In its latest analysis of the land-based radar market, Forecast International estimates that the market will have a value of at least $40.567 billion from 2020-2029.
The production phase will be the most valuable, with the analysis projecting that contractors will earn $17.560 billion in support of the manufacture of 4,634 units.
The analysis, ‘The Market for Land-Based Radar Systems’, is a detailed study of 40 landmark programs that provide a window into the trends and developments that will drive the market over the next 10 years. The firm say that their analysis breaks the market down into eight market segments: Air Defense, Air Traffic Control, Early Warning, Fire Locating, Minehunting, Search & Track, Surveillance, and Other. The Early Warning segment will be the highest earning at $16.051 billion. This ranking corresponds with the rollout of several high-profile installations and atypical investment in development funding.
“Among the more prominent land-based radar programs examined are Thales’ Ground Master series, Saab’s Giraffe series, and Lockheed Martin’s Long Range Discrimination Radar (LRDR) / SPY-7 Solid State Radar (SSR) family. Industry observers may also be interested in the coverage of the embattled TPS-81 3DELRR and its follow-on SpeedDealer rapid prototyping replacement. In all, 17 prime contractors with operations in 11 countries are covered. Leading the pack in market value during the forecast period will be, respectively, U.S.-based Lockheed Martin and France-based Thales. The study also covers the lucrative world of subcontracting, assigning a “Manufacturer Varies” designation to programs where multiple contractors might be assigned work on wide-ranging developmental or support programs.”
“This analysis leverages Forecast International’s over 40 years of experience providing respected and sound forecasting for the aerospace and defense sector,” said Senior Radar Analyst C. Zachary Hofer.
“We are providing our clients with what we believe is the most comprehensive, program-focused walkthrough of the world of modern land-based radars, examining aspects like the importance of gallium nitride (GaN) components and detailing what impact contractors can expect from the escalation in nuclear saber-rattling and the COVID-19 pandemic.”
Given that historically the UK bloomin’ invented the thing, what a poor state of affairs things have come to that there is no UK company leading the field. I think as a nation we should have an industrial strategy that nurtures and develops key strategic capabilities and resources. i.e. quantum radar, etc. Stuff the export (apart from CAN/AUS/NZ) – just accept for defence there is a bigger picture and we need our own, secure, capabilities.
When you consider the sheer amount of potential profit there is in the defence market, it astounds me that we are not investing heavily in it.
Not least because we are leaders in so many fields when it comes to developing the latest technology as we have shown in the past and currently.
The problem is BAe and the MoD. BAe is now a global conglomerate. However, it started up quite small then started snapping up all the UK defence companies until they were the main player in town. With next to no competition they could basically write their own checks by using the UK Government as a cash cow. As soon as BAe became a major global player, the UK defence needs pails into insignificance as the stock value becomes the main focus. Because there’s no local competition there’s no drive to develop a better product at an more affordable price, this is compounded by the Government’s lack of investment or a long term equipment plan, so it becomes an ever decreasing circle.
How to break the circle. The UK clearly has the right people with the right skills to compete against other companies World wide. However, without direction or commitment they won’t be channelled into the right areas. The commitment must be driven by Government, but it will need to be a long term strategy.
Spot-on Nigel and DaveyB.
The solution – apart from brain transplants for most politicians and MoD bods – is to set up some sort of new oversight organisation, with core objectives and invested with powers and funds maybe from things such as a Sovereign Wealth Fund.
I’m talking even low-level capabilities here too, such as making our own ammunition etc. as well as things like cyber, space and MBT capability.
Our ancestors are turning in their graves over the MBT thing.
We have the talent…
You’ll find that thales bought a number of UK defence companies such as Racal etc. Thales employes 4,500 engineer over 9 site and again with Lockheed done tha same either by merger such as Martin Marietta and buy up companies to put them were they today.
Ultimately radar system are expensive to develop so you either need to be big, a specialist in the field or have a government shareholding and funding such as Thales complicated ownership by several French companies with the government owning different shareholding is each the associated companies
Exactly. That’s part of what has happened in the past.
Better to have limits on ownership of key strategic industries. Not a socialist thing. Just a basic when push-comes-to-shove thing. Like when somebody hands over the missile codes to use against us type-of-thing.
Want to run for election? I’d vote for you….
Ha ha Danielle.
No way! Sacrificed 14-years of my life to (non-politically) try and do something in the UK to help raise awareness of the forgotten sacrifice of our armed forces, our civilian industrial heritage and shared history with other free forces. So feel I’ve done my bit as much as most. Thwarted in my efforts by, shockingly, ultimately the MoD so not impressed with those running that show at all.
The UK does not seem to recognise the value and necessity of local ownership of strategically important industrial assets like these – Kelvin Hughes is another company that was sold off without so much as a whisper.
I don’t like your chances of exporting radar technology to Australia
The CEAFAR radar already installed on the RAN’s ANZAC class frigates is world class AESA technology and will form the basis of the radar system on the RAN’s Hunter class frigates giving them arguably a superior sensor fit out to the T26.
The CEA phased array radar has been selected as the mobile ground based radar got the ADF’s NASAM ground based SAMs.
The Jindallee project’s JORM over the horizon system can detect targets up to 3000km away covering part of the South China Sea from the Australian mainland. Think London to Moscow distances.
UK industry wouldn’t seem to have comparable offerings in either maritime or land based phased array radars or in over the horizon technology.
I think you may have missed the boat as far as Australia goes.
And had lot to do with why another air warfare Destroyer was not ordered , CEA made the Lockheed AEGIS a disappointment .
Sorry OZ, but I was trying to be succinct in my comments. What I really meant was some sort of National organisation that, in the 21st Century, realised the trouble times we are in, and embraced some sort of core Commonwealth (CAN/AUS/NZ) effort to come together and nurture and develop key strategic capabilities and assets with those that – if push came to shove – we can trust. Obviously the reality is that certain technologies are better suited to certain country’s efforts.
The key to me is what,if anything is lined up to follow Sampson and Artisan ?.
Unfortunately the road map for the T45 is not publicised and they have had a shed load spent on them sorting the recuperator issues and installing new diesels. BAe have made a few noises on the Sampson front, but nothing regarding Artisan. A good example of this being the T31s getting the Thales NS100 radar instead of Artisan, why and why only on the T31s and not the T26? There is one clear upgrade path for the T45 and that is the replacement of the S1850M with the Thales SMART-MM. The S180M is a passive electronically scanned array (PESA) whilst the SMART-MM is an active electronically scanned array (AESA). The SMART-MM is now fitted to the Dutch De Zeven Provinciën class frigates and has proven itself in Exercise Formidable Shield, by providing ballistic missile tracking data. This would be the most likely upgrade to the ship, as it is a development of the S1850M and has been specifically designed for ballistic missile searching and tracking.
With Sampson, BAE made a few noises a couple of years back, they even wrote to Parliament asking for more funds to carry on developing the radar. Their facility of the Isle of Wight originally developed the radar and as far as I’m aware, they still do work on it. However, there has been very little from either BAe or the Navy on what’s next for Sampson or its successor. BAe did quite a while ago show a four panelled version of Sampson, but there were no takers for it. I would expect Sampson to either go in a similar route as CEFAR, by placing a series of flat panel around a mast. The other option would be to remove the mechanical gimbal and add a third array. Instead of having two arrays mounted back to pack, they would be arranged in a triangle with 120 degrees of separation.
Cheers Davey,hopefully there is time ( and funding ) to take Sampson to the next stage,but the competition has already moved on ,both the Thales Sea Fire and the Leonardo Kronos range have already gone to Flat Panel Arrays.