According to Professor Keith Hartley, a renowned expert and former UN consultant and senior defence economist, there will be “no future” for Scottish warship building industry in an independent Scotland.

During a discussion at the Scottish Affairs Committee, Professor Hartley emphasised that the construction of warships could potentially come to a halt, resulting in a significant loss of employment opportunities.

Scottish Conservative leader Douglas Ross asked:

“Do you believe there is a future to defence shipbuilding in Scotland, should the country become independent from the rest of the United Kingdom?”

Professor Hartley responded:

“No. Sorry.”

He later added:

“An independent Scotland will presumably have a minute Navy—it will be like Ireland’s, for example, with offshore patrol vessels. It won’t have the demand for deep-water frigates and destroyers of the sort that are currently being built in Scotland, such as the Type 26 and Type 31. It won’t have that demand. It couldn’t afford them, anyhow—the unit cost for a Type 31 frigate is £250 million at least.

I do not know the size of an independent Scotland’s defence budget, but it is not going to be large. I do not think it would put a lot of resources into building advanced warships. In short, no, I do not see a future for a Scottish warship building industry in an independent Scotland.”

Independence not the only risk

The future of Scottish shipyards could be at risk if more Royal Navy orders are allowed to go overseas, a report by MPs has warned. The committee mentioned above, the Scottish Affairs Committee, recently called for “greater clarity” on where warships would be built in the coming decades.

The report by the Scottish Affairs Committee warns that the future prosperity of Scottish military shipbuilding is at risk through the lack of a clear drumbeat of orders exacerbated by opening procurement up for international competition.

The report comes on the heels of the awarding of a £1.6 billion contract for the construction of three naval support ships to an international consortium, which will result in a portion of the building work being conducted in Spain. The shipyards at Govan and Scotstoun, the last remaining shipyards on the Upper Clyde, heavily rely on future orders from the Royal Navy.

Currently, these yards are engaged in the Type 26 frigate programme and the Committee has requested information on expected orders in the 2030s.

The report also looks for answers on the awarding of the Fleet Solid Support ships to an international consortium, with some of each vessel being built in Spain while the majority will be built in Belfast.

The report can be accessed here: https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm5803/cmselect/cmscotaf/1096/report.html

Tom has spent the last 13 years working in the defence industry, specifically military and commercial shipbuilding. His work has taken him around Europe and the Far East, he is currently based in Scotland.
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TypewriterMonkey
TypewriterMonkey
1 year ago

It’s all speculation, of course, but it would be difficult for rUK / English politicians in Westminster to commission ships from an independent Scotland. Again, all conjecture, but if Scotland did become independent it would hopefully remain within NATO, and maintain a close defence relationship with the rUK / England. There would be a lot of things to sort out and, like Brexit, many of the arguments would be more emotive than purely logical.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago

It wouldn’t remain a member of NATO, an independent Scotland would have to apply to join NATO. As we have seen with Sweden, membership is not automatic.

This is assuming the hard-left SNP choose to align with NATO. They could choose neutrality or worse.

Trade wise there would be hard borders between Scotland and the U.K., making the current situation with NI look a breeze by comparison.

D J
D J
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

It would also not be an immediate member of the EU. It would need to apply for that also. None of this is instantaneous or automatic.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  D J

Yes an independent Scotland would be outside the EU single-market, and the U.K. single-market. As a result businesses would move south to England, as the U.K. has a trade agreement with the EU, whereas a newly independent Scotland would not.
Joining the EU would takes years, require adoption of the Euro, and is not guaranteed of success. Scotland would be on course to become the new Moldova.

Roy
Roy
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

The admission of Scotland to the EU and NATO would be fast tracked for political reasons. First on the EU, laughing French and German politicians would relish sticking it to England. Second, the US would not want a gap in North Atlantic defence.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Roy

That’s a naive view. NATO requires unanimous agreement, all it takes is the U.K. or France/Spain to say “no” and that’s it. Assuming Scotland applies, we already know they the SNP are anti-nuclear and anti-American. They’d probably declare neutrality. EU membership requires a huge amount of bureaucracy and legal checks, as existing candidate states will affirm. There is no fast-track process nor is there a legal framework to create one. Secondly both France and Spain have internal separatist movements. Rejecting Scotlands membership would signal to them that if they were to gain independent they would be outside the EU too.… Read more »

Roy
Roy
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

There would be a primary political imperative … to ensure the unity of the European space. Scotland’s admission would likely be seen as a “vtial signal” of Europe coming together under the EU banner. I believe it would be made to happen regardless of bureaucratic/political impediments.

NATO is less critical since the RN would still be in Faslane for a while (the Sevastopol of the British Isles). But eventually, Scotland would be admitted to NATO if it wants in.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Roy

The bureaucrats in Brussels with their federal plans for Europe will accept the membership of any backwater that wants to join. Such is there imperial ambitions.
But the decisions is not there’s, it’s down to the member states it’s doubtful whether they would accept membership of yet another net recipient of aid. The EU’s budget took a huge hit when the U.K., a large net contributor left. Other net contributors are not going to be keen on further net recipients joining, especially given they’ve already committed to Ukraine joining.

Andrew
Andrew
1 year ago
Reply to  Roy

I would disagree…. I can see Spain blocking any moves to rejoin NATO/EU…. The Spanish will in no way want to encourage the separatists in the Catalan region by allowing a region of another country to gain independence and then rejoin all the institutions as though nothing had happened….

It’s like the EU wanting to punish the UK for Brexit, they have to show other EU nations thinking of leaving that there is a heavy price to pay…

Ret Niwluap
Ret Niwluap
1 year ago
Reply to  Andrew

Spain have already said there would be no issue, seeing Scotland as a ‘nation’ bound only by a treaty between equals, being entirely different to Catalonia as a ‘province’

Expat
Expat
1 year ago
Reply to  Roy

Of course one of SNPs prime reason for separation is Nukes on there soil. But of course US will want access for their bombers, it make SNPs non nuke argument irrelevant as a reason to leave the UK when you’re going to left another bigger more powerful nuke nation access. US will 100% leverage this as part of membership deal.

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Why would the UK grant Scotland independence then refuse it to join NATO, seriously I can’t believe you wrote that. 🤣😂

D J
D J
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

Jim

No different to Ireland. If Ireland wants to join NATO (it appears they don’t), they can’t join if UK says no. If they did join, what would they bring to the party? What would Scotland bring? NATO is not meant to be a free ride.While Scotland is important re the North Atlantic, it is not critical. Norway, Denmark, Iceland, Canada, USA, UK are critical because they create real gaps if they are not there. Scotland would just become another Ireland.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky
1 year ago
Reply to  D J

rUK would seriously want indeed need facilities in Scotland to operate effectively if it is to seriously police the upper reaches of the North Sea and protect Russian entry into the Atlantic. There would be ongoing serious negotiations on such subjects with priorities and quid pro quos being part of it and how quickly these negotiations progress will dictate such matters of access to NATO and even the EU as cross border agreements would be vital to Scotlands viability and prosperity. So it’s all difficult to determine at this stage what the effects and timings would be throughout. As for… Read more »

Ret Niwluap
Ret Niwluap
1 year ago
Reply to  D J

Faslane??? On you go mate – try to convince Londoners they need a nuclear base on their doorstep.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

Do you not understand democracy?!?

IF HMG granted Scotland another referendum on independence and the Yes campaign won, then HMG would have to abide by the democratic decision.
However it doesn’t mean that HMG has to take any action that is beneficial to Scotland. Indeed, HMG might be inclined to take actions, such as declining NATO membership, to show how disastrous the independence decision was. Actions which would fuel a ‘rejoin the U.K.’ campaign.

Mickey
Mickey
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

If Scotland were to separate then it would be done legally. Spain and France do not have a leg to stand on in an objection to this, Catalonia handled their separation poorly and was unconstitutional. They did not do any home work. Breton separation movements currently are small in number, they are trying to unite their two departments that Brittany is split into for starters.

Scotland was part of the EU for 45 years so being part of the EU again would be a very fast entry. Like wise for NATO.

Its up to the Scottish people to decide.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Mickey

Spain and France don’t “need a leg” to object to Scotland joining the EU, they don’t even need a reason, a simple “no” is sufficient. Even if Scotland gained candidate status, it would have to go through all the other bureaucratic and legal checks that every candidate state goes through. It would take years and not be a fast entry. If the U.K. says “no” then Scotland would not be able to join NATO, period. Given the SNPs anti-nuclear and anti-NATO gripes I doubt they’d even apply. Like Eire they’d hope others to cover their backs without spending any money… Read more »

Mickey
Mickey
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Spain and France would need to fully justify any block they would have to Scotland’s legal separation to the EU. It would have to be a very good justification which I really cannot see.

As for NATO, it’s in the everyone’s best interest that Scotland is in the alliance. Nuclear or otherwise.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Mickey

Spain and France wouldn’t have to justify it, they are only required to give a yes or no.

Eire isn’t in NATO so what makes you think the SNP would even want to join. Especially given they’d be expected to pay 2% of GDP on defence. I can’t see the peacenik/hard-left SNP being keen on that.

Mickey
Mickey
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

I see that we don’t have consensus about Spain and France.

Yes Éire is not in NATO and I don’t understand why you brought it up since we are talking about Alba.

If Scotland becomes independent, the SNP will not always be the ruling party. So defence ideas would change from administration to administration.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Mickey

Because Eire was the last country to leave the Union obviously. 🤦🏻‍♂️

Really? Scotland is looking like a one party state with the SNP being in power for 16 years.
Assuming another political party ever gets to form the administration, if you’re suggesting Scotland may join, leave, rejoin NATO every time a different party takes power… well the same could be said for rejoining the U.K. too…

Mickey
Mickey
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Ahhh! I see what you are talking about. I did not see that discussion about Éire.

My bad what I meant was post Scottish independence, if it occurs, there will be other parties in power. That would be inevitable. That’s where gdp % towards defence would change as well as policy.

No I am not suggesting revolving door entry into NATO , EU or UK for every change in administration.

Duncan
Duncan
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

After independence the SNP would cease to exist. Any future government would be a coalition of centre left and centre right politicians.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Duncan

Why would it cease to exist? Please point me to where in the SNP constitution it says that upon independence the party would be abolished and all elected representatives would resign their sears.

Marked
Marked
1 year ago
Reply to  Roy

Spain would fight tooth and nail to keep Scotland out of the EU. If they joined it would set a precedent for their catalan region making their call for independence louder.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky
1 year ago
Reply to  Marked

They would certainly want exclusive supply of langoustines that’s for sure.

Expat
Expat
1 year ago
Reply to  Roy

What an risk Spains fragmentation. Nope sorry.

Jim
Jim
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Where are you from Sean? I have wondered for some time. Some of your points are well reasoned, then other times you juts come out with a load of **** to stir people up. Clearly neither economics or Geo politics is your strong point.

John Stott
John Stott
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

Thank goodness someone else see’s through the “Sean” persona. That’s if it is “Sean”, see he posts under various names…..

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  John Stott

Oh the conspiracy is strong in this one 😆

Seriously do you think I have the time to post under different names? I’ve always considered that a pointless tactic anyway. Please elucidate as to what what possible benefit I’d gain from that? 🤷🏻‍♂️

Ditto with using a fake name.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky
1 year ago
Reply to  John Stott

Oh no it’s not the guy from Milton Keynes again is it 😇

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

He will hate me saying this but I think Sean is pretty much on the money in both his posts. Whilst the EU may be in favour, the shear bureaucratic process will not make it easy for Scotland. Especially when, as stated above, some countries like Spain, have a vested interest in saying no.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Yeah it makes me feel filthy that you are agreeing with me…

But I suppose you agree that gravity exists and the earth isn’t flat… so there’s consolation that no matter how disgusting and repugnant your propaganda is concerning the Russian invasion of Ukraine, you’re going to agree on the obvious.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Jim

I come from a position of reasoned, logical positions, based on actual facts. As a result I don’t fit into one of the polarised political positions that people like to slot their opponents into.
Clearly debating is not your strong point, hence the decent into ad hominem attacks – which of course is always a sign you know you’ve lost.

maurice10
maurice10
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

The Scottish people will make the vital decision in the face of exaggeration, lies, threats, and deception on both sides. Does that mean independence stands a chance? If UK warship building goes, there would be enough local know-how to build vessels for other nations but would need to be hard-won. As for other industries, the current UK industrial is in difficulty, so just imagine trying to establish a viable Scottish industry on the back of this state of affairs.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  maurice10

No forgetting the Scottish economy would either be using a brand new currency of its own or using the now foreign Pound Sterling. The obvious disadvantage of the latter being that the BoE would set the value of Sterling to suit the UKs economy, not Scotlands.

Meanwhile the large amount of governmental public-sector work for the the U.K. that is based in Scotland would be moved south. This would be an even bigger blow than the closure of the Scottish shipyards. While Scotland would need its own public-sector, it would be much smaller, servicing 6million rather than 68million citizens.

Rob N
Rob N
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

It is not a done deal that Scotland would be granted EU membership. They would be a met drain on EU finance and some countries like Spain may object to a separatist country joining.

I think Scottish shipbuilding would not survive independence. The idea that it would be shipbuilding as usual with the RN would be a pipe dream.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Rob N

Like you I did originally think Scotland would be a net recipient of EU funds…

but once Ukraine gets EU membership, I think EVERY other nation in the EU is going to have to contribute to Ukraine’s rebuilding. It’s going to be a huge shock to those countries that have been receiving huge grants from the EU for decades!

Ret Niwluap
Ret Niwluap
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Perhaps Sean, but only on a different planet to this one! First off, being in the single market and being in the EU are vastly different things. Being in the single market simply requires ‘rules, standards and regulations’ to be closely aligned, (which despite westminster’s best efforts, they currently still are). Apart from that, it requires little more that agreement to freedom of movement. I presume your comment regarding ‘business moving to s.england is opinion . . . . or do you actually have any data/evidence to support the conjecture?

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Ret Niwluap

The SNP are committed to joining the EU, not just the single market.

In the run-up to the 2014 independence referendum businesses registered in Scotland began registering new companies in London in case the yes campaign won. This was particularly so within the financial sector, who also started transferring funds to their new English registered entities. Or did you not watch any tv or read any newspapers in 2014? 🤦🏻‍♂️

Last edited 1 year ago by Sean
Brooklyn
Brooklyn
1 year ago
Reply to  D J

Google is providing a staggering benefit of 6850 USD per week in local currency, which is amazing considering that I was laid off in a very horrible financial situation a year ago. “W Many Thanks Google Dependably for Gifting the ones Rules and Soon It’s My Commitment to Pay and Rate It With Everyone.. 
Right now I Started… https://Americanliberty7.blogspot.com

Last edited 1 year ago by Brooklyn
George Parker
George Parker
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Independent Scotland or even Alba, would likely be a parasite on Britain’s defensive infrastructure. Much like Southern Ireland Eire. Even placing further orders at this time is risky. Far better to develop a dispersed ship building capability in several locations across the UK, with orders spread around. It will require duplication and some waste but in times of war, having multiple production facilities is a good thing. These are military orders after all and the world is rapidly becoming a far more dangerous place.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

No risk at all.
• Scotland isn’t getting a referendum
• the majority are against independence
• the SNP are never going to try a Rhodesia/Catalan UDI

George Parker
George Parker
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Hi Sean, I’m pleased you think that way. On this subject I’m a pessimist, with good reason. As long as the SNP dominate in Scotland, the threat of breaking away is real. I love Scotland, great country and excellent people. It’s just a few minutes drive from here up the A696. We have family ties with the Highlands and Islands. Almost relocated my family there a few years ago. I know Edinburgh better than London. It’s considerably more British in nature. Fusilier Drummer L/Cpl Lee Rigby would not have been beheaded had he been stationed there. The fact that the… Read more »

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

Well it’s not an impossibility. But if withdrawing from the EU after 47 years was traumatic, imagine what Scotland’s withdrawal from the U.K. after 316+ years will be like… That should be enough to put most people off. Ditto, having be born and raised on Tyneside, and maternal side of the family originating from Scotland I love the place too. One of my planned holidays this year is visiting friends in Shetland. Cameron was foolish to even allow the possibility of such a thing to take place. And splitting the union should require more than a simple majority amongst those… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by Sean
George Parker
George Parker
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Cheers Sean fellow Geordie. It is a small world. My family ties are with Shetland too. Lerwick, Scalloway and Papil. My wife’s parents are buried in the Papil church graveyard. At least one of the relatives serve in the Lerwick TA. If more people realised how nice it is up there in the summer, it would be a tourist hot spot. Although when the liners visit from Scandinavia it can be quite crowded in Lerwick. I’ve back packed the entire length of the mainland island. Slept one night in a Broch, fished in dozens of lochs and eaten countless camp… Read more »

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  George Parker

Yup a Geordie, though if you want a more precise, a Sandancer. 😏

Unfortunately my family records are less clear on my mothers side. Lore is that her family were fishermen in Orkneys/Shetlands – uncertain which – but had to move to Scotland after most of the men of the family were lost in an ill-fated rescue attempt of a stricken ship.

Never been up there, but a good friend has a contract up there for the next year so a good opportunity to visit. Hoping to visit Mousa Broch amongst other sights.

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

Exactly sean. Issue is put to bed. If a vote ever happens again and for some reason actually succeeded even though every indicator says it won’t, that is when everything will be worked out. Over the many years between a vote, actual separation then a long transition period.
If it started going tits up in the transition you can bet there will be a lot of calls to scrap the whole thing.

David gibson
David gibson
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

If they do with the tech transfer from Spain and Belfast building ships again. Would have the 3 support ships finished. Could we not put in for type 32.think that’s why government bringing Belfast back to life to send Scotland a message.

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  David gibson

Could be to give options for future naval orders (as you suggest), to shore up the unionist vote in NI, to boost the NI economy in the wake of Brexit and the border agreement, etc, etc. Probably a combination of reasons, and some are just unexpected bonuses.

But if Type 32 turns out to be based on the Type 31, as is frequently speculated, then Babcock and their new frigate factory is the obvious choice for the contract.

Ret Niwluap
Ret Niwluap
1 year ago
Reply to  Sean

??? If Scotland were to leave ‘the united kingdom’ then there would not be a remaining ‘united kingdom’, there would only be England and the province of Cymru and the colony of Ulster. You would therefore have England and Scotland as separate nations both of which are currently in nato as part of ‘the uk’. It’s difficult to see your reasoning as to why the separate nation of England would remain in nato, but Scotland would not? Either both can remain as separate entities or both can not . . . . or is your view fogged by outdated colonialism?

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Ret Niwluap

That you call Ulster a colony shows how politically deranged and out of touch with reality you are. England, Wales, Northern Ireland would continue to be called the United Kingdom unless they chose to change their name. It’s a name, not a technical description. As Scotland would have left the U.K., it would be regarded as a new nation with England, Wales, NI regarded under international law as the “successor state”. As such it would retain its membership of the UN, it’s seat as a P5 member of the Security Council, membership of G7, NATO, OEDC, etc, etc. As a… Read more »

Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago

I don’t care about where the nations warships are built. It’s hypocrisy to say we’ll always build our own.many of us drive foreign cars, don’t we?

Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

Better value for money and faster product ion. That is what the nation need’s

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

The value for money is not true. If you buy a foreign vessel the entire cost is the cost to the tax payer added to that would be the cost of regeneration and support to the unemployed…so a 1billion pound warship would cost more that 1billion pounds to the taxpayer. If we purchase a 1billion pound warship from a UK yard, a very large percentage of that spend gets returned to the government as tax base from vat,income tax,corporation tax etc( probably 20-40%). So the actual real cost to the taxpayer is actually more like 700million. Then there is the… Read more »

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Otherwise you are living the offshoring falacy to the full.

Which is fine if you don’t want to produce cheap tat at home.

The major reason offshoring was popular in heavy industry was that the unions couldn’t strangle things all the time and if they tried to be too awkward…..

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

Yes the Union movement got a bit funny in the 1970s especially in heavy industries, lost its balance a bit. My philosophy is the uncontrolled Market is for the private individual and private sector ( we have a right to buy the cheapest and If we wish to balance with things like the green agenda or supporting local industries that’s our choice) . The government on the other hand should ensure every tax pound spend maximises every possible benefit to the UK, not just to purchase a widget, but wider economic and societal concerns as well. It should also focus… Read more »

Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

100% 👍🏻

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Certainly buying stuff that we need an export licence to use as we wish thereafter, really is not a very sensible solution and very much more costly potentially in the long run especially in terms of circumstances well beyond monetary value. Indeed for example having Challengers to send to Ukraine has had enormous implications and effects even if they now never actually reach the Country.

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky
1 year ago

Yes you could understand it 30+ years ago when things just seemed so self destructive in UK industry but in the end we just bit off our nose to spite our face and now suffering for it and trying to re build as we realise an economy as narrow as the uks is massively and competitively disadvantageous against other Countries most of whom are enforcing technological transfer so as to create new industries even if it is initially more costly. BL and Renault were equally basket cases and cash cows back in the 70s one was deemed expendable, the other… Read more »

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Spyinthesky

Very interestingly as well, sometime a nation is Broken not by the power of the workforce and unions but by the power of the leaders of industry and elites. Japan is a great example, it was once an industrial powerhouse..but with pretty much unrestricted power its elite leaders have effectively destroyed its economy with stupid choices and an utter focus on their own power…Going from a nation with house prices that were hight than the Uks, wages that were higher than the UK…to a nation now buying a house is pointless ( it’s always worth less than you paid for… Read more »

Val
Val
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Thank God, someone on the same sheet!

Spyinthesky
Spyinthesky
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

That’s short-termism if the companies/Countries providing that for you are doing it for ulterior motives benefiting themselves, removing your ability to design an build such products, allowing them to build their own competitors control pricing and then dictate terms all for buying into short term loss leading that only benefits those with a longer term view in the end.

Val
Val
1 year ago

By saying “Brexit”, you are saying eu is a Country. That’s why we left that stinking empire.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago

Yes in the event of Scotland becoming a separate nation it’s unlikely The United Kingdom would build warships in Scotland. Just to note, the rUK is not a name it’s a made up term, the legal names of our nation would remain the United Kingdom as would its longer version until and unless we decided to change them…just a note the historically the name the “United Kingdom” became one of two legal names for our nation in 1801 when Ireland jointed, it’s remained the legal name after Ireland left in 1920, so Scotland leaving would make no difference…the second longer… Read more »

JohninMK
JohninMK
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

To retain any chance of remaining on the UNSC post any Scottish independence, it is likely, as you say, that we would have to retain the same United Kingdom Great Britain and Northern Ireland name.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  JohninMK

Let’s be very honest about the UNSC the permanent seats are actually all about those nations that could end the world..Scotland being in the UK or not in the UK and the final name of our nation would be irrelevant ( Scotland is 4% of the UK population).what matters is our 4 nuclear ballistic missile submarines, our sub launched intercontinental range ballistic missiles and 150 nuclear warheads and nothing else. If you can trigger the end of the world you’re at the table if you cannot you’re not. the permanent seats at the UNSC are in effect the ultimate expression… Read more »

Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

With a view to Ukraine why hadn’t Russia lost its place in the security council?

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

As above, nuclear Missiles…its the constant for all the permanent members…have 100+ nuclear warheads that can be delivered via an intercontinental ballistic missile and can cause a war that ends humanity…have a seat..the UNSC is not a moral organisation, in reality and at its heart it’s role is to try and prevent WW3, as such Russia has to be at the table or it becomes pointless. It’s role is not to prevent war and suffering…the veto makes sure of that….it’s basically there to try and limit the contagion of a conflict so the five major nuclear powers do not end… Read more »

Esteban
Esteban
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Who actually owns the missiles. Let’s try not to get so puffed up shall we.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

OOOOOOOOOH handbag time.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

We own the missiles, they are just in a shared pool..you do understand the concept of a shared pool ? Happy to send a few articles over if needed.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

Also it’s not puffed up, it’s a simple reality of what a permanent seat on the UNSC is actually about. Not if you can do the. Greatest good etc etc but If you can trigger a global thermonuclear war. Personally if we could removed all thermonuclear and nuclear weapons from the planet I would…being able to trigger the end of humanity is not something to be “puffed up” about and using such word makes a very serious issue seem a bit shallow don’t you think ?

Enobob
Enobob
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

Permanent membership of the Security Council of the United Nations has NOTHING to do with the possession or otherwise of nuclear weapons! It was merely the victorious powers at the end of World War Two. Nobody but the USA had atomic weapons when the UN was set up and the permanent security council established.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Enobob

If that is the case why are ROC not still a permanent seat member and the Chinese communist party are a member. The ROC who were a member as one of the victorious powers were removed as a member in 1971 and replaced by the Chinese communists part ( as the defecto government of mainland China) this just happens to occur a couple of years after the Chinese communists party evidenced the fact they could place a thermonuclear device on an intercontinental ballistic missile and fire it. yes at its inception 75+ years ago the permanent seats were given to… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by Jonathan
Sean
Sean
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

👍🏻

Les Moore
Les Moore
1 year ago

It seems that it’s already a big problem for Westminster to commission ships right now in Scotland! Couldn’t get much worse!
Look what was promised nearly 9 years ago just before the Independence referendum: that there would be huge support from Westminster by the regular commissioning of navy shipsin Scotland..the number promised never materialised.

Jon
Jon
1 year ago

The term independence is a joke. I don’t feel any more empowered now we are out of the EU. I don’t think that transfer of power from aparatchiks of Brussels to politicians in Westminster has made my personal situation any better and nor do I feel my voice is any more heard. My MP is as totally unresponsive now as he always has been. I don’t think the country is better off, and in the long run I don’t think it will be much worse off. I know the transition is making my situation worse in the short run. I… Read more »

John Stott
John Stott
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

That is an accurate description of how far removed “ordinary” people are from those political clowns in office. The EU, and most governments in the west are mired in corruption and sleaze at all levels. False promises elect them, then a litany of excuses becomes the norm. Meanwhile services get worse or collapse completely. Funnily, or not, taxes go up for the majority, whilst the sleaze balls get richer by “legal” avoidance. Talk to any Loyalist in NI and they will colourfully describe how millions truly feel. To be sold lie after lie is a cross most seem willing to… Read more »

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  John Stott

Until a better system is made available it’s the best we have. It’s far from perfect but preferable to any other system that’s in use across the world. I think the illusion that some career politician should know how to run a huge department and steer it in the right direction needs popped. The rich do seem to always be fine while everyone else suffers. If we think of wealth as a limited item then it absolutely makes sense if some people have more of it, less is available for other people. Some say it can’t be measured like that… Read more »

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago

Can we move on from all this. Get on and build up the Navy or stay home. If I can be repetitive now, any news on the Carriers defensive arms upgrade? The recent FSS ships seem to have a Phalanx and MSI VSHORAD 30mm RWS combination, something the carriers could also have.

Dave Wolfy
Dave Wolfy
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Slow news day.

Jon
Jon
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

The FSSS doesn’t yet exist; the pictures are indicative and iterative. Where did you hear about the MSI/30mm combo? I can see a bow-sited R2D2 on the pictures, but I can’t spot the others. It’s funny, but it’s only when I look at the Phalanx does the scale of the ship really spring out.

Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

given the right thoughts, Fuss ships could come from ships taken and refitted from trade we’re getting our pants in a twist too late.the ones we’ve had,, were retired too early

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

I believe it’s on a recent Navy Lookout article. Some really excellent cgis from different angles. I’ll try and copy the link.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon

A recent Team Resolute Navy Lookout article. The link is below…and has been flagged waiting approval. Good T32 article there too.

Jon
Jon
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

Thanks, yes. I think I can see them. I couldn’t have identified them if you hadn’t said what they were.

Last edited 1 year ago by Jon
Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

The Albions Must be given better protection than they have been. People forget that they are capital ships. Which poor sap from the bowels of the powers that would be, how a major unarmed warship with its crew, a hundred or so royal marines and all the equipment was lost? It wouldn’t be Westminster, the MOD,or the Admiralty. They’d be unavailable for comment.

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

Yes, with you Andy. Add some additional 40mm, or some 30mm RWS if missile systems are too expensive.

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Quentin D63

They have 2 x 30mm already.

Really changing then for 3P 40mm and adding 12+ Sea Ceptor (maybe containerised) would be the proper fit.

Sea Ceptor can be cued in lots of ways so it does necessarily need to be in cues from the Albion CMS.

Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago

Albions should have T45 escorts, which emphasizes that we really need more escort vessels and not type 26 cruisers(they’re NOT FRIGATES AND I DON’T CARE ABOUT ARGUMENTS TO THE otherwise)!

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

Cannot disagree with that, they should be Looking at all warships moving to the 40mm that’s going to arm the T31 that should be come the standard CIWs. They should also consider levering 8-16 cold launched CAMM on each of the major warships as long as it does not cause issues with their primary function.

Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonathan

I like the look of tRam 116 system, used as a Cuws and short/medium air defence system it’s used by over a dozen nations and even fitted to the American carriers, it’s quite a compact frame, not much bigger than a phalanx.theRN could make good use of the type. In many areas of the fleet, it’s cheap too. In comparison to the ceptor.and it’s dual role ability, would make good sense.

John Stott
John Stott
1 year ago

This is starting to sound like a stuck record. It is protectionism versus free market economics at the end of the day. If we can buy hulls overseas that meet spec? So what. If it meets the need, does what it says on the tin, buy it. All these repetitive articles do is increase the yawn factor. Guess what UKDJ? There is a whole world of defence issues to report on….😂

Val
Val
1 year ago
Reply to  John Stott

Buying hulls overseas hmn? Because hulls are outfitted and fully fitted as much as possible during build. Building abroad is far more expensive in terms of loss of TAX clawback! Loss of people and skills and capacity. China goes to war with the West and has invaded South Korea. We ask for ships from South Korea (where the hugely expensive and year late Tide ships were built) because we are not capable of building ships ourselves. Answer from South Korea is not what UK politicians expected as they are not that bright or rather, have enjoyed having ships built abroad.… Read more »

John Stott
John Stott
1 year ago
Reply to  Val

I will trade in my Kia then, got me worried now.

Val
Val
1 year ago
Reply to  John Stott

Of course, your Kia is of strategic importance. When you buy a kia, you are not the paymaster general (unlike the UK government) who gets the tax back.

D J
D J
1 year ago
Reply to  John Stott

The problem with this idea is you are ignoring the circular economy. You send money overseas – it is gone. If they never buy anything back from you, you will never see it again. Money spent at home goes back into the home economy. Companies make profit – they pay tax. If they buy from local suppliers, they make profits & pay tax. Every employee makes money & pays tax. Any money spent by said employee that is spent locally (groceries etc), also feeds back into the economy (the grocery, it’s employees, the farmers etc etc). Every person with a… Read more »

John Stott
John Stott
1 year ago
Reply to  D J

Thanks for informing me of my complete ignorance.

Esteban
Esteban
1 year ago
Reply to  D J

B a e which we love to trumpet on this website all the time has absolutely massive holdings in the United States and that money is not coming back either.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

Stand by…..yaaaaaawn

Marked
Marked
1 year ago

Yawn… its like groundhog day.

Adrian
Adrian
1 year ago

It’s not rocket science here, independent Scotland would not have the ship building industry it has today.. it’s far from clear over time would the rest of the UK actually be ordering frigates in the quantity that makes developing our own worth while.. more likely be forced to buy French designs (collaborative). Over time an independent Scotland would say goodbye to ship building, probably nuclear subs as well and other industries, not necessarily a bad thing as others could take their place.. nothing is forever. Independence isn’t going to change the fact a government somewhere will make decisions, sum you… Read more »

Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago

It should be the likes of krankie sturgeon who has to answer to these issues, it might be her that has to answer for it.

Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

The u.k should be looking to re re-establishing ship build elsewhere such as devonport, pompe And the north east.where decent prospects for the future can be established. The Clyde has an arrogant expectation of getting the orders for new warship’s, the investment in shipbuilding has been lacklustre.now we actually do have orders for the navy, there’s not enough places to build them.chipperields circus at
the MOD, the Admiralty And Westminster since the 1970’s is to blame for that

Supportive Bloke
Supportive Bloke
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

I see, so getting Appledore and Belfast, with its super sized dry dock, back on track isn’t a useful first step?

Last edited 1 year ago by Supportive Bloke
Andy reeves
Andy reeves
1 year ago

Enough politics today everyone

Quentin D63
Quentin D63
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

Aye, with you on that one Andy. Sunday night here in Sydney. Have a good Sunday up there. 🇦🇺 🇬🇧

Mickey
Mickey
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

Hear Hear

barry white
barry white
1 year ago
Reply to  Andy reeves

No
More
I love reading comments as it gives me a laugh the way people see things
And before you comment RFAs are NOT classed as warships so can go out to tender (think of the Tides ) warships have ultra sensitive stuff in them which means they should only built in the UK only

Val
Val
1 year ago

“Do you believe there is a future to defence shipbuilding in Scotland, should the country become independent from the rest of the United Kingdom?”

The UK is not a mini un organisation or mini eu empire, the UK is a Country! You cannot have countries within a Country. There is no such thing as countrets.

McFeagle
McFeagle
1 year ago
Reply to  Val

oh dear 😂

Val
Val
1 year ago
Reply to  McFeagle

Not an answer.

AlexS
AlexS
1 year ago

OT:
Merlin helicopter pilot talks:
https://hushkit.net/2023/01/24/interview-with-merlin-helicopter-pilot/

Can fly in conditions (not specified over land) that Blackhawks can’t.
Pilots boast that USN submarines are more afraid of them than USN Seahawks
Expensive, complicated due to 3 engines and necessary gearbox and the fact there are a small number in service.
Says it does a very good job while pointing deficiencies.

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  AlexS

Thanks Alex for that, enjoyed reading that, I find it interesting how the Merlin whilst not a direct competitor for the somewhat similar NH90, has seen less sales, especially seeing as how so many nations are currently ditching the NH90. 

AlexS
AlexS
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

Merlin is a big heli, can’t go to most frigates hangars that have Seahawk/Nh90 size, it is also very expensive.

If you want to check get an Italian FREMM stern view and see the hangar size doors difference. The bigger one is for Merlin the other for NH90.

Portuguese Merlin SAR
https://www.key.aero/article/portugals-sar-aw101-merlin-lifesavers

Esteban
Esteban
1 year ago
Reply to  AlexS

Yeah sure… And there’s hardly any of them in any real war they would die rapidly. At least with a near competitor…. Or the country that is so allegedly afraid of them.. quality is one thing… Quantity is kind of a thing. We all know how wonderful the UK kit is… We hear about it on this website all the time. In reality it is a very very dangerous assumption.

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

Ah diddums, still angry and feeling like taking your inadequacies out on others.

Marius
Marius
1 year ago

There is no future for Scotland at all, regardless of whether it’s shipbuilding or whatever, outside of the United Kingdom.
Thankfully the Scottish electorate know it, and krankie will be gone sooner than what most think. Her negatives are piling up …

Tomartyr
Tomartyr
1 year ago

The SNP’s missing ships myth sent the message better than anything that ship building in Scotland was on MoD funded life support.

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago

the title of the article is so obvious I’m surprised anyone would think otherwise. Perhaps if 2 countries are making joint projects a case could be made for final assembly in one country with parts coming from other. Or a situation like one country is building ships worth x amount and the other country is building aircraft worth roughly the same x amount. I don’t get why some people supported having a referendum on membership of the EU but membership of the Uk is totally unacceptable. Asking the public to make decisions based on a yes/no question when the outcome… Read more »

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

MS wrote: “” I don’t get why some people supported having a referendum on membership of the EU but membership of the Uk is totally unacceptable. “” I’ve said it before, and I will say it again. I am pro-Eu, I fully understand why Europe should band together for a better future. But that said, a vote by the people for the people has to be respected . We saw this in Scotland in 2014, and we saw it in the Uk in 2016. We didn’t see it in Ireland , Denmark, France and Holland where votes by the people for the… Read more »

farouk
farouk
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

Oh regards my point about how certain EU leader hate us:
https://i.postimg.cc/gJnW57HW/img318.jpg

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  farouk

My safe space is also well visited. All of what was said is reasonable. Some may not agree and can disagree openly thanks to wonderful society we live in.

Monkey spanker
Monkey spanker
1 year ago
Reply to  Monkey spanker

Oh yeah I know the difference but either referendums are good for making big national decisions or not.
Personally I think it’s stupid asking people one question when what that question and the answers mean are so many different things to different people.

Last edited 1 year ago by Monkey spanker
Richard M
Richard M
1 year ago

Leaving aside some of this Scotland/uk stuff a moment. The real big question is what sort of shipbuilding industry do we want/need? ( be it military or civil). There is plenty of very run down /out of use capability in terms of the very basics. ( hard standing deep water etc etc) much of the remaining (out of use or just no longer there )infra structure needs massive capitol investment if it is needed to be in use. We do have the design capability. To me the questions are is there both the political will to bring back heavy industry… Read more »

Slowmatch
Slowmatch
1 year ago

I can not agree with this speculative article. If, and when Scotland were to become independent then the Royal Navy’s nuclear deterrent would still be firmly based at Faslane in Scotland. If this is indeed the case then why would the MOD not include Scottish shipbuilders who have the proven technological skills and experienced workforce to tender for this work. This surely, must work both ways. If Scotland can, and has been for decades hosting some of the most powerful and advanced warships in the world then why would it not be given the opportunity to build them. I’m looking… Read more »

Baz
Baz
1 year ago

Well to the rest of Britain Scotland would be classed has a foreign country, so they can’t expect to be given royal navy work, yes given

Esteban
Esteban
1 year ago

Thank you captain obvious

Airborne
Airborne
1 year ago
Reply to  Esteban

Yaaaaaaaaaawn

Andrew Thorne
Andrew Thorne
1 year ago

The anti-English racism (yes it is racism 100%) would be a blocker to any deal on defence with the SNP. I understand that Westminister has annoyed the Scots but there is this nasty undercurrent of anti-English hate that you can’t deny. Saying that, our own politicians like the Conservatives, Labour and Liberal democrats all hate white English people as well. We’re just here to pay all the taxes and take all the abuse. I certainly wouldn’t want any of my tax money going to Scottish defence if they keep up the anti-English racism.This country’s defence is in a whoeful shape… Read more »

Enobob
Enobob
1 year ago
Reply to  Andrew Thorne

What!? “our own politicians like the Conservatives, Labour and Liberal democrats all hate white English people as well.” THAT is just nonsensical, ridiculous groundless extreme right wing clap trap! For a start most Conservatives, Labour and Liberal democrat MP’s ARE white! Secondly it is groundless and based on pure prejudice.

Openskies
Openskies
1 year ago

SO, why do those who want Scottish independance want to keep Englands ship building, if they want independance?
Also why would ENgland want to keep Faslane or any scottish port? If you want independance from the UK then it means just that!
Im neither for or against Scottish independance but if the Scots want it then they must face the fact that we will be able to move our resources away from them.

Ret Niwluap
Ret Niwluap
1 year ago

A lot of uninformed and very biased comments on here regarding Scotland. To put the matter straight. 1. Regarding the EU single market, it has already been made clear that Scotland joining it depends on ‘standards, rules and regulations’ being closely aligned, which they are despite the toraigh hard right trying their best to destroy our trade with Europe. Scotland being in the single market can be accommodated without being in the EU, although that would surely follow – currently it needs little more than agreement to ‘freedom of movement’ to satisfy the EU. 2.The SNP are ‘not’ hard left,… Read more »

Felix
Felix
1 year ago

More to the point. BAE have already done a cost exercise to move shipbuilding to Barrow. I’m sure Babcock will have done too. Scots workforce would follow the jobs.

Michael Bridges
Michael Bridges
1 year ago

In the end it all comes down to the facts:

  1. that the UK does not tender complicated or core ships in the fleets outside of the UK
  2. That the UK uses US parts and intel (ship schematics) that are covered under ITAR (clearance) that Scotland would not have
Nick Cole
Nick Cole
1 year ago

Why do people continue to comment about this which is a non-issue. Nobody, but nobody says that the Royal Navy would be expected to continue commissioning ships from an independent Scotland. All these articles start off on this basis. However, what is ignored is that ship building capacity will remain in Scotland, it would just have to be re-purposed. And since the warship construction skills, or to be more accurate assembly of bought in parts, remain there it does open up an opportunity. In any event shipbuilding is a very small part of the overall economy and employment opportunities so… Read more »