The latest episode of the popular defence podcast discusses the fall of Afghanistan, the failures in the US and NATO responses and the implications for the future.
The podcast is typically hosted by @Osinttechnical, @skywatcherintel, @air_intel and @DefenceGeek.
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Interesting subject and one that will be debated by a lot of people across a number of countries for a long time. So what’s my take:
I believe that the reasons for what is transpiring in Afghan is multifaceted and we cannot attribute blame in any one direction. There is a lot of misinformation and that is simply feeding the argument.
1) The Taliban have been supported by those who wish to see the West but primarily the US fail in that camp we find: Russia, Iran, Pakistan ,China and of course political Islam
2) Apathy: the world whilst recognising that certain countries require help only demand that the West funds that bill. The irony here is the most vocal of these pressure groups are also the same ones who are most critical of the biggest aid givers.
3) Political correctness: the same pressure groups demand that help to these countries is without any conditions which is why corruption is rife. The same groups I should add who have for the past 20 years have been banging their little tin drum demanding the West (Aka occupying forces pull out)
4) Asylum seekers.: Without a doubt people need to be able to flee away from danger. The problem we have is how anybody and everybody can be deemed an asylum seeker. In offering those who don’t fit the criteria a new passport we are effectively handing over countries to those who prefer the bullet and the bomb to the ballot box. Now before anybody tries to pick me up on that, this past week we have been regaled to many stories of how Afghans living in the UK demand to be rescued from a country they left in seek of sanctuary. We see similar with Iran, Pakistan etc.
5) Misinformation: We are hearing a lot of should could would stories for example Boris f up. Did he, the last I looked the UK ended all combat operations (as did a lot of other countries) in theatre in 2014. The Uk then supplied training troops for the officer training school, which was handed over last Oct and since then the troops have provided military support to Uk diplomatic staff The Afghans have been defending the country, not the British. It’s the same with Rabb. Oh he must resign , but the fact remains the Uk knocked out a document on the 1st of April 2021 regards the relocation of locally employed civilians. From June to last week that resulted in 2000 interpreters (and families) to the Uk. Then there’s Interpreters, the UK employed 7000 over the years Since 2013, 3300 interpreters and their families have been relocated to the Uk (Looking at just a family of 4 (The average Afghan family is 8) that is 20K
But there is a caveat which the media doesn’t mention and I quote:
The UK Government will continue to exclude those whose dismissal from service was based on serious security concerns and those who committed offences that constitute a crime under UK laws, including sexual and violent assault, theft and drug abuse. All applicants who were previously rejected on the basis of dismissal have been reviewed and those who were dismissed for minor offences and are now eligible, have been contacted with an offer of relocation.
The biggest issue I see from all of this is the message the US has sent to its allies, (Israel, Japan Taiwan , Ukraine and of course Europe) that we will no longer support you and basically you are out on your own This will embolden those who wish to expand their political and military footprint such as China, Iran, Venezuela, Pakistan, Russia and Turkey to do so, knowing full well the US will not come to their aid. (I had to laugh how last night frau Merkel told Moscow they must not use the Nord gas pipeline as a weapon against the Ukraine or else they will face sanctions.)
I also feel the world needs to look at who qualifies for asylum, at the moment the system is been abused, not only that but Aid to nefarious countries such as Pakistan must be ended. (Its been reported that the Northern Alliance killed 500 Taliban yesterday, and that a lot of those killed were..paksitani.
Ok that’s my gripe for today,.
Links:
https://homeofficemedia.blog.gov.uk/2021/08/16/factsheet-uk-support-to-resettle-afghan-nationals/
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/971252/afghan-locally-employed-staff-relocation-schemes-v2.0-gov-uk.pdf