes, and debt diplomacy.”

Wallace emphasised the importance of upholding international rules and promoting common standards to maintain balance and stability in the Indo-Pacific. โ€œWhy rules? Because the ‘balance and stability’ we are talking about today is ultimately based on adherence to shared rules,” he stated. He cited the invasion of Ukraine by Russia as an example of the tragic consequences when leaders disregard international rules. โ€œBecause rules are agnostic of nationsโ€™ military or economic power. They are common to all our needs,” Wallace highlighted.

Regarding free trade, Wallace stressed the significance of backing it to reduce overdependence and build resilience. โ€œThe more we open up competition, the more we reduce overdependence and build resilience,” he stated. โ€œWe believe the best resilience comes from diversification, not from protectionism,” Wallace emphasised. He highlighted the UK’s efforts to diversify supply chains and its trade agreements with countries such as Japan, Australia, and Canada.

In terms of partnerships, Wallace underscored their importance in maintaining stability. He emphasised the role of defence forces in supporting soft power initiatives. โ€œThe skills and capability of our Armed Forces are there to help friends when theyโ€™re in trouble,” he said. Wallace acknowledged the collaborative efforts of countries, such as Australia, New Zealand, and Canada, in supporting stability, particularly in Ukraine.

The Defence Secretary concluded by emphasising the UK’s increased engagement in the Indo-Pacific and the importance of long-term partnerships. โ€œThe UK is becoming more proactive and more persistently engaged in the Indo-Pacific,” he said. He highlighted naval deployments, defence agreements, and partnerships with regional countries as examples of the UK’s commitment. Wallace stressed the significance of partnerships in sustaining capabilities and strengthening supply chain resilience.

โ€œBuilding the best possible future for all our people,” Wallace concluded.

You can read more by clicking here.

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George has a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and has a keen interest in naval and cyber security matters and has appeared on national radio and television to discuss current events. George is on Twitter at @geoallison
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maurice10
maurice10 (@guest_729061)
11 months ago

A third carrier would be a wise investment and stationed in this theater to ensure a worthy contribution in an area of growing tension. Another QE Class would be too expensive but something on the lines of the Invincible Class should allow for a permanent detachment of F35 plus a rotary wing.

Tom
Tom (@guest_729063)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

I couldn’t agree more however, the likelihood of this happening… 0.00

Andrew D
Andrew D (@guest_729064)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Invincible type vessel would fit the the bill ,but has Tom says 0 chance of that happing ๐Ÿ™„ sadly.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke (@guest_729090)
11 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

No it wouldnโ€™t.

Invincibles weee too small for F35B.

You would need two so one was in service at any one time.

We can only just about afford what we have. Which is the 2nd best carrier fleet in the world.

A third will never get built. Better off cooperating with the French and having two carriers available most of the time.

Better things to spend money on.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli (@guest_729106)
11 months ago

Exactly.

Andrew D
Andrew D (@guest_729252)
11 months ago

Take alook at the Japanese carrier a displacement of around 19.500 tons sure there have plans for F35 .And has a fair airwing as now but no doubt be smaller with F35 ๐Ÿ‘

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke (@guest_729259)
11 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

A question of needs must. They have it and it will do for retaking small island by supporting amphibious forces.

Japan doesnโ€™t have budget for QECโ€™s.

Everyone always ask why they have a bigger surface fleet – no QEC, no SSN and no SSBNโ€ฆalso a lot of their fleet is really quite old.

Jim
Jim (@guest_729283)
11 months ago

Agree, we could have a massive fleet if we kept all the T21, T22 and T23 as well as the upholder class SSK in service and sailed round the North Sea.

Most of those ships are still sailing with other navyโ€™s today.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke (@guest_729286)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

T21 was retired due to the inability to upgrade it and its lack of BDR.

T22 was retired because the machinery was ancient. Once the Invincibles [flagships] were cut the costs of the support for the Olympus GTโ€™s would have eye watering. Also most of the machinery was similar to T42. So the economy of scale disappeared.

T23 will quietly disintegrate due to tin wormโ€ฆ.

Iโ€™m sure they are sailing but at what level of readiness?

Angus
Angus (@guest_729305)
11 months ago

Actually the later T22’s had Spey’s same as the T23 so that was not a consideration it was the larger crew that got them killed off and being only 4 of them with the T23’s being the better ASW hunter. The T22’s could have gone on for some time but in the end they had to go a great loss to the Fleet.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke (@guest_729309)
11 months ago
Reply to  Angus

Sorry got my GTโ€™s mixed up. You are right they were Speys.

Most of the rest of the T22 plant looked more than similar to T42 or Invincible so the basic point stands.

Andrew D
Andrew D (@guest_729312)
11 months ago
Reply to  Angus

Last batch of T22s fine ship’s

WSM
WSM (@guest_729330)
11 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

Heartily concur Shipmate – very well armed and packed with sensors

Andrew D
Andrew D (@guest_729353)
11 months ago
Reply to  WSM

Spot on ๐Ÿ‘

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729440)
11 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

Always thought they were one of our great successes, the Argentinians certainly didnโ€™t like them.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729439)
11 months ago

We already know Westminster is in a very poor state and though it was reinstated Iron Duke was said to be borderline reparable so may not have been at this stage. The older ones are certainly struggling. Interestingly I always thought T-22 looked like the naval equivalent of a concrete bunker a real hard nut of a ship. Wonder how long they will go on.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke (@guest_729466)
10 months ago
Reply to  Spyinthesky

T22 was constructed to a much higher standard than T23.

In the initial design of T23 – every expense was spared.

Thank John Nott for that nonsense.

The โ€˜we must be able to build cheaper warships somehowโ€™ burble has been destroying RN for years.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729423)
11 months ago

They have on casino hinted at eventually obtaining bigger carriers, something perhaps nearer to America size but politically itโ€™s a tough job getting it through. As it is they have had to be very careful about giving their existing โ€˜aviation destroyersโ€™ or whatever they called them offensive strike capability. Itโ€™s going to be small steps. The ideal would be they and South Korea building 2 each of a similar design to keep costs down but RSK has seemed to have rejected their plans to build such carriers probably rightly feeling they would have little role in defence against the North.… Read more ยป

david anthony simpson
david anthony simpson (@guest_729434)
11 months ago

Spot on

Mark B
Mark B (@guest_729379)
11 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

If (big if) you are building another carrier or three you should always base on an existing modern design which works. The QE design fits that to a tee especially now we have eliminated some of the teething problems. Never go backwards.

Meirion X
Meirion X (@guest_729088)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

In that case we would need to ask for the use of Diego Garcia again.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli (@guest_729109)
11 months ago
Reply to  Meirion X

Again? We have use of it. A RN Party is stationed there.

Jim
Jim (@guest_729117)
11 months ago

Yes joint base Diego Garcia as itโ€™s known.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli (@guest_729121)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

PJOB mate. “Permanent Joint Operating Base” unless they’ve changed the jargon yet again. Falls under PJHQ, part of Strategic Command. Two of the sites in Cyprus, and Ascension, Gib, MPA in Falklands are the others. Gold plated assets of ours that extend our reach that we must never relinquish. Though our behaviour in deporting the islanders was outrageous and then we leased the place to the US. They have prepositioned equipment, an airbase, and there are USN space surveillance ground stations and no doubt NSA/GCHQ bits and pieces there too. Unsure but possibly some GPS bits too, certainly are in… Read more ยป

Jim
Jim (@guest_729129)
11 months ago

Yes, treatment of the islanders was a real stain on Britainโ€™s reputation. Recent moves have tried to rectify the position by offering British citizenship. However I agree we canโ€™t ever hand it over to Mauritius. It will be a Chinese naval base in 5 minutes along with open season on all the sea life in the marine park.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729442)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

Well the island(s) are being handed back the US in recent weeks expressed its anger but one presumes a permanent base agreement will be arranged but still hardly prevents being spied upon. In all honesty should never have been given to Mauritius, no where near it or had previous links, but hey we werenโ€™t interested in being east of Suez back then till the Americans took an interest and it could hardly exist by itself so seemed sensible I guess in a non military debate. Very short sighted mind.

Jonathan
Jonathan (@guest_729146)
11 months ago

I never did understand why exactly the poor islanders could not just have stayed on the island.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli (@guest_729198)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

I’d not given that much thought to be honest, wonder why? The Americans wanted everybody out, so we complied.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729445)
11 months ago

Indeed for an โ€˜anti Imperialistโ€™ Nation they sure are black and white on such matters when it suits them and then just concentrate on how disguising it, we were the useful patsy back then and get all the grief. Not dissimilar thinking about it to certain events in the 1770s actually that caused similar โ€˜disagreementsโ€™ on the rights of indigenous peoples, so shouldnโ€™t really be surprised I guess.

Ron
Ron (@guest_729206)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Don’t remember all the details, but it had something to do with the lend lease agreement during the early part of WW2, (just the first 2.5 years of the conflict). I think the US under that agreement took control of some UK overseas asets such as BIOT for 99 years. If you want I will see if I can dig through some details.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729447)
11 months ago
Reply to  Ron

Aah yes you are right, it was an offer we just couldnโ€™t refuse back then wasnโ€™t it. A bit like giving them free access to all our technology too and giving up ownership of around a third of US Business we owned from pre war, so much of all that fed into their post war boom that made America great. Letโ€™s hope they donโ€™t expect a similar process to make them Great again eh or we will be asking the islanders to help us.

Challenger
Challenger (@guest_729174)
11 months ago

I’ve never really understood why the Chagos islanders couldn’t be permitted to return to live on the other BIOT islands aside from Diego Garcia itself, or even allowed there if they wanted employment at the installations. I get American security concerns but excluding them from the entire territory seems like real overkill and you’d think tight border control and vetting would allay most of their worries. The Mauritian claim is ludicrous given it’s hundreds of miles away and was governed via Mauritius up until the 60’s purely out of bureaucratic simplicity! Along with Gib, the SBA’s in Cyprus and Ascension… Read more ยป

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli (@guest_729199)
11 months ago
Reply to  Challenger

Definitely.

Jim
Jim (@guest_729284)
11 months ago
Reply to  Challenger

My understanding is that there is only one inhabitable island. Fresh water will be the major sticking point. Realistically the island was probably not that viable long term as well, look at the Pitcairn Islands and all the problems there. We evacuated St Kilda for much the same reason and thatโ€™s a British island.

The real disgrace was not making the people British citizens and dropping them in the Seychelles and Mauritius with zero consultation.

But we have a chance to make things right.

Mark B
Mark B (@guest_729381)
11 months ago
Reply to  Challenger

My understanding is we paid Mauritius a sizable sum to give the islanders a new home.

Tom
Tom (@guest_729142)
11 months ago

Quite correct DM. Diego Garcia is a British Indian Ocean Territory.

John Stevens
John Stevens (@guest_729099)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Better to spend a few billions extra on other military needs, me thinks. Having two large carriers is still impressive.

John Stevens
John Stevens (@guest_729100)
11 months ago
Reply to  John Stevens

I still think it would of been better for the French to go for two carriers not one.

Jim
Jim (@guest_729130)
11 months ago
Reply to  John Stevens

Yes but they have no budget for it.

Esteban
Esteban (@guest_729177)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

Neither does the UK. The evidence is everywhere.

Jim
Jim (@guest_729285)
11 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

What country are your from again, seems to change every week.

Jonno
Jonno (@guest_729399)
11 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

Partially so. We should never have stopped building warships, Frigates and SSN’s during the early 2000’s that’s the main reason for the gap.
I do agree we are being slow in filling the carriers with planes. Much due to the F35 development being well behind schedule meaning we sensibly waited for later more capable marks to appear. Defence budget needs to be 3% GDP. QEC cheap at the price. I’ll bet the French Carrier costs 3x as much.

david anthony simpson
david anthony simpson (@guest_729436)
11 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

Thats rubbish –

Airborne
Airborne (@guest_730835)
10 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

Yaaaawn, do dry your eyes little sad one.

JohnG
JohnG (@guest_729105)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Appreciate this is a repeat, but new members may not be aware. Two ocean type ships would be jolly useful, although originally this seemed impossible, we very nearly had two “commando carriers” from Gavin w. Can’t remember the progress of these to date, some fudging with a hospital ship perhaps? Also I appreciate the critically low amounts of helicopters we currently have.

Jim
Jim (@guest_729119)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Any carrier based in or near the South China Sea would be likely to be sunk in the first few minutes of a shooting war with China. Better to keep the carriers west of Suez and deploy to the far east if required in a secondary back up operation along with the US 5th and 6th fleet and European partners. It can then head to the Indian Ocean and blockage China while. Something the size of an Invincible will be little use on its own and almost no help for anything more than ASW work as part of a task… Read more ยป

maurice10
maurice10 (@guest_729159)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

The premise that once a conflict with China begins we immediately lose our key assets, does have a president in Prince Of Wales and Repulse but technology has made huge strides since WW2. Survivability is now key and no capital vessel would be exposed as the afm. A more compact aircraft carrier stationed in the Far East would prove to be key in demonstrating the projection of naval power, and a reminder to China that combined international effort can be a real deterrent. This third platform in combination with allied navies in the region would allow for fast jet interdiction… Read more ยป

geoff
geoff (@guest_729190)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Hi Maurice. We lost PoW and Repulse because they had zero air cover after the Carrier due to accompany them ran aground before deploying.
Also as to the expulsion of the residents of the BIOT, security concerns may have played a part but there were also concerns about how the resident population might have posed a challenge to British sovereignty in the future. Similar reasoning I would think for the prohibition of permanent residents on Ascension.
btw-to which Navy does the Frigate F805 belong in the head photo? Aussie?

Quentin D63
Quentin D63 (@guest_729194)
11 months ago
Reply to  geoff

I’ll take a guess and say it’s Dutch, a Tromp class destroyer/frigate.

geoff
geoff (@guest_729201)
11 months ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Thanks Quentin

maurice10
maurice10 (@guest_729223)
11 months ago
Reply to  geoff

Okay Geoff, I was attempting to keep it concise but yes the two capital ships were lost due to a typical British balls up. Those apart, and lessons learned we should be in a better place than in WW2. Unless there is a change in Chinese policy in the Far East the West is going to have to spend billions on defence in this theater alone.

geoff
geoff (@guest_729233)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Sorry Maurice-I knew you would know that-just in case other readers might not! The reality is that the UK cannot do it alone and now needs to be part of an allied effort. Gone are the days when I remember a Defence Minister saying Britain needed to keep two carriers East of Suez permanently! ๏ปฟ๐Ÿ˜Ž๏ปฟ

Last edited 11 months ago by geoff
Frank62
Frank62 (@guest_729343)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

We can play a small part, but thankfully a great many billions have already been wisely invested in the defence of PRC’s neighbours in an arms race over past decades, while we have been recklessly cutting ours. Apart from the mighty presence of the US armed forces & fleet(s), the combined navies of the regional likely opponents of the PRC match at the least the size & projected expansion of the PLAN. We need a concerted effort to deter Xi’s ambitions to invade Taiwan & expand any further. I think we must stop fudging & appeasing & say very clealy… Read more ยป

Andrew D
Andrew D (@guest_729254)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Hear about China with a salvage vessel at the wreck site of Prince of Wales and Repluse the other week ๐Ÿค”

maurice10
maurice10 (@guest_729295)
11 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

If true AD, that is not good news the sites of both vessels are war graves. China leave those bones of brave men and their ship and home alone.

Andrew D
Andrew D (@guest_729314)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Well said ๐Ÿ‘

David Barry
David Barry (@guest_729175)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

What I’ve listened to on Proceedings, better to stand up to our responsibilities in the Atlantic, Arctic and Med.

Let the US deal with the Pacific; we’re not welcome and poorly integrated; much like Aus.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63 (@guest_729189)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Iโ€™d like to see a more fundamental increase in the defensive armament on the existing QE carriers especially prior to CSG 25 and all the RFAs. All such precious assets, mutually supportive of each other, necessary for fleet ops, and all should be adequately armed especially against subs, drones, loitering munitions. If they already are, great, if not, it surely needs to get sorted. As mentioned in another article thread, if all/some of the deployed Wildcats get an upgrade with dipping sonars and also with Venom thatโ€™s a step up. Like to see the Merlinโ€™s and maybe drones be able… Read more ยป

maurice10
maurice10 (@guest_729226)
11 months ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

I still get itchy when I watch the QEs leave Portsmouth as 70 + years ago (as seen on U-Tube in colour) HMS Hood do exactly the same route and my thoughts are vulnerability? The current visual ship defence apart from the air wings looks sparse with just Phalanx.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63 (@guest_729280)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Yes you could say a bit “under-done”, even “semi-naked”, lol. Looks can deceiving though but also very revealing too. It’s a bit of a rant of mine but there’s an obvious contrast with other navies.

Frank62
Frank62 (@guest_729346)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

We lost carriers in WW2, caught out with minimal escort, well armed for AA self defence when we had a huge navy. Nowdays people suppose we’ll never have our carriers vulnerable when we have never had such a tiny escort force & the carriers themselves armed little better than RFAs. They say allies will always contribute to our carrier defence screens. The USN with a huge fleet, many allies, yet gives its carriers a 3 tier SAM/AA defence, with medium ranged Evolved Sea Sparrow SAMs, short ranged RAM SAMs & Phalanx CIWS, wheras all our QEs have is the last… Read more ยป

Andrew D
Andrew D (@guest_729355)
11 months ago
Reply to  Frank62

We need to think about it ๐Ÿค”

maurice10
maurice10 (@guest_729373)
11 months ago
Reply to  Frank62

I’m glad so many contributors believe the QEs are under-protected. We spend billions on their construction and then dither around in regard to adequate protection. I’ve said from Launch they needed Sea Sparrow as well as Phalanx even if the SS’s were in the short term, bolted on the back of a truck! Many responses said space was a key issue, well that’s easily answered reduce F35 or Merlin by one to accommodate. The rapidly developing drone market possibly poses the greatest risk going forward. A swarm of heavily armed drones would quickly compromise a carrier’s safety and as yet,… Read more ยป

Frank62
Frank62 (@guest_729383)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

Our own Sea Ceptor would be ideal. They may even have been designed with the possibility in mind(?). It always amazes me the spin arguments that they come out with NOT to adequately arm or protect our warships.

Andrew D
Andrew D (@guest_729257)
11 months ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

I think what HMG just ask them selfs for the sake of a Ex weapon systems on the carriers cost wise which may just save the day ,or the the cost of losing a carrier ๐Ÿค”

Quentin D63
Quentin D63 (@guest_729282)
11 months ago
Reply to  Andrew D

I think we all hope that it’s not just down to costs and that maybe additional defences are still to come. Looks stupidly short sighted and frankly irresponsible if not.

Frank62
Frank62 (@guest_729345)
11 months ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Agreed. It’s imbecilic to have heilicopters embarked that can’t do either surface attack or ASW sub searching. Everybody else fits their heli’s for both.

david anthony simpson
david anthony simpson (@guest_729432)
11 months ago
Reply to  maurice10

stop dreaming..lets find the money to make what we have fully functional – the rest is nonsense without a massive hike in the budget and there will be many internal demands on it not just for another carrier!

Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach (@guest_729069)
11 months ago

If we are going to be global we need faith in what we intend to do. I would suggest that we propose to our allies in the region the idea of an Asian/Pacific Task Force. The U.K. provides the carrier along with say ten or twelve F35’s. The U.S. and Japan are asked to each provide the same. Maybe later the Aussies might want to join in. Supporting aircraft as required. Each participating country ,and others should they wish to do so, provide a destroyer and/or frigate for a balanced escort force. The UK and US provide an SSN. Again… Read more ยป

Jonathan
Jonathan (@guest_729083)
11 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

To be honest Geoff it would be more effective and efficient if the UK carrier force ( supported by the French) takes over from the US around the med, Middle East and eastern Indian Ocean area, allowing the US to forward base a second carrier in Japan. Europe has 3 good carriers, thatโ€™s plenty to manage everything west of India. allowing the US to focus its entire 10 carriers into the pacific. The UK bit of the pacific tilt is best supported by SSNs that can transit extremely quickly when needed and the planned pre deployed set of type 31s.… Read more ยป

Quentin D63
Quentin D63 (@guest_729195)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Talking of India, they’ve also got a carrier with Rafales. Like to see the RN covert the PoW to a hybrid carrier asap so can be shared with US, France, India and others.
Often thought that the RAAFs Hornets here could trained on carriers too, just for something extra. Like to see a medium sized carrier in the RAN, share some Ops with NZ.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63 (@guest_729196)
11 months ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

*convert…. covertly… Lol ๐Ÿ˜

Expat
Expat (@guest_729271)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

We don’t need carriers in the med or the gulf. We can cover it from allied bases, swapping the F35B for the greater range F35A, which will also have weapons of greater range, more air refueling and more P8s. A carrier in the gulf in particular would be very exposed and there should be no doubt the Iran would try to capitalise on a USN occupied by a Taiwan conflict. If we’re not going to deploy globally then we really don’t need 2 large carriers.

Angus
Angus (@guest_729307)
11 months ago
Reply to  Expat

Reason for 2 ships is that one will always be available once the refits cycle kicks in regardless where you send the operational one which can travel 500+ miles per day. can a fixed airfield do that? Also you cannot always rely on your ‘friends’ for access. The Saudis did it in the Gulf so we sent the Invincible in with a CAG and showed what it could do even with its limited numbers (we did better than the Yanks if I recall ๏ปฟ๐Ÿ˜‰๏ปฟ).

Expat
Expat (@guest_729350)
11 months ago
Reply to  Angus

Yes but still the main reason for the carriers is to put an airfield anywhere on the worlds oceans. But government policy is going to change after the election to focus closer to home. Mainly North Atlantic and the Euro. If allies don’t want us in the gulf we won’t be going. Carriers are only warranted if government policy exists to exploit them.

Frank62
Frank62 (@guest_729348)
11 months ago
Reply to  Expat

What if large parts of the ME side with Russia/PRC as they like authoratarian despotic regimes, or revolutionaries take over there? Suddenly many of those bases disappear.

Expat
Expat (@guest_730120)
10 months ago
Reply to  Frank62

Look I 100%believe we should remain global and keep the carriers but the next government is looking to retrench to Europe and build up land forces. In that scenario its pointless keeping the carriers to tour the UK coast. So the who’s pulling the strings in the Gulf doesn’t matter. We’re not going to get involved unless requested which means bases will be available as we’ll have been invited. Carriers are in there element when we need to sovereign runway 1000s of miles away not 100s. Its completely logical for the next government to review what use carriers would be… Read more ยป

Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach (@guest_729365)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Your idea has merit Jonathan but I think we need to go further. The Asian or Indo Pacific is going to be vital to the economy of the U.K. in the decades to come. If we want to take full advantage of being with our allies we need to be there. AUKUS ( to become AJUKUS? ) is a great start but it could become a lot more. Powerful multi national forces will show the Chinese that we are not going to be pushed around. The Royal Navy is unique in enabling the UK to take part in a real… Read more ยป

FormerUSAF
FormerUSAF (@guest_729086)
11 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

Could envision periodic RN deployment of a QE class carrier to Indo-Pacific for a limited timeframe, perhaps once in every three to four year period, but believe a more frequent deployment schedule would require additional carrier(s). However this would not preclude deployment of a partial to full RAF/RN squadron of F-35Bs more frequently, if embarked w/ USN/USMC Gator Navy. UK hosts USMC periodically, turnabout would be fair play, or even simply common courtesy. Escort vessels could supplied largely plug and play basis from AUKuS partners, supplemented by willing regional allies. The Aussies could parallel this effort, If convinced to acquire… Read more ยป

Jim
Jim (@guest_729133)
11 months ago
Reply to  FormerUSAF

Agree, it would be good to see UK F35B deploy on US Navy LHD if just for practice of cross decking. Ideally the next UK deployment of CSG to the far east would see Singaporean and Japanese F35B deployed on HMS Prince of Wales to show that it can be done. The best deterrent to the CCP is showing that we can deploy a strong naval force in the area comprised of multiple parties and that even if the USN large carriers are knocked out the Gator Navy and the UK can still deploy substantial aviation assets in conjunction with… Read more ยป

Frank62
Frank62 (@guest_729349)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

Hi Jim, “the Gator Navy”, what’s that?

Agree we should all be aking it crystal clear to the CCP any further agression will not be tolorated. Too much apeasment & ambiguity has led to a very dangerous situation. Russia & PRC both show complete disregard for treaties or international rules when it suits them.

Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach (@guest_729368)
11 months ago
Reply to  FormerUSAF

Please see my response to Jonathan. I do believe that the UK and US working together with sound well equipped allies in the Asian Pacific theatre is the ONLY way of keeping peace. Although the UK is obviously not geographically connected it brings a new dimension to the game. It is and hopefully always will be a bridge between East and West.๏ปฟ๐Ÿšข๏ปฟ๏ปฟ๐Ÿ™‚๏ปฟ

Louis
Louis (@guest_729392)
11 months ago
Reply to  FormerUSAF

Ideally, with RN coordinating deployment schedules with the MN, a carrier would deploy there on a regular basis ie at minimum a deployment every two years of a carrier, preferably every year and a half or so, with the RN deploying twice as often of course.

Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach (@guest_729561)
10 months ago
Reply to  Geoff Roach

They should Andy and maybe they would join in at some point but politics are weird in India. They rely on Russia and to some extent favour France but the UK and US? I’m not so sure.

Jonathan
Jonathan (@guest_729085)
11 months ago

To be honest I think it would be better if the UK/French carrier forces took over and managed the west of India work, allowing the U.S. to base all its carrier fleet in the pacific.. a UK carrier even if we had one on 1 months notice is still a good months transit from the strait of Taiwan..and I know everyone will say but we will have more than 2 months notice of an invasionโ€ฆ.but and this is a big one Taiwan itself thinks china could and has plans for an invasion based on strategic surpriseโ€ฆthey do regularly ( annual)… Read more ยป

Mr Bell
Mr Bell (@guest_729093)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

I don’t think we will get 2 months notice of an invasion- probably much much less, up to a week possibly if SIGNIT can pick up on troop movement, orders, planning and pre-positioning of strategic assets like air transport aircraft, strike aircraft and warships returning to port to form up an invasion fleet/ returning to port to take on live ammo and marines. I think likely a weeks notice of an invasion in the offing. Enough time for the USN and Japanese, Australians to put to see and get ready. Any strike on Taiwan may well involve simultaneous hits against… Read more ยป

Jonathan
Jonathan (@guest_729125)
11 months ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

Hi Bell, interesting to really defend Taiwan from invasion the U.S. and allies may have to force the strait of Taiwan, assuming the CCP would effectively need to close the strait from outside navel incursion to allow an invasion. One of the big issues is itโ€™s all continual shelf generally no more that 100ms deep..the southern entrance is covered pretty much entirely by Taiwan banks with a depth of only 20-40 meters ( no SSN is going to want to cross a large body of water thatโ€™s only 60 feet deep), then to the north you have the Chang Yuen… Read more ยป

Last edited 11 months ago by Jonathan
Jim
Jim (@guest_729137)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Recent US war games suggested loosing 5 SSNโ€™s in the first few days which would be catastrophic for the USN.

B1 bombers armed with LRASM were more effective around Taiwan.

James
James (@guest_729144)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

The goal of the Taiwan strait should be sea denial and not control. Offensive mine warfare is the cheapest way to buy time on landings. Targeting invasion assets in the strait for shooting from or over the island is a key capability. The geographic limitations make defense harder. The political aspect will be significant also. Can mainland China be attacked? What about limiting the logistics support from other ports in China? It is in China’s interest to limit the war to Taiwan alone, and there will be pressure from Japan and South Korea (if they support Taiwan militarily) not to… Read more ยป

Jonathan
Jonathan (@guest_729501)
10 months ago
Reply to  James

Hi James, in this case it will be a 2 way sea denial: 1) china will seek to deny the US and friends the china seas, very specifically the seas around Taiwan and the strait and stopping the US forcing the strait. 2) the ROC will use sea denial to prevent the PRC from crossing the strait. it essentially turns into the greatest bloodbath in the history of naval warfareโ€ฆ. What is worse is that contagion is inevitable, there is no limiting this as neither side could loss.. you are talking the two largest most powerful nations on earth with… Read more ยป

Jim
Jim (@guest_729136)
11 months ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

The UK is only ever going to represent a follow up force in the pacific, itโ€™s too far away from us. We need to be able to respond quickly in the euro Atlantic and give the US and other allies outside Europe time to provide the follow on forces while we do the same for the Indo pacific.

Expat
Expat (@guest_729263)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

We need to be able to respond quickly in the euro Atlantic, yep and we don’t need carriers to that. Pointless having carriers just sailing around our coast. Just invest in air refueling + more P8’s, swap to F35A which has more range and weapons and is cheaper. A retrenchment to Euro area and N.Atlantic will make our carriers redundant.

Jim
Jim (@guest_729291)
11 months ago
Reply to  Expat

I disagree, operating in the far north of Norway is challenging without carriers. Amphibious operations are key in Norway and QEC is in effect a giant amphibious assault carrier thatโ€™s able to provide its own air capability and land helicopters at the same time. Itโ€™s exactly what you would want if invading Norway or the Kola Peninsula. As we saw in Libya with the USA in 1986 and our intervention in 2014 host nation access in the Mediterranean can be an issue as well. With the clout China has in the Indian Ocean using any air base other than Diego… Read more ยป

Expat
Expat (@guest_729362)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

With retrenchment to Europe actions like Libya will be off the cards unless there’s a lot of support from Euro nations. Which solves any access issues. The F35A has more range than the Tornado and with the increase in IFR from drones like the MQ25 will increase its combat radius further making it ideal for operating out of NATO bases in Europe. That just leaves North Atlantic, who exactly is going to invade Norway? And if they did would they be able to take the whole country before NATO could reinforce? Russia has barely made it a few 100km in… Read more ยป

Jonathan
Jonathan (@guest_729502)
10 months ago
Reply to  Expat

The Uk cannot fully retrench into Europe, we have land we are committed to defend across the globe. Also the carriers give us far more ability to defend our interest than any land based aircraftโ€ฆthe first thing for instance Russia would do is try and knock out our airfieldsโ€ฆ.you have to find a carrier before you can knock it outโ€ฆeven regional navyโ€™s are investing in carriers for a reason.

Expat
Expat (@guest_729653)
10 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

I’m all for continuing our global presence but we’ll.have a new government with new policies in less than 18 months. They’ve made it clear where they priorities lie. And with that it’s hard to justify 2 large flat decks. I’m highlighting how thing could oan out with new policy direction. Also if we are moving closer to home do it properly, F35b make no sense for a European looking defence stance.

Frank62
Frank62 (@guest_729352)
11 months ago
Reply to  Mr Bell

They’ll probably conduct regular dry run exercises towards Taiwan, then once we’ve got used to them, catch us out with a real one. It will be the free world’s big mistake if we let them get that far. It will be their big mistake if they do it. I’d like to see less restraint on helping Taiwan defend herself.

Jim
Jim (@guest_729134)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

It might make a lot of sense for France and the UK to take over as the US seems to have pissed off everyone in the region. The Biden administration seems hell bent on pissing off everyone that the Trump administration hadnโ€™t.

https://breakingdefense.com/2023/06/exclusive-us-says-irans-claimed-naval-alliance-with-saudi-gulf-nations-defies-reason/

Esteban
Esteban (@guest_729179)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

Well then get off your ass and do it. The US doesn’t need the oil .

Airborne
Airborne (@guest_730836)
10 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

Ah US fanboy, without a US passport….how amusing.

Esteban
Esteban (@guest_729180)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jim

Do you remember that Abraham accords that were signed in the Trump administration that basically aligned the Arab states with Israel against Iran… You might want to stay off the mainstream media.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729457)
11 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

Hmm have you read the lates news SA talks with Iran instigated by China plus some interactions amongst the Gulf States not only with. China but Russia too. They are rapidly expressing both an independence while making sure they secure fences to sit on as the big boys fight it out. Great concern in the West about conflicting events in a region they once thought at least the main players were onboard. Not that non US Countries will in some way change that growing iffy-ness itโ€™s just commitment to the US is becoming more pliable as they put Arabia first… Read more ยป

Airborne
Airborne (@guest_730837)
10 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

You might want to hurry up and tidy your room, as the Brit squaddies have left their socks and pants all over…..Ah a cuck to the Brits, but if you enjoy it who are we to criticise.

Expat
Expat (@guest_729273)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Signalling to China that it may only be fighting the US and some other token offering from its allies would only embolden them. Best deterrent is 1 in all in from the West and it allies. I think with 2-3 years we won’t have anything based in the Pacific!!!

Frank62
Frank62 (@guest_729354)
11 months ago
Reply to  Expat

S Korea(Unless tied up by N Korea, PRC’s proxy), Japan, Australia & possibly any of Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, Phillipines could well join US efforts to combat PRC aggression. They’ve been gearing up for it for over a decade.
Taiwan would not be a walk over by any means, though there may be some portion of their forces turned by very active ongoing savage PLA bribary/blackmail.

Last edited 11 months ago by Frank62
Expat
Expat (@guest_729665)
10 months ago
Reply to  Frank62

Could, might some yes, Japan Australia. North Korea will see it as a opportunity. Or will act on Beijings behalf. The rest will more likely sit on the fence to see which way it goes. Many of those countries are seeing inward invest from China.

Unlike Ukraine resupply of Tiawan will be a nightmare. China will have learnt a lot from Russian incompetence and Western tactics and weapons.. but countering all of the West’s weapons system is greater challenge than just US systems and therefore sticking together is a bigger deterrent.

FormerUSAF
FormerUSAF (@guest_729402)
11 months ago
Reply to  Jonathan

May be logical to stage a T-31 out of HMAS Stirling as well as an Astute. This class of frigates is going to have a very full social schedule. ๐Ÿ˜

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins (@guest_729095)
11 months ago

“Does it make sense to send Carriers too close to the SCS, hence the reason for the US to further upgrade the B-52 to launch long-range missiles plus 1000 mile Tomahawk anti-ship missiles? The U.S. Navyโ€™s fleet of 11 nuclear-powered aircraft carriers fared poorly in a series of war games, simulating a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026, that the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D.C. recently organized. Even when the United States and Japan successfully defended Taiwanโ€”as they did in most of CSISโ€™s 24 simulationsโ€”the Navy lost at least two carriers … and sometimes as many… Read more ยป

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins (@guest_729098)
11 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

“Installation of AESA is one of the largest upgrades to the B-52 in the history of the fleet. The effort will cost approximately $2.8 billion, with initial operational capability expected in 2027.

โ€œSustainability is an important part of this effort, because the old radar is unsustainable,โ€ said Ruscetta. โ€œThe advancement in combat capability that AESA will bring is really critical in keeping this aircraft effective with our near-peer adversaries. The new radar is an enabler for our long-range standoff capability and will prepare the aircraft for optimized lethality.โ€

LINK

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729454)
11 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

He has clearly not got the message about no longer using โ€˜near peerโ€™ any longer in respect to China.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins (@guest_729541)
10 months ago
Reply to  Spyinthesky

Indeed, they are closing the gap in many areas. They might not have the technology in some but make up for it in numbers!

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins (@guest_729621)
10 months ago
Reply to  Spyinthesky

This gives us an idea of how fast their navy is growing compared to the US. As you may recall I’ve touched on the UK partnering with SK in relation to products for the British Army in the past. “The Pentagon estimates Chinaโ€™s navy to have around 340 warships at present, while the US has fewer than 300. It thinks the Chinese fleet will grow to 400 in the next two years, while the US fleet will take until 2045 to hit 350. But itโ€™s not just the increasing vastness of the Chinese navy that has raised concerns. Some of… Read more ยป

Quentin D63
Quentin D63 (@guest_729197)
11 months ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Makes you wonder how the QE Carriers would actually do in the same war games doesn’t it?
Really need more defensive armaments on these and RFAs, plus the CAMM put on the T45s asap. And containerised CAMM and or Martlet/Starstreak(ER) looked at if not done already.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins (@guest_729242)
11 months ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Indeed, these are high-value targets and need to be kept well away from the range of China’s missile defences and yes, they need to be very well protected. Worth reading in full. “While the recency of introduction suggests the inventory may not be deep enough for a major conflict, Chinaโ€™s precise weapon procurement rates are not as publicly discernible compared to U.S. forces. However, the U.S. Department of Defense has stated that China conducted more than 135 ballistic missile live firings for testing and training in 2021, which โ€œwas more than the rest of the world combined,โ€ excluding conflict zones.… Read more ยป

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins (@guest_729623)
10 months ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Worth reading.

LINK

farouk
farouk (@guest_729143)
11 months ago

A very interesting story as reported by a number of foreign media outlets, but as of now (6 hours later) only Sky, the DM and STV have reported this:
https://i.postimg.cc/vHRjZNV9/Opera-Snapshot-2023-06-06-212950-www-aljazeera-com.png

Grizzler
Grizzler (@guest_729164)
11 months ago
Reply to  farouk

I suppose I should ask if they were secret how did we know about them or how many there are – but its about bloody time.
Now we just need to find out what they doing about that Chinese Diplomat in Manchester

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729638)
10 months ago
Reply to  Grizzler

Well things are secret until you discover them I guess. Equally however in more modern usage it also refers to unofficial set ups that donโ€™t have the overt approval of the Governing State. As we know in the middle there is much turning of eyes where itโ€™s thought it best by those governing bodies for some sort of โ€˜greater goodโ€™ no doubt ie like ignoring Saudi human rights for example. I suspect all three factors have come into play here along the timeline.

Frank62
Frank62 (@guest_729334)
11 months ago

Bit ironic him speaking of the importance of observing rules after recent years demonstrated that leading figures in his party didn’t think laws or rules applied to themselves! But I agree we should be supporting the rule of law & civilization globally. For that we need a bigger stick! Apart from foolishly feeding the monsters by fawning over trade & investment with & from them, exporting so much of our domestic manufacturing to the far east, cutting the throats of our own workers; cutting our conventional forces so far has been a dangerous game we’ve lost, resulting in the empowerment… Read more ยป

Andrew D
Andrew D (@guest_729359)
11 months ago
Reply to  Frank62

Couldn’t put it better myself ,good post ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

david anthony simpson
david anthony simpson (@guest_729438)
11 months ago
Reply to  Frank62

Not helpful and and a very biased view of whats been happening.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky (@guest_729639)
10 months ago

Can you elaborate

Jonno
Jonno (@guest_729394)
11 months ago

Wow I like Our Defence secretary. He has got a really first rate vision for the UK in the defence field.