The total size of the full-time UK Armed Forces is just under 159,000.

According to a briefing paper, most personnel were within the Army (56%) with the remainder being equally split between the Royal Navy/Royal Marines (RN/RM) and the Royal Air Force (RAF).

Trained strength

Personnel targets are based on the full-time trained strength of the Royal Navy/Royal Marines and the RAF and the full-time trade-trained strength of the Army.

The most recent targets were set by the Defence in a Competitive Age command paper. As at 1 July 2021 the Army was 7% above its targeted size whilst the Royal Navy/Royal Marines and the RAF were -2% and -6% below their targeted size respectively.

Inflow and Outflow

Between 2000 and 2021, inflow of personnel to the UK Regular Forces has only been higher than outflow for six years. In the 12 months to 31 March 2021 there was a positive net flow of personnel for the second year running – intake was 16,250 while outflow was 12,299.

Diversity

On 1 April 2021 there were 16,470 women in the UK Regular Forces who accounted for 11% of the total trained and untrained strength.

On 1 April 2021 around 9.2% of personnel (13,690) identified as belonging to a non-White ethnic group. The Army had the highest proportion (13.4%), followed by the Royal Navy/Marines (4.8%) and RAF (3.3%).

Reserves

Between October 2013 and July 2021, the overall strength of trained personnel in the Tri Service Future Reserves 2020 increased by 41% (from 22,900 to 32,300). However, only the RAF Reserve has achieved its targeted size.

Location of personnel

On 1 April 2021, most personnel in the UK Regular Forces were stationed in the United Kingdom (around 96%). Of the 5,900 personnel stationed overseas around two thirds were in Europe (65%) whilst 16% were stationed in North America and 6% in North Africa and the Middle East.

The total size of the full-time UK Armed Forces (trained and untrained) on 1 July 2021 was just under 159,000. Most personnel were within the Army (56%) with the remainder being equally split between the Royal Navy/Royal Marines (RN/RM) and the Royal Air Force (RAF).

George Allison
George has a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and has a keen interest in naval and cyber security matters and has appeared on national radio and television to discuss current events. George is on Twitter at @geoallison

158 COMMENTS

      • In some areas, easily, or more.

        The army does not need to be double in personnel. 100,000 should have been the minimum.

        SDSR98 set the RN as minimum 32 escorts.

        • But as I said to another commentator:
          Probably better to have 72,000 with proper accommodation being retained for careers, and with decent training opportunities, than a 100,000man garrison army.

          • Yeah but he was an absolute twat. He would have reduced us to a self defence force if he could have gotten away with it.

          • Yes like so many others in UK politics the idea of defence of the nation is mentally an morally beyond them.off shore tax havens for the moraly bankrupt and terminally greedy is all that counts.Yes more people and far better use of resources especially money would seem vital

          • BAOR was fiftyfive thousand with the best of everything just to protect the inner German border, We could not protect the UK home islands now.

          • 72,000 is fine if they were armed to the teeth!

            If we had more tanks, more artillery, more helicopters – especially another 25 or so Apaches, then yeah, a small force with massive firepower would be fine.

          • The thing is if the Army was 100,000 strong it still wouldn’t be armed to the teeth and now you’d have a force with a higher turnover, and with less training.

          • I would broadly agree Dern, 72,000 well equipped, paid properly and looked after, with good accomodation and career prospects.

            We’ve (in reality) dispensed with the capability to deploy a full division, except in an emergency, and in future will likely only deploy in reinforced Brigade strength, 3,500 ‘ish’, depending on support assets required.

            72,000 with the RM Corps is enough to meet a slimmed down mission set, based on rapid reaction, in and out operations.

            With a well trained and equipped Reserve to back them up when needed for emergencies too…

            I don’t agree with Army dropping below 100,000 regulars, but providing we reduce our expectations accordingly, then I’m happy enough….

          • Obviously I’d rather see the Army have 100,000 regulars, that goes without saying, but I don’t really see the point if those 100,000 are less capable than 72,000.

            The ability to deploy a division atm is more to do with stockpiles of spares and the state of the vehicle fleet more than manpower, so an increase back up to 100,000 (and the cost that would come with it) would honestly only make the situation worse, not better.

            So, honestly in future, if the Army can get it’s warehouses (see what I did there) in order, then there’s no reason we couldn’t be seeing a full division deploy again in the future. We have the log tail, we have the manpower, it’s just the fact that the vehicle fleet is geriatric after afghan.
            (Also why I get a bit techy when people complain about the SA80’s not being replaced, the money is needed elsewhere.)

          • With 148 total Chally 3 on order and two Armoured Brigades in total, we are clearly telling the world that we have no intention (or the equipment) to deploy any more than a reinforced Brigade, with 50 or 60 Chally 3 at its core.

            The future will be reinforced Brigade strength (at best) actions, underpinned with Carrier Strike AAC and limited RAF support.

            A focus on short term operations. I personally don’t have a particular problem with the light ethos, as long as we pick our fights and cut our cloth to fit our budget.

          • An armoured regiment has 56 Challengers, at 148 that’s enough for two brigades with spare for training and maintenance, and since they’ll be rebuilt from the ground up they’ll, at least to start with, have better availability.

            Bearing in mind that both Op Granby and Op Telic only deployed with 2 and 1 Armoured brigade respectively, only having about 100 Challengers in total.

          • Evening Dern,

            With 2 Brigades and 148 in total, I’m going to make the following operationally available assessment.

            The Chally3 is going to be a very high tech beast, requiring regular systems, software updates etc, so I wouldn’t go expecting sky high availability for a start…

            With only 2 Brigades and a limited number of assets, we will be fortunate to have 50 Chally3 per Brigade.

            One will be at readiness to deploy and one in training and at a lower readiness state, at any one time. Unless we were in a situation of dire national peril, we will never dispatch our entire active MBT Capability.

            So, a similar ‘Gulf War type’ deployment will be pared down to a single enlarged Brigade, possibly with some top up Reserve, perhaps 65 MBT’s??

            Perhaps new wonder weapons like Spear3 will make up the difference in the loss of armoured mass, I guess we will see one day.

            When we drop to 2 Armoured Brigades and a total fleet of 148, we greatly reduce the capability of Chally3, because, even if you believe the hype that it’s going to be the best tank out there, the fact remains we can no longer deploy in the numbers found to be necessary in the past. Simply put, way below critical mass.

            Unfortunately MBT’s are becoming a side show of a side show in the modern British Army.

            I expect the capability to be totally gone by 2040, as we complete the transition to a lighter force.

            I don’t particularly agree with this, it’s just the direction of travel…

          • We will only lose MBTs if other nations lose them, especially threat nations. Only little Belgium has abandoned MBTs – for purely budgetary reasons.

          • You do know that in the second Gulf War we fielded a single armoured brigade right?
            It was 1x Armoured Brigade, 16AA and 3Cmdo IIRC.

            I disagree with your assessment, 2/3rds deployable shouldn’t be unrealistic, which means, with the current force structure 2 heavy brigades should e achievable.

          • Morning Dern,

            I admire your viewpoint, I really do, it has a youthful hopefulness to it and that’s refreshing.

            Availability is currently so low, we would have to be on General War footing to deploy 100 tanks.

            Are you sure you’re thinking of the right army😉

            Moving forward, with a total of 72,000, we should be able to assemble a force of 10,000 in a heavy ‘ish’ Brigade, with 50/60 MBT’s at its core.

            If things deteriorated with Russia and a show of force was needed, the above formation would be about what we could deploy to Poland, short of general war and mobilisation.

            On the other hand, they will be augmented by by systems like Spear3 etc, so theoretically, although the mass will be considerably less on the ground, the forward strike abilities at the tip of the spear should be considerably greater than yesterdays….

            So it’s not all bad news.

          • John, I’ve served for a decade in the British Army, in a variety of roles including armoured formations, I can assure you I know what army I’m thinking off and I base my views on what I’ve seen in the Army, not on headlines meant to stir up emotions in the public.

          • Morning Dern,

            not on headlines meant to stir up emotions in the public”.

            I was so shocked by that statement, that I dropped my Vodka on my Stalin Tone PC while sat at my desk in the Kremlin….

            I’m off to the Siberian Salt mines now the gigs up. I have tried very hard to subvert the plucky British spirit with my cynical musings of whats ‘actually achievable’ in the real world, against day dreaming youthful optimism.

            I salute you Dern, my MSB career is in tatters now, I don’t stand a chance of making the ‘never ever’ payments on the Lada now…. 😉

          • Ah excellent, so millennials do have a sense of human after all,or a grasp of sarcasm at least 😂 😉

          • Dern, we are procuring 138 CR3s, not 148.

            Your two brigades clearly each only have one armoured regiment – total of 112. You would probably want to deploy with 20 more for an Attrition Reserve. Total 132.
            So you have just 6 tanks for the other locations – BATUS fleet, UK Training Fleet, Ashchurch, Germany vehicle depots. That’s a quart in a pint pot. We could not deploy 132 tanks out of 138. Plus the full number of CR3s is not going to be available until FOC in 2030.

            Op GRANBY involved 221 CR1s – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Challenger_1
            Op TELIC involved 120 CR2s – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Challenger_2#Operational_history

          • “As planned, the Army will invest around £1.3bn in our armoured capability by upgrading 148 of our main battle tanks to ensure the Challenger III will become one of the most protected and most lethal in Europe”
            Some of the standard guff but that’s where I’m getting the 148 number from
            https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/974661/CP411_-Defence_Command_Plan.pdf

            Yes, 120 represents a shade more than 2 Armoured Regiments (56 CR per regiment), but we’ve not orbated an Armoured Brigade for more than 1 CR regiment per brigade for a long time.

            Op Granby was larger, but it’s worth bearing in mind that it still was only a division with 2 armoured brigades.

          • Sorry Dern, you are right about the 148 figure – in a senior moment I mixed up my CR3 numbers with my F-35B numbers! Inexplicable.

            Op Granby (Gulf War 1) certainly was larger with 221 CR1s deployed than Gulf War 2 with 120 CR2s deployed.

            If you consider that our effort on GW1 was underwhelming as we did not (or could not?) deploy 3 bdes, that was from a base of a regular army of 120,000.

            Do you really think we would deploy 120 tanks out of a fleet of 138? I don’t.

          • A full warfighting divison (of a HQ, three (non-light) brigades, with Div Tps and a National Support Element) would top out at about 25,000-30,000 troops. No way can you find that manpower from an army of 72,000, unless you cut virtually all other commitments and call up thousands of Reserve Army soldiers.

            The issues regarding state of vehicles and spares have never been insoluble.

          • Perhaps Dern means stretched to the limit in a War emergency?

            We would have to call up the Army Reserve and call up people on the reserve list….

            I don’t see any other way to make Derns Division happen.

            No kit however, one man gets the rifle, the next gets the ammunition perhaps…..

          • I refer to putting 3rd UK division out the door, that is achievable. 2x Heavy Brigades, + 1x Medium brigade.

          • We could not get a force that size out of the door in 2003 for Op TELIC, when the base was stronger. We had to put 2 light bdes (3 Cdo Bde, 16 AA Bde) into the Orbat (in addition to 7 Armd Bde).

          • Not insoluble, but require funding to get the numbers back up. It’s been a while since I’ve been in 3 Div, but back when I was there it was common practice to rotate vehicles between the brigades, because although the manning was there, the vehicles to deploy where not.

            So when my unit went onto high readiness we received the vehicles from the previous unit, and when we came off, we sent them on to the next (without replacement). The fleet is old and clapped out, with most vehicles being older than the SNCO’s, which again means more maint, which means fewer ready for the frontline.

            Chally 3, even build on old hulls, will at least have the benefit of not being worn out, which means that it’s entirely possible that with a reduction in the fleet, we’ll still see an over all increase in available platforms.

          • Depends as to whether 72,000 is sufficient to meet the nation’s needs. It is smaller than Spain’s army and they do not have global roles and responsibilities.

            It will be difficult to impossible to field a strong warfighting division with an army this small, unless you pull in thousands of Reserve Army troops as well. I wonder how much credibility we have with the Americans – we could not do ‘Gulf War 1’ again.

          • Yes, agree with you. If the Royal Navy manages to reach the 24 Destroyer/Frigate total, l think that would suffice. I guess normally out of that total of 24 you would have perhaps 15 or 16 active, if not a little bit more. Including deployed /training and so on..

          • Hi RobW,

            Yeh, exactly. How our expectations have changed. I remember thinking the RN was too small when the minimum was set at 50 escorts!

            24 is OK for current tasking, but the armed forces are an insurance policy. God forbid we ever have to fight another Battle of the Atlantic! I don’t think NATO, let alone the RN could keep the North Atlantic Sea Lanes open against even a small force of well handled SSN’s. With Climate Change shrinking the polar ice China could one day threaten us in our own backyard.

            Growing the fleet to 24 escorts, even with capable autonomous vehicles available, won’t be enough if things go real pear shaped.

            The thing about Climate Change is that it is likely to cause conflict in the future as well and given China has trashed much of its fresh water supply, water is likely to be the cause of future wars at some point. So given the broken promises around fixing the environmental situation I forsee a time when desperate governments with real military power start throwing their weight around. As such I think are current level of preparedness makes the 1930’s look good!

            Cheers CR

          • Hi CR. To be fair though, the 50 number was in the late 80s at the end of the cold war. Also, the older type 21s & Leander cost nothing like modern assets – Type 26/45.

            So it’s a tough (but important) goal to get to 24 ships, given today’s environment of 50% defence spend of what it used to be.

          • Hi Klonkie,

            I wouldn’t argue with anything you are saying. What I am highlighting is that the threat will rise as time goes on and if the UK and NATO does not respond we will loose the next war. If we want peace, prepare for war. It is expensive but a damn site cheaper than fighting and loosing a war.

            The Third Battle of the Atlantic is the battle that we should be planning for. Given the current political set up and a 20 to 25 year rolling planning and analysis cycle the possible threat to consider is a combined Russia Chinese attempt to cut the Atlantic Sea Lanes.

            Given the the Russians are already escorting 100’s of merchant ships along their Arctic Coast line very summer and the rate at which the Sea Ice is retreating I can easily forsee a scenario where a Chinese task force deploys to Russian bases for exercises and doesn’t go home..!

            This is the type of threat based analysis that we used to do, but has been watered down to the point where the scenarios are no longer testing enough – if they were I don’t think NATO would be as week as it currently is or, more tellingly, as week as it is likely to be over the next 20 to 25 years.

            In terms of preparedness it is 1935 / 36. If we are to get oursleves back up to a bare minimum to hold the line or, preferably to deter agression, we are going to have to spend much much more.

            Unrealistic! Which is truly unrealistic the current fairy tail level of preparedness based on ‘best case’ hoped for political thinking or honest analysis and assessment of possible threats? Are political leaders need to wake up.

            Climate Change will increase the threat because China has already trashed its water supply, for example. 1.7 billion thirsty people will put serious pressure on the Chinese Communist Party. Water, not oil, will be the resource trigger for conflict in the future this has long been understood within defence analysis circles.

            We life in interesting times. Hopefully they will not get any more ‘concerning’.

            Cheers CR

          • excellent post CR. I can but only completely agree. it is interesting you referenced preparedness to 1935/6. I was thinking along similar lines. Historical lesson never seems to have the respect they deserve.

            The elephant in the room(or panda in the room) is indeed China. Western political leaders should understand the driver for Chinese expansion is their exhausting internal resources. Spot on re your comment-it is about water (or rather the lack of it)!

          • With 24 vessels our escort fleet would actually be larger than that of the Russian Navy’s by one ship (counting only frigates and destroyers) so I’d be very happy with that.

          • Well their ships aren’t really in the best condition or modern either. I’d rather have the rn than the Russian navy even with current numbers

          • That’s very true.

            The only real advantage they’d have is in antiship missiles, which is where we need to catch up.

          • My fear is what happens when Labour gets in again. Blair had a field day in 2004 cutting RAF/RN numbers.

            I’d like to see some form of bi partisan agreement to protect force numbers in the future. In Australia, they do a reasonable job in that respect. Defence investment is largely ring fenced

          • 32 in 1998 would have seemed plausible. Given the complexity and shear cost of high end surface combatants today, 32 seems like a pipe dream. Even the US navy today is smaller than what it was in 1998.

            Now in my opinion, that’s no excuse for having far fewer that we could and should have – 19 simply isn’t enough for what the RN is tasked with performing. Change the tasking or provide more hulls – simple as that.

            Hopefully the 24 escort number will be realised and the Type 31 and 32s are not just under-armed tin cans there to make up numbers.

        • Danielle Mandellli: 100,000 is totally inadequate for a nation of 70-million people. In fact, even if we stated 100,000 Infantry, even that would be inadequate to meet potential threats. It takes a long time to train a soldier and TIME is the one thing that we don’t have. 300,000 Regular soldiers and 200,000 Reserves would be far more suitable.

          • The Army wasn’t that size through much of the Cold War, with around 160,000 regulars in the 80s.
            While we all want larger more capable and effective forces I also like to be realistic.
            Where is the money and political will coming from to equip and maintain such a force? Dern reminded me of the issues involved of equipping even 100,000 in this very thread.
            Also, what of the RN and RAF? As an island nation I myself prefer a RN and RAF first strategy. How many escorts and Jets do they also need at the same time as the 300,000 strong army? Or are they kept as is?

          • A 70,000 army will probably have about 17-18,000 infantry.

            I am afraid your wish of a 500,000 army (Reg and Reserve) is very wishful thinking – we didn’t have those numbers at the height of the Cold War.

            I think we need an an army of 160,000 (120,000 regulars and 40,000 Army Reserve), but that is also wishful thinking.

            We currently have 33 Regular Battalions and 16 Reserve Battalions but that is before the downsize to 72,000 regs.

        • John Notts defence review circa 1990 stated we needed 21 modern Destroyers / Large Figates just to protect UK domestic waters. I dont think the UK has shrunk in size since then 🙂

      • You would be back to cold war – 1980 ‘s level of personnel. When it used to be over 300,000 reg’s. I’m afraid those day’s are long gone.

      • Although money is part of the problem, recruitment is the other. The reason why Army numbers were reduced recently was simply because there was insufficient numbers to meet the target and so the target was changed to reflect actual numbers

  1. The claimed figure of 159k full-time personnel can’t be correct. Even if the Army was at the pre-Integrated Review establishment of 82k (which it isn’t), the RAF and RN would have to be at 39k each to reach the 159k total – they haven’t been anywhere near that for years.

    • I think that figure must include the regular new recruits going through their different levels of training. So not Just trained/fully trade trained personnel. Every 3 months l have a look at the quarterly armed forces personnel statistics (MOD) website. Always worth a look.

  2. I do wonder why diversity is an issue in the public services, or any job for that matter. Surely it’s best to completely ignore someones’ gender/race etc. and just hire the best individual for the job?

    As long as you have equal opporunity, and don’t discriminate against anyone, the outcome shouldn’t matter.

    I might be wrong, but I think certain public services have targets to meet based on race/gender, which seems to be a big step backwards to me.

    • It’s a bit of both, I’d say.

      It always helps to analyze diversity to see how good the outreach of recruitment/retention efforts are. Is “group X” under-represented because they’re not interested (which might be fine, or is a hint to tailor recruitment messages towards them), why does “group Y” leave the service at a higher than normal rate, etc. Now, group X could be a group based on age (e. g. Gen Z), gender, or ethnicity/colour, or other factors (including non-controversial factors like left-handedness).

      Unfortunately, human nature is such that you put a number in front of people, and they seek to increase it (there’s the whole gamification theory behind this). Combined with a need of politicians to show how progressive or inclusive they are, this results in the unfortunate situation you describe, of giving targets to meet, and where those targets are meet by dilution of standards.

    • I don’t mind if it broadens the appeal of the armed forces to certain groups where it may be less popular. Can help get recruitment numbers up.

      With Crapita at the recruitment helm, the army needs all the help it can get attracting people.

    • Hi Jack,

      You ask a very telling question. We don’t and probably never will have proper equality, although we can and should get much closer than we currently are.

      I have some experience with discrimination as I’m a disabled person. After I was made redundent from my defence company job I found it impossible to find another full time job. After banking my head against the brickwall for several years I’m now trying to set up a business instead. I have financial backing and people wanting to work with me, just need to find the first project opportunit now…

      I have since found out that statically a disabled person with a degree has the same chance of finding a job as an able bodied person with NO qualifications. I have a Masters in aeronautical engineering – got me nowhere after redundency.

      The way I sum it up is that I’m a memeber of the last identifiable group in British society that can legally be denied access to a building based on the way I am. Simply put a couple of steps on the front door and I’m stumped… and the construction industry still builds with stepped front access, give me a bull dozer, pleeaaaseee. High streets are particularly bad, give me an out of town shopping mall every time. I can get in it!!!

      The point I am making is that human beings are genetically programmed to shy away from ‘different’. We have a world view that focusses on our experience of it. In my case even people working to improve inclussion often produce imagery that is ‘able bodied’ – trust me I’ve challenged a few of them in my time. Overcoming this is going to take a lot of hard work, and some very hard talking.

      As for the public sector. Recent reports highlight that the Department of Works and Pensions, charged with ‘protecting’ disabled people has repearedly been one of the worst offenders for disciminating against disabled employees in both the public and private sectors..!

      In my lifetime nothing has changed because the chances of safely completing a journey have NOT improved all it needs is for one badly parked car and I cannot complete the journey. Now imagine if that journey is the trip home..!

      I’m not asking for sympathy, just that people think out of the box and see the world for what it is not for what they ‘think’ it is.

      By the way an Isreali delegate to the COP26 was refused access because she was a wheelchair user..!!!!! grrr! Boris had to apologise to her!

      Cheers CR

      • I found it hard to believe that a new building like the Glasgow hydro does not have disabled access built into it. I was sure it was built to standards but do not know the ins and outs of the story.
        As is said you never know how hard it can be for some people until you are in there position.
        I’m always hopeful things will always get better.

        • Hi Monkey spanker,

          Sadly, it doesn’t surprise me. Standards are not regulations and the regulations are quite week and they are not enforced as well as they should be. Construction is an able bodied industry and frankly clueless for the main part.

          As for things getting better. I’m nearly 60 and in my lifetime for all practical purposese nothing and I mean nothing has changed. A few (parked on) drop kirbs, and poorly (and sometime inaccessible!!!) disabled toilets change do not make.

          Any building with steps basically says ‘Disabled Not Welcome’. Walk down your local high street or around even many modern housing estates…

          Cheers CR

    • I am sure that Capita recruits any suitable applicant, regardless of gender/race – and it is only retrospectively that the numbers are worked out and published.

      • Crapita are lucky to recruit anyone, certainly with their previous record of slowness, unrealistic interpretations of medical history and general crapiness!

  3. “Similar sized countries” in terms of what, population or economic power?

    In any case, manpower has been a poor indicator of strength for decades. Based on numbers the Iraqis had the forces to fight a huge, gruelling war; they got slapped off the map or ran after causing negligible casualties because they were against better trained and better equipped forces.

    • It’s always a balance between quality and quantity.
      Quality always trumps quantity but when the military is used as ours is with never ending commitments too little of everything bites.

  4. You can fit the whole British army in Wembley stadium!!!, with their equipment parked in the car park outside.

    The RN/RM and the RAF will into Twickenham.

    Its a good job we are a sporting nation but that is about the limits of the good news as the UKs armed forces are in dire straits at the moment despite the political rhetoric about investment.

      • Boring isn’t it, normally utilised by people who have never served and unaware of actual capability and ability. Cheers mate.

        • Agreed, but there are some looming capability gaps within the TA reserves. They don’t appear to have any artillery support asset. I can’t find any reference to any current artillery reserve batteries? Am I missing something here?

          • Thanks Graham . I’m giving away my age by referencing TA! I should clarify my point relates to the number of guns available to the corresponding number of active/reserve light brigades.

            Being ex Air Force , I’m no expert on matters artillery but the number of 105 light guns available seems , well… light?

          • Mate we have gaps in many parts certainly CS and CSS, but Reserves Arty has light gun and AD and GMLRS. Not many, not well supported but they are there. Cheers.

          • But your still right Klonkie as the reserves are certainly very light on pretty much everything, to include the Light Guns lol. However we have to be realistic and for the last 10 years the Regular Army has been pretty much a cluster so little hope for the reserves and their prospects mate! Sad but unfortunately true.

        • Yet anouther who hides behind a nick name “Airborne” How many jumps ?
          I do believe that the little click that likes to slag off any one who dose not agree with them or their points of view, so cannot possible be right, seem to think they are the sole providers of “Real Gen” and the rest of us mere mortals are just cannon fodder to be treated with utter contempt if we have the nerve to voice an opinion.

          The UK armed forces are at there lowest ebb in living memory and so we must all try to convince the decision makers of the errors of there ways before it is too late.

          • WTF are you rattling on about! Calm your pants, remove gigantic chip from shoulder and learn to interact in a more grown up way! Blimey is it still school holidays?

          • Hey, leave Airborne alone. His comments are pure gold. He does not dispute that the army has many problems.

      • Back on your high horse again are we,
        We get told on a daily basis by the powers that be that “We get more with less” but I don’t see any one looking down there nose at these remarks
        You get “Less with Less” and the more people understand that the quicker it will be before the government stops lying to the general public.

        So I will apologise for the worn out analogy when the government starts telling the truth about the state of our armed forces. (soon the be down graded to a self defence force)

          • Well who ever you are (I do not hide behind a nick name) you seem to take a grate pleasure in talking down to people I just wonder if you do the same when the person is in front of you.
            Are you a back room clerk working for an obscure department in the Civil Service working out your frustrations as no one will listen to you at work, as that is what you come across as. May be you are a real nice person but to hid behind a nick name slagging people off on an open forum makes me wonder just “Why” you take part in these open discussions.

          • SAR- Whilst I disagree with the nature of your commentary in your first post, you have a right as a tax payer to voice your opinion.

            The realty is that this forum has knowledgeable and experienced people contributing valuable insights. If you ask a question as opposed to making an empty statement , you are likely to get meaningful answer . Just my 2p worth!

          • Cheers Klonkie, I just replied to Derns comment about the oft used but silly Wembley Stadium analogy in regard to military numbers we all see being used by commentators and I’m getting my nuts tugged by an angry SAR! Bloody hell no wonder I don’t bother with Facebook if that’s the level of grumpiness you get on social media….🤮👍!

          • I don’t bother with Facebook for the same reason, but I feel passionate enough about the state of the UKs armed forces to put my head above the parapet under my real name so I can be counted. I may not be up to date with all the latest Gen but what I do know is that you can not do More with Less as we are constantly being told by our so call political elite.

          • Hello Graham, Just getting a bit fed up with the little click who seem to take grate pleasure in trying to belittle people who refuse to accept or question the proper gander put out by the government. I accept being patriotic is now seem as being a dinosaur but maybe if the old dinosaurs like me start nipping at the heals of the decision makers then maybe we can have a small influence and help the guys on the front line get some proper kit so that they then can do their job correctly.

          • Real name or not for an avatar, my head has been over that parapet for fucking real, on many many occasions and I am fully aware of the real and ongoing issues within my previous 29 years served organisation. I will comment both serious and light hearted, as I see fit but do me a favour, cut out the keyboard fucking Rambo shit and the abusive nappy mouth. Grow up, don’t get excited about putting your real name on here, as some of us are still not able to do so, for any amount of previous or current reasoning, even if we wanted to. Here endeth the lesson, take it how you see fit. Now can we get back to grown up posts please. Thank you.

          • Well Mr Angry what can I say, apart from take the mirror away when you are in front of the key board as you seem to be talking about yourself!!!

          • See, there you go again! Bloody hell how old are you? Stop waffling chuff, grow up and maybe re-evaluate your initial, yes initial, post to me. You replied to a random post which I was replying to another poster. You got angry, you got patronising then you got sad. FFS good luck to the mob you may have served on as they must have been a bit chip shop.

          • PTSD is a real issue for many of the lads and you see fit to use it to score points and a term of piss take! Total chip shop special you are, sad sad sad! And yet again you totally ignore the fact you replied to a generic post that wasn’t to you, you sent me a rather abusive rant, and when you get a reply you don’t seem to like challenging you, you revert to troll behaviour. As previously stated, very sad.

          • I do not try to score points at all I simply put my ideas over the net,

            I do however feel for you as I recognise the symptoms of PTSD as I myself have suffered from it in the past. It took me about 10 years to get over it. That is why I mentioned it and if you took it the wrong way then indeed I do apologise but I would recommend that you talk to someone about it as it will eat you up from the inside.

          • Thanks for the concern but no issues my end in regard to PTSD, so please can we get back to defence matters and no more 👜 stuff 👍 cheers!

          • And if you read my history of comments Steve you will see you and I are more often than not singing off the same song sheet when it comes to the concern for the current state of most of our military! It is dire in some areas but reasonably healthy in others and we all need to be supporting and championing the modern, forward thinking ideas and plan, but also raising hell about the rest. Cheers and keep posting!

          • Fair comment, I just wish some of the people with the knowledge would use it more constructively and help publish the real state of the UK’s armed forces instead of spending most of their time trying to belittle people who are not in their little click.

          • Mate, we can agree on your concern on the sate of the military being far from acceptable. I’m no expert, but it does seem the army has the thin edge of the funding edge. So I share your frustration.

            I recall the narrative in the early 1990s of “the peace dividend” requiring about half the defence funding of the 1980’s. So say 2 to 2.3% of GDP. Logically that suggests force levels circa half cold war size. Problem off course is the cost of modern assets spiraled (large type 26 frigates, type 45 destroyers, F35 etc) . So have force levels are way under the 50% threshold. In particular RAF jet combat Sqns levels are circa 25% of cold war levels.

            That being said, the RN appears to be in pretty good shape, se perhaps we need a shift in priorities towards the army?.

            At the risk of sounding real pessimistic, my fear is once Labour return to power, well have another round of defence slash ‘n burn. God know how things will look then!

            Chin up though, Xmas is around the order and perhaps the MOD will surprise us all with some good news!

          • You are right, but until we start spending at least 2.5% to 3% of GDP on defence then we are not going to make any inroads into the problems we have at the moment and I do believe that the politicians from all sides of the house would rather donate their left tactical to science than put more money into the forces. The army has suffered more under the present government.

      • Not really.

        In terms of personnel, yes only the 5th or 6th. In terms of capability we’re either first or second.

        The Royal Navy is the most powerful navy in Europe. No other European nation fields two large aircraft carriers.

        We also have one of the largest air forces in Europe.

  5. Well the UK economy is twice the size of Russia and their army is more than twice the size of the UK ,bare in mind the UK spends far more on Public services, so your comparisons are pretty irrelevant.

  6. People tend to forget that work, especially 3rd and 4th line, that was done within the 3 services years ago is now contracted out to private industry. The MOD thus saves on housing, pensions etc etc etc.

  7. So, not really a Boza fan then Gemma???

    You are absolutely correct about the lack of depth of equipment in our armed forces, but, all colours of government have contributed to this decline over several decades if not more. The real fight is fixing it, as tortuous, difficult and time consuming as it might be.

    • Agreed, the question though is how do you build political will for increased spending without striking fear into people’s heart – a poor electioneering tactic I’d guess.

      I think we have to think about how we can use the armed forces and their unique skills sets to support other aspects of public life. Then you sell the other wins associated with this, better family life, less churn, better experience, more military sales (jobs in the regions) etc. etc.

  8. No fan of the Tories but Labour also made deep cuts, particularly to the RN. To their credit they did order the carriers and invested in the amphibious capability but destroyer/frigate, SSN and minor war vessel numbers were all heavily pruned back and several critical projects (e.g. MARS support ships) kicked into the long grass. SDR 1998 promised 32 destroyers and frigates for example, by 2009 the RN was down to 23. Both main parties are guilty of short-termism, inadequate investment and not fulfilling their promises on defence.

  9. I think we need to start a bit of systems thinking as it applies to the armed forces. We need to factor in other dimensions that benefit, or suffer, by operating a larger armed force and how we could use their resources in different ways.

    For instance, if we increase the number of people and equipment generally and maintained similar number of tours we’d improve morale and reduce wear on equipment.

    But we could then free people up to support other activities and allow us to sell on older equipment to ensure we have a continuous development cycle and build an after-sales market = soft power.

    During say a “home tour” armed forces personnel could be used for the Border Force or use specialist training to support local industry, or emergency services.

    Fundamentally though, we’d have a large number to “surge” if needed elsewhere.

    All of this would clearly be far more costly, but the broad gains at a systems level would far off-set this loss by my guesstimation and not only gives us a large military but also a “happier” one – and reducing staff churn is always a win.

    • The problem is that politicians don’t think that way. They tend to only think about until the next election.

      Defence isn’t a great vote-winner, either, so isn’t a great priority for many MPs. Even though Boris and Rishi increased the defence budget by £4 billion a year it’s still resulted in cuts to numbers and assets, as most of it simply went to fill a black hole.

      Only way to really increase the size and equipment depth of the armed forces is with even further funding, which won’t come any time soon. Had it been an extra £6 billion a year on top to make an even £50 billion a year (2.5% of GDP) then we would get somewhere with expanding our forces.

  10. Shall I list the Labour cuts 97-2010 Gemma?

    Lets leave the party blame game out of it.

    Example, RN escorts fell from 35 to 23 under Labour – 12
    23 to 19, now 17 under Tories. – 6.

    Fast Jets, I count 23 Fast jet squadrons in the FAA and RAF down to 12 in 2010.
    Currently 8.

    SSN. 15 to 8.

    WHO made the deeper cuts?

    • While it does give a nice ego boost, I honestly wouldn’t put too much stock in it. Makes a nice headline, but without knowing the details in how the exercise was run and what the plans where, it’s just an ego boost.

  11. Surely the question is how small our armed forces are now, especially the army which in current plans will be reduced to hitherto unprecedented cuts even by MOD standards. Not even comparable in size to our major European ‘allies’. Embarrassing and totally unnecessary and unwarranted.

  12. I was reading the following article last night and does make me think that maybe cutting the numbers is the right thing to do currently.

    https://uklandpower.com/2021/11/01/state-of-the-union-summary-of-british-defence-priorities/

    The budget is limited and with us living in peace time, that isn’t going to increase significantly anytime soon. Assuming a war doesn’t start unexpectedly, over the next decade or two, then rebuilding the equipment and creating a unified strategy makes sense, after the gear is resolved, the numbers can be slowly built up again.

    The other thought that i was having was the conclusion is partially wrong, they talk about us not being able to support allies because we lack heavy gear, but i think that is maybe old thinking and not aligned with the modern world/alliances. If we assume we wont be going it alone (i think that is safe assumption at this stage) then why do we need to be the land warfare leader of the alliance or why do we need to be supplying all capabilities. Instead why can’t we be the enablier, and leave the land side to the continental allies that need land assets more than us. We have top end fighter/bombers, we have the carriers/SSNs, we have very strong heavy lift capability and apache/chinook numbers far exceed most european allies. The RFA is also very capable vs a lot of european allies. Plus in ISTAR is still very strong after the various cuts.

    Main concern is having to deploy boots on the ground for peacekeeping rules, like for example redeploying to bosnia, as reports indicate that there might be stability issues there. However for peacekeeping, you don’t necessarily need heavy gear in numbers, but we would need raw numbers and iraq/afgan showed that maybe we don’t have that.

    • The issue with not being a land warfare leader is that it sidelines you after the war is over, and sidelines you when you want your priorities represented in the planning stages.

      If you want to leave the land side to allies, then you need to be very aware that you will be at best labelled perfidious albion and at worst people will repeat the old myth that Britain will fight to the last Indian, American, Australian, etc, and understand that you do not get much of a say in how the war is directed.

      Also worth the remembering that Peace Keeping is usually Peace Enforcement, and few things force people to be peaceful like a MBT sat on their street corner.

      • Recent history has told taught us that being on the side lines afterwards might be a positive. Allow us to exit when the job is done rather than getting messed up with the mess that really always follows a war, including if you think about the aftermath of ww1/ww2, they didn’t exactly benefit the UK.

        • WW2 is a perfect example of being on the side-lines afterwards. The US and USSR practically ignored the UK’s wishes following the war.
          The UK still had the second largest navy in the world, but that doesn’t really count for much if you’ve not put the army in the field when you want to shape the peace to your advantage.
          WW1 we came out much better (though again, I can point to the underfunded army as being an issue: Yes Britain could blockade Germany and turn the war into an attritional nightmare for Germany, but a large conventional army could’ve turned barely holding the Imperial Army off outside Paris into marching on Berlin, and a war that had ended in 1914 would have left Britain in a MUCH better place (and America in a much worse one) than a long 4 year slog that left the UK riddled with debt.

          • Also thinking about it, in the modern world you can’t really go into a country and then expect to asset strip it after like happened historically. Now a days the expectations would be for rebuilding the country after, which would come at huge cost, so avoiding some of that has to be a positive to the UK economy.

          • Depends, Rebuilding Germany was if anything a net benefit to the Americans (in general rebuilding the country instead of leaving it an impoverished pariah state that will be forced to try to stir up trouble again is a good thing).

            How hard it is to rebuild a country is pretty much a direct correlation to how badly you stuff up pacifying it in the first place.

  13. Irrelevant, it’s about quality, ability and experience. And which “similar” sized countries have the full mix of capability we still, just, have. Please research before waffling TH, thanks.

  14. The Options for Change defence review (mid 1990) reduced the army from 160,000 to 120,000 regulars, deemed to be the right size for a post Cold War army. Further multiple reductions have been solely to save money and have not been based on diminishing threats.

    An army of 72,000 regulars (smaller than Spain’s army) is hard pressed to field a strong war-fighting division – Gen Dannatt believed it to be impossible – one or possibly two BCTs would be the most we could deploy, except in the case of an existential war. If we cannot deploy a strong division we will have little credibility with the Americans. Of course we can call up members of the Reserve Army to bulk up the numbers but would experience delay in deployment. The US will be aware that France has 115,000 active duty soldiers, and may consider them to have greater utility in any future US-led coalition.

    Hammond was an idiot to float the idea of a 50,000 strong army (incredible that he was once a SofS for Defence) not so many years ago.

    I see no sign of a swift roll-out of an impressive suite of both new kit and upgraded kit to at least partly offset the reduction in manpower. The stories about vehicles and artillery procurement cock-ups are truly appalling.
    Politicians will have to very carefully pick the wars they want to fight.

    • I don’t think you’ll see the US considering France a reliable partner any time in the future.
      Pulling out of NATO, refusing to follow them into Iraq, they don’t have a good track record, and when they’re withdrawing ambassadors over a lost defence deal, they seem set to continue it (and really France has a strong, not anti-US, but “We are our own country and don’t do whatever the US wants” vibe, which aggravates Washington. They prefer a ally who answers “jump” with “how high” which, I’m sad to say, the UK very much is).

      • You have to remember the US doesn’t need anyone else to go to war with them. They have the assets to do it alone. The reason they like international partners is to help justify the action and say it’s an international effort.

        We need to stop focusing on being lapdog of US and setting up for all types of conflicts as leading member and really stop with the rubbish about hitting above our weight, and instead focus on specific capability and excel on it. Rapid deployable seems to be that currently and it probably suits our strengths and priorities (island nation). But we need to double down on it and accept slower heavy gear isn’t our thing anymore.

        Risky should there be a realistic threat to mainland UK, but what realistic threat are there out there currently, even vaguely. Only Russia and that would require it steamrolling the rest of Europe first

        • If we are worrying that France would supplant us as the US’s go too ally, then you need to consider what France acts like, and the US does need allies, as much as they spend they don’t have the ability to project enough power everywhere they want to at the same time. One of the reasons they want more European Defence Spending (while at the same time not wanting it, it’s complicated) is because they’re worried about having to deploy significant forces to Europe and the Far East at the same time.

          Rapid Deployable is a fiction for all but the lightest of formations. We should have Rapid deployable forces, and yes we have them, but in practice a Boxer Brigade is no more rapidly deployable than a Armoured Brigade, the Americans found this out; Airlifting any sort of armour at scale just isn’t feasible.

          “Slower heavy gear” is really only slower on an operational level (and even then, not that much slower). More expensive yes, bigger logistics trail, yes. But in terms of getting it to theatre? Not really slower. And if you want Rapid Deployable Light Infantry, the UK doesn’t need to sacrifice it’s heavy arm for that, there’s plenty off it in 1XX, 16AAX, 3CmdoX and 6XX depending on what flavour of effect you want.

          And even on peacekeeping missions, just ask anyone who was supported by Leopards in Afghan, or Challengers in Bosnia, having an MBT a) discourages people from kicking off, b) gives you a pretty massive edge if they do kick off. (Speaking from experience one of my operational tours, one of our allies had some T-64’s. A pretty definitive “F**k off” to anyone who thought about messing with their FOB).

          • Massive logistic chain rapidly slow deployment in the longer term though and come at a cost we can’t really afford.

            Agree the tanks provide a big deterrence but I suspect a boxer with a proper gun would probably similar deterrence. Clearly they need a proper gun, but with the retirement of the warriors, you have to assume they will get them eventually

          • Kind of the British Army can’t maintain a longer term armoured deployment of any scale anyway, it never has. Even at the theoretical height of the Cold-War Army, Op Granby was effectively a one shot of every armoured vehicle the BAOR could scrape together. But once your in theatre then it’s no longer strategic mobility, but operational mobility, and then yes, tanks are not as mobile as medium weight armour, of course not. It’s that old iron triangle again.
            Really the limiting factor is it’s harder to maintain Tanks at high readiness constantly, but it’s not impossible, and it just means (like we’ve always had) that the tank fleet will be smaller than the infantry, but then it doesn’t have to be bigger.

            True to a degree, though a boxer with a big gun is not as intimidating as a MBT, nor is it as insurmountable an obstacle. My main reason for bringing it up is to counter the “MBT’s only have a place in high end warfare” argument pre-emptively.

          • My thought is that we have a very limited budget that can’t cover the capability we have. As such as costs keep going up for new tech gear, capability will just keep getting sliced.

            So either we keep doing wide spread cuts, cutting each capability a little and gradually reducing everything uniformally, and resulting in none of the assets being in big enough numbers to be used in any war and meaning the armed forces are totally undeployable, or we accept we can’t do everything and abandon certain capability, whilst channeling that money into others. It just won’t be popular, any government that decides to say cut all tanks, would have news media going nuts, so would need to be a strong government, which we clearly don’t have.

            We would need a gov and military commanders that have a clear vision on what we want to do and how we intend to do it, which again we clearly don’t have with the constant new strategies that they create before they have even fully migrated to the last one.

          • Dern, you surely exaggerate a bit. BAOR in 1990/91 was 3 divisions in Germany under a Corps HQ. We deployed one Div (-) to Op Granby so not all A Vehicles went to the desert. A lot of A Vehs which did not deploy were however pillaged for spares.
            In terms of operational mobility tanks are not as mobile as medium weight armour, it is true – but if you need a tank to do the job, you send a tank, even if it takes a bit longer than a ‘medium’ but don’t forget that you can operationally move heavy armour quickly by HET(ie tank transporters).
            We will never have a tank force bigger than or equal in size to the infantry – I am not sure what your point is there.
            A Boxer with a big gun is not a tank and cannot fill the role of a tank.

          • We invented the tank in 1916. It has only ever deployed operationally overseas in an expeditionary sense. We manage to deploy tanks (and other AFVs) with the big logistic tail. Its not impossible. We clearly stand the cost of so doing.

            We have used tanks more in a hot war, than the Navy has used their ships and submarines in anger (1982 was too far ago to count as a recent conflict). Tanks are not just deterrents, they actually get used.

    • This would depend on the type of war.

      Against the likes of China it’s boats in the water, rather than boots on the ground, that will matter, and in that the Royal Navy still has the edge on the French Marine Nationale. In such a case we would be a greater asset in a coalition.

  15. And how many of those “similar sized countries” have a nuclear deterrent and two operational aircraft carriers?

    How many of them have the latest 5th generation stealth aircraft?

    Comparing us to, say, France and Germany, then in terms of land forces they are larger, yes.

    France also has a larger number of combat aircraft because they have gone for a hi/lo mix with Rafale and Mirage. The RAF has gone for a hi/higher mix with Typhoon and F35.

    However, the Royal Navy is larger and more powerful than the Marine Nationale or the Kriegsmarine, and will likely make much more difference in a war against a peer opponent than a slightly larger ground army will.

  16. Back in 1999 just after the second round of volunteering for early retirement. In the Signals we were already 6000 staff down… politicians should never dable in defence as an easy target.

    • Politicians have cut defence numbers usually once or twice a decade since the end of the Korean War. They won’t change the habit of a lifetime unless World War 3 looms.

  17. Did you know the army has more horses than tanks,the British is still its lowest since the 1700’s.We could never take part in a full scale operation like Op Granby 1990,every army used look at us in awe.Not anymore I’m afraid.The Navy is as small as it was before the Spanish armada episode. Its a joke…..God help us if we ever came under threat of invasion…..

    • Hi Taff, the army has always had more horses than tanks, more Generals than attack helos etc etc. But the main point is that the army is really small as you say; it has a mere ‘aspiration’ to be able to deploy a warfighting div by 2025, but that was stated a while back and before the cut to 72,500 was mooted. I think we could only deploy one or two BCTs at best on a major operation, unless we called up much of the Reserve Army. The heavy metal vehicles and arty are all ancient, Ajax is a joke, Warrior will not be upgraded and there will be too few CR3s and these not fully delivered (FOC) till 2030. It could not be any worse.

      Is the Navy such a basket case? – it is surely 2nd or 3rd biggest in NATO – it still is one of the only two Rank 2 bluewater navies in the world. It has a lot of new kit in service or ‘coming soon’ (carriers, Astute SSNs, Dreadnought SSBNs, T26 & T31 frigates) and sensibly upgrades ships during their service (unlike the army). Despite a temporary dip in frigate numbers from 13 to 11, there are genuine prospects for more than 13 in the coming years. Bad news about abandoning the interim anti-ship missile though.

  18. The BAOR used to be 55,000 on its own, Then we had the UKLF and the TAVR, these days theres simply not enough to even defend the Home counties. I’m glad I’m getting old because in the next major war we fight we will get hammered.

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