Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen by more than 90 per cent since the conflict in the Middle East began, with fewer than ten vessels now passing through daily compared to around 130 before the strait was effectively closed, the Royal Navy-led team monitoring the region’s waters has warned.

UK Maritime Trade Operations, based on Portsdown Hill overlooking Portsmouth, has recorded 41 incidents between 1 March and 27 April, including 26 attacks in which ships or crew were damaged or harmed either deliberately or through collateral damage such as shrapnel from intercepted drones, four incidents of merchant ships being harassed or impeded, and nine near-misses.

Commander Jo Black, UKMTO Head of Operations, described the calls from ships under attack as the most distressing the centre receives, saying it was “an absolutely terrifying experience for them, they’re civilians, they’re not prepared for this, drones, missiles, small arms fire aimed at their bridge or engine room, and threats to their safety.” She said many crew members spoke only rudimentary English and were trying to describe things often beyond their comprehension, with UKMTO working to calm them down and build an accurate picture to share with other seafarers and responding organisations.

Between 850 and 870 major merchant ships, including tankers, natural gas transporters, container vessels and cargo ships, are now clustered in anchorages inside the Gulf with nowhere to go. Commander Black said the centre’s first concern was for the safety and security of the approximately 20,000 sailors on those vessels, warning that crew changes were not taking place, sailors were not going home, and that while food and supplies were getting through at reduced levels, the mental health impact of a prolonged situation was a growing concern. “It’s not an issue yet, but if the situation persists, it’s likely to become one,” she said.

The attacks and threats of attack have all but closed the traffic separation scheme, the designated shipping lane traditionally used to enter and exit the Gulf safely. Despite claims by Iranian authorities, UKMTO said there had been no evidence yet of the strait being mined. The impact on global oil, food, energy and goods prices has been immediate and significant.

UKMTO also warned of resurgent piracy off the coast of Somalia, with the world’s attention focused on the Strait of Hormuz creating conditions in which activity in other parts of the region could go unnoticed.

 

George Allison
George Allison is the founder and editor of the UK Defence Journal. He holds a degree in Cyber Security from Glasgow Caledonian University and specialises in naval and cyber security topics. George has appeared on national radio and television to provide commentary on defence and security issues. Twitter: @geoallison

20 COMMENTS

  1. If only we still had a frigate and four minesweepers there we could have had the straits open in a jiffy 😀

    • Hopefully more than just the one frigate. And isn’t this the area the T31s are being built to operate in? Might need a few more built if the RN is wants to re-establish itself.

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    • Such an amazing victory by the US. Upwards of 25billion spent to ensure Netanyahu avoids jail and the Epstein files are hidden. American inflation, oil and consumer prices increasing and unemployment rising. American bases destroyed, allies deserting them, China and Russia gaining regional influence.
      Iranian regime still in place, nuclear materials still with them. No evidence ever of a nuclear bomb.

      Literally the dumbest, most incompetent administration in US history.

      • Thanks to Trump, Iran has discovered it now possesses a weapon of mass financial destruction more power than any single nuclear weapon – it’s blocking the Straits.

        Meanwhile American has burned through its stockpile of exquisite air-defence munitions, had every base in the region wrecked, and still faces a defiant Iran.

        While I doubt Trump and Hegseth understand basic strategy, surely they’ve watched Stallone in “Rocky”? 🤷🏻‍♂️

  2. The effects of trumps Persian odyssey, will be felt for a long long time. Prices are going up, and will continue to do so. Farmers will soon cry foul due to the huge slump in fertiliser availability.

    It’s time for europe to step up, and send whatever forces necessary to take control of the straight of Hormuz, and get it open again.

  3. Considering the damage to the Global economy, you would think there would be a push for a convoy system set up ASAP.

      • Yes, but the world will suffer. Countries nothing to do with this war, will face shortages & economic hardship.

        • I know, that’s why Trump needs to sort It and Fast. He’s turning the US into a Pariah State, even amongst staunch allies.

          25% Tarif on European Cars now.

          • A wiser president would have given the nod to Israel to bomb Iranian Nuclear Weapon & missile sites, but kept America out of direct offensive bombing of Iran. Back channels could have told Iran that America would stay out of the fight as long as the Straits of Hormuz stayed open. Instead he jumped in with both feet.
            But, we are where we are. Everyone needs to chip in & get those straits open before we have a global recession, mass unemployment & perhaps starvation in developing countries denied fertilizer.

            • Absolutely John.
              However I believe that Trump should be held to account and the good and great Americans should wake up to his egotistical driven disastrous decisions that will lead to what you rightly say In your last sentence.
              Every innocent death this “Human” has ordered, Is a death that will be remembered and revenged, just as history shows us.
              For example, UK Terror levels will be high now for the foreseeable and I dread to think what plans will be hatching for America now.
              I hope they know where all that dirty Uranium Is.

            • Trump want part ( or all ) of the glory of winning the war and maybe seizing some more oil. Typical Trump there was no end plan or planing for if anything didn’t go to plan

  4. The world has had 47 years to mitigate this threat.

    Extra pipelines, transport connections and supporting infrastructure to the Red Sea could have been built.
    Its the only way to avoid having to deal with IRGC thugs by making he Straits of Hormuz irrelevant.

    • The most effective long term resolution to the Hormuz problem is for Europe and the rest of the world is to plough ahead with alternative energy solutions such as nuclear and renewables. This will have a bonus effect that simply building bypass pipelines won’t have: both the Straits of Hormuz and the Petrodollar will become irrelevant. A worthy goal.

      • That would only partially solve the problem, there is more than just oil being shipped via the Straits of Hormuz..
        Europe does not consume Gulf oil, India and China does.

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