A Ukrainian Challenger 2 tank, giften by Britain, was destroyed near Robotyne.

This is the first confirmed loss of this tank in Ukraine and is also the first one ever destroyed by enemy action.

A video surfaced this Monday showing a Challenger 2 tank, belonging to the 82nd Air Assault Brigade, engulfed in flames. The incident reportedly took place near Robotyne in southern Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Earlier this year, the United Kingdom pledged to send 14 Challenger 2 tanks to aid Ukraine in its war effort. Just days before the loss, the Ukrainian defence ministry released an interview praising the capabilities of the Challenger 2.

In the interview, a trooper from the 82nd Brigade specifically highlighted the tank’s long-range firepower and superior protection as compared to Soviet-era tanks.

The video that circulated online paints a grim scene but also offers a glimpse into the survivability features of the tank. While the Challenger 2 was clearly on fire, the turret was still attached to its hull. This could be an indicator that while the tank was incapacitated, the structure remained largely intact.

While the loss is certainly unfortunate, the fact that the turret remained attached to the hull even after being set ablaze highlights the tank’s design for survivability. Tanks are not just about firepower; their ability to protect their crews and remain intact under hostile conditions is equally important.

George Allison
George has a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and has a keen interest in naval and cyber security matters and has appeared on national radio and television to discuss current events. George is on Twitter at @geoallison

184 COMMENTS

  1. I hope we get a kill rate when this war is over.

    I also hope the tank is recovered. Maybe even repaired, depending on the damage. I wonder what got it?

  2. Was always going to happen in a cauldron like Ukraine, it’s a level above what the UK has ever used them for.

    Lose a track, engine damage, even a random break down, any number of things could immobilise one leaving it open to eventual destruction, or destruction to prevent capture as the crew abandons it. Wouldn’t be surprised if it was disabled by a mine here.

    No such thing as an invulnerable tank.

    A perfect example of why numbers matter, its all very well the crew surviving but its of little military use if they don’t have another tank to use.

  3. Sorry George – having checked the video and found the original on Twitter it does not look like a Chally at all in my view

    The video is only fractions of a second long and though it does look like an armoured vehicle of some sort belching smoke, its deffo not a Chally.

      • The first one is obviously belching smoke but that might be a smokescreen. The armoured vehicle at the begining of the clip is unclear. I stand to be corrected but I would want to see clearer, less shaky video before confirming it as a Chally – and the guy taking the vid is very excited

        • Vehicle at the begining of the clip is on fire, it’s not a smokescreen. Smokescreens are generally white, and don’t feature flames. It’s clearly a CR2, the TOGS II sighting unit is pretty distinct, and no other vehicle in Ukraine has anything that resembles it. The second vehicle passed is a Russian T variant (probably a T-80 or late model T-72).

        • The smoke function is created by injecting diesel into hot exhaust ejector outlets with engine running, the smoke was mainly coming out louvers.

      • The shape of the turret and optics marks it clearly as a Challenger 2 from what I can see. Hopefully, it can be recovered and some potential lessons learned.

    • The first tank in the video is definitely a Chally 2. You can see the TI box on top of the barrel and the distinctive front end of the turret / plus the shape of the barrel.

      The second tank looks more like an updated T72 or similar.

    • The vehicle is clearly a Challenger – the slab sided turret and the sighting/fire control box on top of the turret/barrel. I doubt few tank people would disagree

    • I agree with you there I don’t think it’s a challenger either. The scant coverage of the occurrence also bothers me, why so short?

        • On a positive note, it seems the crew survived!

          Challenger 2 tank hit mine before being targeted by drone

          The British Challenger 2 tank destroyed in Ukraine was damaged by a mine before it was targeted by Russian munitions, a Western defence source has said.

          The source told a small group of journalists that the battle tank was first hit by a legacy mine which immobilised it and caused a fire in the rear fuel tank.
           
          The crew evacuated the tank and once dormant in the open with no cover, the Challenger 2 was hit by a Lancet loitering munition, or “suicide drone”.

          A video of the damaged tank has circulated widely online, with reports suggesting it was filmed near the frontline in the Zaporizhzhia region. 

          Sky News has been unable to confirm the exact location.

      • Well, as I said I stand to be corrected – but the end of the smoking tank’s barrel does not look like this to me.Too much smoke around the front of the turret to be sure of the shape or any optics package. There is a small fire around the tracks tho

        • I know what you mean mate, I had a few viewings with the same opinion. However, my last viewing, looking even closer, I did see a brief clear glimpse where that exact shape is visible.

          Needs a SME on here to properly assess the damage beyond us interested spectators, as I also see a big fire beyond the turret.

          • Agreed Daniele. Some of the Leopard 2s that were first reported as knocked out, were in fact recovered and repaired.

            Not to beat a dead horse but this definitely is a Challenger 2 unfortunately – the TOGS was a clear giveaway.

            Thoughts and best wishes are with the crew – if they survived, then the Challenger 2 did it’s job.

            My only concern now is what if the Russians recover it before the Ukrainians do – can they learn anything about the Dorchester armour? This was always my concern sending them to Ukraine in the first place. I know the MoD never invested in upgrading the armour aside from bolt-on packages but by all accounts, Dorchester is still pretty stout and is still top secret from what I understand.

          • I agree. I was also concerned that they were sent. A mere 14 is a political statement. They can do damage, sure.
            And if the Russians get hold of one, even an earlier model.
            I think, the way Ukraine are advancing, this is behind the lines and safe from Russia, and that it will be recovered.

          • I’d imagine it is recoverable. Seeing as a bunch of Ukraine army troops just drove past it in a beat up 4×4 to record the video.
            Drag it out of there and hopefully recover and repair. Might be a total loss though.
            I hope it gave the Ruskfascists a pounding before succumbing to battlefield damage.

          • I doubt it will be repaired if it’s on fire. The Leopards that where shown burning are the ones that where written off.

          • A Ukranian work colleague told me that the Dorchester armour was removed when transferred.
            Not sure about the veracity of his statement.

          • A lot depends on the term ‘knocked out’. Almost all vehicles can be recovered, the main exception being if the territory has since been overrun by the enemy. The Ukrainians will not have the same capability to repair a CR2 (obvs) as we would have. They should certainly have a tank coy fitter section, but I don’t know what else they have in-country. I also don’t know what spares they have in-country. If the tank is badly damaged (which it probably is – mine strike and Lancet attack and subsequent fire, by all acounts) they won’t have all the spares they need, thats for sure. I would guess this one is BR (Beyond Repair).

            We gifted 14 tanks ie 10 for the tank coy and 4 spare tanks (call them Atrrition Reserve). UKR will just take a tank from the 4-tank reserve pool, for the tk coy.

          • So the current rumour on the internet is that it was Mobility killed (either mechanically or by artillery) and then denied by it’s crew. Skeptical because people are generally saying it was quite far from the front so, why would you deny a tank that the enemy won’t be capturing, but that’s the rumour.

          • Yes, I’m sceptical at that too. If it’s true that the UKR Army has the momentum, and the numbers, in that area and is pushing forward with little in tbe wsy of local counterattacks by the Russians to retake ground then why not recover if you can?
            What do I know, all speculative.

          • Yeah, even in the 3 hours since I posted the narrative is changing. Now I’m reading mobility kill, crew bailed, then Lancet hit. I’d wager there will be more variations as time goes on.
            The main thing is, Russia is so desperate for success their foreign embassy has already started leveraging it.

          • If it is recoverable then it’s not the first as ones were made inoperable in Iraq also but were recovered.

          • Virtually all damaged tanks are recoverable. The big question is whether it is repairable after a mine strike, Lancet attack and subsequent fire at several positions.

          • Considering they have been cannibalising the fleet for years to keep them in service, I suspect even if it was repairable the parts are probably not available.

  4. it was going to happen, lack of air dominance over the land and lack of infantry protection, as good as chally is it was always a tall order for it especially on it’s own..
    let’s be honest nothing has really been done to upgrade or replace it or warrior since the Berlin wall came down,the MOD is the backup piggy bank for every governments failures, resulting in cuts left right and center,and to even consider trying to get back to a level to pre cold war would cost trillions, it’s never going to happen, especially when we are invaded daily and money is chucked at that problem like confetti..

    • Was there a lack of infantry protection? Surely UKR is smarter than the Russians and actually do Combined Arms operations? Anyway I doubt Inf could have saved this tank – it reportedly hit a mine and was then attacked from a drone.

  5. It would be interesting to know what knocked it out.

    There does not appear to be a lot of tank vs. tank battles happening so I assume artillery or a drone.

    I just hope it is recoverable, I would hate to see Russia capture a Challenger 2

    • I believe that area is firmly in UKR hands, with them on the offensive and Russia hanging on to their defence lines, so I don’t see them pushing back there to the point it is recovered.

      • Denys Davydov seems to confirm this on his vlog today. He infers it hit the tank in the side near the engine. Wondering if some extra Dorchester armour (as fitted to CH2 in Iraq) would have saved it.

    • The Times and Telegraph podcasts have experienced Brit talkies reporting that the UKR used them as long range snipers – hence no tank on tank.

      However, even Rus v Ukr Tk on Tk is limited as many Rus Tks are killed before engaging. Difficult war for the analysts.

  6. They should never have been sent there. They are still a prize the Russian would love to get their hands on, since most of the body will be included in the Challenger 3 upgrade. This is another decision by the government against the advice of the military. We even refused the Americans them in the past because of the top secret armour which is still classified today. One more decision made to impress without concern of the consequences. I just hope it is recoverable and repairable, if not it needs to be totally destroyed hope there is a UKSF unit nearby.

    • As has been discussed on here CR2 tech is not modern although still good enough for the task the Ukr has! The armour on CR3 is upgraded from Dorchester to Epsom in the hull and turret and internally to Farnham standard so even if the Orcs did get hands on one CR3 won’t be compromised. If it’s mine damage as Farouk has indicated if the hull hasn’t been breached it’s probably recoverable so hopefully on its way back to the rear already🤞

      • The problem been it will still give the Russians a possible work around into the manufacturing techniques and installation techniques of the armour. No matter which version. That is why the military were dead set on not supplying CH2 to UKRAINE even though the Ukrainians gave assurances they would not fall into Russians hands.

    • Well, it does give us some insight and comparison into how CH2 copes in a modern battlefield that appears to be dominated by drones and artillery.

      It would be interesting to see how well CH2 would do tank to tank, CH2 was designed to face T-72 and T80s (possibly early T-90s). Wondering how it would fair toe to toe with a T90M

      • Eat them up. I will assume 5 kills minimum for each challenger in a big event.
        Training as ever is what sets the tank skill.

    • We can probably assume that Russia if it wanted to know about modern western tanks has already gathered information. It’s been in service for 20+ Years.

      • Gathering information is like reading a cook book doesn’t mean you can cook. Information is one thing actually having one is completely different.

    • DC647 wrote:
      “”We even refused the Americans them in the past because of the top secret armour which is still classified today. “”

      US General W. R Desobry visited in 1972 the British fighting vehicles research and development establishment (FVRDE) and learnt of the development there of a new type of armour called “Chobham” armour (after its location) which was much more efficient against shaped charge weapons than steel armour This led to the adoption of Chobham armour by the US army and a visit to FVRDE in 1973 by Chrysler and general motor engineers who subsequently modified their protypes of the XM1to incorporate the new armour in them.
      Taken from Tanks 100 years of Evolution by Richard Ogorkiewicz : Chapter 9 (The Cold Wars five dominant countries) The part on the US, first paragraph page 171
      Mr Ogorkiewicz (1926-2019) was a Polish British Engineer . In 1979 he became a lecturer, and from 1988 a visiting professor at the Royal Military College of Science in Shrivenham. In 1993 he became curator of the Tank Museum in Bovington
       
      Indeed the M1 Abrams was to be the first tank to be put into full production with Chobham armour because the development of FV4211 was terminated in 1972.
      Taken from
      British Battle tanks (Post war tanks 1946-2016) by Simon Dunstan Chapter 4 (Challenger) page 175 paragraph 3.

    • Did our armed forces object to the gifting of CR2? I had not heard that before.

      We gave the secret of Chobham armour to the US who fielded it (on M1 Abrams) before we did!
      We happily sold CR2 to Oman.

      Surely UKSF are not operating in UKR – if they are, why would they deny the tank by destroying it? That’s not their usual job. UKR can do this themselves if they feel it is about to be overrun by the enemy and seized by the Russians.

      • Yes the military did raise objections but they where ignored. We did refuse the US challenger tanks (UK Specs)Cobham armour was a UK invention in the 60s. Cobham armour was the main body in addition to that UK challenger 2 had a secondary armour called Dorchester which was not supplied to Omen. The US does the same with their own they have a Domestic kit which is higher Spec than their export tank. As for UKSF. the UK, the US, France and others have sp in UKRAINE approx 50 the largest number is UK which have been in country since well before the invasion. I take it didn’t hear about the D.O.D (US) it was revealed in top secret papers about the SFs been in country. As usual the UK government does not confirm deployments of UKSF. The Ukrainian government made a commitment that any damaged Challenger2 tanks would be recovered or if not recovered would be destroyed. They keep saying the tank was destroyed looking at the photos it suffered heavy damages since the turret is intact compare it to Russian tanks they blow up from the inside. The flames that can be seen more than likely was caused by the external fuel drums carried on the outside. It was disabled by a mine then came under heavy artillery fire but all the crew survived compared to Russian crews most die.

        • A few points,you keep refering to Cobham Armour but it is called Chobham,of which Dorchester is a later variation, butat the end of the day it’s still Chobham.Would VSEL have gone to the trouble of a complete re-design of CR2 to sell Oman a grand total of 38 Tanks,i think not,they are not ‘ Monkey’ models,they got the same level of protection as the BA examples.The Turret of the knocked out Ukraine CR2 is not intact,far from it it has been hit and no longer sits where it is supposed to.As for UKSF ,they might be in Ukraine for Diplomatic,Embassy Protection and Advisory roles but they won’t be anywhere near the Frontlines – that would be a disaster waiting to happen.

  7. According to Forbes, out of the Leopard 2 only 5 so far were lost and around 10 damaged but repairable. And most Crews survived.

    Those Challenger and Leopard tanks are not there for Parades. They serve a Job to free Ukraine and to prevent that war is a viable strategy.

    It happens. But So far it seems Marder and Challenger form a useful Tandem.

    • I don’t know about that but number. I’ve heard 24 leopards visually confirmed hit last time I looked. How many are recovered I don’t have a clue.
      About 50 Bradley’s also destroyed. As with all things in the conflict the numbers could be wrong.
      Oryx is a great place to look.

  8. Comparing the picture of the burning vehicle in question with another of a Challenger 2 with the turret view the same. We can see similarities with the overall shape of the turret especially the angled front, the TOG 2 sight over the barrel, the fume extractor, also the vehicle on fire sports 2 fuel drums at the rear (well one is on the floor) which is how the Challenger 2 carries extra fuel. The rear open hatch seems to corresponds to the position of commander’s hatch and from what I can ascertain, the vehicle appears to have struck a mine

    https://i.postimg.cc/15hF4NQr/Untitled-4.jpg

    • There’s a reasonable chance all if not most of the smoke is from the burning diesel carried in the extra drums… one of which being on the floor… hatch open means crew likely survived.

      I agree it looks like a mine strike. If so it could potentially be recovered.

      Time will tell as I’m sure there will be an update from either side in due course.

      • Quite hard for diesel fuel to catch fire, but not impossible. Need to raise its temp to at least its flashpoint of 52C and provide an ignition source.

        • Mine dropped the track and damaged the front end immobilising the tank. Lancet drone ignited the external diesel tanks in a subsequent strike once the crew had abandoned the tank.

          • Thanks mate. The BBC said much the same and also thought all crew had escaped after the mine strike but before the Lancet drone attacked. If there has been a turret fire as well then I am sure it will be a write-off.

          • It is seemingly in the engine bay… Turret seemed to be intact other wise I’d expected to have seen smoke from the barrel and open hatch etc.

            Who knows… If it’s not recoverable I’d be hitting it with a storm shadow just to be safe.

    • Hi Farouk,

      Thank you for the picture comparison – it clearly speaks for itself.

      Forgive my stupid question but would a mine strike cause such a fire and bellowing smoke? The engine compartment seems to be alight and smoke appears to be coming from inside the turret. I thought a mine strike might throw a track and perhaps wheel damage but this seems a lot more. Maybe the mine was a big one!

      Thank you again Farouk for helping educate those of us who are not.

      • David wrote:
        “”I thought a mine strike might throw a track and perhaps wheel damage but this seems a lot more. Maybe the mine was a big one!””
        https://i.postimg.cc/hPv2djhZ/Untitled-2.jpg
        At the start of the video clip we can clearly see a wheel.(1) to the left of that can be what I can only presume to be track links.

        2 is what I can only presume to be where a mine detonated, and something has caught fire (if the hull hasn’t been penetrated, then its whatever they had on the side (extra gear etc) Lubricants (well they have just been recently handed over, so would have received a better than average servicing)

        The engine compartment is interesting , as its a known tactic to target those, I doubt the turret is on fire, as if it was, that open hatch would be acting as a chimney

        But at the moment all we have to go on is speculation based on one video, No doubt the Ukrainians will pass on the info regards the loss to the the British, whom I suspect will hand over another 14.

        What is very interesting is the missing commanders sight, was it destroyed, (or was it removed) on saying that there does appear to be a layer of something over the roof (extra armour?)

        • Poking around elsewhere it has been suggested that although the Turret is still in situ it has been dislodged,and also the Commanders Hatch has taken a Hit.

        • If recovered and theoretically repairable, Graham Moore has stated previously that CR2 would have to be shipped to depot in UK for an appropriate determination. If not repairable, presume CR2 hulk would be stripped for any/all serviceable parts? 🤔

          May well have been hallucinating, but thought there was an article which stated that RBSL/BAE was contemplating establishing an intermediate level armor repair facility in Poland? 🤔

    • In many ways, I hope it was a mine strike as it’d be pretty survivable for the crew and tank- although the area did seem to be under Russian fire in the video. The whole area that the recording vehicle was moving through seemed to have been hit by artillery or similar in the very recent past.
      I did wonder if it might be an attack helicopter that did it, they’ve got the latest version of the KA-52 with newer ATGMs. I don’t know if they’d do the job, but if any Russian missile would I guess it’d be an air launched heavyweight ATGM! One of them into the enginer compartment, junking the power pack and causing a significant fire that corresponds with the amount of black smoke billowing around, potentially entering the crew compartment. The barrel isn’t “drooped”, so I’m guessing no power/hydraulics loss (is that still a thing on modern tanks?), there’s no obvious flames or smoke coming out of the open commander’s hatch, and the ammo bins don’t look to have blown out- so I’m guessing nothing penetrated into the crew compartment. But hard to tell much from barely 3 seconds of blurry footage…

  9. That rear of the challenger doesn’t look right. The turret maybe.
    Highly questionable video. I’d wait for the official report before publishing this article. Especially given that the information is coming from Twitter, of all places.

  10. If it is a Challenger and they can recover it, then it needs to be brought home for analysis and repaired if possible. We need to understand what did the damage and its vulnerabilities. I have read that the Russians are sticking AT Mines up to 4 deep, if true then god knows how you avoid major damage.
    Meanwhile send them a replacement and help them to help us.

    • Also worth bearing in mind the Russians are also operating their newer KA-52M helicopters in this area, which have longer range ATGMs.
      I could imagine that a heavyweight air-launched ATGM into the engine compartment could do this kind of damage as well. Not sure if they’re good enough to punch through Dorchester with one round, but the number of people who do know that kind of thing are probably not commenting about it on here!
      Otherwise, a mobility kill followed up by artillery or other ATGM fire makes sense to me.

      • Agree. Likely mine caused immobility then hit by other ordance. Possibly a few close artillery rounds. It’s doesn’t look like the structure of the tank has been totally lost just lots of fire damage. Can’t see if the armour has been penetrated or not.

        • Since posting I’ve seen a slow-mo version of the video on the BBC website, no obvious smoke coming out of the crew compartment or gun muzzle, so the main compartment may well be intact. Hopefully not terrible damage, but either way I hope we’ll be sending more. I am honestly struggling to understand why we’ve only sent 14…

          • I too think that 14 was a feeble number to send - should have beenI too think that 14 was a feeble number to send - should have been 31 plus some Attrition Reserve 31 plus some Attrition Reserve
            
      • Joe wrote:
        “”I could imagine that a heavyweight air-launched ATGM into the engine compartment could do this kind of damage as well. “”

        From what I can see, the part of the tank which has suffered the strike not only is the side facing away from the enemy, but that side also has the luxury of high ground covering it . As for the KA52M, there is no doubt that its job is to kill tanks, but the main problem it has , is it does not have a fire and forget capability, meaning the gunner has to keep aiming at the target until the missile hits. With that in mind, Id suspect the cross hairs are kept centre mass rather than dedicated targeting at selective parts seen as the Ukrainians have shot down so many of them.

        • Yeah, you’re quite right- the cameraman needs to take some lessons in how to properly frame the important elements of a composition! :p
          True, even with the newest missiles I don’t think they have that capability. But I read that those new types do outrange the mobile SHORAD systems, so they can at least fire them from outside of the Ukrainian defence envelope. Despite their losses, the KA-52s have reportedly been giving the Ukrainians headaches during the counteroffensive at least at first. May be wrong though, air defence missiles obviously come in many flavours, and those truck mounted ASRAAM launchers we sent them recently would probably serve mobile assault forces pretty well.

      • Unlikely to be a lot of Dorchester protecting the engine compartment!

        It has louvred covers to let the engine heat out – its not going to be ATGM resistant.

        Turret roof does not get a lot of armour protection either.

  11. These tanks are designed to take an awful lot of punishment but the crew survived thanks to its Chobham armour challenger 3 will be a game changer live and learn is what will be the mods main battle tanks will give its crew much more protection
    .

    • While CR3 offers many improvements over CR2 i don’t think it will be a Game Changer as such- if an Anti Tank Mine can blow the Tracks off of one it will do the same to the other,i think its an evolutionary upgrade rather than a revolutionary one.

    • If its burnt out internally then I doubt is is repairable…and it did look like flames were shooting out of the open turret hatches.

  12. No doubt in my mind a Chally 2 sadly let’s hope the crew survived 🙏 .And took out some Russian Armour and give them hell 🇺🇦

  13. The day of the main battle tank is long over. There is no invincible tank. Money should be spent developing weapons for the modern battlefield like cheap drones and better artillery.

    • Agreed on spending money on Arty, but not so much Arty but the projectiles (more smart munitions) disagree about the day of the tank is long over! By that thought process the day of the tracked and wheeled vehicle is also over?

      • If the day of the tank is over, why does every Ukrainian and Russian assault seem to be supported by them? Why is Ukraine always asking for more? Why is Russia keen to boost it’s tank production numbers?

        • Perhaps because neither side in this conflict has air superiority in combination with air launched anti-armour smart weapons? What happens to armour when the opposing side does have those things?

          Seems like this has been NATO doctrine since before GW1. Take out the GBAD, take out the opposing air force and control the skies above manpad reach. It will be very difficult to hide ground based assets in such a scenario with today’s persistent drone surveillance capability above manpad height and the likelihood of persistent LEO satellite surveillance sometime in the 2030’s. We might not expect Russia to field such a capability but we should assume China will be able to.

          Clearly APS is trying to address the ground vehicle vulnerability but it may only be effective against the first on-target weapon if the shrapnel from destroying it continues on to shotgun blast the sensors and significantly degrade or prevent further effective defence. Smart weapons enable efficient multiple on-target hits, so future armour APS may be called on to defend against multiple on-target hits in rapid succession.

          • Indeed but here’s the thing: After NATO controls the skies what comes along with the ground forces? Tanks.

            Leaving aside the whole “Air superiority won’t always be achievable” angle, you still need tanks to support infantry.

          • When you have nothing else to support infantry then a tank will have to do but its not optimal for today’s or future battlefields. Let’s not lose sight of the fact that regardless of what armour the destroyed CH2 might have had, it was still taken out of the battle by a mine and then destroyed by a loitering munition but could as easily have been a smart artillery round if the Russians actually had any. Nothing on CH3 would have prevented losing a track and damaged running gear. Maybe APS would have prevented the hit from a first loitering munition, more questionable about the ability to do so on subsequent attacks though; the top of tank is always more vulnerable as well.

            Still, infantry support is probably primarily why we ended up going for Challenger 3, because we don’t have a modern IFV with a modern 30mm, let alone one with a CT40 for over match support, in any plans, or any plans for an equivalent to the M10 Booker assault gun. We also don’t have a modern mobile heavy 120mm mortar capable of firing smart rounds, like AMOS or NEMO. We also don’t have modern tube and rocket artillery yet and may not have enough of it in the future. So we basically don’t have any heavy support for infantry apart from CH2/3.

            BUT if we went down the path of a modern AFV, plus all the modern indirect fire weapons with smart rounds, coupled with the persistent surveillance I mentioned, then we would be able to call down accurate fire on both line of sight AND indirect targets. We could use what will be an eye-watering budget for any follow-on brand new tank after CH3 (with all the protection measures its going to need) to develop a far more capable and flexible armed force without MBTs.

            Either way, with tanks or my suggested alternative, we will need comprehensive VSHORAD/SHORAD, but leveraging indirect fire we can remove assets from the most exposed frontline positions. We can largely eliminate the threat of mines to indirect fire assets such as mortars, as well as ATGM attacks from dismounted troops, vehicles, or even from attack helicopters that would be too vulnerable to operate far enough forward to target the mortars.

          • Sorry, but the US lost over 7,000 tanks on the Western Front between 1944 and 1945. Does it follow that the tank was obsolete in 1944? Of course not. One, even many, destroyed tanks mean very little, just as one killed infantry soldier means very little. Losses will happen in war.

            If you are bothered about an MBT going down, and IFV will definetly go down (oh and btw even a 40mm CTA is not a comperable match for a 120mm). Infantry needs a variety of supports and it’s not a case of 1 size fits all. You will need something that can carry then and provide some self defence.

            Indirect fires are not a substitution for direct fires. These are complimentary capabilities. If you want to use a platform that is meant for indirect fires in a DF line of sight method, you’ll soon find that you’ll have to armour it and before you know it, you’ll have an MBT (which are generally capable of IDF anyway, they’re just not optimized for it).

            I’d also suggest you take a moment to think about the disadvantages of indirect fires over direct fires. Indirect fires are never as immediate as direct fires, nor, even with drone spotting, will they be as accurate, and will also require a bigger EW signature to operate.

            Then there’s also the issue of what you have to go through to stop a tank. If your enemy has MBT’s then every section needs AT weapons, I’m not even going to touch on anything else you’d need. Just forcing every section to carry an NLAW is already putting a penalty on them over what their ATGM free infantry opponents will be dealing with.

            No professional army, including the two currently fighting in Ukraine, thinks that the Tank has had it’s day. In fact both the Russians and the Ukrainians are constantly trying to scrounge every tank they can get their hands on.

          • Sorry, but the US lost over 7,000 tanks on the Western Front between 1944 and 1945. Does it follow that the tank was obsolete in 1944? Of course not.

            Those tanks were mostly destroyed by other tanks.
            The battleship was also not obsolete when also were other battleships destroying it.
            If the tanks will be destroyed mostly by other assets then the question needs to be made and answered: for what the 120mm smoothbore gun is necessary.
            This do not even mean a vehicle with a gun is not necessary, but will it be the 70t MBT?

          • That’s not really true, for starters see the image below, First Army (that’s the army that ended up taking most of the Ardennes Offensive on the chin so probably the most representative for tank on tank losses), lost 900 tanks between Normandy and the end of the War.

            Of those only half where due to gunfire of all types. That’s tanks, assault guns, and anti-tank gun emplacements.

            Now the most produced German tank of WWII was the Panzer IV, with about 9,000 produced, on the other hand the most produced towed AT gun, the Pak 75 had about 23,000 produced. But lets be generous and give 1st Army’s gun losses a 50/50 split between tanks and towed AT emplacements.

            That means that the US Army that was on the recieving end of the Wehrmachts biggest armoured thrust, only lost about 250 out of 900 destroyed tanks to enemy tank fire.

            That’s about 1/3, so not “mostly”.

            https://i0.wp.com/www.dupuyinstitute.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Attrition-Fig.-50.png

            As for your next point, it’s falling into the typical trap of thinking that a vehicle other than an MBT will be less vulnerable to battlefield threats. It won’t be. If you want a fire support vehicle it’ll have to be heavily armoured. MBT’s aren’t slow, and it’s hard to go faster than an MBT off road.

            That’s not to say the 120mm will always be the answer, and there have been tanks in the past that can fire ATGM’s from their guns, the tank will evolve. But the basic mechanics of the battlefield means that there will for the foresable future be a tank.
            https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/58/MGM-51.jpg

            (I don’t really want to try and decipher that battleship line, it’s giving me a headache XD )

          • You are entirely ignoring the points I’ve already made and introducing a strawman argument. I never stated losing 1, 100, 1,000 or even 10,000 MBTs made tanks obsolete, my point is that there are better ways of supporting infantry today and those will only get better in the near future in defence terms, i.e. next 10-20 years. The clue was me talking about the CH3 replacement. The only reason I advocate for IFVs with 30/40mm is to provide some covering fire/support for dismounts, since you need some type of vehicle to move them. APCs will not be enough on their own, assuming only light armament. And yes any vehicle right on the frontline will be vulnerable, which is why we have Leonardo and partners working on the Icarus APS program to deliver a lower cost, more affordable system to counter ATGM as well as UAS with the goal to mitigate losses across many more platforms than just MBTs.

            I also wasn’t advocating using a system like AMOS/NEMO in a direct fire role, even though they are capable of it. Not sure why you assumed I was. I also stressed the use of smart munitions, not dumb indirect fire rounds. The combination of accurate targeting from modern and developing surveillance with smart munitions provides the accuracy, including for targets that a direct fire weapon cannot see to target. Immediacy of support is coming. I fully expect small troop units in future to be fed processed, actionable, surveillance data for targeting in close to real time, using networked assets from low level drones through to LEO satellites, leveraging the SDA capabilities being developed today.

            I already addressed why using feedback from Russia and Ukraine needs today ignores the fact neither side has air dominance. Why are you repeating it?

          • regardless of what armour the destroyed CH2 might have had, it was still taken out of the battle by a mine and then destroyed by a loitering munition

            It’s not a strawman argument, it’s directly addressing this line of yours. No matter how well protected tanks are, you’ll always loose some. That includes to mines, hand held AT weapons, or artillery, whatever.

            I wasn’t assuming you where advocating using ATMOS in a DF role, I was pointing out the capability provided by a tank and the issues with using things other than tanks to try and fill the void left if we stopped using them.

            As for feeding troops data, I don’t think so. EW signature gives away your position, and soldiers have to carefully manage theirs. As long as an EW signature can give away your position, or be interrupted, immediacy of support by IDF will never replicate a direct fire platform. Seriously, the twitter and online stream view of war might paint a picture of troops constantly being in the loop with what is being fed to them via smart devices but the truth is anything but. It’s a constant battle, finding signal, risking com scheds, and having to scoot after EW bursts (talking first hand experience here). The only way a war would work the way you are painting it is if you have total EW superiority, in which case you probably also have superiority in enough domains that it’s more of an asymetric counter insurgency than a peer on peer conflict.

            Why am I repeating it? Because I do not accept your position, and I refuted your “air superiority” points, so it bears repeating (in fact I expanded on it but you chose to ignore that since we’re now accusing each other of ignoring points)

          • Its a strawman argument because I never said the loss of a tank made it obsolete. Please quote me where I said it made it obsolete. If we can’t get past this point then I can’t see much point in pursuing the rest of the discussion after this post.

            You wrote “If you want to use a platform that is meant for indirect fires in a DF line of sight method, you’ll soon find that you’ll have to armour it and before you know it, you’ll have an MBT (which are generally capable of IDF anyway, they’re just not optimized for it).” I never made that point so you again made an argument against something I didn’t write or even imply. This is the very definition of a strawman.

            What you write regarding the EW vulnerability and mitigations is true today and may or may not continue to be true in the future timeframe I outlined. Either way that doesn’t mean its invalidated. A MBT on the frontline is far more detectable versus just EW emissions from infantry.

            Was the following quote you refuting my air superiority points because I’m not seeing anything else?

            “Leaving aside the whole “Air superiority won’t always be achievable” angle, you still need tanks to support infantry.”

            If so then I would be curious what scenarios you see where we would be deploying MBTs but not establishing air superiority. BTW, when I say “we” I mean the UK and its allies. But if you have scenarios where just the UK is deploying then by all means include them.

          • Yes, but USA is evidently already drawing conclusions re current battlefield survivability of Abrams, before the first M1A1 arrives in UKR. Article in DefenseNews.com (6 Sep 23) stated M1A2SEPv4 program has been summarily cancelled, and the Army is now proposing a M1E3 version (w/ due R&D and contractor input). Unstated subtext of article would probably include the observation that staff officers are duly alarmed re MBT survivability longer term. Prediction: Enhanced MBT protection will materialize as an AUKUS Pillar 2 program at some point. Imagine everyone would prefer forcefields and phasers, but may be forced to settle for DEWs in the nearer term. 🤔

          • As of this moment, only the Israeli Trophy active protection system (APS) has been proven in combat, to protect the tank against multiple ATGW and RPGs. However, it does have a couple of weaknesses.

            The first is the number of effector reloads, which have to be replenished from outside of the vehicle. How many reloads does it hold? The original only had one reload per turret, but that has since been upgraded. There will be a line in the sand, where it will run out of effectors.

            The effectors are similar in effect to how a Claymore works. An explosive charge throws pre-formed tungsten cubes towards the threat. These cubes will shred soft skinned threats, such as RPGs and ATGMs. However against a denser artillery shell it will have minimal effect, unless its lucky enough to strike and detonate the fuze. Artillery shell like the SMART155 and semi-active laser homing (SALH) Excalibur, could be vulnerable to Trophy’s effector, as their sensors can be damaged/destroyed by the tungsten cubes.

            Similarly, a MBT fired armour piercing fin stabilized discarding sabot (APFSDS). The long rod penetrator made out of tungsten alloy or depleted uranium, which is travelling at a really high velocity, will not be deflected by the small tungsten cubes of the effector.

            You could also ague that the four AESA radar panels could be damaged by splinters or from machine gun fire etc. But that no different to the tank’s optics. Plus have four separated panels does give some redundancy.

            APS will become the very necessary requirement for vehicles to survive on the modern battlefield. Other APS systems like the Iron Fist have shown that their explosive effectors not only can defeat RPGs and ATGW, but can also deflect APFSDS during trials. Currently not enough to make the round miss the target. could the concussive force of one of these effector deflect an artillery shell’s course, enough to miss the target? I think the explosive effector will be the way forward, but it will either need a much larger charge to have a greater effect on the threat. Or the effector will need to be able to control the direction in which the concussive force is directed. Thereby focusing the blast concussion directly at the side of the threat, so more energy can deflect it away from the target.

            On a different note in a previous discussion, I mentioned that the radar that is used for APS, could also be used for other airborne threat searching and tracking. If this was linked to a RWS, the vehicle would have a modicum of air defence. Depending on what weapon was fitted to the RWS. Another example would be Ajax (stop swearing!) with its 40mmm CTAS. Which has a really high elevation (+75 degrees), plus has an effective range out to 2500m at least. If coupled to an APS radar could provide an effective anti-aircraft/drone system.

            Pity they didn’t make a 57mm CTAS gun. Then it could also use the smart ammo developed for the Bofors 57mm gun. With the shells repackaged in the telescoping cases. But now with increased muzzle velocity for an increase in effective range. Ajax with a 57mm autocannon firing smart ammunition, Ooh, suits you sir!

          • Hi Davey, the CT40 already fires:
            KE-AB : Kinetic Energy AirburstAir Defence ammunition to defeat aerial threats
            Leveraging proven Airburst technology, the KE-AB munition delivers a payload of tungsten pellets with a directional terminal effect. It is particularly effective against all aerial threats, as well as certain ground applications such as infantry or blinding vehicle optics or antennas.

            and:

            GPR-AB-T : General Purpose Round – Airburst – TracerDefeat behind-cover or dug-in targets
            Delivers an air-bursting detonation above the target at a range of 60 to 2,500 m. This programmable high-explosive ammunition is optimised for fragmentation effects, providing coverage of up to 125 m² on the ground or behind obstacles. It is particularly effective against certain ground applications such as infantry or blinding vehicle optics or antennas.

            Both natures are programmed before firing by an installed AB programmer using lased range.

          • Hi Ian, cheers, I knew the CTAS40 could fire programable shells, hadn’t realised there were at least two types.

            I still stand by my conviction, in that the Ajax fitted with an APS which uses radar to detect threats, could be upscaled to become an effective anti-air platform using its CTAS40. Along with the programmable ammo, it could be just as effective as the Gepard in taking out small drones, as well as low flying cruise missiles.

            Still feel there is a case of developing the CTAS40 to a 57mm calibre. Where it could then use the smart rounds such as ALAMO, ORKA or MAD-FIRES. The telescoping case holds more propellent than a standard case. Which means it generates a greater range. The can style packaging also makes it easier to design feed and handling systems.

            The Raytheon/DARPA MAD-FIRES in particular could be a game changer, if it ever gets in to production. From the information I’ve gleaned from the publicly released information. It has a slightly better effective range than Leonardo’s DART fired by the 76mm gun. Which I take is due to it being a rocket assisted sabot round, where it it’s really a gun fired missile. Unfortunately at the moment, this technology cannot be scaled down to a 40mm calibre.

          • Hi Davey,
            The AJAX could already be an effective counter UAS platform. It has very good TI sights, a clever auto detect and tracking system and turret cueing. I would imagine the icing on the cake would be an AESA radar with it’s longer range. If the turret were modified to use the WR AHS which has/had a larger round capacity then more bang! In a fantasy world, a heavily redesigned turret could mount 2 40mm CTA cannons with an AHS each side and radar in the middle👍😎

          • Hi Ian, that’s a good point in regards to Ajax’s extant sensors. Though I’d be surprised if they could detect the small toy like drones, until they got really close. Unless the drone is seriously working the battery, it won’t be massively hot for a thermal camera to detect from distance. Whereas, a X-band, Ka/Ku or W band radar will detect these small drones at a minimum a couple of km away.

            In a fantasy world, I’d also include a vertically mounted container on the rear of the vehicle. It would contain at least 8 vertically launched “Starstreak 3”. These are soft launched and use tail mounted reaction jets to point the missile at the target. Instead of three darts, it uses a single unitary fuselage that contains a larger multi-function programmable warhead and includes proximity fuzing. Which means the missile can be used to intercept tactical ballistic missiles, rockets, cruise missiles as well as aircraft.

            Sadly I don’t work for Thales!

          • Good points to make on APS Davey. Based on past comments I’ve seen, I suspect some look on APS as providing a “cloak of invulnerability” when it should really be considered as a mitigation, with hopefully a very high if not 100% protection against the first on target weapon (except for APFSDS), with reducing probability of protection for subsequent on target weapons due to sensor shrapnel damage. But that still raises the bar significantly for an enemy to achieve either a kill or disablement/mission kill by requiring multiple on target hits and perhaps restricted to only one segment/quadrant of the APS shield. BTW many moons ago I had also observed that a team comprising ATGM launcher plus anti-material sniper might be the low cost way to take out the AESA to leave a quadrant/segment unprotected just prior to firing the ATGM, albeit a potentially suicidal technique if the vehicle survives to return fire.

            As Ian M observed, CT40 has the airburst natures for ground and air counters and as you noted depending on turret design can have a very high barrel elevation. It would seem a natural fit for Boxer, either as a dedicated VSHORAD/SHORAD vehicle or just as one of the two natures loaded in a ground role, given the UK’s lack of SHORAD. However, I suspect we are also going to need laser and/or EW VSHORAD counters for UAS to provide a very deep magazine with extremely rapid response time and target tracking to counter fast moving swarm attacks. In the context of your 57mm ideas its perhaps also worth recalling why we pursued CT40; namely over-match against 30mm armed AFVs that dominate today but without compromising the magazine depth since there are never enough rounds when needed. 57mm even as a CTAS solution would probably compromise the load out for armoured vehicle applications more than might be desirable.

            The UK’s Icarus program, which started in 2017, announced late 2021 that they had successfully trialed and demonstrated a Modular Integrated Protection System (MIPS). There is a potential 2027 date given by DSTL for a MIPS system derived from the Icarus program being brought into service. The scope was expanded during the program so MIPS can also support a wider range of threat defeat capabilities such as countering UAS, counter-surveillance and ground-based air defence activities. So perhaps any vehicle fitted with a system might be able to use the AESA sensors for EW too in that context. Leonardo UK clearly has the IP for such an AESA solution.

            https://www.gov.uk/government/news/icarus-advances-armoured-vehicle-protection

    • Well it would seem that Ukraine and Russia both disagree as they are pretty much using their armour all the time…im sure if you told the Ukrainian army they did not need armour they would tell you otherwise. Artillery can deny ground and prevent movement, but it cannot take ground or generate movement..it’s the same with drones.

      • The other thing is there never was an invincible tank. As early as 1917 there where anti-tank defences that would, and did, frequently knock out tanks.

        It’s like if I posted a video of a bunch of grunts dead in a trench and everyone went “Infantry is obsolete.” Nope. Sometimes one side gets an advantage over the other and knocks out some of their blokes and equipment.

        • Indeed war is not a game, armed forces are using every skill and ability the have to kill or destroy the opponent…it’s a bit of modern western hubris that had lead to this whole invincibility thing…we did not have that until the fall of the Berlin Wall and then the fall of Iraq with very few losses. Before that we always knew that any war was going to be bloody…essentially however awful it sounds now it was alway assumed that in the case of a war with the Soviet Union we were not getting the BAOR back…it did not make all those armoured formations redundant…infact their very purposes was to stand until destroyed to give time and a buffer to prevent a nuclear option being needed.

          in the years 1944 to 1945 just the British army lost 4500 tanks and that was when we were for most of that time advancing against a strategically exhausted enemy and with complete air superiority. Tanks were not redundant then either. No one ever said frigates and destroyers were redundant because the RN lost three ships over four days at the battle of San Carlos.

          it’s a strange view that losses make something redundant…as that would make everything the armed forces have redundant really as everything can and does get destroyed, as one side will alway get its way.

          • I recall that the whole point of BAOR and its allies in a hot war was to fight a withdrawal in contact for as long as it took politicians to decide to press the nuclear button. They needed plenty of thinking time.

            Tanks are the best protected weapons systems on the battle field, so why do people say lets get rid of our most potent and survivable direct fire equipment?

          • From everything I read Graham the expectation was that all of the armies on the IGB would end up being shattered with the soul purpose to give time and hopefully some small option to get Russia to blink before the wests nuclear button was pressed. Also the level of forces ensured the Soviet Union had to make a maximum effort and not allow the nibbling away of territory or less than maximum effort…it was effectively a strategic defence based around creating a mutual blood bath of armies followed by mutual assured destruction…of course part of that would be the use of space for time…but in the end the inner German boarder was not that far from the boarder of France..and France had always made it clear that at the point a soviet army crossed its boarders it was going to trigger MAD….so there was not so much space to trade for time…so most of that time was going to be purchased in shattered units.

            yes the whole tanks are redundant brigade’s arguments have generally been as poorly thought out as the carriers are redundant brigade..combined arms forces will by necessity change to manage new threats but it will not change the need for an offensively focused capability that balances mobility, fire power and protection… from 600BC to the early campaign of WW1 that was provided by heavy Calvary ..from WW1 onwards its been the tank and at present that’s still human operated MBT…maybe in generation it will be something a bit different…but not now. Tanks will only be finished when when the ubiquitous infantry firepower and protection overcomes the tanks firepower and protection or there is a far superior capability developed ( as happened to heavy Calvary….infantry firepower could easily overcome its protection and infantry protection wire, trenching and earthworks overcame its firepower). So once the standard infantry weapon ( rifle) can come overcome a tanks protection..and it’s firepower is no longer overwhelming it will become pointless….but I’m not seeing any standard infantry weapon that can do that unless someone invents a hand held standard issue Infantry Particle beam rifle or plasma beam rifle and I would say we are a lifetime away from that.

          • A point of interest, I’d recommend the book “Horsemen in No Man’s Land” which takes a deep dive into the British Cavalry in WW1, using their casualty statistics, regimental diaries, and, where available, the same from the German side, to actually look at their actions. Paints a pretty interesting picture of a capability that was actually far from obsolete, and was done over by popluar narrative, badly recalled eyewitness testimonies from 20 years later and internal MoD politics.

          • Interesting post. Back to BAOR days – I believe we may have used the term ‘delaying battle’ back in the day. Certainly NORTHAG and CENTAG in a hot war would have traded space for time by fighting delaying battle(s) to buy the politicians time to have a lovely chat and finally decide to approve release of Tactical Nuclear Weapons. That would have happened well before we were rolled back to the Franco-German border. What would have happened after release of tac nukes (air and ground launched) is anyone’s guess!

            I don’t see a drive for the Infantry to one day adopt weapons that could replace the tank…and I don’t see that the evolution of the rifle would be that route. The Infantry has anti-tank weapons now of course but they do not replace the tank.
            Historically a successful army has always had the 3 components – Infantry, Artillery, Cavalry. [Cavalry of course evolved into the two subsets of armoured recce and tanks, in the 20th Century]. I don’t see that ‘holy trinity’ changing ever.

            Battle ships became obsolete for a host of reasons – the cost to build, operate and maintain; the eventual limited range of their guns compared to missiles and carrier aircraft; their vulnerability to destruction by submarines and aircraft. I don’t see that the tank is in the same position – whilst some question their vulnerability (but isn’t everything?), they are still affordable and deliver huge effect.

          • Nobody really suggests a credible alternative. It’s always “lightly armoured faster moving vehicles” as if Tanks weren’t fast moving, and the answer to accurate guided weapons is… less protection, or IDF (because Artillery is a substitute for direct fires apparently, or Artillery that can moonlight in a direct fire role, so a much worse tank).

            Honestly I think it’s a deep set desire to be the next wave of people smugly pointing out how obsolete Battleships where in WW2 (even though Battleships were not obsolete in WW2 and continued to provide an important role throughout but that sort of nuance gets lost 😛 )

          • Yep the battle ship was never obsolete they Simply became to expensive for what they provided. Armoured gun armed warships were still a thing right up until the last quarter of the 20C…after all then General B was sent to the bottom not because it was pointless but because it would have shredded any RN frigate or destroyer that it got within range of….the sverdlovs were considered a realistic threat until the end of the Cold War. The mighty Mo as the last battleship would have been essentially immune to anything other than heavy weight torpedoes If supported by an interested air defence system.

        • It’s like if I posted a video of a bunch of grunts dead in a trench and everyone went “Infantry is obsolete.” 

          That is the incorrect way of thinking.
          For something to be obsolete there is need something better to exist that replaces it.
          Until battlefield robots appear there is no alternative to the human infantry.

          You can have a causality rate of 40% for some device and if there is no better alternative it will still be the best option.

          • That’s an incorrect way of thinking? No shit? It’s almost like I was holding up something that was wrong and comparing it to the way people are treating MBTs.

    • There is no invincible IFV, APC, SPG, truck, helicopter, trench, dismounted soldier… and never has been.
      Why don’t we scrap the entire army?

      The tank remains the best protected vehicle on the battlefield. Everything else has less protection.

    • I am not convinced. You could have argued that the day of the surface warships was over given the numbers that were sunk and damaged during the Falklands War, instead the UK upped its air defence technology and procedures.

      It is the continuous cycle of measure/countermeasure. along with the evolution of tactics and training.
      I imagine right now various NATO countries are devising new anti-drone / counter artillery / along with de-mining technology and practices.

      Looking at the info here it appears something quite heavy took out the CH2 possibly a stacked AT mine or a heavy ATGM fired from a helicopter.

  14. Romania acquires Korean K-2 Black Panther MBTs and K-9 Thunder self-propelled howitzers

    It’s reassuring to see that countries are still prepared to invest in MBTs and increase their defence spending.

    “On July 7, 2023, during a conference on industrial defense cooperation between Romania and South Korea, General Teodor Incicaș, the head of the Romanian Directorate General for Armaments, made a significant announcement. He revealed Romania’s intention to further advance its military modernization by acquiring approximately 300 new combat tanks.

    Romania demonstrates unwavering determination by increasing its military capabilities with projected defense expenditures reaching 2.5% of its GDP in 2023. This commitment aligns with NATO’s recommendations urging its members to enhance collective security within the alliance.

    Amidst the backdrop of the Ukrainian conflict, Romania stands as a model student, wholeheartedly embracing the modernization of its military arsenal.

    By considering the acquisition of cutting-edge combat tanks like the K-2 Black Panther and K-9 Thunder howitzers, produced by Hyundai Rotem, Romania reaffirms its dedication to preserving regional security and actively contributing to NATO’s consolidation.

    This proactive approach situates Romania at the forefront of endeavours aimed at ensuring stability and peace in Eastern Europe.”

    LINK

  15. Sad news. Hope the crew got out safely. Certainly looks like a CR2 to me. Clearly we did not supply the tanks with TES Kit probably because we did not have enough to spare. AFAIK the British Army has not lost a tank to enemy action since we lost 5 tanks in the Korean War – so a great shame that a British tank in UKR hands has been lost.
    No reason why this tank cannot be recovered – we supplied UKR with 2 CRARRVs and the UKR crews were well trained in the UK. Just need the tank to be in territory held by Friendly Forces.
    As for repair, who knows. Was that a fire in the turret area? That could have done immense damage, that would not probably be repairable in Theatre, if at all. I could certainly believe that the crew (or some) survived and may have set fire to the tank to deny it to the enemy.

  16. Will (can?) the UK MOD replace CR2’s lost in combat by Ukraine is now a valid question. We only supplied 12 and presumably 1 or 2 will be reserved for training purposes and 1 or 2 more will be in the workshops. So at best 82nd Air Assault Brigade has one weak tank company with 9, now 8, operational CR2s. A few more losses and that company will be hors de combat. Without replacements, the CR2 isn’t going to have a long service life in the Ukrainian Army – less than a year? But maybe that is okay, the donation has served its purpose and several hundred Leopard 1 and 2 tanks are heading for the Ukraine. Perhaps the surviving CR2’s will be held in reserve for a while, before quietly being given back to the UK.

    • Indeed the purpose was to lead the way and make a political statement, to state the ball rolling on getting the leapard 2s not knocking the challenge ( as it’s a a very good tank) but a handful of a lots of types of tanks is not what you need, what Ukraine needs is lots of easy to maintain and manage leapard 2 tanks…the mix of different western hulls and legacy soviet hulls must be a nightmare for logistics. What would be ideal is enough leapard 2s so alll the Soviet and other hulls can be retired into reserves.

    • We supplied 14 CR2s (Qty 10 for the AB unit’s tank company (that is their Orbat figure, unlike our 14 figure for a tank sqn) and 4 Attrition Reserve) and 2 CRARRVs. None will be in UKR in a trg role – their guys got trained in the UK beforehand.

      The UKR tank coy has lost one out of their 10 and will draw a replacement from the 4 Attrition Resrve tanks. So no need for UK to supply any more at the moent, although we were stingy to only give them 14 in the first place.

      No-one expects any of the remaining 13 CR2s to be sent back to the UK at any time and especially not mid-war – we don’t need them – we gifted them not loanded them.

  17. There is always losses in war unfortunately, a pack of hyenas can take out an outnumbered lion. Hopefully the crew survived to fight another day, I’m sure the remaining challenger 2’s will take out more russian tanks than the 14 that was sent.

        • Not a numpty. There’s no such thing as a stupid question, unless it’s rhetorical (something I’m occasionally guilty of).

      • I would think closing hatches is the last thing on the crews mind as they try to get away from a vehicle that can go bang very spectacularly!

        • Running towards a potential contact was the last thing on my mind, especially as they probably had 5*AKs and I had a Browning High Power with 10 rounds.

          I did what I was trained to do. I advanced.

          • It does sound non-sensical that advancing to contact is safer than falling back. But it has been proved correct time and time again. You cannot allow the enemy time to plan, otherwise you can be outflanked. You must take the initiative away from the enemy aggressively and outfight them.

            As Gunny Highway said: “Show me your war face!”

            Its disturbing looking back on “one’s” tours and thinking how the feck did I get out of that? Training, training and more training. Knowing that your mates would stand by your shoulder and have your back, was I think the crucial factor above all else.

  18. The tanks we send to Ukraine have no air support to speak of and no NATO country would have attempted any of the tank operations now ongoing

    It we need to be critical let’s bear this in mind

  19. Regarding the obsolescence of MBTs, who would pick to be in the army with no tanks fighting against the army with tanks?

    • To add to your equation:
      If your the army with no tanks, you’ll need every section to have some kind of AT capability, such as an NLAW. You’ll also need your Battalions to have Javelin analogue sections.
      Meanwhile the infantry boys in the army with tanks can leave their ATGM’s at home, and instead carry more ammunition into the fire fight. Or lighter Anti-Structure munitions and ammunition. Or leave both behind and fight with the same amount of ammunition as their opponents but be lighter on their feet.
      Decisions have weird second and third order effects.

      • It would be a similar situation to the First Wold War, how do you assault heavily defended fortifications protected by barbed wire, trenches and machine guns that are set up for enfilade etc? As per the First World War where the artillery couldn’t destroy the barbed wire, or suppress trench lines long enough. An armoured vehicle is required, preferably with tracks, as that means it can cross a trench. Hmm, it could do with a gun to either defeat or suppress the enemy, thereby allowing the following infantry a better chance of at least reaching and dealing with the fortifications. What was true in 1917 is still relevant today.

  20. I wonder if the upcoming Trophy APS on C3 will be able to shoot down things like Lancet….they seem to be configured for laterally approaching missiles. Lancet has been the only real decent kit to come out of RuZZia in this war, they are already developing mass launchers for these things, I hope the west defence industries and research is working on ways to nullify this threat.

    • Trophy was designed to deal with specifically ambush attacks in built up areas. Whereby the enemy would fire down on to the tank’s turret from above with RPGs. When Israel introduced the Merkava 4, they had an over border incursion against Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon (2006). They lost around 8 or more “brand new” tanks to these types of ambush along with the crews. They did also loose a few to standard ATGW hitting the tank, but the crews managed to get out with minor injuries and the tanks were later recovered.

      This led to an urgent requirement of a system that could not only detect an attack from above, but also employ something to defeat it. As the system had to defeat a manually fired unguided weapon, the system had to employ a kinetic method of taking out the threat to the tank. From this the Trophy active protective system (APS) was born. Initially it used radar to detect the threats, which has now been complimented with an optical based infrared approach warning system. Which means the system can operate passively, until a threat is detected. Whereby the radar is activated, which then tracks the threat/s allowing the targeting computer to work out an intercept point for the “effector/s”.

      The effector on Trophy, is similar to a Clymore mine. A flat plate of tungsten is pre-cut with squares and backed by an explosive charge. This is mounted to a two axis turret, that points the plate towards the threat. When detonated, the concussive force rips apart the plate, throwing the tungsten cubes in the direction of the threat. The maximum effective range is classified, but it will be similar to a Claymore. So anything within 50m will get shredded. The system has demonstrated that it can defeat RPGs, ATGMs and even a HEAT round. However, it cannot defeat a artillery shell or an armour piercing fin stabilized discarding sabot (APFSDS) round, as these are either too dense or have too high a velocity to deflect. The system does have an automatic reload, initially each of the two turrets only had one reload. After which one of the crew had to get out and replenish the turret. Leonardo have teamed up with the makers Rafael, to make the turret lighter along with some other upgrades, but have also included more reloads. Neither company has released how many reloads the turrets now contain, obviously! By using two turrets the system has redundancy, if one turret has fired off its effectors, as the tank’s main turret can be turned to uncover the 2nd effector turret. With both effector turrets working, the system gives the tank a full 360 degree and hemispherical coverage.

      Trophy has been fitted to Merkava since 2009, since that date Merkava 4 has been in a number of conflicts and they have yet to loose a tank fitted with the system. Hezbollah announced a prize fund for taking out a Merkava 4. They tried multiple types of ambushes using the latest Chinese, Russian and Iranian ATGW, including coordinated simultaneous attacks with a number of systems. All so far have been intercepted. But what is worse for the shooter is that with Trophy’s radar, the missile’s track can be followed back to the launch point. So the tank’s main gun can be aligned with it, or the coordinates given to 3rd parties.

      Just in case you mention, what about a top attack anti-tank missile? In trials Trophy defeated a Hellfire fired from an Apache. In theory Trophy should be able to defeat Lancet suicide drones along with the smaller “toy” drones carrying grenade/mortar shells. As these fly a lot slower and have a flimsier construction. The radar that Trophy uses is an X-band AESA, so it should detect these threats. I’m sure following how drones have been used to take out tanks in Ukraine, Israel would have tested the Merkava’s Trophy against these types of threats.

  21. if you bare in mind that ukraine is under strict orders that IF a Chally gets made immobile and they cannot recover, there are to destroy. funny how the T up the road is intact. all guessing at how.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here