According to British intelligence officials on Tuesday, Vladimir Putin has issued directives for Russian military forces to push forward in a majority of the sectors within Ukraine.

However, these efforts have yet to result in a definitive advance.

The officials report that the Wagner Group, Putin’s purported “private army,” has achieved limited progress in the vicinity of Bakhmut, a town located in the eastern Donbas region where some of the most intense hostilities are presently underway.

“In the last three days, Wagner Group forces have almost certainly made further small gains around the northern outskirts of the contested Donbas town of Bakhmut, including into the village of Krasna Hora. However, organised Ukrainian defence continues in the area. The tactical Russian advance to the south of the town has likely made little progress.

In the north, in Kremina-Svatove sector of Luhansk Oblast, Russian forces are making continuous offensive efforts, though each local attack remains on too small a scale to achieve a significant breakthrough. Russia likely aims to reverse some of the gains Ukrainian forces made over September-November 2022: there is a realistic possibility that their immediate goal is to advance west to the Zherberets River.

Overall, the current operational picture suggests that Russian forces are being given orders to advance in most sectors, but that they have not massed sufficient offensive combat power on any one axis to achieve a decisive effect.”

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George has a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and has a keen interest in naval and cyber security matters and has appeared on national radio and television to discuss current events. George is on Twitter at @geoallison
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Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago

Cue johninmk to tell us he was right all along and this past year was a faint for the real attack now.
The Russian army is still a large force albeit taking massive casualties. How long it can sustain that or the people of Russia will sit back and not complain, I don’t know. There are Russians that are not happy with putin or the war but speaking out and taking action is difficult.
Ukraine still has a difficult fight ahead.

Last edited 1 year ago by Monkey spanker
JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Why would I want to do that? My main argument from the start was that, given the relative size of the resources of the two countries, it was and is still pretty much inevitable that Russia will prevail. What caught pretty much every commentator off guard was the way they are now going about it i.e slowly, which many interpreted as weakness but which has turned out to be them prioritising destroying the Ukrainian military over taking and keeping territory. They did this by unexpectedly turning it into an artillery fest with a likely 6+:1 advantage. Leading to this comment… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

We will agree to disagree on some points. With an artillery war what is Russia hoping to achieve. Rubble and hatred is all that is left at the end. A lot of Russians seem to live in some 1950’s scenario unable to tell truth from nonsense. The west moved on, but somehow it’s the west’s fault that there system and way of living is more appealing to most of the world so that’s who countries want to do trade with, be close to etc. A lot of Russians still thinking they are the victim and at risk of being invaded.… Read more »

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

More propagandist fiction from John in Moscow 🤦🏻‍♂️

Let me correct one of your early statements…

“What caught pretty much every commentator off guard was”… just his f@cking inept, incompetent, and imbecilic the entire Russia military has turned out to be!!

To think in the 70’s and 80’s we feared the mighty USSR, hah!! 😂

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Everyone feared the USSR in the 30’s then the Fins sent them packing. They are deluded third world nation that seem’s to think they are good at fighting yet they get slaughtered by any western military they have ever fought.

It’s western propagandists and media that constantly blow smoke up their arse making then think they are good.

They are doing the exact same thing now talking about Russians new army 500,000 strong. It is all BS.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

😂👍 He isn’t allowed to stop posting his script, he is terrified of joining the low level tank turret display team! I find him so amusing, he’s like the Lib Dems, come out with a statement, and when wrong come out with the opposite swearing blind that’s what he always says while completely ignoring original chuff!

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

‘… he is terrified of joining the low level tank turret display team!‘ Another gem. Team ‘JohninMagnitogorsk’ have an answer to everything. Failure is a Baldrick ‘clever plan’; losing 200,000 plus rapists and 1,500 plus tanks and APC’s is also a sign of ‘winning’. The Rapists have clung on using trench warfare but a return to manoeuvre war fighting will expose them to another thrashing. The Rapists only ‘plan’ is to flatten what’s left of Ukraine using drones and long range artillery. That policy is supported by Johno of course. So the ‘special operation’ designed to frighten the life out… Read more »

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Barry Larking

Boom best 20 second assessment I’ve heard 😂👍

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Last time the Russians went on an “offensive” they through men and materials that they did not have then the Ukrainians just went around them and retook two major cities. What do you think has changed in 4 months? Russia is not the Soviet Union they don’t have the manpower or industrial base to overwhelm anyone and their military has always been of a much lower caliber than almost any other European country, much like their industry and science. They made up for that in the past by throwing men at the problem and hoping the western Allie’s would come… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

I goes to show how much Moscow rule was loved in the USSR that the strongest support against Russia comes from countries that had to live in that system.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

Correct in whole and detail. I wish the wearing down of Vlad didn’t involve the destruction of Ukraine and its culture but what other way is there but to fight this to a finish? Get the civilians to the west and give the Ukrainians serious weapons in greater quantity and quicker. This a case that Putin must not just lose he must be seen to lose.

Crabfat
Crabfat
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

Watched the Kursk movie again last night. A litany of clapped out, poorly/unmaintained, useless equipment, provided by clapped out, useless Admirals in big hats. Who immediately blamed the West for the loss of one of their ‘best’ submarines.
From WiKi… A four-page summary of a 133-volume, top-secret investigation revealed “stunning breaches of discipline, shoddy, obsolete and poorly maintained equipment”, and “negligence, incompetence, and mismanagement”.

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

A brilliant and very real summary of all that is wrong with the Russian Army and nation.

geoff
geoff
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

The disparity in population and resources does not in any way make a Russian victory inevitable. Think about the USA vs Vietnam or Russia vs Finland in WW2 as just two examples.
PS and no disrespect to our American cousins with Vietnam remark. Think of King Georges Regulars vs the Continental part-timers! There are many factors other than just size disparities

Last edited 1 year ago by geoff
GlynH
GlynH
1 year ago
Reply to  geoff

Don’t forget though that Vietnam was a strange conflict in that the US limited what they would do. i.e. no bombing up north for most of war. Vietnam in many ways was a sandpit for the US & USSR to play with their toys at huge cost the Vietnamese people. Had the US gone all in, total bombing campaign, mass coastal invasions etc then that war might have been quite different.

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  GlynH

The US bombing effort was enormous – they dropped far more bombs than in WW2, by far.

GlynH
GlynH
1 year ago
Reply to  Graham Moore

Yep, but apart from a few short spells in ’72, the north was out of bounds.

geoff
geoff
1 year ago
Reply to  GlynH

Exactly. As I said-many factors other than just size

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Oh dear how much chuff do you come out with! You change your tune more than most people change their pants! But we are all impressed by your military knowledge in regard to the use of OS, when you acknowledge you have zero military experience. But, you do seem pleased that the Nazis are on the move again. And as you reply to me can you now confirm that you acknowledge this war is an illegal invasion by Putin and Russia should pull back in immediately to ensure a round of peace talks to ensue. Also, to show your not… Read more »

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

And I see Nigel and Farouk have clocked you yet again on your Russian Nazi fan boy site dishing out your propaganda in that echo chamber! Oh dear, oh dear and oh dear!

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

😆🤣😆🤣😆👍 thanks Johnski. I enjoyed that. You’ve really made my day.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

The new Russian offensive is not going to plan it seems John. 11,536 in total and with the latest equipment from the west pouring in across the borders. I’m sure they’re grateful for Russian donations too! Russia burning bodies in Crimea ‘around the clock’ to hide losses “Dead Russian soldiers are being cremated “around the clock” in the annexed territory of Crimea, according to Ukraine’s military.  A local crematorium in the village of Krazna Zorka is being used, with a “constant line of military vehicles” of up to 10 trucks outside carrying dead soldiers and mercenaries, the General Staff said.… Read more »

Bringer Of facts
Bringer Of facts
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

“German panzers would roll eastwards again”, is a really dumb statement a pathetic attempt by the Kremlin at propaganda.

“Ukrainian-owned tanks will be rolling eastward to reclaim Ukrainian sovereign territory” There, I fixed it for you.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Actually the requirement of an offensive army to even hold part of another nation that is willing to fight let alone advance is very significant. Russia does not have the armed forces to take and hold a nation of almost 50million. Putin made the mistake in thinking he could undertake a decapitation and then Ukraine would accept Russian rule. He was wrong and now Russia is in a no win situation, even if Russia manages to grind Ukraine down ( which is unlikely with continued support from the west) he will be left occupying a shell of a nation that… Read more »

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Exactly and succinctly so. What are Putin’s stated war aims worth now when even Switzerland is lending a hand? Putin has galvanised the west and N.A.T.O. like no one else since that latter organisation began.

TypewriterMonkey
TypewriterMonkey
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Blimey. Not sure what to make of your comment. It’s so deluded it’s either terrifying or comical. Probably a bit of both.

Brooklyn
Brooklyn
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

I’m making 80 US dollars for every hr. to finish some internet providers from home. I absolutely never thought it would try and be reachable anyway. My comrade mate got $13k just in about a month effectively doing this best task and furthermore she persuaded me to profit. Look at additional subtleties going to
this article.. https://Americanliberty7.blogspot.com

Last edited 1 year ago by Brooklyn
The Artist Formerly Known As Los Pollos Chicken
The Artist Formerly Known As Los Pollos Chicken
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

im Afraid John boy that your quote “The massive Russian casualties you quote seem to be a figment of someone’s imagination”‘ 🙈 it certainly is anything but a figment of anyones imagination it is reality here’s what Gen Mark Milley chair JCS who knows more than any of the armchair fantasy war enthusiasts in here had to say late last year You’re looking at well over 100,000 Russian soldiers killed and wounded,” Milley said in remarks at the Economic Club of New York. “Same thing probably on the Ukrainian side.” Nobody denies these figure by that I mean the EU… Read more »

Lisa West (Comment Moderator)

Hello, can you please e-mail me privately at [email protected] with any issues you have?
Thanks

Brooklyn
Brooklyn
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

I’m making $80 for every hr. to finish some internet providers from home. I absolutely never thought it would try and be reachable anyway. My comrade mate got $13k just in about a month effectively doing this best task and furthermore she persuaded me to profit. Look at additional subtleties going to
this article.. https://Americanliberty7.blogspot.com

Last edited 1 year ago by Brooklyn
DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  Brooklyn

George

I notice you have a degree in cyber security. Why are these scam posts still on your website? Not a good look.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Do I detect a slight change in direction regarding the supply of aircraft to Ukraine? Allies will give Ukraine ‘as much ammunition as quickly as possible ‘US defence secretary Lloyd Austin is now asked about his stance on fighter jets – as we’d anticipated. In response, the retired four-star general says with respect to any kind of aircraft being provided by Poland, the US “never stopped Poland from providing anything“. He says: “A decision to provide something is made by the leadership of that country. “In terms of whether or not we’re going to provide F-16s, I don’t have any… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

I’m not sure that some fighter jets will make a big difference but I’m more than happy to be proved wrong.
Really depends how good the ecm is at fooling the SAMs.
They may help with shooting down incoming cruise missiles. I don’t know if they could being used over the front and strikes into Russian held land without losses.

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Except in the case of the southern flank where they could mallet the Russian surface fleet, like ducks in a pond.

That then, would leave the sub force to fire off their missiles but leaving them vulnerable when being replenned. It would grant some reprieve to Ukrainian rcz infrastructure at least.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

A friend of a friend you mean with the same agenda.

Jeremy Corbyn has urged western countries to stop arming Ukraine,

Posted on Russia Defence Forum

16 Jan 2023 — person JohninMK. Mon Jan 16, 2023 6:55 pm. by JohninMK. Soviet carton 1958, on the money. Russian special military operation in Ukraine #36 …

Farouk
Farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Oh I can beat that, here is what he has to say on the Armata thread where replies to the loss of Russian tanks. [Official] Armata Discussion thread #6 JohninMK Today at 3:24 pm “At the time of writing, at least 1,594 tanks have been lost including 448 T-72B3-series tanks, and 37 T-90-series tanks that remain rare in Ukraine.” We should recognise that these are the figures that are pumped out by Kiev and their no doubt well funded independent verification agencies, with a photo of nearly every one. So are believed by everyone in politics/news organisation etc in the… Read more »

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago
Reply to  Farouk

Ring any bells!

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Another deluded twat. Does Corbyn really think he’s that great!?

Steve R
Steve R
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Sadly, yes he does.

I’m trying to work out whether he’s just another deluded peacenik pacifist, or if he actually supports Russia.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Steve R

I think he’s just deluded to be honest.

Steve R
Steve R
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

I think you’re right.

Corbyn’s view of global politics and conflict is basically that of a six-year old, asking why can’t everyone just be nice.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Steve R

“The wolf shall live with the lamb, the leopard shall lie down with the kid, the calf and the lion and the fatling together, and a little child shall lead them.” I think he really believes that if we the west just put aside our armed forces the rest of the world would follow. Unfortunately in every case the lion always eats the lamb.

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Shame we can’t put polonium in his tea.

OTH, was he so wrong about the Gulf Wars? Good intentions but well off the rails now.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Steve R

Corbyn is a life long pacifist but against whom?

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Yes. The semi-educated are the worst.

Last edited 1 year ago by Barry Larking
DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Are you implying Corbyn can actually think?

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Good. I prefer it when people, particularly politicians, are truthful. Corbyn has always supported totalitarians. He has never met a terrorist he did not like.

JohninMagnitogorsk however has taken nearly a year to concede where his (their?) allegiance resides.

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

840 fatalities a day on average since February begun + a verified 1000 wounded is going to weigh on the Russian people. Putin can’t hide those deaths from the soldier’s families.

John Williams
John Williams
1 year ago

If the Ukraine collapses, what will NATO do? Are we close to a major war in Europe?

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

I don’t think Russia can take over all of Ukraine and hold it. The majority of Ukrainians don’t want to be under Russian rule so Russia would require massive forces to maintain its gains. At the current rate of progress over the last year versus losses Russia can’t achieve taking all of Ukraine. Even with a full mobilisation we would be looking at a minimum of a few million dead and many more injured. The longer Russian supply lines get becomes its own issue. Will nato or some nato members consider going into ukraine at some point in the next… Read more »

Frank62
Frank62
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

The same could’ve been said of the Uighurs before the CCP decided to forcably encarcerate, brainwash or just eliminate them & replace them with Han Chinese. Maybe that’s Putins strategy, had his quick invasion succeeded. He already, at the start of last years invasion, explicitly dismissed Ukraine as a nation or people. The atrocities against Ukranian civilians are testament to Putin’s Russian regard to them.
Putin has assisted Assad in Syria to anhialate the rebel opposition.

Caribbean
Caribbean
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

From following various accounts on Twitter, the Russian advance has got off to a bad start. An entire Marine brigade seems to have been pulverised outside Vulhedar, with the loss of more than 50% of the infantry and over 130 armoured vehicles, mainly to mines and artillery. It’s not even clear if they advanced far enough to engage Ukrainian troops. The Ukrainians are slowly giving ground in some areas, but at huge cost to the Russians (around 850-900 men per day KIA, with twice that number wounded). It also appears that the Ukrainians are preparing for a counter-offensive, but are… Read more »

Caribbean
Caribbean
1 year ago
Reply to  Caribbean

Couldn’t remember the name of the brigade when I wrote the comment, but it was the 155th Marine Brigade of the Pacific Fleet that was almost completely destroyed

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  Caribbean

Looking at tactical maps today Ukraine has pushed Russia back a bit near the south of bakmut. Whether it continues we will see.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

It’d be good if they can then reclaim Mariupol and the surrounds and more access to the Asov sea. Hold a buffer area to the east and slowly shove them out of the south west and Crimea. Strength to Ukraine 🇺🇦 and its people and President!

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  Caribbean

Just like the last two “offensive’s”. Maybe they thought third times the charm 😀

grizzler
grizzler
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

NATO will wring its hands in faux angst
Cry ‘It did all it possibly could’ .
I doubt it will hang it’s head in real shame.
and admit its not done what it should.

(that started out as a simple reply and evolved …so I went with it..but you get the sentiment…I’ll get me coat 😂)

DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  grizzler

NATO is trying avoid an all out war with a nuclear armed state. While it may appear NATO will defend Europe to the last Ukrainian, nuclear war means no one wins. This is not a game. Ukraine has barely reached Hiroshima & Nagasaki numbers & that’s taking both sides into account. I know I often appear as a killjoy, but I have had, like many, relatives in both WW1 & 2 & since that I personally got to know (all gone now). I repeat, this is not a game.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

If Ukraine collapses it’ll only because Russia has persuaded China and North Korea to contribute forces to fight there. In which case NATO does have a major problem.

But Russia on its own? Nah 😆

John Williams
John Williams
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

I have not heard any reports that China and North Korea have forces in the Ukraine fighting with the Russians, but I would not be surprised to learn that China and North Korea have observers in the Ukraine taking notes

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

They haven’t, which is why Ukraine won’t collapse.

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

I like your confidence that Ukraine won’t collapse, but much of its infrastructure has. We should not be too complacent. Putin won’t give up – it is said that 97% of the Russian Army is committed to this terrible war. Western nations must accelerate their material and financial support.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Graham Moore

It’s infrastructure has taken a battering, but it’s still functioning – heck the rail system has better punctuality than ours! The power to the Kyiv tram system was knocked out the other, it was fully functioning again less than 2 days later. Not sure what “committed” means, they certainly don’t have 97% of the army in theatre. They still have large parts of their forces deployed around Russia, including the Far East and Kaliningrad. (They originally deployed a laughably small force against Ukraine, obviously thinking it would be a rerun of the Crimea take-over.) Yes they’re going to keep ramping… Read more »

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Ben Wallace said that 97% figure some 4 days ago to a BBC reporter but it does seem unlikely to me:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-64634760

I agree about the US point. Also many Republicans in Congress now opposes military aid at the current levels.

Not sure the invasion force at 190,000 plus several hundred Wagner Group was laughably small – we invaded Iraq with fewer – 175,000. https://www.sunderlandecho.com/news/world/russia-ukraine-war-ukraine-army-size-compared-russia-uk-us-nato-3581362

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Graham Moore

Actually the Republicans in Congress aren’t too bad, there’s a few extremist wacko’s – Ron Paul springs to mind – but the bulk still support Ukraine. It’s a bit different with some of their natural voters – the QAnon/ anti-vax/ conspiracy theory brigade who watch Tucker Carlson are anti-aid if not openly pro-Putin. The Russian invasion forces for Ukraine were laughably small, to subdue and occupy a country that size. They assumed it’d be another walkover like Crimea. The coalition forces that invaded Iraq were laughably small to, but were sufficiently professional and well-equipped to quickly take the capital and… Read more »

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

Isn’t there some story out there that North Korea is supplying Russia with artillery shells and probably other things too? And there’s Iran supplying drones. If they’re all already under sanctions there’s nothing stop them still doing business between themselves.

John Williams
John Williams
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Yes, I have heard the reports that North Korea is supplying Russia with artillery shells and Iran is supplying drones.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

Yes North Korea supposedly supplying artillery shells, but proving to be of highly variable quality/reliability.

Steve R
Steve R
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

China aren’t providing Russia with so much as prawn crackers, let alone any military support!

grizzler
grizzler
1 year ago
Reply to  Steve R

They are too busy flying weather balloons

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

It is one of the issues if NATO starts throwing around it’s real weight it could suck China in to atleast supplying Russia with arms which would be a big problem.

However with NATO providing “defensive” arms only is seems to have kept China on the sidelines.

China is trying to push “non interference” as its world order narrative amongst the non aligned countries.

I’m guessing the Chinese are also greedily eyeing all those new republics that will be forming in Siberia. They already stripped Central Asia off the Russians now it’s time for the North.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

“Non-interference”… Lol… what hypocrisy… always been done by whatever means available.

James
James
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

Depends what China’s short to medium term plans are, do they need to retain a capability to take Taiwan if they wanted and if so I doubt they will start selling arms to Russia. They could make a case for any old crap laid about, shells, mortars, bullets etc sat in old stock piles but no chance start supplying advanced munitions. If China was proven to be supplying then it will most likely face sanctions and can it afford a trade war with the West with all the cracks appearing in its economy, probably not. North Korea is no doubt… Read more »

Frank62
Frank62
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

Like they non-interfered in the SCS by gazzumping everybody else’s far more reasonable claims, destroying coral reefs to create artificial reefs, or stopping resupply to Phillipine garrisons there? Or non-interfering in Tibet by invading & annexing it? Or non-interfereing in Korea by invading to support the North Koreans?
Or trashing the Hong-Kong agreement as soon as it suited them?
The only thing the PRC want is for nobody to interfere with their colonial ambitions.

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Poking the Bear is one thing, poking the dragon…

You have to wonder how the PLA would really fare when they have had no combat experience in over 70 years; like their balloons, I wonder if they’re full of hot air.

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

If the Russians set foot over a NATO boarder they would die very quickly. Clearly s400 is over hyped if it can’t even stop Ukraine flying mig 29’s with no ECM.

Fighting NATO forces with F35’s and F22 conducting SEAD mission and making way for fourth Gen aircraft would see the Russian’s slaughtered. Imagine what a flight of typhoons loaded up with brimstone would do to a Russian battalion tactical group.

Then engaging NATO ground forces would be an embarrassment. It would make GW1 look difficult.

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

A grim thought, but if Ukraine collapses the last thing that NATO would do is rush in and attack the Russian occupying forces with the aim of evicting them.
NATO would increase its eFP forces, and work to admit Finland and Sweden asap (except Erdogan is stalling on Sweden). NATO might ‘exercise with’ the Moldovan forces in-country to prevent that country from being next on Putin’s list.
Not sure NATO could or would do much more.

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago
Reply to  Graham Moore

Sir, politely, I disagree. The Poles would go in hard, and ex-paratrooper General, now President of yhe Czech Republic would likely enable that effort, with the Slovaks strongly pro-Ukraine.

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  David Barry

Interesting thought. No matter what NATO’s view, that Poland would take on Russia single handed if Ukraine collapsed? Followed by the Czech Republic and Slovakia?

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago
Reply to  Graham Moore

Is it?

Finland has stated publicly, she’ll wade in with any Russian aggression on Estonia and Poland has a deep rooted hatred of Russia and would not countenance having them on her border.

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  David Barry

If Russia attacks Estonia then Article 5 is called and all of NATO stand up.
Surely Poland is used to having Russians on their border by now?

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago
Reply to  Graham Moore

We’ve had this convo. AN article 5 being called does NOT mean that all NATO stand up automatically; please stop repeating this wishful mantra. And Graham, Poland has no Russians on her border with the exception of the Kaliningrad enclave. The Polish DO have memories of the Katyn massacre, the murder of their officers and the way the Red Army asked for Polish Resistance to rise up and then stood back and let the NAZIs kill them all; coincidentally, they did the same to the Slovaks, stating that with 100,00 paratroopers and air superiority, they were in no position to… Read more »

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  David Barry

David, Great reply – thanks. Perhaps I should have explained my term ‘stand up’. I did not mean that every NATO member immediately fully mobilises, gets the tanks on the ferries or HETs and rocks up in the Combat Zone ready to do battle. I mean that all member nations quickly take such action as they deem necessary, including the use of armed force. Some wimpish nations will deem it necessary to send a strong note of protest to the aggressor, some will want to table an emergency meeting and secure a Resolution at the UN, some will send a… Read more »

David Barry
David Barry
1 year ago
Reply to  Graham Moore

No worries Sir.

We just have to move away from the narrative that NATO will rise to meet Russian aggression.

It’s important because some MS will veer to business, others MAY veer to giving the Russians a thoroughly deserved malleting – which the Russians deserve.

Frank62
Frank62
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

If Ukraine collapses, God forbid, then we will be close to a major war. I think standing off too long just sending equipment, placing sanctions, leaders grandstanding sends the signal to the PRC that we’re too weak to stop aggression. I’d rather have us intervene directly before now to throw Russia right out of Ukraine rather than leaving Ukraine to suffer. Show Putin we’re not going to allow him to invade a European nation & get away with it. It would make dictators around the world think twice about any plans to invade others. Vlad plays his nuke card ferociously(&… Read more »

DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  Frank62

Vlad is a bully. You give ground, he will take ground. He has, unfortunately a fair bit behind him. However, he is not stupid. He is not Hitler or Stalin (or Comrade Kim). In Ukraine, he miscalculated. He knows this. His problem now is how to end this while not appearing to lose, while staying in power. To complicate things, there are two boundaries, pre & post 2014. Post 2014 may be doable. Pre 2014 is a whole different story.

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  DJ

I consider Putin stupid to have invaded Ukraine. Did he do a cost-benefits analysis first? Take soundings from the Generals. Wargame his ‘Special Operation’?

SteveP
SteveP
1 year ago

For the time being old, would the Ukrainians be better slowly conceding territory in an organised fashion? This:

1) Continues to attrit Russian forces
2) Lengthens Russian logistics chains from their railheads
3) Gives the Ukranians more time to train troops in maneuvere warfare through the extensive overseas training which is underway
4) Lengthens the line Russia needs to defend when a Ukranian counter attack comes
5) Allows the Ukrainians to pick the ground favourable to them to fight on
6) Gives the Ukrainians time to receive and integrate new Western weapons in preparation for a counterattack.

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  SteveP

I think this has mostly been the strategy. Ukraine hasn’t done any big movements for a while. There have been a few pushes here and there but nothing substantial. Ukraine needs to get troops trained. It’s a hard job to get that many able to fight properly. Ukraine will not take the losses Russia is taking for little gains. Why bother when they can sit inflict loads more casualties, destroy equipment and generally wear Russia down. Then when needed they get troops out of the area to fight another day. Russia can’t replace all the lost equipment and experience fast… Read more »

Steve R
Steve R
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

I notice a pattern developing from last year. Last summer, Russia inched forward in a slow, attritional grind, losing masses of men for advances in mere metres. Slowly, but surely, they advance, though, taking towns here and there – mostly after blasting them to rubble. Then at the end of summer Ukraine launched its blistering counteroffensive, retaking thousands of square miles of terrirory, especially in the north, beginning with Kharkiv and ending with Kherson. Might the same thing be happening again? Are Ukraine allowing Russia to expend themselves in these fruitless, grinding offensives, let them burn themselves out, before striking… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  SteveP

That would have been an excellent strategy, one that was apparently recommended by NATO advisors but which fell on political deaf ears in Kiev due to the fear that being seen to be ‘defeated’ (in much the same way as Russian tactical withdrawls have been described) would put at risk the avalanche of money, equipment etc that was pouring in from NATO/US/EU. As a result the UA have poured scarce reserves into plugging holes in the front in one of the best emulations of Canute for a while.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

More delusional lies from the propagandist.

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

So far you entire war has been one long tactical withdrawal. It’s a strange way to conduct and offensive but then retreat is the first instinct of the Russian army so perhaps we don’t understand the “strategy”.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Yaaaaaaawn more guff from Nazi fan boy!

James
James
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

‘Avalanche’ of money and equipment, lol.

Steve R
Steve R
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Careful, your trolling is looking pretty poor. I think it might be the front lines for you John.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  Steve R

Here is your tank. Yes it has a hole in it. That helps you find the enemy. That leg? It is meant to be there. Now. Drive over that way and see what happens, I mean, if its safe …

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Losing over 1500 tanks and A.P.C.’s and an estimated 200.000 (and counting) ‘soldiers’ to fool the Ukrainians into believing they can hold on. Brilliant tactics.

Fighting war to prevent N.A.T.O. expansion that has resulted in N.A.T.O. expanding and even has Switzerland getting off its historical fence. What genius!

DJ
DJ
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

This has been one of your least thought out posts. Canute knew what he was doing. It was to show up the ‘yes’ men. If only Vlad had shown such wisdom.

maurice10
maurice10
1 year ago
Reply to  SteveP

Ukraine has to be mindful of giving up too much ground and thus the international perception that it could be losing. Such a perspective might in some cases cause some countries to ease weapon supply on the basis that Russia is achieving its objective. I feel sure some countries in Europe would have preferred a clean sweep of Russian forces and the complete takeover of Ukraine for solely economic reasons. The financial damage across the globe has not been insubstantial and the ramifications will live on for years. One thing I fear is that the anti-Russian alliance is not as… Read more »

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  SteveP

Allow the enemy to come out of the woodwork so you can see what you need to deal with…then squash! Well, that’s how I deal with cockroaches…

farouk
farouk
1 year ago

Well we all knew this was on the cards simply as Hard man Putin couldn’t accept the fact that he had been humiliated by the Ukrainians who were (and still are) Outnumbered, Out funded, and out gunned and now he simply relying on the metric of “Never mind the quality, just feel the width” in which to achieve his aim However we shouldn’t forget that Putin is fighting this war on numerous fronts and one of them is in the West where rising fuel and food costs have resulted in public dissent , no doubt with the aim that it… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

There’s a good channel on YouTube 1420 where they go out and ask Russians questions about topics. Some believe all the propaganda, some don’t. It’s a shame part of population believe it and think nato is ready to invade Russia.
The casualties are awful, such a waste for a stupid Willy waving contest.
Europe really need to be suppling Ukraine with all the tools needed to stop Russia. The costs of not doing so will be much higher than making equipment.
12-24 months I don’t want to still be watching this war.

David Owen
David Owen
1 year ago

I want to see the russians chewed up and spat out by ukraine, time is coming when we must give ukraine the planes they need ,in all honesty putin forces must be destroyed and putin gone ie bullet in his head ,china’s our enemy in myeyes and they will be next to try their luck so get rid of mr pings puppet as a warning to the chinese communist bastards

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  David Owen

China’s current leadership is an issue. Hopefully we see a change in Moscow and Beijing for the better sometime.
We could all get along then.

David Owen
David Owen
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Very true ,change of leadership is due I know a lot of chinese hierarchy are not happy especially with his warmongering, getting along is the best way ,we all live in peace as one people, the human race

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  David Owen

Much the same as the German hierarchy in the 1930’s who constantly threatened to over throw Hitler but never quite got round to it and blamed appeasement for their cowardice. The only way Putin and Xi are going is to die of old age.

grizzler
grizzler
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

I wont be holding my breath – there is – in my opinion- absolutely no chance of that . Just as I wont be holding my breath that Western Governments take a harder stance against Chinese influence in all our walks of life. It took war in Ukraine for them to ‘act’ againsty Russian money & influence in our economy. As Russian energy see Chinese manufacturing. We continue to allow and even encourage Chinese influence in our stragtegic infrastructure inc. Energy, Water & Education without so much as a whimper- sacrificed on the alter of consumerism. I suggest people start… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by grizzler
Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  grizzler

China’s influence has been severely curtailed in past few years.

grizzler
grizzler
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

Where exactly ? I know Williamson caused a storm regards Huwai– which ultimately got him the sack – but had the effect of at least an attempt ot curtaining Huwai’s integration into the UK internet network (not sure how successfully or complete that was) . Apart from that where has their iunfluence been curtailed (severe or otherwise) – not in Power/Water/Infrastructure and certainly not in Universities. BTW I posted that before this mornings papers – so I won’t include surveilance – although if the cap fits you should wear if (esp. if it hides you face) . What about their… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  grizzler

The backbone telephone network in the UK was already based on Huawai IP technolgy and has been since it was digitised at least a couple of decades back. All firmware in it is tested and approved by a joint Huawai/GCHQ company before it is allowed to be implemented. The row blew up over the extension of that into the then forthcoming 5G network.

grizzler
grizzler
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

There were concerns before – and they are still there now. The levels of integration probably mean to remove them would be a massive & costly undertaking.

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Current leadership may be around for decades and their systems are likely to churn out more of the same, neither country could handle even single party democracy and they have now reverted back to absolute monarchy. It might take centuries to reform.

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

Less of a war monger would be a good starting point.
The world is linked together and any conflict causes issues to the masses.
Only country outside that rule is maybe North Korea and I don’t see anyone voting for that.

Benjamin Rule
Benjamin Rule
1 year ago

Great choice of photo George. Battle of Brovary. Slava Ukraini!

NorthernAlly
NorthernAlly
1 year ago

The thing I find scary is that there’s a lot of young Russians who believe the propaganda. The older generations I can understand if they only get there news from russian news stations, news papers ect. However the younger generations have so much more access to other places of information especially if they have a vpn. It’s also normally the younger generations that generally question the government.

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  NorthernAlly

It is scary, what you have described is that virtually the whole population is behind their Government.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

That’s not what my friend says who very recently, finally managed to get out of Russia. Yes a large part of the Russian population is xenophobic, racist, badly educated, and quite frankly stupid. But a significant portion of the younger educated population see through the lies – it’s not at all difficult over there to set up a VPN to access Western news and social media.

Or John, are you finally going to admit you live in Russia?

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

👍

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Your response is surely aimed at NorthernAlly not me?

Why would I do that when I am happily living in Milton Keynes?

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

No, it was you who came out with the bonkers comment that “virtually the whole population is behind their government”. If that statement was true, Putin would allow free media, wouldn’t be jailing or murdering journalists and opposition leaders, and wouldn’t rig the elections. That he has to resort to all this this shows he knows that not the case. So if you’re living happily in MK – I doubt that, I’ve visited MK, I doubt anyone could be happy there – how do you know what the Russian people actually think? I’m quoting a friend who has been there… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

MK is a brilliant place to live, been here since 1976 and am very pleased I decided to move here.

I thought that I had shut up your stupid accusations when you went quiet after I answered your questions on the Churchill. Had the op now there by they way, a very professional hospital.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

God you must have been living in a real dump previously then! 😱

Don’t recall you answering any questions about Churchill, don’t recall asking any to be honest. I’ve a pretty full-on active life and you’re posts aren’t really a priority…

So about these 6,000 Ukrainian children detained in camps in Russian. Presumably this is because Russians are pederasts as well as rapists?

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

He’s on about the Churchill hospital in Oxford, it was me who gripped him about it! Troll boy can’t even get that right, very much like Russian mission planning!

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

It’s probably the hallucinogens that he’s on 🤷🏻‍♂️

Jacko
Jacko
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Well that’s a bit rich😂you calling out someone for a ‘stupid’ comment! Have the Orcs reached the Polish border yet?

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

And you only answered Sean’s second part of his post and as usual conveniently ignored the one requiring answers about Russians! Very predictable, very much like a Russian oligarchs suicide plans!

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Did you have a look around the hospital and see what part of it your fellow Russians would identify as a legitimate target?

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago

That’s almost too obvious to mention, the part with Nuclear in the title.

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Eh ? An x Ray department and the radiologists are targets are they?

You haven’t a clue what you’re talking about.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Not the half a million who escaped over the Border to avoid being conscripted into the Nazi half trained dross rapist squads!

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

Bit low there, 750,000 at least. But they were all going on a state sponsored holiday or are the new spy recruits spreading Russias love around the world is what we will hear next.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

😂👍

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Airborne

Apparently more fled across the border to avoid conscription than actually voluntarily showed up at the enlistment offices 😆

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

But he won’t like to admit that will he, sorry, I mean he won’t be allowed to acknowledge that fact! Still waiting for him to verify his none troll status by typing “Putin is a bell-end Nazi…..”

FieldLander
FieldLander
1 year ago

With NATO apparently unable to keep up with munition expenditure, based on todays press, and the Americans already highlighting they cannot release longer range weapons without impacting their own capabilities I really hope the West has not squandered the last 10 years.
If the Russians are able to apply a ‘Total War’ doctrine it could get really messy.. If Ukraine does go down, what’s next?
I hope the pledged kit gets there in time.

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  FieldLander

Its not the last 10 years, its the past 30+ years. During that time US/NATO has been optimised to fight wars in the financial interests of the US. in particular the preservation of the petro dollar. Both Saddam and Gaddafi were, regardless of how they treated their people, acceptable dictators until they effectively signed their death warrants by starting to sell oil for Euros/gold. Then there was Afghanistan. The result was a UK (among others) military that was completely unprepared to face a peer to peer enemy, one that could actually fight back and who had spent that same amount… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

How long do you think until we see this defeat of Ukraine?
Personally I don’t think it will happen. I think within 2 years we will of seen Russia given up. Perhaps trying to keep Crimea and parts of the donbas. Attacks will slow down and Russia will try to hold the line.
This year I see Ukraine making a push in multiple directions. Are they going to be effective enough is above my pay grade.
Meet u back here in x amount of months to see which way it’s went.

Steve R
Steve R
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

I think by the end of this year, Ukraine will have retaken Crimea.

They do that and I can’t see how Russia can continue with its invasion. I imagine they’ll pull their troops back and just lob occasional missiles at Ukraine.

PeterS
PeterS
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

The West foolishly believed that Putin was less of a threat than the Soviet Union and continued to enjoy a peace dividend. What Putin’s toxic mixture of paranoia and misjudgement has done is to re- unite and enlarge NATO, persuade many of its members including the most reluctant to increase defence expenditure and led to large scale emigration of young,well educated Russians. The ineptness of the “special military operation” hardly suggests 30 years of planning for a peer vs peer war. It is rather evidence of an incompetent military in a corrupt state, run by murderous kleptocrats and in steep… Read more »

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Yawn more lies from Putin’s pet poodle 🥱

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Perhaps you might explain which part of my comment was lies?

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Just the sentences containing a verb or a noun…

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

😂😂😂

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

👌

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Oh my your nonsense is upping a gear, as is your grasp of recent history. But, we understand, you have a script and you have to follow it.

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Complete rubbish. Just one expeditionary USMC or army brigade with its attendant air power and artillery would wipe those orc formations from Luhansk and Donetsk permanently. A Ukrainian defeat won’t happen, that’s wishful thinking on your part, Ukrainian forces are doing a very adept job at bleeding dry the Russian military. You sound just like you did a year ago with your premature crowing and predictions of Ukrainian defeat. You were wrong then you’re every bit as wrong now, you haven’t been right once in your narrative in this war. In WW2, Lord Haw Haw was delighted with the Ardennes… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago

The wishful thinking is I suspect on your part. One USMC or Army brigade wiping out the Russian Army on its own border?

Posse Comitatus
Posse Comitatus
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Not at all. The Russian military being in proximity to it’s border is immaterial. They can barely move 40 odd miles beyond it with their tactics that seem to be based on a doctrine written somewhere between Waterloo and Ypres. US marine Corp/ Army or indeed any top tier Nato military are several orders of magnitude superior in combined arms manoeuvre warfare and would wipe the floor with those organised crime groups and conscripted, poorly led and equipped Russian units. It would be a turkey shoot. During GW2 a predominantly US force of slightly over 100 000 troops routed a… Read more »

Mr Bell
Mr Bell
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

UK unprepared to face a peer enemy. Do you mean like 29th world ranked Ukraine?
I think the UK could probably provide Russia with a few very nasty reverse in military fortunes if it ever came to a hot war.
But you know that’s never going to happen. Russia has zero chance of defeating any NATO country because we are NATO. Unlike sad loner Putin the UK has allies and friends.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  FieldLander

You’d hope that some of the “more” pledged kit is actually already there plus other stuff done on the quiet. It was needed yesterday, not in next few months or next year. The West, including the UK is hopefully restocking and upgrading back up to sensible levels of inventory with a healthy buffer.

Geoff Roach
Geoff Roach
1 year ago

The tragedy as always are the children. I look at my grand children and pray they will be kept safe. This barsteward Putin must be stopped and if our government has any balls they will increase the defence budget NOW. We discuss here whether we can have a plane or a tank or another sub but we need them all. Nothing is ever achieved through weakness and prevarication.

Tom
Tom
1 year ago

It’s all well and good, people talking about Ukraine fighting some kind of ‘rear guard action’, conceding ground to Russia, whilst consolidating an ‘enclave’ in the west of the country. The thing is, the Ukrainian people will fight to the death before that happens.

My personal view, remains the same as it was when this whole debacle kicked off last year. NATO, the world or whoever, get involved, and end this war as soon as possible.

grizzler
grizzler
1 year ago
Reply to  Tom

Unfortunately I’m not sure thats going to happen- war by proxy and outrright direct involvement are two totally different things. There are many that were surprised Ukraine fought off the initial invasion as it did – inc. many (all?) Western Governments- and of course Putin! Thats now put them (western governments) , in a different position to where they were 12 months ago. It makes it more difficult for them to judge next steps so slowly they are changing their rules of engagment ( so to speak). I doubt planes will be afforded so it will be difficult for Ukraine… Read more »

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  grizzler

Surely the Ukrainians have some but limited air power – and a fair ability to destroy Russian aircraft from the ground.

Graham Moore
Graham Moore
1 year ago
Reply to  Tom

I wonder what the UN are doing about this?

DaveyB
DaveyB
1 year ago

Knew this was coming sooner or later. After training its “volunteered” replacement in Belarus these last two months. Russia has got the hurry up on. Reasons are simple, the ground is still hard, so vehicles can go off-road. But more importantly no Western tanks are in Ukraine yet, as their crews are still being trained. Clearly Russia want to try and make as many gains possible before Leos, Challys and M1s get in the fight.

Esteban
Esteban
1 year ago
Reply to  DaveyB

My God…. What a bunch of nervous freaking Nellies. Is this the 1940 French website? Calm yourselves. And if I hear one more thing about a chaliy I’m going to vomit.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

Dry your eyes, there’s also snot dribbling from your nose……man up and just throw the squaddie socks in the bin.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

“And if I hear one more thing about a chaliy I’m going to vomit.”

So now you know how the Russian forces on the front line feel at the moment!

Ian M
Ian M
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

Dick head

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

Using a word like “nelly” makes you sound straight out of the 1920’s. That word left the vernacular around the time of “balderdash” and “wireless set” 😆

Chally, Chally, Chally – hope you’re now puking all over yourself… it’ll help mask your body odour 😏

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago

Russia amassing aircraft near Ukraine border, Western intelligence indicates “Russia is amassing fighter jets and helicopters close to the border with Ukraine, Western intelligence officials have reportedly said. News of the development has prompted suggestions that Vladimir Putin’s forces are seeking to turn their troubled invasion into an “air fight”. While US defence secretary Lloyd Austin insisted the US did not see imminent signs of a “massive aerial attack”, he is said to have highlighted the threat of Russia’s significant remaining air force in a meeting with NATO allies today. And the FT reports that intelligence shared among member states… Read more »

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Whatever is given to Ukraine i just wish it is not “all” broadcasted out loud to Russia and its forces in advance. They really don’t need to know. Ukraine needs to gain the advantage in the “smarts” and contain and pushback on any Russian advances. I think that all this advertising of what we in the West are doing for Ukraine in the next months and years is obviously making Russia react and act sooner, more often and more rashly. Hoping that Ukraine does prevail and convincingly then waiting for the Russian leadership and population to get a reality shock… Read more »

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Social media has its advantages and disadvantages, but I think having some idea of what lies ahead for them and knowing how they are being hammered by Ukraine day and night without the added advantage of modern tanks and aircraft will paint a very bleak picture for them of what’s still to come.

Propaganda is one thing, corpses and destroyed equipment is quite another. Unless of course they believe in their own propaganda!

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Yes, propaganda first and maybe some truth afterwards.
Not sure if any of the true picture of Ukraine is getting through to the Russian people and what can they do about it? Just hope the Ukrainian forces can knock the Russian forces bloody lights out and push them back over the fence.

James
James
1 year ago
Reply to  Nigel Collins

Helicopters will get taken apart en mass by short range anti air weapons.

Hopefully they have enough medium range air defence systems to layer the protection and keep aircraft at a long enough distance too.

Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins
1 year ago
Reply to  James

Fingers crossed 🙏

Steve
Steve
1 year ago

The odd part is there was news from reputable sources that Russia was building up a force of thousands of tanks and hundreds of thousands of troops for their spring offensive. Where are they. 3-4 days into the offensive and they seem to have moved backwards slightly rather than advanced. If this really is the main spring offensive, and therefore this is the best the can do after months of perperation, then Russia should surrender now. Once the western tanks and additional hardware arrives in the summer, Ukraine will be able to kick them out fully at massive losses to… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by Steve
Paul.P
Paul.P
1 year ago

My take. I think the US and NATO have decided that the realistic strategy this spring is defending against Russian spring offensives along multiple fronts. We have to be pragmatic and aim for what is realistically possible. Ukraine will not be in a position to expel Russian forces from their country this year. To do that will require training, logistics and hundreds of western tanks, F-16s etc. As I understand the situation the US is shipping 109 Bradleys and 100 Stryker vehicles. Germany has sent 40 Marders, Canada has sent 40 LAV 8×8 s and over a hundred lighter 4×4… Read more »

700 Glengarried men
700 Glengarried men
1 year ago

With a slow pace of Rusian advance measured in metres per day Ukraine should be able to establish numerous lines of defence in depth and withdraw in good order. Europe should supply all available ammo to Ukraine and use the next couple of years to stock up. The UK should also supply a Sky sabre battery to defend strategic cities or industry, and check its performance in a live environment which may increase its sales potential.

James
James
1 year ago

Dont want to sound like the usual negativity on here regarding UK supplies but do we have 1 spare to send even if we wanted to?

I think 1 is in Poland (or was being sent) the other in Falklands and not sure how many more (if any) we have.

700 Glengarried men
700 Glengarried men
1 year ago
Reply to  James

James I agree the slow pace of production is a problem IMHO Falkland could be defended by tranche1 Eurofighter, in short to medium term Argentina is in no state to try to retake this for several years as I don’t think they have a meaningful airforce and very poor navy, as for Poland the airforce could as part of NATO assist if required

Zach
Zach
1 year ago

Let them. Better to exchange small amounts of territory for a more favourable attrition ratio than expend capacity holding onto empty fields. Ukraine can buy time to ‘coil the spring’ building up potential for an effective counter-offensive.

Barry Larking
Barry Larking
1 year ago

When The Guardian makes sense it time to get worried Johno … https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/15/russian-army-has-lost-up-to-half-of-key-battle-tanks-analysts-estimate-ukraine Last year I watched fascinating YouTube analysis by an independent American blogger on masses of tanks in outside storage across Russia visible on Google Earth*. By careful examination, he deduced that fewer than around fifth were possibly capable of being re-activated. Many more were lacking turrets or main guns and looked very rusty. The majority were older marks of tanks at that – T 55-56, T 65. I think his final estimate was about 5000 could be considered ‘possibles’ out of many thousands in view. *I have… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by Barry Larking
Sean
Sean
1 year ago

Ukranians take out a TOS-1 MLRS that had been equipped with thermobaric warheads. Pretty impressive fireworks.
https://t.me/landforcesofukraine/6810

Michael Hannah
Michael Hannah
1 year ago

It will be a tough year but I fully expect Ukraine will prevail. They may be the smaller force but they are better trained, better armed And every day the Russians get weaker and Ukraine gets stronger.
So far the Russian offensive has been a spectacular failure!!