The Ministry of Defence has confirmed that the Royal Air Force (RAF) has initiated a comprehensive Capability Investigation process to explore the future of combat aircrew training, including the procurement of successors to the Hawk T2 aircraft.
This investigation aims to assess options for aircraft, simulators, and a combined live/virtual training approach.
The findings from this Capability Investigation are eagerly awaited later this year, as they will shed light on the potential costs and timeline for the Hawk T2’s replacement training solution.
The information came to light in the following exchange. John Healey, the MP for Wentworth and Dearne, asked on 6th March 2024,
“To ask the Secretary of State for Defence, whether his Department has made an assessment of the potential merits of successors to the Hawk T2 aircraft.”
James Cartlidge, Minister of State (Ministry of Defence), answered:
“The RAF has already started its standard Capability Investigation process into the future of combat aircrew training; this comprehensive review will include the approach to the procurement of the replacement of the current Advanced Jet Trainer capability. The investigation will consider options for aircraft, simulators and associated combined live / virtual training, such that we can continue to deliver a world-class training capability for the UK Armed Forces. The Capability Investigation’s findings are expected later this year and will provide evidence on likely costs and timing of the replacement training solution to the Hawk T2.”
“deliver a world-class training capability”
Hmme the one that cannot deliver enough pilots in spite of queues of bods out of the doors wanting to be pilots?
Where flying desks is the order of the day and where more people leave part way through because it is so glacial that their years are up before they become type qualified…..that world class? Or have I missed something?
What we have ATM is a world class waste of resources with odd bottlenecks and strange decisions driven by odd accountancy conventions where bods spends years doing desk jobs they didn’t sign up for and are not interested in whist being paid to do them due to constraints in the training budgets…..
If the ominous signs on the Horizon are true, we need to kick it up a gear and fast.
It is ridiculous.
It is far faster to train the many willing pilots than to buy more aircraft.
If it came to conflict RAF would be saying [privately], ‘crews are exhausted can’t keep it up’……
We need to do both. Stop the withdrawing of service of the Typhoon T1s would be a start and properly assess if it is feasible to upgrade them to take the new ESA radar. If it can be done on time and on budget. Leave the upgraded T1, to defend the U.K. freeing up the T3 and T4 for frontline hostile space combat.
Given recent history. Banking on buying tempest will be a foolish mistake and if Tempest does arrive on time. Plenty of countries will be happy to buy a gen 4.5 jet
Fleets within fleets just drain resources and money. £2.35Bn is being spent on upgrading T2/3 fleet. Enhancing capability provides many more options across the whole fleet.
Fleets within fleets is just a load of Bo**cks used when they have cut the number of aircraft types to minimum. There are no plans at present to upgrade the T2s to the same standard as the T3s Co there will be another fleet within a fleet so let’s scrap the T2s The T1 is more than capable for its present role and the Spanish have fixed the obsolescence issues already and they are still chucking donkeys from church towers according to Al Murray. People need to wise up if the T1s go their numbers will not be replaced. So their role will have to done by the T2s . Back in the 80s when we had two different mks of Phantom and we needed extra aircraft to provide QRA for the Falklands we bought a sqn of ex us navy F4Js out of the boneyard and operated on 74 Sqn for about 8 years and virtually everything from the engines, ejection seat ( so aircrew had to use US survival equipment, harnesses and helmets) even the paint colour was different as the Yanks couldn’t colour match the RAF shade of grey. And that was while operating 3 versions of the Tornado GR1 , F2s complete with concrete in the nose, Harriers, Jags and buccaneers , hunters and about 6 different mk1 of Canberras. It was not uncommon to have fleets within sqns!
It can’t be upgraded to T3 standard Michael, Tranche one can be upgraded to a quisi T2 standard apparently, but not apparently at a reasonable cost….
It was always a ridiculous gaff that the base tranche 1airframe wasn’t capable of being upgraded..
Let’s face it, even a humble early 1980’s built F16A can be structurally upgraded for thousands of hours of additional service and have it’s avionics updated to close on block 70 standard….
Yet a Thypoon that was developed 10 years later and is an order of magnitude more expensive, can’t be..
The Hawk T2 was a political solution forced on the RAF, a tired old airframe design that quite frankly has been nothing but trouble.
The RAF should have bought one of advanced trainers the Italians excel at….
Aeralis shows great promise, I would like to have seen it become part of GCAP, the accompanying advanced trainer, light attack and UAV, there’s a lot of synergy between the two, with advanced manufacturing etc….
I do hope it isn’t still borne.
I cannot disagree but that is not how our politicians think.
To me it is better to tack onto the end of current T4 run and keep cost effective jets , with a world class ESA radar
You won’t find any F16As upgraded to the blk 70 standard.
Note I said near block 70 standard…..
Point being it’s an incredibly flexible platform able to be upgraded and refurbished over and over again, while the vastly more expensive Thypoon can only be upgraded at a snails pace at huge expense…
I the case of the tranche 1 jets, we as tax payers paid a fortune for, reduced to produce with half their design life remaining….
It’s piss poor.
But we aren’t the only nations doing that. Others have retired T1’s. The French have retired early Rafales. The USAF are retiring early F22s. Early Gripen’s have gone. They can be upgraded, at huge expense. F16 has the advantage of mass production over 40+ years.
Tell that to Taiwan.
I would rather see a new tranche four typhoon buy..to replace the T1s…this would give use a group of new airframes with lots of hours just incase the tempest is delayed ( which it will be)….the majority of the present typhoon fleet will be knackered and out of hours before tempest comes along. But I would not withdraw the T1 until they are replaced by a new buy of airframes….we are in a pre war state…that means nothing should be withdrawn unless it has been replaced….
I agree but until the politicians get real about defence. Every penny is a max security prisoner . We need to think here and now not bank on a jet that is bleeding edge tech and exists only in a computer. Although the Japanese partnership is encouraging
Things have improved drastically in the last 18 months. The hold wait time from completing the Hawk T2 phase, to joining the Typhoon OCU for example is less than a month. We also have capacity in the system to train new Ukrainian aircrew.
I’m really pleased to hear that.
What was going before was ridiculous and a waste of passion and enthusiasm never mind money.
What about the T1? Really a joint program or purchasing someone else’s trainer is the only proper options.
There aren’t many T1 left now.
Mostly Red Arrows I believe……….. There were 175 T1’s in the RAF many years ago….. That’s a tale in itself and just makes it clear just how far we have fallen since….. Cut’s Cut’s and more Cut’s….
The T1s were of no use as trainers, their cockpits were outdated, they had no radars so couldn’t exactly perform an air defense role either. And its actually cheaper to lease out the aggressor role.
Oh…… So we bought 175 of them and they were of no use ? …. how odd. 🤔
What I mean is in a modern context that’s why they were of no use.
There are some 100+ series Hawk, that are either available, or will be in the next few years.
Aeralis ?
It’s a concept modular design being proposed by a combination of different companies and Countries…. I’ll bet it comes to nothing.
Never going to fly. The RAF should buy T-50 knock down kits from south korea to assemble at BAE Wharton. The F-50 variant could be used for low cost air policing and point defense, but that would make too much sense.
That or the new Saab/Boeing Redtail.
Alenia M346 Master maybe?….already used by Israel,Italy and Poland. BAe had some input into the flight system.
The M346 would be my choice, a proven solution….
Way less performance than the T-50. The T-50 has near F-16 kinetics.
M346 is cheaper to operate than the T-50.
No it’s not. An engine overhaul runs over a million dollars, the M346 has two, and relatively obscure engines. The F404 is one of the most widespread and reliable engines ever built.
All the public domain info, is that M346 is cheaper to operate than T-50.
Air international, March 2024, page 76, ” Despite its twin engine configuration, the M346 is said to enjoy 20% lower Maintenance Man Hours per flying hour than the T-50″.
Maintenance man hours =/= maintenance cost. Notice the acrobatic wording. Poland is ditching the M-346 for the T-50.
The T-50 has a real motor and real combat kinetics. The M-346 is a warmed over subsonic trainer with obscure engines designed for an embargo’d Taiwan jet that never matured. In specific context, the engines of the M-346 came to be, because the customer (Taiwan) could not get its hands on the F404.
Buy the real thing, not the imitator. The RAF is known for making terrible short signed decisions, so maybe you’ll get to see your way.
What do you want to do? Poland is not ditching the M346, it is being pragmatic. M346 is cheapest for training, but if you want a light combat aircraft to fight Russia, then the extra cost & capability of the FA-50 is worth it to them.
It seems a decent plane and inspired by the F16 which is probably no bad thing. Shame we can’t develop our own from the Hawk the way the French squeezed every last drop of potential from the Mirage.
Totally agree.. south Korea 🇰🇷 TA 50 would be cheaper than trying to develop our own .. could also be used as a advanced aggressor training.. I’m a big fan of this aircraft but I’m also a big fan of the Gripen.. 48 T 50 aircraft would be cheap. A couple of simulators.. also 20 FA 50 so they can be used as advanced training and red arrows..
Still love to have Saab Gripen as E & F variants to replace the 32 tranche 1 typhoons used in QRA and aggressor roll.
48 T50’s and a couple of simulators. 48 T50s would not be cheap. And we will need far more than a couple of simulators. Flying training and ongoing frontline training now use simulators in a much wider scope.
Warton
The Lego aircraft. If it happens as advertised I will be amazed. Hard enough getting one aircraft into service. Never mind one that is actually 5 aircraft that will all require individual testing and certification. Jack of all trades but master of none I think.
People seem to think Aeralis is about swapping the wings between flights and having the same aircraft fill multiple roles simultaneously, but it isn’t. The idea is that the you buy a fleet of aircraft and can then convert them in a few weeks to move to the different roles as required. Say you have a larger than usual group reaching final training and you won’t be able to handle it, then you take 10 or so of the basic trainer with a month to spare and you change the engines out.
Or an airframe gets old and isn’t rated for manned flight anymore, so you give it an ISTAR fit out and use it as an unmanned intelligence platform or AAR buddy.
What they propose isn’t as radical as they would like you to think.
The airframe swap concept is still flawed aerodynamically. I have yet to see how they will solve this major issue?
No idea, but Aeralis’ do seem to have thought about it more in the last 2 years than in their entire previous existence.
I suppose it’s confirmation bias for me; I want Aeralis’ to work, so I imagine it does.
If it did work it would be great, but as you say there are hard limitations to the speed of “swapping” (hardly, more a rebuilding with modules) if you want an actually flyable aircraft in each role.
What they offer is great, but they haven’t really shown us what needs to be done whilst promising 2026 first flight (presumably the light trainer version)
I’ve read through their bumpf a few times now. I truly would like this to work, as I hate being a naysayer. But in this context they are over reaching! If they kept the airframe as a basic jet trainer, the airframe design they are promoting is more than suitable. But as an advanced trainer, the airframe is too small, its no bigger than a Hawk. So will have exactly the same issues of trying to fit the necessary avionics in a package that wont fit and therefore be reliant on emulations of radar, IRST etc. So it can’t be marketed as a advanced light attack aircraft and therefore misses out on potentially 50% of the peer market.
The advanced trainer they are promoting has been stated to be capable of transonic speeds. With such a statement, they have to be careful of the phrasing. As transonic means the Mach range between M0.9 and M1.2. So are they trying to say the aircraft is capable of supersonic speeds? If yes, then they will need to extend the flight control laws and find a means to accommodate the shift in the aircraft’s centre of pressure as speed increases and goes supersonic. Which is over and above the changes a subsonic aircraft will need.
Another issue is the planform shape. It is very reminiscent of the Hawk T1, which is no bad thing. But it does not take into account a lifting body or the use of vortex generation from leading edge root extensions or chines. The placement of the engine intake would preclude this. Compare this layout to the TA50, M346 and Saab T7? Therefore aerodynamically it will be limited in its angle of attack or high alpha manoeuvres.
Basic trainer yes, advanced no!
So in other words they’re basing a 2030s jet trainer off a 2000s jet trainer with none of the improvements since? I understand now, that’s a pretty major design/concept flaw.
Exactly, it’s there waiting for the first orders. The thing is a modern marvel and so versatile.
Nope…. It’s just a concept.
I don’t think concepts can be wind tunnel tested. Even without proper investment and a sense of urgency the first flight is planned for 2026.(Reportedly just announced.) It could be sooner if the MOD/RAF cracked the whip.
Concept Prototype then, that is yet to fly.
Just like Tempest then except BAE has already been granted £2b of taxpayers’ money and so far produced some videos and a mock up, just like Aeralis’.
Bit different as BAe alone have over a 1000 people working on FCAS, not to mention Italy and Japan.
How many Hawk replacements will the RAF buy?, no more than 40 if they include replacing the Red Arrows current fleet. What’s the point of having a bespoke aircraft when it will be considerably cheaper to buy an aircraft already in service – Redtail, Golden Eagle or M346?
One option given the time scales would be to develop trainers along with the tempest countries that work to speed up the process of preparing for tempest pilots. Costly process making new aircraft.
I don’t know what Japan and Italy plan to use as their trainers? Perhaps just use what they are using.
Italy uses the M346 Master, the Japanese the Kawasaki T-4 although they will probably be in the market for a new trainer fairly soon as it was introduced in 1988.
That’s actually not a bad shout Monkey spanker. That way, any potential customers are buying into an Ecosystem that takes a pilot from simulator training to trainer-jet and finally to combat jet. Why not sell a whole package instead of just a jet? It could even open up opportunities for countries in the program to share experience, instructors, exchange pilots, and strengthen cooperation for future programs etc.
Cheers M@
Sorry to bring it back to an unpopular topic, but:
Aeralis really seem to be pushing the “Basic jet to combat jet” concept. One of their self-proclaimed “Key Challenges” on their website is “Training and operational support aircraft must keep pace” with frontline aircraft. I think from their perspective it means having a Tempest-style fully digital cockpit and AR training, which would be helpful on its own, but could also apply to using it for lightweight combat, especially the UAV configurations, like a Global Hawk with endurance exchanged for performance.
Obviously at the moment flight skills themselves are becoming less relevant to combat; flying a Red Arrow doesn’t qualify you to operate an F35 to its full potential, so the replacement will need to simulate combat as well as just flying, an angle that Aeralis are really pushing at the moment.
If and I’m still sceptical but hopeful AERALIS can work and be made at a decent price and then compete in the market it’s will be good to see.
Never before has a plane been able to accomplish the goals they are aiming at. What makes a good basic trainer makes a poor advanced trainer.
I still don’t see how bolting different bits onto a centre fuselage won’t just be creating new aircraft each time with all the problems associated with new aircraft. Even simple changes require so much testing on current aircraft.
Look no further than a gripen, loads of UK content and a good back up to the fighter force.
That is not a successor to Hawk T2. Gripen is more expensive than an F35A, even the US can’t afford that.
Where have you found the information that Gripen would be more expensive than F35A?
Too expensive and complex for the training role.
Never understood why BAE hasn’t developed a successor to Hawk. It has been one of their most successful products. Development costs of a sub/transonic trainer are far lower than a supersonic combat aircraft.
If T2s are to remain in service until 2040, there is plenty of time to design and build a new aircraft. Hawker Siddeley funded Hawk out of their own resources and development and production ran without major problems, on time and on budget.
Because that was based on a 1970s business model. BAE don’t see the value in similar aircraft production. The money is in systems/avionics and support packages. Or high end like Typhoon/F35.
Companies don’t want to invest their own capital these days. Why should they when they can get the mugs who hold our tax money to finance it?
What makes you think they aren’t working on it? Tempest is meant to be operational in the mid 30’s, the demonstrator flies much sooner. Tempest will have a cockpit and flight controls never seen before by fast jet pilots, as well as use so many new ‘peripherals’. I’d think they would be working on a new trainer.
Of course with F35 meant to be in service for a very long time, I’d also expect an upgrade to some hawks to just have a similar digital cockpit.
I doubt Tempest will ever fly.
They should just purchase the Boeing-Saab T-7 Red Hawk aircraft which seems ideally suited for the UK
The USN/USMC are looking at a replacement for the BAE/MD Goshawk. The Red Hawk is in the frame, along with the Leonardo M-346 and LM TF-50. But perhaps we should look a little nearer home and reduce our reliance on the US.
Replacement has Boeing/Saab T-7 written all over it.
Not so sure. We originally intended to use Jaguar as a trainer but settled on Hawk as a lower cost option. T7 looked a bargain in the USAF contract but Boeing will lose $billions unless a price increase is agreed. Most air forces, including USN, haven’t thought the extra costs of a supersonic trainer are justified.
UK defence exports look substantial but have become quite narrowly based, depending heavily on sales of Typhoon and Hawk. To stay in the game, we need to have more than a single platform to offer. We really can’t afford to let aerospace go the same way as armoured vehicles. It might be a better use of taxpayers’ money to ensure Aeralis’ design becomes a reality than pouring it in huge amounts into the high risk Tempest project.
Sadly the Aeralis is a revamp of the Alpha jet and not wholly inspiring. Swapping from a single engine to a twin engine configuration, but also including replacing the low speed wing with a high speed wing. Sounds good on paper, but will be a flight control law nightmare to write and validate. Plus does it mean that when using fuel to rebalance the CoG, some of the fuel can’t be used, as its acting as ballast?
It’s always better to keep things simple, by having two classes of trainer. Where each can be specifically tailored for their required purpose. If someone does a true cost vs benefits analysis between Aeralis and using two different trainer aircraft. Will there actually be a saving using Aeralis?
As a lead in trainer aircraft, there is not a lot wrong with the current Hawk T2. Sadly it has run out of internal space for growth, hence the use of simulated avionic systems. Before RR subcontracted some of the engine parts to a French Firm. The Adour was a very reliable engine.
A future lead-in trainer, will need to incorporate some of the avionics systems that the F35 and future FCAS will use. Especially how they are used in combat. Though a lot of this can be done on the ground using a simulator. Simulation doesn’t beat the real thing though.
KAI have proposed using their twin seat KF21 as a more advanced lead-in trainer to their T50. The aircraft is supposed to be classed as 4.5+ generation. But as it incorporates a lot of 5th gen avionics, it will be better suited to the lead-in of aircraft such as the F35. Indonesia was a development partner, but they are massively in arrears with payments. Both Poland and UAE are looking to buy out the Indonesian share in the program. As Poland has already bought 48 FA50s as light fighters to replace the Mig-29s and Su22s. They are in a better place to to get the KF21 share.
Just don’t give BAE Systems another opporunity to rip off the MoD. Hawk T2 was a conventional procurement that has resulted in a failed FJ pipeline and UK MFTS has proved to be a shambles with a poor choice of supporting aircraft. The Grob 120TP is an excellent EFT/BFT option that should be followed by the M346. In an ideal world we would bin the T2 and the Texan T6 and take military flying training back in house. When will we ever learn what matters if we are to secure UK defence in the face of a growing Russian threat ?
Don’t blame BAE for a problem with a RR engine.
On a related note. The deliberate interference with Grant Shapps aircraft should not go unanswered.
A significant step in the Ukraine aid budget and access to more sophisticated toys should be an adequate response.
Perhaps shapps will now understand how important military spec aircraft are and appreciate how a simple thing can cause massive issues
I wouldn’t hold your breath. But if Sunak is ousted and Mordient replaces him. We will hopefully finally have a PM that understands that Health, education, etc mean zero if the country is not properly defended.
And even if that happens what exactly do you think changes? At best she would have one more financial statement in Autumn, assuming an election wasn’t called before that. The Tories are out of time and energy to make any major changes on anything at this point.
She could set the defence budget trajectory which Labour would be foolish to reverse given the current climate.
Forces net article said they’re already working on modified aircraft to protect against stuff like Russian interference
Good old fashioned inertial navigation would compensate for loss of Sat Nav. With modern laser gyros. They would be a lot more compact and accurate.
It is still a deliberate attack on a senior UK politician and should not be allowed to go with a response.
Perhaps giving senior politicians a taste of what is like to be in the armed forces with inadequate kit is what is needed.
Take them for a spin in a T23 in the Red Sea and shoot down a few drones and then tell them there’s only 10 Ceptors on board because they can’t afford the other 22….
AA
The “deliberate interference” was just GPS jamming, it wasn’t targeted on his jet it’s just what the Russians do jamming GPS around Kaliningrad to prevent it being used for targeting them.
What are the odds that the future replacement will be a non British product?
100%…. Why would we buy a handful of Bespoke built Trainers just to train a dozen or so Fighter Pilots per year…. Our Fighter strength is at an all time low….. It’s shocking just how low…..
Oh dear, oh dear. Look, if the UK accepts that it needs an aircraft design and manufacturing capability, and it needs a simple, small, low-cost, manned jet initial trainer for the RAF, then why go to the expense of re-inventing the wheel?
Use the appropriate level of technology for the job. i.e. build 100x (Folland) Gnats. Stick an iPad in ’em with Google Maps or something. Job done. If you want to get fancy use a more modern engine, or even something with re-heat. Be fancy and stick a Radar in just for fun and link to a pair of AIM-9s or something. As the world is going tits-up these days, they may come in handy for other duties too.
My point is that the designs are all there and it should not cost a fortune to get somebody in the UK to knock them out. The IP is probably expired by now so keep it away from BAe.
Waste of money.
We build ’em in this country but buy non-UK design. It’s called a reality check.
The next ‘British’ aircraft will be designed to have the capability to fly unmanned. Let’s just cut to the chase and skip pilots. We could and should plough any money for this project straight into Unmanned systems. This is not 1940.
Airbus Spain wants to build a new jet trainer. Could BAE/UK join that project 50/50?
Aviation Week is reporting that the Swiss Patrouille Suisse aerobatic team will disband after the 2027 display season as its F-5 Tiger’s are too old and expensive to support longer. The magazine expects that this announcement will now trigger similar disbanding (at least temporarily) announcements for other European air force display teams. In particular the Royal Air Force’s Red Arrows (flying 50-year-old BAE Systems Hawk T1s), Spain’s Patrulla Aguila team (CASA C-101 Aviojet) and Italy’s Frecce Tricolori (Aermacchi MB339). Only the Italian team is currently slated to get new aircraft before the 2030’s – the M345.
Given the current financial and manning crisis, surely few people in the MOD or RAF would argue against a decision by Shapps to okay a c.5-year gap in Red Arrow operations whilst new/newer aircraft were sought.
Why cant the RN have all the F35B’s for the carriers and the RAF F35A’s
Money…
I feel that given the current state of our defence budget and the sheer level of incompetence demonstrated over the last 30 years or so, with the procurement of new equipment programmes from design phase through to bringing into service. The RAF and MOD should just look to procuring the Boeing-Saab T-7 Red Hawk, as an off-the-Shelf purchase to just, guarantee a capable modern Jet Training Aircraft is actually brought into service relatively on time and probably closer to budget than we could buying in house and License built with UK specific systems if absolutely necessary.
My point here being that, if the RAF top brass, the MOD and the Politicians actually want and care about providing the best Training capability for the RAF and FAA alike into the future then the T-7 seems a no brainer. This option rather than opting for another protracted, ultimately over priced and less capable joint European platform, just for the sake of Politics or even winning constituency votes at home.
Whilst regarding the situation with the Typhoon Fleet, if the Tranche 1 Aircraft cannot be realistically upgraded, then just replace them with current new build Tranche 3+ aircraft with all of the current upgrades on offer, with the treasury having to just suck up the cost and print money if necessary, or fund it as a UOR. When it comes to the RED Arrows, hand over 10 or so Tranche 1 Typhoons, that can then be modified to their display flying specification and re-sprayed in their iconic Red Liveries. This approach may not be favoured by some, but to my mind, it just about getting new modern 21st century Fast Jet Trainers into the hands of Flying Instructors and Trainee Pilots across both of the UK’s Fixed Wing Air Arms, what ever the Politics look like.
I don’t see how a Hawk T2 can train for a 6th gen fighter, so when MOD say “T2 leaving service in 2040” that must surely mean its replacement is starting to phase in around 2035.
If we were smart we’d just roll it into GCAP, use it as a lead in to bed down some of the tech and manufacturing processes.
In terms of Typhoon T1 – IMHO we should have gifted the lot to Ukraine
The advanced Hawk offered to India in 2017, was able, as an option, to have a cockpit set up similar to the F-35, so the Hawk could be a lead in trainer to F-35. Sadly, nothing came of it.