In the latest episode, the panel discuss the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the likely outcome and the impact it will have on China-Taiwan relations.
‘The OSINT Bunker’ is a defence and security-based podcast aimed at expanding people’s knowledge of the geopolitical landscape.
This episode features @DefenceGeek, @KyleJGlen and @Osinttechnical.
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Just listened, thank you. We are in a phase where no one really know how this will pan out, will Russia go “full Tonto” and unleash their heavy weapons on major population centres, what can Ukraine do about this and how long can they hold out. Its clear that no one is coming to the rescue, they are going to have to battle this out with the aid they receive.
What is now clear to everyone, the Russians included, is that Ukraine will not bow. The size of their country can be used as advantage even if Kiev falls. They’ll fight and fight to make this a very bloody war. I just hope that the Russian people and those immediately around Putin’s inner circle grow tired of this before too long.
I still hope that somehow the RAF will go in and wipe out the Russian air force over Ukraine, although I know that will not happen. Not unless Putin really has gone mad and starts wholesale destroying cities with nukes and other awful munitions they have. In that event NATO might just think enough is enough.
I hope so too. My blood boils every time I see or read about it.
If I were PM I’d be sorely tempted to deploy 617 Squadron and their F35s to Poland and launch sorties into Ukraine at night, shoot down Russian aircraft and batter their convoys with precision weapons. Even a small squadron such as 617 could cause massive damage to Russian forces, from what we’ve seen.
Russia likely wouldn’t know what hit them; we can always blame the Ghost of Kyiv!
I’d agree 617 looks like the sensible tactical approach if all goes well BUT it would still need to be a deniable op because of Putins nuclear threats, if 1 munition doesn’t bang we’re screwed. Would love to see it happen just can’t see it without the deniability.
Of course! Sorry, yes I meant it would be deniable. Would have to be 617 Squadron as they’re currently our only operating stealth squadron. They’d have to operate only at night and operate covertly, avoiding radar detection.
If one munition doesn’t go bang we just claim we’ve supplied Ukraine with weapons; they know we’re already doing it.
Deniability will be the aim of the day, have we given the Ukrainians anything we can “pretend” works with an F-35
at least we’d know if the stealth claims are correct
Steve wrote:
“”If I were PM I’d be sorely tempted to deploy 617 Squadron “”
Knowing the jokers in Power, I wouldnt put it past BJ to think it was 633 Sqn.
except that his poodle wallace thinks weve more military hardware that we actually have, his quote saying the royal navy warship(?) had been deployed to join the ships already operating in the black ssea area.(gave me a chuckle). i just saw that in 1982 the R.N operated 64 destroyers and frigates, better tell wallace that we haven’t got that many now.because of the negligence of his predessessors
have a sneaky cull of the russian submarine fleet balance the numbers and see if all the hype around astute is actually correct.
RobW
I suspect you’re correct with your last couple of sentences, can’t see how there hasn’t been an agreed red line drawn amongst NATO members, normally that’s the use of NBC so can only imagine it’s part of it.
1982 56 destroyers and frigates in the R.N say no more2022 19 front line ships, utter negligence.
Listening to this at work, and thank you. A really great insight into what’s going on and you’re all very engaging. Great work, thank you. Simon.
In March 1999 NATO started bombing Serbia. By June this forced the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia Army to leave Kosovo where it had been ethnic cleansing the Albanian population.
If the Russian forces start a genocide on Ukrainian civilians will the NATO air forces intervene?
NATO stood by when Syria descended into a deadly civil war, with huge civilian casualties. Will they do it again?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NATO_bombing_of_Yugoslavia?wprov=sfla1
RB wrote:
“”If the Russian forces start a genocide on Ukrainian civilians will the NATO air forces intervene?””
Thats a very interesting snippet as NATO acted without UN jusitication inside Kosovo stating that it was a humanitarian intervention.
“”NATO stood by when Syria descended into a deadly civil war, with huge civilian casualties. Will they do it again?””
Not the same as the Kosovo scenario, for a start after the debacle of Iraq, it was requested that in future (for the UK) that any future military action (other than instant self-defence) would require a vote in parliament, they voted on the 30th Aug 2013 and lost the vote at 285-272, Obama on hearing no support was coming from the Uk cancelled US plans to strike Syria proper. That said limited action was taken by both countries regards striking ISIS positions after another vote on the 30th Dec 2015 was won by the British government 397 to 223
NATO today is the epitome of the word POINTLESS , its a shadow of its former self and its ran by sheep not wolves.
Ukraine today, Moldova tomorrow, Finland the week after, Putin is on a roll, The west has done NOTHING to stop him in Chechnia, Georgia.,Syria or the Ukraine. He has nothing to fear unfortunately
Hmmm as I forecast down Taiwan way there was sudden disruption to the nations traffic manage systems and today many of its cities have been plunged into darkness after one of its biggest power stations suffered ” technical” issues.
Whilst we are watching Ukraine, who is watching Taiwan (and Australia)
lets not forget the arab israeli situation, iran is itching to carry out its threats to israels existance potentional flashpoints exist all over he globe and not just in the ukraine