The procurement of the Batch 2 Type 26 Frigates is expected to happen “in the early 2020s” according to the Government.
Luke Pollard, the Shadow Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs recently asked via a written Parliamentary question:
“To ask the Secretary of State for Defence, when he plans to order the next batch of Type 26 frigates.”
Pollard was directed to a statement made earlier in the year by Baroness Goldie which states:
“The procurement of the Batch 2 Type 26 Frigates will be subject to a separate approval and contract which is expected to be awarded in the early 2020s.”
Eight Type 26 Frigates are to be built in total with three in the first batch.
Ordering in batches is common for projects of this size around the world and was last seen with the Royal Navy for the Type 45 Destroyers and recent Offshore Patrol Vessels. The Type 45s first batch order was for three vessels for example.
Last year, the next batch of Type 26 Frigate propulsion motors were ordered. At the same time Nadia Savage, director of the Type 26 programme, was quoted as saying:
“We will enter into the negotiation phase in the next 18 to 20 months. As we progress through the maturity of the design, it allows us to commit to the next batch and the timeframe around them.”
Asked by The Scotsman newspaper if the company had a contingency plan for any political uncertainty regarding their order and build, Ms Savage said:
“The political situation will play out. We can’t control that, but what we can control is that entry into service. We understand what the navy’s requirements are and we can work back from that and engage with stakeholders when we need to.”
The Type 26 Frigates will be named Glasgow, Cardiff, Belfast, Birmingham, Sheffield, Newcastle, Edinburgh and London.
Will the next batch be open to other companies or consortia?
I really wish we would build these properly, it’s such a daft strategy to build these so slowly, it looks like there is only about 6 guys putting these things together.
Let’s build a Type 26/46 large warship factory, build these ships at a fast clip in small batches, finish each batch ASAP and iterate.
If we run out of batches or there is a gap just furlough the workers, or second them, or have them build large surface drones.
I think there’s actually only three men and an apprentice working 9-5 Monday to Thursday then half day Friday. Bob, Frank and Dave are there names, the apprentice is called lee.
Well done Cam. Very funny. Appreciated that.
The build rate is not base on production, it base on when the treasury want to pay for them. In addition the reduction from 13 to 8 means there a gap between the Type 26 and the Type 45 Replacement and like everything treasury related they won’t bring the Type 45 replacement forwards
5 Type 31 frigates are to be built to make up for the reduced in number of Type 26 frigates.
I agree it is the bare minimum of number required, and it does not meet the rule of three.
1) The Type 31 is being built in a different yard to the Type 26, great for keeping multiple yards open, less good for keeping one yard going until the type 45 replacement arrives.
2) The good news is that because the Type 26 is being build so slowly there shouldn’t really be a gap.
It barely meets the rule of one mate!
Treasury: Its Six then sorted; sort of.
Well there’s a few problems here:
First of all if you furlough the workers they look for other jobs, and then the yard closes and by the time you want to build something new in 5 years time all the expertise is working for Navantia in spain.
Second, Small Batches? Smaller than 3? Hrm. Now building fast doesn’t really mean building more. Steel is cheap and all that but the stuff that really costs money is the stuff that goes inside the hull. This is why a Type 31 at 6,000t costs only a quater of a Type 26 at 7,000t. So building fast, okay, but then what are you going to do while you wait for the engines?
If we build slow we don’t get gaps, but we lock in slow building. There is no incentive to become more efficient, just to go slow. So when we need to speed up we can’t.
If we build as fast as we can then our processes and people become streamlined and efficient.
I’m saying I’d rather have gaps because we can get creative once we have efficient processes, or we can just pay people to sit at home, it’s still better than the alternative.
That is what has happen to SSN build. Aren’t the lessons learnt?
When you say “we can just pay people to sit at home”, I think you are talking about something like TOBA. So, you liked it (actually I do).
The TOBA with BAES was to “sustain work force in Clyde”. It was ~£230M per year. If there will be 10 years of gap, MOD need to pay ~£2.3G FOR NOTHING.
I do not think it is a good idea?
Not the best solution indeed.
“If we build slow we don’t get gaps, but we lock in slow building. There is no incentive to become more efficient, just to go slow. So when we need to speed up we can’t.”
Not only that. If you build a ship that long you loose know-how of how to build them from scratch, it is only variations.
See the Arleigh Burkes with an obsolescent propulsion system and comparative large numbers of crew.
It is a project already almost 40 years old.
Well no. The US problems with post AB stem from the fact they dont design new ships anymore.
The RN has at least avoided that fate by periodically making new classes over the last 40 years.
They did not designed new ships because they keep making AB variants.
So that is my point if Type 26 is being made as variants in next 30-40 years.
But it isn’t. It’s 2 batches totally 8 ships being built over 15-20 years, while the RN was also designing and building a completely seperate class of frigates.
This is a very different situation to the USN that didn’t touch any form of surface escort between 1988 and 2016
The Type 31 might change things a bit but i think should have been decoupled in time from Type 26, there isn’t enough temporal separation, so they have same technological generation.
That’s good. When we finish the type 26’s we can design and build type 47 replacement for the type 45 and sell them to the USN.
+100
This news is really disappointing and totally counterproductive
so we have a plan for 8 of these – we should have ordered 8 of these and get them built.
Realistically we should be launching a single large combat ship every single year and fund accordingly (say £1bn per ship), for that we can get something really good and keep the tempo and investment high.
a 25 ship combat flee is not outside of our capabilities and actually we could go further and launch a T26 every 2 years and a T31 each year and still come in at this number.
Ultimately it requires a little bit of commitment (£1bn per year indefinitely to this) and that is sadly lacking.
disappointing and counter productive in my opinion
After cutting the fleet in the 2010s defence cuts there’s No will to have a larger fleet sadly!
And I was looking at Type 22 HMS Chatham in 2010 in Portsmouth And she looked clean and tidy, she was only built in 1990! But nope let’s send her to Turkey to be chopped up! Sad.
But the Type 22s were noisy, for suppose to be anti submarine warfare vessels!
Well yes compared to a T23 with electric drive they where noisey and are probably comparable to a current USN Arleigh. T22 did have rafted and enclosed GTs. Most equipment onboard was anti vibration mounted or raft mounted and they had Agutti and Prairie masker for the props and machinery space areas of the hull.
Prior to doing TA ops you did a top to bottom bow to stern walk through and used a length of rope to find noise shorts and remove them.
The rope you tie below a piece of equipment and undo it at every mount or connection, then re tie and move one. Once you get the rope off of the kit you have checked all of the hull to equipment interfaces and have identified all noise shorts. Simple but effective.
Try selling that to the tax paying public who want more money spent on the NHS, schools, adult social care, housing, COVID-19 economic recovery. It’s a nice idea, but let’s be realistic. The problem we have, is that warships cost 1bn each, which is completely unsustainable, and why the numbers keep getting cut back.
The T26 build rate is going to be every 20 months, e.g. the third new T26 stating build in spring 2021.
So batch one is 3 ships. If batch two is also 3 ships, that leaves 2. Why not just have batch two with all 5? A navy need hulls in the water.
I’m pretty sure that batch 2 is all 5 remaining hulls, but if it isn’t this would be my guess at the logic:
See how the first Batch 2 hull goes and negotiate improvements. Ordering in Batches doesn’t slow construction down, eg when batch 2 will be ordered there still won’t be space for the hulls on the clyde, and it’ll be a few months before they phyisically can start work on the ships.
Although very simplified, 3 T26 build spends £3.6B within ~10 years (2016-2026 = time between 3-hulls Batch-1 contract and expected 8-hulls Batch2 contract). So, very roughly, it is £360M/year.
T31 is a £2B program. Contract signed late 2019 and last ship to be delivered (not commission) to be 2028 = 9 year program. In other words, it is £220M/year.
Because UK split these orders, T26 build rate was FORCED to be slow. Just imagine what if £500-600M/year was all allocated to T26? There will be 5 T26 in place of 3 T26 and 5 T31, all delivered by 2029 or so. And then, MOD shall be wondering if they want to buy 5 more T26 or 3 T26 and 5 T31.
It wasn’t a choice between 13 Type 26 or 8 Type 26 and 5 Type 31.
It was a choice between 8 T26 and 5 T31 or 10 Type 26 and an ever shrinking fleet, in perpetuity, until there is nothing left.
That final externality is important.
Agreed. (I intended to wrote so).
Actually, I think RN must have went with 10 T26 from the beginning. And, if that decision was early, what RN should have been ordered to fulfill TOBA, in place of 5 River B2s, can be;
– 3 large OPV with helicopter hangar (using Khareef hull?)
– or 4 River B2 with more “fighty” equipment (like 57mm and LMM added),
[2 T26 + 3 or 4 “enhanced capability OPVs”] vs [5 T31 + 5 basic OPV (River B2)]
Anyway, we cannot change the past, and shall focus on future…
I wish the names weren’t city names. They should be old battleship names like, hood, or king George, Rodney, Nelson, Repulse ect. Ok that might be weird after thinking about it. We have thousands of old great Fighting frigate names though with great history’s.
Naming ships is getting a bit boring these days, rivers, cities and royalty. Dull really, it’s like they are scared to give them fighty names. Expect more dullness for the T31’s.
Probably T.S
Is it not better saving those fir the largest ships (currently destroyers), they have been using battleship names for the dreadnought class SSBNS.
We don’t have many destroyers to name mate. I supose City makes affiliates the ships with city’s and might increase numbers of new recruits from those citys.
The one good thing about city names is that it becomes harder to chop the order, from 8 to 6 or less, as MPs from the respective cities world argue the toss if there town was removed! Especially if it’s a Jock town! Maybe a small point but I believe a relevant one. Your average civvy (excluding a number of very well informed lad on this site of course) and political rep wouldn’t give a monkeys toss about decent fighting names for warships!
Yeah that’s makes sense, it could turn a whole city against the Gov.
Cities and locations have votes to pay for the Royal Navy
Arethusa, Achilles, Ajax do not vote.
Like an US Admiral said when someone complained why the submarines names had not anymore relation to sea creatures:
Fishes do not vote.
I’d like to see HMS Kelly back in the fleet.
She was Lord Luis Mountbatten’s ship and had a sadly short but impressive career. If you have ever seen the old film “In Which We Serve” with Noel Coward it stuck very close to the real events (although names were changed).
I believe that there has only been one Kelly in the RN and she is still remembered on Tyneside where she was built. There is a pub called HMS Kelly and apparently on the Metro the Hebburn station has paintings of the she on the walls…
A great destroyer name 🙂
Cheers CR
This is the first tangible evidence of post-COVID defence policy. With new money under threat, the MOD may have to adopt a slower drip-feed process for all new equipment. Metered supply could see extended build periods for all the RN’s planned vessels. The next Type26 batch will possibly be no more than three, and that might be it until the economy recovers enough to complete the fleet? The Navy will prefer a slower rate than cancelation, which is highly unlikely. As for Type 31, the same could apply leading to a much more protracted rate of delivery.
We can expect a similar rate of supply for the other two services, and the rumour of just 70 F35’s being a high possibility. Any reduction of F35’s will be compensated by the Government placing increased support for ‘Tempest’ and the temptation of RAF procurement?
I remember when Gordon Brown did exactly that with the T45. Reduced numbers from 12 and when they were eventually capped at six promised to speed up the Global Combat Ship (which became T26) procurement. That was in 2008 and here we are, 2020, and the first T26 is not in the water yet!
If Tempest can be given an in service date in the early thirties I would actually be supportive of that, I think it will be a seriously superior aircraft in nearly every way to the F35 which I do wonder if it will be competive by the 30s but is simply too expensive a programme to fail. That said I very much doubt that Tempest, assuming it happens at all will be in service before 2035 at the earliest so I fear there will just be an equipment gap again that will be sold as a commitment to British Technology to cover it up.
I was skeptical about Tempest’s chances however, some important knobs and switches have been activated, to make me think this might be a project that could tick so many boxes. Post-Brexit attitudes could rekindle the TSR2 passions that actually deliver, though the same pressures from the same scourses could kill it stone dead, if it outperforms designs from the aforesaid. Aw well, Nothing changes really, does it?
13 down to 8…. and the poor admirals slashed the type 45 numbers for this!!
On reflection the Admiralty should have been a bit more cute – A Bird In The Hand …………………
Erm, pretty sure the Type 45 numbers where slashed for carriers/astute and due to their cost rising higher than expected.
As for the 13 Type 26’s… as late as 2015 (aka years after the entire Type 45 fleet was in service) the plan was still for the Global Combat Ship to be a 13 ship class (8 with sonar, 5 without). Only after 2015 was the decision taken to split off the 5 sonar-less GCS’s into the Type 31 class.
No Dern you are wrong. The RN were told and the defence select committee were on record as confirming that Type 45 numbers were reduced from 12 to 8 then 6 to bring forward the urgently needed multi role global combat ship aka type 26. With an initial promise of 20 ships planned, reduced to 16 then 13 then defence review under Cameron and hey presto only 8. So to summarise type 45 numbers should not have been sacrificed.
The type 26 was not brought forward it was delayed and delayed and delayed again. Then promised numbers reduced. History has a distinct habit of repeating itself.
Wow, 20 type 26 frigates would be an amazing sight, hell I would be happy with 10.
That was at the point the proposed T26 size was only around the now T31 size, then it want bigger again to present size set in 2015.
My sources say the RN cut the Type 45 for the Carriers. I’ll go with those.
At any rate the decision to cut from 13 GCS to 8 GCS and 5 T31 happened long after, so my point stands.
Just watch them do the same trick with Tempest.
Tempest later but cut assets now to pay.
Later arrives and Tempest cut.
Could have just had more F35 originally.
I just used Tempest as an example. Insert any asset. The MoD/ HMG are the masters at spin.
One admiral and he is now sat on the labour benches in the Lords. He sacrificed the surface fleet for carrier strike.
As for T45 we are lucky we got 6. It was going to be 5 with a full stores package. The MOD said no…6 and no upfront stores and support package. So in the end the RN got 6 and the stores and support package ( Contractor Logistic Support) contract then cost a fortune. CLS was a different budget so it was someone else’s problem but CLS has now gone and that golden goose no longer lays for BAe,
To be fair to Adm Lord West, the defence budget under the Blair administration was 2.7% of GDP. That was 50% more than today (defence committee estimated that our real spend, minus pensions and other HMG tricks, is 1.7%).
So carrier strike maybe looked just about feasible to a dreamer. It should have been firmly tuned down to two smaller Invincible+ successors, which is all we need in peacetime or to play our minor part in a peer conflict.There was never any possibility of our being able to afford or man 70 naval fighters to equip the QE with 36 front line.
The US pushed us to supply two larger cvns, to cover their reduction in numbers and pivot to the Pacific. We should have told them and the admiral to go take a hike, because 2 65,000 ton carriers inevitably meant serious cuts in Fleet numbers, particularly escorts. Not helped by the £1bn pricetags on Astute, T45 and now T26.
So why is it illegitimate to count pensions as part of the GDP wise contribution to defence then? It isn’t tricks at all, pensions are part of this countries, and all NATO countries’, defence budgets and it’s wholly right these be included in the calculation.
It’s not illegitimate to include pensions. But what is very illegitimate is to compare spendig on defence before and after adding pensions and saying “look spending hasn’t gone down”. Which is exactly what Geo Osborne & Cameron did.
The US?
It was Brown Blair for political reasons that these carriers were built. We now have them and we need to pursue a maritime strategy not a land one.
The US Navy top brass have been quoted in the defence media as hoping to see one operational UK carrier with a strike wing of 36 Lightnings (therefore 70 in total). That has been their stance ever since they had to reduce their operational carrier numbers. And a US ‘ hope’ is pretty much a command to us as a very junior partner.
The next military encounter we are involved in will most likely take one of two forms. (a) An allied expeditionary force facing a 2nd or 3rd tier power, such as Iran or similar, where the principal force components will be army boots on the ground and offensive tac air or (b) a short, sharp preliminary encounter with Russian troops if Putin continues his land-grabbing adventures in eastern Europe, where the key force components would be combat air and army boots on the ground.
The navy would be very much a minor player in either scenario.
In a full-on peer conflict, the navy would play an important role. But saying ‘we should pursue a naval strategy’ defies all logic. We are part of the NATO alliance, where our 32 warships and subs, while a useful contribution, are a small part of the whole. The handful we could deploy out-of-area could not scratch the surface of ‘protecting international trade routes’ or ‘exerting British power’ or any of the other fanciful Brexit claims.
In short, the RN will likely play a supporting role to the other services in the most likely near-term war scenarios, does not have the ship numbers to project independent power and doesn’t need to, any fighting we do will be as a small-ish part of an alliance, not a great imperial navy.
If we had 200 warships, as in our imperial heyday, we could make a case in NATO for our concentrating on naval forces. We don’t and theywouldn’t accept it anyway, their key need right now is for boots on the ground and armoured formations in eastern Europe, as the US is doing, not frigates pootering around the North Sea or political flag-waving out-of-area.
Britain is slipping to be numerically the 4th navy in Europe and we need to move on from our illustrious naval past. In particular, the RN’so ever-shrill equipment demands, at the other services’ expense, need to be slapped down rather more firmly.
So you want to reconstitute the British Army of the Rhine? …or the Oder?
How do we pay for that?
Everyone is a junior partner to US, but together we all take part in NATO. And we should do our part according to what we can provide, and provide best. You seriously suggest we put boots into Iran? Iran is crumbling from within, and so frankly is Putin’s Russia.
Air power in the clouds is more important than boots .
A key issue was no ‘Plan B’ for the carrier requirement. By the time the QE class were ordered in 2007/8 UK defence was in a different place to where it had been 10 years earlier; MoD funding crisis, more deep cuts, the fallout from Iraq/Afghanistan etc.
No work had been done on alternative designs for several years so there was no smaller, cheaper option on the drawing board which could have been substituted within a realistic time frame. Having gone firmly down the ‘big carrier’ route the project was by this time too advanced to cancel.
Having said that, I think that significant cuts would still have gone ahead in both 2003 and 2010 as the defence budget was under such pressure. As ever, there is a mismatch between ambition and resources which goes way beyond the carriers issue.
How cheaper would have a smaller carrier been? And how small would small have been?
I think 35-40,000 tons to be a credible design. Difficult to judge the cost as it depends upon the specification. For example, the America class LHAs (45,000 tons) cost roughly £2.6 billion each. A simpler RN equivalent would no doubt be significantly less, maybe ~£3.5 billion for two ships.
The QE class cost significantly more than they should have as the build was slowed down due to MoD cash flow problems. They are a better option in terms of capability versus cost than light carriers which no doubt swung the argument in their favour.
On the other hand you can argue that the RN does not need that level of capability and the money saved would have been better spent on two extra T45s or maybe a T45 and an Astute. Then again, returning to my other posts, maybe the MoD would just have pocketed the saving.
Why would a RN equivalent be cheaper? Does a relatively larger ship cost more and physically weigh more than the displacement it weighs?
You point out, or claim, that the cost was increased because of slow build… well if so a smaller ship would be the same.
More to the point, do the RN, Army and RAF talk to each other? Who actually are they defending? Us or each other? Just what is the fundamental purpose if our defence forces. And if we were able to work that out, what is our structure to be.
No doubt lots of words could covet that. But I don’t see us attacking anybody, off hand. One word ought to cover it. Deterrence. Encourage our enemies to not attack us.
There is no single project that is to blame for the catastrophic cuts to the escort and SSN fleets. The carriers are partly to blame but the simple fact is there is a massive gulf between ambition and resources. Too many expensive ‘irons in the fire’ which the defence budget cannot cover. They would still have made deep cuts to destroyer/frigate and SSN numbers even without the carriers.
I would be happier if RN batch 2 T26 had the torpedo tubes of the Australian/Canadian versions.
I think CAMM-ER should also be added to the SeaCeptor system.
I wonder if the hull can be cheaply/easily strengthened for basic ice protection? I fear future conflicts over resources in Polar regions.
You struggle doing ASW that far up north. The ice noise seriously messes up the acoustics and the fresh water melt throws out the environmental’s . ASW in the north is a Sub tasking for those very reasons.
But it won’t just be ASW will it? Submarines are great in Polar regions for the reasons you mention, but they are unseen. You need some surface ships for visible deterrence.
Now torpedo tubes really are whites of the eyes stuff. If your red SSN/SSK really does get that close, and hasn’t already been dealt with by MERLIN, vectored WILDCAT (or perhaps ASROC?) then there really is cause for concern.
Why is everybody else fitting them? A good SSK/SSN can be a hole in the ocean. A few years ago, a Chinese submarine surprised an American Carrier group by surfacing in the middle of it.
Don’t know the story about the Chinese submarine JohnHartley but aye, unless the surface dwellers are really looking for a submarine it can be hard to find, especially when they’re in a hurry to get some place. Its a different story when they’re actively looking for a submarine, that makes it a lot harder for the boat although it can tie up a few units (surface and air (and possibly sub surface)) trying to find it.
Open ocean stuff, if a ship is using lightweight torpedoes to combat a submarine, they’re probably screwed. They have helos to do that stuff at longer range, they’re the equivalent of a Derringer really.
Do you mean a Swedish sub?
No, it was a Chinese sub. Speaking of the Swedish. They are keen on their latest wire guided torpedos, as they say that lets them pick between hostiles & friendlies in narrow, shallow congested waters.
Could the sub have engaged from much further away?
US carrier groups are often supported by SSN. Do we know that there wasn’t an SSN keeping an eye on it but keeping quiet?
What about small subs in littoral waters such as when transiting choke points or supporting amphibious operations?
Referred back to a statement made before Covid.
So there is only order for 3 Type 26 and the next batch negotiation only start in + 1 years from now?
3 batch 1 currently on order/in build, batch 2 (hulls 4, 5, 6, 7, 8) long lead items ordered, waiting on what the lesssons learned from batch 1 to negotiate the construction of batch 2.
Thanks.
My fear is that we might lose two T26’s to replace them with two T31’s. I’ve nothing to base that on other than cynicism. Just my take but the MOD are going to be asked to sacrifice more on the back of covid related cuts and on a ‘on my watch’ approach it will produce the same number of hulls.
Hope I’m wrong.
Andy I’m actually hoping we might get an offer from industry to build a few more at a reduced price. Especially as Australia and Canada are ordering the class.
Did you know after the RN was reduced to 6 type 45s the MOD was offered type 45s hull numbers 7 and 8 at a much reduced price of just £450 million each. The MoD declined to take up this reduced price, once in a lifetime, opportunity. Hopefully some such offer could come for the type 26 so we end up with 10 or more of these vital ships.
That’s the idiocy of the present public financing, a department or organisation etc has an annual budget and it’s not allowed to go beyond that even if it’s sensible or needed.
For instance we know that if we got ahead of the game in child mental health And specifically invested in that, we will save a fortune in the next 70 years.. but we won’t because the budgets are set and it all gets eaten up supporting dysfunctional adults who suck up massive resources and don’t really contribute. Those dysfunctional adults were created or allowed to be created by an under resources system.
We spend loads more than we need to on down stream problems because government tried to save pennies in a year…because they are having to spend so much on yesterday’s problem left till today….the piper is always paid and if you put it off the cost is aways greater later.
No public financing isn’t idiocy but rather harsh reality. Taxes are paid on an in-year basis and go into HMG’s BofE current accounts of which one is MOD’s. The reason it can’t go beyond it is that there’s no more money left in the current account, and to do so would require even more borrowing, which is an expensive way of increasing taxation in later years.
That’s why public financing is idiocy, the spending and investment rules are set by political dogma a year at a time, not available cheap funding/investment/need or good sense ( look at PFI, it was a madly expensive borrowing method invented to protect idiot public finance rules, if the government had borrowed directly the same money would have been around 10 times cheaper for the tax payer) that’s just a false premise when you are looking at things like upstream care ( which is fundamental an investment to Save money or improve productivity in the long run).
If you borrow now to treat a child with mental health issues you create a working tax payer who will pay in far more to the system than thy paid out. If you under invest in that child’s support and treatment you create an adult who is not able to function as a productive tax payer and becomes a net drain on society over a life time…a few thousand pounds spent on that individual at the right time saves Many £10000s in lifetime care and lost tax.
It’s one of the reasons that the NHS is buckling under more and more health costs…we can’t stop treating the ill in the present but it means we have no money to prevent others become ill later. It’s a negative feedback cycle that can only be broken by:
1) stripping healthcare from the presently ill, that would mean a abandonment of the older adult population as a lost cause, remove of health means lots of dead people and vast levels of suffering. I’ve seen more dead people And suffering than most people could image, but disinvestment would In present health need would be biblical.
2) borrow a large sum to invest specifically in upstream healthcare interventions….mental health for kids and young adults, teaching health literacy and self care. Focused work on unhealthy younger adults 20-40 to turn them around….
the long term savings and increased productivity would be in the billions of pounds every year. It’s called investment to either save or increase productivity due to a population that’s not a burden of ill health. it’s just the same as successful business do, borrow to buy the new factory or production line to improve efficiency and production rates, crap business that don’t invest always die.
Not spending or investing in a need now just to protect your own governments In year spending, knowing that you are saving up a catastrophe that a future government or generation will face is not how a county should run its finances.
I didn’t know that Mr Bell but it doesn’t surprise me. Personally I don’t know how much ‘the Brass’ have an influence and how much its the Government/Civil Service, I can understand why there would be reticence to take a chance given the amount of overrun/overspend’s there have been in government spending across the board.
I know a similar scenario where Rosyth Dockyard (whoever owned it at the time) offered to finish the new (at the time) submarine refit ‘hole’ for the new V boats if the contract stayed there. Politically the decision had been made though. Its probably a number of reasons, mostly for selfish reasons in one way or another, whether for ego or advancement.
Christ, I sadden myself I’m that bloody cynical.
I believe active surveys are being carried out to establish recommissioning costs for HMS Victory, Warrior and Belfast lol
Victory already is commissioned, and is indeed the oldest commissioned warship in the world.
Very true, don’t the admiralty still conduct some business on HMS Victory?
They do, but it requires an extensive refit to get it seaworthy again!
I’ll settle for HMS Bristol mate, we have to save that ship…
Also hope you are wrong. But my worry is that we end up with 6 Type 26 and no extra Type 31……
Hopefully by the time they are on the way to finishing the first 8, they can just roll another couple of batches off to replace the type 45s. Let’s be honest the 26 has a good size hull and will have been built by the bucket load by then. bae have always sold it as easy to turn into an AAW destroyer. so it would be a good way to get an air defence destroyer cheapish, strip as much as possible from the 45s ( let’s be honest even if the hulls Of the 45# are knacker In 10 years, a lot of the sea viper system will still be as good as the rest). That should take our cash more places, as the hulls will be cheaper, less development costs, tooling and experienced yards are in place,crewing on the 26S are leaner than a 45 and there will be commonality savings as the RN and other navy’s will be driving and maintaining a ton of 26 types. We could look at squeezing out an extra hull or two with the saves ( even if it is a couple more type 31s).
The US has done very well by focusing on one hull and steadily improving on that, their procurement has only gone to crap when they moved away from that principle.
14 26s ( mix of variants) and 8-9 31s and 5-6 batch 2 rivers would start to see a better shaped escort and patrol fleet than we have now, with three tiers of ship specifically designed for their threat level and being cost effective to deploy.
The Rivers two, with an an enhanced set of light search and rescue drones, ribs, marines and shipping containers full of goodness are the perfect cost effective way to support the navy’s lower risk activities, 6 would give you 2 deployed at any one time.
The 31s are staring to look a bit like they will end up being a proper light GP frigate and not a glorified corvette. If we could end up with 9, that’s 3 deployments( yes I know, but savings from expanding the 26s as replacement for the 45s instead of a whole new ship). That would cover all the tasking that really needs a frigate ( Middle East ect, as let’s be honest the 31 is looking like a ship designed for restricted waterways and managing hoards of small gun boats) but don’t need a high end escort.
Then we would have the high end escort numbers maintained at 14 ( all 26s) for a credible carrier and or amphibious group escort ( around 5 deployable).
I know it’s a bit fantasy fleet, but with appropriate procurement and workforce management not unachievable.
Interesting post Jonathon. Longer runs with increased numbers is the only way to reduce unit cost and refine the product. Warships nowdays can be and many are built to perform multiple roles from the same platform so it would make sense to go forward with just one hull instaed of two with T45 replacement. The old distinctions between the frigate and destroyer seem to have blurred over the years as do those between destroyer and cruiser so perhaps a good time for a reset.
..one cannot produce a cost effective vessel such as the Type 31 with only five units. This applies universally to assembly line production. When our American friends effectively killed off Concorde by limiting its landing and overfly rights, the massive investment-in real terms the most expensive commercial aircraft setup in history meant that the capital costs could never be recovered with a build of just 20 units and operation of about a dozen. What a different picture would have emerged with a run of say 200!!
In the years ahead I would like to see out Royal Navy enlarged to 8 x Type 26, 8 x Type 31, 8 x Type 45 replacement based on Type 26, 8 – 10 River class O.P.V.s and 8 x Astute.
This would provide a useful uptick to our Royal Navy without delving into the realms of fantasy.
These numbers still don’t meet the rule of three, with exception of the T31s being forward deployed.
Efficiency has nothing to do with the time taken to build a vessel.
The efficient methods of production are already in place. Build panels to make units, use units make blocks and then blocks to make super blocks.
The use of automated cutting and welding machines remove labour (a big cost) and deliver a standard weld of a known quality 24/7 making the quality control and assurance a lot easier. No worrying about a shipyard matey doing a poor welding job the day after Celtic lose to Rangers and them then having a skin full of 80 bob to drown their sorrows… Fitting out panels, units and blocks as they are made is around 2/3 cheaper than building a hull and then fitting it out. Its far easier putting pipe and cable runs into something you can get to easily than having to to do it in a finished hull that needs you to rig staging, cut holes, grind, redo the paintwork, re-seal through bulkhead glands etc…
You can build quicker by throwing more resources at a job ( Manpower and the money to pay people and buy equipment and materials) but that is not efficiency that is project planning.
Unfortunately the planning is build slow at a known price. B2 T26 will have some lessons learnt in their builds…every ship does. However it wont be very much.
“Efficiency has nothing to do with the time taken to build a vessel”
Yes it does. Historically cost savings over a class of warships is because the later ships are built faster than the earlier. Most of the reason for that being better project management i.e. fewer skilled trades sitting around waiting for their turn to work.
The current policy of building ships at the same speed is costing the taxpayer billions. The Defence Committee estimated the money wasted by doing this with the Astutes would have paid for an additional sub.
I am speaking as someone who is in the ship repair and building industry. Modern build methods are about as efficient as it gets.
Lessons learnt will improve the way the design matures but it won’t be much if anything of an efficiency in build time. The time taken to build them has been specified by the customer and that’s what they will get unfortunately.
You are incorrect despite your background. Later ships in a class can be built quicker and cheaper than earlier ones. It’s only if the customer (in the UK’s case, the Treasury) insist on a fixed delivery schedule and fixed annual payments that efficiencies are not realized. They end up paying more for the same, but its the tax payers money so who cares. You might wish to look at US shipyards and their performance if you don’t like my Astute example.
Sorry Ron, the delay with the Astutes isn’t down to the government dragging arse on wanting them, there have been MASSIVE delavs in the build for a number of reasons that can’t be mentioned. Nothing to do with either the RN or the Government being shy of putting their hand in their pockets.
Sorry Andy P but the Parliamentary Defence Committee has a different view than you do i.e the Treasury imposed fixed “drumbeat” wastes a shed load of tax payer money.
Fair enough Ron, I’ll take my first hand experience of taking an A boat out of build and the obstacles that delayed our sailing many (many) times and the same thing happening to the other boats that experienced similar or different issues and shut my pie hole.
Good decision.
Haha-the day after Celtic lose to Rangers. Oh Happy Monday Gunbuster 🙂 🙂
Usual procedure. Next batch will be different as happened in the Leanders, 22’s, 23’s, 45’s, Forths. Nothing to see here.
With the work done by the Australians and Canadians could the Batch 2s not emerge as significantly better by building upon the Commonwealth iterations?
Excellent idea…early 2020’s. Where are we now..oh yes 2020. How about next week then.
When Ministers say ‘early 2020s’ they mean not before 2024.
Bit of wishful thinking Mark!
With 3 classes of escorts, totalling 19 ships, the logical procurement process would be to build one class at a time, as quickly as the meagre budget allows, working up the design and development of the next class so there is is a steady drumbeat of orders to the yards.
After the T45, the logical next step wold have been to replace the 5 older T23s, the GPS ones, which are already 30 years old. Instead of knocking out the T31s to do so and then moving on to build T26, we have somehow contrived to be building two classes at the same time. Given the RN’s very limited procurement budget, it means the building and the replacement of older ships is going to move at a glacial pace.
I reckon that the last of the T26 GPs, Montrose, will be 38 by the time it’s decommissioned and the last of the T23 asw, St Albans, will be 40. That is ancient and says we cannot afford 19 escorts on current budgets and £1bn ships, something has to give.
It should be an increase in the defence budget, not the usual robbing peter to pay paul tricks HMG keeps pulling.
I have lost count of the number of times I have heard the phrase “We will build our way out of recession ” meaning houses, hospitals etc. I’ve no argument with that but we could also be building frigates T26 and T31 …at the same time. Also replenishment ships and hospital ships Thousands of skilled jobs. Come on Boris. To paraphrase… Lets get the Royal Navy done
Actually Britain has one of the largest merchant fleets on earth and that’s many thousands of ships, Imagine if all merchant ships had to be built in the UK Just like warships..
Anyway my point is we still need hundreds of new ships every single year for our merchant fleet so why don’t we open a super yard and build some of the dam Things here there’s multiple citys that could sustain a huge yard again, how about Newcastle?…
I am from Tyneside and would love to see ships built on the Tyne again, it has an extremely long proud history of shipbuilding.
Our proudest ship is Mauretania, the 1906 ocean liner which won the Blue Ribband for Britain for fastest crossing of the Atlantic, a title she held for 20 years, courtesy of that cutting edge (for the time) technology Charles Parsons steam turbine, which was also a key component in the revolutionary British battleship class the Dreadnought.
Parsons vast works on Tyneside were fairly recently taken over by Siemens, who promptly ceased steam turbine manufacture there and moved it to Germany and levelled much of the vast works leaving them only to service steam turbines.
We also lost the vast Swan Hunter shipyard fairly recently with the choice equipment and cranes being bought by an Indian shipyard and the rest being levelled to the ground.
The Tyne has also built battleships, aircraft carriers, supertankers and frigates in the past.
There still exists the A & P Tyne shipyard which has recently built blocks for the aircraft carriers and R.R.S. Sir David Attenborough, this facility could be expanded if the need arose. They already have a large dry dock so all they would really need is a gantry crane to assemble blocks.
Tyneside has built some of the best ships fir a Britain, it’s a shame we sold all the works and cranes to an Indian company who came and sailed it all away to India!…
However we can and could build a great yard on the Tyne again.
Also a new Royal Yacht Britannia could be on the cards.
Building one new escort a year for a 25 year life would lead to a fleet of 25 escorts and a steady income for 25 year old ships being sold on. The escorts being built quicker would also be cheaper.
Fleet size depends on the operational life of the ships as well. One ship per year with 20 year lifespan is a 20 ship fleet. The last 5 would replace the first five into service.
This approach would give you a young fleet – average age obviously being 10 years – which would represent a potential significant reduction on running costs.
You could then sell the older ships to developing navies such as Chile whilst there is still some significant life left in the hulls. This also pushes the cost of disposal onto someone else..!
As you say it also gives a steady drum beat for the yards!
If you needed to increase the size of your fleet for any reason you could not only build faster, not always an easy thing to do, but you could simply stop the early disposal of ships.
Cheers CR
@ChariotRider
What part of “building one new escort a year for a 25 year life” didn’t you understand?
Sorry Ron, miss read your post. DOH!
Sorry for being rather snippy. Bad mood, my team lost.
No worries mate. Sorry to her that your team lost.
Tbh building in batches makes sense for some complex projects such as this, the main point is to keep the price low, as production is streamlined and problems encountered are ironed out and solutions are incorporated into following batches prices come down. Similar strategy to the F-35 programme with the LRIP contracts, just look how the price has come down from initial contracts.
On the other hand, if Bae had an contract to build all 8, they would have been incented to invest more to improve efficiency. As it stand with just an order of 3, why would they bother? And they didn’t.
In fact it was widely reported that Bae offered to build all 8 for the cost of 7 if they received a contract to build all of them. The Treasury, naturally, turned them down. Not their money so why try to save any.
Could it be that their is Political intent at work. Build slow, string it out, and keep the bait fresh for the SNP to understand the build can moved . However I wonder what English yards could now build Warships , Swan Hunter , Belfast perhaps. Appledore was binned last year
Seeing that these ships being built in Scotland has in no way diminished their desire for independence and that the constituencies building them voted solidly for independence, I’d say your theory was crap.
Is there any chance the Batch 2 will have an upgraded Aesa radar or will all 8 effectively be the same spec.
With the current political and economic climate I don’t think we will get more than six Type 26s to go with the six Type 45s. The next ships are likely to be the Type 45 replacement.
I hope I am wrong as I would like to see more Type 26s built.
https://www.defenceconnect.com.au/maritime-antisub/6908-pm-visits-osborne-shipyard-as-hunter-class-prototyping-nears?utm_source=DefenceConnect&utm_campaign=29_09_20&utm_medium=email&utm_content=1&utm_emailID=*|MMERGEEM|*
Who would not love to hear this type of support coming from our Government:
‘Prime Minister Morrison noted the contribution of the project to the broader economic recovery from the COVID-19 crisis.
“it’s all about jobs. The way we grow ourselves out of the challenges we have economically is what will determine our future. And you don’t grow unless you build these sorts of facilities,” he said.
“You don’t grow unless you train thousands of workers who will come and be part of this magnificent venture. We’ll have around 2,500 people involved in these projects — thousands of jobs will be created here very, very soon [and] these apprentices will come in wave after wave after wave.’
18 to 20 months ? For crying out loud….