Home Analysis Is Ukraine winning the war?

Is Ukraine winning the war?

140
Is Ukraine winning the war?

It is challenging to keep track of Russian and Ukrainian casualties because Russia and Ukraine have the incentive to conceal those numbers. On the other hand, open-source reporting has resulted in some estimates that are most likely to be within a reasonable range of the actual figure.

Many estimate Russia has lost around 2,000 tanks, many of which Ukraine has seized. The most recent offensive alone is estimated to have captured around two dozen tanks, which is sufficient for Ukraine to equip two tank companies.


This article is the opinion of the author and not necessarily that of the UK Defence Journal. If you would like to submit your own article on this topic or any other, please see our submission guidelines.


If accurate, the above represents approximately 66 percent of Russia’s modern tank forces. The figure, of course, does not include the 20,000 old tanks that Russia keeps in storage. Evidence suggests that Russia’s tank problems have reached a crisis level. There is confirmation that T-62s are now in combat in Ukraine. 

Russia has become one of the largest suppliers of equipment to Ukraine

According to some estimates, Russia has suffered the loss of around 4,500 infantry fighting vehicles, which accounts for approximately 34% of its total force. Ukraine has also shot down two hundred fifty of Russia’s most cutting-edge aircraft, though this only accounts for about 18% of Russia’s aircraft fleet. 

Additionally, 1300 pieces of artillery, both self-propelled and traditional, have been captured, abandoned, or destroyed. This figure accounts for approximately 23% of Russia’s total artillery stock. 

As for troops, Over 90,000 Russian soldiers have died, cannot be accounted for, or have suffered such serious injuries that they are unable to return to service, independent Russian media project iStories reported, citing sources close to the Kremlin.

Morale is getting worse, as are Russian results

Russian morale is at an all-time low, according to reports. Of course, this is not Russia’s only problem, but it is a problem nonetheless. Almost from the moment that military operations began, the Russian military was suffering from low morale. In retaliation for the high number of casualties they were suffering, one tank unit even ran over the legs of their commanders. 

Following its defeat in the Kharkiv Oblast, Russia has initiated a significant nationwide recruitment effort to compensate for the number of soldiers it lost in battle. However, Russia’s partial mobilisation is indicative of the country’s realisation that it cannot generate the manpower necessary to achieve its goals in Ukraine.

On the front lines at home, sanctions imposed by the West have been criticised, even within the West, as being ineffective, even though Russia’s economy is beginning to show signs of severe deterioration due to the sanctions. 

Russian energy has boosted their war effort

However, this was only possible due to Russia’s extensive use of its currency reserves to artificially prop up its economy. These reserves are slowly being depleted, and the reduction in energy that Russia supplies to Europe as a result of both self-imposed energy restrictions in Russia as well as Russia’s deliberate attempt to exert pressure on Europe by cutting off gas flows has resulted in the drying up of Russia’s most lucrative source of revenue. Energy sales have been the primary factor in keeping the Russian economy afloat.

As a result of the steep drop in sales to Europe, Russia has been searching for alternative buyers, and those alternative buyers are now responsible for determining prices. For example, both China and India are stocking up on low-cost energy from Russia at prices they set and then turning around and selling it to other countries to make a profit. 

German tanks, American jets, Canadian training and British intelligence

In contrast, Ukraine is gradually gaining the support from Western nations that it has required from the very beginning of its political crisis. Western governments are, for the most part, deciding whether to provide Ukraine with heavy equipment like tanks and aircraft.

The United States has given its approval for Ukrainian pilots to receive training on the F-16 and F-15. And it’s inevitable that the Ukrainian air force will be flying Western fighters within the next six to eight months. 

Britain, as many of you know, continues its weekly shipments of everything from anti-air missiles to ammunition. Additionally, the UK is erring ongoing intelligence information to Ukraine through the use of frequent surveillance aircraft missions to the region.

Germany is currently debating whether or not to provide Ukraine with Leopard 2 tanks. Additionally, a growing number of calls coming from within the United States could result in approval to provide Ukraine with Abrams tanks. I’m not joking. This would be huge.

Alongside the US and UK, Canada is even helping to train Ukrainians to defend their homeland. Other countries, are, of course, helping in a multitude of ways.

Get to the point, is Ukraine winning?

Is it fair to say that Ukraine is winning the war? Sorry for the vague answer here, but yes and no. Let me explain. Wars don’t count as won until they’ve been fought and won. Various factors can potentially bring about a significant shift in Ukraine’s circumstances. Ukraine may be offered less support due to the growing sense of exhaustion among some Westerners regarding the situation in Ukraine. 

As a result of being cut off from Russian supplies, Europe is already preparing for a harsh winter, which an energy shortage will compound. Moreover, this harsh winter may cause a significant shift in European public opinion against maintaining support for Ukraine. Let’s hope it doesn’t.

The momentum needs to be maintained

Despite this, the United States, the United Kingdom and other significant players maintain their quite solid commitment to Ukraine and appear poised to provide that country with even more technologically advanced equipment. The assistance of the United States and the United Kingdom alone may be sufficient to turn the tide of the war in Ukraine’s favour, but as the old saying goes, the more, the merrier. 

Despite all of the above, Russia maintains a military that remains a significantly capable force despite being clumsy and inept. So don’t let their failings make you think Russia is a paper tiger. It isn’t.

Even a full-scale mobilisation is unlikely to win the war for Russia at this point because it would take nearly a year to organise, train, and equip new forces—time that Russia does not have. Moreover, Ukraine had been underestimated at almost every point since the start of the invasion, with many analysts and Western governments expecting the capital to fall within days. It didn’t fall. It pushed back.

Ukraine can win, but it isn’t a sure bet

However, there is a genuine concern that people will overestimate Ukraine’s capacity for success in its objective of retaking the land seized by Russia. The offensive operation in the East is still meeting with a great deal of success. However, the element of surprise played a significant role in the success of that offensive, and it is improbable that the same level of tactical surprise can be achieved again. 

But I was wrong about this before, and I hope I am this time too. The conflict will inevitably devolve into a drawn-out slugfest in which Russia will play the heavyweight role. The only way for Ukraine to push Russia back toward its borders is for the West to maintain and significantly increase its support. 

Ukraine is not necessarily winning, but it is a long way from losing.

Subscribe
Notify of
guest

140 Comments
oldest
newest
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
farouk
farouk
1 year ago

The way I see things, is Russia (read that as Putin) has realised that it has bitten off more than it can chew and unable to blame the poor quality of the Russian forces it instead blames: NAZIS NATO Terrorism In which to excuse its shortfalls. The thing is even with the Ukraine pushing back Moscow in the North, around Kharkiv and potentially Kherson, it still has a mountain to climb in removing Russian forces from within its borders . The only way I can see that happening is if Putin is replaced. On that note the last week of… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by farouk
farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

oh and here is the perfect example of what I meant by the poor quality of Russian forces

Combat_wombat
Combat_wombat
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

Functional test required on anti tank mines.

Functional test carried out

Satis

Andrew D
Andrew D
1 year ago

News to me about Ukrainians training on F16,F15s like 🤔

Matt
Matt
1 year ago
Reply to  Andrew D

I don’t think they are.

That funding willingness from Congress was sabre rattling in order to apply pressure to the President. I’m nor aware that he has done it yet.

Defence thoughts
Defence thoughts
1 year ago

Ukraine’s economy has been so badly hit, I am concerned whether they can hold out. Germany did pretty well for 4 years in WW1, but eventually the 10th Cruiser Squadron destroyed their economy, and that was it.

Given the austerity the West is facing due to Bond Market shenanigans, plus winter, I worry the West will not keep up the needed support. Can we keep this going?

Amin
Amin
1 year ago

And at this time, some unfortunate countries humiliate themselves by giving drones to Russia.

Phil Roberts
Phil Roberts
1 year ago

The problem with Putin is , he thinks his weapons are better than everyone else’s when in fact the only thing he has that is scary to the world is his hypersonic nukes( and they are not that much of a worry at the moment ). Putins weaponry is outdated which is why Ukraine are able to push back hard, the weapons supplied by the UK and USA are a lot more advanced than Russia’s. Notice how the UK and USA supplied Ukraine with weapons to counter Russia’s tactics and then Russia changed tactics the UK and USA supplied weapons… Read more »

Matt
Matt
1 year ago

For interesting analysis, can I recommend the series of videos on the Perun channel, who is very much into looking at supply chains and logistics?

This is one I enjoyed from October 8, which is an analysis of mobilisation / force generation for Ukraine based around an extended interview with the former chief of the US Army in Europe – LTG Ben Hodges (Ret.).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RWq-ngg7JC8&t=7s

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  Matt

Perun’s hour long briefing each week has been well done on each topic he has covered. I’ve enjoyed everyone of them.
As has been said in the article Ukraine keeps surprising us with what it manages to accomplish. Just now it seems to be how far can they push Russia back while taking acceptable casualties. Ukraine definitely inflicts more than it receives.

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Agree, definitely worth the time watching them. Some of the comments are good as well.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Unlike yours. Anyway any up to date comments and opinions on the current tactical situation on the ground and the ongoing Russian recruitment measures? Surely you have an educated opinion on those? No, thought not.

DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

Give it a rest. The guy obviously has a screw loose. Suggesting he buys a screwdriver won’t fix the problem. You are cluttering up the thread with comments not worth reading.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  DJ

Nope, my call, thanks for trying to control the board. As long as trolls exist then they need to be challenged.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago

I’m sure we all hope that the Ukrainian forces can press on and get their full access to the Sea of Asov back as soon as they can, then Crimea and finish off the Kerch Bridge sometime.
Medals for all of them!

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago

Apparently the West thinks orchestrating an insurrection against the elected president is sometimes a good thing. While most people seem to have developed goldfish memories, I haven’t. Russia and Ukraine really deserve each other, I see no reason to be destroying the economies of central and Western Europe for this.

Matt
Matt
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Do you have any particular elected President in mind?

Hopefully not Mons. Macron 😎.

Last edited 1 year ago by Matt
The Artist Formerly Known As Los Pollos Chicken
The Artist Formerly Known As Los Pollos Chicken
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Absolutely man 👏🏻 The 1st and 2nd most corrupt nations (official) in Europe deserve each other. Alas the mob with their goldfish memories really know very little about the reality of Ukraine.

Pressure a ceasefire and end this disaster instead of fuelling a proxy war that does not benefit the people.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇬🇧

John Stott
John Stott
1 year ago

Spot on.

Jon
Jon
1 year ago

Some “official” stamp of disapproval doesn’t mean we allow one country to invade and take over another. Those with goldfish memories may not remember when counties like Greece and Spain were subject to coups d’état and how much more stable they have become since joining the EU: the Ukrainian aspiration. A country isn’t a basket case, and its citizens to be thrown to the wolf just because it hasn’t yet sorted out corrupt practices that were the legacy of the attacking country in the first place. We have to support Ukraine to the fullest and not play into a Russian… Read more »

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

What is “to the fullest”? How far are you willing to gamble this nations security for Ukraine? As you can see, I don’t hide or obfuscate my name here. I served this country, I was born here and I have children here. Sometimes I get the feeling many of you don’t have the same connections. I’ve already been questioned as to whether I’m some kind of Russian bot because I’m not genuflecting at the altar of Zelensky. Many people here seem to think the worst possible outcome is Ukraine permanently losing some territory. To me the worst possible outcome is… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Well said but keep it up and take it from me, the real attack dogs around here will be after you. My sin is that I have tried to the best of my ability to give an alternative view to that portrayed by the press and believed by many here. That the Russians can’t be a bunch of wasters with crap gear to have achieved what they have against what was the largest, best trained and equipped military in Europe supported by the best intel and comms systems there are. But I’ve now kinda given up and just put up… Read more »

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Not what you said a few months ago on a regular basis, and if you condemn this illegal invasion and justify in an adult way your reasoning then maybe we will consider you just informed as opposed to a troll, but you wont, as you cant. The same as you cannot, post any derogatory comments about Putin. You are a troll, a monitored account operating to push Nazi excuses and propaganda. You know that, we know that but you are unable to say it. Simple really.

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

It might help you to understand my view if you were to read this. Whitney, like me is not a Russian troll he just has a different take on events. I’d be interested in what you think of what he says happened in February. https://www.unz.com/mwhitney/some-of-us-dont-think-the-russian-invasion-was-aggression-heres-why/

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

You make wearing a leash almost fashionable. How about answering the many many questions multiple posters have asked you? Anyway, so you and “whitney” have decided an illegal invasion of a sovereign nation was aggressive? Wow. Anyway in ref to your previous post in regard to “largest and best trained and equipped military in Europe: JohninMK  10 months ago  Reply to  dave12 I agree totally with DM. As I have already posted, if Russia goes in, which it will only do if provoked, it is likely to be over in hours with no invasion. The militia in the Donbas, fully trained… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

That will teach me.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Uneducable troll boy! You have a script!

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

You love to repeat the fact you served, many here did, some still do but we don’t repeat it so repetitively to justify a post! Maybe make a comment and a post without trying to sell it as a “vet”. Cheers

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

How many times have I said that? Once? Were you in the airborne perchance? Post arm and plug socket you mystery meat larper. Cheers.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Yaaaaaaawn, please hold the line your call is important to us!

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

Sir yes sir! The cringe is strong with you.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

There comes a time when appeasement and fear have to be put to one side, and people have to stand up to bullying and aggression! While many of your points are correct in regard to Ukraine, on occasion it’s a case of taking a bite of the shit sandwich. Of course many will fear for the future, certainly for their kids, and having spoke to mine, they also agree. Maybe that’s a conversation you should have with yours? As for the using your correct name as an avatar, and being a vet, neither makes your point more relevant than others… Read more »

McZ
McZ
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Russia has nukes, regardless whether they are winning in Ukraine or not. They have repeatedly threatened non-nuclear nations over the last ten years. With mutually assured destruction in place, that is a red herring, somehow. But let’s discuss it, anyway. If you think through your argument “to the fullest”, your unwillingness to confront Putin has to end with Russian overlordship. You’ll only have that much territory to exchange for your perceived security. But you stop short of that, so I would argue, you are either still believing in Russian goodwill, or trying to tell that to yourself, or promoting the… Read more »

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago
Reply to  McZ

We are not allied to Ukraine though. One square inch of NATO territory should trigger a response that ensures nobody ever suspects the veracity of that treaty again. The reasoning I have for not wanting to be put at risk for Ukraine are the same reasons Ukraine (or Russia) would not and have not been invited to join. They are corrupt, impoverished, backward potato patches. To be quite honest, I would have kept NATO as the original nations plus Czechs and maybe the two Northern Baltics. The Central European nations should have forged an unaligned defence treaty of their own.… Read more »

ChrisLondon
ChrisLondon
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

We did ‘guarantee’ their territorial integrity then let Russia invade. We owe them. They are doing the dying we should give them the tools and be willing to suffer a bit.

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago
Reply to  ChrisLondon

The people who sign such agreements owe them, not me. They are the same class of people who won’t be doing any suffering. I strongly suspect they are making a fat wedge out of the whole thing with their consultancy roles for LM and BAe stock.

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

You should raise that matter with Vladimir Putin. He began this war.

Jonathans
Jonathans
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Actually the west has a very specific need to combat aggressive authoritarian regimes. Whatever you may think we live in a multi polar world on one side you have liberal democracies that don’t play well with authoritarian regimes on the other authoritarian regimes that don’t like liberal democracies. You can bury your head in the sand but one of these blocks will gain hegemonic advantage over the 21c and likely transition back into a uni polar world and I would rather that uni polar hegemonic power was a western liberal one and not some form of far right corporatists system… Read more »

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathans

My point is, Ukraine is far away from a Western liberal democracy. Everyone suddenly acting like they are “one of us” because Russia is the invader is completely deluded. Zelensky has shut down the free press and banned political opposition. Nobody can explain to me in what way post Cold War Ukraine is this new Camelot I’m being sold daily.

Jonathans
Jonathans
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

I think that’s important to answer and look at some facts around the Zelensky government not so much about what is thrown around: democratic mandate: 1)spring of 2019 with a mandate from 73 percent of voters—rich and poor, urban and rural dwellers, Ukrainian and Russian speakers—across all regions of Ukraine. 2) Then Later parliamentary elections and established a one party majority in the Verkhovna Rada—something that none of Ukraine’s previous presidents had enjoyed. It is perhaps a mark of Ukrainian voters’ intense desire for change that they gave Zelensky and his party, Servant of the People, a generous mandate, amounting almost to… Read more »

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

LR wrote: “”Apparently the West thinks orchestrating an insurrection against the elected president is sometimes a good thing.”” That’s a common trope banded around which is used as a stick to beat the West. Now before I go on, I must point out that until 2017, I was in Army officer recruiting and that my TRF (in black) read RMAS, it doesn’t make me any better than the next feller, but one of the things we used to do on our testing weekends (Friday to Sat) was test our candidates on their knowledge of current world affairs by having them… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

Good point Farouk. That gets us to where we are today. Ukraine has very clear cut lines for the people to side with and the largest majority of the population side with the current government, fight for there country and are proud to do so.
Those who support the other view point have sided with Russia and are providing support for them. (It’s not that many and they aren’t in as high spirits as Ukraine side)
The buck stops with Ukraine. If it falls, next it will be the Baltic’s, Macedonia, Poland and so on.

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Ukraine may not live up to your ideal of a liberal Western democracy, but its government was democratically elected, and it strives for the Western European standard of transparency and plurality. It is facile to attack them for wartime measures that they have enacted to help protect their institutions. Russia on the other hand is a mafia gangster state, where a small cabal of Siloviki control and pocket the entire financial wealth of the nation. It is the only metric in which Russia leads the world, endemic corruption. That’s before we even mention Russia’s shameful history of warcrimes, gulags, genocides,… Read more »

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago

Any election since the “completely spontaneous” colour revolution cannot be legitimate. Ukrainian forces have been in combat against the Donbas region since and there is no way free and fair elections were held under those circumstances. Truth be told, the very large group of Ukrainians who voted caution regarding the EU/NATO we’re almost certainly sidelined by these actions skewing any further results. I don’t support Russia in any of this, but the fact is Crimea is gone forever, and the Luhansk and Donetsk regions need a fair vote on self determination. Russian forces must be removed from any territory they… Read more »

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

In what way can their election not be considered legitimate? Because of the colour revolution? Using that metric do you also consider any election held in Poland, Latvia, Slovakia etc since the fall of the Berlin Wall as illegitimate? Slurs about Ukrainian politics being Western inspired ‘coups’ are a well worn trope of Russian sympathisers who also throw in bullshit about nazis as well. Many seem to think that Ukrainian history began with the events of 2014. It started way before then. In the mid noughties, President Yukschenko who was campaigning on a modernising, pro European agenda was poisoned by… Read more »

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago

There’s a lot to sort through in this unhinged rant, but I’ll have a go. The Maidan protests were almost certainly encouraged at the least by the West, just as Russia has been sowing trouble with recent divisive issues in our politics. The comparison with the fall of soviet communism in Central Europe is asinine but I never considered the imposed regimes as legitimate if that’s what you are asking. The “bullshit about Nazis” was not perhaps as fictitious as you like to think and was in fact reported on extensively by Western media prior to these hostilities. I believe… Read more »

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Like you, I also would prefer to have nothing to do with the financial shitshow that this war has created for me and everyone else. No such luck though, but it’s nothing compared to the trauma that innocent Ukrainian citizens are experiencing, and that can be laid firmly on Putins tab. Why Ukraine you ask, you could equally have asked why Poland to nazi Germany. They do it because they can, because they think they can get away with it. Putins war on Ukraine has nothing really to do with Nato, or nazis or bio labs or nuclear weapons or… Read more »

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

LR wrote: “”Ukrainian forces have been in combat against the Donbas region since and there is no way free and fair elections were held under those circumstances. “” From the tone of your letter, may I presume you subscribe to the falsehood that Moscow went into the Ukraine to defend Russian speaking people across the 2 breakaway regions from getting shelled. In fact, that is what Moscow used as one of its excuses (as well as Nazis,bio-labs (funny how they have found any in the places they reported in the areas they occupied) NATO expansion etc) Anyway, I am only going… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by farouk
farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

Futher to the above the human rights ombudsman in the Donetsk peoples republic on their russian based website quoted these figures for deaths at the hands of the Ukraine
which even at 5059 is almost a good third the total as quoted by Moscow.

Last edited 1 year ago by farouk
The Artist Formerly Known As Los Pollos Chicken
The Artist Formerly Known As Los Pollos Chicken
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

F my man you always construct sensible posts which I largely agree with so don’t take this as me attacking anything you’ve stated. I’m just curious to see what your thoughts on the Asov battalions the likes of the the Dnipro and Aidar units funded by Igor Kolomoisky? . What about Andriy Biletsky the proudly fascist Asov leader who once pledged to “ lead the white races of the world in a final crusade against Semite led untermenschen” what about the neo Nazi C14 and it’s leader Yehven Karas ? What about Maksym Marchenko the former Aidar battalion commander accused of… Read more »

Jon
Jon
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Yes, you do support Russia (even if you don’t mean to). Anything that equates Russia and Ukraine in this conflict supports the Russian narrative. Comments like yours are gold dust to Putin. It implies that there are people in this country who will give up supporting Ukraine, and encourages others to do so. Talk to the man or women on the Clapham omnibus and you’ll find the vast majority are dead set against Putin and are totally unwilling to ditch Ukraine. I recently went to a Yorkshire artist’s Chernobyl retrospective showing in South London, and talked to a lot of… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by Jon
Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

Ah, there we have it. “You are either with us or against us”. “My anecdotal polling shows 100% support for Ukraine”. “How’s the weather in Moscow?”
I don’t support Russia, but I am definitely opposed to what you’re selling.

*Edit- typo

Last edited 1 year ago by Luke Rogers
Jon
Jon
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

I’m sure you’d agree that Ukraine can’t survive without military aid, no? If we stop military aid, Ukraine will have to capitulate to Putin. To that end Putin is contructing a narrative to persuade us to stop arming Ukraine. I admit your English is excellent and you don’t sound like a typical Russian troll, but whether you like it or not you are singing from Vlad’s hymnsheet. And if you want to know why Ukraine rather than Russia it’s because Putin annexed Crimea, has promoted insurrection and civil war in Ukraine for the last seven years, and started a full… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by Jon
JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers
Jon
Jon
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

We all know Putin started and financed the war in the Donbas, John. Claiming that sending tanks into Kyiv or Kherson has anything to do with saving the poor folks of Donetz or Lukhansk is such a stretch that I think you can do better.

Can you maybe join some friends for a session in a Milton Keynes pub and block out a better justification than that? I look forward to hearing what you come up with.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Fucking garbage, weak effort at justifying a Nazi Russian invasion of a sovereign nation. Pathetic even for you. Come on pal make more of an effort or you will find yourself, certainly this time, on that low flying turret display team.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

Hi Luke, this might be a nauve take, but to the shutting down of the press and freedoms needed to done to some extent in this “war situation” on their own lands. You can’t expect the same freedoms as in peace time. I also think it’s a matter of security for the President and his closest personnel in minimising any “leakages”, “protests”, etc, to those that want to assassinate him and undermine his efforts to lead and unify the country against the Russian invasion. You’d hope that once this conflict is over that some semblance of democracy will return. That’s… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

I don’t think the economies of Western Europe are getting destroyed. If the support for Ukraine was withdrawn the economies won’t suddenly bounce back.
Up until 2013 I would of agreed with you about the leaders there but Ukraine has went through a massive change since euromadian and invasion of crimea.
Now it’s not perfect but Ukraine has probably made the most progress in becoming part of the European community and fixing the wrongs in its country.
They have my full support for as long as they need and stay the direction they have been travelling in

700 Glengarried men
700 Glengarried men
1 year ago

Ukraine definitely has better morale and motivation, as long as the West continue to supply quantities of so it era ammo and western artillery weapons and ammo ukraine has a chance I’m not sure western tanks would make that much of an impact, as it would require a new logistics chain and mega training issues they would be better purchasing 320 t80ud tanks from Pakistan that Ukraine had prev built, providing Pakistan with much needed foreign currency and ukraine withs tanks they can maintain and use, also in the same vein Iraq has several hundred Btr4 made in Ukraine. Air… Read more »

Roger Morris
Roger Morris
1 year ago

Excellent article. Assuming the facts and figures are correct, this gives a concise overview of the equipment and manpower details.

Jonathans
Jonathans
1 year ago

I honestly think it’s what you mean by winning the war. In reality you never really win a war that is only fought on your own territory. You may successfully defend you nation’s sovereignty, but that’s a long way from winning. probably the best example of this would be the difference between WW1 and WW2. In effect World War One had the aggressor exhaust themselves and had an armistice forced on them, there was no crushing defeat and infact the nation that really lost was the the french 3rd republic. The second world war was a clear victory in which… Read more »

OkamsRazor
OkamsRazor
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathans

Jonathan, me thinks you are overthinking there were clear victors in WW1, with reparations and in WW2 with imposed constitutional pacifism.

Jonathans
Jonathans
1 year ago
Reply to  OkamsRazor

maybe WW1 was not the best example, but it’s more about the issue of the country in which the war was fought is always coming out worse even in victory, unless it also has some way of destroying the other nations infrastructure and ability to come back another day. Probably the better example would be the napoleonic wars….with mr lose a few whole field armies and still pop back for a few more rounds.

Jonathans
Jonathans
1 year ago
Reply to  OkamsRazor

WW2 essentially ended in the complete destruction of the aggressors to such an extent it changed their national characters. Germany and Japan were literally turned to dust to the point there was nothing left of the nations that started the aggression.

Its the interesting change around what is a victory. Before the 20c it was considered the destruction of the enemies field army as we move into the 20c victory is and needs to be a more profound simply because of the ability of an industrialised nations ability to come back and re-arm.

OkamsRazor
OkamsRazor
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathans

Hmmm, not sure where you did your history, but the countries that probably suffered the most after WW2 were probably the UK and the Easter Block countries under the USSR. The French, because they surrendered had little destruction. The Germans and Japanese had considerable assistance to industrialise and rebuild from scratch. The US were the major winners because they had built up major industrial capacity and were able to export to defeated countries to help them rebuild. Whilst the eastern block were literally raped an pillaged by the USSR, and the UK had borrowed to defend Europe but was broke… Read more »

Jonathans
Jonathans
1 year ago
Reply to  OkamsRazor

The issue the with the U.K. post war were varied and included the fact that the US was activity trying to reduce the U.K. as a world power and the empire itself had become a busted financial model (it was effectively a market development tool for the growth of industrialisation, but with the decline of U.K. industry it became a cost). But as a nation we continued as we were ( steady decline), Germany and Japan were utterly destroyed and effectively rebuild by the west ( and Russia ) In an image that suited the victors. in reality the U.K.… Read more »

Simon
Simon
1 year ago
Reply to  OkamsRazor

France WW2 Total Civilian and Military Deaths over half a million. There was also a lot of damage. Poland probably suffered the most

OkamsRazor
OkamsRazor
1 year ago
Reply to  Simon

France surrendered and lost appx. 1/2m. Poland lost 6m. Russia 27m. Germany 5m. UK 1/2m. Not sure what your point is. UK could have sat out the war with zero loses.

Simon
Simon
1 year ago
Reply to  OkamsRazor

your point was that France had little destruction which isn’t correct. I was just pointing out there were a large amount of destruction and over half a million deaths

John Stott
John Stott
1 year ago
Reply to  Simon

You missed his point l think. Vichy made sure that France suffered little damage to infrastructure. And many French did not have the stomach for yet more war after 1914/18.

Simon
Simon
1 year ago
Reply to  John Stott

A country re-starting from scratchFrance was on its knees in 1945. The Nazis, the Allies and the French resistance had between them assured the destruction of 400,000 buildings with five times that number damaged. Industrial and agricultural production was running at just 40% of what it had been pre-war. The pitiful state of ports, train tracks, roads and bridges meant that those supplies that were available could not be easily distributed in a country where half a million hectares of land still needed to be de-mined. The French population was sick and very, very hungry: rationing would continue until 1949… Read more »

John Stott
John Stott
1 year ago
Reply to  Simon

“Euro News”…..😂

OkamsRazor
OkamsRazor
1 year ago
Reply to  Simon

Your definition of destruction obviously differs from mine, if I had meant deaths obviously I would have said.

Simon
Simon
1 year ago
Reply to  OkamsRazor
DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  OkamsRazor

In war, there is no winners & losers. Some just lose more than others.

OkamsRazor
OkamsRazor
1 year ago
Reply to  DJ

If you really believe that Ukrainians are “just” losing more than Russians then I feel sorry for you.

Steve M
Steve M
1 year ago

I think what Ukraine need ASAP is the trailer mount Phlanx’s that were used in Afghan, put them around critical power nodes, they just need diesel and supply oy 20mm and will happily zap drones all day 🙂

Last edited 1 year ago by Steve M
J A MILES
J A MILES
1 year ago

This is Europe’s war. That is all there is to it. Russia cannot be seen to win. Russia’s people must work to regain the World’s trust over the coming decades.

Very good article by the way.

Steven Alfred Rake
Steven Alfred Rake
1 year ago

The Uk is full of promises that it is doing its best to help the Ukraine, but we are still giving India a shed lode of aid each year despite India continually helping Putin, we continue to give a shed lode of aid to Pakistan who openly back Putin and helped directly the Taliban to retake Afghanistan and now it would seem that we are also allowing ex RAF pilots to train the Chinese air force. When we are being told that we must be prepared for cutbacks this winter I just wonder how much money we could save by… Read more »

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago

The thinpinstrippedline is your friend to read about soft diplomacy 😉

Jon
Jon
1 year ago

Since 2015, the UK has given no financial aid to the Government of India. Instead, our development partnership with India is based on sharing skills, expertise, and development capital investments that help the poor and generate returns on our investment; our work reduces poverty, tackles climate change, and creates new partners and markets for the UK. Vicky Ford, Under-secretary FCDO March 2022. The total amount of overseas aid to India in 2020 was a little less than £50m and in 21/22 was around £55m. Not what I would call a shedload. Furthermore Pakistan is supplying arms to Ukraine with UK… Read more »

Steven Alfred Rake
Steven Alfred Rake
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

It is quite ironic that India has just overtaken the UK as the 4th largest economy in the world yet we the UK still have to give aid to India the same India with its own space programme the UK cannot afford its own space programme and the same India which has a far bigger armed forces than the UK. You say that this relationship is benefiting the UK well from where I am sitting the only benefit, we would appear to get is the rich Indians living in the UK laundering their ill-gotten gains through the UK markets. Pakistan… Read more »

Jon
Jon
1 year ago

The UK has its own space programme. It has had a military Space Force since April last year and a commercial satellite programme for far longer. We’ll be first launching satellites from UK soil (Cornwall) next month, hopefully, using a horizontal launch system (off the back of a plane). Next year will also see vertical launches from Shetland, and there are aspirations to create up to half a dozen other UK launch sites.

Last edited 1 year ago by Jon
Steven Alfred Rake
Steven Alfred Rake
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

With a lot of private investment and long after India’s state-run programme has been running with the help of the British taxpayer.

Simon
Simon
1 year ago

If Ukraine isn’t winning, they certainly are not losing either.

George Parker
George Parker
1 year ago

The way I see things, is the KGB/STASI trained Putin. Knows he has asked too much of the corrupt and inefficient Russian armed forces. While Ukraine being supported, financed, equipped and trained by key NATO members. Has performed amazingly well for a nation with equally as much corruption and inefficiency as Russia. What will the old soviet thinker do in response? The likelihood is Vlad will utilise reliable assets he knows are under FSB control. To somehow take advantage of existing phenomena. Thereby weakening the NATO/Ukraine connection. Or striking NATO nation were it hurts most, on their home territory and… Read more »

Steven Alfred Rake
Steven Alfred Rake
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

Putin has been seeding the West for decades, do you not find it co-incidental that most of the unions in the UK, France and Germany start to play up just after the West started to slap sanctions on Putin. What would go a long way in calming the situation here in the UK is if we could expose these connections by following the finance trail, but this would more than likely expose a lot of the political classes from the conservative, labour and the SNP who have all taken rather large sums of money from “Russian oligarchs” also a lot… Read more »

George Parker
George Parker
1 year ago

The “seeding” began before Putin’s time but being in the KGB, he obviously was aware of it. The KGB asset Jack Jones became head of the TUC! With education seriously targeted by communist activists. Now, even though the Russian experiment with communism failed miserably. We are still reaping the rotten fruit of that interventionist policy. With the single aim of spreading the cancerous socialist/communist plague. For example, Jeremy “Trots” Corbyn an undeniable communist revolutionaries groupie, almost became our PM. I’m not sure how much Putin could utilise the existing plethora of filthy commies due to many of them hating Russia… Read more »

John Stott
John Stott
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

Music to my ears that.

Steven Alfred Rake
Steven Alfred Rake
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

It is not by chance that Putin decided to roll his tanks over the border this year. His stalwart supporters in Ms Murkal who single handily has hooked the European economy to Russia has done her work well and has just stepped down out of the high light That along with the Wests insistence in cutting its armed forces to a shadow of its former self (we have never been so week as we are at the moment) the UK seems to have woken up, but it will take the best part of 10 years to reverse at least some… Read more »

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago

Heavens, sales of tin foil must have gone through the roof.

ChrisLondon
ChrisLondon
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

I think modern Russia mainly works via the Alt Right. Both Trump and Brexit were Russian backed and enabled and have tragically divided the West setting up the current war.

It was Trump who blocked Military aid to Ukraine for about three years trying to blackmail them into making up evidence against Biden for him.

Brexit has created all sorts of tension in Europe and may yet make NI blow up again. Then of course making all the adults in the Tories step back in despair contributed to Boris’ awful mishandling of covid and Truss’ economic suicide pact.

George Parker
George Parker
1 year ago
Reply to  ChrisLondon

Chris, you are wrong on every count but I think that’s deliberate. May was a Cameron clone but not honest enough to admit it. Boris was a clown with only personal charisma and communication skill on his side. But he did deliver as much as he could in the situation. We should all be grateful. BREXIT remains only partly implemented and will be the best move this soverign nation of ours has made since WWII. Certainly since the period of soviet inspired socialist encroachment. The best leader and PM that this nation could have had for BREXIT, is currently a… Read more »

WSM
WSM
1 year ago
Reply to  ChrisLondon

…and undoubtedly many of the higher echelons of the more militant trade unions – uncanny how a fondness towards violent Irish Republicanism and Russian aggression always seem to go hand in hand , still if that’s where part of the funding comes from then I guess the London-based comrades and latter day Fred Kites are happy to turn a blind eye – it’s all the fucking Tories fault innit ?!…

Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 year ago
Reply to  WSM

You can’t seriously be defending the Tories? The party of mass immigration that shut down the free market for basically 2 years and stuck everyone on UBI? “Bloody rail workers, your 3 year pay freeze (real terms cut of about 15%!) caused inflation!” Laughable.

WSM
WSM
1 year ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

No, I’m not (I haven’t bothered to vote for 30 years) , although how the union’s argument over pay and conditions with privately owned train companies is all down to the government doesn’t exactly tally.
Party of mass immigration – (New) Labour from 1997-2010 as I recall – the party formerly known as “Conservative” has a long way to go to surpass that.

ChrisLondon
ChrisLondon
1 year ago
Reply to  WSM

By mass immigration do you mean people moving around within the greater country we had the honour to be part of until the fascist loonies of Brexit threw it all away?

All via a dodgy referendum built on murder and terror to apply an antidemocratic ratchet to political debate here. Thanks to the political cowardice of the two conservative parties they succeeded to Britain’s loss.

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

Of course he could have made sure that former PM got to party at an Italian retreat; who was it again?

UKRAINAPOLIS
UKRAINAPOLIS
1 year ago

Ukraine and the world shall win this war- no way Russia can defeat Ukraine in Ukraine. Now on the marshal law announced yesterday, and forced relocation of Ukrainians from the Kherson region, my theory is that Putin has earmarked the region for nuclear detonation after he has satisfied himself that most of the residents have been moved out. After-all in his mind, he will be using this bomb in his country and NOT Ukraine. This is the only plausible explanation I can give as to why he has imposed marshal law in areas he does not occupy.

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  UKRAINAPOLIS

As I understand it, Kherson and the other 3 oblasts that are now under Russian control already had a degree of Marshal Law imposed on them by the local authorities under Ukrainian Law. Given that they now claim to be part of Russia this had to be changed to reflect Russian Law, hence the announcement. The population of Kherson a year ago was around 260,000 what it is now is unknown but is unlikely to have shrunk to 60,000 so the city itself does not appear to be being evacuated. Their fear is that the current Ukrainian shelling of the… Read more »

UKRAINAPOLIS
UKRAINAPOLIS
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Noted!

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

So your version of events is the Russians are doing everything in their power to save Kherson and it’s people, and martial law is the Ukrainians fault! Fuck me you are so on your lead barking the Putin Nazi tune that’s is gone from sad to pathetic. Anyway any thoughts on the current tactical situation on the ground and Russias ongoing recruitment efforts? You pop out of your box only occasionally now as things have gone from shit to fucking awful for your Russian Nazis, don’t you.

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

Of course the martial law is the Ukrainian’s fault, they imposed it but it was the Ukrainians in the now Russian areas that did it. As you ask, yes I do. The tactical situation is quite interesting as there doesn’t seem to have been much change in possession of territory for a couple of weeks. On the NE part of the Kherson front near the Dneiper the UA tries every 2/3 days to break through but get thrown back with bad losses whilst over in the East the grinding artillery battles seem to drag on. All the time the Russian… Read more »

Steven Alfred Rake
Steven Alfred Rake
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

I’m not sure which one you work for Putin or Lavrov, they both lie but one tells the lie and the other tries to spoon feed that lie to the rest of the world.

The Russians ae clearing Kherson so that they can blow the dam just above Kherson to stop the Ukranian army following them over the river all the way to the Crimea.

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Ha ha ha !! ” Pulling Russia’s tail with the NS…” . They did that, and their impotent response to the Kerch Bridge in their drone strikes against civilians is testament to how badly they are losing on the battlefield. Putin is so lost. Those Russian reinforcements you mention, are they the frightened, untrained middle aged men that were mobilised and sent out with rusty rifles, no supplies and a few tampons? Yeah, they’ll be effective!! 🙄. Maybe you should volunteer yourself, back up your bullshit and tell us first hand about how advanced the Russian military is. You certainly… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago

Nothing impotent about the military aspect of the energy reduction. Work that out for yourself.

We will see in the next few weeks if that mobilisation of reserves is as effective as you suppose or as the Russian MoD plans.

I don’t hate Ukrainians, I have one as a good friend.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

“I don’t hate Ukrainians I have a good one as a friend”! FFS that’s what racist wankers say about BAME people when justifying racism. You fucking nobber.

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

Sad, slipping into your abusive rant mode again. Did you read that article I suggested?

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Sad, never answering the questions posed or having the courage to nail your colours to the post! But I stand by the reply I gave you, your comment is typical of a racist trying to justify a racist comment! Any relevant replies to that pal? Anyway, “I don’t hate Ukrainians I have one as a good friend”! If you cannot see what you wrote then you have verified your position as a troll and a none UK citizen. Damn your getting easy to rip to shreds! Pathetic, not even a challenge.

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

JIMK wrote:

Nothing impotent about the military aspect of the energy reduction. Work that out for yourself.

I cannot believe how somebody who claimed that Russia has gone out of its way to prevent Civilian causalities (when clearly with plenty of physical evidence it hasn’t) is now trying to pass off the targeting of civilian targets (as outlawed by the GC) as justifiable military targets. Do remind me again how that works?

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

OK, have a go at the points I make but just where did I try “to pass off the targeting of civilian targets (as outlawed by the GC) as justifiable military targets”? My comment was aimed at PC not you, I know you will have seen the analysis showing just how carefully targeted the network attacks are. These are not random strikes on civilian infrastructure. If they were surely Kiev for example would be suffering with total loss of power not just periods between 18.00 and 00.00? From memory, during that first night of heavy attacks on Kiev and other… Read more »

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Hold on, Johnskie your arse, Arse, this is Johnskie, a regular occurrence when Farouk grips you! Love it!

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

No such time as 00:00, it’s either 23:59 or 00:01, oh dear more mistakes! Oooh and an angry reference to Iraq, wonder how long that froth would take to spew! 👜

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

We can all see right now how disastrous and ineffective the mobilisation is.

Highly unlikely that you have any friends, I expect that the only one you ever had died of boredom.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago

He is becoming more desperate and hence more amusing.

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

JIMK wrote: “”The tactical situation is quite interesting as there doesn’t seem to have been much change in possession of territory for a couple of weeks.” Help me here, for somebody who has admitted he doesn’t have a clue when it comes to the art of war, basis tactics on the 7 man section level never mind the brigade and army level and weapons and their capabilities,  you appear to have no problem coming across as a subject matter expert on the subjects at hand. So: 1)    So regards the tactical situation across the 2 main FEBAs in country. You post… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

Perhaps you might prefer it if I prefaced all my comments with “I am not and expert but this might be relevant”? 1) In Kherson they are slogging it out with the Ukrainians attempting advances with no significant advance. Is that incorrect? The Russians are defending hard with what looks to be like 3 prepared defensive lines in the NE area. Where are the Russians “in full flight in Kherson”? 2) I know you did, but if there were 27BTG there, at the time of the big Ukrainian attacks, there doesn’t look to be anything like that there for some… Read more »

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Handed your arse again I see by Farouk, situation normal.

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

JIMK wrote: In Kherson they are slogging it out with the Ukrainians attempting advances with no significant advance. Is that incorrect? The Russians are defending hard with what looks to be like 3 prepared defensive lines in the NE area. Where are the Russians “in full flight in Kherson”? I informed you months ago, that armies require resupply and the 27 BTGs Moscow has on the West bank of the Dnieper will require vast amounts of replen , the problem here is there are only 3 bridges which cross the vast river and the Ukrainians have cut them . Now… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by farouk
farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

JIMK wrote: “”All the time the Russian reinforcements are moving forward..”   These soldiers are press ganged reservists who undertook a years military service  years ago, who have been handed the bare minimum of equipment , even less refresher training and sent to fight in a war, a lot of them want nothing to do with, which explains how more Russian males have left the country to avoid call up than have landed inside the Ukraine. When I was part of any unit tasked to go to war, we would spend weeks training before hand, we did this at the squad,… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

I understand what you are saying but, as I replied to PC above we will see in the next few weeks if that mobilisation of reserves as part of their bolstering of their forces is as ineffective as the general opinion of it is here or as effective as the Russian MoD plans it to be. It is too early to tell, we will probably know in the next 6 weeks at a guess.

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

JIMK wrote: “”as I replied to PC above we will see in the next few weeks if that mobilisation of reserves as part of their bolstering of their forces is as ineffective as the general opinion of it is here or as effective as the Russian MoD plans it to be.”” The one stand out feature between both sides inside the Ukraine which has allowed the Ukraine take the lead on the battlefront is the quality of the troops on the ground. At the section, troop and Squadron level by aping the Western way of thinking of delegation we saw… Read more »

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

Mate your efforts at continuing to hand him his arse are successful every time! But he has no real clue what you/we/most on here are on about as he is a one liner, leash controlled troll/bot, and therefore pointless at trying to educate! We should leave well alone to stew in his sad nonce juice…..but, his efforts at propaganda are just that, sad efforts every single poster can see, but, I find I cannot allow such Jimmy Saville nonsense to be peddled and therefore find it amusing to rip him a new arse! You are more productive and mature and… Read more »

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

JIMK wrote: “”Meanwhile the drone warfare has cranked up given big increases in availability to the Russian Army of cheap drones. I suspect that any anti drone system we have will have its manufacturer desperate to get theirs there to test..”   Ah, Putins  version of the V1 soon to be followed by the v2 versions (purchase of SRBM from Iran) The adjective that is been left out is finite, you know, the very same one peddled by the pro Russia crowd about the weapons supplied by the West to the Ukraine. Moscow has run down its supply of well… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

The inaccurate V1 carried a 800+kg warhead, the Russian “V1”, copy of or actual, accurate Shahed-136 has a 40kg warhead, surely hardly comparable. The Russian “V2” is probably the Iskander, already in use against Ukraine, whether they get an Iranian similar is subject to some debate. Unless you know better there is no indication that the Russians are running low on missiles, just speculation since March that that was the case when it clearly wasn’t. What has happened is that they can now use cheap and plentiful missiles rather than the expensive ones. Wouldn’t you do the same in their… Read more »

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

JIMK wrote: “”Israel has offered nothing more than humanitarian aid and within the last week”” Thats strange as 2 days ago Benny Gantz The Israeli defence minister has stated that whislt Israel won;t supply Ukr with weapons, they are willing to supply it with anti UAV systems. The thing is Israel understands only too well that the iranian weapon systems in use in the Ukraine are the very same ones that it will face if the baloon goes up in the lavant. That is why Israel has decided to help the Ukraibne, because the more access it has to Iranian… Read more »

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

JIMK wrote:  “”There is no evidence of Syrian or Libian troops working for the Russians. Chechnya is part of the Russian Federation so of course they are there, in increasing numbers as they get trained up.”” Thats strange as the very Russian media you often quote sitpulated in March that 16K Syrians and Libyans had joined the good fight. But for some reason the Russians has kept them away from the front line and instead uses them as garrison troops in the rear. (in which to stop them running away and claiming asylum) In fact the BBC knocked out one… Read more »

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Desperation! Your like a scrawny pale ginger kid trying to pull a cheerleader with bullshit, lies and someone else’s profile pics! Sad sad coward!

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Handed your arse yet again by Farouk! Very common occurrence!

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

JIMK wrote: “”I’m sure that, like Ukraine’s many earlier claims, this one is spot on but given the amount of damage being done by 15% there must be a rather large total figure causing the strong demands for Western AD.”” Ok, lets say Russian launches 50 Shahed-136 at the Ukraine and they all get through, that is 50, 40kg explosions A BM21 MRLS  has 40 barrels , a BTG has 6 BM21, that’s 240 rounds which come with a warhead of around 20kgs The 50 Shaded comes in at 2000kgs The BTGs worth of just one BM21 salvo comes in… Read more »

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Hold on hold on, let me pick you up on the “Russian reinforcements” comment……really, you are saying that thousands of half trained, or untrained press ganged peasents, including 40s plus, containing a large amount of convicted criminals, with fuck all personal kit, cutting about in Sovier era ex stored wagons, as reinforcements! Oh my, you are desperate pal aren’t you. As for the tactical situation, you are absolutely correct, since the massive and continuous successful efforts by the Ukrainians at taking back thousands of square miles of their invaded sovereign territory, little much has been done by the Nazi Russians… Read more »

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

” As I understand it,…..”

But what follows is an avalanche of specious bullshit, lies, fact twisting, and nazi propaganda.

While in Kherson, thousands of Ukrainian civilians face forced abduction into Russia, summary execution by Russian soldiers, and theft of property as the rapist army flees.

How proud you must be.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago

He is, but hasn’t the balls to nail his colours to the mast!

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago

“But what follows is an avalanche of specious bullshit, lies, fact twisting, and nazi propaganda.”

Put up or shut up. Where is it?

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

All of it little man, all of it, and, while we’re on the subject, every single thing you’ve posted. Every time you’re shown up as wrong, either by other way more knowledgeable people (Farouk et al), or your previous comments that have such a contorted narrative that you are beyond parody at this stage. How ironic and funny that you would ask ‘Put up or shut up ‘ when, every time I’ve asked you for your comments on jailed Russian anti war protesters, murdered Russian politicians, executed civilians in Russian held areas, the rapes, theft ,abduction throughout Ukraine by Russia… Read more »

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago

More likely a low flying tank turret as recently he has been rather pathetic in his troll comments!

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

No, you put up or shit up! Mail your colours to the mast and tell everyone where you stand on this illegal invasion of Ukraine by Nazi Russia and Putin! Alas you cannot, as you are a monitored troll account! If you were not you could say, for all to see that Putin is a bell end…..repeat please!

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

Mail them if you want or nail them! But I’m sure the mail from Russia is as slow, corrupt and none-existent as everything else!

Alan clarke
Alan clarke
1 year ago

Dont these nations learn by there mistakes the us had veitnam war and lost
Russia had yrs of fighting in afganistan and they lost and now again russia is making the same mistakes

Cedar
Cedar
1 year ago

Whether Ukraine survives Putin’s genocidal invasion depends on whether the West finally supplies the effective air defences and long-range missiles Zelenskyy’s been pleading for since February. We’ve provided enough weaponry for Ukrainians to engage in some protracted dying, but not for them to go on the offensive & expel the Russian forces. I wouldn’t put it past Putin to lure the Ukrainians into Kherson by tossing them some expendable Asiatic Russians to shoot at, & then nuke the city. As long as not too many Muscovites are killed, he won’t even count the wretched Tuvans, Kalmuks, Buryatis etc as a… Read more »