This is part of a budget of over £12 billion over the next 10 years.

The information came to light via a written response to a parliamentary question.

James Cartlidge, Minister of State for the Ministry of Defence, stated:

“The March 2021 Defence Command Paper reaffirmed that that we will invest more than £2 billion in the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) out to 2025, and we have spent over £1.8 billion so far. This is part of a budget of over £12 billion over the next 10 years. The amount that we ultimately invest will be determined at future decision points.

Furthermore, the Ministry of Defence has invested over £1.1 billion in R&D through the Future Combat Air System Technology Initiative (FCAS TI), with a further £600 million from our Team Tempest industry partners to date.”

The Global Combat Air Programme

The Global Combat Air Programme is a multinational initiative led by the United Kingdom, Japan, and Italy to jointly develop a sixth-generation stealth fighter. The programme aims to replace the Typhoon in service with both the Royal Air Force (RAF) and the Italian Air Force, and the Mitsubishi F-2 in service with the Japan Air Self-Defense Force.

On 9 December 2022, the governments of Japan, the United Kingdom, and Italy jointly announced that they would develop and deploy a common fighter jet, merging their previously separate sixth-generation projects: the United Kingdom-led BAE Systems Tempest developed with Italy, and the Japanese Mitsubishi F-X. This was cemented with a treaty signed in December 2023 in Japan.

Under the current timeline, the programme expects to begin the formal development phase from 2025, with a demonstrator to fly in 2027, and production aircraft to begin entering service from 2035.

Avatar photo
George has a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and has a keen interest in naval and cyber security matters and has appeared on national radio and television to discuss current events. George is on Twitter at @geoallison
Subscribe
Notify of
guest

151 Comments
oldest
newest
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Nevis
Nevis
1 month ago

This project and AUKUS are the reasons I’d like to see defence spending upped to 3%. To show proper commitment to our partners and order sufficient quantities of both.

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Nevis

AUKUS SSN and Tempest are the two major defence items that sets the UK apart from everyone else. No other medium size country can build an international consortium and lead a design effort on a 6th Gen aircraft and build a nuclear powered warship every bit as good as the USA. These projects are vital for our world standing as much as for defence capabilities. I just hope Australia and Japan are worthy partners. The Australian government is in a bit of a tiz on its defence procurement and Japan has zero export history for weapons systems and may prove… Read more »

Nevis
Nevis
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Totally agree. As the f35 project has proven, you can’t build these hi tech equipment quick enough. If we can offer a genuine world class alternative to the American 6th gen aircraft then the potential for follow on orders from like minded countries is immense!

Hugh Meagher
Hugh Meagher
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

I don’t think the UK products are as good as the US ones. Typhoon no match for F22 Virginia class in a different ballpark to the Astute

David Smile
David Smile
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

The American military industrial complex -likely in association with Disney- likes to sell those fairytales, the real world reality is somewhat different

Hugo
Hugo
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Virginia is in fact not. Its a great multi role submarine but does not fulfill the hunter killer role as well an an astute.

Netking
Netking
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

I get the feeling Hugh here is trying to be a troll.

Frank
Frank
1 month ago
Reply to  Netking

😂

Hugh Meagher
Hugh Meagher
1 month ago
Reply to  Netking

Not a troll but we’ll used to jingoism. Every time a new British system comes out we hear how fantastic it is and then later down the line issues come to the fore and we find that they weren’t so great after all. Think Nimrod, the current destroyers that couldn’t operate in warm waters and that have a gym where their ment to have missles

M knowledge
M knowledge
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Yeah … It’s no wonder the Americans rely so heavily on our expertise and tech. Lol we are so rubbish at … *Checks notes* … Hmmm 🤔

Coll
Coll
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

littoral combat ship.

Netking
Netking
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Fair and to to be honest I often call out the wild jingoistic nonsense that clearly has no basis in reality but on the other side of the coin I don’t think the UK weapons system are rubbish or a laughing stock as I’ve seen claimed recently. The major issue across the arm forces is that there is no mass. None!!! A good mental exercise is to try and figure out how long the UK alone would last in a conventional fight with Russia with no aid from nato. I don’t see that ever happening thankfully but when you look… Read more »

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 month ago
Reply to  Netking

It’s a bit of a none argument around a fight with Russia….we would end up staring at each other across a distance than neither could overcome…..a UK Russia war would always be a slow burn affair due to the tyranny of distance and the lack of either nations ability to actually threaten the others core…the norther fleet could not handle the RN..the RN could not breach or likely Breach the bastions and even if it did and sunk the majority of the northern fleet..Russia is a continental land power….neither side could likely do much more than nibble and snarl at… Read more »

Last edited 1 month ago by Jonathan
Netking
Netking
1 month ago
Reply to  Jonathan

My fear is although the UK would clearly have more modern and capable weapons, how much are there and how long would they last. Would there be enough sams to withstand the barrage of russian ballistic, cruise missilesand drone strikes in this hypothetical scenario? Would there be enough sams and fighters to deny them air superiority, again without help from nato? Now I will admit that this is an unfair thought experiment as I don’t think the uk force structure is designed to be in a fight with an enemy as large as Russia all alone but it does highlight… Read more »

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 month ago
Reply to  Netking

To be honest I think the stocks or Russia cruise missiles is pretty limited…so we probably do have enough and I think what Ukraine has show is that unless a nation nation can be punched out with a decapitation…your not going to really do much to it hurling around even a couple of hundred cruise missiles….so I suspect the UK and Russia would: 1) hit each other with cruise missiles..causing limited damage. 2) undertake semi regular penetrations of each others air defences.. 3) I suspect the significant tec advantage of the astute will keep the northern fleet bottled up in… Read more »

Last edited 1 month ago by Jonathan
Patrick C
Patrick C
1 month ago
Reply to  Netking

I seem to remember during the Libyan debacle that european nations had to ask the US for more smart bombs after day 2. Russia also had very few of these at the start of this war. Luckily the US has built well over 400,000 kits and can crank them out- but makes me wonder about other things. I fear SAMs will definitely be a shortage even for the US. I know Germany is building another Patriot factory but we need massive stocks of everything as cruise missiles and decoy drones are much simpler to build so numbers wise i don’t… Read more »

DaveyB
DaveyB
1 month ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Sadly that is not the case. Russia has the ability to hit us hard. Whereas we would struggle to inflict serious damage on them, if everything remains conventional. They would not need to use conventional land forces. But rely on surface launch missiles, plus their Navy and Airforce launch cruise and semi-ballistic missiles. The geography of Russia vs the UK. precludes a deep strategic strike by the UK. A lot of Russian heavy industry is set in and around the Urals, deep within Russia. Whereas the UK’s is clumped together. We do not have the assets with the reach, to… Read more »

monkey spanker
monkey spanker
1 month ago
Reply to  Netking

In a U.K. vs Russia situation I would think the willingness of a lot of people to join the fight would be substantial. What is needed for that though is quick training which the U.K. seems to be able to do and a supply of arms to give them. 2nd one would be a bit challenging. The U.K. does have stocks, what’s in them I don’t know.
Hopefully all countries would be helpful with donations/arms sells.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 month ago
Reply to  Netking

Of course he is. Ignore.

SD67
SD67
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Second hand water cooler gossip from Barrow back in the day – Astute Class Optronics and sensors are in a different class from Virginia. The UK’s pumpjet technology has already been adopted by the USN. Virginia is lrger and mass produced so costs a little less per tonne – but not much.

Iain
Iain
1 month ago
Reply to  SD67

Didn’t the pumpjets on the Virginia’s originally come from the Swiftsure class? That’s like two generations before the Astutes…

SD67
SD67
1 month ago
Reply to  Iain

That may well be the case

I remember they had a big tarp over that end of Astute boat three and four when you walked into the DDH, it was one of the areas BAE/MOD were very precious about

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Iain

Yes it did.

Geo
Geo
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Right u are Hugh….

M knowledge
M knowledge
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Typhoon is superior in dogfights and has multirole capability too. Not forgetting the massive input we have to us equipment… The F35 is far more successful than the 22 already.

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  M knowledge

And it’s 2 times cheaper and there are 3 times more of them and its availability rate is much higher.

Typhoon has a much bigger weapons load and a far superior air to air missile and much better air to ground options.

Typhoon will outlive F22 in service by several decades as F22 is almost impossible to upgrade.

New AESA on Typhoon is significantly better with much wider field of view than F22.

Paul
Paul
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Add to that there is also stalled (but developed) thrust vectoring engines and conformal tanks for the EF IIRC. Its a shame funding was curtailed as with all these toys the EF would be even better (and would have had AESA earlier).

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

The F22 was never on offer and exists in very small numbers and was a hugely overpriced white elephant ( very much like the German tiger two…supreme design but vastly overpriced and difficult to deploy) the typhoon is a far better platform than any contemporary US aircraft such as the latest f15 or F18 variants…the Virginia class is in no way better than an astute, infact as a hunter killer an astute is probably the better boat….the astute was reported to be able to hold the Virginia class at range as it has the more advanced sonar and sensor suite..the… Read more »

Last edited 1 month ago by Jonathan
Patrick C
Patrick C
1 month ago
Reply to  Jonathan

anyone who knows about either boat isn’t going to be able to tell you much. the US is notoriously secretive about their subs and aren’t going to talk about how they do in exercises “holding X boat off” etc. i doubt RN submariners would talk about such things either… boat speed? no one on here who knows is gonna tell you, its all just speculation. all we know is they both have excellent reputations and come from an amazing pedigree and are no doubt world leaders. probably a lot more in common than we think- considering Electric Boat had to… Read more »

geoff
geoff
1 month ago
Reply to  Patrick C

I can’t see the UK and USA fighting each other any time soon😉 so such comparisons are all just good clean fun, but as an Americophile I would say thank God for the US of A-long may the Special Relationship(flaws and all) remain! Recent statements by senior Russian politicians such as Dmitry Medvedev who seriously poses the possibility of bombing London, Washington,Berlin and Paris are the issues which we need to face in these troubled times. He is a sinister individual who seems to believe the previously unthinkable is now a possibility. Nuclear war then makes all the talk of… Read more »

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Patrick C

Indeed the RN did talk about Astute performed against the USS New Mexico, it’s on record. Astute sonar was far superior.

Virginia a great boat and I don’t doubt the block IV and V will be improvement over Astute but they are much newer.

Thomas
Thomas
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Virginia can’t even find an Astute never mind torpoedo it you total clown . Also spearfish heavy weight is better than the yanks 👌

SailorBoy
SailorBoy
1 month ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Typhoon is no match for F22 because it costs half as much. It would be ridiculous if it could match that much spending power.
Astute, in the Fleet Submarine role it was designed for, is unmatched globally. It is reportedly quieter, has better sonar and better weapons. Where Virginia’s clinch it is in their missile tubes, which allows them to operate more efficiently alone.

Nick Buxcey
Nick Buxcey
11 days ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Ask anyone in the know and Astute is every bit as good as Virginia class. F22 and Typhoon are different planes for different roles. Besides if you are in the know, you will know in a dogfight the Typhoon is more manoeuverable than the F22 The F22 is at an advantage at BVR.

Ex_service
Ex_service
10 days ago
Reply to  Hugh Meagher

Astutes eat Virginias for breakfast.

Exercise ~10yrs ago an Astute held the latest Virginia at the time at (detection) ranges the Virginia had nothing.

Rob Young
Rob Young
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

France might disagree.

David Smile
David Smile
1 month ago
Reply to  Rob Young

The French are always disagreeable 😉

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Rob Young

They can disagree all they like, the FCAS program tells the real story.

Barracuda is an able boat but it is small and it needs refueling, it’s not in the same league as Virginia and Astute.

Rob Young
Rob Young
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Agreed. However, the question/answer is about what a country can do, not what it chooses to do.

ABCRodney
ABCRodney
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Jim Don’t judge the ability of the Barracuda SSN by its size it’s got most of the capabilities of ours but in a smaller package. And don’t assume that USN/RN reactor technology is leagues ahead of the French (OK I’m biased and would insist it is, but the evidence is bit interesting). Their decision to use LEU for their SSNs is a deliberate one as they see it as being advantageous. They actually also build large HEU reactors for their latest SSBN because they need a big hull to accommodate the SLBM and that means more power than a LEU… Read more »

Martyn
Martyn
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Jim ,well put ,it follows my thoughts entirely .

Andrew D
Andrew D
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Agreed 👍

ABCRodney
ABCRodney
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Australia isn’t in a Tiz they just took a re look at it and decided cut a bit and add a lot more overall. And as for Japan they tend to be very good reliable partners (just ask the Yanks). I am actually far happier being partners with Italy and Japan than either France or Germany.
And as for going it alone, sorry but that boat sailed with the Hawk and this one is way out of our ability to go it alone.

Mr M R Handley
Mr M R Handley
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Totally agree with both Jim and Nevis ,spot on.

David Owen
David Owen
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

With Japan on board, they produced some very iconic fighters in the past the zero being the most iconic one,one thing with Japanese management no costly overruns they do it they do it right, Japan is the perfect partner and saab of Sweden,

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 month ago
Reply to  Nevis

It doesn’t strike me as a lot of money compared to Concord or TSR2 development costs adjusted for GDP growth.

I am of the, utterly inexpert, view that the game here is to build it biggish but build it fast.

Can you imagine if Typhoon had its original ISD how advanced it would have been?

Likewise F35…..

There is a huge cost and supremacy disadvantage in stringing it out. The risk being perfection(isn’t) rather than spiral development.

The first few won’t be front line anyway at least not till they get re-manufactured.

Steve
Steve
1 month ago

It’s peanuts. Eurofighter development costs were €20b unadjusted for inflation. Plus each generation of military items costs way more than the last.

Last edited 1 month ago by Steve
Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 month ago
Reply to  Steve

“ Plus each generation of military items costs way more than the last.”

That has always been accepted as fact.

I’m not so sure it is true now.

Digital development and 3D printing will make some significant savings at least in terms of time.

Typhoon cost vastly more to develop to the French then German fun and games.

Main thing is to give it plenty of power, thrust, payload and volume so the shoehorn problem doesn’t come and visit.

Jim
Jim
1 month ago

B21 is four times cheaper than B2 without adjusting for inflation.

F14 in todays prices would be $300 million each while F35C is $120 million.

Steve
Steve
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

That’s the unit price not the design price.

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Steve

Plus we have a bigger work shares and design lead.

Steve
Steve
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

There is going to need a significant release of funds at some point, what worries me is that it doesn’t appear to be budget for and its the normal political trick of leaving it to the next government to worry about.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 month ago
Reply to  Steve

It would be interesting to know what the cost of Kaan was to develop. 21 February 2024Turkey flies Kaan fighter for first time “Turkey has flown its Kaan National Combat Aircraft (MMU) for the first time, Turkish Aerospace (TA) announced.The domestically developed ‘fifth-generation’ fighter departed TA’s Ankara facility for its approximately 15-minute maiden flight on 21 February. For the flight, the Kaan MMU was accompanied by a Turkish Air Force Lockheed Martin F-16 Fighting Falcon chase plane. “We have carved another development in our history,” President of Defence Industry Agency Haluk Görgün said of the event. “May the first flight… Read more »

Steve
Steve
1 month ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Based on the Wikipedia article it seems to be based on a load of existing technology, so not sure how it will stack up against existing jets for example the eurofighter which is shares an engine.

Turkey states its a 5th gen plane and the unit price is pretty low, so I’m guessing more basic jet than is planned for tempest.

Last edited 1 month ago by Steve
Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 month ago
Reply to  Steve

I will be interested to see how it stacks up against 4th gen aircraft and some of the roles it intends to be used for.

James Fennell
James Fennell
1 month ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Its a 5th gen fighter needed due to the F-35 ban imposed by the US after Turkey bought Russian missiles. Uses F-16 engines (at least in prototypes). BAe helped design airframe (200m contract signed in 2015), and Rolls Royce are working with a local company on an indigenous engine for production version. Is also designed to use MBDA missiles (Meteor and Spear 3) in addition to Turkish weapons.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 month ago
Reply to  James Fennell

Cheers, it should be a very worthwhile project in that case.

John Clark
John Clark
1 month ago

Ok, I’m going to put cones up around this post, everyone please keep moving along, TSR2 has been mentioned again, keep moving, nothing to see here….

Expat
Expat
1 month ago
Reply to  John Clark

Well unless we learning from mistakes well never progress. If we’re not allowed to bring them up then they’ll surely just repeat, like selling our world leading jet engine technology to Russia, turns out we didn’t learn as one of our universities was found to be helping Iran build better drones.

John Clark
John Clark
1 month ago
Reply to  Expat

The lessons from TSR2 were learnt, we ventured into partnership with the Europeans, Tornado was a difficult but a relitivly amicable affair, Thypoon has been like pulling bloody hair for 30 years and the Germans are still causing problems all these years on!

Let’s hope this collaboration goes well, with Japanese no nonsense management involved, it certainly stands a far better chance.

ChrisJ
ChrisJ
1 month ago
Reply to  John Clark

What problems are the Germans causing with Typhoon? (genuine question, don’t know anything about it)

John Clark
John Clark
1 month ago
Reply to  ChrisJ

Hi Chris, the Germans have been a royal pain from about 1989 onwards, constantly delaying, objecting, attempting to cheapen and reduce capability and even threatening to collapse the whole programme in the mid 1990’s.

Their latest histrionics might well have cost us a second Saudi order of 48 aircraft….. Costing the partners billions.

Everyone is still waiting for contract signature….

Last edited 1 month ago by John Clark
Luke Rogers
Luke Rogers
1 month ago
Reply to  John Clark

If you want a recent example of UK, Japan, Italy industrial cooperation, may I present the Hitachi IET/class 800 train…god help us.

John Clark
John Clark
1 month ago
Reply to  Luke Rogers

I don’t know anything about that Luke, I will have to look it up……

Jim
Jim
1 month ago

Yes it’s about 16 hours of UK government spending. Bit of a bargain by all accounts.

Expat
Expat
1 month ago

The expression perfection gets in the way of progress springs to mind. Happened too many times in the past to count.

Joe16
Joe16
1 month ago
Reply to  Nevis

I would agree that 3% is a better place to be. But, personally there need to be overhauls at a number of different levels- some of them within MOD itself and some before a percentage increase should be agreed. MOD procurement needs to be more transparent, more accountable, and generally better at delivering (keep a professional cadre of complex projects delivery specialists in place, rather than uniforms on shorter assignments, for starters) before they get any increase in funds. The US military does this far better than we do, with their far larger budget. MOD and Treasury also need to… Read more »

monkey spanker
monkey spanker
1 month ago
Reply to  Joe16

Some government departments are ever expanding. NHS and pensions being a couple.
As the population keeps increasing it costs more to keep it all running. This should be matched by more incoming from the population.
Some policies like the £400m to Rwanda is just a complete joke. That should of been spent of processing applications instead

Joe16
Joe16
1 month ago
Reply to  monkey spanker

Agreed that population increase is an influence of the expansion, which is understandable. But I guess my point was that the services that the NHS now provides have expanded massively since it was first brought in. I don’t just mean that the treatments for illnesses have improved, but the NHS was originally for emergency care, natal care, that kind of thing. Dentistry came in later, as well as mental health, and these days a very large number of services that one could argue are not critical to life. Most countries, including France (often considered rather more towards the socialist end… Read more »

Geo stat
Geo stat
1 month ago

Hopefully we get decent numbers and don’t end with less airframes than now

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Geo stat

B21 is so far coming in on time and budge at a fraction of the cost of B2. It may be with full computer aided design that the days of less and less aircraft at higher and higher costs could be over.

Geo
Geo
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

That would be a treat for once….. hopefully thats the case and we see this plane arrive in good numbers and with good capability early doors

Ex-Marine
Ex-Marine
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Yes, you are right to a certain point. Industry 4.0, robotics, digital twins and additive manufacturing backed up by an AI machine vision system to maintain quality are just the norm today.

We are working on it and other projects in the same space. The MOD has everyone on a tight leash. No one will break ranks as security clearances are at risk and losing the company’s ability to continue working on UKGov contracts.

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Ex-Marine

Yes plus the future of BAE, the Italian defence industry and Japan aerospace sector are all relying on this one.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Exactly

If this doesn’t work out then cutting edge fighter design outside USA is dead.

USA did itself no favours with the way F35 was handled and nobody else wants the lock in effect.

USAF don’t want the tech of their next gen plane shared around either. Nor the general design by committee approach to keep everyone happy that drove costs up.

Levi Goldsteinberg
Levi Goldsteinberg
1 month ago

As far as I’m concerned, no price is too high for this project. We have a very strong aerospace sector but this is a project that cannot be allowed to die due to its importance to keeping and developing our cutting edge industry.

Jim
Jim
1 month ago

One of the interesting points on Tempest verses NGAD will be what is now being described as low frequency stealth. Basically it will be determined on whether or not the aircraft has a tail. It’s likely that Tempest will continue to have a tail for high manoeuvrability while NGAD will have a blended body at-least for the USAF version maybe not the USN. I’m sure Lockheed Martin’s PR department are already hard at work stating that anything with a tail will be a 5th Gen aircraft not 6th Gen aircraft. However if we think about all the items currently being… Read more »

Frank
Frank
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Taranis had some interesting features too….. Can’t wait to see Tempest for real. Good posts mate…. 👌

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Frank

Maybe we can still call the unmanned component of GCAP Taranis, too good a name not to use 😀

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 month ago
Reply to  Frank

And not forgetting Magma of course. I’m not sure where we are with that at the moment, but we might just see this technology being used with Tempest and future Loyal Wingmen. “At present, Magma is testing two variations of “flap-free” technology. The first is called Wing Circulation Control. In this, air from the aircraft engine is bled off and blown supersonically through narrow slots around a specially shaped wing trailing edge to do the same job as the aileron. The second is Fluidic Thrust Vectoring. This involves deflecting the engine’s jet exhaust by blowing air inside the nozzle to… Read more »

Math
Math
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

May be connectivity is the thing regarding 6th gen. A longer range, a core networked synchronised with other planes…

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Math

Yes true but again that can all be incorporated in a 5th Gen aircraft with the right computers and antennas. There is a real risk especially on the export side to the US military industrial complex moving the goal posts and Tempest being seen as a more expensive 5th Gen aircraft. It’s much the same with SSN AUKUS, If you listen to any Australian political pundit or ex admiral you think that Virginia class is somehow the best machine ever made and the Astute is a poor man’s substitute when the reality is quite different and it’s one of the… Read more »

Netking
Netking
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

To be fair, like the F22, the US has no intention to export the ngad or the aim260 so I don’t think international sales competition is a concern for them when it comes to these weapons

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 month ago
Reply to  Netking

Also they are not planning for many of them only around 200.

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Netking

Yes but they will be using it to talk up the F35. F35 will be the biggest export competition against Tempest.

Math
Math
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

For me, the real risk of Tempest program is still F35. 600 of them have been sold in Europe, so the budget available to buy airplanes may be limited in short term. You may have the plane in 2035, with no key differenciator that will make people buy it, because at that time they may prefer to replace the engine of F35, or add a new software release… So back to the rational behind Tempest: you want to have your own plateform, with your own roadmap. This is what matters. Second thing is to deny any potential advantage US may… Read more »

Patrick C
Patrick C
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

the USAF is being extremely tight-lipped about NGAD (like they are about the B-21). I think its a lot further along than most think- they did say one was flying as of a year or two ago. One thing we do know is that it will be a system of systems- loyal wingmen integration will be key. I think it will be a massive fighter to deal with ranges in the pacific… i do think it will be tailless as manueverability is increasingly becoming less important. i think one of the keys for determining if something is 6th gen will… Read more »

ABCRodney
ABCRodney
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

Jim My take on AUKUS and why British may not be better than US but we ended up building them (and possibly 10 of our own). Australian Politicians are even less clued up on Defence than ours and regardless of common sense will always argue that their opponent is 180 degrees wrong (even if he is right). The recent review of their Naval Strategy is one of the few times the opposition hasn’t immediately slagged the Government off. Nope not even the sound of a Dijjery Do. Simple reason some truly inspired individual decided to get a Retired USN Admiral… Read more »

Jon
Jon
1 month ago
Reply to  Jim

6th gen isn’t a plane. It’s a system of systems. The plane is the centre of a selectable group of assets.

ZuluLima
ZuluLima
1 month ago
Reply to  Jon

It’s not a system of systems, it’s a defining set of characteristics. The plane is the topic of discussion.

Jim
Jim
1 month ago
Reply to  Jon

6th Gen like 5th Gen and 4.5gen is a marketing ploy that LM has used very successfully to combat export sales of Eurofighter.

But my point is that all the system of system stuff and the loyal wing men drones can all go along side an F35 or any other aircraft.

NGAD will be seen as the benchmark for 6th Gen.

RoboJ1M
RoboJ1M
1 month ago

Is anybody else curious just exactly how that much money gets spent?
I’m fine with it being spent, it’s a great use of money, but…
£1.8 billion.
One Thousand Eight Hundred Million Pounds.
6,000 staff for one year at £300,000 per year?
Or a 1,000 staff for 6 years?
It’s just design work so far, yeah?
It must be subcontractors charging anything they like.
Hypersonic wind tunnel testing fees etc.
Supercomputer rental.
Just as long as we get a fleet of them out of it.

Peter S
Peter S
1 month ago
Reply to  RoboJ1M

I would very much like to know where £1.8b has gone and what there is to show for it. Taranis cost @£185m in total including flight testing of an actual aircraft. If formal development won’t start until 2025, what ” informal ” progress has been achieved to date? LM has gouged the US government and every other customer by over promising and under delivering at prices way ahead of the affordable successor aircraft promised. We can’t afford to allow BAE to spend vast sums of public money in similar fashion. Concerns about costs were set out in detail in a… Read more »

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
1 month ago
Reply to  Peter S

Mate. Our defence budget is bled by the MIC. It’s the way it is.

monkey spanker
monkey spanker
1 month ago

MIC? I looked it up but not figuring it out.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
1 month ago
Reply to  monkey spanker

Military Industrial Complex.
Eisenhower warned back in the 50s at its growing power.
In other words, The UK Defence industry.
Tempest, Nukes, half our equipment budget that actually goes not on new equipment, but In service support.
How much of the budget does the military never actually see? An awful lot.
The “defence” budget is not just there to fund the conventional military with enough people and assets at a good price. We buy eye wateringly expensive kit in small quantities to keep our own industry going.

John Clark
John Clark
1 month ago

This^^^^^^^

Totally spot on mate, 100% agree …

geoff
geoff
1 month ago

Hi Daniele. Eisenhower was a good President and truly decent man. Later Republican Presidents were allies of the MIC so it took lots of guts not to mention integrity to challenge their position even in those days
Cheers from a very humid Durban

monkey spanker
monkey spanker
1 month ago

Seems obvious now you point it out

Peter S
Peter S
1 month ago

Indeed. The costs of modern equipment are staggering which inevitably leads to smaller numbers and the shrinkage of forces that everyone on this site deplores. £1b+ for a new frigate, £100 m for a combat aircraft and £9m each just to upgrade an MBT. Deliberately settling for cheaper, less capable kit isn’t really an option. The only partial mitigation I can see is to have long production runs as the US has done with AB destroyers, F15 and F18s and with their regularly modernized Abrams. With the small numbers we buy, development costs are likely to be a higher proportion… Read more »

Iain
Iain
1 month ago
Reply to  Peter S

You say that, but an F-18E/F/G isn’t all that cheap. They are on a general level with the cost of an F-35A. $55m to $70m roughly. I am pretty sure by now that all the development costs for the F/A-18 have been recouped so perhaps once the F-35 reaches similar maturity we are actually going to see smaller prices…nah who am I kidding.

Math
Math
1 month ago
Reply to  Peter S

We have a similar though slightly different issue in France, because Rafale roadmap is in our hand. Hence DGA focus on Rafale F5 to carry more accompanying flying assets and be able to convey them beyond the front line. The main issue is not Rafale or Eurofighter, main issue is to go past the frontline. For this Rafale fly very low, but it is not enough. The plane will need the ability to clear a path. UK has created some powerful missiles to destroy (Brimstone, Stormshadow) or disrupt (Spear) all Sam. This is interesting, but expensive. Make a few drones… Read more »

Ex-Marine
Ex-Marine
1 month ago

As a subcontractor working on this project. The purse strings have been extremely tight. The R, D&D work is incentivised towards the contract in the manufacturing and maintenance post demonstrator testing in 2026. I cannot say anything other than that.

Robert Blay
Robert Blay
1 month ago
Reply to  Peter S

1.8bn is peanuts when it come to designing fast jet capability like Tempest. The complexity of such a project is mind boggling. It is not comparable to Taranis in anyway in terms of scale or complexity. All this will lead to a Tempest technology demonstrator flying. That is very different from a 1st production prototype, which is still a very long way away.

Meirion X
Meirion X
1 month ago
Reply to  Peter S

“To deliver a manned aircraft superior to the F35, the proposed funding looks far too small compared with the development costa of Typhoon (£100b) or of F35 itself (@$400b).”

Here we go again!
Those figures you produced, include procurement costs, not just development costs of the said aircraft. An over-inflated figure, in the case of the Typhoon.

Last edited 1 month ago by Meirion X
DaveyB
DaveyB
1 month ago
Reply to  RoboJ1M

In the UK, BAe are the prime contractor. Below them you have Leonardo, MBDA, Thales and Rolls Royce as the main subcontractors. Then there’s the smaller companies designing the undercarriage, wheels, environmental system etc. BAe has to pay each of them for their respective development costs. So that £1.8 billion gets spread around.

Ex-Marine
Ex-Marine
1 month ago
Reply to  DaveyB

BAe is the Main Contractor, or OEM in the tree. Then we have the Tier 1 suppliers. They only engage other T2 or lower companies that are already qualified and cleared. They (Leonardo for example) only engage T2 suppliers/manufacturers/developers if they have been specified by BAe or the Royal Airforce/MOD.

John
John
1 month ago

Gulp

ChariotRider
ChariotRider
1 month ago

Hmm, 2027 for a demonstrator to fly and 2035 for it to start to enter service.

The money spent is impressive, but if they can keep to that timeline that will be very impressive… Here’s hoping.

Cheers CR

Marked
Marked
1 month ago
Reply to  ChariotRider

A miracle I’d say based on previous records!

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 month ago
Reply to  ChariotRider

It will have to be ready in two years IRL by the time it is made ready for test flights given all the duty holder stuff now. Test flying isn’t saying in a clipped voice ‘going to push her now….’ anymore.

ChariotRider
ChariotRider
1 month ago

Hi SB, Yeh, I realise that mate. I trained as an aeronautical engineer, although my career took me down a different path so I don’t claim to be an expert. The point I was alluding to is that even building a demonstrator requires an awful lot of very meticulous design and system testing work which suggests that the program is far more advanced than current statements and information might suggest. Of course, getting an airframe into the air doesn’t require all the whizzy mission kit to be onboard, they can be ‘simulated’ with strategically placed ballast. However, given the stealth… Read more »

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 month ago
Reply to  ChariotRider

Personally I do think they mean flying demonstrator and not a cardboard model.

I think a lot more will have been done by then.

BAE need planes to make to keep the skills alive post Typhoon. Although the skills for Tempest will be very different to Typhoon.

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
1 month ago

As I’ve said before, just what will the military actually see from that 12 billion? The MoD budget supports primarily the MIC and Nuclear, not conventional forces.
This is another reason why F35A is not happening.
Unless this is cancelled and we lose the aircraft industry.
Just to add, I support both this and AUKUS. But posters wonder “where does the money go”
Here is another example.

Last edited 1 month ago by Daniele Mandelli
Robert Blay
Robert Blay
1 month ago

It’s going to need a lot more than 12bn to deliver this project. Getting the technology demonstrator airborne will be a major milestone. But that is just one part of the Tempest system. To those expecting manned Tempest numbers to match or exceed Typhoon numbers. Then I think you are going to be disappointed. Future Air combat mass will come from the unmanned element of the Tempest system. Future force structures will not be like they are today. On the plus side. Typhoon will still be in service into the 2040s and F35B into the 2060s and beyond. As a… Read more »

FormerUSAF
FormerUSAF
1 month ago
Reply to  Robert Blay

Interesting, had not read previously of a NGAD cost estimate more precise than ” multiple hundreds of millions” per copy.

Simon
Simon
1 month ago
Reply to  Robert Blay

The trouble is that we also sometimes get into the trap, of one of this project can do the work of five of the previous project which is all well and good but the net result is that the kickback from the treasury is that one can replace five then.

simon alexander
simon alexander
1 month ago

tempest has to offer customer nations more than the f35 program did

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 month ago

Close to a case of ‘all fur coat and no kn*ckers’. Meanwhile supporters of factions and regimes hostile to our entire way of life meet up and march about London free as air every weekend.

Highly trained, agile and mobile forces to deal with small to medium conflicts alongside regional allies. That and our famous capacity for dirty tricks out of sight.

AlexS
AlexS
1 month ago

Due to its complexity unfortunately will probably be obsolete by the time it arrives.

It is cheaper and faster to develop long range missiles than this.

grizzler
grizzler
1 month ago
Reply to  AlexS

Haven’t we heard that before?…
It was the death knell for our leading aviation industry then and would be even worse now…

AlexS
AlexS
1 month ago
Reply to  grizzler

Correct, it will be its the death knell, but i think deserved.

The point i am making is that super performance jets that takes ages to be operational, cost several billions to operate and train just to lob missiles do not make sense. All that not necessary performance have consequence they cost too much are too complex and will be bought in very low numbers.

Just use that money to make more and better missiles and better detection sensors (SAT’s , drones)

Tom
Tom
1 month ago

So between the UK, Italy and Japan, £5.4billion has so far been spent on this hairbrained ‘project’? I mean joint project, equal shares, equal costs?

How many F35’s could the UK have purchased for £1.8billion??? Why didn’t we???

How many personnel, how much kit, how much equipment could £1.8billion have bought?

Daniele Mandelli
Daniele Mandelli
1 month ago
Reply to  Tom

Not much if it’s top of the range.
Tempest supports the British defence industry and will make billions for the UK like F35 is doing. And that and nuclear is a priority for HMG regards the “defence” budget.
Sooner posters realise that, the better.

Tom
Tom
1 month ago

Hi DM… An injection of that amount of money, would do a lot especially to the Army.

The UK (Italy Japan) are working on a next gen bit of kit… why would we want to flog it to anyone else? The US has not, and will not (for some time yet) sell their F22 to anyone else. That’s what keeps them ahead of the game.

DanielMorgan
DanielMorgan
1 month ago
Reply to  Tom

The last F-22 was delivered to the USAF in 2012 and hasn’t been in production since. What keeps the US ahead of everyone else is its sixth-generation fighter which will have a production contract signed this year.

monkey spanker
monkey spanker
1 month ago
Reply to  Tom

£1.8b gets you a frigate and 8 typhoons. Even 12 billion doesn’t get much.
This money is being spent in the U.K. so the a large amount of it goes back through the tax system.

ChrisLondon
ChrisLondon
1 month ago
Reply to  Tom

14 x F35Bs. I would rather have Tempest.

Tom
Tom
1 month ago
Reply to  ChrisLondon

You are assuming that this tempest thing is going to outclass anything already out there. Personally I don’t see it that way.

besides… when this new jet fly’s (in 2040 or whenever) the US, China and everyone else with the money, will start producing their own.

It’s an endless cycle of arms manufacturer’s bamboozling idiots at the Mod, with their nice shiny sparkly new concept toys.

Meirion X
Meirion X
1 month ago
Reply to  Tom

Aircraft design has moved on, considerably since the 60s/70s! Aircraft are designed mainly on a mainframe supercomputer in 3D, including the airflow simulation, before a model is built for a wind-tunnel test.

Last edited 1 month ago by Meirion X
SD67
SD67
1 month ago

12 Billion over 10 years in the context of a 230 billion MOD CAPEX over the period, is really a very good use of resource.

When you consider the industrial spinoffs, the potential exports, this and AUKUS are the pillars going forward

magwitch
magwitch
1 month ago

The date for the first flight has quietly slid two years to the right… There is no way this will be in service in 2035.

Meirion X
Meirion X
1 month ago
Reply to  magwitch

Maybe 2037, possible.

Tom
Tom
1 month ago
Reply to  magwitch

Bang on! mebbe by 2040 at the earliest.

Pacman27
Pacman27
1 month ago

great news but surely the sweet spot for our aerospace industry is in drones.

really is worrying that Sweden can build a proper fighter and turkey & Israel can be world leaders in Drones, but we seemingly can’t build one from a much higher base.

loyal wingman is a game changer and we should be focusing hard on creating the no1 product in that space using current tech. Everything is here in the UK except the political will (seemingly)

DJ
DJ
1 month ago
Reply to  Pacman27

Current leading loyal wingman is the Ghost Bat from Australia. Boeing (Australia) is the lead as to airframe. BAE (Australia) is supplying the smarts. There are governments & there are companies. There is an invisible line. Leakage, I am sure, does not exist.

Louis
Louis
1 month ago
Reply to  Pacman27

The UK is the largest supplier of drones to Ukraine, who says we can’t build drones? In fact the drones we got from Israel ended up being the mess that is Watchkeeper.

Gripen is still inferior to Typhoon.

BAE aim to have a stealthy, Hawk sized loyal wingman flying within 2 years and there are plenty of other companies making drones here.

Pacman27
Pacman27
1 month ago
Reply to  Louis

is that hawk sized loyal wingman going to cost less than £1m, because if its not – it will have no customers. loyal wingman cost is set – it has to be disposable asset. Gripen may well be inferior – but it is half the price and is very good – its also made with lots of British components. if we don’t want to take on the costs involved in a major new build alone, that’s fine – but we should be able to deliver better products than some of the countries that are currently beating us to the punch… Read more »

Louis
Louis
1 month ago
Reply to  Pacman27

What do you mean by disposable? If it’s designed to operate alongside F35, Typhoon and Tempest, it won’t be as disposable as a little drone held at company level. If it can’t penetrate enemy air defences alongside an F35 or Tempest then not only is it disposable, it’s also just a waste of money and bad. And why a million pounds anyway? If it gets shot down by a laser which costs ten pounds per target then it’s also a waste of money. The whole point of loyal wingmen is that they are more disposable than a Typhoon/F35, and them… Read more »

Pacman27
Pacman27
1 month ago
Reply to  Louis

from memory that is the stated requirement of the RAF loyal wingman.

what you are proposing is essentially what Taranis was / could have been. but was cancelled in preference to the above, which itself has been cancelled, leaving us to purchase off the shelf.

unless, you know something I don’t know and the RAF have some sort of capability under development

for the record – big supporter of Taranis – yet another missed opportunity – which is my point

Tom
Tom
1 month ago
Reply to  Louis

BAE needs to be told to ‘go fly a kite’, and the Mod needs to open up the drone market (within the UK), to anyone who can come up with a very good piece of kit, at a good price.

Louis
Louis
1 month ago
Reply to  Tom

BAE is the only British company capable of making a loyal wingman for F35/Tempest/Typhoon.

Elsewhere the market should be opened up, but at the very top end BAE is the only option.

AlexS
AlexS
1 month ago
Reply to  Louis

Well Watchkeeper was modified, britishied 🙂 , The original model is operational all over the world.

ChrisJ
ChrisJ
1 month ago

£1.8bn spent so far? So that’s the BAE boards’ Christmas Party and bonuses covered, when do they start work on the aircraft?

Last edited 1 month ago by ChrisJ
Jon
Jon
1 month ago
Reply to  ChrisJ

A stated in the article, 2025. It’s short and worth reading, including the paragraphs that follow the headline. Perhaps your sarcasm would cut sharper if whetted by knowledge.

ChrisJ
ChrisJ
1 month ago
Reply to  Jon

Wow, someone’s had a sense of humour failure, are you a member of BAEs board by any chance?

dp
dp
1 month ago

Maybe they should have spent it on Trident testing instead…

Carl
Carl
1 month ago

Surely by then pilots wont be needed.

Jonno
Jonno
1 month ago

Seems to me the whole Tempest project is just that. Another project that never goes anywhere. Whats the betting. All talk and no action.In fact a ‘paper’ plane.

Tom
Tom
1 month ago

This is a genuine line of questioning, in order to try and get the real ‘picture’, when it comes to new military designs and concepts.
So the tempest jet (looks like a Shenyang FC-31 to me). The UK. Italian and Japanese governments fund the research and development of this new aircraft?
When all the tests and experiments are successfully complete, the UK buys theirs from BAE, the Italians buy theirs from Leonardo, and the Japanese buy theirs from Suzuki?

Is this how it works?

Douglas Newell
Douglas Newell
1 month ago

Be handy to have some Harriers just now to boost the numbers.

I hear they are pretty good at shooting down Houthi drones.

Of course, we got rid of the Navy’s Sea Harriers even before the Politicians and the RAF stabbed them in back by axing the GR9.