The Ministry of Defence has indicated an in the role of the Ares armoured vehicle within the British Army, suggesting that the tracked platform could now be deployed alongside Boxer in future infantry formations.
The update appears in a written answer to a Parliamentary Question from Ben Obese-Jecty MP and may mark a subtle shift, or at least a clarification, in the Army’s force structure.
Responding on Tuesday, Defence Minister Maria Eagle stated that the Army intends to reorganise its four heavy force units within 3rd (UK) Division as “Armoured Infantry Units based on the Ajax and Boxer family of vehicles.”
This development forms part of ongoing efforts to equip NATO’s Strategic Reserve Corps with credible heavy warfighting formations.
The statement contrasts with messaging from late 2024, when Armed Forces Minister Luke Pollard said the British Army would establish “four Heavy Mechanised Infantry Battalions across two Armoured Brigades… equipped and structured around the Boxer platform.”
Ares
Ares is a tracked vehicle developed by General Dynamics UK as part of the British Army’s Ajax programme. It is intended to transport dismounted troops while offering protection against small arms fire and explosive threats. Ares is based on a common chassis used across the Ajax family, which was procured to modernise the Army’s reconnaissance and support capabilities. The vehicle’s design reflects an emphasis on protected mobility in line with NATO standards, replacing older platforms such as the FV432.
The vehicle has a crew of two and space for up to seven additional personnel. It is powered by a 600-horsepower diesel engine and can reach speeds of approximately 70 km/h. Ares is armed with a remote-controlled weapon station typically fitted with a 7.62mm machine gun. Internally, it uses the Bowman communications system and a digital electronic architecture designed to integrate with other vehicles and command structures. The vehicle’s suspension and tracked configuration support off-road mobility over a range of terrain types.
Protection features include modular armour, underbody blast protection, and electronic countermeasures. The vehicle is also designed with reduced thermal and acoustic signatures, intended to lower its detectability. While Ares has undergone extensive testing, it forms only one part of the wider Ajax programme, which has faced delays and technical scrutiny. The programme has attracted parliamentary and media attention due to previous issues with crew safety and noise levels during trials.
Ares is one of six variants in the Ajax family, which also includes versions for reconnaissance, command and control, engineering support, and repair and recovery. The British Army has ordered 59 Ares vehicles. The variant is planned to operate within the structure of future Brigade Combat Teams, which form part of the Army’s planned reorganisation of its deployable forces. As of mid-2025, Ares has entered limited service while broader acceptance of the Ajax fleet remains contingent on the resolution of outstanding issues.
will 59 be enough. surly the British army needs, should be in the hundreds
just an opinion.?
Multiple other online sources say there are 93 Ares on order. This is the first time I’ve seen the 59 figure and I hope it’s wrong. Mind you, even if the correct figure is 93, that’s nowhere near enough.
Yes, I’ve read 93. It appears by result of this statement that more vehicles will be required once the current orders are completed. A greater mix of new wheeled and tracked vehicles would make eminent sense, considering around 1,000 Warrior/Bulldogs are due to leave service. Ares looks like a capable machine and should keep pace with Boxer.
As it stands, Ares is a specialist tracked vehicle for moving things like Recce teams, Jav troops etc about, rather than a full on APC. So the need to order hundreds of them is probably not there unless major force structure changes happen.
When armoured vehicles cost £10 million a go they need to provide more than small arms protection for 7 dismounts and a weapon station for a 7.62mm.
Patria 6X6 cost £1 million and can do almost everything Boxer or Aries can do.
The army needs to change its mindset if it wants an increase in numbers. 1 £10 million vehicle pays the salary of nearly 300 soldiers for 1 year.
The Ajax family will never be like the CVR(T) and no amount of promotional video’s from General Dynamics will make it so. Maybe £10 million each is worth while for a super networked reconnaissance vehicles with a sci fi cannon but it makes zero sense for recovery vehicles, ambulances and armoured personnel carriers.
Our adversaries are driving round in electric scooters, We can comfortably drive around in £1 million armoured vehicles from patria.
I’d be really surprised if we don’t end up buying Patria 6×6 eventually. It’s too good value to pass up and we really need to boost our numbers. It doesn’t have the bells and whistles of the Boxer and Ajax, but it’s simple, can swim and has various upgrades available (armour, autocannon, mortar, etc).
I agree, god knows how Patria makes it so cheap, other Boxer users like Germany are also buying it as well.
I know we want a simplified logistics train but when simplifying the chain means everyone driving around in a £10 million quasi tank with limited armour (because all armour is now limited) something has to give.
Also as you say the Patria comes in some amazing variants that would add a lot to a British army looking for affordable mass a firepower.
Given just how high equipment spend is in the British army the current budget could sustain a force of 100k soldiers comfortably however it can do that and pay for all the super exquisite platforms.
Wheels are cheap, tracks expensive, Europe has lots of roads. You can drive anywhere Russia can invade in a car from Kent in 24 hours.
Abrams tanks and challenger 2 are frequently knocked out in Ukraine so what will all the armour on Ajax/Ares really achieve.
Jim after years of being told that they need a Tracked replacement for Warrior the British Army has finally come to the same conclusion as nearly everyone else (including Finland who have BMP and CV90.
You need both !
Even France is supposedly going down that route which is somewhat of a surprise.
As for Patria it ticks a lot of boxes and at that price could be a really good way of adding mass at a reasonable price, a lot depends on what is in the Autumn DIP. We already have an identified wheeled vehicle in Boxer and Tracked with the Ajax family of vehicles, I’d be reluctant to complicate the logistics and maintenance pipelines with another wheeled vehicle.
But what I think it would be really useful for is providing armoured mobility for “The New Force” mentioned in the SDR for the protection of bases and CNI to release reserves from home defence / security duties.
I do actually think that one of the key lessons to learn from the Ukraine is how they survived the initial attack by Russia. They had a robust frontline fighting force backed by adequate quickly mobilised reserves. But that was only possible due to their 3rd line of local territorial knits which were very quickly deployed to take over the local defence of the rear areas.
But saying all that it’s the British Army we are talking about so they will probably insist on a long expensive fancy named project which spends millions to assess the options but results in just buying some more Ares.
ABC I don’t think the army was ever under any illusion that it didn’t need both. The decision to go with a wheeled replacement for warrior was forced by financial constraints, not by what the army wanted. The plan was for upgraded Warrior, Boxer, Ajax and Challenger 3 all working together within 3 UK Division, but the money didn’t stretch so Warrior became the natural cut, as the oldest vehicle whose job could be at least somewhat covered by Boxer.
If either a modified Ares with a RWS, or an ASCOD variant are purchased, it won’t be because the Army suddenly realised “we need tracks” (or more realistically “We need a 30mm”), it’ll be because the money became available to actually fund that.
Jim, Chally 2s are not frequently knocked out in UKR. Certainly one was knocked out and possibly another.
Just looked up Patria 6×6 on Wikipedia ( late to the party, & WP not 100% inaccurate) & it mentions very briefly that Patria & Babcock UK signed an MoU to supply to the British Army, so maybe this may be on the cards?
That’s been very badly reported on. The MOU is basically that Babcock and Patria are going to develop a derivative of the Patria 6×6 that they’ll pitch to the MoD. So quite a long way from actually supplying the vehicle.
David, there was a story that Patria want to pitch a 6×6 120mm mortar carrier to the MoD.
Criss,
Don’t know where the figure of 59 comes from. On 3 September 2014, MoD ordered 589 Scout SV (ie AJAX family) vehicles, totalling £3.5 billion excluding VAT, of which 93 were ARES in the APC role plus 34 ARES in the Formation Reconnaissance Overwatch role. It should be stressed that the APC role was to carry small (up to 4-man) teams of specialist personnel and not an Infantry section.
At the time the order was placed the intention was that WARRIOR IFV would be upgraded (WCSP) for the AI, and BOXER being the MIV would go to the Mech Inf.
However WCSP was cancelled in March 2021 and it was stated that BOXER would instead be fielded in the Armoured BCTs, the clear implication was that it would now replace the IFV. A thoroughly bad move forced by a perceived need to save money.
Clearly some changes will now be afoot and we should be wiser when the DCP is published.
A machine gun, wow such fire power, is this story a joke?
So they are now going to supplement a very expensive wheeled APC with a very expensive tracked APC… still will not make them armoured infantry.
Less fire power then a warrior…..World beating!
Well, that answers my question regarding any potential for a tracked IFV purchase to replace Warrior.
I have to admit, “ten times more lethal” still feels like a bit of a stretch to me…
59. Wow. That might last the first day if it all kicks off.
Hmm, not even 3 months ago, Ares was still being described as the replacement for the Spartan APC. It has also been described as a compliment to the 40mm armed Ajax in the scout role. Where the vehicle can carry an additional 4 infantry specialists. That can be used for observation roles, deploying sniper teams, Javelin armed anti-tank teams and MANPAD teams. Armed with only a Kongsberg RWS fitted with either a M2 or GPMG it most certainly is not an IFV.
I think the Army are desperately looking at fielding armoured infantry (AI) as part of their NATO commitment. But having to use what’s available in lieu of the soon to be pensioned off Warrior. Additionally the Ares which now has apparently room for 6 in the back, where before it was 4, is technically a “man” short compared to Warrior. The ops will have to be adjusted to suit to compensate for the smaller team size. Which is no great hardship, but it will probably require at least one or two extra vehicles to match the battalion’s operational requirements. It does seem that 6 dismounts is becoming the norm. Unless the vehicle commander double hats as the section commander?
If this is a make do and mend solution, recognizing that Boxer is not suited for the AI role alongside Challenger. Recognizing then limitations of an APC, will we see a future ARES equipped with at least an unmanned turret fitted with the 40mm CTAS autocannon? Which would then turn it into a respectable IFV. Nexter have an unmanned turret that would be suitable.
Hurry up and wait, I guess?
DaveyB,
Willing to wager that you have accurately described the future development path of ARES. Fortuitous decisions, events and programmes happen. 🤔😁
So you need to put a cannon on Ares? Ajax and Ares are networked. Could you redefine a ‘section’ as 1 Ajax + 2 Ares, say?
That’s a really big section and a lot to expect a Section Commander to control. For reference a Platoon is normally about 4-5 vehicles.
I’ve not the experience – just trying to think a bit out of the box; experimenting what other models might work.
The closest to what you are suggesting is in Battlegroups, where a Troop of Tanks or AFV’s get attached to a Company of Infantry, but typically the Challengers/Ajax stay under their own tactical command.
Change the RWS to one that supports a 30mm. Every major RWS manufacturer has one or more with such a configuration. 30×113 (lighter RWS) or 30×173 (heavy RWS), some with optional ATGM & SAM missiles & coaxial MG. All for a fraction of the cost (& weight) of an Ajax 40mm turret.
Davey, rewriting your doctrine and ORBAT just because you buy a vehicle with a limited number of seats is not a good idea.
Mate totally agree. But when the only option is downsizing your pax from 7 to 6, something has to change.
Perhaps the Ares itself will be an interim option. Where it’s replaced by a rebadged ASCOD2 IFV. Which apparently can carry 8 pax plus 3 crew.
Davey, which vehicles, APCs or IFVs, have 6 dismounts as the norm?
Is this the result of what has been learned by Warrior temporarily replacing late delivery of Ajax. It seems as though the Warrior tracked IFV function is split into 2 vehicles; Ajax and Ares APC?
No no no.
Ignore Ajax as part of the IFV issue! People keep getting vehicles and roles/ service arm mixed up.
I’ll try to explain, sorry if I make a hash of it and confuse even more. One needs to understand the varied parts of the Army and the vehicle fleets they had.
Spare Warriors went to the Royal Armoured Corps as their CVRT family of vehicles were withdrawn without the Ajax family replacement being ready. Standard.
So there was nothing else save them walking.
Warrior only served previously to this in the Infantry and the REME. Not the RAC.
The RAC are the service arm that carry out formation recc. These RAC Regiments, once 5, now down to 3, and are now called Armoured Cavalry.
Along side them are 3 Regiments of MBT, and 3 of Light Cavalry on Jackal. ( All CVRT or MBT Regiments once.)
So 3,3,3. Nice and balanced.
To confuse, they were to be 4 Ajax Regs for Formation Recc when a MBT Regiment was cut as part of Strike, but that’s now seemingly gone, thank God. ( KRH, first on Carters chopping block to lose Tanks. Ajax delays have scuppered it.)
So, the Warrior IFV “function” is not split into Ajax and Ares!
Ajax isn’t an IFV, it is a recc asset. Ares is a variant but not for Recc, but replaces Spartan.
Put simply. Ajax family are primarily with the RAC for recc.
Like the CVRT family was.
There is overlap in that some CVRT variants, so thus Ares now, will also be in Armoured Infantry Battalions, which are not a part of the RAC, but Corps of Infantry.
And AI Battalions have a Recc Platoon that had Scimitar, a CVRT variant. So should get Ajax Recc, the variant with the turret.
Warrior. Warrior traditionally was only in the Infantry and some REME CS Battalions, moved into RAC temporarily.
Warrior was to be replaced by upgraded Warrior. So WCSP.
That got canned, for reasons explained elsewhere.
The obvious answer for HMG was to use planned Boxer.
Again, destined initially elsewhere and explained this elsewhere.
Boxer isn’t suitable.
Ares is replacing the CVRT Spartan for carrying small teams, which was done in AI Battalions, and will no doubt carry on today.
It is now looked at as a better fit than Boxer, as NATO reportedly want our AI Bdes to field an IFV.
I’m sure I’ve just confused even more now, by going off on tangents trying to fill in the backstory of all this.😆
Great summation, thanks
They all just look like big armoured boxes with a gun in it to me 😀
Hi Daniele, apologies for provoking such a magnificent effort. 😊
I think I was there with the Ajax not being an IFV thing. I guess what I was asking is , if your Boxer or Ares APC section don’t have a cannon the nearest cannon would be on a far away Ajax. I know it would be a bit infra dig for an Ajax but suppose we built a few more Ajax and used them as close support minders for the APC? The NATO comment kills off any lingering intention to replace Warrior with Boxer APC.
Ironically, that was one of the faults found with Strike. You had half your Strike Brigade, 2 Boxer Bns, deploying at pace from the UK to the Baltics. With little integral firepower beyond that in their FS Companies, so AT, GPMG, 81mm, and vehicle MGs.
And the other half, 2 Regiments of tracked Ajax, unable to deploy at speed due to the extra logistical issues, including lack of HETs.
And they were meant to provide the firepower!
Just buy a bloody tracked IFV with a cannon as standard for your integral firepower……or resurrect WCSP, if that is even possible.
Re Strike and the firepower split between tracks and wheels, Dern pointed to a solution years ago. Centauro.
Wheeled. OTS. Available. Big gun. In service.
Instead, we went Ajax, and changed the A2020 plan which resulted in the loss of an Armoured Brigade and the planned loss of the IFV of the two that survive. Because an Armoured Brigade was planned to be dropped for a Strike Brigade, Boxer was brought forward to furnish it, and the money was not there to fund Ajax, Boxer, CH3, and WCSP at the same time in the recapitalisation timeline.
So, re your Strike deployment point and picking up on DJ’s post, isn’t the pragmatic option to actually make 2 IFVs; put a 30mm RWS on Ares for the armoured infantry and ditto on Boxer for the mechanised infantry? Horses for courses.
Yes. Seems sensible to me.
But what do I know ? There are all sorts of tech details beyond most on this forum.
So I’m not the person to ask re weapons and specifics.
And a correction to my post, which was nagging at me when I wrote it.
There were a tiny number of Warrior which also served with the RA, as Observation vehicles.
So not just the Infantry and REME as I stated.
From my time with 4 Regt RA i believe they served as both Battery Observation and Command post variants. Both with fake wooden Rarden barrels if i remember correctly.
BigH, I remember those wooden barrels! IIRC it was to disguse them so they wouldn’t be made priority targets?
I thought Ares was the overwatch variant, and has limited seats for dismounts like the Spartan? Has shit been removed from the back or have the seats been reduced to dwarf size? Seriously this is an opportunity to actually get more ordered and get a modern IFV and get at least a 25mm cannon on the top! 40mm better but anything at the moment would be better than nothing!
That’s completely correct.
If you google “Ares APC interior” there is a post by Nicholas Drummond (I know, I know) that has images of the Ares interior.
The 4 dismounts all sit along one side of the hull, with a very large equipment rack occupying the other wall. So you might possibly be able to remove that rack (I don’t know what’s in it) and put more seats in.
The Tac Commander sits to the right of the Vehicle Commander, the 3 dismounts sit along the left side of the vehicle behind the Vehicle commander.
Ah, you follow Mr Drummond.
He will always push Boxer for all its worth, I think he’s an adviser or something?
His ORBAT ideas are also “interesting” and seem utterly impossible with the number of CS and CSS units that appear out of thin air.
Yes, he works for them as a public spokesman and advisor.
Pretty much this mate.
Armoured vehicles seem to have moved on from 25mm to 30mm on newer iterations. RWS with 30×113 or 30×173 are OTS from all the major manufacturers. Additional ATGM, SAM, coaxial MG options.
The issue would be logistics, but also performance. If we mix ammunition types between 30 and 40mm. The 30×113 as used by the Apache is a pretty crsp round performance wise. Good for an Apache when firing down on armoured vehicles due to the thinner top armour. But against the frontal arc fired horizontally, its performance is left wanting. But the lower muzzle velocity does allow it to mounted on lighter remote weapon systems (RWS).
The longer cased 30×173 as used by the Bushmaster guns, has a much better muzzle velocity and greater penetration against armoured vehicles. But that means the loggers will have to ferry to light cannon ammunition types. Thereby cutting the rounds supplied.
Sensible is not a word DE&S seem to use much. But centering on the CTAS40 would be the logical option. As it not only provides better performance than the 30×173. Plus it has specific anti-air fragmentation rounds. Which will be ideal for dealing with drones. Plus it means the loggers only have to ferry one light cannon ammunition types.
Like I mentioned above the French firm Nexter, have an off the shelf turret specifically for the CTAS40. That will fit both Boxer and Ares.
DJ, we had 30mm cannons starting 40 or 50 years ago. We have moved on to 40mm cannons.
There are 93 on order. 59 APCS AND 34 “overwatch” variants. Which are the same, so far as I can tell, but will be kitted for carrying atgm teams or similar
Typical British Army / MOD.
We have to have armoured infantry but we can’t afford to replace Warrior so we will order a vehicle for a different role (in this case armoured recce) but make it have several versions which we will be able to co-opt into the IFV role once necessity makes the money available. So we end up with an IFV that is not designed as an IFV, costs more and is unproven all because we couldn’t get the Treasury to properly finance a like for like replacement. Of course we could have just bought a proven IFV, say CV90 but there are others, that was proven, designed as an IFV and would have been overall much cheaper. This is the story of how the MOD manages to get such bad value for money while at the same time buying equipment that is not what was originally wanted.
Not really. The plan was to order a number of variants to replace the CVRT variants in service.
The cheapest of all the options would be to LIFEX the warriors, engine replacement, armour enhancements, new turret with 40mm canon. Job done. Estimate 1-2 million per vehicle and therefore £1 billion for all <500 remaining warriors. That's the cheapest option. Or get hundreds and hundreds of Ares and then retrofit them so they can undertake an IFV role with a turret and armour improvements (seems expensive but at least has the advantage of being a modular approach)
Vehicles can be taken in small batches for upgrade as and when funds are available…eg say 20-30 a year if hundreds of Ares are procured.
I'm thinking the army is thinking longer term, although that won't help the army if it all kicks off in less than 5 years. The army will then be wishing they'd just lifexed warrior.
Probably the cheapest option is to buy ASCOD in IFV format tbh. Warrior LIFEX might have a smaller upfront cost but the operating costs and earlier replacement than buying ASCOD would drive the price up considerably when you look at it as a holistic purchase. Retrofitting Ares back into the IFV role will always be a bit of a bodge because of the massive turret ring (the problem with the modular approach was Ajax had to be designed to fit a turret that can take a 120mm gun, which meant a big turret ring on all variants, which means limits on internal space if a hull penetrating turret is used).
The army always wanted to Lifex warrior of course, but that got pulled out from under them.
Is the Ascod longer than the Ares? Is it the same or similar type to the one in the US Bradley replacement competition against the RM Lynx? Imagine if the US goes for it there might be some cost benefits for the UK doing the same?
ASCOD is actually shorter than ARES, and yes it’s being proposed for the Bradley replacement, but also Ajax/Ares is based off of ASCOD, just heavily altered for the UK’s needs in a modular recce vehicle.
To add to Dern’s comment below. The Ajax SV base vehicle, which the other variants, such as Ares, Apollo, Athena etc are based on differs from the original ASCOD2 in a couple of major ways. The first is that the vehicle is heavier at 34t, with additional armour goes up to 38t and can cope with a growth weight up to 42t. Though the largest version of ASVOD2 now matches Ajax weight wise. The second major difference and why it is heavier, is that the base armour is rated to a much higher STANAG 4569 rating than Warrior. The main requirement was that the base Armour will protect over the frontal arc against 30mm armour piercing fin stabilized discarding sabot (APFSDS). But I suspect due to the weight, that the side armour can protect against larger than 14.5mm AP. Where most IFVs are up to this size.
Cost will always be an issue, but ordering more Ares or Ascod 2 IFV to follow on from the current Ajax family orders which should be complete in 2028 would be a sensible decision for both the Army and the defence industry.
The additional orders would support the U.K. manufacturing base while the production line still exists, which should be a partial win for the treasury. Ideally the hulls would be made in the U.K. this time around following the previous quality control issues, but also to improve domestic manufacturing capabilities.
Hi Dern
The MoD recently refused to supply “surplus” Warrior to Ukraine. We have over 800 in store, though a number were cannibalised for spares. Whilst many would have prefered to buy CV90, it is just possible that the WCSP will be resurected after the equipment review in the autumn. We had spent nearly half a billion £ on it before it the upgrade was cancelled.
Would be nice. But it depends on how much money is left over after RCH, drones, mlrs, gbad, sf/rangers etc. I don’t think we’ll see any movement on an ifv for a while yet.
Due to the AJAX suspension being overloaded and performing poorly GD changed it on the M10 Booker ( Also ASCOD based) to Hydro-pneumatic which works well, shame as that project is now cancelled by the US Government. Perhaps the Ajax will be upgraded at some stage.
Rob, the cheapest option of all for a much better IFV was to upgrade Warrior (WCSP), but the financing did not work out due to a clash with other AFV programmes. So now we are likely to spend a great deal more money to adapt ARES to fill a role as IFV or pseudo-IFV.
A key consideration must be that the Ajax / Ares manufacturing production line is hot and delivering. Does the star ship Enterprise networking of Ajax and Ares ( shared with CR3 and Apache) make it feasible to distribute the Warrior IFV strike/ recon and infantry carrying functions to Ajax and Ares? If so would RS4 on Ares be sufficient?
Paul, RS4 on ARES is totally insufficient to create an IFV out of base ARES. RS4 cannot take a 30 or 40mm cannon.
This is an absolute non-story and I suspect Maria Eagle doesn’t quite grasp what she is on about. Obviously the two brigades where always going to be based on Ajax and Boxer, but my understanding was that the integral Recce and AT sections where always going to be Ajax/Ares on the four Armoured Infantry Battalions.
The two “apparently contradictory” statements are so vague, that trying to get anything out of them is basically the same as reading tea leaves.
Luke Pollards “four Heavy Mechanised Infantry Battalions across two Armoured Brigades… equipped and structured around the Boxer platform.” (what does that ellipses hide btw) simply means that the primary platform will be Boxer. It does not, indeed it certainly will not, mean that the only platform within those battalions is Boxer (at the very least you’d expect to see MAN SV’s and Apollo (the Repair variant of Ajax) in support roles).
Basically Pollard glossed over a huge amount of detail in the composition of the Boxer Battalions (as he probably should nobody outside of these forums needs to get bogged down in how many of what type of vehicle is in a battalion), while Eagle glossed over just very slightly less detail.
I really don’t understand why they would have a mixed track and wheeled battalion. Essentially you stack their weaknesses not their strengths by mixing them, the tracked elements scupper that strategic mobility of wheels, unless your willing to leave the tracked elements behind and the wheeled elements will act as drag and anchor down the tactical mobility of the tracked elements in deep mud, unless they are willing to leave the wheeled elements behind… I can understand having a wheeled battalion and a tracked battalion within a brigade as you then have two manoeuvre units with different strengths..one with increased strategic mobility and one with increased tactical mobility. But not mixed battalions.
There’s no such thing as a pure tracked battalion. Some always have wheels because not everything needs tracks and armour. Also because of the way we fight, the truth is that if you have a mixed brigade of tracks and wheels you’ll have mixed battlegroups of tracks and wheels.
Hi J.
They existed up until quite recently.
Post 2010 and so A2020 set up, each of our 3 AI Brigades had a 3rd Infantry Battalion
Termed HPM, Heavy Protected Mobility, they used wheeled Mastiff taken into core post Helmand.
These were the original units to be replaced by MIV, which became Boxer.
At the same time, Foxhound was issued in 1 UK Div Bns as Light Protected Mobility.
Maybe we end up with 3 Boxer, 3 Ares, one of each if DRSB gets converted back to all arms manoeuvre.
That’s because we had no money, lots of vehicles coming back from Afghanistan and had to pretend there was a real plan of how the Army was going to be equipped moving forward. Let’s be honest, the whole strike and recce concepts has nothing to do with a coherent campaign strategy but more to do with trying to put lipstick on a pig and not admit we can’t actually afford to do squat!
The vehicles coming back from Afghanistan where UOR’s. If the army hadn’t wanted them they’d have been handed back to the treasury. Retaining them required the Army to buy them off the Treasury as they returned from Theatre.
There’s nothing weird in the ellipses to worry about. Expanded, Pollard’s statement was:
“Planned future operational establishment will see the British Army have four Heavy Mechanised Infantry Battalions across two Armoured Brigades. These Battalions will be equipped and structured around the Boxer platform, with the first Battalion due to reach Initial Operating Capability in 2025.”
I’ve explained in more detail below, but the idea of having two armoured brigades makes no operational sense. After 12 months, we’d be forced to drop down to rotating battlegroups rather than brigades.
(I understand you’re not endorsing the concept of two full armoured brigades — just quoting it.)
Got reason to believe there is some confusion here, the response from Eagle specifically states Ajax not Ares. My former Battalion is one of the first Armoured Infantry units to transition to Boxer and at a speech given at recent briefing it was specifically stated that one of the three Rifle Coy’s was currently trialling how best to integrate Ajax with Boxer , there was no mention of Ares . This would make much more sense as it would bring at least some firepower back to the Battle Group in the form of at least some 40mm CTA cannon to mitigate in part against the loss of Warrior with its highly regarded RARDEN 30mm gun.
Worth noting that might be a nomenclature confusion. Ajax can refer to the entire Family.
i.e.
Ajax is a family of AFV’s consisting of the following Variants
Ajax
Ares
Athena
Apollo
Atlas
Argus.
So when someone says Ajax it can mean either any member of the Ajax family, or specifically the Ajax variant. It’s a flaw of the naming system.
I always thought the 30mm on warrior was not liked as it is loaded manually?
Hardly news, this has been rumoured for some time.
Just like in the old Warrior AI Battalions, where there were CVRT Scimitar within the formation, Thus Ajax Scout and Ares would replace those roles within, just as they are scheduled to in Armoured and Armoured Cavalry Regiments as well.
Eagle is stating the current official order of play and nothing else.
Word was these might end up all tracked formations with a big expansion of the Ares order for the Infantry Companies and subsequent reduction in future Boxer orders, or Boxer shifted to parts of 1 UK Division.
The irony that screwing up the composition of 3 Div might in the long run be what forces 1 Div to gain mechanised/Medium Brigades from its current light infantry focus so Boxers are not wasted, it’s hard to see that the funding would have been provided for Boxer if there was a tracked IFV program that was successful considering in the end it was WCSP or Boxer. Although Boxer seems heavy on supporting variants and would still need additional funding and variants to fully equip medium brigades.
That is the thing, John. Initially there was. The MIV program in A2020 was Boxer. It was meant to commence in 2027, after WCSP, CVRT replacement ( Ajax variants ) and CH3 had been funded to conclusion.
MIV was to provide replacement for 3 Heavy Protected Mobility Battalions, there was one in each of the 3 AI Brigades. While WCSP was to provide for 6 AI Battalions.
Giving a 1 MBT, 1 Armd Cav, 2 AI, 1 Boxer Bn per Brigade.
And we were to have 3!
Then Carter arrived, and it was altered, bringing Boxer forward as part of the Strike plan that culled 1 AI Brigade and will mutilate the 2 that remain. The result was HMG would not pay for all and WCSP was dropped.
The way HMG now talk as if Boxer was the plan all along is irritating. Post 2010 it was not so.
As I griped the other day, had the plan been implemented differently and MIV/Boxer aimed at 1 UK Division from the start, to furnish one or both of the two deployable Infantry Brigades the Division had at that time, then 3 UK could have remained all tracked and intact.
But, and this is my cynical side, HMG could never have that, as that did not involve cuts.
So we end up with WCSP dead, IFVs on the way out, one of the most expensive APC as yet barely armed, and a Division that now is ok to have only 2 all arms manoeuvre Brigades, where before they have had three since…since as long as I can remember, certainly back to the 80s in the Cold War.
The only thing I would change in what you have said is that I believe boxer is the most expensive wheeled APC on the planet and by a serious margin.. it’s about 5-8 times the cost of a more normal example of the breed.
Does those others have comparable STANAG regards Armour?
I have long believed Boxer should be primarily in the Infantry Platoons, with a cheaper type in supporting functions.
Just like FV432 remained when Warrior was bought.
And to add, if this happens, the Army regards 3 UK Division has seemingly spent the last decade destroying itself going around in a circle to come back to almost the same set up as before.
3 Bdes. 1 MBT. 1 Armd Cav, 2 Armd Infantry in each.
That I’m sure is what they’d like, and what NATO want.
That was set from 2011 onwards and WCSP, CH3 and Ajax were the big modernisation programs.
Now, with the 2015 Strike debacle and the cuts to CS CSS that came with it, there are significant holes to get back to that set up.
The thing is do you really need STANAG6 as a baseline on all your APCs.. do you want them dragging all that weight around all the time as well as the expense. The French have gone for STANAG 4 as the baseline with theatre standard kits to take them to STANAG 6 when needed… and the French APCs are coming in at around 1 million a pop not the 6-8 million for each boxer. It also means logistically they are working with baseline 25 ton vehicles not 40 ton vehicles.
The thing is it was always meant to be boxer and warrior.. the boxer order was always also mean to be in the 1500 range.. the army actually needs a good 2500+ AFVs for around 70-75,000 troops and 2 deployable divisions. As an example just look at France’s plans well over 5000 IFV…
400 MBT ( 200 modernised, 200 reserve)
300 jaguar armoured cav vehicles
630 VBCI ( IFVs and command versions)
VBMR ( APC) 1850 in total by end of order
Serval ( light 17 ton APC) 2000 in total by end of order
When we realise the British army plan is for around 1200 AFVs and no fixed plan beyond that..
“4 Heavy Force Units”
Who the hell writes this stuff?
You assume they mean AI Battalions, they sure don’t mean Brigades, of which 3 Division has 2 plus DRSB.
🙈
Yet these Brigades also have 4 main formations.
1 MBT. 1 Armoured Cavalry. 2 Armoured Infantry.
These statements are shocking.
It probably because they have stated they are disbanding the AI, were going to move to “heavy” Mec and clearly now want to pretend they are doing something else, but don’t really know what they are doing hence the weasel words “heavy force unit” as it means nothing…
Someone probably thought it sounded a good way to describe a component unit of a heavy brigade, without having to define what that unit actually is.
Just for clarification:
The vehicle (ARES) has a crew of two and space for up to four additional personnel. It is powered by a 805-horsepower diesel engine and can reach speeds of approximately 72km/h.
On AJAX (Recce variant), the large 1.75m diameter turret ring is a result of Human factors efforts to fit a 95% male in full body armour and the subsequent survivability requirements as well as giving room for the ISTAR fit.
Ajax is a family of AFV’s consisting of the following Variants
Ajax (RECCE)
Ares (Protected mobility inc overwatch function)
Athena (C2)
Apollo (Repair +crane)
Atlas (Recovery + winch)
Argus. (Engineer support + dozer blade)
The large turret ring is also due to wanting to have a 120mm armed variant in the early design stages, something that was quickly discarded, but had an impact on the modular design.
Agreed Dern
If the 120mm was discarded early on was it to late in the process to redesign to a smaller turret ring suited to the 40mm turret only or were they keeping the larger turret ring to have the option of revisiting the 120mm later on.
“redesign to a smaller turret ring suited to the 40mm turret” <- here is the issue. The 40mm turret was designed for the big turret ring. So going to a smaller turret ring would have meant getting a smaller 40mm turret too. So not only are you going through the cost and delay of redesigning the hull to fit a smaller ring, but you're also having to make a new turret from scratch.
The next point to remember is that Ajax was never intended to be a troop carrying vehicle. The turreted version is a replacement for Scimitar and that's what the design brief was. So what benefit does going back to the drawing board and making a brand new turret that's smaller and more cramped off a Scout vehicle? Big turret gives advantages as Ian outlined, so shrinking it has repercussions, and the benefit of shrinking it is only space in the rear for troops, which was not a design requirement.
Thanks for the explanation Dern, that all makes sense, I guess in this situation it always would have been an issue with using the AJAX platform for an IFV variant.
I wonder if it would have been sensible to develop AJAX and an IFV variant off the same platform from the start, for commonality and reduced programme development cost purposes (without WCSP or a separate IFV programme), from what I understand it was looked at by other companies with CV90 and KF41 Lynx, the Bradley also has a Recce Variant. AJAX seems to have diverted from ASCOD 2 quite significantly so even purchasing that will leave them with a very different vehicle rather than another variant.
AT John.
You put your finger on it with WCSP. Why develop a IFV Ajax if you already have a IFV project in the works.
Whatever vehicle mix the Army ultimately adopts (or more likely, makes do with) for the 3rd UK Division, it is essential that it returns to fielding three independently deployable brigades, each organized in the same way. Standardized, self-sufficient formations offer greater flexibility, readiness, and ease of rotation — enabling sustained deployments without overstretching any single brigade.
Maintaining one brigade on continuous deployment requires a minimum of three brigades in rotation. While one is deployed, another recovers, and a third prepares for the next cycle. This model accounts for the physical and psychological toll on soldiers, as well as equipment fatigue. After deployment, a brigade needs time to rest, refit, and reintegrate, while another undergoes intensive pre-deployment training. This cycle — deployed, recovering, preparing — is the foundation of sustainable force generation.
#Day32
I’m going to push back lightly on the three brigade idea, because it’s a very specific thing that has sort of become ingrained in peoples heads to the point where it seems to be thought of as an unending rule.
1) The Brigade as the fundamental unit. This is a very 2000’s-2010’s concept in NATO that we are really collectively moving away from and towards using the division as the primary operational maneuver unit. In that context the 3 Brigades is still useful, as a 2 up 1 Reserve formation is generally seen as a very strong way to organise your maneuver forces, but there are plenty of divisional concepts with 2 Brigades that still function.
2) The 3 Brigades cycle is not for deployments, it’s for high readiness, which is an important distinction. One Unit working down, one unit working up, one at readyness to deploy, is functional as the unit at readyness is still capable of standing down to a degree. If that cycle involves a deployment for certain you will eventually have to increase the rotation from 3 units to 4 or 5 in practice. But deploying a Brigade also breaks the divisional concept (which is why NATO moved away from Divisions in the 2000’s).
3) We are unlikely to deploy an unsupported Armoured Infantry Brigade on an enduring op, much more likely it would be an initial deployment of a division followed on by mech or light brigades on rotation (which brings it’s own problems because we no longer have enough of those).
IMO the priority for the army, in terms of manuever is:
-Get 4 Brigade deployable
-Get 1 Division deployable at a divisional level
-Rebuild DSRB into a full fat brigade
-Build 19L brigade into two reserve brigades.
In that order.
So I have had a go generalizing your priority list and what it would need:
4 Brigade.
Has Light Cav Reg.
Needs RA Reg. ( Could 29RA be diverted? Do Marines in raiding role need organic artillery? )
Needs RE Reg. ( 24 RE, as above ? )
Needs REME Bn. ( Does a LI Bde need a Bn effort, or would some Wkshp suffice, as less heavy kit to service? )
Needs CS RLC Regiment.
Needs CS RAMS Regiment.
Needs RMP Coy.
Needs integral Royal Signals. ( As REME, does a Light Bde need a Regiment commitment? Or would a Sqn suffice? Like 216 with 16AA.
Unsure if any Int Corps Company is allocated.
1 Division Divisional Troops:
Has Divisional DIEG – ( Divisional Integrated Effects Group ) with 2nd Regiment Royal Signals and 1st Battalion Int Corps.
Has 102 Logistics Brigade with RLC Transport Regiment and REME Battalion, plus reserves, but pretty thin.
No Divisional level Deep Fires, gun artillery, GBAD Regiment, GS Engineer Regiment.
No Royal Signals units in its component Brigades beyond 216 Sqn RS.
What have I missed? What else would it need?
Rebuild DRSB:
So the KRH seems to be staying as MBT, so they could be its Tank Reg.
And there is the third of the Armoured Cavalry Regiments as its recc component now they are to be three rather than four.
Needs a RA 155 SP Gun Reg, only 2 left.
Needs a RS Regiment.
Needs a RE Regiment. There is 21 RE, but that I think is part of the Divisional Troops/25 EG rather than a Bde Support?
Needs a RAMS Regiment.
Needs a RLC Regiment.
Needs Int Coy and RMP Coy.
Has a REME Battalion already, but this is not set up as a CS Battalion AFAIK.
19 Brigade as we know is all Infantry. The reserve CS CSS is split supporting FAT and 101,102,104 Bdes.
With no uplift in people, as the DS has already admitted to. What have I missed?
I knew things were a mess, but seeing it all laid out like this really brings it home.
I think politicians,and the army, find it easier to cut CS CSS units. Less of an outcry in the media, compared to some named old county Infantry Battalion getting axed.
Oft called the Cap Badge Mafia. As I’m not ex Army, I do not know whether this is a real phenomena or not.
The army cannot build Brigades with the Infantry Battalions it has, some of which are below typical Bn establishment, as the CS CSS to pair with them no longer exist.
2015 SDR and Strike did for yet more of them.
Conveniently for the army, establishing things like 11 SFAB and ASOB “disposes” of Battalions now orphaned from CS CSS that used to exist alongside them when the army was bigger. These included formations like 19 Bde, which existed in the regular ORBAT, and 7 and 4 Bdes were full on Armoured Brigades. 4 going to Mechanized ( a cut in effect ) before a further downgrade to Infantry.
To be fair, Grey Zone is a thing and you don’t need full Bde enablers for things like ASOB, but still. For 73K, so few actual deployable Brigades.
This was further compounded as said by the Strike thing. A2020 had CS CSS for 6 Brigades. 1,12,20,16,7,4. And 3 Cdo was a Bde on top, though still lacking in some areas.
Now, only 4 Bdes are so furnished. 1 DRSB lacks all sorts, having “merged” with 1 Artillery Bde, to be truly a 5th.
A bit of a mess with no easy way out. The Army is in a seemingly never ending circle of reorganisation, which never fully finishes before the next reorg arrives.
Add the dysfunctional equipment program, and here we are.
.
@Daniele The Cap Badge Mafia is somewhat exaggerated in the press, and commentary consciousness, but it does exist. Basically yes CS and CSS is usually easier to cut than Infantry or Cavalry (I think Cavalry is the hardest to cut for reasons that will become obvious in a second).
Every Corps and Regiment obviously has it’s Regimental Colonel, who should be fighiting for their Regiment, and if, for example your Regimental Colonel is King Charles III (as is the case for the Parachute Regiment) it might be harder to cut a Battalion than if your Regimental Colonel is the Duchess of Edinburgh.
The next thing is obviously nobody wants to be cut, but some organisations can survive a cut much more effectively than others. You cut a REME Battalion and honestly the REME probably won’t bat an eye because the REME has 12 Battalions and a large smorgasboard of detachments. As an organization a cut isn’t a huge threat to it. On the other hand cutting a Mercian Battalion at this stage represents the Regiment loosing 50% of it’s size. So you bet your backside they’ll fight tooth and nail to avoid the loss.
@JJ Daniele is making the list look a bit longer than it would absolutely need too. You’d need 4 CS and CSS Battalions for 4 Brigade but could probably source at least some from UKCF (Signals and Int should be managable from current DIEG forces which subordinate already, but obviously an uplift is a nice to have, and RMP’s are held centrally under 1 RMP Brigade, but enough squadrons to support 6 Brigades). In turn that frees up enough Reserve CS and CSS to make a Reserve Light Infantry Brigade from half of 19, the other half would at least have some artillery, but would need some CSS support.
Also DSRB doesn’t need a new Engineer unit, as all 3 Engineer Battalions are centrally held under 25 Group, not subordinated to brigades, and theoretically you could increase a Boxer Order as there are 4 Artillery Regiments in the Division (going from 2 MLRS + 2 Close support Gun regiments to 1+3, but obviously a 5th Regiment for 2+3 would be better).
Exactly what the minimum is depends on how much you are willing to thin out other formations (For all you can hate on 3 Division due to the way it has reserves structured into it it’s actually very deep and can sustain a lot of losses), and how effective you want the individual formations to be, but as a minimum the army probably needs about 5-7 new supporting Regiments in order to make proper use of what it has. Personally I tend to argue that it needs to uplift back to about 100,000 strength, to build a proper Corps with 2 fully deployable Divisions and 11+16 forming a rapid forces Division. But that’s really the gold plated solution.
The “three brigade idea” — having just re-read my post, I realise it may have come across as if I was suggesting that three brigades is the ideal solution. That wasn’t my intent, and I could have phrased it better. My point was that if we’re not planning to increase the number of armoured brigades in the near term, then at the very least we should convert DRSB back into a ‘proper’ armoured brigade. While a three-brigade rotation isn’t sustainable in the long term, it would still leave us in a better position than we’re in now.
The shift from divisions to brigades actually started in the early 1990s, not the 2000s. With the end of the Cold War, NATO’s focus moved from large-scale conflict in Europe to crisis response and peacekeeping — Bosnia, Kosovo, etc. Brigades were more flexible, easier to deploy, and better suited to those kinds of operations.
Budget pressures also played a key role — divisions were expensive to maintain, and most NATO armies were downsizing. Here In the UK, the 1998 SDR formalised the move toward deployable brigade-sized forces. Iraq and Afghanistan reinforced the model, but they didn’t drive it — the change was already well underway by the mid-90s.
With the battlegroup in Estonia, we’ve been committed since 2022 to deploying a full brigade if needed. That’s fine in principle, but with only two armoured brigades, we can’t rotate or sustain that deployment.
You’re correct — NATO is increasingly emphasising divisions as the primary manoeuvre formation — but unless armies across Europe expand significantly, we’re realistically looking at multinational divisions.
That I think is most people’s idea when talking of 3 Brigades for 3 Division. It is certainly mine.
3 Division had all the pieces till 2015 when they fiddled with it again, and WCSP, Ajax, and Ch3 were all underway to modernise it.
Like I said above, we can’t even rotate an armoured brigade in Estonia. Having three brigades would make that possible — but imagine the retention issues that would come with it.
If war broke out tomorrow, we could deploy 3rd Division as it currently stands to hold ground. But after that initial deployment — and not even accounting for attrition in personnel or vehicles — we’d be out of the fight for some time. We obviously don’t have any additional heavy armoured forces to replace it.
With three armoured infantry brigades, the situation would be slightly better. We’d retain the option of deploying the full division. Another approach could be for 3rd Division to lead a multinational formation, rotating one UK brigade alongside two from other NATO members.
Well 3 UK does form part of the ARRC, of which we are the framework nation.
There are solutions other than creating a whole new armoured brigade. Readyness cycles and being in Estonia aren’t the same thing. Readyness means you need to be able to get out the door within 10 days and cross europe. So that’s everything from making sure your Bergan is packed ready to go, to not being able to take leave because your on 42 hours notice to move (or 10 days or whatever readyness level is decided for you), to making sure the entire unit is vaccinated, to having the trucks ready to transport the vehicles. It goes on and on. (This also stands for the guys going on the EFP battlegroup btw, because it’s a deployment, rather than basing).
A Forward based unit doesn’t have to worry about that. Typically the families of service personnel follow them, their “home” is in Estonia, the vehicles have to be good to go, but because they are going to fight within 100 miles of camp the burden is much lower. You can take your leave, because the unit is already there, the CO just manages how many of his troops are gone at any one time. Forward Basing is even seen as a retention bonus because “join the army see the world” comes into play (BAOR/BFG/BAG long was seen as a great place to serve in part because of the location in Europe).
As Daniele said, 3 UK Division is the Core of ARRC, which would probably consist of 1 UK, 3 UK and then a multinational division. But if we start deploying full divisions then the idea of rotating kind of is going out of the window, harmony guidelines aren’t really a thing in wars of that scale, and stop loss is enacted to reduce retention issues. A 3 Brigade Division would go into a 2 Up 1 Reserve fighitng structure (which isn’t the same as a rotation as the unit in reserve is still being called up to fight as and when needed, and is physically in the battle-space).
Spam filter doesn’t like me posting long messages like this.
We can debate, but both the UK and the US still saw the Division as the principal manuever formation during the 2003 invasion, and it was really the enduring commitments to Iraq and Afghan that shifted NATO thinking heavily away from divisions. While in the 90’s Brigades where used independently from time to time, it wasn’t until the 2000’s that the view of the Division as an administrative, rather than combat, formation really took hold. Anyway this is a nitpick to the bigger point.
Not sure why we’d be looking at multinational divisions for the major European Powers. France has two Divisions, Germany has three, Poland Four, growing to Five, Italy has 2 (though it task org’s them when required), and could potentially have a third if it chooses, Romania has two, Spain has two (although Spain is very slow at treating Divisions as anything more than brigade holding formations, and probably could re-org into three divisions). That’s 16-7 Divisions just from the major powers. Multinational Divisions are only really applicable if we are talking about smaller powers like Denmark, the Netherlands, Belgium, Portgual and the Baltics (but even then Estonia and Lithuania are moving to Divisional Structures, and I think smaller powers might deploy independent brigades as Corps level assets or attach their brigades to a national Division (like the Dutch) rather than forming true “Multinational” divisions).
Also there is a very easy way to sustain a brigade in Estonia, it is called forward basing. Like the Germans are doing. Forward basing, ie the unit is always is Estonia reduces a lot of the cycle burden. It’s what we did in Germany, but for political reasons we are unwilling to do it (and of course you end up with a Division stretched out on either side of Europe, but that’s a different conversation to force readyness cycles, personally I’d base a paired down 4th Brigade in Estonia, and maybe look at giving the LD’s some armour, but hey ho).
I have seen cannons 20/30/40 mm mounted on a remote station – (no turret, no protection.)
Maybe this would be an affordable way for up-gunning ?
It’s all a bit pathetic really when you consider France has plans in place for well over 5000 AFVs
400 MBT ( 200 modernised, 200 reserve)
300 jaguar armoured cav vehicles
630 VBCI ( IFVs and command versions)
1850ish VBMR ( APC) in total by end of order
2000ish Serval ( light 17 ton APC) in total by end of order.. that is well over 5000 AFVs planned for 2035.
When we realise the British army plan is for around 1200 AFVs and no fixed plan beyond that number… truly pathetic really.
A muddled, uninformative statement from Eagle. MPs and public alike are no wiser.
The current MOD equipment plan for 3 Division is itself a constantly revolving muddle. We followed the US whim of forming wheeled mechanised units, in their case Striker, in our case, eventually Boxer. But the US reversed out of that plan pdq and stipulated all-tracked fighting vehicles in their heavy brigades. The composition of a heavy division was to be two tracked armoured infantry brigades and one of wheeled mechanised vehicles.
It leaves us with an odd mix of tracked armour but wheeled APCs armed with but a MG. This is pretty hopeless for what is supposed to be a ‘heavy brigade’.
Was therefore cheered to read recently that the forward plan is to make 3 Div all tracked fighting vehicles and switch the Boxer to 1 Infantry Div. Ares was trailed as the likely AIFV for the infantry battalions in the two ‘armoured’ brigades.
This is probably tied in with Ares being offered to Poland as an AIFV. The proposal there is to add a Polish turret with a 30mm Bushmastet or similar cannon. It would carry a 7.62 MG and two dual Spike ATGW. Scaled up 4 tonnes and with a 600 Kw diesel. And with the suspension replaced by a Polish hydropneumatic system. Crew of 3 + 7 discounts.
Ares is just one of 4 or 5 contenders and possibly a long shot
But in that configuration, it could be a very useful replacement for Warrior, leaving Boxer to be the Mechanised Battlefield Support Vehicle (MBSV) – the role that the old FV-432/’Bulldog’ currently plays.
This would be a great step in reconstituting 3 Div as a proper heavy formation. Problem is, I can’t see the money being available to do so. With Ajax series, Boxer and Challenger rebuild underway, and a wheeled Boxer howitzer oddly appearing on the wishlist, that’s the AFV budget all committed for the next decade.
Whatever extra money b3comes available looks to have already been snatched by the RN, for Project Bastion and Malloy UAVs and laser weapons and the second Proteus and Stirling Castle MCMVs and conversion of the carriers to launch UAVs and the development of UUVs and… it never ends when there’s a feeding trough and the RN is as always first to get its snout in it.
Ditto fast jet combat aircraft – RAF can’t get any more because the entire FJ budget has been swiped to pay for F-35Bs for the over-hyped carrier. Hence no more Typhoons. But at least they managed to get 12 F35A out of it, though 12 is not a lot for our tiny air force.
This naval prioritising seems very much at odds with the overall NATO-first strategy announced in the SDSR. NATO first would be primary emphasis on air power and our land force 2-div commitment
Because ENATO navies greatly dwarf any Russian naval threat, the RN should be the minor service when it comes to reconstitution our forces. There will not be anything like the money to build up the RAF and Army, while also having a powerful naval presence out of area.
To be fair we are an island and the navy is and has been fundamentally important to our geostrategy and geopolitical power. also the SDR is not really NATO first, its UK first and as part of that NATO is core.
The SDR makes “NATO‑First” the central pillar of UK defence policy. As John Healey states in his foreword:
“Our defence policy is ‘NATO first’.”
That said, I completely agree with your first point—a strong navy (and air force) is absolutely critical for an island nation like ours.
An awful lot is made of our being an island. France, Italy, Spain, Norway etc, + Japan, Canada, Indonesia, India, etc al have long coastlines that require naval defence, ASW, anti-air etc.
I don’t think our island status makes us particularly different to the many other maritime nations or something special. They all depend on foreign trade and keeping the international sea lanes open, as much as we do.
What they don’t do is switch a large chumk of their defence budget to out-of-area naval operations in the Far East. Their priorities, certainly in ENATO, are air and land forces, because the threat from Russia is primarily an air-land one.
The Navy’s leitmotif at the end of the Cold War was reputedly ‘out-of-area or out of business.’ That seems to have
… driven the makeup of the fleet ever since, with the crown jewel being one operational carrier – and next to nothing left to do ASW or air cover in Eastlant.
We simply don’t have the money to re-create some Imperial worldwide naval presence as in daysvof yore, that time is history now.
I hope – but doubt – that the SDSR will succeed in rebalanced our forces, with a more powerful air force and an army that can at minimum field the two heavy divisions that NATO expects and we are supposedly committed to. In terms of the new ‘NATO First’ policy, the RN needs to reorientation itself to Eastlant primarily, while making a contribution to ENATO out-of-area flag showing.
At the moment, we rather have the tail wagging the dog strategically.
Just to clarify my position, I’m not satisfied with the current state of the Army. As I’ve mentioned in a previous post, we need to return to having three fully equipped armoured brigades so that one can be continuously rotated. Most of us—including myself would like to see a substantial increase in Army numbers, but that doesn’t seem likely anytime soon, primarily due to financial constraints, though there are other factors as well. So, at the very least, we need an all-singing, all-dancing 3rd Division.
As for the island nation point, the UK relies on maritime trade routes for food, energy, raw materials, and exports—unlike many of the countries you mention, which have the option of land-based supply routes.
Another key difference is that the UK governs or maintains strategic interests in 14 Overseas Territories spread across the globe, including the Falklands, Gibraltar, Bermuda, and the British Indian Ocean Territory.
I gather you’re not a fan of CSG25, but one of the key reasons for sending HMS Prince of Wales to the Indo-Pacific is to achieve full operational capability. From what I understand, she’s expected to be reassigned to NATO’s area of responsibility after this deployment.
I’d be very happy to have a carrier or two, as long as we can afford to deploy an out-of-area carrier group and it doesn’t come at the expense of the RN’s primary duties in Eastlant.
Trouble is, (a) we can’t afford it, this slow F-35b.delivery rate is occupying the whole bandwidth of the RAF’s FJCA budget, and (b) we only have 5 escorts and maybe 2 subs at sea, if the CSG sails off with.3 or 4 of them, we have next to nothing left for the North Sea.and Eastlant – particularly when all the at-sea T31s will also be on patrol out of area.
The strategic priority is unquestionnably air and land forces for NATO
Europe. Russia is not going to attack Estonia or Poland or Romania with frigates or other warships, they will do so with.missiles drones and massed land forces.
We have no excuse at all for failing to provide the two properly-constitured heavy divisions we have committed to NATO or the interdiction aircraft that we should be providing. The fact that we have a couple of OPVs or frigates patrolling the far side of the world plus a carrier group will be no compensation at all if we cannot play our proper part in repelling any Russian.adventures in Europe
We can warble on about the importance of trade and sea routes, but the reality is that one carrier group.and a couple of patrol frigates would have no chance of protecting a single sea route without US naval and air assistance, which may or may not be forthcoming. We tend to rather bask in the idea that we are some global naval player, but the reality.is that the few warships the RN can deploy out-of-area is a pretty token force that we have nothing to reinforce with.
We cling to this illusion of power, but in reality it is dangerously token and one recalls the fate of the two warships sunk off Malaya last time around.
Agreed with much of this, but with the addition: The UK is one of the framework nations of ENATO, with one of the biggest military budgets of NATO. Like it or not Eastern and Central European members of the alliance *will* expect us to deploy forces to help them. And it’s not going to cut it to look the Germans and Poles in the eye as they take casualties fighting the Russians every day in conventional warfare on the ground, and say “Yes but we’re focusing on the naval aspect.”
The only thing I will push back on is the comment about the two warships off Malaya, as that was certainly not a token force, and it’s loss was due to bad co-ordination, rather than lack of resources (and in any case not comparable as Prince of Wales and Repulse where a considerable threat to the Japanese operations, and where manuevering to engage, which made them a priority target, a token force would have been withdrawing, a better comparison might be the remains of ABDA command later in 42).
I would say your underestimating need for navel power. If Europe does not have significant navel power it will be sidelined and essentially become a taker of the geostrategic winds that others create… Russia is our neighbour and a land threat, but it is limited by its wealth and industrial capacity as well as limited population compared to ENATO. But china is the true superpower that opposes the west and china is above everything an expansionist navel power. China understands the power of navies like no other nation at present, the US naval war college itself acknowledges that Xi is the greatest modern navalist leader and one of the greatest navalist leaders of modern history. China is not limited by money, industrial capacity or population and it’s coming for all the world’s oceans. In a decade the risk will be china placing a navel battle group in the western Indian Ocean and closing access to Europe or dominating the resources of Africa. The reality is Russia is a few years away from becoming a very junior partner to china.. infact its defence industry is becoming dependent on china. If you just take semi conductors, china has essentially set up 50% of Russian semiconductor production and provided about 80% of its total needs.
Those are very good points.
In an ideal world, funding wise, we would have been able to maintain a BAOR sized mechanised force plus two CVs and associated battlegroups and logistics, but, in the 1990s the World obviously was a very different place and assumptions were made to the effect that future wars would be small scale, out of area, non peer-peer and almost always involve our operating as part of a coalition with substantial power projection capabilities contributed by other members. Now we have those platforms but face a massive and aggressive land power close to home again. If you go back as far as WW2, CV based airpower made an utterly negligible contribution to the land war in Europe beyond providing cover for some landings in the Med. Our carriers made very little contribution to the war in general until very late on, by which time their effects were dwarfed by those of a massive USN. There is no prospect or our building a force, even with non-US NATO, to challenge China on the high seas to protect far flung interests and supply routes, and it is in China’s interests that we do not interdict their supply routes and markets, so I’d judge such a conflict to be sufficiently unlikely to warrant excluding major investments from addressing it. However, we don’t know what the World will be like for the rest of the very long lifetime of these vessels and it could be that the World order reverts to our needing to have substantial mobile platforms in far flung places, quite possibly for completely non military scenarios. For that reason, they are an investment I would certainly like to sustain, going forward with certain caveats. One of those is that their air wing normally operates from protected land bases and would be forward deployed to land bases in the event of tension or conflict in Europe. It would be wise to remember that we lost the massive investment two carriers and their air groups at the outset of WW2 whilst achieving very little with them. HMS Glorious’ main role was that of ferrying aircraft to Norway to operate from land bases – aircraft whose modern equivalents could easily self-deploy.
One thing I would say, an airbase is massively more open to attack than a carrier at sea.. if you stick our 2 squadrons of F35Bs in the middle of a carrier battle group hiding in the high north it will be essentially impossible for Russia to find and attack it.. Russia know and can easily target every airbase we would still f35s.. carriers are the ultimate in hard to attack AirPower.
I’m mot so sure about “hiding in the Far North” as a concept. Back in the CW the Russians assigned older, expendable destroyers to shadow CVBGs I peacetime and they had loads of AGIs. There is nothing stopping “neutral” vessels reporting locations. You can’t operate with total EMCON all the time and if you put AEW up it signals your approximate position, all the more so if your AEW platforms are relatively short-ranged helicopters. Then you have the problem that you can only be in a relatively limited area of ocean to hit targets with affordable weapons, especially if your attack aircraft are shorter-legged F-35Bs. Their combat radius is not really going to be very useful unless you are going after targets in Murmansk or the far north of Finland/Sweden/Norway and, even then the additional distance is going to really impact your sortie rate and response times. A look at the Geography of the area reveals that any advance by the Russians would follow predictable routes and be very easy to interdict by ground forces. That leaves the rest of Scandinavia. You’re not going to sail a CVBG into the Baltic, which means your F-35Bs are left essentially useless. As to the relative vulnerability of carriers and airfields, we lost four fleet and one light carrier in WW2. I can’t remember a single airfield being put permanently out of operation (though Manston was evacuated as too vulnerable). Whilst the latter remains a possibility, experience from Ukraine would indicate that Russia has not shut down any airfields nor as far as we know, significantly impeded operations. Ukraine has caused significant damage to, but not actually closed any Russian airfields, though it caused at least one helicopter base to be evacuated. The Russians have lost a few large naval vessels.
Couple of points the RAF lost huge numbers of aircraft on the ground and ww2 aircraft were easy to disperse. Iraq essentially lost its entire airforce on the ground.
As for hiding a carrier.. a quick question in war how do you keep track of a carrier, because that carrier battle group will kill everything that tries to track it and then move position at 20-30 knots.. as for f35B being short legged… no they are not they have long legs and there is literally nothing stopping you using your strategic tanker force to give them even longer legs… as for no targets there are plenty as one of the key parts of any war with Russia will be cracking open its Barents Sea bastion and destroying its strategic capabilities to fight in the high north.. it’s how you hurt Russia without actually invading mother Russia and risk triggering a nuclear response.
It’s worth remembering that the RN wasn’t exactly flush with Carriers in the first part of the War, with the loss of Glorious and Courageous the Fleet was down to Furious, Eagle and Ark Royal in terms of fleet carriers for a while. Even so the Carriers definitely had a big impact, just focused on the Med. Reducing their contribution to “Covering some landings” is basically skipping over the lions share of their contribution when they where fighting off Italian and German Land based aircraft on the regular to provide cover for convoys to Malta and Egypt (Also what Ark Royal was doing when she was sunk and where Illustrious and Indomitable where damaged).
Worth noting that by the time the fighting transitioned to France the difference between allied and axis air power was enough that really carrier based FAA was not needed, and the transition of British Carriers from Europe to the BPF. Illustrious left in December 43, Victorious and Indomitable left in early 44, Implacable, Formidable and Indefatigable operated against Norway until late 44 and then left for the pacific. Furious had been placed in Reserve at the end of 44, so, yes, obviously the Carriers had little impact on the fighting in Europe as they weren’t around.
I’m not sure this amounts to anything new, just unclear use of words. Expanding Ares into an armoured infantry role makes little sense- without a cannon it would be just a tracked APC. If that’s all you want, use Warrior. Even in its unmodernised state it would be better and cost very little. If there really is an ambition for a new tracked IFV, why start with a very expensive platform that has had serious development problems?
Peter, the talk on this site has been of ARES being fitted with an external cannon and being equipped with extra seats for dismounts, such that a full section could be carried. If that happened it would be an IFV, and clearly a Warrior replacement. The article says that Boxer would serve alongside ARES in the same formation, so that either means in an ABCT or generally within 3 Div.
The problem is we will then end up with a formation that combines the disadvantages of both wheeled and tracked. Tracked limits operational mobiltiy and wheeled limits tactical mobility.
The problem is we will then end up with a formation that combines the disadvantages of both wheeled and tracked. Tracked limits operational mobiltiy and wheeled limits tactical mobility.
I have read that Boxer might be in Support Company, with the 3 Infantry Companies with Ares.
Which begs the question. Could a cheaper type like Patria not fulfil that Boxer role, and the Boxers concentrated in 1 UK Division to equip one or both of its Infantry Brigades?
Some of the rumours appear to support Boxer to 1 Div for Mechanised infantry eventually, however the SDR prioritised sorting 3 Div which makes sense.
Any new vehicle buy will take an unnecessarily long time for the MOD, so how long would Patria Cavs take to procure to actually put it in the support role, until then the plan may be to use Boxer in 3 until replacements for arrive. LMP has been moving glacially considering the JLTV was being looked as far back as 2017 yet there is nothing of substance so far.
You may know more Daniele but wasn’t Boxer procured heavily weighted to support variants so far and would require a reasonable order for APC/IFV/Cavalry variants to furnish the brigades in 1 Div which would delay the realistic implementation of Boxer based Mechanised Infantry, that’s before we even consider the funding it would require which is always the big issue.
Spot on John.
Very few Boxer so far are of the Infantry Carrier variant.
Forget how many, 89 or something?
I had a breakdown somewhere, I’ll look. When added to the Ajax variants, an awful lot of c2.
Another issue is the last I heard from any Army spokesman on Boxer, future tranches might include more modules than chassis.
Which to me is utterly ridiculous.
Then you’ve the weapons issue. OTS options exist, be that for cannon or AA, CAUS, they won’t pick one, or if they are, they’re nor saying or are taking years over it.
It is like they are paralysed.
You have government ministers warning, NATO intell chiefs warning, and hi hum here comes another trial to add to the others.
Did you see the CAUS types lined up at Thorney the other day?
I remember the VCGS years ago looking round such a display of similar.
It is like…..hello! Do you want to buy something to increase lethality or not.
Worth remembering that in order to equip 4 Battalions with APC’s you only need 104 Boxer APCs. (Each APC carries a section, 3 sections is a platoon, 9 sections are a Company, 27 sections are a battalion, 27×4=104. Obviously a few more are needed to fill out specialist roles here and there. But the British Army’s Boxer ICV (the APC version) is 146, so easily enough for 4 Infantry Battalions. (Daniele the 85 number you are thinking of was the initial batch 1 order another 61 where in the batch 2 order).
There are 152 C2 version being ordered but that breakdown makes sense when you remember that the C2 versions are going to provide C2 to something like 20 battalions (At a minimum the 4 Mech battalions, and the 6 CSS battalions/regiments in the AI brigades, but possibly also artillery, engineering, and signals units might get Boxer C2). Remember each Platoon needs a C2 Boxer, each Coy needs a C2 Boxer so just for the CHQ’s and Platoon HQ’s for the 4 Mechanised Infantry Battalions you are already looking at 50+ C2 Boxers.
Morning Dern.
Good summary. Yes makes sense.
Had not recalled the second Infantry order of 61. Not much spare there so far, plus those needed for training and trials.
Interesting to speculate who will recieve 152 Boxer C2 compared to 112 Athena.
At a guess.
MBT and Armoured Cavalry Athena.
I assume Athena fielding will mirror strongly CVRT Sultan fielding, which was with the FR Regiments and Armoured Regiments.
Infantry Battalions Boxer.
3x Engineer Regiments. Could be either? Especially the 2 that are Armoured Engineers for 12 and 20, with tracked assets.
3 Signal Regiment has/had 432s so surely Boxer.
1 RHA, 19RA assume Boxer, to go with RCH.
1 and 2 Medical Regiment Boxer.
Agreed. The Ajax all variant contract has a unit cost of > £9m. A further order would be at a similar unit cost before the additional expense of a cannon. The CTA cannon fitted to Ajax limits troop carrying so a new weapon would be needed, adding further to cost. Whilst expanding numbers of an existing platform has the benefits of automotive commonality, it is just about the most expensive option in upfront cost.
France has moved to an all wheeled fleet for IFV and APC and has big orders for relatively affordable vehicles. Boxer APC is less than half the cost of Ares so if we want larger numbers, it looks a more likely option for an IFV even though that upgrade would add to the base cost.
There seem to be no good choices.